dc CB 23:40 GMT October 14, 2014
Saving the Stock Market
The last time this kind of drop happened was during the run-up to the Bush v Kerry Election.
dc CB 23:24 GMT October 14, 2014
Saving the Stock Market
imho, today STOX were Kilt(sic) by the oil market. I'm still looking for a Kill the Shorts rally this week fueled by OPEX and POMO.
The Emini defended yesterday's low by 4 ticks.
++++++++++++++++++++++++
from Nanex via ZH. Was/Is this a buy signal?
Is This The Fed's "Hidden" Buy Signal?
Tallinn viies 22:57 GMT October 14, 2014
eurusd
Reply
as long as 1,2680 not traded my target is 1,2505-10.
most likely even during next 24 hours.
finally euro moves again and we can trade it not just to wait the move.
Mtl JP 22:39 GMT October 14, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off
john 22:29 can you plz deep-detail your theory why it is so and what is the stress it may be causing elsewhere. I am looking for the next trade.
Tia.
GVI Forex john 22:29 GMT October 14, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off
10-yr closed at s haur above 2.20%. Personally. I feel this level on 10-yr money to be alarming. Yields should not be this low with the Fed set to end its asser purchases progtam in two months.
GVI Forex john 22:06 GMT October 14, 2014
CALENDAR: Daily Forex Data News
October 14, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, October 15.
Updated: Trading News Events Calendar
HIGH IMPACT NEWS: CN- CPI, Industrial Output, EZ- Draghi, GB- Employment, Retail Sales, Empire PMI, PPI, Beige Book
- Far East: CN- CPI, Industrial Output
- Europe: Z- Draghi GB- Employment
- Noth America: US- Weekly Mortgages, Retail Sales, Empire PMI, PPI, Business Inventories, Beige Book, API
sd sf 21:42 GMT October 14, 2014
Update
$yen already hit t/p .. bids put back on downside.
pretty boring stuff - but that is YEN at the moment.
dc CB 20:44 GMT October 14, 2014
Saving the Stock Market
How much Stock can Free Money buy.
Top Tech company shows how it's doen.
Intel, which reported after the close, bought back $4.5Bln of its stock in the 3rd Quarter.
INTC generated $5.7Bn in cash, of which it used $4.2Bn for share buybacks, and a lower tax rate to beat EPS
Intel's WTF Chart
Paris ib 20:02 GMT October 14, 2014
Saving the Stock Market
I wonder at what point Soros's s n p puts will be in the money?
sd sf 19:47 GMT October 14, 2014
Update
Asia,
we have Westpac Sentiment / New Vehicle Sales then CNY PPI/CPI
similar to yesterday - we probably see euryen gbpyen audyen rise initially ... when that's over selling step back in
take audyen we were trading 94.50 late Asia Yesterday and its 93.15 now .. so don't think anyone wants to open by selling that low.
around 93.60-65 some resistance.
Paris ib 19:34 GMT October 14, 2014
Saving the Stock Market
If we can't even break above 1900 that means trouble. I mean give it a week or so. If we are no higher: sell.
Paris ib 19:31 GMT October 14, 2014
Ukraine
Seriously isn't the debt financed, margin trading stock market out of puff anyhow? I don't believe there is an economic recovery. We had asset price inflation now we get the deflation. World economy is in trouble.
dc CB 19:28 GMT October 14, 2014
Ukraine
Putin Sez
You fuc& wit da oil market
I fuc% you in da STOX
Paris ib 19:25 GMT October 14, 2014
Ukraine
Decent of these Russian troops to give forward notice to financial news wires. How laughable. Meanwhile stock market slow motion meltdown continues. Margin calls anyone?
sd sf 19:25 GMT October 14, 2014
Update
Reply
EUR - saw selling into 70 on the bounce and has closed some on the move back down here .. but still holding short for 20-30 area.
GBP - seeing t/p buying at moment 3/4/5 from breakout selling earlier.
YEN - bids coming in again on dips as mentioned yesterday -- offers 15-20
GVI Forex 19:05 GMT October 14, 2014
Ukraine
Reply
15:00 (UR) Reportedly pro-Russian forces to mount major effort to retake Donetsk airport, involving Russian troops - press - Reportedly Russian paratroopers to mount assult on the facility tonight.
- Source TradeTheNews.com
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 19:03 GMT October 14, 2014
GBPUSD
Reply
Targeting 1.5850?
GVI Forex john 19:03 GMT October 14, 2014
CALENDAR: Weekly Trading Planner
Reply
WEDNESDAY
05:30 JP Ind Out yy in contraction
07:00 EZ Draghi Frankfurt
08:30 GB Employment Seen
Stronger
12:30 US Retail
Sales Seen weaker
12:30 US PPI Steady
18:00 FRB Beige Book Fed Economic
Briefing Papers
THURSDAY
09:00 EZ HICP Final data. Flash was soft
12:30 US Initial
Claims Bouncing along the bottom
13:15 US Ind Prod & Cap Util Growth
seen
14:00 US Philly Fed Regional PMI seen
better
20:00 US TIC Data Measure of Capital
flows (new time)
FRIDAY
12:30 CA BOC
CPI BOC targets Inflation
12:30 FRB Yellen Boston
12:30 US House
Starts & Permits Key housing
measures
13:55 US U
Mich prelim Consumer sentiment
measure
dc CB 18:40 GMT October 14, 2014
Saving the Stock Market
Crude stuck the knife in Stox
Brent into 84 handle
WTI into the 81
Tuff to ignore plus pounded the Energy sector
But hey Gasoline for Nov below $2.18.....Bring on the Holiday Spending...$2.6 or less at Da Pump
Paris ib 18:36 GMT October 14, 2014
Saving the Stock Market
Reply
It doesn't look like the stock market is going to recover. The only question then is: when the next all out panic.
GVI Forex john 18:23 GMT October 14, 2014
CALENDAR: Daily Forex Data News
Reply
October 14, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, October 15.
Updated: Trading News Events Calendar
HIGH IMPACT NEWS: CN- CPI, Industrial Output, EZ- Draghi, GB- Employment, Retail Sales, Empire PMI, PPI, Beige Book
- Far East: CN- CPI, Industrial Output
- Europe: Z- Draghi GB- Employment
- Noth America: US- Weekly Mortgages, Retail Sales, Empire PMI, PPI, Business Inventories, Beige Book, API
GVI Forex Blog 17:42 GMT October 14, 2014
Key U.K. Data Due Wednesday Risk of German Recession Rising
Reply
HIGH IMPACT NEWS: CN- CPI, JP- Ind Prod, EZ- Draghi, GB- Employment, Retail Sales, Empire PMI, PPI, Beige Book
On Wednesday, markets will be looking at Chinese CPI data, U.K. employment figures, U.S. CPI and the Fed's Beige Book.
Key U.K. inflation data were much softer than expected and raise questions about an early BOE rate hike.
Key U.K. Data Due Wednesday Risk of German Recession Rising
dc CB 17:26 GMT October 14, 2014
POMO
(Reuters) - The head of the San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank on Tuesday said he would be open to another of round asset purchases if inflation trends were to fall significantly short of the U.S. central bank's target.
Although he said it would take a big shift in the U.S. economic outlook for the Fed to restart its bond buying, John Williams said the possibility of a new downturn in Europe and other global economic woes pose a risk to the United States.
"If we really get a sustained, disinflationary forecast ... then I think moving back to additional asset purchases in a situation like that should be something we should seriously consider,"
Exclusive: More QE might be appropriate if U.S. economy faltered- Fed's Williams
Tallinn viies 17:15 GMT October 14, 2014
eurusd
Reply
1,2640 needs to be taken out to see test of 1,2620. if this is gone then 1,2505-10 tommorow
GVI Forex john 17:01 GMT October 14, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS:Mixed Risk-Off
16:30 GMT-
Current Market Conditions:
Tuesday saw more weak data from Europe with disappointing inflation
figures from the U.K., a poor German ZEW Survey and weak
industrial output and inflation figures out of� the Eurozone.
These data have markets in a mixed RISK-OFF posture yields have fallen,
but equities have bounced higher. The
EURUSD trading lower below 1.2700.
- Yields in prime Eurozone fixed income markets are
lower.�
The Peripheral bond yields are barely changed although Greek yields are
up. The U.K.10-yr gilt yield is
lower� The U.S. bond markets yields are lower.
- Far East equities closed mostly lower Bourses
in Europe closed mixed. U.S. shares are higher.
The heat map color scheme
of interest rates reflects yields.
Paris ib 16:10 GMT October 14, 2014
POMO
I have heard it suggested that the powers that be will do what they need to do to avoid anything like a crash before the forthcoming mid-term elections. There are quite a few holes in this idea (I think) but it's worth noting I guess. Do we actually have a feel-good nothing-to-worry-about rally into Nov.4 ?? And do the people in the back room actually wield that kind of power? Is that the world we are living in?
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 15:30 GMT October 14, 2014
eurusd
This is a simple 5 minute EURUSD chart and note how 1.2645 was a 3 touch support. 33 pip bounce with a 5 pip risk and this is not the side I like to trade. Note, where the bounce ran into resistance. All lines were drawn ahead of time.
if you would like me to show you how I pick these levels out, send me an EMAIL
jkt abel 14:41 GMT October 14, 2014
POMO
time to buy jpy pairs?
dc CB 14:21 GMT October 14, 2014
POMO
Reply
the POMO hour...savor one of remaining few.
Will $1bl +/- snap the sell off.
Will the low be put in at 10:30
So may ?s.
$1bil ain't what it used to be.
in earnings JPMorgan�s third-quarter results were hampered by the $1.1 billion the bank set aside for legal costs, much of it to deal with an investigation into potential manipulation of the foreign exchange market.
GVI Forex john 13:44 GMT October 14, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off
S&P 200-day average is 1905.67
last 1890.16
so by one measure we are in bear market territory.
UK ET 13:38 GMT October 14, 2014
eurusd
Any bets for 1.26 rather than 1.27?
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:24 GMT October 14, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off
IMHO it would have been a surprise to see US stocks open lower after the thin holiday meltdown but the bond market is what is eye catching with 10 yr bond briefly at 2.20%
The low risk trade of the week for me (as noted in my video updater) was to be short EURUSD ahead of the ZEW report and that worked out. Hope others took notice.
Otherwise, the market is not sure where to hide, USD and JPY have been beneficiaries while EUR seems stuck (note 1.2650 is about mid-range) for now.
GVI Forex john 12:30 GMT October 14, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off
Also ZEW Economist warning about a German recession.
fwiw about a year ago with the Fd tapering just ahead, I figured the 10-yr would have been 3.30-3.50% by now. Also I felt the BOE would be tightening before the U.S. Reluctantly, I am starting to concede that interest rates at these levels don't matter much. On the other hand can't see how higher rates would matter much.
sd sf 12:12 GMT October 14, 2014
Update
Reply
EUR - trailing stops triggered with break of 1.2710 -- and really hasn't recovered .. no range orders established yet .. maybe Asia Open.
GBP - complete topside failure - news driven break - Breakout Selling triggered @1.5970 target 1.5830 stops placed @1.5995
YEN - bids filled on dip - offers again @107.15-20 .. expecting more choppy trading .. until a larger factor comes along to break up the current pattern.
Can't really explain EurUsd this morning in Asia - thin market / stops and some potential USD move -- but weak data / trend -- > took over and back to square 1.
GVI Forex john 12:06 GMT October 14, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off
U.S. 10-YR 2.192%
U.K. sub- 2.10%
Looks like we are back again at the start of the great recession.
Pretty grim picture
try tr 11:41 GMT October 14, 2014
GBPUSD
Correction still on ?
GVI Forex john 11:39 GMT October 14, 2014
CALENDAR: Daily Forex Data News
Reply
Wednesday, 15 October 2014
Board member: Mario Draghi
Event: Introductory speech by the President at 7th Statistics Conference organised by the European Central Bank in Frankfurt, Germany.
Time: 9 a.m. CET
London Chris 10:41 GMT October 14, 2014
eurusd
Tallin, may I ask why you are not short then rather than looking to catch the bottom? Just curious.
Tallinn viies 10:00 GMT October 14, 2014
eurusd
Reply
I think euro will fall under 1,2620 even today. plan to try long euro at 1,2540 with stop at 1,2490. most likely we will see it tommorow.
Amman wfakhoury 09:47 GMT October 14, 2014
GBPUSD
correction
as 16046 confirmed
Amman wfakhoury 09:46 GMT October 14, 2014
GBPUSD
Reply
following alert issued early this morning
GBPUSD ready to move 130-140 pips ..mostly down as 160046 confirmed.
SaaR KaL 09:34 GMT October 14, 2014
Day's Trades
EURUSD, Cable, AUDUSD Longs added
cable expecting 1.65+ Into next month
Amman wfakhoury 09:33 GMT October 14, 2014
EURUSD 12630 confirmed
Reply
Riga 08:28 GMT 10/14/2014
Mr wfakhoury any confirmed levels on EUR/USD?
-----------------
first 12689 already confirmed and reached ..and now 12630 confirmed will be reached starting and return level 12672 and rise above this will return to it.
GVI Forex john 09:31 GMT October 14, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off
Reply
09:30 GMT-
Current Market Conditions:
Today has already seen disappointing data from the U.K., Germany
and the Eurozone. These data have markets in a RISK-OFF posture. Both
yields and equity markets have fallen.� After the ZEW data, the
EURUSD trading lower below 1.2700.
- Yields in prime Eurozone fixed income markets are
lower.�
The Peripheral bond yields are barely changed although Greek yields are
up. The U.K. 10-yr gilt yield is
lower� The U.S. bond markets yields are lower.
- Far East equities closed mostly lower Bourses
in Europe are weaker . U.S. share futures are mixed.
The heat map color scheme
of interest rates reflects yields.
Hong Kong AceTrader 08:53 GMT October 14, 2014
AceTrader Oct 14: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views GBP/USD
Reply
Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
14 Oct 2014 08:30GMT
GBP/USD - ...... Cable falls to session low of 1.5979 immediately after release of U.K. inflation data. September annual CPI came in at 1.2% vs street forecast of 1.4% whilst month/month CPI came in at 0% vs forecast of 0.2%.
Sterling was already down vs euro & yen in European morning and the lower-than-expected inflation has deferred market speculation of a hike in the U.K. base rate by the BoE anytime soon in 2015.
Looks like sterling would remain under pressure in Europe n last Monday's 11-trough at 1.5943 is now in focus.
Offers are noted at 1.6000/10 and more above, some bids are reported at 1.5960/50 with stops building below 1.5940.
Therefore, selling cable is the way to go today !!
SaaR KaL 05:31 GMT October 14, 2014
Day's Trades
Reply
Not sure if a NDX will will recover this 4100 to 4200 area is so dangerous
Trend VS. Correction (Big wave for way below 3000)...is on the works now IMO
sd sf 02:53 GMT October 14, 2014
Morning
you can see as the pressure comes off $yen - the others take a break as well .. in $yen really didn't get to buy much - but that got sold @18
gbp sq now and eur just stops under the lows basically.
up to Europe to decipher it now.
Hong Kong AceTrader 02:04 GMT October 14, 2014
AceTrader Oct 14: Intra-Day News and Views(USD/JPY) & data to be released today
Reply
Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
14 Oct 2014 01:23GMT
USD/JPY - .... It was deja vu in Australia early this morning, just like Monday's morning price action in NZ when short-term specs sold the greenback broadly ahead of Asian open, knocking the pair briefly but sharply below Monday's 137.06 low to a fresh 1-month trough of 106.76 as a late sell off in the Dow & S&P (only U.S. bond market was closed for Columbus Day holiday on Mon) prompted renewed buying of yen on risk aversion.
Bids are noted at 107.10-00 and more below whilst offers are tipped at 107.45/55 with stops above there, however, more selling interest is reported at 108.00/10, suggesting consolidation with upside bias is in store.
Despite intra-day sell off in the Nikkei (currently down 367 points), Japanese bargain hunters (importers) bot dlr ahead of Tokyo open, price bounced back to 107.24, suggesting the intra-day low print would remain, at least during Asian session.
Data to be released on Tuesday:
U.K. BRC retail sales, Japan's domestic CGPI, Australia's NAB business conditions, BOJ outlook report, U.K. CPI, PPI and RPI, Germany's ZEW economic sentiment, eurozone industrial production, U.S. Redbook.
tokyo ginko 01:18 GMT October 14, 2014
JPY
long here 107.11 for ST target 109.30
GT all!
NY BOB 00:25 GMT October 14, 2014
Morning
Thank you..
We are starting an affiliate program to market some of our products.