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Forex Forum Archive for 01/19/2014

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Syd Sf 23:33 GMT January 19, 2014

Yup .. I know it's a holiday .. But just putting out there what I was thinking for the week.

Syd Sf 23:31 GMT January 19, 2014
Sometimes I love NY Post

That's the story people are running with .. I haven't looked at history myself but many analysts say the same thing .. It's been shown that early in rate rising cycles people pour money into stocks from bonds .. Assuming that's true then you can see why people have some comfort this year.

As I mentioned the other day .. The nikkei is preferred this year .. And I have the same feeling .. For their whole policy to be successful .. $yen has to hit 110/115 and the stock market has to reach like 18,000+.

The thing with the japanese is that they never give up so despite short term fluctuations the trend is in until some change in policy comes along.

Also if there is one CB in the world that actually has some real influence it's the BOJ .. These guys have been dealing in the markets for a long time .. Overtly and covertly to try to achieve the aims.

Abe actually on tv now .. Promising to renew economic prosperity to his party over the weekend. (File footage)

tokyo ginko 23:31 GMT January 19, 2014

good morning,

will be a rangy quiet day, as NY is close.

Syd Sf 23:22 GMT January 19, 2014
Good morning.

Bought gbpyen and left some bids 80/10 to buy some more target 172.25 173 175

$yen probably buy some on the day .. But as yet haven't dealt.

Gbp left bids 80/00 target 1.6500

Aud has china numbers today .. Market is expecting bad numbers .. I have no idea or view on it.

I expect other censored corps to follow satori and start buying usd .. These guys never do things on their own.

Eurusd yeah looks offered .. Looks like it should go down but as more euro bonds come out probably just makes it choppy and not for me .. Lol.

GVI Forex john 21:00 GMT January 19, 2014
#Your Best Trade for Today

#tradingIdeas I like to highlight the #USDJPY chart because of the heavily unbalanced (long USDJPY) positions. Although the USDJPY uptrend is strong we continue to flirt with stop-loss levels close to spot. I don't see a decisive "strong side" of the market as long as we are trading below the 20-day average.

Your thoughts encouraged!

GVI Forex john 20:33 GMT January 19, 2014
#Your Best Trade for Today
#trading Ideas The COT report on #EURUSD was pretty much as we would have expected with the penetration of the 20-day moving average by the spot seeing a further reduction in EURUSD longs. Further price movement in that direction in the subsequent three trading days, including the penetration of the 1.3550 (1.3548) support line, undoubtedly has seen a further reduction of net longs. It might be the market is now net short EURUSD.

From a trading perspective, the "strong side" of EURUSD trade is now the short one. One point, in my experience it rarely pays to chases the market.

Your thoughts would be greatly appreciated...

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 17:48 GMT January 19, 2014
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GVI Forex Blog 17:28 GMT January 19, 2014
U.S. Martin Luther King Holiday Monday. U.S. economy mixed?

U.S. data recently has been sending mixed signals. Key housing and the University of Michigan survey data seem to be indicating that the real-time economy might be flattening out while other recently-released data have been suggesting the economy continues to recover.

U.S. Martin Luther King Holiday Monday. U.S. economy mixed?

Hong Kong Qindex 16:11 GMT January 19, 2014
EUR/CHF : Critical Point 1.2366
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/CHF : Critical Point 1.2366

The weekly cycle pivot centres are located at 1.2334 - 1.2337 - 1.2341. The market is under pressure when it is rejected from the critical point at 1.2366.

EUR/CHF : Monthly Cycle Charts

Hong Kong Qindex 16:09 GMT January 19, 2014
EUR/GBP : Critical Point 1.2366
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/GBP : Critical Point 1.2366

The weekly cycle pivot centres are located at 1.2334 - 1.2337 -1 1.2341. The market is under pressure when it is rejected from the critical point at 1.2366.

EUR/GBP : Monthly Cycle Charts

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 16:00 GMT January 19, 2014
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I came across this article and it is worth reading if you want to prevent strangers from contacting you by email.

5 Google Opt-Out Settings to Check

Hong Kong Qindex 15:53 GMT January 19, 2014
EUR/GBP : Critical Level 0.8179
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/GBP : Critical Level 0.8179

The weekly cycle pivot centres are located at 0.8202 - 0.8268 - 0.8286. EUR/GBP is under pressure if the market downward trending momentum is strong enough to penetrate through the critical point at 0.8179

EUR/GBP : Monthly Cycle Charts

Hong Kong Qindex 15:32 GMT January 19, 2014
EUR/JPY : Critical Point 140.335
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/JPY : Critical Point 140.335

The weekly cycle pivot centres are located at 138.210 - 139.858 - 141.294. EUR/JPY is under pressure when it is trading below the critical level at 140.335 - 140.538.

EUR/JPY : Monthly Cycle Charts

GVI Forex john 14:12 GMT January 19, 2014
Chart Points -- Trading Points
more chart points About Pivot Points

Mtl JP 14:08 GMT January 19, 2014

PAR ... IMF's Lagarde: Don't See Massive Consequences From Fed Taper - MNI
The printers at Central Banks - and the geniuses at the FED in particular - have been able to :
- do approximately nothing about the real economy
- do wonders in financial sector of the economy

The excess between what credit the real economy needs and what is pumped is what has driven up asset prices. See pic.

PAR 12:38 GMT January 19, 2014
In Mr. LeBaron’s view, the easy-money policies of central banks, including the Fed, have created what he calls “administrative markets”–in which prices are set at least partly by government policy rather than by market forces.

But, he worries, that can’t last forever. “In complex systems, the dynamics are predictable but the timing isn’t,” he says. “It’s like adding a grain of sand one at a time to a pile: You can’t tell when it will collapse, but you know it will.”

Mr. LeBaron, who invests only his own money nowadays, has no exposure to the U.S. stock market; the only bonds he owns are inflation-protected U.S. Treasurys.

Hong Kong Qindex 09:53 GMT January 19, 2014
EUR/CAD : Critical Point 1.4777
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/CAD : Critical Point 1.4777

The market is positive when it is trading above the weekly cycle pivot centres at 1.4801 - 1.4825 - 1.4826. As shown in the monthly cycle projected series the market is trading in the extreme upper ends (1.4695* - 1.4838 ... 1.4981* - 1.5124 - 1.5267* - 1.5410 - 1.5552* ...).

EUR/CAD : Monthly Cycle Charts

Hong Kong Qindex 09:07 GMT January 19, 2014
EUR/AUD : Critical Level 1.5259
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/AUD : Critical Level 1.5259

The market is stable when it is above the critical point at 1.5259. The weekly cycle pivot centres are located at 1.5168 - 1.5300 - 1.5494.

EUR/AUD : Monthly Cycle Charts


Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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