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Forex Forum Archive for 10/30/2014

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GVI Forex Blog 23:51 GMT October 30, 2014
Forex News
Reply   
* Dollar index at 4-week highs, but off peak

* Aussie, NZD perk up as well on better risk appetite

* BOJ expected to maintain stimulus, but could surprise

* GPIF, euro zone inflation also watched

FOREX-Dollar underpinned by GDP, BOJ next in focus

gc sf 22:57 GMT October 30, 2014
EUR + GBP
Reply   
I'm not too sure what to make of the price action - but from the trades basically anything above 1.2622 is all selling stops don't come in till 1.2665

GBP anything above 24 all selling stops don't come in till 1.6068 area.

AUD + NZD is really interesting - you have 2 CB's talking down their currencies weekly .. NZD actually selling theirs - yet we rally almost every time.

I just don't see a case where USD can advance across the board without more resistance in these pairs ... otherwise it will be just xxx/jpy buying.

gc sf 22:51 GMT October 30, 2014
$yen
Reply   
Friday is typically the day of the strongest buying in $yen when the market is bullish .. the biggest dip you would normally see is roughly 20 points.

so if it is to be a bullish day today that would leave us with a range of

109.15/109.92

if the market is to just sideways range then

109.10-109.60

if the market for some reason would show a more bearish turn

108.75 / 109.50

usually you can get a read on the likely outcome after just a few hours.

nw kw 22:31 GMT October 30, 2014
USD/CAD

is to remain soft for gov reports all cad exports need it /1.100 min.for gov.

nw kw 22:24 GMT October 30, 2014
USD/CAD

aud/cad this where find big flows with out usd/ chart looks cat can weaken in this chart aud cat//

nw kw 22:00 GMT October 30, 2014
USD/CAD

cad correlated to crb index was call crb is soft last week if terns up cat will strengthen but the usd can keep good presser on comedies from usd strength /for how long is hard part///oil has support from Nat gas from usa will xsport ngas next year//so still drilling hols in ground that will keep investments in oilf pach,not run from investing,

[oil refiners starting to draw for new year car gas refinement supported if a dip in oil but id test long at 80.0

dc CB 21:23 GMT October 30, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

The New York-based bank on Thursday revised its quarterly net income to $2.8 billion from a previously reported $3.4 billion, citing legal expenses.

The bank's operating expenses rose from $12.36 billion to about $13 billion.

Citi previously reported third-quarter net income of $3.44 billion, or $1.07 per share, on Oct. 14. The results exceeded Wall Street estimates

Citi Restates Earnings Due to Regulatory Probes

dc CB 21:20 GMT October 30, 2014
A picture is worth a 1000...
Reply   


Laurette Eugene at the Point Blank Body Armor factory in Pompano Beach, Fla. The United States economy grew at a better-than-expected rate in the third quarter.

U.S. Economy Grew at 3.5% Annual Pace in Third Quarter

GVI Forex john 20:40 GMT October 30, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):


FRIDAY
00:30 JP Core CPI BOJ target
04:30 JP Bank of Japan No Rate change seen
07:00 DE Ret Sales Consumer demand
10:00 EZ FL HICP  ECB target
12:30  US PCE deflator Fed Target
13:55  US U Mich final Key Sentiment Survey

GVI Forex john 20:30 GMT October 30, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk

CLOSING PRICES...

GVI Forex john 20:22 GMT October 30, 2014
PIVOT POINTS: Trading System
Reply   


USD & EUR Pivots. Chart Point tables. Click chart icon to store in browser tab.



Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System


GVI Forex john 19:37 GMT October 30, 2014
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

Livingston nh 19:30 GMT October 30, 2014
USD/CAD
Reply   
kw - any thots on USD/CAD and oil/energy prices?

Livingston nh 19:26 GMT October 30, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk

kw - Bullish on USD/JPY but seems a lot of today's move based on BoJ - I don't see a big announcement of softer policy (not even sure there could be a softer policy) - stats out of Japan have been better but they always shoot themselves in the foot // they need higher interest rates and tax CUTS -- but that's a 20 yr failure

nw kw 19:18 GMT October 30, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk

nh - you have a take on jpy looks like run

Livingston nh 19:16 GMT October 30, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk

kw - I trade a 15 min chart and QQQ macd is not confirming // the daily chart - a break below the 40 dma or 3950 (NDX) would/might signal a test of the lows

I like the banks based on higher rates, more loans as competition with "shadows" increase // Tech -- I like real tech not the social media tech - Applied Materials, medical tech not pharma, energy battery research

I haven't owned a stock personally in a long - index options only

Livingston nh 19:08 GMT October 30, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk

Well at least USD bulls don't need to worry about the Fed concern for strong dollar and the Great Global Growth Slowdown is sort of a "never mind" event -- Yellen has bigger fish to fry, Inequality and Diversity

nw kw 19:07 GMT October 30, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk

nh -QQQ,s are testing a brake out what do you see in teck or banks, or can be more to the retrace thk.

Paris ib 18:57 GMT October 30, 2014
Where's Ginko?

S and P going for the head and shoulders.....

dc CB 18:54 GMT October 30, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk

dc CB 14:32 GMT October 30, 2014
STAWKS: Reply
fyi
Less than half of the DJIA stocks are Up today and none of them by more than 30 cents.
The "gain" of 90+ pts is all due to Visa. which is up over 17 pts. Just because of the way the Dow is calculated. But for all intents and Cheering purposes STAWKS ARE UP.

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

did you guys just wake up? hard night drinking?

GVI Forex john 18:49 GMT October 30, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk

Point is DJIA is not representative of how stock markets are trading. Makes a difference for correlation trades.

Mtl JP 18:44 GMT October 30, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk

john traders trade headlines
analysts and economists waist their time on petty details

GVI Forex john 18:38 GMT October 30, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk

Stupid DJ price weighted index.Apparently most of its gains today comes from one stock "VIsa", as in credit cards.

dc CB 18:36 GMT October 30, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk

To 'prove' that the end of QE3 is not a negative for stocks and to 'confirm' the Fed's narrative that the economy is surging (despite all the unsustainable one-offs in the GDP print), algos are tearing stocks higher, targeting the crucial 2,000 S&P level... thanks to 2-week old headlines from Japan, a broken options market, and the NYSE unable to report trades... As Nanex notes "this is a bigger event than the 2013 market blackout"

(charts)
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++


WOOOPS. Maybe artificial intelegence runnin' dose' computers has detected a "crossed the line" LIE... OMG they've become sentient. We can fix that...call in the Geeks.

Broken Market (Worse Than 2013 Nasdaq Blackout) Just Fails To Send S&P Back Over 2,000

GVI Forex Blog 18:29 GMT October 30, 2014
U.S. GDP Data Beat Estimates. German Unemployment Improves. Heavy Friday Docket
Reply   
HIGH IMPACT NEWS: JP- CPI, Bank of Japan, DE- Retail Sales, EZ- HICP, Unemployment, CA- GDP, US- Personal Income, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI, University of Mich

Friday sees Japanese CPI, a BOJ policy decision, Eurozone flash HICP, U.S. Personal Income data and the final October University of Michigan Survey. Over the weekend, North American clocks are turned back one hour. U.S. 3Q14 GDP outpaced street expectations on a strong increase in defense spending that likely will not be sustained. German unemployment data were better than expected but the unemployment rate remains remarkably steady.

U.S. GDP Data Beat Estimates. German Unemployment Improves. Heavy Friday Docket

Livingston nh 18:28 GMT October 30, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk

One thing of note w/ the recent rally in US stox is there is no new money moving in -- election next week (Republicans are rally killers)

dc CB 17:53 GMT October 30, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk



so all that Free Money that the Hoi Poloi will be finding in the couch cushions, that they now don't have to Burn Up driving to work and soccer and the store and the store and the play date...this will all go on the Card(s) ...cause we feeling Flush....
The Nov prelim Michigan and Consumer Conf numbers should be thru da ruf...(say roof Bunky...ruf ruf...my dog can talk)

Apple's Pay-by-Phone is deader than a Gay CEO...Palleeeeeze Dig Up Steve Jobs...prop him up and clone his DNA....

SANTA RALLY....woooo woooo wooo.

Paris ib 17:48 GMT October 30, 2014
Where's Ginko?

Ginko it looks like you are on target for 2000 on the S n P as well. So that's two bulls eyes.

It will be interesting to see if the S and P is just drawing the other shoulder in a head and shoulder formation or if we are going to crack new highs.....

The recent rally was built on the sharp fall in bond yields in the States which we saw during the 'correction'. How well the market can perform with higher bond yields remains to be seen. As an aside I looked up another of Soros's big positions: the JPY short. He made more than a billion on that reportedly. So it will be interesting to see how is S and P put performs. :-)

dc CB 17:41 GMT October 30, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk

on the back of the JapYen

blew thru target...onto 110++

tokyo ginko 17:32 GMT October 30, 2014
Where's Ginko?

Thanks ib.

Wouldnt stay short going into boj's statement ..which could send flying to 113.00/20.

GT all.

Mtl JP 17:24 GMT October 30, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk



2000.00 as magnet

GVI Forex john 17:12 GMT October 30, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk

7-yr 2.018%
bid to cover 2.42 vs. 2.48
Lousy auction

dc CB 17:01 GMT October 30, 2014
From the FRBNY Repo Desk
Reply   
adjustments to rates thru Nov.
for the next 2 weeks - down to 3 basis points.

Yes Virginia, that's a Max of $300Bln overnight for 0.03%

Oct 29 adjustment annc

dc CB 16:53 GMT October 30, 2014
Erratic moves

via ZH

CNBC screen cap

SaaR KaL 16:51 GMT October 30, 2014
Breaking Bad

GBPNZD Shorts

	High	Low
Avg 2.0690 2.0046
Max 2.0835 2.0186
Min 2.0553 1.9913

12/1/2014 1.9872 1.9710

Maybe next day

dc CB 16:47 GMT October 30, 2014
Erratic moves

It's Window Dressing Time, and as mentioned yest Closing Books for the Year for Mutual Funds.

apparently Visa and Master Card today became "must be shown to own" stocks for the year.

SnP back above or well above 2000 would be nice for them.

HK [email protected] 16:46 GMT October 30, 2014
Taiwan's exports to China down 6% for Q1-3
Reply   

Shrinking.

READ

Mtl JP 16:43 GMT October 30, 2014
Erratic moves

Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.2625-ish Target: 1.2590 and lower Stop: >1.2635+

and prayer to FX gods

Livingston nh 16:31 GMT October 30, 2014
Erratic moves

Big turn in European stock markets especially Italy - US treasuries basically unmoved since this morning BUT 7 yr auction in 1/2 hr

PAR 16:18 GMT October 30, 2014
Erratic moves
Reply   
some of the moves today look very extreme , real pain . The rouble today ....Greek peripheral debt ......and look no further than gold shares over the last 48 hours ...proper volume , no real explanation ....for what its worth ( and never one to spread rumours ;) ) but just been told rumour of a $750m 6ishx levered quant fund shut last night. Certainly feels like that .

Livingston nh 16:16 GMT October 30, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk

A comment about the "analysts" who are dismissing the GDP fig -- these were the guys that were in the 3% or lower camp so they need to say why they missed - number will probably be revised higher because of the final trade figs // Federal spending - the 3rd qtr is the Final budget qtr of fiscal yr so "use or lose it" applies - state and local govs are coming off the floor AND a stronger economy always produces more tax revenue but these analysts probably have never seen a rate hike either

Inventories were bought down so probably restocking will be "blamed" for Q4 surprise - "IT's always somethin'!" Professor Rosannadana

dc CB 16:01 GMT October 30, 2014
DO'H Award of the Week

And the Runner Up:

The reason the United States lags many countries in both speed and affordability, according to people who study the issue, has nothing to do with technology. Instead, it is an economic policy problem — the lack of competition in the broadband industry.

“It’s just very simple economics,” said Tim Wu, a professor at Columbia Law School who studies antitrust and communications and was an adviser to the Federal Trade Commission. “The average market has one or two serious Internet providers, and they set their prices at monopoly or duopoly pricing.”

Why the U.S. Has Fallen Behind in Internet Speed and Affordability

GVI Forex john 16:00 GMT October 30, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk
Reply   

15:50 GMT- Current Market Conditions
:
Markets are in a MIXED RISK posture late in Europe. Headline U.S. preliminary 3Q14 GDP data were a stronger than expected 3.50%, but analysts dismissed the report due to an unexpected surge in government spending due to defense. Defense spending can be very lumpy. In the Far East, equities ended  mostly higher.  European bourses are trading  mixed late. U.S. shares are  mixed as well at this hour.

U.S. 10-yr yields are lower. 10-yr bund and gilts yields are down. Peripheral European bond yields are mostly up.




The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.


dc CB 15:57 GMT October 30, 2014
DO'H Award of the Week
Reply   
It would be the Wall Street equivalent of a parole violation: Just two years after avoiding prosecution for a variety of crimes, some of the world’s biggest banks are suspected of having broken their promises to behave.

Prosecutors Suspect Repeat Offenses on Wall Street

SaaR KaL 15:41 GMT October 30, 2014
Breaking Bad

EURCAD
I am buying

	High	Low
Avg 1.4470 1.4056
Max 1.4652 1.4233
Min 1.4331 1.3921

12/1/2014 1.4808 1.4706

HK [email protected] 15:40 GMT October 30, 2014
Breaking Bad



Silver will most-probably hit 16.0, which may provide a terra firma.

GVI Forex john 15:31 GMT October 30, 2014
PIVOT POINTS: Trading System

Al - I will try that.

Hard to believe half way is 1.26385 (HOD 1.2639).
Thank you very helpful!

HK [email protected] 15:27 GMT October 30, 2014
Breaking Bad



Imitation jewelry are so nice and looking like originals, thus reducing the demand for gold.
Women go today for fashion, not for value of jewelries.
With the modern Tech. of processing gold/silver one can get nice pieces made from few grams only.

No need for big quantities of gold for a lady to shine.

Dillon AL 15:26 GMT October 30, 2014
PIVOT POINTS: Trading System

When pivots are that far away then you have to use half way points

GVI Forex john 15:25 GMT October 30, 2014
PIVOT POINTS: Trading System

EURUSD 1.2683 pivot is distant
S1 1.2594 could come back into play
S2 1.2545 held nicely earlier (1.2548 LOD)

dc CB 15:24 GMT October 30, 2014
Breaking Bad

down to below 1150 will beat the believers to a bloody pulp

dec gold

SaaR KaL 15:24 GMT October 30, 2014
Breaking Bad

RF I doubt it
might happen though

HK [email protected] 15:23 GMT October 30, 2014
Breaking Bad



If silver breaks below today LO, then see you at 15.50.

HK [email protected] 15:21 GMT October 30, 2014
Breaking Bad



Probably gold will show first 1185 again.

SaaR KaL 15:18 GMT October 30, 2014
Breaking Bad

Silver and gold
these levels are for last call for alcohol ......Buyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy

Provo John 15:07 GMT October 30, 2014
Tech trade

Should read read just shy of 50%

Provo John 15:05 GMT October 30, 2014
Tech trade
Reply   
Sell GBPUSD
Entry: 1.6025 Target: sub 1.60 Stop: 1.6036

Strictly from a fib tech view gbp/usd is trading ( 1.6163 - 1.5874 ). The overnight low was just a few pips shy of the 23% at 1.5946. It is now trading just shy of the 20% at 1.6028. So, I took a short @ 25 with a stop and reverse at 36. If I get stopped out I will be long for a run to 1.6065

SaaR KaL 15:04 GMT October 30, 2014
Breaking Bad

NZDUSD ...heads to 0.8020 from here

dc CB 14:52 GMT October 30, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

GVI Forex john 13:13 GMT October 30, 2014 -
GDP data growth being dismissed as driven by government spending. I believe there are national elections in a week???

the Forever WAR helped a lot

defense spending

GVI Forex john 14:45 GMT October 30, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

US EIA Weekly Natural Gas Inventories (bcf)




ALERT
=87 vs. +85 exp vs. +94 prev.

EIA Press Release




TTN: Live News Special Offer

dc CB 14:42 GMT October 30, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

Gold and Silver got the traditional post FMOC wacking today.
A big smack across the face of any who Doubt the Wisdom of the Committee.

GVI Forex Blog 14:35 GMT October 30, 2014 Reply   
October 30, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, October 31. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar HIGH IMPACT NEWS: JP- CPI, Bank of Japan, DE- Retail Sales, EZ- HICP (CPI), Unemployment, CA- GDP, US- Personal Income, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI, University of Mich Survey

GVI Forex Data Outlook for October 31, 2014

dc CB 14:34 GMT October 30, 2014
STAWKS



Wrong chart ....here's Visa now

dc CB 14:32 GMT October 30, 2014
STAWKS
Reply   


fyi
Less than half of the DJIA stocks are Up today and none of them by more than 30 cents.

The "gain" of 90+ pts is all due to Visa. which is up over 17 pts. Just because of the way the Dow is calculated. But for all intents and Cheering purposes STAWKS ARE UP.

SaaR KaL 14:26 GMT October 30, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

Silver Heading to 18.00

Mtl JP 14:19 GMT October 30, 2014
BREAKING NEWS



10-yr is backing up some this am
yields down -> usd down

GVI Forex john 14:16 GMT October 30, 2014
BREAKING NEWS



October 30, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, October 31. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS: JP- CPI, Bank of Japan, DE- Retail Sales, EZ- HICP (CPI), Unemployment, CA- GDP, US- Personal Income, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI, University of Mich Survey

  • Far East: JP- CPI, Bank of Japan
  • Europe: DE- Retail Sales, EZ- HICP (CPI), Unemployment
  • North America: CA- GDP, US- Personal Income, PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI, University of Mich Survey, COT Report


london red 14:16 GMT October 30, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

Miami, yields and dollar dont always move together, relative spreads also arent always leading drivers. its just one of many variables. today yields arent helping the dollar.

Livingston nh 14:02 GMT October 30, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On

If the generally unloved 7 yr auction gets the same reaction as yesterday's 5 yr we may see more action into the close --- the 2 yr is unfazed so far

SaaR KaL 14:02 GMT October 30, 2014
Breaking Bad

NDX droping
watch out

Paris ib 14:02 GMT October 30, 2014
CPI

PAR - I think you need to take a slightly longer term perspective. Of the 8 trillion of U.S. Federal Government debt in the public hands 5 trillion is held by foreign investors. The duration of that debt is very short, probably less than 3 years. The 3 year bond yield from January 2011 to mid 2013 around 0.3% to 0.5%. It is now at 0.90% and the outlook is for further rises. The cost for the FED of rolling existing debt just got higher. I'm not sure that the U.S. economy can coast along with higher short to medium term interest rates.

SaaR KaL 14:00 GMT October 30, 2014
Breaking Bad
Reply   
EURUSD he bad
IMO Buy at will now for 1.2780

GVI Forex john 13:58 GMT October 30, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On

10-yr 2.289 -3.0bp

PAR 13:54 GMT October 30, 2014
CPI

Dollar lower as US yields drop . Stocks higher as US yields drop .Yellen happy as US yields drop .

Paris ib 13:53 GMT October 30, 2014
Where's Ginko?

Good for you Ginko. Well done !!

Mtl JP 13:48 GMT October 30, 2014
CPI

from historical record:

“In the exit process, allowing assets to roll off would be sufficient,” Bernanke

For the one with exclusive power not only to print but also make up rules and legislation, it can easily put up a "not for sale" sign on its "assets:.

Livingston nh 13:46 GMT October 30, 2014
CPI

The bulk of the Fed holdings is Treasury paper which to the Fed is the equivalent of money - it can hold to maturity (no margin calls for the FED) and collect whatever interest until then -- The mythical Soc Sec Trust Fund and Fed control most of the US debt (excl. less than 2yr maturities)

PAR 13:40 GMT October 30, 2014
CPI

FED needs low rates to protect its own $ 4.5 trillion bond portfolio . Yellen success was bringing long US rates down from 3% to 2% , creating a paper profit for the FED .

She will not allow rates to go up and see losses on its
$ 4.5 trillion bond portfolio . 1% on 4.5 trillion is a huge amount .

Miami JN 13:34 GMT October 30, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

Red, can the dollar move higher if bond yields do not move higher?

gc sf 13:33 GMT October 30, 2014
CPI

Problem is that it kills full time jobs and encourages part-time.

Jay - I can't open your chart - but 1.2614 is Bollinger Mid.

US GDP > 0 .. shows an actual Pulse
Europe is still a race to the bottom.

FED seems way too concerned with the level of the Stock Market for my liking -- and who these days is an actual end holder besides the Fed

Russia - nope, China -100 billion, Japan nope more interested in pumping up their Stock Market

it is never an issue getting into these trades - but it has been shown that getting out can be a real killer .. whether it happens again is yet to be seen I suppose.

see what it looks like on Asian Open.

london red 13:31 GMT October 30, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

dec 10yr squeezing higher all day. 50% fib of sept low and black wed high is yest hih at 127. price stopped a whisker short of 61.8% yesterday. maybe an inside today and move outside of those two confines tomorrow.

PAR 13:21 GMT October 30, 2014
CPI
Reply   
CPI going down on low food and oil prices is good for the economy . Draghi should keep his hands off that and stops complaining about too low prices . IT IS GOOD , NOT BAD .

PAR 13:16 GMT October 30, 2014
ECB
Reply   
ECB buying peripheral bonds ?

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:14 GMT October 30, 2014
PIVOT POINTS: Trading System



... and the current 4 hour chart - notice how 1.2614 held

GVI Forex john 13:13 GMT October 30, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

GDP data growth being dismissed as driven by government spending. I believe there are national elections in a week???

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:11 GMT October 30, 2014
PIVOT POINTS: Trading System



4 hour chart posted earlier on GVI Forex so you can see where 1,.2614 came from.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:06 GMT October 30, 2014
PIVOT POINTS: Trading System

On the other side, 1.2632 = 38.2% of 1.2770-1.2547.

Resistance starts at 1.2614 (former low) - holding

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:59 GMT October 30, 2014
PIVOT POINTS: Trading System

EURUSD low 1.2547 vs. S2 = 1.2545

Close enough?

PAR 12:55 GMT October 30, 2014
Central Bankers

Imho ZERO rates is still extremely easy monetary policy . Replacing maturing bonds in the FED balance sheet is still a form of QE . US Monetary policy is way out of control .

GVI Forex john 12:46 GMT October 30, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims about at frictional lows...




Click on chart for over ten-year history

london red 12:43 GMT October 30, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

yen. usd should gain support at 10835/50.
euro. looks to be ready to rebound given reaction to gdp. probably trendline caps at 12655 14/16 res ahead of this. key pivot 12686, keeps low test in play.
cad data quite good. ~11100 +-10 pips good area to go long.

GVI Forex john 12:35 GMT October 30, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims





NEWS ALERT
Initial Claims (000)
287K vs. 281K exp. vs. 283K (r 284K) prev.
Continued Claims (mln)
2.384 vs.2.351exp. vs. 2.389 (r 2.355) prev.
Press Release



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john 12:31 GMT October 30, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. GDP 3QQ14p





ALERT
+3.50% vs. +3.00% exp. vs.+4.60% prev.


RELEASE: U.S. GDP


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 12:29 GMT October 30, 2014
Central Bankers

Fed Closes Chapter on Easy Money - Hilsenrath, wsj
Benefit of Bond-Buying Experiment Remains Unclear as Central Bank’s Focus Returns to Interest Rates

SaaR KaL 12:17 GMT October 30, 2014
Day's Trades

USDCHF

	High	Low
Avg 0.9627 0.9369
Max 0.9678 0.9418
Min 0.9553 0.9297

12/1/2014 0.9058 0.9002

starting to short

Livingston nh 11:56 GMT October 30, 2014
Central Bankers

Greece - “The reality is that there will be a climate of
uncertainty until February,” Mitsotakis, 46, said in his Athens
office overlooking the Acropolis. “Volatility is caused by the
fear of snap elections and the possibility that these will be
won by a party which is not normal.” Mitsotakis is Ministare of Administrative Reform (a whole ministry devoted to reform??) -- this issue of elections has been under the radar the past few weeks (ECB, AQR etc.)
_________
Fed avoided a 3 member dissent by acknowledging on the ground facts re: labor - Kocherlakota dissent was a freebie
for the QE4ever wing

But overnight shakeup as markets moved thru countries that could be affected by an ACTUAL rate hike has been pretty good -- the next two days see GDP (today) and Fed preferred inflation (tomorrow) that if both are higher than Fed expectations could really roil things // BUT yesterday at least set the stage

PAR 11:43 GMT October 30, 2014
Russia
Reply   
Ukraine and Russia were unsuccessful in reaching a gas agreement at their overnight talks with the EU, but another round of negotiations will take place Thursday evening. The EU, which depends on Russia for one-third of its gas, is trying to help negotiate the payment plan, fearing disruptions to its supply. Alexei Miller, head of Russia's Gazprom (OTCPK:OGZPY) says the deal can be completed only after Ukraine and the EU reach an agreement on financial guarantees from Brussels to Kiev.

london red 11:42 GMT October 30, 2014
Central Bankers

end of meth folks, here come the withdrawal symptoms. but there a call to be bought down there somewhere. lets wait and see.

NY JM 11:37 GMT October 30, 2014
Central Bankers

Peripheral spreads widening as well.

PAR 11:33 GMT October 30, 2014
Central Bankers

Athens stock market down 3.6%, bank index plunges 7.3%

GVI Forex john 11:12 GMT October 30, 2014
PIVOT POINTS: Trading System
Reply   



USD & EUR Pivots. Chart Point tables. Click chart icon to store in browser tab.



Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System


GVI Forex Blog 10:42 GMT October 30, 2014
Global Markets News
Reply   
USD strength emerged after the FED statement reaffirmed it was moving toward a tighter monetary policy more quickly than its peers. FOMC ended its 2-year bond buying program (QE3) and took on a less dovish tone. It now saw the likelihood of inflation running persistently below 2% diminishing compared to its view from early 2014 and acknowledged the improvement in the labor market.

TradeTheNews.com EU Market Update: European inflation data remains soft; German net unemployment improves for the first time in 7 months

PAR 10:08 GMT October 30, 2014
Central Bankers

Central bankers telling is that lower oil is bad are crazy . Lower oil prices are boosting discretionary spending for
99 % o the people and boosting confidence .

GVI Forex john 10:06 GMT October 30, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

Consumer Confidence final October 2014





ALERT
-11.1 vs. -11.1 vs. -11.1 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

PAR 10:06 GMT October 30, 2014
Central Bankers
Reply   
We should go back to free markets and dramatically reduce the role of central banks . The world would have been in much better shape without all the actions of the FED, ECB , BOJ etc . Creative destruction is much better than the communist and keynesian policies of the central planners protecting established interests .

SaaR KaL 09:49 GMT October 30, 2014
Day's Trades

AUDNZD will crash

	High	Low
Avg 1.1274 1.0981
Max 1.1417 1.1122
Min 1.1165 1.0875

12/1/2014 1.0907 1.0835

london red 09:45 GMT October 30, 2014
Gemany

all lower, less than f/c PAR
not sure how you got to steady/higher from there

SaaR KaL 09:44 GMT October 30, 2014
Day's Trades

CADCHF is ok short

	High	Low
Avg 0.8582 0.8323
Max 0.8662 0.8401
Min 0.8479 0.8224

12/1/2014 0.8282 0.8221

PAR 09:39 GMT October 30, 2014
Gemany
Reply   
German state CPIs steady to higher, more signs inflation may have bottomed out. Saxony 1.04% vs low 0.758% in May

SaaR KaL 09:29 GMT October 30, 2014
Day's Trades

EURGBP

	High	Low
Avg 0.7980 0.7801
Max 0.8005 0.7826
Min 0.7965 0.7787

12/1/2014 0.8138 0.8095

GVI Forex Blog 09:23 GMT October 30, 2014
Markets Unprepared For Hawkish Tone of Fed Comments. German Unemployment Better Than Seen
Reply   
HIGH IMPACT NEWS: US- Weekly Jobless, GDP, 7-yr

U.S. 3Q14 GDP is the key release today. German unemployment data were better than expected but the unemployment rate remains remarkably steady. The RBNZ kept interest rate policy steady as expected. Once again they talked down the NZD..

Markets Unprepared For Hawkish Tone of Fed Comments. German Unemployment Better Than Seen

GVI Forex john 09:15 GMT October 30, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On

Incorrect table was loaded . Manually refresh page to update.

SaaR KaL 09:07 GMT October 30, 2014
Day's Trades

Dax

	High	Low
Avg 9,199.8899 8,623.0086
Max 9,439.7519 8,847.8301
Min 8,913.1338 8,354.2336

11/30/2014 9,549.0183 9,435.8973

FTSE
	High	Low
Avg 6,498.7907 6,197.8648
Max 6,573.1892 6,268.8183
Min 6,344.5325 6,050.7495

11/30/2014 6,718.7571 6,658.9753

DJIA
	High	Low
Avg 17,052.5930 16,134.4003
Max 17,482.2459 16,540.9186
Min 16,570.6849 15,678.4404

11/30/2014 16,646.5337 16,430.0965

PAR 09:03 GMT October 30, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

German economy in very good shape despite bad weather and Russian sanctions .

london red 09:02 GMT October 30, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

saxony and bavaria inflation -0.2 and -0.3 repectively. dragged lower by fuel and food. not suggestive of good things for german or european inflation.

GVI Forex john 09:02 GMT October 30, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

German October JOBLESS fall faster than expected (lower is better). Unemployment rate is steady.


SaaR KaL 08:57 GMT October 30, 2014
Day's Trades

USDJPY

	High	Low
Avg 109.6292 105.8812
Max 110.7883 107.0006
Min 108.8102 105.0902

12/1/2014 103.7600 103.1213


NZDUSD
	High	Low
Avg 0.8027 0.7763
Max 0.8099 0.7833
Min 0.7932 0.7671

12/1/2014 0.8433 0.8363

USDCAD
	High	Low
Avg 1.1356 1.1103
Max 1.1409 1.1155
Min 1.1291 1.1040

12/1/2014 1.0974 1.0909

GVI Forex john 08:57 GMT October 30, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

German unemployment BETTER than expected.

GVI Forex john 08:56 GMT October 30, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

German Unemployment October 2014




NEWS ALERT
rate: 6.70% vs. 6.70% exp. vs. 6.70% prev.
change: -22K vs. +4k exp. vs. +12K (r +9K ) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex john 08:43 GMT October 30, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mild Risk-On
Reply   

08:30 GMT- Current Market Conditions
:
Markets are in a mild RISK-ON posture early in European  following the more hawkish than expected FOMC policy decision yesterday. Traders had been leaning the wrong way following muddled comments by Fed speakers in the midst of the stock correction a couple of weeks ago. Generally we recommend listening only to the Chair and Vice-Chair on policy.  In Far East trade, equities ended  mostly higher.  European bourses are mostly higher. U.S. share futures are up at this hour.

U.S. 10-yr yields are higher. 10-yr bund and gilts yields are mixed.Peripheral European bond yields are mostly up.




The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.


USA ZEUS 08:40 GMT October 30, 2014
EUR/USD

EUR/USD Low of the week has been put in. Rally on my friends!

PAR 08:38 GMT October 30, 2014
QE
Reply   
Fed owns 30% of US treasuries making this market completely manipulated .

USA ZEUS 08:27 GMT October 30, 2014
EUR/USD

Added mucho size long at 1.2558

london red 08:18 GMT October 30, 2014
usd
Reply   
prev low of 2571 now broken. sets up test of 12500/15 today/coming days. should get a rebound between here and 12500 for 12650 (trendline currently 55) for next shorts. if no rebound, going down fast a couple of figs. close abv 12686 unlikely while downside persists.
yen. above channel line, its targeting 109,76 but that should cap for today. need a daily close abv magic 110 to breakout. would mean euro under 125 and staying there.
cable. 15994 fib capping. 40/50 while below.

tokyo ginko 08:07 GMT October 30, 2014
Where's Ginko?

USDJPY out 109.25

will look to reload again...

GT all

PAR 07:26 GMT October 30, 2014
Russia
Reply   
Russia should go for a currency board instead of trying to intervene in the markets . Malalaysia did it with great succes in 1998 .

HK [email protected] 07:01 GMT October 30, 2014
Generally bullish outlook for Equities?
Reply   


Time to be on the guard:(

SaaR KaL 06:50 GMT October 30, 2014
Day's Trades

Gold

	High	Low
Avg 1,269.5824 1,198.6158
Max 1,284.8360 1,213.0167
Min 1,247.1990 1,177.4835

30 Days 1,294.1080 1,278.9567

SIlver
	High	Low
Avg 18.0946 16.3936
Max 18.3760 16.6486
Min 17.9285 16.2431

30 Days 19.7844 19.4102

SaaR KaL 06:46 GMT October 30, 2014
Day's Trades
Reply   
Orders placed
for 30 days TGT

AUDUSD

	High	Low
Avg 0.8938 0.8642
Max 0.9002 0.8704
Min 0.8905 0.8611

30 Days 0.9225 0.9157

EURUSD
	High	Low
Avg 1.2856 1.2543
Max 1.2955 1.2640
Min 1.2786 1.2475

30 Days 1.3477 1.3409


	High	Low
Avg 1.6266 1.5909
Max 1.6341 1.5984
Min 1.6188 1.5834

30 Days 1.6706 1.6625

GVI Forex Blog 05:54 GMT October 30, 2014 Reply   
(NZ) NEW ZEALAND CENTRAL BANK (RBNZ) LEAVES OFFICIAL CASH RATE UNCHANGED AT 3.50%, AS EXPECTED - (AU) AUSTRALIA OCT RPDATA/RISMARK HOUSE PRICE INDEX: 1.2% (5th consecutive increase) V 0.1% PRIOR- (AU)

[email protected]

USA ZEUS 05:12 GMT October 30, 2014
EUR/USD
Reply   
Initiated a long EUR/USD at 1.2589 for a swing scalp trade higher.

GVI Forex Blog 03:14 GMT October 30, 2014 Reply   
Generally bullish outlook for Equities despite the end of QE with the exception of the Dax and

Morning Briefing : 30-Oct-2014 -0313 GMT

Hong Kong AceTrader 02:33 GMT October 30, 2014
AceTrader Oct 30: Intra-Day News and Views (USD/JPY) & data to be released today
Reply   
Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views

30 Oct 2014 02:13GMT

USD/JPY - .....statement from PM Abe:
"need to flexibly review composition of GPIF's pension fund management reflecting end to deflation;
won't use pension fund management directly to boost stock prices, but change in allocation will indirectly help Japan's economy.
whether Japan can return growth path in Jul-Sep quarter will be key on if proceed with next sales tax hike to 10%;
it's true sales tax hike weakens consumers' purchasing power, must scrutinise how it effects prospects for ending deflation;
economic growth is continuing as a whole;
want to look at various data for Jul-Sep in deciding if to compile extra budget to stimulate economy."

Thursday will see the release of RBNZ rate decision, Australia's HIA new home sales, import and export prices, U.K. Nationwide house prices, Swiss KOF indicator, German unemployment rate, EU business climate, economic sentiment and final consumer confidence, U.S. jobless claims, GDP in Q3 and core PCE, German CPI and HICP.

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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