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Forex Forum Archive for 01/03/2014

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


USA ZEUS 22:20 GMT January 3, 2014
Week Ahead

Will be a great week to crush it!

dc CB 21:38 GMT January 3, 2014
Week Ahead

Auctions Up
10y Wed
30y Thurs

dc CB 21:36 GMT January 3, 2014
Bullish US $ Index as 2014 starts.



next week following thru ????
trusty Trust

dc CB 21:34 GMT January 3, 2014
Global Markets News



JP
uncover the pool, turn up the AC. make me a gin and tonic.

GVI Forex john 20:56 GMT January 3, 2014
Chart Points - Free FX Database
Reply   

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

Amman wfakhoury 20:24 GMT January 3, 2014
EURUSD 13630 confirmed

Amman wfakhoury 09:19 GMT 01/03/2014
Chk the close of this 1 hr bar ..if close above 13630 then 13654 is coming if below then 13588 is coming
-----------------------------------
13588 reached

USA ZEUS 20:22 GMT January 3, 2014
USD/JPY

USD/JPY scalp swing trade gains taken at 104.82. Cheers!

GVI Forex 19:42 GMT January 3, 2014
Week Ahead
Reply   
• US and UK 10-yr government bond yields break above 3%

• FOMC minutes and US employment report watched for clues on pace of further tapering

• Policy debates facing ECB and MPC diverge

ECONOMIC DATA ANALYSIS - YIELDS DRIFT HIGHER AS US DATA TAKE CENTRE STAGE

dc CB 19:29 GMT January 3, 2014
STOX

dc CB 16:37 GMT January 2
looking for a relationship in any year before QEs and CBs' WWM (WorldWideManipulation) is pointless.

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

in the past two days, the Fed has first withdrawn and subsequently re-injected a record $140 billion in liquidity, or nearly two months' worth of post-taper POMO. One may be tempted to wonder just where it is that these hundreds of billions in fungible electronic monetary equivalents have ended up...

Window Dressing On, Window Dressing Off... Amounting To $140 Billion In Two Days

Mtl JP 17:27 GMT January 3, 2014
Global Markets News

dc CB no heat nor power problem here

dc CB 17:24 GMT January 3, 2014
Bullish US $ Index as 2014 starts.

Dollar Special Report Final

Black Swan Capital

dc CB 17:14 GMT January 3, 2014
Global Markets News

JP,
thought I lived in the "south"
16 here.

Got Heat?

Cold spell: Hydro-Québec asks for the public's cooperation

Amman wfakhoury 17:09 GMT January 3, 2014
AUDUSD.9000

Amman wfakhoury 07:49 GMT 01/03/2014
.9000 confirmed ..will be reached
-------------------------9000 reached

Mtl JP 16:49 GMT January 3, 2014
Global Markets News

Plosser: Fed may have to 'chase' market rates
Plosser: Risk of 'rapid' rise in interest rates
-
he sounds like a bringer of good news (to savers)
however odds are low we ll see 4% soon if the FED can help prevent it

GVI Forex 16:45 GMT January 3, 2014
Global Markets News
Reply   
Yesterday, US equity markets saw their first down day for the opening trading session of the year since 2008. Ironically, this was also the first negative YTD session for major indices in two years. Curious statistics aside,

TradeTheNews.com US Market Update: Blizzard Conditions Shut the Northeast, US Equities in the Green

GVI Forex john 16:40 GMT January 3, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot

Late in European trade, prices in prime fixed income markets are ending mixed. Peripheral bond prices are higher. Equity indices who were open are mostly mixed.



Saar KaL 16:17 GMT January 3, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

NZDJPY
5 ( 84.8543 , 88.0773 , 6.227% 17.585%)

Looking close to long
87.9498 84.9796
88.0773 84.8543
88.5021 84.4365
88.9269 84.0187
89.3517 83.6009

GVI Forex Blog 16:08 GMT January 3, 2014 Reply   
January 3, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, January 6. Updated: Trading Events Calendar HIGH IMPACT RELEASES: EZ- Final Service PMIs, GB- Service PMI, US- Service PMIs, Factory Orders, COT Report, Yellen Vote

GVI Forex Data Outlook for January 6, 2014

GVI Forex john 16:04 GMT January 3, 2014
Calendar
Reply   


January 3, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, January 6. Updated: Trading Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT RELEASES: EZ- Final Service PMIs, GB- Service PMI, US- Service PMIs, Factory Orders, COT Report, Yellen Vote

  • Far East: No Major Data.
  • Europe: EZ- Retail Sales,EZ- Final Service PMIs, GB- Service PMI.
  • North America: US- Service PMIs, Factory Orders, COT Report, Yellen Vote.


GVI Forex john 16:01 GMT January 3, 2014
Weekly EIA Crude Inventories
Reply   
US EIA


ALERT
Crude Oil: -7.000 vs. -2.000 exp vs. -4.700 prev.
Gasoline: +0.840 vs. +1.000 exp vs. -0.600 prev.
Distillates:+5.000 vs. 0.000 exp vs. -1.850 prev.
Cap/Util: 92.40% vs. 92.50% exp vs. 92.70% prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

Saar KaL 15:53 GMT January 3, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

Gold
-10 ( 1153.0365 , 1256.1542 , -7.331% -11.795%)
placing shorts
1,249.4047 1,159.6511
1,256.1542 1,153.0365
1,269.6532 1,139.8072
1,283.1522 1,126.5780
1,296.6512 1,113.3488

Silver

-7 ( 18.2181 , 20.8564 , -10.058% -22.68%)

Shorts
20.7048 18.3873
20.8564 18.2181
21.1594 17.8799
21.4625 17.5416
21.7655 17.2033

Saar KaL 15:33 GMT January 3, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

GBPAUD Longing
tgt 0.9300 area

GVI Forex john 15:30 GMT January 3, 2014
U.S. Weekly Natural Gas Inventories
Reply   



ALERT
WEEKLY- US Natural Gas (bcf)
-97 vs. -120 exp vs. -177 prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

bali sja 14:22 GMT January 3, 2014
first ceiling on GBP

cable will always be buying on dips for me, fed will be more dovish than BOE, no matter what tapering talk there will be, in fact i think cable will not go below 1.58 anymore for many years

dc CB 14:10 GMT January 3, 2014
Trading Job, San Fran. CA
Reply   
The San Francisco hedge fund is hiring a "Junior" position

Bitcoin Execution Trader.

Belgrade TD 13:15 GMT January 3, 2014
Daily TA trade

Belgrade TD 14:06 GMT December 20, 2013
Entry: ~0.816 Target: NA Stop: <0.81 ... Long NZD/USD - longer term
///
1/4 out ~ 0.829 ... reducing risk

and Happy New Year :)))

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:01 GMT January 3, 2014
#Your Best Trade for Today

EURUSD there is a series (6 days) of supports between 1,3605-1,3622 from late Nov - early Dec with 1.3605 the key level.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:54 GMT January 3, 2014
#Your Best Trade for Today

Thin market will be exaggerated by a weather event in the US - In NYC, a blizzard with freezing temperatures will make commuting very difficult and many who come from the suburbs will opt to stay home.

As for the EURUSD, 1.3650 likely to set its tone while within 1.36-1.37

50 day mva still untouched 91.3618), 20 day mva = 1.3723, which is bottom of the opening year gap using a one hour chart. Charts can vary depending on the platform and source so please post if you see similar gap.

GVI Forex john 11:46 GMT January 3, 2014
Global-View Chart Points
Reply   
Data from yesterday updated.
Chart Points

GVI Forex john 11:02 GMT January 3, 2014
#Your Best Trade for Today
Reply   
#TradeIdeas The only data later today will be the weekly energy inventory releases. We view them more as a background factor as they can impact energy prices and therefore economic growth and inflation. There usually is not a knee jerk market reaction, except in oil or natural gas to the data.

Of course we are keeping a close eye on the lead #EURUSD pair. At current levels it remains in striking range of the 1.3800 line. We still hoping to get a handle on what the flows will be in 1Q14. We are also closely monitoring the 10-yr yield vis-a-vis the 3.00% line.

As for the Fed, the Senate confirmation vote for Janet Yellen has been scheduled for Monday January 6 at 17:30 EST. It remains to be seen if this vote will come off on time.

ottawa ottawa 10:56 GMT January 3, 2014
first ceiling on GBP
Reply   
Happy Better year every one

for cable, I have 1.6483 and 1.6487 as R1

any take on GBP/USD

USA 10:40 GMT January 3, 2014
FOREX News: Dollar Advance to Start the Year Less Potent than Equity Tumble
Reply   
Dollar Advance to Start the Year Less Potent than Equity Tumble
Though dollar bulls’ enthusiasm fell far short of the level of fear bubbling up through this past session’s US equity selloff, the currency still managed its best performance since the Fed Tapered on December 18. The greenback’s unprecedented depth positions it well for any heavy drawdowns in sentiment, but such an auspicious development for risk trends would be difficult to muster this week. While we are awaiting the return of liquidity to reengage underlying market currents following the disruption of the 2013 year-end drain, the ranks remain historically thin until the first full week of trading. That means we are still lacking the most crucial element of genuine trend development: participation.

While much of the focus went to the GBPUSD’s 113-pip tumble this past session, the sterling’s individual performance deserves some reflection. The currency dropped against all but the Swiss franc Thursday – a universal change in direction from the impressive charge the pound mounted over the previous six months. Though not an immediate catalyst, it is worth noting the December manufacturing activity report’s influence.

Amman wfakhoury 10:07 GMT January 3, 2014
EURJPY 142.24 wfakhoury DL
Reply   
142.24 wfakhoury directional level ...price consolidates on it
keeps above it means 143.40 is coming unless it breaks down 142.24 and 1 hr bar closed below it then 141.80 is coming

jkt abel 10:06 GMT January 3, 2014
EURUSD 13630 confirmed

agree mark, from past lessons: either sideline on a friday or sell usd

prague mark 10:01 GMT January 3, 2014
EURUSD 13630 confirmed

Amman wfakhoury 09:23 GMT 01/03/2014
The possiblity to reach 13750 is weak unless price breaks 13670 and keeps above it ... also any rise above 13654 will return to 13654.

/////

fully agree with you re 13670, however, it is Friday and my bet for 13757 is that we might end the week where we started so new battles next week (after all are bach from hol) starts with even positions... LOL

NY Bob 09:54 GMT January 3, 2014
EURUSD 13630 confirmed

wfakhoury : your view on EUR/JPY please sir

GVI Forex john 09:48 GMT January 3, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot
Reply   
Early in European trading hours, prices in prime fixed income markets are mostly higher after equities fell overnight. The peripheral European bond prices are higher again. The focus of the U.S. 10-yr note remains on the 3.00% trget. European Equity markets are now steady.



NY Bob 09:29 GMT January 3, 2014
EURUSD 13630 confirmed

Thank you sir

Amman wfakhoury 09:23 GMT January 3, 2014
EURUSD 13630 confirmed

The possiblity to reach 13750 is weak unless price breaks 13670 and keeps above it ... also any rise above 13654 will return to 13654.

Amman wfakhoury 09:19 GMT January 3, 2014
EURUSD 13630 confirmed

Chk the close of this 1 hr bar ..if close above 13630 then 13654 is coming if below then 13588 is coming

NY Bob 09:14 GMT January 3, 2014
EURUSD 13630 confirmed

wfakhoury: now is it moving towards 1.37 ?

Amman wfakhoury 09:11 GMT January 3, 2014
EURUSD 13630 confirmed

Amman wfakhoury 07:57 GMT 01/03/2014
13630 confirmed ..will be reached
if 1 hr bar closed below 13630 13588 will be reached or any rise above 13630 will return to 13630 again
______________________
we are not joking..13630 reached

KL KL 09:06 GMT January 3, 2014
SELL AUDUSD!!!

out .8979....and wait again .8991....now lay bombs and short ied.....to slam and Short Audusd.....fields of dream is upon us....LOL glgt imvho and DFM....DYOR

prague mark 09:00 GMT January 3, 2014
The juice was already in- Get short EUR/USD!

tokyo ginko 08:56 GMT 01/03/2014

today watch 1.3757

tokyo ginko 08:56 GMT January 3, 2014
The juice was already in- Get short EUR/USD!

eur/usd look to test lower @ 1.35 65/70 levels

Saar KaL 08:35 GMT January 3, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

euraud
looks scary
but a buy
12 ( 1.5214 , 1.6008 , 6.227% 5.11%)
myth = stop hunt

KL KL 08:33 GMT January 3, 2014
SELL AUDUSD!!!

ha ha...lets see this time if I have better gain...start with Short .8989......increasing the speed...until finger goes to 1,000,000Tera flops to challenge HFT computer.......the relentless click.....LOL

Saar KaL 08:32 GMT January 3, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

use the thefile server
might wanna install adblock for chrome

I Love this Movie

Saar KaL 08:22 GMT January 3, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

AUDUSD a sell
-11 ( 0.8646 , 0.902 , -4.093% -3.361%)
Point of entry can be any of these
0.8993 0.8671
0.9020 0.8646
0.9074 0.8595
0.9128 0.8545
0.9182 0.8495

Just depends on your tolerance and Margin

Saar KaL 08:08 GMT January 3, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

EURUSD
Trade Vector
1 st number is Lots + Positive is Buy - or Negative is sell
this case a buy
The maximum this number can be is 30 or -30

Lots ( Low, High, 3 month Gain expected, 1 year Gain Expected)

7 ( 1.3566 , 1.4034 , 1.623% 0.931%)
2nd 2 Numbers
is trade range or near

then 3 months gain...etc
So Now EURUSD 1.36 to 1.3550...or near is good entry
Just makes it easier to Communicate with Number instead of words

EURGBP
8 ( 0.8213 , 0.8529 , 2.893% 7.129%)

USDJPY
10 ( 103.6859 , 106.6315 , 7.691% 18.639%)

Amman wfakhoury 07:57 GMT January 3, 2014
EURUSD 13630 confirmed
Reply   
13630 confirmed ..will be reached
if 1 hr bar closed below 13630 13588 will be reached or any rise above 13630 will return to 13630 again

jkt abel 07:54 GMT January 3, 2014
buy gbpjpy

nice nice easy pips easy money on friday, take profit on half position now 171.80 and the rest run with stop at BE, trend is your friend, cheers

Amman wfakhoury 07:49 GMT January 3, 2014
AUDUSD.9000
Reply   
.9000 confirmed ..will be reached

KL KL 07:05 GMT January 3, 2014
SELL AUDUSD!!!

OUT Audusd Short .8967.....LOL....2 pip profit on Overmargin and leverage.......and Humungous position...like rouge banks forex trader...ala nick leason .....Luckily not using Sham account that will auto Liquadate if Margin hit above 50%.......you know the CMSHAM.....horses for courses for forex too.....phew.....happy to still win by 1 pip or more......

Saar KaL 06:53 GMT January 3, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

CadJPY Longs
99.7150 97.0343
99.8710 96.8056
100.1831 96.3482
100.4952 95.8908
100.8073 95.4335

Saar KaL 06:41 GMT January 3, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

EURCAD
Longs
1.5006 1.4440
1.5049 1.4393
1.5136 1.4301
1.5222 1.4208
1.5308 1.4116

Saar KaL 06:39 GMT January 3, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

EURAUD
Very Bullish
1.5953 1.5272
1.6008 1.5214
1.6117 1.5096
1.6227 1.4979
1.6337 1.4861

Hong Kong AceTrader 06:38 GMT January 3, 2014
AceTrader Jan 3: Daily Outlook on Major USD/JPY
Reply   
DAILY OUTLOOK ON USD/JPY - 104.10
03 Jan 2014 05:12 GMT

Despite y'day's brief rise to a fresh 5-year top at 105.45, subsequent selloff to 104.55 suggests a temp. top has been made there n consoldation with downside bias wud be seen for weakness to 104.30/32 , however, sup 103.77 shud hold n yield rebound.

Sell on recovery n only abv 104.45 wud risk marginal gain to 104.66 but 104.88/91 shud hold.


STRATEGY : Hold short

POSITION : Short at 104.35

OBJECTIVE : 103.55

STOP-LOSS : 104.75

RES : 104.55/104.87/105.24

SUP : 104.14/103.77/103.42

Saar KaL 06:33 GMT January 3, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

gbpjpy Longs
176.9626 169.7252
177.4975 169.1349
178.5671 167.9544
179.6368 166.7739
180.7065 165.5934

ed kw 05:33 GMT January 3, 2014
buy gbpjpy

re shorted g/y for c/y down

ed kw 05:15 GMT January 3, 2014
SELL AUDUSD!!!

eur/aud bought to ang gbp/y

jkt abel 05:10 GMT January 3, 2014
buy gbpjpy
Reply   
bought some gbpjpy for intraday play here 171.20, stop under 170.50

ed kw 05:01 GMT January 3, 2014
SELL AUDUSD!!!

slanted e/a

ed kw 05:00 GMT January 3, 2014
SELL AUDUSD!!!

stop hunt for aud in aud/jpy strength risk aversion

KL KL 04:32 GMT January 3, 2014
SELL AUDUSD!!!

WOW...chased audusd to .8973...avg .8962....keep going up...keep adding....this is call relentless

KL KL 04:00 GMT January 3, 2014
SELL AUDUSD!!!
Reply   
Relentless Sell AUDUSD.. 0.8944....keep adding and will cover later....lets see....maybe lower like .8920

Hong Kong AceTrader 02:54 GMT January 3, 2014
AceTrader Jan 3: Daily Outlook on Asian Exotic USD/IDR
Reply   
USD/IDR DAILY OUTLOOK - 12220
03 Jan 2014 01:35GMT

Y'day's strg rebound fm 12140 suggests correction
last Fri's 5-yr peak at 12275 has ended there n up
side bias remains for a re-test of said res.

Buy on dips with stop as indicated n only below
12140 wud abort bullishness, risk 12100.


STRATEGY : Buy at 12190

OBJECTIVE : 12270

STOP-LOSS : 12150

RES : 12250/12275/12300

SUP : 12140/12100/12050

USA ZEUS 02:35 GMT January 3, 2014
USD/JPY

All in at 104.27

USA ZEUS 02:32 GMT January 3, 2014
USD/JPY

Added at 104.36

USA ZEUS 02:27 GMT January 3, 2014
USD/JPY
Reply   
USD/JPY scalp long at 104.42

Hong Kong AceTrader 01:38 GMT January 3, 2014
AceTrader Jan 3: Euro weakens on economic recovery concerns
Reply   
Market Review - 02/01/2014 22:30GMT

Euro weakens on economic recovery concerns

The single currency weakened against the dollar on Thursday, as the release of mixed manufacturing activity reports from the euro zone added to concerns over the strength of the economic recovery in the region.

During the day, despite euro's initial rise to 1.3776 in Asian morning, renewed selling interest capped intra-day gain there and price later fell to 1.3716 in European morning and then further to 1.3630 on risk aversion in New York trading before stabilizing.

France's manufacturing PMI fell to a 7-month low of 47.0 in December, from 47.1 in November, compared to expectations for the index to remain unchanged. A separate report showed Germany's manufacturing PMI rose to a 30-month high of 54.3 in December, from a reading of 54.2 the previous month.

Versus the yen, U.S. dollar traded sideways in Asian session and before rising above Monday's high at 105.41 to a fresh 5-year high at 105.45 near European midday, however, profit-taking pressured and risk aversion on falling U.S. equity markets pressured price lower in New York trading and price dropped to 104.55 before stabilizing.

U.S. Department of Labor said the number of individuals filing for initial jobless benefits in the week ending December 28 declined by 2,000 to a seasonally adjusted 339,000.

Although cable rose to fresh 2-year high at 1.6605 in Asian trading, lack of follow through buying prompted profit-taking and the British pound later dropped to 1.6540 after the release of weaker-than-expected U.K. manufacturing PMI before tumbling to 1.6410 in New York morning on broad-based strength in greenback.

U.K. manufacturing PMI came in at 57.3 in December, weaker than the forecast of 58.1.

Data to be released on Friday:

China non-manufacturing PMI, Swiss KOF indicator, PMI, U.K. construction PMI, mortgage approvals, CPI, HICP on Friday. Financial markets in Japan and China will be closed due to public holiday.

Brock Thor 01:24 GMT January 3, 2014
Eur/Usd order placed.
Reply   
Sell order placed 1.3730 if it makes it.
73 .90 pips away.

GVI Forex 01:01 GMT January 3, 2014
China
Reply   
CHINA CFLP DEC NON-MANUFACTURING PMI 54.6 VS NOV 56.0

tokyo ginko 00:25 GMT January 3, 2014
USD/JPY 110

cover NK @ 15985...cheers! will look to reshort again..

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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Forex Blog

Global-View.com also offers a forex blog, where articles of interest for currency trading are posted throughout the day. The forex blog articles come from outside sources, including forex brokers research as well as from the professionals at Global-View.com. This forex blog includes the Daily Forex View, Market Chatter and technical forex blog updates. In additional to its real time forex forum, there are also Member Forums available for more in depth forex trading discussions.

 

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