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Forex Forum Archive for 01/30/2014

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GVI Forex 23:37 GMT January 30, 2014
Japan
Reply   
JAPAN 2013 AVERAGE CPI +0.4%, 1ST RISE IN 5 YEARS; 2012 -0.1%

JAPAN DEC CORE CPI +1.3% Y/Y; MNI MEDIAN FORECAST +1.2%

JAPAN DEC JOBLESS RATE 3.7%; NOV 4.0%; MNI MEDIAN 3.9%

JAPAN DEC EMPLOYMENT +910,000 Y/Y VS NOV +740,000

JAPAN DEC EMPLOYMENT POSTS 12TH STRAIGHT Y/Y RISE

dc CB 23:05 GMT January 30, 2014
Pending Homes Sales

ahh too late
it's been corrected.

hope some of you got it for your scrapbook...The New Guilded Age

GVI Forex john 22:46 GMT January 30, 2014
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data



January 30, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, January 31. Updated: Trading Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT RELEASES: CN- Lunar New Year, JP- CPI, Industrial Output, DE- Retail Sales, EZ- HICP (CPI), Unemployment, CA- GDP, US- Personal Income PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI, University of Michigan Sentiment

  • Far East: CN- Lunar New Year, JP- CPI, Industrial Output
  • Europe: DE- Retail Sales, EZ- HICP (CPI), Unemployment
  • North America: CA- GDP, US- Personal Income PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI, University of Michigan Sentiment, COT Report.


dc CB 22:44 GMT January 30, 2014
Pending Homes Sales

I think the NYTimes will go back an correct that headline. But as for now that's what they've got as the Head and the lead tease tag as of 5:26PM

story reads $14.7 MILLION

dc CB 22:36 GMT January 30, 2014
Pending Homes Sales

the buyers are those with cash...be it funds or private individuals. As long as Janet continues with "free Money" and Zirp, cash stock gains will turn into cash which will buy an upgrade or new house. The rest will rent.

PS; there's a "move up" house in the Hamptons and a NY apartment that just went on the market.
got the Cash?

Goldman Awards Blankfein $14.7 Billion in Stock Bonus

Mtl JP 22:07 GMT January 30, 2014
Pending Homes Sales

dc CB 20:54 - any tots what Janet is gonna do about the vacillating would-be buyers ?

dc CB 20:54 GMT January 30, 2014
Pending Homes Sales

This morning's utter collapse in pending home sales - a 6-sigma miss by 'economists' unaware that it was cold in December - has been ushered away on the back of "weather" reasoning. However, a glance at the chart below confirms this is total censored. As Goldman Sachs admits "broad-based declines by region suggest that colder-than-average weather was likely not the primary driver."

So, if it wasn't the weather... could it be that fast-money has left the bubble and what is left of the real-money mortgage-paying homebuyers are all that remains?

No, The Plunge In Home Sales Was "Not" Due To Cold Weather

GVI Forex john 20:50 GMT January 30, 2014
Chart Points - Free FX Database
Reply   

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

GVI Forex john 20:20 GMT January 30, 2014
Chart Points -- Trading Points
Reply   
Pre-Closing Trading Points...
many more chart points
About Moving Averages
About Bollinger Bands


GVI Forex Blog 20:08 GMT January 30, 2014
Better German unemployment data. U.S. data mixed. Lunar New Year starts Friday
Reply   
HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: CN- Lunar New Year, JP- CPI, Industrial Output, DE- Retail Sales, EZ- HICP (CPI), Unemployment, CA- GDP, US- Personal Income PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI, University of Michigan Sentiment

Data Thursday from the U.S. were mixed, GDP were in line, but Weekly Jobless Claims and Pending Homes sales were adversely impacted by the weather.

Better German unemployment data. U.S. data mixed. Lunar New Year starts Friday

dc CB 19:50 GMT January 30, 2014
Fed Policy Decision

no commnt

Snowy owl hit by bus in downtown D.C.

GVI Foirex GVI Forex Blog 19:25 GMT January 30, 2014
AUD and NZD
Reply   
Sentiment rebounded last night, many emerging market currencies outperforming the majors. US economic data was a mixed bag

NZ Morning Thoughts - FX & IR

GVI Forex 18:05 GMT January 30, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot

7-yr 2.190%
bib to cover 2.65 vs. 2.45
better than 5-yr auction earlier

dc CB 17:02 GMT January 30, 2014
Fed Policy Decision

dc CB 21:28 GMT January 29, 2014
Fed Policy Decision: Reply

next trend????

pretty sure it won't be an End-O-Month Window Dressing Ramp, followed by OPM first of the month Oh How Will I "Invest" all this new cash.


WRONG LOL

GVI Forex 16:59 GMT January 30, 2014
Global Markets News
Reply   
The decent Q4 US GDP data has provided limited relief for some asset classes and helped US indices make up yesterday's dreadful losses

TradeTheNews.com US Market Update: Decent Q4 US GDP Data Aids Equities

GVI Forex john 16:38 GMT January 30, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot

5-yr auction 1.572%
bid to cover 2.59 vs. 2.42
soft auction 7-yr later today.

dc CB 16:35 GMT January 30, 2014
Pending Homes Sales

“Investors have not lost interest in purchasing and flipping homes. In fact, now that we are seeing home price appreciation they are more interested than ever,” said Sheldon Detrick, CEO of Prudential Detrick/Alliance Realty, covering the Oklahoma City and Tulsa, Okla., markets. “The challenge for many would-be flippers in our markets is a shortage of available inventory to flip,.....

“February and March can be a great time to buy a fix and flip home to realize the spike in homes values that usually occurs during the spring and early summer buying season,

Housing Bubble 2.0: "More Flipping, Bigger Profits, In Less Time" With 156,862 Homes Flipped In 2013

GVI Forex john 16:34 GMT January 30, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot

Late in European trade, prices in prime fixed income markets are now mixed. Equity indices have mostly turned higher after earlierweaness. The peripheral European bond prices are imporoving.


GVI Forex Jay Meisler 16:13 GMT January 30, 2014
Monday Effect
Reply   
For those who did not get my email last week where I offered details on the Monday Effect you missed out as it worked again this week like a charm

To get details on this trading pattern, send me an EMAIL

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 16:01 GMT January 30, 2014
Thursday's Trading Outlook
Reply   
I posted this on GVIForex earlier and if you would like access to my Forex Trading Outlook videos on a regular basis, send me an EMAIL



Daily Video Market Update

EURUSD 1.3582 is a key support, 1.3600 sets the tone, monthly trend noted. Note a Monday Effect week.

dc CB 16:01 GMT January 30, 2014
Pending Homes Sales

"data much weaker than expected. Weather blamed."

not just home sales, but all poor US stats for the next 3 months, will be blamed on the weather. Feb forecasts are for snow snow snow, March for unusally severe weather, read tornados, as spring battles winter.

GVI Forex Blog 15:59 GMT January 30, 2014 Reply   
January 30, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, January 31. Updated: Trading Events Calendar HIGH IMPACT RELEASES: CN- Lunar New Year, JP- CPI, Industrial Output, DE- Retail Sales, EZ- HICP (CPI), Unemployment, CA- GDP, US- Personal Income PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI, University of Michigan Sentiment

GVI Forex Data Outlook for January 30, 2014

GVI Forex john 15:54 GMT January 30, 2014
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data
Reply   


January 30, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, January 31. Updated: Trading Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT RELEASES: CN- Lunar New Year, JP- CPI, Industrial Output, DE- Retail Sales, EZ- HICP (CPI), Unemployment, CA- GDP, US- Personal Income PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI, University of Michigan Sentiment

  • Far East: CN- Lunar New Year, JP- CPI, Industrial Output
  • Europe: DE- Retail Sales, EZ- HICP (CPI), Unemployment
  • North America: CA- GDP, US- Personal Income PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI, University of Michigan Sentiment, COT Report.


Amman wfakhoury 15:42 GMT January 30, 2014
EURUSD 13536 confirmed
Reply   
13536 confirmed and will be reached ..unless 1 hr bar closed above 13580.




Hong Kong Qindex 15:38 GMT January 30, 2014
EUR/AUD : Critical Level 1.5788

Buy EURAUD
Entry: Target: Stop:





EUR/AUD : The monthly cycle directional indicator shows that the market is trapped within 1.5429 - 1.5808. The monthly cycle charts indicate that 1.5429 - 1.5454 is a supporting barrier. EUR/AUD has good potential (over 70% chance) to tackle the extreme range at 1.5842 - 1.6229 within the first quarter.


Qindex.com


=============================================

EUR/AUD : The following is still valid.


Melbourne Qindex 06:46 GMT December 17, 2013
EUR/AUD : Critical Level 1.5788 : Reply
EURAUD
Entry: Target: Stop:


EUR/AUD : The monthly cycle directional indicator suggests that the market has potential to trade between 1.5429 - 1.5808. A critical point is positioning at 1.5788. The bias is on the upside when EUR/AUD is above 1.5360 (good for this week).

=============================================


EUR/AUD : Monthly Cycle Charts

Hong Kong Qindex 15:31 GMT January 30, 2014
EUR/USD : Critical Level 1.3866

EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:




EUR/USD : Critical Level 1.3866
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 15:01 GMT 01/30/2014 - My Profile
QIndex, is that a bullish call of 1.3553 holds? Please elaborate.


Hi Jay

I am bias on the upside. Keep an eye on EUR/AUD at the same time.


Qindex.com

Quantum Index Analysis

GVI Forex john 15:30 GMT January 30, 2014
Weekly Natural Gas Inventories Change
Reply   



ALERT
WEEKLY- US Natural Gas (bcf)
-230 vs. -230 exp vs. -287 prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

Saar KaL 15:17 GMT January 30, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

Gold wants 1283 next day IMO

GVI Forex john 15:14 GMT January 30, 2014
Pending Homes Sales



CHART: Pending Homes sales data much weaker than expected. Weather blamed.

Saar KaL 15:08 GMT January 30, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

NDX
Longer term still bullish
I think doing this correction to take out few stops on its way...
Expect it to be volatile this coming week
I am Short now

GVI Forex john 15:01 GMT January 30, 2014
Pending Homes Sales

Blaming weather. fwiw, the weather has been a lot worse in January.

GVI Forex john 15:01 GMT January 30, 2014
Pending Homes Sales




ALERT
December 2013 U.S. Pending Homes Sales
-8.6% vs. -0.10% exp. vs. +0.20% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 15:01 GMT January 30, 2014
EUR/USD : Critical Level 1.3866

QIndex, is that a bullish call of 1.3553 holds? Please elaborate.

Hong Kong Qindex 14:57 GMT January 30, 2014
EUR/USD : Critical Level 1.3866

EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:




EUR/USD : The market is testing the weekly cycle critical barrier at 1.3553 // 1.3573. The monthly cycle critical barrier at 1.3749 // 1.3866 is still acting as a super magnet, pulling the market towards it.


Qindex.com

EUD/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts

GVI Forex john 14:50 GMT January 30, 2014
Pending Homes Sales
Reply   
Watching to see what this report implies for the next set of Existing Homes sales which have been soft recently.

GVI Forex Blog 14:43 GMT January 30, 2014
The USDJPY to S&P Correlation Trade
Reply   
One hears a lot about how equity traders feel the value of the USDJPY determines the value of stocks. This is a correlation worth watching because we feel the causation tends to work in both directions.

The USDJPY to S&P Correlation Trade

Saar KaL 14:42 GMT January 30, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

Thanks Syd

Menu today
Short AUDNZD
Short NDX
Longs Gold and silver

London Misha 14:29 GMT January 30, 2014
Observations
Reply   
EURUSD - 3rd indecisive (now possibly bearish) Doji/Spinning Top on Daily Chart. Market back below key 1.3593 50% Fib.
USDJPY - Key Reversal Down on Daily Chart!
GBPUSD - Indecisive Spinning Top after an indecisive Doji but today breaks through the base of recent Pipe Bottom on Daily Chart.
USDCHF - Insecure Bullish Piercing failed with a Closing Black Marubozo on Daily Chart but no follow through today so far.
EURGBP - Doji (possibly bullish) follows Bullish hammer on Daily Chart.
AUDUSD - Outside Down Day, Bearish Matching & almost a Key Reversal Down. Possible Pipe Top as well, all on Daily Chart!
USDINR - Bullish Hammer after Long Black Marubozo. False break upwards not confirmed as yet but today another possible Long Black Marubozo.
USDZAR - Bearish Engulfing Pattern after Bearish Shooting Star on Daily Chart. Possible Key Reversal Today!
USDBRL - Opening White Marubozo follows Bullish Hanging Man on Daily Chart.


HK [email protected] 14:14 GMT January 30, 2014
NZD AU$ Gold
Reply   


Chinese credit crunch. Sell gold buy AUD and NZD, to visit there the children studying in college, and check the property for leaks and earthquake damages.

nw kw 13:48 GMT January 30, 2014
U.S. GDP and Weekly Jobless Claims

RATS in market its moving 13.21 strong and a bit before

GVI Forex john 13:42 GMT January 30, 2014
U.S. GDP and Weekly Jobless Claims



4Q13 (annualized) Revised GDP as forecast.

GVI Forex john 13:39 GMT January 30, 2014
U.S. GDP and Weekly Jobless Claims

U.S. Weekly jobless claims rising (weather related?)




Click on chart for ten-year history

GVI Forex john 13:32 GMT January 30, 2014
U.S. GDP and Weekly Jobless Claims





ALERT
U.S. Weekly Jobless
Initial Claims (000)
348K vs. 330K exp. vs. 326K (r 329K) prev.
Continued Claims (mln)
2.991 vs. 3.020 exp. vs. 3.056 (r 3.007) prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex john 13:30 GMT January 30, 2014
U.S. GDP and Weekly Jobless Claims




ALERT
U.S. GDP 4Q14 adv
+3.2% vs. +3.30% exp. vs. +4.10% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

jkt abel 13:26 GMT January 30, 2014
euro
Reply   
looks like support too for euro 1.3570 for today at least

Amman wfakhoury 13:24 GMT January 30, 2014
EURJPY 138.80 confirmed
Reply   
139.30 wfakhoury directional level any rise above it will return to it.
138.80 confirmed will be reached.




hk ab 13:22 GMT January 30, 2014
eur
Reply   
hk ab 09:12 GMT January 27, 2014
gold: Reply
light add 1267.

When eur drops below 1.35, many will have the jaw drop.

jkt abel 13:19 GMT January 30, 2014
eurjpy
Reply   
has eurjpy bottomed today? looks like long could be tried with stop below today's low

Amman wfakhoury 13:12 GMT January 30, 2014
EURUSD 13582

13582 is coming
-----------------
welcome 13582 ...it took you long

GVI Forex john 13:10 GMT January 30, 2014
U.S. GDP and Weekly Jobless Claims
Reply   

HEADS-UP: Data (forum top)
EURUSD= 1.3596
GBPUSD= 1.6458
USDJPY= 102.40
USDCAD= 1.1181

US 10-yr= 2.70%
DE 10-yr= 1.62%
UK 10-yr= 2.74%
CA 10-yr= 2.38%
(Manually refresh forum to update Calendar)

Direct links to primary data sources

Mtl JP 12:46 GMT January 30, 2014
#Your Best Trade for Today

problem...

Exclusive: U.S. banking regulator, fearing loan bubble, warns funds - reuters

..."Regulators are eyeing a number of risks to the financial system as they aim to prevent a repeat of the mortgage bubble that spurred the 2008-2009 financial crisis. They are not comfortable with different players sharing risk if the total level of risk in the system is getting dangerously high."...
-
some see problem as opportunity

GVI Forex john 12:35 GMT January 30, 2014
#Your Best Trade for Today
Reply   
#TradeIdeas Momentum in the #EURUSD appears stalled to me as we look to be in a range market. The tone of the pair will be bearish below 1.3600, but a decisive break of 1.3500 is needed to turn the tone negative. GDP data on the open is a report the market always reacts to.

The problem is rising inventories (a negative omen) will boost the headline reading and falling inventories (they will have to be replaced) will depress the report. The swings in inventories are often very large, so you can't trust the report until you look into its details.

Otherwise we all will be watching stocks (and USDJPY) today as indicators of risk-on or Risk-off activity.

GVI Forex 11:40 GMT January 30, 2014
Global Markets News
Reply   
Risk aversion remained the theme following the continued tapering by the Fed and slowdown in Chinese manufacturing demand. Emerging market currencies remained wobbly

TradeTheNews.com EU Market Update: German State CPI data brings deflation concerns back to the front burner

GVI Forex john 11:39 GMT January 30, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot

DJI fut +47
S&P fut +7

10-yr 2.702%

Syd Sf 10:42 GMT January 30, 2014
NZD Next 0.8125, python long squeeze

If there is one currency on the planet I dislike it's the kiwi .. Give me $yen any day.

Syd Sf 10:40 GMT January 30, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

That was good with the euro kal .. Even though it really hasn't gone too far... Still good your trading the right side of it.

HK [email protected] 10:33 GMT January 30, 2014
NZD Next 0.8125, python long squeeze
Reply   
.

Saar KaL 10:07 GMT January 30, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

USDCAD
Longs
1.1353 1.1058
1.1379 1.1084
1.1406 1.1110

even if things want to turn
they still can be volatile
heheh

GVI Forex Blog 10:02 GMT January 30, 2014
Better German unemployment data. Fed announced another USD 10bln taper
Reply   
HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: US- GDP, Weekly Jobless, Pending Home Sales, 5- & 7-yr Auctions

The Fed taper decision yesterday was not a surprise, but. markets longer term are looking at the decision as a possible restraint on economic growth and as disinflationary. In the meantime, short rates are likely to hold around zero.

Better German unemployment data. Fed announced another USD 10bln taper

GVI Forex john 10:00 GMT January 30, 2014
Eurozone Consumer Confidemce
Reply   




ALERT
January 2014 EZ Consumer Confidence Final
-11.7 vs. -11.7 vs. -11.7 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

Saar KaL 09:50 GMT January 30, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

cable 1.6370 wont be easy lower day trade

GVI Forex john 09:42 GMT January 30, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot
Reply   
Early in European trading hours, prices in prime fixed income markets are higher following the Fed taper decision yesterday. Markets longer term are looking at the decision as likely to slow economic growth and as disinflationary. In the meantime, short rates are likely to hold around zero.

The risk off trade continues. Equity markets are broadly lower. Asian markets are preparing for the Lunar New Year which in China starts Friday and lasts for five days.

The peripheral European bond prices are higher on EM credit concerns. Today, the U.S. sees an active calendar.

Saar KaL 09:27 GMT January 30, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

Correction
Min is 1.3583

Saar KaL 09:26 GMT January 30, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

EURUSD
Bulls Intrady
IMO Min is 1.3483

Saar KaL 09:18 GMT January 30, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

AUDUSD
day trade
0.8856 0.8587
Bearish

Saar KaL 09:15 GMT January 30, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

Like cad/JPY
Intraweek and Intraday are almost the same
92.8550 90.5926

Day
92.7988 90.5377

GVI Forex john 09:14 GMT January 30, 2014
China final HSBC PMI
Reply   





Earlier
China final HSBC PMI
HSBC: 49.5 vs. 49.6 exp. vs. 49.6 flash.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

Saar KaL 09:11 GMT January 30, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

Pat
The range is just a week or 2 Band
That way, if you want to day trade it you have small idea on the bigger picture
sort of reduces your risks..you see?

Amman wfakhoury 09:09 GMT January 30, 2014
EURUSD 13582
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 12:51 GMT January 27, 2014
EURUSD 100 pips move: Reply
Amman wfakhoury 08:59 GMT 01/27/2014
mostly it will reach 13706 and goes down.
_________________
as I said price reached 13706 and declined to 13655.
closing this hr bar below 13655 means 100pips movement will continue from 13682.
-------------------
13582 is coming

Saar KaL 09:05 GMT January 30, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

Guys
EURUSD
into next week bearish
1.3681 1.3569 --> General
Intrady
1.3723 1.3610 ---> this is not easy and I am not sure
Might correct IMO

nw kw 09:05 GMT January 30, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

same chart as aud/jpy and cadjpy big weekly pivots from the past 2006 chars at risk

GVI Forex john 09:05 GMT January 30, 2014
German Unemployment



German Unemployment falls (higher is worse). Adjusted unemployment rate better. EURUSD a touch weaker.


Saar KaL 09:00 GMT January 30, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

AUDCAD
I am Bulish into next week
0.9951 0.9648 ..Generally

day trade
0.9895 0.9593 --> Not sure of this


GVI Forex john 08:57 GMT January 30, 2014
German Unemployment

German number of unemployed falls (slightly better data)

GVI Forex john 08:56 GMT January 30, 2014
German Unemployment
Reply   



ALERT
January 2014 German Unemployment
rate:6.80% vs. 6.90% exp. vs. 6.90% prev.
change: -29K vs. -5k exp. vs. -15K (r -19K) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

nw kw 08:51 GMT January 30, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

audcad good fight what do you see

eu pat 08:43 GMT January 30, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

KaL,maybe you are right but my trading style is different as your))
I don't understand how to trade range ))
But if I wrong, i have a stop loss))

Saar KaL 08:38 GMT January 30, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

USDJPY still bearish
Most likely will correct higher
still working this range
104.1467 101.9997

eu pat 08:37 GMT January 30, 2014
JPY

bought gbp/jpy close below 169.00..
I hope that buyers stoplosses after yesterdays FED are enough strong..

Saar KaL 08:34 GMT January 30, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

NZDCAD
Longs
0.9325 0.9085

Saar KaL 08:32 GMT January 30, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

Thanks Pat
I am doing this range now
92.5562 90.3004
bearish

nw kw 08:29 GMT January 30, 2014
JPY

usd earnings still good thats holding u/j up or it be 92

s%p supported this year[earnings]

eu pat 08:25 GMT January 30, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

Hi KaL, well done with CAD/JPY yesterday))

Saar KaL 08:24 GMT January 30, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

AUDUSD turning into buy

0.8957 0.8684

Saar KaL 08:18 GMT January 30, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

Silver and Gold buying
AUDNZD short here

Syd Sf 08:17 GMT January 30, 2014
JPY

It's really tough the only thing keeping $yen here are the stock futures bids .. Something will have to give shortly.

I guess the ultimate decider will be us GDP figures .. That will be enough to push thse things around or more into line.

eu pat 08:04 GMT January 30, 2014
JPY
Reply   
I am ready to sell JPY.
My waiting buy oder is GBP/JPY at 168.650
maybe I will try get a little be higher level ( without false break down and clearing stop losses )..I am monitoring it.
GBP seems at the better position against USD as the rest of pairs...
Stop loss at the place))

nw kw 08:02 GMT January 30, 2014
Asia

there holding for 01 /first day than 21 day I pick up e/y,500p rang last year 1000.p rang, but month early from fed/ most xag charts descending? usd strength
but nzd piers on the move

Syd Sf 07:44 GMT January 30, 2014
Asia

Yeah it just won't go up .. Not going down either but better take a small loss than get messed around any further.

Just didn't work out this time.

USA 07:04 GMT January 30, 2014
EUR/JPY and the forecast for January 30
Reply   
Browse by EUR / JPY and the forecast for January 30.
Intraday mood this pair generates stub downward wave of January 23, part of a larger trend in the medium wave from 27.12 last year.
Yesterday exceeded expectations. The outbreak of the resistance zone downward wave still selling far calculated support area turned into a resistance zone.
Since the end of the day yesterday, as part of the newly formed downward intersessional waves upward correction is formed, the fact that closure will mean a continued fall within the trend.
During the day, expect upward movement spirit at least in the first half of the day . Swipe lifting a pair of quotes expect not far above the resistance zone.
Formation of the rising structure over time can last as no more than one trading session, and take several.
After completion of the correction forward change of direction and a pair of continuation of the main trend.
At the time of analysis, quotes are trying to push the nearest cross resistance zone
Support area:
- 139.25/05
- 138.60/40
Resistance zone:
- 139.75/90
- 140.30/50
Above in the day did not expect .
Trading recommendations : Dominates bearish upward correction . Transaction to purchase with caution , capacity is limited, do not recommend for beginners.
Price reaches the resistance zones suggest the formation of track signals used by your trading systems for sale motocross.

PTA AHG 06:59 GMT January 30, 2014
EURUSD
Reply   
Is that a bullish flag forming on the EURUSD 1 hour chart ?

HK [email protected] 06:46 GMT January 30, 2014
NZD
Reply   


Buying zone from here down to 0.8100/50 for a short term bounce.

China shadow banking is settled for the time.

Tech.: Currently prices are vibrating around a hidden pivot.

HK [email protected] 06:46 GMT January 30, 2014
NZD
Reply   


Buying zone from here down to 0.8100/50 for a short term bounce.

China shadow banking is settled for the time.

Tech.: Currently prices are vibrating around a hidden pivot.

nw kw 06:21 GMT January 30, 2014
Asia

like smart trap bank hold up u/j from s&p sell, so must be going to cad than cadjpy

Syd sf 06:10 GMT January 30, 2014
Asia

15016 .. just breaking now .. if it keeps holding above here can see $yen up to 70/80

kind of like earlier where $yen was about 15 minutes behind the stock mkt... eg Nikkei was +110 and $yen was still 14 offered .. ended up at 55.

anyway see if it works this time.

Saar KaL 06:00 GMT January 30, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

AUDNZD
Shorts
1.0710 1.0477

Syd sf 06:00 GMT January 30, 2014
Asia

Nikkei an inverse h/s about to break here

$yen supportive.

Saar KaL 05:43 GMT January 30, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level

The Most likely range for the EURUSD
1.3686 1.3573

cable is slowly turning imo
1.6635 1.6341
this 1.66ish level is dangerous

GVI Forex Blog 05:17 GMT January 30, 2014 Reply   
(CN) CHINA JAN FINAL HSBC/MARKIT MANUFACTURING PMI: 49.5 V 49.6E (1st contraction in 6 months) >- (NZ) NEW ZEALAND CENTRAL BANK (RBNZ) LEAVES OFFICIAL CASH RATE UNCHANGED AT 2.50%, AS EXPECTED - (NZ)

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: RBNZ holds OCR, sending NZD lower; China HSBC final manufacturing PMI deteriorates further - Source TradeTheNews.com

Hong Kong Qindex 04:35 GMT January 30, 2014
USD/CAD : Critical Point 1.1198
Reply   




USD/CAD : As shown in the monthly cycle charts the bias is on the upside when the market is trading above 1.1078. USD/CAD is going to tackle the barrier at 1.1202 // 1.1229 (1.1202 - 1.1211 - 1.1214 - 1.1217 - 1.1229).


Qindex.com

USD/CAD : Monthly Cycle Charts

Hong Kong Qindex 04:30 GMT January 30, 2014
USD/CAD : Critical Point 1.1006

USDCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:




USD/CAD : As shown in the monthly cycle charts the bias is on the upside when the market is trading above 1.1078. USD/CAD is going to tackle the barrier at 1.1202 // 1.1229 (1.1202 - 1.1211 - 1.1214 - 1.1217 - 1.1229).


Qindex.com

USD/CAD : Monthly Cycle Charts

to dk 04:27 GMT January 30, 2014
Asia



test

Syd sf 04:12 GMT January 30, 2014
Asia

US futures jumping up now as well +46 -> was -20 little earlier.

(I'm using CFD lvls .. actual maybe slightly different)

Syd sf 04:10 GMT January 30, 2014
Asia

nikkei jumped 100 points and $yen just catching up

have not seen any news - but it could be because the lunar holidays are upcoming so - position squaring ?

GVI Forex Blog 03:24 GMT January 30, 2014 Reply   
The corrective bounce is over and all the global markets resumed the downtrend

Morning Briefing : 30-Jan-2014 -0323 GMT

Syd 02:26 GMT January 30, 2014
More Aussie Weakness Ahead
Reply   


The Chartist suggests the Aussie will likley fall toward 85 before buyers are encouraged to return.

LINK

GVI Forex 01:52 GMT January 30, 2014
Asia

CHINA HSBC FINAL JAN PMI 49.5 VS 49.6 FLASH; 50.5 DEC

Hong Kong AceTrader 01:51 GMT January 30, 2014
AceTrader Jan 30: Yen rises to a 7-week high on risk aversion after Fed cuts bond buying to 65B
Reply   
Market Review - 29/01/2014 21:54GMT

Yen rises to a 7-week high on risk aversion after Fed cuts bond buying to 65B

Although U.S. dollar rose initially above Wednesday's high of 103.26 to 103.45 against the Japanese yen in Australia, active cross-buying of yen pressured capped intra-day gain there and price later tumbled to 101.99 in New York morning as concerns over global emerging markets lingered ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy statement. Later, the greenback dropped to a session low of 101.85 on renewed risk aversion due to the selloff in U.S. stock market after Fed kept interest rate unchanged n reduced bond buying to $65B as widely expected.

The Fed announced a further $10 billion reduction in its monthly bond buying to $65 billion as widely expected as it stuck to plans to wind down its extraordinary stimulus. The Dow Jones industrial average, S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite closed down 189.77 points (1.19%) to 15738.79, 18.3 points (1.02%) to 1774.2, and 46.53 points (1.14%) to 4051.43 respectively.

The single currency swung widely on Wednesday as despite rebounding from Asian low at 1.3648 to 1.3684 in European morning due to unexpected rise in Germany's Gfk consumer climate going into February, cross-selling of euro pressured price lower from there and euro tanked to a session low of 1.3603 versus dollar after European Central Bank council member Christian Noyer said 'any rise in the currency's exchange rate would be negative.' Later, the single currency rebounded strongly in New York morning to 1.3677 on short-covering and then stabilized.

On the data front, Germany's Gfk consumer climate rose to its highest level since August 2007 to 8.2, from 7.7 in the preceding month whose figure was revised up from 7.6.

Although cable traded sideways in Asia after finding support at 1.6561 in Australia, price rebounded to 1.6607 in tandem with euro in European morning but only to drop to 1.6526 in part due to renewed cross-selling of sterling versus euro in New York morning before recovering. Eur/gbp cross dropped briefly below Tuesday's low at 0.8223 to 0.8220 in Wednesday's New York morning and then recovered.

The New Zealand dollar nose-dived to 0.8177 after RBNZ kept interest rate unchanged at 2.5%. RBNZ said expects to start returning rates to more normal levels soon n will raise rates as needed to keep inflation near 2%. RBNZ said scale, speed of rate rises will depend on future data; high NZ dollar offsetting inflation but current levels unsustainable in long run; price pressures rising over next two years; housing market appears to be moderating; expects GDP to continue around 3.5% over coming year; sees uncertainty about stimulus with drawal by major economies, EM economies affected.

Data to be released on Thursday:

Japan retail sales, China HSBC manufacturing PMI, Swiss KOF indicator, Germany unemployment rate, U.K mortgage approvals, EU business climate, economic sentiment, consumer confidence, Germany CPI, HICP, U.S. annual GDP, PCE core, personal consumption, jobless claims and pending home sales.

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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