GVI Forex john 20:42 GMT January 31, 2014
Commitment of Traders Report
Sill overbalanced long in USDJPY. Odds are market will have been net short EURUSD by today's close.
dc CB 20:15 GMT January 31, 2014
Quote of the Day
Reply
Jeff Bezos ----- this guy now owns the Washington Post
Amazon says Operating income is forecasted to be between a loss of $200 million and a profit of $200 million in the first quarter of 2014.
Jeff Bezos was quoted as saying, "We may make money. We may lose money. I feel strongly both ways. And besides, its all about sales, sales, sales. Earnings are so old economy."
Mtl JP 18:57 GMT January 31, 2014
superbowl!
the NFL - which took in approx $10bn last year and aims to reach $25billion by 2027 - charges and gets $4million/30second Superbowl spot this yr.
yet it expects that more fake will be sold than genuine brand worth
GVI Forex john 18:02 GMT January 31, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot
Yellen To Make First Congressional Appearance As Fed Chairwoman Feb. 11 -House Committee
GVI Forex john 17:39 GMT January 31, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot
Late in European trade, prices in prime fixed income markets are higher. Equity indices sre mostly ending the week lower. Many Far East centers are closed for the unar New Year. The peripheral European bond prices are up.
GVI Forex john 17:24 GMT January 31, 2014
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data
Reply
January 31, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, February 3.
Updated: Trading Events Calendar
HIGH IMPACT RELEASES:
Far East: CN- Holiday. AU/EZ/DE/FR/GB/CH/CA/US- MFG PMIs
- Far East: CN- Holiday. AU- PMI
- Europe: EZ/DE/FR/GB/CH- MFG PMI
- North America: CA- PMI, US- PMIs, Construction Spending.
Mtl JP 17:11 GMT January 31, 2014
superbowl!
ginko - may the odds be w/u !
tokyo ginko 17:01 GMT January 31, 2014
superbowl!
ignite fire...
Livingston nh 16:51 GMT January 31, 2014
Fed Policy Decision
surprising that the media made a fuss that FOMC didn't mention EM turmoil - the Fed didn't act in 1997 currency crisis (actually raised rates once) but waited until summer fall '98 financial crisis (LTCM, Ruble) to take action
if the current turmoil becomes a crisis Fed may offer liquidity to other CBs but taper will continue - a lot different than the 1997 analogy du jour (no Euro back then - DEM weakened aubstantially)
Mtl JP 16:41 GMT January 31, 2014
Japan CPI
usdyen holding support -- sofar
eu pat 16:40 GMT January 31, 2014
USD/CAD
Kevin, I am glad)))
but I can be often wrong...These are not calls, only share my trades and ideas...have to be money managament and s/l
Happy Chinese New Year!
Mtl JP 16:30 GMT January 31, 2014
Fed Policy Decision
In any other industry / business the following would be criminal activity:
India�s Raghuram Rajan hits out at unco-ordinated global policy - in FT
... �International monetary co-operation has broken down,� ... �Industrial countries have to play a part in restoring that [co-operation], and they can�t at this point wash their hands off and say, we�ll do what we need to and you do the adjustment.� ...
Raghuram Rajan is India�s central bank governor
HK Kevin 16:29 GMT January 31, 2014
USD/CAD
eu pat 16:18 GMT, good trades. I follow your suggestion and notice the divergance in 4-hr chart. Short USD/CAD at 1.1990 this Asian afternon and close at 1.1932 earlier. Good lai see pocket money fo rthe Chinese New Year.
eu pat 16:20 GMT January 31, 2014
weekend
Reply
Time to reset my head))
potential from short is still there, but in worse Cad data day is better to finish now
Have a nice weekend))
eu pat 16:18 GMT January 31, 2014
USD/CAD
Reply
eu pat 07:51 GMT January 31, 2014
usd/cad: Reply
I am in ..short UsD/CAD 1.1830
Risk in this trade is that it is against the trend
Today is Friday and U.S. guys either want to see profits at higher levels))
S/L must be...today smaller, 50 pips (against trend, can be another swing up)...
==============================================
closed at 1,11370 just now
European guys waited for U.S ones to make new high ( highest from 2009)
positive was my TA (strong sell signal)
negative was my play for solid CAD GDP (was worse and profit is smaller)
Amman wfakhoury 16:09 GMT January 31, 2014
EURUSD 80 pips move
Reply
Amman wfakhoury 07:01 GMT 01/31/2014
EURUSD ready to move 80 pips.
into downtrend unless it breaks up 13582
In medterm is going to 134--- and 133-- unless breaks up 13582
-----------------
excatly moved 80 pips from 13559 to 13478.
any rise above 13484 will return to it.
Mtl JP 15:54 GMT January 31, 2014
Chicago PMI
3 StdD 1.3464 - currently both target and support
Central Kwun 15:28 GMT January 31, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level
brother, you are not saying 1285? yesterday you said gold toward 1285
GVI Forex john 15:00 GMT January 31, 2014
University of Michigan Final Survey
University of Michigan-Conference Board Sentiment Final U of M data revised higher. An upward revision was expected.
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:43 GMT January 31, 2014
Chicago PMI
Reply
Chatter is it came in around the consensus (gets released early to subscribers)
Mtl JP 14:42 GMT January 31, 2014
Keystone pipeline study announcement
fwiw word is that the $4.5bn keystone pipeline's environmental impact study is expected to proclaim minimal warming impact allegedly because the tar-sands are going to be developed with or without keystone
Mtl JP 14:36 GMT January 31, 2014
Japan CPI
probably a good tactic to wait for bull signals re usdyen,
(no I am using the Japanese invented bra that pops open when pulse speeds up beyond a certain number of beats per minute as a signal)
in the meantime... risk is for the 100dma, the 200dma (coincidentally just around 100.00)
on top side would like to see 9 cross the 21dma
Syd Sf 14:24 GMT January 31, 2014
Japan CPI
I don't know at this stage... It's just speculation.
Mtl JP 14:13 GMT January 31, 2014
Japan CPI
blown up at the interbank level ?
Hong Kong Qindex 14:10 GMT January 31, 2014
USD/CAD : Critical Point 1.1198
USDCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:
USD/CAD : The next upper trading range is 1.1248 - 1.1317. The weekly cycle normal upper limits are positioning at 1.1337 - 1.1345 - 1.1347.
Qindex.com
Hong Kong Qindex 04:35 GMT January 30, 2014
USD/CAD : Critical Point 1.1198: Reply
USD/CAD : As shown in the monthly cycle charts the bias is on the upside when the market is trading above 1.1078. USD/CAD is going to tackle the barrier at 1.1202 // 1.1229 (1.1202 - 1.1211 - 1.1214 - 1.1217 - 1.1229).
Qindex.com
USD/CAD : Monthly Cycle Charts
USD/CAD : Monthly Cycle Charts
Syd Sf 14:07 GMT January 31, 2014
Japan CPI
I know what your saying .. There are clear economic signals but the markets aren't able to focus too well due to volatility which can eat you up.
One explanation this morning speculated about is that someone has blown up already.
I'm massively bullish $yen and nikkei .. But I'm not long till there are some signals to do so .. No choice as I don't want to tie up cash for 3 months maybe bit longer... One thing about japanese is they never give up.
Mtl JP 14:01 GMT January 31, 2014
Japan CPI
Sf 11:49 - how is this for contrast with stock markets
Japan�s economy shows renewed strength - Nakamichi in WSJ
Europe�s tight credit begins to loosen - Lawton in WSJ
US economy shows signs of gearing up - Shah in WSJ
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:55 GMT January 31, 2014
Forex Trading Outlook
Reply
I posted this video earlier on GVIForex and note the reaction after a failure to reach 1.3580. As I offered yesterday, contact me if you want access to my daily video outlook videos EMAIL
Daily Video Market Update
Video was made before this spike in the EURUSD but levels remain the same as 1.3550 stays pivotal and 1.3580 a key resistance. Month end flows can be tricky, especially on a thin Friday and risk off day, perhaps seeing some repatriation flows to the EUR on emerging market weakness or may just be some month end flows that will not last.
Early thoughts are that EURUSD upside should have a limit ahead of next week's ECB meeting.
Mtl JP 13:37 GMT January 31, 2014
Japan CPI
gv chartpoints:
Pivot 1.3585
Sup 1 1.3506
Sup 2 1.3462
Mtl JP 13:32 GMT January 31, 2014
Canada
Reply
m/m GDP: 0.2%
0.3% previous
0.2% forecast
Mtl JP 13:29 GMT January 31, 2014
uk mfg 13:25 r u lacking social integration ?
u might start with posting under your real handle, looser
Syd Sf 13:29 GMT January 31, 2014
ugly
I shouldn't have commented on someone else's idea .. Apols for that.
Forum is a forum. ... Good hunting today.
Mtl JP 13:25 GMT January 31, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot
10-yr to 2.65% suffering sackittash !!
stocks crapping , volatility picking up
adding it up: usd is "strong" . duh (as is the chf)
tokyo ginko 13:23 GMT January 31, 2014
superbowl!
last chance...GT all
GVI Forex john 13:02 GMT January 31, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot
U,S. PCE deflator is the Fed's preferred inflation measure (Due @ 13:30 GMT).
U.S. 10-yr last 2.66% vs 2.68% a couple of hours ago.
Mtl JP 12:46 GMT January 31, 2014
superbowl!
Ginko that is one interesting cross-market correlation attempt
tokyo ginko 12:31 GMT January 31, 2014
superbowl!
Reply
rally day...together with usd/jpy for 105...GT all
Mtl JP 12:27 GMT January 31, 2014
ugly
Reply
Syd Sf , nh 11:54 .. why the judgement ?
pips are pips , be they on the left or right side , no ?
Hong Kong Qindex 12:06 GMT January 31, 2014
EUR/AUD : Critical Level 1.5788
EURAUD
Entry: Target: Stop:
EUR/AUD : The market has picked support around the critical point at 1.5335. The short term target is 1.5688.
Qindex.com
==============================================
Hong Kong Qindex 15:38 GMT January 30, 2014
EUR/AUD : Critical Level 1.5788 : Reply
Buy EURAUD
Entry: Target: Stop:
EUR/AUD : The monthly cycle directional indicator shows that the market is trapped within 1.5429 - 1.5808. The monthly cycle charts indicate that 1.5429 - 1.5454 is a supporting barrier. EUR/AUD has good potential (over 70% chance) to tackle the extreme range at 1.5842 - 1.6229 within the first quarter.
EUR/AUD : Monthly Cycle Charts
Livingston nh 11:54 GMT January 31, 2014
EUR + GBP
Reply
EUR has broken every 21 MA on every time frame thru wkkly (subj to the close) - there is an interesting daily support a rising 144 ema (now 1.3508) that EUR tested and closed above back in the OCT decline -- it's Friday so there is no good news but the w/e could bring panic CB action from some unknown location (back to that type of plot)
it took a week for GBP to retrace last Thurs silly spike -sitting on the now flat 21dma but looks ugly on every time frame so thing go badly soon - 1.6350 target on day
Syd Sf 11:49 GMT January 31, 2014
Japan CPI
Us now down 186
Nikkei is down 235. Germany down 150
Pretty ugly no,matter where you look.
(Nikkei down 500 on the day)
Syd Sf 11:46 GMT January 31, 2014
Japan CPI
Yeah someone posted a great chart on it earlier .. I better keep my mouth shut when it comes to euro .. Remember what happened last time : (
UK Becca 11:41 GMT January 31, 2014
EURUSD
Reply
Any news out? Why is it firming?
Mtl JP 11:28 GMT January 31, 2014
Japan CPI
euro support line
Syd Sf 11:00 GMT January 31, 2014
Japan CPI
Re your eur trade idea.
I'm not sure that eur can hold above 1.35 all the way into ecb meeting next week
It's like Carl Icahn buying billions of dollars of apple stock .. When he stops buying and something happens it falls 6%
Everything seems to be aligning angst the eur at the moment so maybe just save your pips today... For a day which is more euro,favorable.
cairo cairo 10:32 GMT January 31, 2014
Japan CPI
Buy EURUSD
Entry: 13530 Target: 13575 Stop: 13500
i think the eur now will go heigher if the price close above 13530 with 4 h candle
Mohamed Tarek Mahmoud
GVI Forex john 10:22 GMT January 31, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot
Reply
Early in European trading hours, prices in prime fixed income markets are higher. Markets longer term are looking at the Fed taper decision as disinflationary.
In the meantime, short rates are likely to hold around zero. Equity markets are broadly lower. Many Asian markets are closed for the Lunar New Year. This is reducing liquidity. The peripheral European bond prices are higher.
Today, the U.S. sees a moderately active calendar.
cairo cairo 10:19 GMT January 31, 2014
Stock cfds
Sell EURNZD
Entry: 13690 Target: 13720 Stop: 13650
thanks for the alret
Syd Sf 10:18 GMT January 31, 2014
Stock cfds
Us now -160
Nikkei down another -145. ... So much for their number today.
GVI Forex john 10:07 GMT January 31, 2014
Eurozone flash CPI, Employment
EZ headline flash HICP (CPI) falls: well below ECB target of "just below 2.0%.
Syd Sf 10:04 GMT January 31, 2014
Stock cfds
Reply
Us stock CFD's are now -122 and falling
Carrying over from the 300 point drop in the,nikkei today.
GVI Forex john 10:00 GMT January 31, 2014
Eurozone flash CPI, Employment
Reply
ALERT
January 2014 flash HICP (CPI)
Headline
yy: +0.70% vs. +0.90% exp. vs. +0.80% prev.
CORE
yy: +0.80% vs. vs. +0.70% exp. vs. +0.70% prev.
EZ Unemployment December 2013
12.00% vs. 12.10% exp. vs. +12.00%r prev.
TTN: Live News Special Offer
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 09:52 GMT January 31, 2014
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GVI Forex john 09:34 GMT January 31, 2014
Japan CPI
Reply
Earlier ...inflation above estimates.
eu pat 09:09 GMT January 31, 2014
usd/cad
KaL. you again disagree with cad / jpy (Short Term Trade)))
Just out of respect to you I wont only to be a little more informal ... We need to take trading easy and without stress all))
Good luck my friend!
HK RF@ 09:03 GMT January 31, 2014
NZD
Reply
Per my suggestion yesterday NZD twice hit 0.8125, which may have formed a temporary double bottom.
Want to be more safe? Buy at 0.8080, or even 0.8100(if seen).
Look like bottoming is not too far.
Saar KaL 08:55 GMT January 31, 2014
usd/cad
CADJPY
97.5457 97.6548 97.6789
entry around here to 90.5
GBPAUD
1.8574 1.8931 1.9306
a Buy but over bought
will buy
1.8030 to 1.7861
Syd 08:52 GMT January 31, 2014
TradeTheNews.com
Reply
(RU) Telegraph's Ambrose Evans-Pritchard comments on signs of a credit crunch and capital flight from Russia- Notes the yield on Russia's two-year cross currency swaps moved sharply higher on Thursday's session and this could indicate a liquidity crunch. - Comments on how Russia spent about $200B in 2008-2009 to defend the Ruble. Since early Jan of 2014, Russia's reserves have declined by about $7B (Note: In Jan, Russia's reserves moved below $500B for the first time in two years and on yesterday's session, the country's central bank said that it would conduct unlimited forex market interventions when the Ruble moved outside of the targeted corridor.) - According to RBS, there could be a 'run on the currency (Ruble)' if officials do not take decisive action. - Notes the emerging market concerns have also started to impact Poland and Hungary. - In terms of Turkey, Danske Bank's Lars Christensen believes that the central bank may have to eventually resort to capital controls, as the central bank's room for additional aggressive rate hikes are limited. - Source TradeTheNews.com
eu pat 08:50 GMT January 31, 2014
usd/cad
agree))...and cad/jpy seems long..
Saar KaL 08:44 GMT January 31, 2014
euro views
I Love these 3 stocks
TSLA 186.0673 196.1106 206.4511
Dang 11.1122 11.6786 12.2649
DDD 85.4430 90.7299 96.1290
+ this Penny stock
Cool 0.5761 0.5974 0.6235
Saar KaL 08:38 GMT January 31, 2014
usd/cad
LOL Pat
I know
Just out of respect..:)
AUDCAD 0.9485 0.9437 0.9389
ha? ha?..YOu agree?
I am Shorts and adding
eu pat 08:35 GMT January 31, 2014
usd/cad
KaL why are you doing this to me?)) You said that first the USD / JPY down and when they can then horup yesterday. You were right. And you again speculate today))
I'm kidding .. I think most traders here to do own plan ..))
Thanx for your opinion))
Saar KaL 08:35 GMT January 31, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level
AUDUSD
Plain sell Into 3 months
0.8758 0.8631 0.8499
with every 90 pips spikes
Saar KaL 08:31 GMT January 31, 2014
euro views
Syd
Totally agree 100 to 120
Saar KaL 08:30 GMT January 31, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level
AUDNZD
1.0641 1.0476 1.0305
now over bought and south trend
1.0970 is possible
But going with trend and adding slow
Saar KaL 08:27 GMT January 31, 2014
usd/cad
Longing below
USDCAD 1.0809 1.0899 1.0997
Trend is North but over bought
Pat...Not that mean to distract your trade
Just wanted to mention
Saar KaL 08:23 GMT January 31, 2014
KaL's Trend and Level
No wonder day trading is not working
there reversals Everywhere
I am Going Long term EURUSD
expected values this Feb, March and april
1.3817 1.3901 1.3988
I am Long adding 1.3465
about a 100 pips with each entry
Same with
GBPJPY 172.2107 174.9826 177.8044
All this is due to USDJPY
105.2884 106.2506 107.1948
Gold
1,171.8809 1,142.6475 1,113.4424
Silver
18.3719 17.7495 17.1295
EURJPY
144.9673 147.0467 149.1257
cable
1.6364 1.6486 1.6615
USDCHF 0.8913 0.8855 0.8795
NDX 3,582.1049 3,655.4704 3,730.5055
eu pat 07:52 GMT January 31, 2014
usd/cad
correct is 1.11830
eu pat 07:51 GMT January 31, 2014
usd/cad
I am in ..short UsD/CAD 1.1830
Risk in this trade is that it is against the trend
Today is Friday and U.S. guys either want to see profits at higher levels))
S/L must be...today smaller, 50 pips (against trend, can be another swing up)...
Syd sf 07:25 GMT January 31, 2014
euro views
Reply
reading the eur views seems most people are expecting 100-120 points move today.
I think its as simple as USD is the main driver and xxx/yen are all stock moves.
looking for small bounces up to the highs of eur n gbp to try selling today.
$yen I honestly have no clear image for this market .. maybe its as simple as 102 // 103
eu pat 07:20 GMT January 31, 2014
usd/cad
Reply
my todays plan is sell usd/cad.
waiting oder is at 1.1190...price was a 5 pips below it
while I am write post here I maybe miss my trade)))
eu pat 07:15 GMT January 31, 2014
gbp/jpy
Reply
eu pat 08:04 GMT January 30, 2014
JPY: Reply
I am ready to sell JPY.
My waiting buy oder is GBP/JPY at 168.650
maybe I will try get a little be higher level ( without false break down and clearing stop losses )..I am monitoring it.
GBP seems at the better position against USD as the rest of pairs...
Stop loss at the place))
---------------------------------------------------------
Closed long with a few pips+
Set ups are unclear now at JPY...It sets slightly down. Japan CPI was higher.
I made in this trade 3 errors:
1. I was impatient and I fail to comply with my trading plan (my waiting oder was at lower level
2. I badly identify strength compared AUD...AU /JPY was a better choice , USD/JPY was in the right direction yesterday.
3. I did not take 80 pips profit and lost it, although I have seen. , the set up is changed
Errors belong to the trading))
Amman wfakhoury 07:01 GMT January 31, 2014
EURUSD 80 pips move
Reply
EURUSD ready to move 80 pips.
into downtrend unless it breaks up 13582
In medterm is going to 134--- and 133-- unless breaks up 13582
Amman wfakhoury 06:25 GMT January 31, 2014
EURUSD 13536 confirmed
Amman wfakhoury 15:42 GMT 01/30/2014
13536 confirmed and will be reached ..unless 1 hr bar closed above 13580.
--------------------------
13536 reached
Amman wfakhoury 06:24 GMT January 31, 2014
EURJPY 138.80 confirmed
Amman wfakhoury 13:24 GMT 01/30/2014
139.30 wfakhoury directional level any rise above it will return to it.
138.80 confirmed will be reached.
------------------------------
138.80 reached
KL KL 04:38 GMT January 31, 2014
SELL AUDUSD!!!
Great Chinese New year...can still collect in between drinks, food.....
covering 2/3 audusd short here .8763......
Syd sf 04:11 GMT January 31, 2014
Forex News
not much of a sell off by tokyo - guess we gotta buy back now and wait for europe to buy it back up some and sell it again
Syd sf 03:57 GMT January 31, 2014
nikkei
dropped another 100
HK RF@ 02:39 GMT January 31, 2014
NZD
Reply
New Zealand exports to China soar 45 percent
Jan. 30, 2014 8:49 PM EST
WELLINGTON, New Zealand (AP) � New Zealand's exports to China rose 45 percent last year thanks to soaring demand for milk powder.
Figures released Friday by Statistics New Zealand show that China surpassed Australia for the first time on an annual basis as New Zealand's top export market.
In 2013, China imported $8.1 billion worth of New Zealand goods, up from $5.6 billion the previous year. About 40 percent of those imports were of milk powder.
Meanwhile, New Zealand's exports to Australia were down 8 percent at $7.5 billion and exports to the U.S. were down 4 percent at $3.3 billion.
New Zealand posted a slim trade deficit for the year after exporting a total $39.4 billion worth of goods and importing $39.5 billion.
LINK
Syd sf 02:08 GMT January 31, 2014
nikkei
Reply
nikkei was around 15100 most of the morning .. now dropped to 15,000
I'd suggest that anyone trading should have access to the stock futures or CFD's so you can follow why some of these related currencies move like they do.
HK RF@ 01:17 GMT January 31, 2014
NZD
Reply
Prices still within 0.8160 pivot influence, where the next move may be 0.81 or to 0.82, not clear this time.
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 01:06 GMT January 31, 2014
NEW! BROKER REVIEWS
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We have just launched (in beta) our new Forex Broker Reviews section. We felt there was a void of credible reviews and decided to do something about it. We started out with a short list of brokers and all you need to do is send us a request and we will add your broker right away.
We need your input so go to
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A link can also be found in our menu bar under Brokers
KL KL 01:00 GMT January 31, 2014
SELL AUDUSD!!!
Reply
...Relentless sell .8821.... No need to think.....as much as you want to buy ...I am selling on credit....LOL.....even trading on chinese New Year.... >> and buying gold over the other side...LOL relentless 1242.59
Syd sf 01:00 GMT January 31, 2014
Forex News
I don't have a trade in $yen today
one thing I did notice though - is in gbpusd .. the same things I look at $yen in show GBP looks vulnerable later on in the trading day .. so I sold some gbp and gbpcad basically if they don't go down I'll just cut out cheaply. ( basically indicators are going to cross in a few hours - as long as price stays around this level or lower )
if you look at gbpaud - its already punched through support .. while gbpcad is about 50-60 points above the same level .. these crosses can get tricky .. but anyway that's what Im looking at today .. cheers.
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