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Forex Forum Archive for 01/14/2014

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Brock Thor 23:38 GMT January 14, 2014
GBP/JPY

Closed long GBP/JPY - 200 SMA on 1 hour is now apparently resistance. 210.3 pips.

Brock Thor 23:12 GMT January 14, 2014
Yen

kw

Usd/Jpy 1 hour price ready to slip through 200SMA.
Would be nice to see that 200 act as support.
Similar to last Jan 8 - 9 1/2.
But-
Reuters-"Usd/Jpy - Overbought hourly studies to
cap early".
-----------------------
About the Eur /Jpy Reuters-" Overbought hourly momentum....look for short term plays."

I'm lookin to see if price bounces off a 21EMA then I might
buy some short moves .

GVI Forex john 22:05 GMT January 14, 2014
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data



January 14, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, January 15. Updated: Trading Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT RELEASES: UUS- PPI, Empire PMI, Beige Book

  • Far East: No Major Data.
  • Europe: No Major Data.
  • North America: US- PPI, Empire PMI, Weekly crude, Beige Book.


ed kw 21:52 GMT January 14, 2014
Yen
Reply   
xaujpy drifting up poss feather yen weakness tonight

Brock Thor 21:50 GMT January 14, 2014
GBP/JPY

GBP/JPY
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 17:42 GMT 01/14/2014 - My Profile
Zeus, I do not want to stroke your ego but great trade, well timed and presented and better yet without the cheerleading and bravado. Well done.
``````````````````````````````````````
--- I'll do it ,hope you don't mind.
Zeus, " ...another day in the office...".
Fantastic call !
I traded it down to 170 from about 171.35.Worked out great.
Zeus call to buy far BETTER.
I'm + 216.1 pips
Drilled right through that 200 SMA.
Gonna TP at 171.70. Stop moved to 170.95
I just saluted my Zeus poster CB supplied. HA!
John, Jay ...Global -View best traders site on the Web. Thanks to you too.

GVI Forex john 21:36 GMT January 14, 2014
API Energy
Reply   



ALERT
(Estimates and Previous data for EIA Survey)
Crude Oil: -4.100 vs. -1.000 exp vs. -2.800 prev.
Gasoline: +5.400 vs. +2.500 exp vs. +6.200 prev.
Distillates:-1.700 vs. -1.000 exp vs. +5.830 prev.
Cap/Util: vs. n/a exp vs. 92.3% prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

UK JB 20:48 GMT January 14, 2014
Eur/cad
Reply   
Sell Eur/Cad here at1.4972. S/l 1.5078. Tar 1.4568

Very overbought across all time frames . Negative data last week for cad all priced in IMHO good trades

GVI Forex john 20:43 GMT January 14, 2014
Chart Points -- Daily Trading Points
Reply   

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

GVI Forex john 20:27 GMT January 14, 2014
Chart Points -- Trading Points
Reply   
Pre-Closing Trading Points...
many more chart points
About Moving Averages
About Bollinger Bands


USA ZEUS 20:20 GMT January 14, 2014
GBP/JPY

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 17:42 GMT 01/14/2014

Thanks friend. Just another day in the office.
Cheers!

KL KL 20:16 GMT January 14, 2014
SELL - BUY

Happy to get out of USD CAD short ...chased it to 1.0957....avg 1.09535...out the 5/6 1.09489....

Long gold triggered...back to gold forum>>>...LOL....

......wait to long gold near 1242 and short it 1255......play it till the music stop...DYOR..>DFM...IMVHO and LOL....gl gt

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 19:30 GMT January 14, 2014
AUD and NZD
Reply   
Sentiment improved following strong US data, merger activity and company earnings also contributing. US interest rates rose, as did US equities

NZ Morning Thoughts - FX & IR

dc CB 19:01 GMT January 14, 2014
Fed Speak Today
Reply   
Today, I want to muse aloud about whether QE has indeed put beer goggles on investors and whether we, the Fed, can pass the camel of massive quantitative easing through the eye of the needle of normalizing monetary policy without creating havoc.

Beer Goggles, Monetary Camels, the Eye of the Needle and the First Law of Holes

KL KL 18:31 GMT January 14, 2014
SELL - BUY

top of the morning....

out another 1/5 Audusd short .89726.....

And Short Relentless USD CAD....1.0944........wait to long gold near 1242 and short it 1255......play it till the music stop...DYOR..>DFM...IMVHO and LOL....gl gt


Also Short relentless AUDUSD .9066...

out 3/5 .90312....... la la la

Belgrade TD 17:47 GMT January 14, 2014
Daily TA trade

Sell AUDUSD
Entry: ~0.898 Target: NA Stop: >0.905

Short ...

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 17:42 GMT January 14, 2014
GBP/JPY

Zeus, I do not want to stroke your ego but great trade, well timed and presented and better yet without the cheerleading and bravado. Well done.

Belgrade TD 17:42 GMT January 14, 2014
Daily TA trade

Belgrade TD 14:06 GMT December 20, 2013
Entry: ~0.816 Target: NA Stop: <0.81 ... Long NZD/USD - longer term
///
3:15 GMT January 3, 2014 ... 1/4 out ~ 0.829 ... reducing risk
///
another 1/4 out ~ 0,836 ... for rest (2/4) stop ~0,83
///
out rest ~0.839 ...

USA ZEUS 17:23 GMT January 14, 2014
GBP/JPY

GBP/JPY- Closed another 1/4 at 170.88 from 168.39

USA ZEUS 16:52 GMT January 14, 2014
GBP/JPY

London M 16:00 GMT 01/14/2014
Thank you! Moved stops to B/E for the remaining.
GLGT!

GVI Forex john 16:24 GMT January 14, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot

Late in European trade, prices in prime fixed income markets have turned mixed. U.S. Retail Sales figures out early were mixed.. European and U.S. equities are mostly higher. The peripheral European bond prices are mostly up.


GVI Forex john 16:03 GMT January 14, 2014
U.S. Retail Sale & Import Prices



U.S. Advance Retail Sales. Data better than expected, but earlier data revised down.

London M 16:00 GMT January 14, 2014
GBP/JPY

Excellent entry and exit!

USA ZEUS 15:57 GMT January 14, 2014
GBP/JPY

GBP/JPY Awesome! Closed 1/2 longs at 170.52 from an Fantastic entry of 168.39 as posted when it happened.
Cheers!

GVI Forex john 15:47 GMT January 14, 2014
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data
Reply   


January 14, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, January 15. Updated: Trading Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT RELEASES: UUS- PPI, Empire PMI, Beige Book

  • Far East: No Major Data.
  • Europe: No Major Data.
  • North America: US- PPI, Empire PMI, Weekly crude, Beige Book.


GVI Forex john 15:01 GMT January 14, 2014
U.S. Business Inventories
Reply   



ALERT
NOVEMBER 2013 U.S. Business Inventories +0.40% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +0.70% (r +0.80%) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:53 GMT January 14, 2014
USD/CHF bullish? Not so nice for the Euro too.

This was an earlier post on GVIForex

Looking a little at $/CHF. As long as no daily close below .8980 think we could be prepped for a move to first .9100 ish, then .9250 area, then .9450. Problem is it could take all year at this rate.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:20 GMT January 14, 2014
Tuesday's Trading Outlook
Reply   
If you want access to my daily market videos send me an EMAIL (as posted earlier on GVIForex)



Daily Video Market Update

Mind the gap!

GVI Forex john 13:35 GMT January 14, 2014
U.S. Retail Sale & Import Prices

Note all the previous retail sales data were revised down

GVI Forex john 13:34 GMT January 14, 2014
U.S. Retail Sale & Import Prices




ALERT
DECEMBER 2013 U.S. Retail Sales
Headline: +0.20% vs. +0.10% exp. vs. +0.70% (+0.40%)prev.
Ex-Autos: +0.70% vs. +0.40% exp. vs. +0.40%(r +0.10%) prev.
Ex-Autos and Gas: +0.60% vs. +0.70% exp. vs. +0.60% (r +0.30%) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex john 13:31 GMT January 14, 2014
U.S. Retail Sale & Import Prices




ALERT
December 2013 U.S. Import Prices
0.0% vs. -0.30% exp. vs. -0.60% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex john 13:08 GMT January 14, 2014
U.S. Retail Sale & Import Prices
Reply   

HEADS-UP: Data (forum top)
EURUSD= 1.3672
GBPUSD= 1.6440
USDJPY= 103.59
USDCAD= 1.0885

US 10-yr= 2.85%
DE 10-yr= 1.81%
UK 10-yr= 2.82%
(Manually refresh forum to update Calendar)

Direct links to primary data sources

Mtl JP 12:16 GMT January 14, 2014
#Your Best Trade for Today

then lets see how healthy the consumer's optimism was:
US Retail Sls Dec 0.10% 0.40%
US R/S x-auto 0.40% 0.40%

particularly x-auto

GVI Forex john 12:12 GMT January 14, 2014
#Your Best Trade for Today

Correlation trades are complex. U.S. stocks are highly correlated with the USDJPY. The Nikkei is highly correlated with the S&P. So it depends on your perspective.

Traditionally Bonds are seen as the alternative to stocks, so when stock prices fall people would buy bonds.

bottom-line, in the world of algos, everything is correlated. What drives what is a philosophical chicken and egg question.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:06 GMT January 14, 2014
Call to action
Reply   
jay meisler

See my video

See this video I produced. it is a

Call to action

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:04 GMT January 14, 2014
#Your Best Trade for Today

Stocks are important correlation for the JPY. Bonds are most important for the USD IMHO

Question: Do bonds lead stocks or vice veesa?

Syd Sf 12:00 GMT January 14, 2014
#Your Best Trade for Today

That's the ? .. Does fx revert to stocks .. Or do stocks revert to FX.

Mtl JP 11:56 GMT January 14, 2014
#Your Best Trade for Today

what is your opion about intra-markets cross-influence ?
DJIA is off nearly 2% ytd already and poised for more brutality

GVI Forex john 11:26 GMT January 14, 2014
#Your Best Trade for Today
Reply   
My Personal observations #Trading Discussion

Looking at the majors (EUR, CHF, GBP, JPY), we are not seeing much momentum in their USD relationships (spot vs 20-day avg) except vs, the JPY. As of a week ago, the markets were heavily overbought the USDJPY. (see COT chart at the top of the page under "charts"), a break of USDJPY spot below the 20-day average triggered a heavy bout of USDJPY selling. There is no force stronger or more immediate in trading markets than stops.

It would take a new recent low (<102.83) to trigger a fresh round of heavy USDJPY selling.

EUR crosses reflect pretty much the same patterns as the USD, with EURJPY the outlier.

More on the commodity currencies (AUD, CAD, NZD), which are moving in future posts.

Any thoughts on the next focus of trade? A variety of trading ideas helps us all.

GVI Forex 11:18 GMT January 14, 2014
Global Markets News
Reply   
USD softened in the session after Goldman Chief Economist stated that any potential Fed rate hike was seen only after 2016 period but off its worst levels ahead of the NY morning

TradeTheNews.com EU Market Update: UK CPI moves back to BOE target for first time since Nov 2009

bali sja 10:36 GMT January 14, 2014
EUR/USD

right, so 1.35 done and next we will see 1.40-1.42 once stops above 1.37 triggered

Brock Thor 10:27 GMT January 14, 2014
AUD/USD short

Took profit 16.7 pips.
My feel some consolidation here for a little while.
4 hour ain't doing what I like to see.

Brock Thor 10:22 GMT January 14, 2014
GBP/JPY

Gbp/Jpy stop loss moved to 169.478.

GVI Forex Blog 10:14 GMT January 14, 2014 Reply   
HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: US- Import Prices, Retail Sales, API

U.K. inflation data saw the headline index finally fall back into line with the BOE target. This takes some policy tightening pressure off the BOE. See the FOREX FORUM for latest key data and charts as they are released.

U.K. inflation pressures easing. JPY eases vs. the majors

GVI Forex john 10:01 GMT January 14, 2014
Eurozone Industrial Production
Reply   




ALERT
EZ Industrial Production
mm: +1.80% vs. 1.40% exp. vs. -1.10% (r -0.80%)prev.
yy: +3.0% % vs. +1.60% exp. vs. +0.20% (r +0.50%) prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex john 09:58 GMT January 14, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot
Reply   
Early in European trading hours, prices in prime fixed income markets are mixed as the JPY gives up some of Monday's gains. The peripheral European bond prices are mixed to hifger. Far East shatres ended mostly lowet. European Equity markets are down.

GVI Forex john 09:45 GMT January 14, 2014
U.K. Inflation



U.K. CPI & RPIX data mixed,Y/y CPI at a new recent low. GBP falls as CPI eases back to BOE target level.

GVI Forex john 09:34 GMT January 14, 2014
U.K. Inflation
Reply   




-- ALERT --

DECEMBER 2013 UK CPI/RPIX
CPI mm:+0.40% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. +0.10% prev.
CPI: +2.00%: vs. +2.10% exp. vs. +2.10% prev.

RPIX yy: +2.80% vs. +2.80% exp. vs. +2.70% prev.

UK Core Output PPI
yy:+1.0% vs. 0.90% exp. vs. +0.70% prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

Amman wfakhoury 09:17 GMT January 14, 2014
Wfakhoury
Reply   
Syd Sf 08:47 GMT 01/14/2014
Eur yen ... 142.20 target ?
-------------------------
if 1hr closed above 141.77 then 142.60 is coming.
having in mind 14077 should be reached again.

Syd Sf 08:58 GMT January 14, 2014
EUR/USD

The ecb guy said something like I don't see deflation nor inflation .. Which is a step back from earlier .. So your probably spot on .. Some stops to take out if the market can get one more piece of news to help it.

USA ZEUS 08:52 GMT January 14, 2014
EUR/USD
Reply   
All shorts in EUR/USD from the first week of trading in 2014 are now underwater. So many stops above 1.37...This is going to get interesting!

Cheers!

USA ZEUS 08:50 GMT January 14, 2014
GBP/JPY

Brock Thor 00:46 GMT 01/14/2014

Excellent work friend. Best trades to you!

Syd Sf 08:47 GMT January 14, 2014
Wkafhaury
Reply   
Eur yen ... 142.20 target ?

GVI Forex Blog 05:45 GMT January 14, 2014 Reply   
(JP) JAPAN NOV CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE: -¥592.8B V -¥368.9BE; ADJ CURRENT ACCOUNT: -¥46.6B (third consecutive deficit) V ¥27.9BE; TRADE BALANCE BOP BASIS: -¥1.25T V -¥1.23TE - (JP) JAPAN DEC BANKRUPTC

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: Equities slide as investors question the strength of recovery - Source TradeTheNews.com

ottawa ottawa 04:31 GMT January 14, 2014
AceTrader Jan 14: Yen gains broadly on risk aversion

AUD has a brick wall around 0.9091, I believe that it has run it's course for the month...

GVI Forex Blog 03:31 GMT January 14, 2014 Reply   
Dow (16257.94, -1.09%) extended the correction to 16240, breaking the Flag pattern on the

Morning Briefing : 14-Jan-2014 -0329 GMT

Syd Sf 03:31 GMT January 14, 2014
AceTrader Jan 14: Yen gains broadly on risk aversion

I think Aud is kind of important as a gauge at the moment.

If it closes 9055 or higher then most likely eurusd will end up higher later on short covering as well.

Don't have many other thoughts to be honest.

Hong Kong AceTrader 01:45 GMT January 14, 2014
AceTrader Jan 14: Yen gains broadly on risk aversion
Reply   
Market Review - 13/01/2014 21:48GMT
Yen gains broadly on risk aversion

The dollar dropped below the 103 level to a three-week low of 102.85 against the yen on Monday, driven lower by expectations that Friday’s surprisingly weak U.S. jobs report for December will prompt the Federal Reserve to maintain loose monetary policy for longer and U.S. treasury yields will cotninue to fall.

Versus the Japanese yen, dollar fell after meeting renewed selling at 104.14 in Australia and tanked below last Friday's low of 103.83 to 103.26 in Asia. Later, despite a recovery to 103.57 in European trading, active cross-buying of yen pressured the dollar again in New York morning and price dropped further to a fresh 3-week low of 102.97 before stabilizing.

The single currency ratcheted lower after failure to penetrate last Friday's high of 1.3688 in Asia and price retreated from 1.3685 to 1.3638 ahead of New York open before recovering. Price later climbed back to 1.3661 in New York morning in part due to active buying in eur/gbp cross and then traded sideways for rest of the session. Euro's losses versus dollar were limited amid that Fed will adopt a more cautious approach to scaling back its stimulus program, after cutting it by USD 10 billion in December.

The British pound tumbled versus the dollar on Monday, despite a recovery to 1.6508 in Asia, active cross-selling of sterling versus yen and euro pressured price sharply lower to 1.6422 in European morning. Cable later climbed back to 1.6466 but another round of selling sent price further lower to 1.6347 in New York morning before stabilizing.

On the data front, Italian industrial output rose for a third consecutive moth in November, up 0.3% from a month earlier.

In other news, Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart told reporters that "The Federal Reserve should clarify its future plans for raising interest rates now that U.S. unemployment has dropped to 6.7 percent, close to the central bank's stated threshold of 6.5 percent for considering tighter policy."

Data to be released on Tuesday:

Japan current account balance, Economic watch DI, France current account, CPI, HICP, Italy CPI, HICP, U.K. PPI, CPI, RPI, ONS house price, EU industrial production, U.S. retail sales, import price index, export price index, Redbook retail sales and business inventories.

Brock Thor 01:12 GMT January 14, 2014
AUD/USD short
Reply   
Shorted to .89886 or more.

Brock Thor 00:46 GMT January 14, 2014
GBP/JPY

Zeus
Got ya.
Yesterday shorted to 170.0
Went oversold.
Long now small amount.
Will add at 168.ish
Not a big candle stick pattern follower but Jan 6/7.
Similar price action.
When/if it crosses my 21EMA I'll add , like to see price dance on the 21.
Close it at a cross.

KL KL 00:43 GMT January 14, 2014
SELL - BUY
Reply   
Also Short relentless AUDUSD .9066...

out 3/5 .90312....... la la la

tokyo ginko 00:13 GMT January 14, 2014
#Your Best Trade for Today

add nikkei @ 15500 for target 16220-16250 target

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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