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Forex Forum Archive for 11/10/2014

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Livingston nh 23:54 GMT November 10, 2014
Mixed Risk Session. Equities Rise on Hopes Central Bank Ease to Persist. Light Calendar Week

In a light day take a look at long term monthly charts of JPY, GBP, AUD and CAD vs USD -- look at each of these from the Asian currency crisis in late '90s - the USD/CAD is breaking out as the 21mthy moves above 55 mthyema - the yen is even stronger and a 130+ fig (see MACD) is within reach in the next year

Cable is the odd man here as 21 mth ma is rising as MACD crosses down - 1.48 is doable but choppy

Long term look might mean interest rates finally rule

GVI Forex Blog 23:26 GMT November 10, 2014
Forex News
Reply   
* Dollar regains composure after post-U.S. payrolls fall

* Norwegian crown choppy after local inflation data

* U.S. bond market closed Tuesday for Veterans Day

FOREX-Dollar recovers from post-U.S. payrolls wobble, seen sideways for now

dc CB 22:55 GMT November 10, 2014
Reclassifying the Internet in the US

The point that is missed. It's not charging more for a faster service. It's the fact that many cannot purchase Broadband access at any price. And many, many are forced to pay ridiculous prices for Capped monthly bandwidth allotments, by wireless providers because there is no other service available.

http://www.bostonglobe.com/business/2014/11/10/cities-urge-fcc-override-state-laws-that-bar-municipal-broadband-services-from-expanding/6U2MEgC7CQttNHMCG7ZHsK/story.html?

also

Verizon is Unmoved By Your Town's Rally Demanding More FiOS

GVI Forex john 22:14 GMT November 10, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):
TUESDAY
CA/US (partial) Holiday
WEDNESDAY
9:30 GB Employment Major statistic
9:30 GB BOE Inflation Report insight to BOE policy
15:30 US EIA Crude
17:00 TRY 10-yr Auction
THURSDAY
5:30 JP Ind Out construction
7:00 DE HICP German CPI
13:30 US Initial Claims Weekly jobs data
17:00 UST 30-yr Auction
FRIDAY
7:00 DE GDP key German statistic
10:00 EZ 3Q14 GDP key EZ statistician
10:00 EZ HICP final EZ October CPI
13:30 US Retail Sales consumer demand
14:55 US U Mich prelim Key sentiment Survey


GVI Forex john 22:10 GMT November 10, 2014
PIVOT POINTS: Trading System

EUR Pivots. Chart Point tables. Click chart icon to store in browser tab.

Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System





Livingston nh 21:43 GMT November 10, 2014
Reclassifying the Internet in the US

Internet providers should be subject to free competition - anybody can use your cable if they pay you -- the US consumer is a victim of tech scam - xyz company will give you upload =download speed, abc company will give you high speed transmission for $XX more -- light travels at the same speed everywhere in the known universe so these companies are not giving anything away, merely charging more because of monopoly

GVI Forex john 21:28 GMT November 10, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk

CLOSING LEVELS...

GVI Forex john 20:39 GMT November 10, 2014
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

dc CB 20:36 GMT November 10, 2014
Reclassifying the Internet in the US
Reply   
In the statement, and a video on the White House website, Mr. Obama urged the Federal Communications Commission to adopt the strictest set of neutrality rules possible and to treat consumer broadband service as a public utility, similar to telephone or power companies.

(video link)

Tom Wheeler, chairman of the Federal Communications Commission, on Monday said he welcomed the presidentís input and said he agreed that the Internet should remain free and open. But he did not say whether he would fully support reclassifying broadband as a utility.

Reaction from some of the biggest broadband companies was swift and negative.

Obama Urges F.C.C. to Adopt Strict Rules on Net Neutrality

GVI Forex john 19:56 GMT November 10, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Holidays November 11, 2014
Foreign Exchange & Interest Rates closed
Equities, Commodities open

Calendar is for futures.

In essence, Banks and government offices are closed.

GVI Forex john 19:28 GMT November 10, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk

U.S 10-yr 2.353% +5bp.

GVI Forex Blog 19:25 GMT November 10, 2014
Mixed Risk Session. Equities Rise on Hopes Central Bank Ease to Persist. Light Calendar Week
Reply   
HIGH IMPACT NEWS: CA/US- Holidays

Tuesday is a bank holiday in the U.S. and Canada, but equity markets will be open. October Chinese CPI increased +1.60% y/y as expected.

Mixed Risk Session. Equities Rise on Hopes Central Bank Ease to Persist. Light Calendar Week

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 17:26 GMT November 10, 2014
EURUSD



One hour chart and 200 hour mva

Tallinn viies 17:03 GMT November 10, 2014
eurusd
Reply   
after euro almost tested 200h ma and failed to overcome it attention turns back to 1,2358. tomorrow most likely will test it.

GVI Forex john 16:55 GMT November 10, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk


16:55 GMT- Current Market Conditions
:
Late in European trade, markets remain in a  MIXED RISK posture as equities improve but bond yields trade mixed. The ECB last week kept alive the prospect of additional policy ease in the future and that has helped European equities . The October U.S. Employment report on Friday was a  Market disappointment to the markets and saw interest rates fall. Last week,  The data calendar this week is light.

In the Far East, equities ended mixed   European bourses are closing  broadly higher. U.S. shares are higher at this hour. U.S. 10-yr yields are up. 10-yr bunds and gilt yields are mixed. European peripheral bond yields are mostly higher.




The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.


GVI Forex Jay Meisler 16:37 GMT November 10, 2014
Forex Trading Tip: Why Do Retracements Work?
Reply   
This is a timely article.

This is the first of a series of articles in a video format explaining the rationale behind and showing how one might use my forex tips for trading. This one is entitled, Why do Retracements Work? but it could read How to Use Retracements to Your Forex Trading Advantage. It is one of my favorite tips and you will see why.

Forex Trading Tip: Why Do Retracements Work?

GVI Forex Blog 16:27 GMT November 10, 2014
Global Markets News
Reply   
EUR/CHF is getting even closer to the Swiss National Bank's 1.20 floor, which has not been seen since September 2012. Analysts reiterate that if the Swiss Gold Initiative referendum on Nov 30th were to pass, the SNB could be forced to choose between buying gold or giving up on the peg.

TradeTheNews.com US Market Update: US Markets Moving Higher

GVI Forex Blog 16:14 GMT November 10, 2014 Reply   
November 10, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, November 11. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: CA/US- Holidays

GVI Forex Data Outlook for November 11, 2014

GVI Forex john 16:10 GMT November 10, 2014
BREAKING NEWS



November 10, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, November 11. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: CA/US- Holidays

  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: No Major Data.
  • North America: US/CA- Holidays.


GVI Forex Jay Meisler 15:51 GMT November 10, 2014
EURUSD

Note the chart I posted earlier. For me staying bearish (other reasons as well) but chart wise as long as we stay below the 200 hour mva.

Stay tuned for an article I wrote with a video about using retracements to your advantage. Timely and highly suggested reading.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 15:14 GMT November 10, 2014
PIVOT POINTS: Trading System

EURUSD low 1.2428 vs 1.2427 daily pivot

GVI Forex john 15:10 GMT November 10, 2014
PIVOT POINTS: Trading System

USDJPY pivot point (114.81) just one pip above 114.80 HOD.

GVI Forex john 14:57 GMT November 10, 2014
PIVOT POINTS: Trading System

Daily USD based Pivot Points. Basis previous session ranges...


Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System



GVI Forex john 14:49 GMT November 10, 2014
TRADING STATISTICS

I will look into it. That's another calculation for the correlation coefficient.

gc sf 14:46 GMT November 10, 2014
TRADING STATISTICS

What would be more interesting would be which one of these markets leads to the highest ranges in FX Rates

so eg.

US 2 Year 1 basis point equals 120 points total in EUR / YEN / GBP / AUD

so we can figure which factor we should be watching the most.

GVI Forex john 14:45 GMT November 10, 2014
TRADING STATISTICS

sf, Thank you. I don't like the readings on UK 2- and 10-yr interest rates vs. GBP spot. My charts suggest there is a good relationship. I can't find any obvious errors in the calculations.

gc sf 14:40 GMT November 10, 2014
TRADING STATISTICS

nice one John.

AUD - has most correlation to Nikkei and Gold Moves --> Yen.

tokyo ginko 14:31 GMT November 10, 2014
Typical Monday?

intraday day trade long small s&p @ 2028..for positive day for stocks

GVI Forex john 14:23 GMT November 10, 2014
TRADING STATISTICS

Correlation is not causation. Its just an indication that there is a relationship between two items

1 = perfect positive correlation
0 = no correlation
-1 = perfect negative correlation


NY JM 14:19 GMT November 10, 2014
Typical Monday?
Reply   
Typical Monday and looks like a day when those who got stopped out have licked some wounds or others have stepped back to avoid the chop.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:30 GMT November 10, 2014
EURUSD
Reply   


EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

I posted this one hour chart on GVI Forex earlier. The gold line is the 200 hour mva, and has traded below it since Oct 29. This makes it a key indicator and only above it would suggest a greater risk of a retracement,

gc sf 12:08 GMT November 10, 2014
Global Markets News

maybe it is just a quiet day etc .. for sure

but also today the Chinese/Russian energy deal stuff as well - where I assume they will be bypassing the USD.

"China and Russia have signed energy cooperation agreements on the sidelines of the annual Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in Beijing.

The deals, which include a second major supply route, were signed Sunday by Russian President Vladimir Putin and his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping. The route will supply Russian natural gas to China along a western route. In May, the two sides signed a $400 billion deal for an eastern supply route."

so maybe 600-800 bio total ?? not sure

GVI Forex john 12:05 GMT November 10, 2014
TRADING STATISTICS
Reply   


GVI Forex Blog 12:04 GMT November 10, 2014
Global Markets News
Reply   
FX price action was light in a quiet session but the USD was consolidating its recent gains from prior weeks. The USD/JPY tested the 114.00 level while the EUR/USD crpept up towards 1.25

TradeTheNews.com EU Market Update: Russia again amends its FX policy as it moves closer to free float

gc sf 11:34 GMT November 10, 2014
sell euro

with $YEN too - you have too remember at some point the Japanese Investment Flows will start coming through -- so it is the case that right now its offered through some of the xxx/jpy

but you can't sell $YEN too low because you can get squeezed pretty easily any time they come in with a bid.

gc sf 11:24 GMT November 10, 2014
sell euro

Just one of those days so far - where while $YEN is offered everything else is having a hard time moving far.

GVI Forex Blog 10:50 GMT November 10, 2014
In a Week short on Calendar Releases, Equities are Opening Higher
Reply   
HIGH IMPACT NEWS: US- 3-yr auction

October Chinese CPI increased +1.60% y/y as expected. A three year U.S. and auction is due later today. Tuesday is a bank holiday in the U.S. and Canada, but equity markets will be open.

In a Week short on Calendar Releases, Equities are Opening Higher

GVI Forex john 10:42 GMT November 10, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk
Reply   

10:30 GMT- Current Market Conditions
:
Early in European trade, markets are in a  MIXED RISK posture as equities improved but bond yields fall. Despite what you might hear in the media, the October U.S. Employment report released on Friday was a disappointment to the markets and saw interest rates fall. Last week,  the ECB  kept alive the prospect kept of additional policy ease in the future. The data calendar this week is light.

In the Far East, equities ended mixed   European bourses are broadly higher. U.S. share futures are higher at this hour. U.S. 10-yr yields are lower. The10-yr bund and gilt yields are mixed. The European peripheral bond yields are mostly higher.




The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.


manila tom 10:24 GMT November 10, 2014
sell euro
Reply   
sold 1.2488, stop above 1.2520

GVI Forex john 10:07 GMT November 10, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

EARLIER China CPI. Tame inflation.

GVI Forex john 10:03 GMT November 10, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

BREAKING NEWS: China CPI October 2014





Earlier
CPI yy: +1.60% vs. +1.60% exp. vs. +1.60% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

London London 09:30 GMT November 10, 2014
New signal - Try our free trial
Reply   
Buy
Entry: Target: Stop:

New Signal: Buy NZD/USD @ 0.78129. at 2014.11.10
S.L - 55
T.P + 55

Explanation: It's market signal - You need to place the order in your trading account if the position does not reach to Stop loose or take profit.



Posted with permission of global-view.com

forex signals

nw kw 08:47 GMT November 10, 2014
nzdjpy

4h xagjpy slightly down compared to pack,triying to short gbp/jpy,but chf/jpy can fall hard

tokyo ginko 07:50 GMT November 10, 2014
nzdjpy

close out all usd/jpy short position @ 113.90

gc sf 06:33 GMT November 10, 2014
Morning

Putin is about to address APEC

who knows what he may say or may not say.

gc sf 05:41 GMT November 10, 2014
Morning

the nikkei is actually up a few points - while the $yen has been holding around the lows

so you would imagine $yen will move up 10-20 pts and some of these other things will fall 10 pips or so.

Asia seems to be thinking that xxx/jpy is overbought and looking for some correction .. so as I mentioned earlier tomorrows open should be very easy pickings as to direction.

GVI Forex Blog 05:37 GMT November 10, 2014 Reply   
(CN) CHINA OCT TRADE BALANCE: $45.4B V $42.0BE; Exports Y/Y: 11.6% v 10.6%e; Imports Y/Y: 4.6% v 5.0%e - (CN) CHINA OCT CPI Y/Y: 1.6% V 1.6%E (matches lowest level since Jan 2010) - (CN) CHINA OCT PP

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: Shanghai, Hong Kong rally on confirmation of trading link; China inflation and trade figures remain soft ***Economic Data*** - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Blog 04:16 GMT November 10, 2014 Reply   
Dow (17,573.93, +0.11%) continues to hold above 17500 as the underlying economic

Morning Briefing : 10-Nov-2014 -0415 GMT

Hong Kong AceTrader 02:08 GMT November 10, 2014
AceTrader Nov 10: Intra-Day News and Views (USD/JPY) & data to be released today
Reply   
Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views

10 Nov 2014 01:05GMT

USD/JPY - 114.38.. Dlr opened in NZ around where it left off in NY Friday (around 114.62), however, renewed usd's broad-based weakness following a weak closing Friday pressured price in NZ/AUS, the pair fell 1-tick below Friday's 114.26 low at Tokyo open but lack of follow-through selling quickly lifted price.

Despite the Dow & S&P 500 indices touching record closing highs for the 3rd day in a row, intra-day weakness in the Nikkei (currently down 121 points at 16759) as well as falling U.S. treasury yields suggests dlr may well have formed a temporary high at Friday's fresh 7-year peak at 115.62.
Offers are tipped at 114.60/65 n more above with stops touted above 115.00.
On the downside, initial bids are noted at 114.25-20 and more below at 114.10-00 with stops reported below there, suggesting consolidation with downside bias is in store.


Data to be released this week:

Australia housing finance, China CPI, PPI, Italy industrial output, EU sentix index and Canada housing starts on Monday.

Japan trade balance, current account, tertiary industry index, Australia home price index, NAB business confidence, France market holiday, Canada market holiday and U.S. market holiday on Tuesday.

Australia Wage price index, UK average earnings, claimant count, ILO unemployment, BoE inflation report, EU industrial production, U.S. redbook retail sales, wholesale inventories and wholesale sales on Wednesday.

Japan CGPI, machinery orders, industrial output, capacity utilization, China industrial output, retail sales, Germany CPI, HICP, Swiss PPI, Italy CPI, Canada housing price index, U.S. jobless claims and Federal budget on Thursday.

France GDP, Germany GDP, Italy GDP, UK construction output, EU GDP, CPI, U.S. retail sales, export prices, import prices, business inventories, U. of Michigan sentiment and Canada manufacturing sales on Friday.

gc sf 02:06 GMT November 10, 2014
Morning

NZD just moving through .7785 now - so we just need to see if this continues (yes/no) .. and spills into a little more USD weakness in the other markets if the break is maintained.

gc sf 01:53 GMT November 10, 2014
Morning

YEN

if you look at where the MA lie in this market

you have resistance now @114.78 and support @113.60

with this market obviously so dependent on Stock Markets in the bigger picture will be interesting to see where we open tomorrow to really gauge strength/weakness..... as to date we have never really threatened any trailing s/l under the market .. and now we know anyone short has their s/l above 115.55... which seems to be out of reach for now.

gc sf 01:48 GMT November 10, 2014
Morning

NZD

you noticed the NZD overcame those 3 resistances last week by about 10 points . and then dropped 150

we are now moving to the top again @7785 - which is down from 7825 from last week... something to keep an eye on.

gc sf 01:45 GMT November 10, 2014
Morning
Reply   
EUR

my systems are bidding in eurusd looking for 40-90 (range strategy)

YEN

they are trading 32-52 initially (range strategy)


Overall NFP was on the low side - and rather than breaking 115.50 we have fallen back into the range as well as eurusd..... kind of uninspiring really but you can see how these markets are linked.

GOLD has actually been the leader through this - I noticed it moving 3-5 minutes before the other markets - so will be watching for this as we move through the week.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 00:52 GMT November 10, 2014
Euro

Sanibel, you are a stand up trader with that post

Right idea but no cigar

GVI Forex Blog 00:51 GMT November 10, 2014
Forex News
Reply   
* Dollar index opens lower in Asia, bulls disappointed by payrolls

* U.S. nonfarm payrolls up 214,000 vs 231,000 forecast

* China inflation data next in focus

FOREX-Dollar rally loses steam post-payrolls, China inflation next

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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