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Forex Forum Archive for 01/06/2014

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GVI Forex john 23:27 GMT January 6, 2014
Yellen Nomination

17 members of the Senate were unable to vote on Yellen because of the weather.

philadelphia caba 23:13 GMT January 6, 2014
long eur/chf

Still valid. 1/4 off the table, thinning, adding..

philadelphia caba 13:38 GMT December 6, 2013
long eur/chf : Reply
Buy EURCHF
Entry: 1.2235 Target: 1.3000 Stop: below peg

bought on latest dip, with s/l 50 pips below peg and t/p 1.3+++ - weekly chart

GVI Forex john 23:13 GMT January 6, 2014
Yellen Nomination

56-26 Yellen Confirmed

GVI Forex john 23:00 GMT January 6, 2014
Yellen Nomination

Yellen gets the 51 votes needed for approval. Vote continues...

GVI Forex john 22:57 GMT January 6, 2014
Yellen Nomination

last 49- 27 in favor 51 votes needed

GVI Forex john 22:36 GMT January 6, 2014
Yellen Nomination
Reply   
Vote underway.

GVI Forex 22:28 GMT January 6, 2014
AUD and NZD
Reply   
The US dollar, US interest rates, and US equities all fell slightly following some disappointing economic data.

NZ Morning Thoughts - FX & IR

prague mark 20:42 GMT January 6, 2014
EUR/USD Intraday rally

Zeus,
lets long again, Asia will sell $$$... up to 1.3688

GVI Forex john 20:36 GMT January 6, 2014
Chart Points - Free FX Database
Reply   

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

GVI Forex john 19:31 GMT January 6, 2014
EZ Service PMIs flat. U.K. data eases. U.S. Services PMI soft
Reply   

Spot
20d avg
10-yr
Equities
 EURUSD 1.3712
 1.3635
 U.S. 2.99% -2bp
  North America: Lower
 EURJPY 142.11
 142.70
 Bund 1.91% -4bp
 DAX: Lower
 GBPUSD 1.6411
 1.6396
 GILT 2.97% -6bp
 FTSE: Lower
 USDJPY  104.07
 104.02
  JGB 0.73%  -1bp  Far East Close: Lower

HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: AU- Trade, DE- Unemployment, EZ- HICP (CPI). CA/US- Trade

  • Eurozone final Service PMI releases were mixed to weaker than expected. The U.K. Services PMI fell.  With most advanced economies primarily driven by their Services sector, the Service PMIs tend to be very closely watched. See the FOREX FORUM  for latest key data and charts as they are released.

  • The U.S Service PMI was weaker than expected in December. U.S.. economic data  might be turning mixed. See the FOREX FORUM  for latest key data and charts as they are released.

  • This week features central bank decisions by the Bank of England and the ECB. No policy changes are expected. Monthly u,S. employment data are set for Friday..For additional key items and more detail (dates, times, data estimates), be sure to reference our Economic Calendar. See the FOREX FORUM  for latest key data and charts as they are released.

GVI Forex Blog 19:31 GMT January 6, 2014 Reply   
HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: AU- Trade, DE- Unemployment, EZ- HICP (CPI). CA/US- Trade Eurozone final Service PMI releases were mixed to weaker than expected. The U.K. Services PMI fell. With most advanced economies primarily driven by their Services sector, the Service PMIs tend to be very closely watched. See the FOREX FORUM for latest key data and charts as they are released.

EZ Service PMIs flat. U.K. data eases. U.S. Services PMI soft

Saar KaL 18:10 GMT January 6, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

EURJPY will buy only less then 140.5 this month

144.2326 137.2595
145.9975 135.6002
147.7624 133.9806

GBPJPY
Less then 168
169.9264 166.4758
171.6605 164.7940
173.3947 163.1459
175.1288 161.5304

Saar KaL 18:06 GMT January 6, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

NDX a Buy for next month's 3800
Placing longs
3,623.1555 3,504.4356
3,653.0826 3,475.7262
3,683.0098 3,447.4833

NY JM 17:49 GMT January 6, 2014
JPY correlations
Reply   
Note the equities => JPY correlation if you are looking for a reason why the JPY is firmer.

GVI Forex john 16:54 GMT January 6, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot

Late in European trade, prices in open prime fixed income markets are mostly higher. European and U.S. equities are steady to weaker. The peripheral European bond prices are mostly stronger.



GVI Forex 16:33 GMT January 6, 2014
Global Markets News

The euro has turned around after a 2014 New Year's slide from the 1.3760 level to 1.3570. As of writing, the pair had advanced to

TradeTheNews.com US Market Update: Equities in the Red Again

USA ZEUS 16:01 GMT January 6, 2014
EUR/USD Intraday rally

Gains realized at 1.3642

Cheers!

GVI Forex john 15:40 GMT January 6, 2014
ECB Thursday
Reply   
Press report- No major policy adjustments being considered. Deflation is the major concern. TTN

GVI Forex john 15:24 GMT January 6, 2014
U.S. ISM Services PMI



Services Employment PMI vs. NFP. signalling stronger December data.

Central Kwun 15:21 GMT January 6, 2014
Gold
Reply   
Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

Fat finger

Saar KaL 15:18 GMT January 6, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

Gold shorts
1,241.85146 1,141.58710
1,251.48877 1,131.66827
1,261.12608 1,121.74943

expecting near 1145 nex mont


cable longs

1.6539 1.6273
1.6672 1.6142
1.6806 1.6014

1.66 next month

Silver Shorts
19.7600 17.6543
20.8425 16.7374
21.9250 15.9110
17 Next month IMO

GVI Forex john 15:16 GMT January 6, 2014
U.S. ISM Services PMI

Weakest ISM Services PMI since July 2012. However Employment PMI better.

GVI Forex john 15:10 GMT January 6, 2014
U.S. ISM Services PMI

cb- thanks for catching that.

GVI Forex john 15:07 GMT January 6, 2014
U.S. ISM Services PMI



ISM Services PMI. Weaker than expected. New trend developing?

USA ZEUS 15:05 GMT January 6, 2014
EUR/USD Intraday rally

Clockwork!

dc CB 15:04 GMT January 6, 2014
U.S. ISM Services PMI

ISM 53 being reported

check your numbers

GVI Forex john 15:02 GMT January 6, 2014
U,S. Factory Orders
Reply   



ALERT
NOVEMBER 2013 U.S. Factory Orders
+1.80%vs. +1.70% exp. vs. -0.90% (r -0.50%) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex john 15:01 GMT January 6, 2014
U.S. ISM Services PMI
Reply   



ALERT
DECEMBER 2013 U.S. Services PMI
53.0 vs. 56.0 exp. vs. 56.0 prev.
Employment sub-component
55.8 vs. n/a exp. vs. 52.5 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

USA ZEUS 14:36 GMT January 6, 2014
EUR/USD Intraday rally

Take gains at your leisure.
Cheers!

ottawa ottawa 14:25 GMT January 6, 2014
EUR/USD Intraday rally

long = buying (with a Stop l.)

Islamabad 14:19 GMT January 6, 2014
EUR/USD Intraday rally

EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

This time Eur/USD Selling or Buying

USA ZEUS 14:09 GMT January 6, 2014
EUR/USD Intraday rally
Reply   
Long EUR/USD again for another rally...Show me the money!

GVI Forex john 14:07 GMT January 6, 2014
U.S. final Markit Services PMI



U.S. final Markit Mfg PMI. Revised DOWN.

GVI Forex john 14:00 GMT January 6, 2014
U.S. final Markit Services PMI
Reply   



ALERT
U.S. Markit FINAL Manufacturing PMI
55.7 vs. 56.2 exp. vs. 56.2 prelim


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

Melbourne Qindex 12:03 GMT January 6, 2014
EUR/USD : Critical Level 1.3866

EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:




EUR/USD : The market is able to find support around the barrier at 1.2576 // 1.3607. Speculative buying interest will increase in the Asian session when EUR/USD is able to close above 1.3638 // 1.3647 (see the graphic presentation of the monthly cycle charts).


Qindex.com

EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts

prague mark 11:42 GMT January 6, 2014
EUR/USD E-Z scalp

Zeus,
What time frame do you have for eur/usd to get 1,3320 ?
TIA

USA ZEUS 11:37 GMT January 6, 2014
EUR/USD E-Z scalp

Take gains at your leisure...100% for sure!

Cheers!

New York 11:24 GMT January 6, 2014
Daily Forex Report: US Dollar Still Range-Bound
Reply   
US DOLLAR TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices rose as expected after putting in a bullish Piercing Line candlestick pattern. A break above range resistance at 10706 targets 10727, the December 19 high, followed by a rising channel top at 10750. Alternatively, a move below range support at 10646 exposes the channel bottom at 10631.

S&P 500 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices are testing support at 1828.14, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. A break downward initially exposes 1815.18, the 38.2% level. Near-term resistance is at 1849.10, the December 30 swing high.

ed kw 11:15 GMT January 6, 2014
China Services PMI

copper selling for week so run to jpy pars this week,commodity pars shod get slammed in time

GVI Forex 11:13 GMT January 6, 2014
Global Markets News
Reply   
The EUR/USD recovered from moderate losses aided by peripheral PMI Services data. Both Ireland and Spain were around 7-year highs.

TradeTheNews.com EU Market Update: Peripheral Europe PMI Services continue improving trend while core Europe highlights the bumpy recovery

Saar KaL 10:18 GMT January 6, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

eurusd below 1.3340 is your stop

Saar KaL 10:04 GMT January 6, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

Not Buying USDJPY above 102.5 this month

GVI Forex john 10:01 GMT January 6, 2014
EZ Service PMIs flat. U.K. data eases. U.S. Services PMI due.
Reply   

Spot
20d avg
10-yr
Equities
 EURUSD 1.3607
 1.3717
 U.S. 2.99% +1bp
  North America: Lower
 EURJPY 142.23
 142.68
 Bund 1.92% -3bp
 DAX: Lower
 GBPUSD 1.6369
 1.6396
 GILT 3.01% -2bp
 FTSE: Lowerr
 USDJPY  104.55
 104.02
  JGB 0.73%  -1bp  Far East Close: Lower

HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: US- Service PMIs, Factory Orders, Yellen Vote

  • Eurozone final Service PMI releases were mixed to weaker than expected. The U.K. Services PMI fell.  With most advanced economies primarily driven by their Services sector, the Service PMIs tend to be very closely watched. See the FOREX FORUM  for latest key data and charts as they are released.

  • The U.S. sees and active calendar.  Economic data released since the turn of the year has been mixed to better than expected. See the FOREX FORUM  for latest key data and charts as they are released.

  • This week features central bank decisions by the Bank of England and the ECB. No policy changes are expected. Monthly u,S. employment data are set for Friday..For additional key items and more detail (dates, times, data estimates), be sure to reference our Economic Calendar. See the FOREX FORUM  for latest key data and charts as they are released.

GVI Forex Blog 10:00 GMT January 6, 2014 Reply   
HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: US- Service PMIs, Factory Orders, Yellen Vote Eurozone final Service PMI releases were mixed to weaker than expected. The U.K. Services PMI fell. With most advanced economies primarily driven by their Services sector, the Service PMIs tend to be very closely watched. See the FOREX FORUM for latest key data and charts as they are released.

EZ Service PMIs flat. U.K. data eases. U.S. Services PMI due.

GVI Forex john 09:35 GMT January 6, 2014
U.K. Services PMI



U.K. November Services PMI off its October peak. Its hard to hold a PMI above the 60 line. GBPUSD down.

GVI Forex john 09:28 GMT January 6, 2014
U.K. Services PMI
Reply   




-- ALERT --

DECEMBER 2013- GB Services PMI
58.8 vs. 60.3 exp. vs. 60.0 prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex john 09:22 GMT January 6, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot
Reply   
Early in European trading hours, prices in prime fixed income markets are mostly higher. The peripheral European bond prices are higher. The focus of the U.S. 10-yr note remains on the 3.00% benchmark. European Equity markets are weaker.



GVI Forex john 09:06 GMT January 6, 2014
Eurozone Final Services PMI



EZ, German and French final Services PMI. France and Germany revisions diverge...

GVI Forex john 09:06 GMT January 6, 2014
Eurozone Final Services PMI



EZ, final Services PMI steady, but still down from November and October.

GVI Forex john 08:58 GMT January 6, 2014
Eurozone Final Services PMI
Reply   




ALERT

DECEMBER 2013 EZ Final Services PMI
Svc: 51.0 vs. 51.0 (flash) exp. vs. 51.0 prev.
France: 47.8 vs. 48.8 (flash) exp. vs. 48.8
Germany:53.5 vs. 54.0 (flash) exp. vs. 54.0



TTN: Live News Special Offer

Amman wfakhoury 08:29 GMT January 6, 2014
EURJPY 142.24 wfakhoury DL
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 10:07 GMT January 3, 2014
EURJPY 142.24 wfakhoury DL: Reply
142.24 wfakhoury directional level ...price consolidates on it
keeps above it means 143.40 is coming unless it breaks down 142.24 and 1 hr bar closed below it then 141.80 is coming
--------------------
141.80 just said good morning

Hong Kong AceTrader 08:02 GMT January 6, 2014
AceTrader Jan 6: Daily Outlook on Asian Exotic USD/KRW
Reply   
DAILY USD/KRW OUTLOOK - 1065.8
06 Jan 2014 05:51GMT

As USD has staged rebound fm Thur's 1048.3 low,
suggesting LT decline has made a temp. low there n
further gain to 1070.6 wud be seen.

Stand aside n look to buy on dips. Only below
1057.1 wud dampen bullishness n risk 1054.9.


STRATEGY : Stand aside

RES : 1070.6/1074.2/1079.0

SUP : 1057.1/1054.9/1052.6

tokyo ginko 06:14 GMT January 6, 2014
The juice was already in- Get short EUR/USD!

some money off the table here

bali sja 05:44 GMT January 6, 2014
buy euro
Reply   
still playing 1.35-1.42 this quarter IMO

USA ZEUS 05:09 GMT January 6, 2014
EUR/USD E-Z scalp

Will buy every 10 pips lower from 1.3580.

USA ZEUS 05:00 GMT January 6, 2014
EUR/USD E-Z scalp

EUR/USD I'm long on a swing scalp at 1.3580 and will see the targeted pivot at 1.3610 100% for sure today. Cheers!

bali sja 03:54 GMT January 6, 2014
buy jpy pairs
Reply   
keep buying jpy pairs on dips IMHO especially gbpjpy, will post entry later

USA ZEUS 02:38 GMT January 6, 2014
EUR/USD E-Z scalp
Reply   
Buy EUR/USD from 1.3580 to tackle the 1.3610 pivot for E-Z pips.
Cheers!

Hong Kong AceTrader 02:29 GMT January 6, 2014
AceTrader Jan 6: Euro falls broadly on broad-based demand for USD
Reply   
Market Review - 04/01/2014 01:19GMT

Euro falls broadly on broad-based demand for USD

The single currency fell to a one-month low against the U.S. dollar on Friday due to renewed broad-based demand for the safe-haven dollar despite positive Spanish unemployment data released earlier in the trading session.

Earlier in the day, euro edged lower after meeting selling interest at 1.3673 in Australia and price briefly penetrated Thursday's low at 1.3630 to 1.3629 in European morning before staging a minor recovery. However, active cross-selling of euro on risk-aversion in New York session pressured price again and the single currency subseqeuntly weakened to a fresh 1-month low at 1.3582 and price traded near 1.3590 at New York close.

Versus Japanese yen, dollar tumbled from 104.87 to as low as 104.08 in Asian trading due to a 2% decline in the Nikkei futures. Later, dollar recovered to 104.54 in Europe as Nikkei futures turned positive. The greenback later pared all its intra-day loss in New York session and climbed to 104.89 near New York close.

Although cable found support at 1.6422 in Asian trading and then rebounded to 1.6474 in European morning after mixed U.K. economic reports, renewed cross-selling of sterling pressured price lower ahead of New York open and pound later fell further to 1.6395 in New York morning.

The Market U.K. construction PMI for December came in at 62.1 versus forecast of 62.0 but down from November's reading of 62.6. A separate report showed that the number of new home loans approved in the U.K. reached the highest monthly total in November in more than five years to 70,758, while the amount of mortgage lending in money terms declined from previous month's 1.22 billion pounds to 0.91 billion pounds (lowest since May).

In other news, Fed's Plosser says 'despite cut to bond-buying, Fed balance sheet still growing "at fairly rapid clip"; need to return balance sheet to predominantly all treasuries portfolio; concerned more with too-high inflation than too-low given $ 2.4 trillion in excess bank reserves; warns interest rates could rise "fairly quickly" if banks quickly release reserves; very hard to know accumulated distortions of ultra low rates for up to 6 years.'

Data to be released next week :

China HSBC services PMI, Germany export, import, trade balance, service PMI, CPI, HICP, Italy service PMI, EU Sentix investors’ confidence, France service PMI, U.K. service PMI, U.S. durable goods, factory orders, ISM non-manufacturing index, Canada PPI, CPI on Monday.

Australia trade balance, France consumer confidence, Germany unemployment change, unemployment rate, EU PPI, CPI, U.S. trade balance, Redbook retail sales, Canada trade balance, import, export, Ivery PMI on Tuesday.

U.K. BRC retails sales, Germany trade balance, export, import, CPI, current account, Italy unemployment rate, EU retail sales, unemployment rate, Germany factory orders, U.S. ADP unemployment change on Wednesday.

Australia retail sales, building approvals, France trade balance, U.K. trade balance, industrial production, BOE rate decision, EU business climate, economic sentiment, consumer confidence, ECB rate decision, Canada housing starts, building permit, new housing price index, U.S. jobless claim on Thursday.

Japan leading indicators, U.K. RBC retail sales, industrial production, manufacturing production, France industrial production, manufacturing production, Swiss unemployment rate, CPI, Canada unemployment rate, U.S. non-farm payrolls, private payrolls, unemployment rate, average hourly earning, wholesale inventories, wholesale sales on Friday.

GVI Forex 01:50 GMT January 6, 2014
China Services PMI
Reply   
CHINA HSBC DEC SERVICE PMI 50.9 VS 52.5 NOV

tokyo ginko 01:48 GMT January 6, 2014
USD/JPY 110

dlr/yen heads for 10355/60 is a good entry point for NK..good trade! beer money on the way...

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 01:12 GMT January 6, 2014
USDJPY
Reply   
If you are looking for a reason why USDJPY is lower

Nikkei currently -2.0%

dc CB 00:18 GMT January 6, 2014
Fun with Covers

I think what we have got going on here in housing is we have got an investment cycle, not an economically-driven housing cycle, from the standpoint that really, never before have 40 to 50% of all residential real estate transactions been for cash.

We have never seen that in prior cycles, absolutely not.
~ Brian Pretti

interview w/youtube link.

Brian Pretti: The World's Capital Is Now Dangerously Boxed In

Mtl JP 00:11 GMT January 6, 2014
Service PMIs are due on Monday. Active calendar this week

Flaherty says Canada will face pressure to raise interest rates - globeandmail

Finance Minister Jim Flaherty says Canada will be under pressure to raise interest rates in 2014, something Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz has signaled won’t happen soon.

In an interview with CTV aired Sunday, Mr. Flaherty said clawed-back stimulus spending by United States’ Federal Reserve will, along with calls by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and International Monetary Fund (IMF), leave Canada under pressure to raise its rates. .../..

 




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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
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AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
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A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
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