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Forex Forum Archive for 10/10/2014

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


dc CB 21:35 GMT October 10, 2014
Ebola in the USA

DALLAS — Medical records unveiled Friday of the Liberian man who died of the Ebola virus have raised new questions about the treatment he received when he first came to at a Dallas emergency room.

The patient, Thomas Eric Duncan, had a high fever — his temperature was 103 degrees — during his initial visit to the emergency room of Texas Health Presbyterian Hospital on Sept. 25, according to 1,400 pages of medical records that Mr. Duncan’s family provided to The Associated Press.

Despite the fever, the hospital sent Mr. Duncan home, even after learning that he had recently arrived from West Africa.

Dallas Ebola Patient Was Initially Sent Home Despite High Fever, Records Show

Mtl JP 21:33 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

nh when u post your "long rant on inflation/deflation" may u include a short bottom line conclusion if the FED will be forced by market to return to QE . tia

dc CB 21:27 GMT October 10, 2014
Not The Onion
Reply   
"Weak demand growth is the principal culprit for chronic economic under-performance from many countries," U.S. Treasury Secretary Jack Lew said in a statement prepared for delivery to the International Monetary Fund's steering committee.

U.S. Calls on World Leaders to Focus on Global Demand

Livingston nh 21:08 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

JP - I have a long rant on inflation/deflation but i'll spare the space until tomorrow// Like the DXY most of this global slowdown crap is Eurocentric -- IMF, World Bank, ECB, FED - if you miss your target, adjust your aim or change the target

A CB encouraging inflation - what might be the problem? There is good deflation and bad deflation BUT there is no good inflation

dc CB 21:06 GMT October 10, 2014
Ebola in the USA



stuff like this -- several times a day, coming to a News Feed Algos


Delta Flight 495 from JFK Airport in New York landed at McCarran International at 10:55 a.m. today, and at least one passenger who had recently traveled to Africa became ill and vomited on the aircraft.

Officials: Delta passenger does not meet Ebola criteria

Mtl JP 21:06 GMT October 10, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

john 20:52 sure direction is but one component.
another important one is magnitude over time.
like a message thru a handshake... wet and limp or eye-popping vice-like squeeze

Mtl JP 20:57 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

nh 20:44 the Fed gang says that strong(er) dollar leads to lower consumer prices and that price deflation is bad - but that is only bad to the extent that it nega-affects stocks and real-estate prices. That is what is the gang's worry.

See if they raise to abort the embryo.

dc CB 20:57 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

FYI

the NYFED is closed on Mon.
Today's RevRepo of 161.647 Billion will get paid back on Tues
But there will be No new Repo of XXX.XXX billions of Treas Collateral

Then Tues, Wed, Thurs are POMO days.
It's also OPEX week, so Screw the Shorts should be on the table Thurs/Fri.

GVI Forex john 20:52 GMT October 10, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

I hadn't thought about that. I have been trying to focus mainly on direction and how the markets are operating in conjunction with each other, It seems the "rules" change daily or even more often than that, but when they are working causality is clear.

london red 20:50 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

i get currency effects in case of germany/china big exporters, but my assumption of US is a big part of growth, although i understand nobody wants a run away currency.

Mtl JP 20:47 GMT October 10, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

john 20:37 what percentage moves will you need to see to switch from "defensive RISK-OFF posture / ended lower" to using more juicy adjectives ?

Livingston nh 20:44 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

Most of this week's crap will get debunked over the week end - the big problem is that the deflation myth will not - FI will still trade with that in the background // strong dollar = lower GDP myth will fade slowly (somebody may actually look at the numbers but who knows)

The Fed is pumping more and more smoke - somebody needs to call them on it - should have kept the pointy heads in the back room and not in the driver's seat

london red 20:38 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

i dont know theres something just wrong about stocks and margin.
said by an fx trader lol.
sf. seems we are reading from the same page again. i have 10750/37 as a v big deal with deep reaching consequences as you suggest.
i suspect we will see those levels in asia or london am monday. at that point it would be worth a shot (basic week on week retracement theory suggests so discarding everything else) and it could be a keeper. but if they go up first i just wont be able to trust it until abv 109 even though they did the channel line at 107.56 just about, arguing for another big upside attempt which would be confirmed on a new high.

GVI Forex john 20:37 GMT October 10, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off


20:30 GMT- Current Market Conditions:
Equities wound up the week in a defensive RISK-OFF posture heading into a long weekend in North America and Japan. Equities in Far East and European markets all ended lower after the Thursday U.S. sell-off. The EURUSD is holding below its 1.2712 pivot.


  • Yields in prime Eurozone fixed income markets ended steady to lower. Peripheral bond yields are mixed. The U.K. 10-yr gilt yield was down.   The U.S. 10-yr yield was lower. The psychological focus has shifted lower to 2.40%.
  • Far East equities closed broadly lower. The Nikkei was down again. Bourses in Europe closed weak. U.S. shares were weak.

    The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.


Livingston nh 20:34 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

Dow broke the 200 dma (2nd time this year) - this is the headline fig for the media and the Great Unwashed // Monday is Columbus Day positive -- if the hoi polloi get scared over the Weekend it gets ugly end of day (Mutual Fund orders)

dc CB 20:32 GMT October 10, 2014
Scary Thought



"why wouldn't the FED send STOX DOWN - that would do it, right? Everybody needs ZIRP"


worked for these guys...why not. whot woiks woiks, don't take a Nobel Prize to figure that out

Livingston nh 20:29 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

Nikkei has traded off the yen - typical silly correlation trade - USD/JPY moves w/ interest rates which should pop higher next week

Mtl JP 20:27 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

red 20:08 my Canadian equities broker sends me at least one e-mail per week offering "free trades" if I take up their margin account offer.
-
Facts and Figures > Margin Debt and Stock Loan > Securities market credit ($ in mils.) > 2010 - current nyxdata.com

sd sf 20:20 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

just looking at the $yen - as a comment about the structure

it looks to me that the market is looking at the consequences of breaking this mid 107 area - and seeing the risk back to 105.50 .. so they are trying hard to not have to break this support... as this will unleash alot of ripples in other markets.

many of the resistance points have come down to 108.10 area now -- so I almost wish it wasn't the weekend and we could keep dealing .. so as to force the issue... once and for all.

dc CB 20:18 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

well the 2:15 express
and the 3:30 left on time
they just ran then in reverse. :)

Monday The Thirteenth...Triskaidekaphobia wooooo

Dillon AL 20:16 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

red there is at least 1 retail platform that will lend from 50k to 1mio depending on your equity

london red 20:08 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

JP do regular folk still do that? i mean buy stocks on margin. i get day trading stocks but buy to keep margin ended when the dot dooms fizzled.

Mtl JP 20:04 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

sub 1900 ...
those stock buybacks looking not soo hot now
be some margin calls going out too to some of these who were holding stocks with borrowed money

GVI Forex john 20:02 GMT October 10, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

DJIA -115
S&P -22
10-yr 2.289%

london red 19:57 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

200 day touched. just a word of warning for anyone looking to buy this one. 200 day ma breaks often get priced in between trading sessions. if you plan on buying wait until monday morning. if its going to bounce traders will smell it and they will run this sucker to 1935/65, so plenty of time to get in and not cut yourself on falling knives.
told by someone who in the early days sliced off fingers but came out the other side.
there are time to buy. there are times to sell. there are times to wait and do nothing.

GVI Forex john 19:53 GMT October 10, 2014
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

Mtl JP 19:45 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

S&P cuts France's outlook, keeps AA rating

GVI Forex john 19:44 GMT October 10, 2014
Commitment of Traders Report
Reply   

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: EUR, JPY, CHF, GBP



Net EUR JPY COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details









Click on chart for COT Details



Mtl JP 19:40 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

Trivia
685 trading days since SPX last touched the 200-day moving average (on Nov. 20, 2012)
courtesy Lawrence G. McMillan

london red 19:39 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

im done here but 200 day would make for some good headlines over weekend. i have 1907, 1900 for futs.

Mtl JP 19:32 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades



SnP with 30 mins left
barely floating above 200dma

Mtl JP 19:28 GMT October 10, 2014
Scary Thought

Bankrate.com showing 30 year fixed mrtge at
4.00% down 0.07 from 4.07% week ago

Mtl JP 19:24 GMT October 10, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

john maybe just little noisey

GVI Forex john 19:22 GMT October 10, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

shares looking a little spongy?

Livingston nh 19:21 GMT October 10, 2014
Scary Thought

Big run-up in 30 yr into the close -- into the teeth of a Fed determined to push inflation higher -- who would ever believe??

GVI Forex john 19:20 GMT October 10, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

10-yr holding @ 2.300% late.

Mtl JP 19:20 GMT October 10, 2014
Scary Thought

The dlr has ridden higher because folks think the printing was temporary and is coming to an end. They have got most players swallow the Economy Is Recovering line, hook and sinker. Last two times the printer tried it had to back away from ending QE and near zero interest.

I suggest the time to start to think about taking bets on FED gang starting QEIV is approaching.

Mtl JP 19:07 GMT October 10, 2014
Scary Thought

stocks crapout would be one nastylesson too late for Companies doing share buybacks. especially those that not only spend 100% of profits BUT BORROW doing it instead of investing in research and capital investment to grow their business - but it would also be a lesson to the printer FED gang that claims having a mandate of fostering creating jobs

Livingston nh 18:55 GMT October 10, 2014
Scary Thought
Reply   
What if the Fed, as any addict, decides that the market (enabler) needs to leave things alone rather than interfere with its ZIRP -- for UFO, PPT and Yeti believers why wouldn't the FED send STOX DOWN - that would do it, right? Everybody needs ZIRP

dc CB 18:22 GMT October 10, 2014
Ebola in the USA



another ghoul trade

Mtl JP 18:19 GMT October 10, 2014
Ebola in the USA

another for-ever war:

The world's response to the Ebola crisis needs to be 20 times greater than it was at the beginning of the month, the UN's special envoy for the disease says

Without mobilization on a massive scale, "it will be impossible to get this disease quickly under control, and the world will have to live with the Ebola virus forever," David Nabarro warned the UN General Assembly on Friday

GVI Forex john 18:00 GMT October 10, 2014
BREAKING NEWS: North Korea Coup

Doubts now being raised about Kim rumor

Livingston nh 17:57 GMT October 10, 2014
BREAKING NEWS: North Korea Coup

sic semper tyrannis

GVI Forex john 17:54 GMT October 10, 2014
BREAKING NEWS: North Korea Coup

nh- yes I am aware of that. I heard that there is a new report that Kim was seen being "roughed up" and taken away.

This is all second hand, so take it with a grain of salt.

dc CB 17:54 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades



Mtl JP 16:40 GMT
dc CB 15:05 re "the ? is will it happen today?"
How well, do u think, you know your POMO buddies

therein lies the rub. there is no POMO today, and only 7 left.
Time to reprogram the ClockTrades ?

Livingston nh 17:51 GMT October 10, 2014
North Korea

John - little Fat Round been missing for a few weeks

GVI Forex john 17:49 GMT October 10, 2014
BREAKING NEWS: North Korea Coup
Reply   
Rumor MIlitary Coup. UNCONFIRMED on social media

Mtl JP 17:46 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

S&P downgrades Finland from AAA to AA-plus
The risks from subprime look contained: Merrill Lynch
J.P. Morgan's Dimon: Regulators close to solving too-big-to-fail
src.: MarketWatch

Livingston nh 17:28 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

JP - "supposed to" is not something folks should take to the bank -- as in "I was supposed to get a pony"// IF this 10% correction is to occur we should see it by Thanksgiving (US) - I doubt we will have 1987 type one day wonder

Mtl JP 17:23 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

Free money , 6 years later , was supposed to lift stocks and real-estate prices which in turn is supposed to create the feeling of wealth which is supposed to get transmitted into the lower strata of economy which is then supposed to grow. That is the core fundamental of proponents of "inflation": flood economy with money and see economic growth.
-
nh 10% correction over some some specific time period or just simply off the high ?

Livingston nh 17:08 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

Since the yield puke treasurys have done nothing - FX trying to decide who is telling the truth - and today STOX are Really Mixed, a sign that there is a storm brewing //NDX getting hit on chips/tech, RUT already crushed has finally figured out that it doesn't have much to worry if the ex-USA tanks, and SPX and DJI are in a race to 200 dma - Dow has the edge but has outperformed SPX today to the upside // a real 10% correction would scare the Great Unwashed, the Elites and the politicians -- we'd start hearing chants of "QE4, QE4, QE4ever!" -- so far no real harm done

Columbus Day is usually a positive STOX day -- and this is the fifth day in the last two weeks that I have lunch at the exclusive Chez Moi Desque (Table for 1), it has been awhile so volatility may be alive and well

london red 17:05 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

yen. 10775. big level. below there, blink and youll miss it.

GVI Forex GVI Calendar 17:02 GMT October 10, 2014
CALENDAR: Weekly Trading Planner
Reply   

MONDAY
CA Holiday
JP Holiday
US Holiday
02:00 CN Trade  Key Growth Measure. Seen Weaker
TUESDAY

08:30 GB CPI/ RPI-X BOE targets Inflation
WEDNESDAY
05:30 JP Ind Out yy in contraction
07:00 EZ Draghi Frankfurt
08:30 GB Employment  Seen Stronger
12:30 US Ret Sales  Seen weaker
12:30 US PPI Steady
18:00 FRB Beige Book Fed Economic Briefing Papers
THURSDAY
09:00 EZ HICP Final data. Flash was soft
12:30 US Initial Claims Bouncing along the bottom
13:15 US Ind Prod & Cap Util Growth seen
14:00 US Philly Fed Regional PMI seen better
20:00 US TIC Data Measure of Capital flows (new time)FRIDAY
12:30 CA BOC CPI BOC targets Inflation
12:30 FRB Yellen Boston
12:30 US House Starts & Permits Key housing measures
13:55 US U Mich prelim Consumer sentiment measure


london red 16:55 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

this ones gonna end badly. low gets done by close.

Mtl JP 16:42 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades



current price pic heading towards your 3:30 d-moment

Mtl JP 16:40 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

dc CB 15:05 re "the ? is will it happen today?"

How well, do u think, you know your POMO buddies - there are some 40 points atm between current price and Thursday morning start of dump

GVI Forex Blog 16:38 GMT October 10, 2014
Week Ahead
Reply   
Weak euro area data unlikely to alleviate disinflation concerns
•US data expected to show that economy continues to strengthen
•UK inflation low for now but labour market data could hint at future constraints

ECONOMIC DATA ANALYSIS - MARKET PRICING SHOWS RISING CONCERNS ABOUT LOW INFLATION

SaaR KaL 16:33 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

Next 4-6 years
I know many do not see djia at around 12,000 again
NDX around 2,300

aapl around 45

EURUSD expected Average Highs and lows
1.4544 1.2397

It's Republicans this time for sure

Mtl JP 16:32 GMT October 10, 2014
Ebola in the USA

according to ABC
Ebola Screening Measures Rest on Federal Law

according to Russ Britt at MarketWatch
Many flights from Ebola-hit countries bypass special screening

Mtl JP 16:21 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades



SnP heading into the close
-
Stoxx Europe 600 index SXXP, -1.55% fell 1.6% to 321.62, closing with a 4.1% weekly slide. That drop is the worst for a week since May 2012.

Germany�s DAX 30 index DAX, -2.40% slumped 2.4% to 8,788.81, for its lowest close since October last year. On the week, the German benchmark tanked 4.4%. France�s CAC 40 index PX1, -1.64% fell 1.6% to 4,073.71, deepening its weekly slide to 4.9%.

The U.K.�s FTSE 100 index UKX, -1.43% gave up 1.4% to 6,339.97, which is the lowest close in a year. For the week, the FTSE ended 2.9% lower.
srce: marketwatch

dc CB 16:10 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

Mtl JP 15:15 GMT
is Monday not a holiday ?

bank holiday.
only pits closed are Treas and FX - Globex open.
Stox and everything else open.

SaaR KaL 16:10 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

US Equity will have to crash into next 4 years
(I guess this means Republicans will win this coming election...LOL)...but this time both USD and Equity
off course IMO...The Political party has nothing to with anything (But collect hard working US Citizens Money + Others)
...this just a coincidence

Mtl JP 16:06 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

nh 19:02 GMT October 9 "support - that's down at the 200 dma (~1905) // BUT maybe there really is a PPT"
low I saw sofar today was around 1910, maybe you can believe in santa and hope for a pony

GVI Forex john 16:03 GMT October 10, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

16:10 GMT- Current Market Conditions:
Late in Europe, equities are winding up their week in a RISK-OFF posture heading into a long weekend in North America and Japan. Equities in Far East and European markets are all lower after the Thursday U.S. sell-off. The EURUSD is holding below its 1.2712 pivot.


  • Yields in prime Eurozone fixed income markets are steady to lower. Peripheral bond yields are mixed. The U.K. 10-yr gilt yield is down.   The U.S. 10-yr yield is lower. The Psychological focus has shifted lower to 2.40%.
  • Far East equities closed broadly higher. The Nikkei was down again. Bourses in Europe have closed weak. U.S. shares are on the back foot.

    The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.


GVI Forex Blog 15:45 GMT October 10, 2014 Reply   
October 10, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, October 13. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar HIGH IMPACT NEWS: JP- Holiday, CA- Holiday, US- Holiday

GVI Forex Data Outlook for October 13, 2014

GVI Forex john 15:41 GMT October 10, 2014
CALENDAR: Daily Forex Data News
Reply   


October 10, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, October 13. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS: CN- Trade, JP- Holiday, CA- Holiday, US- Holiday

  • Far East: Cn- Trade, JP- Holiday
  • Europe: No Major Data
  • Noth America: CA- Holiday, US- Holiday


Mtl JP 15:15 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

is Monday not a holiday ?

dc CB 15:05 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

Following the NYFED Standard(POMO) Trading Time, the low should be in...hits 10:30AM+/-.

Rally in ernest begins near/at Europe close.
2:15 Express.
3:30 Buy everything in sight.
the ? is will it happen today.

an ugly close today will bring an ugly monday.

GVI Forex john 14:47 GMT October 10, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

10-yr 2.305%

london red 14:34 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

so being the cynical bastard that i am, the 38.2 is done, so they squeeze back up and bit and hold their cocks til last 1h/2h.

london red 14:31 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

38.2 at 1913 (1906 for futs) but looks good CB
and ill have yen to 10750/37
cad looking like 114/116 144 m ema 11213.

dc CB 14:28 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

targeting Aug low
then 1886+/-

Emini

Mtl JP 14:23 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades



SnP FRiday morn price action
-
after earlier "slightly cautious" or "tumble" , pundit headline now calling it "stocks attempt to rebound after massive selloff".

priceaction however appears faster than high-speed newswire headline delivery. It is Friday afterall.

nw kw 14:20 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

tsx volume at past April level down for now, gold bad to

Mtl JP 14:16 GMT October 10, 2014
The Importance of Weekly Close
Reply   


gv's Statistic: 10/3/2014 - 10/03/2014 (i.e. last Friday)
Results EUR/USD Close EUR/USD High EUR/USD Low

10/03/2014 1.2510 1.2672 1.2500

SaaR KaL 14:11 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

USDCAD will short up till 1.1269

Mtl JP 13:52 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

usdcad trapped between 1.1150 and 1.1220
better to wait for breakout unless bored

london red 13:36 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

any views on the loonie now. i had a feeling about the data but now looking to enter long side. pair feels well bid. dont like to chase breaks but looks like should have not only closed but flipped to long as now huge tail on 1h/4h. looks like a failed shs will be order of day and 113.

Plovdiv Gotin 13:27 GMT October 10, 2014
PIVOT POINTS: Trading System

and sup1.2620-->1.2712

london red 13:20 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

mighty tempting JP, a short 10yr that is. tech looks about right but i have s&p down today and that clashes. if theres any doubt, there is no doubt. so im a watcher there.
2.5 yards of 10750 goes off at the cut today, gotta be some kind of draw. 10750-37 support. does a long at week low set you up for a rebound and re-engaging of uptrend nxt week? i wonder. in any case retracement theory begs a long beginning of week.

Livingston nh 13:19 GMT October 10, 2014
Inflation follies
Reply   
Davos is doing its best to help the worlds' CBs in the never ending fight against inflation -- WEF is raising price for the good and the great by 20% (627k USD)

GVI Forex john 13:06 GMT October 10, 2014
PIVOT POINTS: Trading System

Interesting yesterday afternoon that the EURUSD pivot became a lid on the pair after we broke below. This was even as U.S. shares tanked.

EURUSD pivot today is 1.2712 (pretty distant)
We are currently pivoting S1 1.2633

I am waiting to see how EURUSD and shares interact today. There has been no consistent rule, but the two do interact.

Livingston nh 13:04 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

Jp - according to the eminent economist Barnum "there's one born every minute"

Mtl JP 12:51 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades



Who wants to lend $100 for 10 years at less than 2.3% ?

GVI Forex john 12:49 GMT October 10, 2014
BREAKING NEWS: Canada Employment September 2014

Canada September Jobs data better than expected. Market sees report as CAD Positive. Longer pattern looks flat to us.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:43 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

Chart worked out with 1.2622 tested.

GVI Forex john 12:34 GMT October 10, 2014
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Import Prices September 2014
Reply   




NEWS ALERT
-0.50% vs. -0.70% exp. vs. -0.90% (r -0.60%) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex john 12:31 GMT October 10, 2014
BREAKING NEWS: Canada Employment September 2014
Reply   




NEWS ALERT
Jobs: +74.1 K vs. +20.0 eKxp. vs. -11.0K prev.
F/T: +69.3 vs. n/a exp. vs. -2.3K prev.
Rate: 6.80% vs. 7.00% exp. vs. 7.00% prev.


RELEASE: StatCan Monthy Employment Report



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john 12:28 GMT October 10, 2014
PIVOT POINTS: Trading System

S1 1.2633 tested
S2 1.2584

Amman wfakhoury 11:49 GMT October 10, 2014
EURJPY 136.12 confirmed
Reply   
136.12 confirmed will be reached .starting and return level 136.56 any rise above 136.56 will return to it if 136.12 not reached .you can add sell @ 136.65 or above.


The only one in the world who confirms the next level


Plovdiv Gotin 11:49 GMT October 10, 2014
EURUSD 12630 confirmed

agree ...1.2630.

Amman wfakhoury 11:45 GMT October 10, 2014
EURUSD 12630 confirmed
Reply   
12630 confirmed will be reached.starting and return level 12670 any rise above 12670 will return to it ..you can add sell @ 12692 or above

The only one in the world who confirms the next level


Plovdiv Gotin 11:37 GMT October 10, 2014
eurusd
Reply   
Breaking 1.2650(if)....1.2640/14/10.....1.2565/36...1.249...1.2465. Upside.....1.2683...1.2729/50...1.2794...1.2816/43/52/59.GTay

SaaR KaL 11:33 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

Thanks Jay
i figure the worst range today is
1.2930 1.2554
anything could happen
that range is probably what is not suppose to happen (Within reason)

nw kw 11:31 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

sell gbp xaugbp driving up hard -

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:18 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades



EURUSD 1 hour chart

SaaR KaL 11:05 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

with combo Levels
till 1.5940...I am willing to long cable

GVI Forex john 10:52 GMT October 10, 2014
PIVOT POINTS: Trading System
Reply   
Selected daily USD & EUR Pivots. Complete Chart Point tables. Click chart icon to store in browser tab.



Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System





GVI Forex Jay Meisler 10:48 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

Kal, email me about a blog page

GVI Forex Blog 10:47 GMT October 10, 2014
Global Markets News
Reply   
USD has recovered most of the losses seen following the FOMC minutes. Dealers noted that despite the commentary from the FOMC minutes earlier this week it might be hard to make the case that USD was overvalued at this stage. G7 has always expressed concern over FX volatility and the recent pace of USD gains might provide some pause

TradeTheNews.com EU Market Update: G20 central bankers meet with concerns looming over global growth; EU Industrial Production data continues to disappoint

SaaR KaL 09:34 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

LOL IB
Slightly excited i guess

Paris ib 09:31 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

It's only today. Something happened to your formatting. Everything suddenly got much longer. :-))

SaaR KaL 09:30 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

IB
will do
If maybe Jay or John would allow me to blog in GVI
otherwise will make a page

SaaR KaL 09:27 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

SF
Got it
I know it looks too much..
will do

Paris ib 09:27 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

No I mean it's coming out this huge post... with lots of empty spaces and empty lines. :-))

sd sf 09:25 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

maybe just make a spreadsheet with all your numbers in it that you would like to share

put it into DropBox - and just share the link on the board - and post updated link -as you update your numbers.

SaaR KaL 09:23 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

IB
YOu mean number of decimals?
ok...will try

Paris ib 09:21 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

Kal could you please fix your posting. All this space for a couple of numbers makes it hard to consult the forum. TIA

GVI Forex Blog 09:19 GMT October 10, 2014
RISK-Off: Equities Starting Off Weaker Once Again. Light Pre-Holiday U.S. News Calendar
Reply   
HIGH IMPACT NEWS: CA- Employment

U.K. trade and Canadian employment data are the only major North American release today. Monday is a holiday in Japan, Canada and the U.S. Japan is also bracing for a major typhoon this weekend.

RISK-Off: Equities Starting Off Weaker Once Again. Light Pre-Holiday U.S. News Calendar

SaaR KaL 09:18 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

KW
AUDJPY

			
Exp High Exp Low Err
Daily 95.8940 94.2700 0.0962
Combined 96.2889 95.1374 0.4518
Monthly 97.0840 96.3186 0.8432

Year Levels 101.0858 90.6321

SaaR KaL 09:16 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

SF
I have no doubt that 110 is possible revisits
it is part of the Universe of numbers...Sure
I just need to manage something intraday...week and longer term

nw kw 09:14 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

aud/jpy shode pull aud/usa down?

sd sf 09:08 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

I'm only talking about today - not in a months time.

Today has dodgy stock markets - stretched other pairs and both Japanese Govt people concerned with weak yen - and Fed mentioned stronger USD is a factor in their decisions ... so this is not recipe for 110.

so 107.50-60 / 108.25 seems tough to break on the day with London content to keep it inside of that.

anyway I don't want to say much more on it - because we really have some volatility back so - more is possible than expected.

GT.

SaaR KaL 09:07 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

KW
Some shorts USDJPY knowing could go higher..time frame is 2-3 months

nw kw 09:05 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

jpy and commodities correlated this past 3munts //

lol are you betting strong jpy

GVI Forex john 09:05 GMT October 10, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off
Reply   
09:10 GMT- Current Market Conditions:
Early in Europe, equities are in a cautious RISK-OFF posture heading into a long weekend in North America and Japan. Equities in Far East and European markets are all lower again after the Thursday U.S. sell-off. The EURUSD is holding below 1.2700 pivot at this hour.


  • Yields in prime Eurozone fixed income markets are steady to lower. Peripheral bond yields are up. The U.K. 10-yr gilt yield is down.   The U.S. 10-yr yield is steady. The Psychological focus has shifted lower to 2.40%.
  • Far East equities closed broadly higher. The Nikkei was down again. Bourses in Europe are weak. U.S. share futures are down.

    The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.


SaaR KaL 08:57 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

KW
LOL
I am Long AUDUSD

nw kw 08:52 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades



looks like aud/usd fall in to no mans land?????????????

chart xauaud tks

nw kw 08:50 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

xauaud testing 200d mov.

SaaR KaL 08:49 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

NZDUSD
I think hit days low

			
	 Exp High 	 Exp Low 	Err
Daily	 0.7997 	 0.7878 	0.0020
Combined	 0.8007 	 0.7894 	 0.0089 
 

0.7805 is 2 sigma lower then low

SaaR KaL 08:45 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

SF
USDJPY
I do not see why not

			
Exp High Exp Low Err
Daily 107.7505 107.0690 0.1645
Combined 108.2752 107.4560 0.8184
could do 160 pips above that combined high

SaaR KaL 08:41 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

Cable combined

			
Exp High Exp Low Err
Daily 1.6267 1.6142 0.0014
Combined 1.6278 1.6160 0.0109
i doubt goes lower
1.6051

SaaR KaL 08:38 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

i doubt it KW

nw kw 08:37 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

will weekly support get momentum down

GVI Forex john 08:34 GMT October 10, 2014
BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Trade GBP (bn) August 2014
Reply   




-- NEWS ALERT --

Visible Trade: -9.1 vs. -9.40 exp. vs. -10.19 (-10.4) prev.
non-EU: -3.66 vs. -4.00 exp. vs. -4.350 (-4.80) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

SaaR KaL 08:33 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

AUDUSD

			
Exp High Exp Low Err
Daily 0.8931 0.8804 0.0016
Combined 0.8934 0.8825 0.0081

could go 2 times the error lower then that combined low

nw kw 08:30 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

aud/usa you have a take / tks//soft gbp

SaaR KaL 08:29 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

been busy making a combined Monthly, weekly and daily Level... the error gets bigger but at least it combines all

eurusd

			
Exp High Exp Low Err
Daily 1.2828 1.2719 0.0016
Combined 1.2793 1.2691 0.0068

can not get a free lunch i guess.. :)

sd sf 08:28 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

I don't really see a reason to push $yen above 108.25

so maybe the market can take a breather shortly... with some of the other pairs.

SaaR KaL 08:22 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

LOL

Paris ib 07:59 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

Kal any chance u can fix your formatting???

GVI Forex Blog 07:00 GMT October 10, 2014 Reply   
(AU) AUSTRALIA AUG HOME LOANS M/M: -0.9% (biggest decline in 8-month) V +0.2%E; INVESTMENT LENDING: -0.1% V +6.8% PRIOR; OWNER-OCCUPIED LOAN VALUE: -0.2% V 0.0% PRIOR - (JP) JAPAN SEPT BANK LENDING IN

Asian Market Update: US equity selloff reverberates through Asia - Source TradeTheNews.com

SaaR KaL 06:05 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

EURJPY

			
Exp High Exp Low Err
Daily 137.9420 136.4380 0.1372

Monthly 137.9915 137.0651 0.9480

Year Levels 148.6144 132.0809
==
GBPJPY
			
Exp High Exp Low Err
Daily 174.7955 173.0465 0.2101

Monthly 175.6615 174.2979 1.6845

Year Levels 183.1825 163.5722

Hong Kong AceTrader 05:48 GMT October 10, 2014
AceTrader Oct 10: Intra-Day News and Views(EUR/USD)
Reply   
Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views

10 Oct 2014 04:55GMT

EUR/USD - ..... Whilst ECB President Draghi continues to call for more stimulus to boost recovery in the EZ, ECB Governing Council member, Reuters reported Bundesbank President Jens Weidmann said Germany will keep warning about the dangers of short-term fiscal stimulus at talks on the global economy in Washington although risks to growth are on the downside.

Weidmann said he expected growth in Germany, Europe's biggest economy, to come in below levels expected earlier this year, but maintained its fundamentals were sound.

Pressure is mounting for Germany to use its healthy budget to boost public spending n spur growth in Europe n Weidmann said he expected discussion of stimulus on Friday, when G20 officials meet on the sidelines of World Bank n IMF meetings.

He told reporters "(The) position is clear, in order to create sustainable growth there's little use in setting off an economic flash fire, particularly against a backdrop of historically high debt." Sound budget policy was an important condition for creating an environment favorable to investment n jobs, he said.

Growth in the euro area as a whole would be restrained going forward n downside risks prevailed at a global level, especially fm geopolitical factors, Weidmann added.

SaaR KaL 05:40 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

SP500

			
Exp High Exp Low Err
Daily 1,968.1896 1,929.0268 10.7346

Monthly 2,004.6324 1,985.1242 23.5374

Year Levels 2,032.1490 1,802.2373
==
NDX
			
Exp High Exp Low Err
Daily 4,032.5371 3,941.4400 24.0530

Monthly 4,145.2719 4,099.7115 53.3752

Year Levels 4,041.7522 3,511.9371
==
DJI
			
Exp High Exp Low Err
Daily 17,020.3743 16,671.6421 103.1995

Monthly 17,170.8239 16,950.8717 183.4414

Year Levels 17,533.8456 15,840.5001

SaaR KaL 05:35 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

EURGBP

			
Exp High Exp Low Err
Daily 0.7907 0.7870 0.0009

Monthly 0.7880 0.7832 0.0054

Year Levels 0.8306 0.7903
==
EURCAD
			
Exp High Exp Low Err
Daily 1.4252 1.4150 0.0020

Monthly 1.4172 1.4072 0.0101

Year Levels 1.5419 1.4298

Syd 05:16 GMT October 10, 2014
Brace for a weak US dollar ahead: Westpac
Reply   
The greenback is affected by the Fed's sudden concern over global growth and will likely be on a downtrend in the near term, says Sean Callow, Senior Currency Strategist at Westpac.

USD $$$$

SaaR KaL 04:50 GMT October 10, 2014
RBA's Edey: risk taking concentration particularly in housing sector - - Source TradeTheNews.com

if HGX Index...then they are doing the right thing

			
Exp High Exp Low Err
Daily 191.3075 187.1682 1.1614

Monthly 195.0714 192.5701 4.7190

Year Levels 218.6834 186.0025

Syd 04:33 GMT October 10, 2014
RBA's Edey: risk taking concentration particularly in housing sector - - Source TradeTheNews.com
Reply   
RBA's Edey: risk taking concentration particularly in housing sector - - Source TradeTheNews.com

SaaR KaL 03:46 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

Gold

			
Exp High Exp Low Err
Daily 1,240.7900 1,229.8900 3.6550

Monthly 1,250.4541 1,235.1754 31.7909

Year Levels 1,398.5371 1,195.9424

SaaR KaL 03:44 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

CHFJPY

			
Exp High Exp Low Err
Daily 113.7835 112.6365 0.1478

Monthly 114.3693 113.6260 0.8068

Year Levels 121.8100 108.7368
seems likes a correction

GVI Forex Blog 03:39 GMT October 10, 2014 Reply   
No particular reason for the fortune reversal overnight except a poor German Import-export

Morning Briefing : 10-Oct-2014 -0338 GMT

SaaR KaL 03:09 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

EURUSD

			
Exp High Exp Low Err
Daily 1.2828 1.2719 0.0016

Monthly 1.2813 1.2725

Year Levels 1.3893 1.3302
==
Cable

Exp High Exp Low Err
Daily 1.6267 1.6142 0.0014

Monthly 1.6308 1.6200

Year Levels 1.7335 1.6278
==
USDCHF
Exp High Exp Low Err
Daily 0.9514 0.9440 0.0012

Monthly 0.9477 0.9409

Year Levels 0.9209 0.8783
==
USDJPY

Exp High Exp Low Err
Daily 107.7505 107.0690 0.1645

Monthly 108.0810 107.2463

Year Levels 108.6164 98.0376
==
USDCAD
Exp High Exp Low Err
Daily 1.1160 1.1071 0.0019

Monthly 1.1102 1.1013

Year Levels 1.1230 1.0656

Hong Kong AceTrader 03:06 GMT October 10, 2014
AceTrader Oct 10: Intra-Day News and Views(USD/JPY) & data to be released today
Reply   
Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views

10 Oct 2014 02:27GMT

USD/JPY - .... Despite staging a rebound from Thursday's 3-week low of 107.53 to 108.18 initially in NY morning session after release of upbeat U.S. initial jobless claims (weekly claims dropped 1,000 to nearly its lowest level b4 the 07'-09' recession), however, sell off in U.S. stocks (S&P & the Dow fell 2.1% & 1.9% respectively) led to renewed risk-aversion buying of yen n knocked dlr back down to 107.72.
The pair traded narrowly in Aust. before falling to 107.65 at Asian open as the Nikkei open lower following o/n sell off in the N225 futures.

Although Nikkie is currently down 152 points, it is trading above intra-day 15259 low, therefore, as dlr/yen has been tracking the Nikkei index closely these days, further consolidation above 107.53 is therefore envisaged.
Offers are tipped at 108.00 and more at 108.15/20 with stops above there. Initial bids are noted at 107.65-60 with stops reported below 107.50, then 107.40, suggesting selling dlr on intra-day recovery is still favoured.

Friday will see the release of Japan BoJ minutes, consumer confidence, France industrial output, Italy industrial output, UK trade balance, Canada employment, unemployment, U.S. export price index and import price index.

SaaR KaL 03:00 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

NZDUSD

			
Exp High Exp Low Err
Daily 0.7997 0.7878 0.0020

Monthly 0.8087 0.7995


Year Levels 0.8845 0.8283
==
AUDUSD
			
Exp High Exp Low Err
Daily 0.8931 0.8804 0.0016

Monthly 0.9028 0.8938


Year Levels 0.9715 0.8883

sd sf 01:30 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

I'm not sure in Asia we break 107.50-60 because we never seem to anticipate very much -- so have to wait for Europe to enter the fray.

dc CB 01:19 GMT October 10, 2014
Kevin

Kevin

soooooooo much Money

OMG

sd sf 01:12 GMT October 10, 2014
Day's Trades

EUR - just seeing t/p selling @13/14

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 01:11 GMT October 10, 2014
Friday's Trading Outlook
Reply   
EURUSD 1.27 just traded, makes it 15 out of past 17 days that a big figure (e.g. 1.25, 1.26, 1.27) has traded (actually 16 out of 17 if you include a 1.2699 high day). Now back to the 1.2712 daily pivot.

As I posted earlier on GVI Forex ...

Friday's Trading Outlook
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 21:19 GMT 10/09/2014 - My Profile
Big figure pattern suggests 1.27 will trade on Friday. if not, then it will be a bearish sign.

dc CB 00:46 GMT October 10, 2014
Kevin

my legs are open to you

Kevin my God

dc CB 00:23 GMT October 10, 2014
Kevin
Reply   
you got my msg

WOW

Dude You Rule

 




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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
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