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Forex Forum Archive for 10/25/2014

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dc CB 23:27 GMT October 25, 2014
Jerry?
Reply   


So why did stocks rally?

Help Me Help You (Dave's Daily ETF)

dc CB 23:19 GMT October 25, 2014
Commitment of Traders Report

apre le deluge. 10/15 Wed.
the 5 year fut. note the collapse of Open Interest in the 5

30...OI dipped
http://snalaska.com/cot/current/charts/US.png

10 OI rose
http://snalaska.com/cot/current/charts/TY.png


which leads the TinHatter to wonder....Whot is da most manipulated(protected) Treas Issue.

As JP wrote: Mtl JP 09:19 GMT October 25, 2014 - My Profile
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off: Reply
dc CB 00:14 something does not add up

fiver

GVI Forex john 23:15 GMT October 25, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):
SUNDAY
11:00 EZ Bank Stress Tests
MONDAY
09:00 DE IFO Climate top German Sentiment Survey
13:45 US Markit SVC PMI flash New PMI indicator
14:00 US Pending Homes Predictor of Existing Homes Sales
TUESDAY
00:50 JP Retail Sales Retail demand
12:30 US Dur Goods Mfg demand
14:00 US CB Consumer Conf Key Sentiment Survey
WEDNESDAY
18:00 FRB Fed Rates No Rate Change
21:00 NZ RBNZ Cash Rates
23:50 JP Ind Out  Production
THURSDAY
08:55  DE unemployment
12:30  US Initial Claims
12:30  US GDP broadest growth measure
FRIDAY
00:30 JP Core CPI BOJ target
04:30 JP Bank of Japan No Rate change seen
07:00 DE Ret Sales Consumer demand
10:00 EZ FL HICP  ECB target
12:30  US PCE deflator Fed Target
13:55  US U Mich final Key Sentiment Survey

GVI Forex john 21:37 GMT October 25, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

Yield levels

USD vs. EUR differentials have gained in the period shown ~(120bp to 140bp) as German economy slows and U.S. continues to advance at a steady pace.

On the other hand, USD vs. GBP yields have flipped to positive on a spate of weaker than expected UK data ~( -15bp to +5bp)

GBP vs EUR ~(+140 to +140). Relative growth rate of the UK economy remains stronger than Germany.

IMPLICATIONS FOR CURRENCIES
USD should be supported
GBP should get SOME support
EUR should remain weaker

THOUGHTS??

GVI Forex john 18:02 GMT October 25, 2014
WEEKLY LOOK AHEAD: Stress Tests and Fed - October 27, 2014
Reply   



Fed Back in Focus
The main focus of the new week will be the Fed rersponse, if any, to the week-ago decline. The sharp price adjustment was not catastrophic as prices subsequently have gained back a lot of their lost ground. Nevertheless. the "adjustment" was clearly a product of concerns that many had been expressing about stock valuations...

WEEKLY LOOK AHEAD: Stress Tests and Fed - October 27, 2014

Mtl JP 13:29 GMT October 25, 2014
EZ Stress Test Report

Golden Rule (Alan Greenspan)

... "The broader issue -- a return to the gold standard in any form -- is nowhere on anybody’s horizon. It has few supporters in today’s virtually universal embrace of fiat currencies and floating exchange rates. Yet gold has special properties that no other currency, with the possible exception of silver, can claim. For more than two millennia, gold has had virtually unquestioned acceptance as payment. It has never required the credit guarantee of a third party. No questions are raised when gold or direct claims to gold are offered in payment of an obligation; it was the only form of payment, for example, that exporters to Germany would accept as World War II was drawing to a close. Today, the acceptance of fiat money -- currency not backed by an asset of intrinsic value -- rests on the credit guarantee of sovereign nations endowed with effective taxing power, a guarantee that in crisis conditions has not always matched the universal acceptability of gold."

GVI Forex 11:01 GMT October 25, 2014
EZ Stress Test Report

A group of 25 banks have failed European stress tests, while up to 10 of those continue to have a capital shortfall, sources familiar with the matter told Reuters on Friday.

Bloomberg News first reported the results of the tests, which are due on Sunday. Currency strategists said this just added more fuel to the short-covering that has supported the euro's position.

"It is all speculation at this point and the ECB tried to remind us of that. It just highlights that this is a risk that is not as negative perhaps as was priced in," said Camilla Sutton, chief currency strategist at Scotiabank in Toronto....RTRS

Mtl JP 09:19 GMT October 25, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

dc CB 00:14 something does not add up

“We expect markets to remain tough” Unilever CEO Paul Polman

"As I look at the markets, economy etc., as a comprehensive picture, I don't see any pressing need for the Fed to do much next week." - john 14:31 GMT 10/24/2014

Maybe Polman is one incompetent manager

Cape Town LV 06:22 GMT October 25, 2014
EZ Stress Test Report
Reply   

EZ Tress Test Report

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 02:03 GMT October 25, 2014
Forex Outlook for the Week Ahead
Reply   
...
Entry: Target: Stop:

Forex Outlook for the Week Ahead

Event filled week - ECB stress tests and the FOMC

dc CB 00:22 GMT October 25, 2014
EBOLA

The announcement comes one day after an American doctor, who had worked in Guinea and returned to New York City earlier in October, tested positive for Ebola and became the first New York patient of the deadly virus.

“A voluntary Ebola quarantine is not enough,” said Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo of New York. “This is too serious a public health situation.”

The rapid escalation of screening measures came as a surprise after a day in which public officials had gone to great lengths to ease public anxiety.

It was also taken without consulting the New York City health department, according to a senior city official.

Earlier in the day, the White House sidestepped questions about whether a quarantine of health care workers was being considered.

It was also taken without consulting the New York City health department, according to a senior city official.

Earlier in the day, the White House sidestepped questions about whether a quarantine of health care workers was being considered.

New York and New Jersey Tighten Ebola Screenings at Airports

dc CB 00:14 GMT October 25, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

Mtl JP 16:18 GMT October 24, 2014 -
SnP bataille royale

seemed so far away when it crossed on Tues and set up the next target. 1970...now it's a mere 10pt away.

Emini

 




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