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Forex Forum Archive for 11/13/2014

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Dillon AL 23:18 GMT November 13, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

There you have it in a nutshell ACC. Those companies believe they are better at managing that money than their investors but the reality is the only reason for buy-backs is to improve EPS. That does not help the economy

gc sf 23:02 GMT November 13, 2014
Asia
Reply   
GBP = Check
EUR = Fail
YEN = No Result
AUD = Waiting for the Russians
NZD = Dairy Products must have doubled overnight for some reason.

$YEN most likely we check support first and if that holds then in the afternoon we test 90 - and potentially 116.40

Morning Sessions have all tended to distribute first so its probably easier to start looking at a trade around lunch time.

If there is a case for $yen to test 115.20 I don't see it -- seems more likely 45 55 58 62 is the low on the day.

I don't have any orders yet - Bots are hibernating.

Sydney ACC 22:57 GMT November 13, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

But what of the billions stashed away by the likes of Apple, Google, Microsoft et al.

Unless this money is used to buy back their own shares which indirectly returns the funds to the equity market it is invested in the money markets earning miniscule rates of return.

I rarely see comments regarding these unproductive funds which could be used by shareholders to invest in other companies possibly more productively.

Tallinn viies 22:51 GMT November 13, 2014
eurusd
Reply   
imho range for today 1,2430 - 1,2530

Dillon AL 22:49 GMT November 13, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

So taking the article. The bank that never sleeps says that there is benefit but the reality is they mention a slowing economy so the benefit will be saved not spent.
Ditto same point about Grossenburg why would he not just keep the money rather than spend it.
And as for farmers hauling their crops to market benefiting well yes but they got hurt this last year with falling grain prices so I do not believe that the economy will benefit from what essentially is worth to the man / woman in the street somewhere around 400-500 bucks per year assuming a weekly fill up
The turn down in the economy will make people cautious.

dc CB 22:29 GMT November 13, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

“If oil prices stay between $75 and $95 a barrel, we would see the kind of stimulus package that the Federal Reserve or Congress could never do,”

The owner of Grossenburg Implement, a farm equipment business, Mr. Grossenburg sends his small fleet of trucks hundreds of miles from his main location in the small town of Winner, S.D., every day during the fall harvest season. Grossenburg Implement consumes roughly 250,000 gallons of diesel and gasoline a year, he said, so the savings at the pump could lift the company’s annual profit by $100,000

Lower Oil Prices Give a Lift to the American Economy

GVI Forex john 22:06 GMT November 13, 2014
BREAKING NEWS



November 13, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, November 14. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: DE- GDP, EZ- GDP, Final HICP, US- Import Prices, Retail Sales, University of Michigan, Business Inventories

  • Far East: JP- No Major Data
  • Europe: DE- GDP, EZ- GDP, Final HICP
  • North America: US- Import Prices, Retail Sales, University of Michigan, Business Inventories, Natural Gas, COT Report


GVI Forex john 22:05 GMT November 13, 2014
PIVOT POINTS: Trading System



EUR Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels, Support and Resistance. Chart Point tables. Click chart icon to store in browser tab.



Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System





GVI Forex john 22:00 GMT November 13, 2014
PIVOT POINTS: Trading System



USD Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables. Click chart icon to store in browser tab.


Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System


Mtl JP 21:48 GMT November 13, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

dc CB from that chart when is crude and refined gasoline going to be sold at $0.00 ? or, better yet: consumers be paid $0.02 to fill their tanks?
you know... in keeping with banks' negative rates theme

dc CB 21:45 GMT November 13, 2014
BREAKING NEWS



14:55 US U Mich prelim Key sentiment Survey

should be off the charts

GVI Forex john 21:23 GMT November 13, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On

CLOSING LEVELS...





GVI Forex john 20:49 GMT November 13, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):
FRIDAY
7:00 DE GDP key German statistic
10:00 EZ 3Q14 GDP key EZ statistician
10:00 EZ HICP final EZ October CPI
13:30 US Retail Sales consumer demand
14:55 US U Mich prelim Key sentiment Survey
 

GVI Forex john 20:41 GMT November 13, 2014
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

PAR 19:56 GMT November 13, 2014
Correlation

If s&p should ever go down 100 points Yellen will come with QE4 .

Minneapolis DRS2 19:45 GMT November 13, 2014
Correlation

The possible loss is low, but the risk is high that any short will get stopped out first...unless a huge stop is used. Otherwise you have to perfectly place the short to make a minimal stop loss, which some people can do...most can't.

Mtl JP 19:42 GMT November 13, 2014
Correlation

I highly like high odds and low risk trade parameters:
the high's been 2043.50

Minneapolis DRS2 19:37 GMT November 13, 2014
Correlation

S&P price might go down 300 pips, or it might very well run straight up past that resistance line for a while to knock out all the stops first. The question to be asked is where to place the short orders (if shorting is indeed what you want).

Mtl JP 19:21 GMT November 13, 2014
Correlation



This chart projection suggests 300 point loss
tia for views, dissent or otherwise
tia

GVI Forex Blog 19:11 GMT November 13, 2014
Mixed Risk Trade Thursday. Focus on GBP Weakness and Whether EURCHF Peg Would Hold
Reply   
HIGH IMPACT NEWS: DE- GDP, EZ- GDP, Final HICP, US- Import Prices, Retail Sales, University of Michigan, Business Inventories

Friday highlights include: German and Eurozone GDP, U.S. Retail Sales Data and the preliminary University of Michigan Survey. The GBP fell as worries about the U.K. economy mount. The EURCHF 1.20 peg was in play, but the SNB was able to hold the line.

Mixed Risk Trade Thursday. Focus on GBP Weakness and Whether EURCHF Peg Would Hold

Mtl JP 19:05 GMT November 13, 2014
Correlation

lets pretend correlation:
as numbnuts Abe and Kuroda try to demolish the yen to 145 to the dollar, on a straight line basis where should that put the Nikkei ?

Paris ib 19:00 GMT November 13, 2014
Correlation

JM - what can I say? The whole market is a bit of a joke at the moment IMVHO. I don't think Japanese pension buying is going to have a huge impact on the U.S. market. But for now the punters are going with that.

NY JM 18:44 GMT November 13, 2014
Correlation

ib, I think gc pointed out earlier in the week to be wary when USDJPY dips as a stock buy order from the government pension fund can come in at any time.

So your logic is correct but it still gives the feeling of being in a casino watching micro moves in equities for direction.

Paris ib 18:40 GMT November 13, 2014
Correlation

No not gambling. But the prevailing view has been that the USD/JPY rallies as a result of a presumed / expected flood of money out of Japan into the States and presumably stocks. Personally I can see the case where money printing in Japan pushes yields way down in Japan and stocks up in Japan without any major flood of new money to the outside world taking place. But for now the meme persists.

london red 18:39 GMT November 13, 2014
PIVOT POINTS: Trading System

john, one for your notes. the intraday bear/bull trap. works well thru ma but equally thru other tech lines, but classic thru ma's.
take the euro hourly. notice the move down thru the 200 hour ma drew in sellers and these are now caught short as price moved back to close above the 200 hour ma. we know they have to close and this has set the upside bias. generally the prevailing bar moves abv/below the high/low of the prev bar. why would you look for this reversal? its inline with the short term uptrend (trendline nov 7/11 lows on hourly). these are small tech based moves which might yield just a dozen points initially but can yield much move if there is follow thru.

NY JM 18:36 GMT November 13, 2014
Correlation
Reply   
The correlation with equities, especially usdjpy, gives the feeling of being in a casino and trading is not gambling.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 17:06 GMT November 13, 2014
sell gbpusd

EURGBP has a resistance (Oct 21 high) at .7942 before a void on the upside. High so far has been .7941

Mtl JP 16:59 GMT November 13, 2014
PIVOT POINTS: Trading System

Gold is insurance. Insurance costs. Until one fine but ugly day, it serves its purpose against peoples' - in our case printers' - folly.

london red 16:49 GMT November 13, 2014
PIVOT POINTS: Trading System

bricks and mortar JP. im not a gold bug. dont pay the/any rent.

jkt abel 16:48 GMT November 13, 2014
sell gbpusd
Reply   
sold gbpusd 1.5730, adding near 1.5750, stop above 1.5780

GVI Forex john 16:45 GMT November 13, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On


13 November--  16:20  GMT- Current Market Conditions
:
Europe markets remain in in a  RISK ON posture late in Europe as central banks almost universally fret publicly about slow economic growth and the need to continue to pursue an easy monetary policy.One focus today is the SNB EURCHF peg at 1.2000

In the Far East, equities ended mixed. European bourses are closing higher. U.S. share futures are up. U.S 10-yr Note yield has fallen. 10-yr bund yields are lower  Gilt yields are now lower. European peripheral bond yields are mostly up.




The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.


Central Kwun 16:41 GMT November 13, 2014
Yellen speech
Reply   
Sell ...
Entry: Target: Stop:

May I know what time for yellen's speech?

GVI Forex Blog 16:41 GMT November 13, 2014
Global Markets News
Reply   
Oil prices remain a major driver of trade. WTI is slipping back towards $75 for the first time since 2009 while Brent is getting a foothold below the $80 mark. Washington appears to be pushing towards a vote on the XL pipeline while more soft economic data out of China and Europe continue to weigh on prices.

TradeTheNews.com US Market Update: Oil slides and most stocks enjoy the ride

Mtl JP 16:41 GMT November 13, 2014
PIVOT POINTS: Trading System

red 16:27 re "they are in control of their own destiny given they can print." = all the more reason for individuals to accumulate and hold Gold outside the banking system rather than rely on govt or its CB seeking Gold standard.

london red 16:27 GMT November 13, 2014
PIVOT POINTS: Trading System

there will be no other line in the sand. its either 1.20 or nothing. any credibility the bank has will disappear and then they will have the problem of eurusd dragging the cross lower just as the eurgbp.
but no reason not to burns specs by allowing a dip under before vaulting it higher. when market gets swung sharply both ways it gets paralysed and will eventually trade the path of least resistance. never used to be this way, but these days ipads have replaced balls and most cant trade but just follow orders from above.
so thats the route they could choose, burn both sides. despite the referendum, they are in control of their own destiny given they can print.

GVI Forex john 16:19 GMT November 13, 2014
PIVOT POINTS: Trading System

JP this is a case where you are betting on a political decision for a central bank not to pull out. I was taught early in my trading life by some very smart people never to trust the central banks. They are not your friends.

Nevertheless, I feel pretty strongly that the SNB is committed to holding the line in EURCHF. If they pull out once, they will be tested even more strongly at their next line in the sand.

My only worry is the pent up EURCHF selling that initially will be unleashed if 1.2000 is breached. Under those circumstances a 1.1992 stop-loss might not be not be executed until we trade a lot lower.

I hope this all makes sense.

Mtl JP 16:07 GMT November 13, 2014
PIVOT POINTS: Trading System

john 15:44 do you see a long eurchf at market against S3 +/- a few pips as a good trade opportunity or riski poke at the interventionist meddling SNB d3vil ?

GVI Forex john 16:03 GMT November 13, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

US EIA Weekly Inventories



NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: -1.740 vs. +0.500 exp vs. +0.460 prev.
Gasoline: +1.800 vs. +0.500 exp vs. -1.210 prev.
Distillates: -2.800 vs. -1.500 exp vs. -1.380 prev.
Cap/Util: 90.1% vs. n/a exp vs. 88.40% prev.
Weekly Petroleum Status Report




TTN: Live News Special Offer

london red 15:56 GMT November 13, 2014
PIVOT POINTS: Trading System

eurchf. the theory goes snb would have to sell some euro reserves to buy gold which is in conflict with its peg policy. but they could in theory print unlimited quantities of chf and sell this to buy gold and i suspect thats what might happen since they will have plenty of time (years) to make the adjustment.

GVI Forex john 15:44 GMT November 13, 2014
PIVOT POINTS: Trading System

With EURCHF a main focus of trade today

Some key pivot point levels are:

R1 1.2034

Pivot 1.2036

S1 1.2013
S2 1.2005
S3 1.1992

Narrow bands reflect the tight range within which this currency par trades

20-day average 1.2052

With the SNB having held 1.2000 for a very long time, you can assume there must be heavy stops, options, etc accumulated below that line.

london red 15:34 GMT November 13, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

euro. current day high about right for triangle top. so if to move higher it will run a few stops (any new high constitutes/qualifies as higher) to 125 plus but selling 10-20 with stop over 35 should work. if wrong you are looking at a move towards last weeks high, the importance of which has been highlighted by viies. but they wont bust that ahead of tomorrow gdp.

NY JM 15:32 GMT November 13, 2014
PIVOT POINTS: Trading System

EURUSD buying appears to be coming from a firmer EURJPY and to a lesser extent EURGBP buying. This appears to be order driven more than spec buying. Resistance at 1.2499/00-10

Pivots worked well with 1.2450 and 115.49 helping to set respective tones.

PAR 15:32 GMT November 13, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

WTI approaching $ 75 .

GVI Forex john 15:28 GMT November 13, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

JOLTS: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey

These data serve as demand-side indicators of labor shortages at the national level. Prior to JOLTS, there was no economic
indicator of the unmet demand for labor with which to assess the presence or extent of labor shortages in the United States. The availability of unfilled jobs—the job openings rate—is an important measure of the tightness of job markets, parallel to existing measures of unemployment.

PAR 15:18 GMT November 13, 2014
EURCHF
Reply   
Rumors SNB to introduce negative interest rates to defend
EURCHF 1.2000 .

PAR 15:15 GMT November 13, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

Keyword is " DISAGREEMENTS " .

GVI Forex 15:13 GMT November 13, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

Pop in EURUSD nay have come from this (which seems like damage control but market reacted anyway)

10:05 (EU) ECB's Liikanen (Finland) says last week's report of tensions between Draghi and other ECB council members is inaccurate - press interview
- Denies the report that Draghi and Germany's Weidmann are not getting along.
- Liikanen says discussions at the ECB meeting last week was civilized, and disagreements are a normal part of the policy discussion and process.

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex john 15:09 GMT November 13, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

Fed said to watch the JOLTS Data very closely for policy purposes.


PAR 15:04 GMT November 13, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

Jobless claims approaching the magical 300000 number .

GVI Forex john 15:01 GMT November 13, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. BLS JOLTS Survey September 2014



ALERT
Job Openings:
mln: 4.73 vs. 4.75 exp. vs. 4.84 prev (r 4.850 ) rev.

BLS: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary


PAR 14:56 GMT November 13, 2014
FED
Reply   
Fed s comments keep boosting stock markerts and are putting pressure on the US dollar . Us economy is not good and is not bad , same as Germany .

Mtl JP 14:52 GMT November 13, 2014
EUR/CHF

Even if the Gold yes side wins the vote, it could be a long long time (i.e. years) before it would become an effective legal obligation. Assuming some immediate post-yes-vote action would be to dismiss SNB's craftiness.

Geneva Don 14:49 GMT November 13, 2014
EUR/CHF
Reply   
EUR/CHF level is at risk because Switzerland has an important vote
about GOLD in two weeks.
If theYES win,SNB must cover 20% of his currency by Gold and keep
the gold reserve in the country.
This issue will bother a lot SNB fight to keep eur/chf close to 1.20

Mtl JP 14:34 GMT November 13, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

not wanting to sound facetious but would the non-political SNB not be first more concerned with the strength of chf rather than that of the euro ?

GVI Forex john 14:30 GMT November 13, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

Chatter SNB is actively supporting the !.2000 EURCHF peg. That means they are buying EUR for CHF. In other words they want the EUR to strengthen vs. the CHF.

Indirectly, I would suppose this is EURUSD supportive.

hk ab 14:06 GMT November 13, 2014
mkt
Reply   
bc, May I ask, after 1.2000 and 1100, can gold resumes its long term journey? or the 5k target would be a much more distant target? TIA.

I also notice the neg. correlation of eur/jpy and gold for a little while. Isn't it strange for this pair of old couple?

Mtl JP 13:54 GMT November 13, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

awww.... what is a 12,000 rise in initial jobless claims besides noise ?

GVI Forex john 13:44 GMT November 13, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims about at frictional lows...




Click on chart for over ten-year history


PRESS RELEASE: U.S. Weekly Unemployment Insurance Claims

GVI Forex john 13:32 GMT November 13, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims



NEWS ALERT

Initial Claims (000)
290K vs. 280K exp. vs. 278K (r n/a K) prev.
Continued Claims (mln)
2.392 vs. 2.320 exp. vs. 2.348 (r 2.356) prev.
Press Release



TTN: Live News Special Offer

HK [email protected] 13:31 GMT November 13, 2014
Guess Where the JPY Flows Are Going



"AUD (+1.3%) and NZD (+2.1%) the outperformers (guess why)"

Any other guess except interest differentials compared to the JPY?

GVI Forex john 13:25 GMT November 13, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

November 13 Speech--Chair Janet L. Yellen
Welcoming Remarks At the European Central Bank, Federal Reserve Board, and Federal Reserve Bank of New York Conference: Global Research Forum on International Macroeconomics and Finance, Washington, D.C.
No Q&A

12:45 p.m. ET 17:45 GMT

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:01 GMT November 13, 2014
MARKET STATISTICS: Part 2-- Daily Trading Ranges

No one has commented on John's last post but his charts are a lead indicator that can be invaluable for trading.

If it is not clear please ask as he has been ahead of the curve all year (e.g. he called a weakening German economy when most everyone was still calling it resilient).

GVI Forex john 12:44 GMT November 13, 2014
MARKET STATISTICS: Part 2-- Daily Trading Ranges

The important thing about the UK 2-yr note is that it tipped us off well in advance about the change is sentiment about the U.K. economy. This change in sentiment has been reflected in the EURGBP cross over the past two days, but the EURGBP cross bottomed way back at the end of September.

Those who have been watching over the past couple of months will recall we have been noting that UK economic data have been turning mixed. You can't trade very well on the fundamentals, but they can influence your trading bias.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:42 GMT November 13, 2014
Guess Where the JPY Flows Are Going
Reply   
Looking at the week so far,

AUD (+1.3%) and NZD (+2.1%) the outperformers (guess why)

USDJPY (+0.8%) and GBPUSD (-0.8%) the underperformers (for different reasons)

EURUSD is currently +12 pips (+0.1%) on the week

GVI Forex john 12:27 GMT November 13, 2014
MARKET STATISTICS: Part 2-- Daily Trading Ranges

REFRESH PAGE to correct chart below

GVI Forex john 12:24 GMT November 13, 2014
MARKET STATISTICS: Part 2-- Daily Trading Ranges

Take a look at how changing outlook (les strong) for U.K. economy has weighed on GBPUSD. Plot is against the 2-yr note.


2-yr yield GBP vs. GBPUSD. This one is working.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:21 GMT November 13, 2014
PIVOT POINTS: Trading System



1.5721 = 61.8% of 1.4812-1.7191

See weekly chart (I show 1.4815 instead of 1.4812 - should be 1.4812)

london red 12:12 GMT November 13, 2014
PIVOT POINTS: Trading System

eurgbp. 100 day maand 50 % fib (7750/8050) at 7916. if breaks then 7923, a trendline which i expected to be pivotal (lvl also 50% of 7800/8050). a failure should see 7880 while a break takes us to 7952 and while 7923 trendline continues to hold a move to 7995/8050 possible. so a pretty imp band of res.
as for cable, the big fib at 5721 is likely to break in tandem with a 7923 break, one wont go without the other.

GVI Forex john 12:02 GMT November 13, 2014
PIVOT POINTS: Trading System

EURUSD 1.2450 pivot
Market neutrality today

USDJPY 115.49 pivot
Neutral

GBPUSD 1.5834 pivot
GBP soft since dovish BOE yesterday.

GVI Forex 11:36 GMT November 13, 2014
PIVOT POINTS: Trading System

R1 = 1.2479 vs. 1.2475 high

GVI Forex john 11:34 GMT November 13, 2014
PIVOT POINTS: Trading System



EUR Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables. Click chart icon to store in browser tab.



Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System


GVI Forex Blog 11:34 GMT November 13, 2014
Global Markets News
Reply   
The EUR/USD consolidated its recent losses in the session. ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) cut its inflation and growth forecasts for 2014-16 period but confirmed ECB view of little risk of deflation was seen. The focus turning to Friday's release of numerous Q3 GDP data (includes France, Germany, Italy, Portugal and the Euro Zone)

TradeTheNews.com EU Market Update: China data shows fresh signs of sluggishness while ECB Survey of Forecasters cut inflation and growth outlook for 2014-16 period

GVI Forex john 11:29 GMT November 13, 2014
PIVOT POINTS: Trading System
Reply   


USD Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables. Click chart icon to store in browser tab.



Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System


GVI Forex john 11:12 GMT November 13, 2014
MARKET STATISTICS: Part 2-- Daily Trading Ranges
Reply   

 As a trading tool we publish regularly average daily trading ranges for over a dozen currency trading pairs. We also produce the ranges for various periods ranging from 5 to 200 day periods. I feel these statistics can be useful when they are changing because they can be indicating that market volatility is changing. Obviously while current data are not necessarily a prediction of the future, they can be a useful indication of the present state of the markets.

MARKET STATISTICS: Part 2-- Daily Trading Ranges

perth wtr 10:31 GMT November 13, 2014
buy euro

let's try some long euro 1.2471 tom, adding near 1.2450, stop under 1.2420

GVI Forex Blog 10:30 GMT November 13, 2014
Risk On Bias to Trade Early Today. Economic Data Calendar Picks Up
Reply   
HIGH IMPACT NEWS: US- Weekly Jobless, JOLTS Survey, 30-yr Auction

Key items Thursday are U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims, the JOLTS Survry and a 30-yr auction. German final October HICP was unchanged from its flash estimate. GDP data tomorrow might see the economy slip into recession.

Risk On Bias to Trade Early Today. Economic Data Calendar Picks Up

manila tom 10:25 GMT November 13, 2014
buy euro
Reply   
buy euro today as long as above 1.2420, 1.2450 also good

GVI Forex john 10:17 GMT November 13, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On
Reply   

13 November--  10:15 GMT- Current Market Conditions
:
Europe markets have moved into in a  RISK ON posture early in Europe as central banks almost universally fret publicly about slow economic growth and the need to continue to pursue an easy monetary policy. The U.S. economic calendar picks up today.

In the Far East, equities ended mixed. European bourses are broadly higher. U.S. share futures are higher. U.S 10-yr Note yields are up. 10-yr bund yields are lower  Gilt yields are up. European peripheral bond yields are mixed.




The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.


GVI Forex john 09:57 GMT November 13, 2014
BREAKING NEWS

EARLIER: German final HICP unchanged from flash report


GVI Forex john 09:53 GMT November 13, 2014
BREAKING NEWS


BREAKING NEWS: German HICP (CPI) final October 2014




Earlier NEWS Release
mm: -0.30% vs. -0.30% exp. vs. -0.30% prev.
yy:+0.70% vs. +0.70% exp. vs. +0.70% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

London Chris 09:45 GMT November 13, 2014
cable

Question:What is holding up the EURUSD?

Answer: EURGBP is up almost 120 pips from yesterday's low

GVI Forex john 09:37 GMT November 13, 2014
Central Banks - Who is most dovish ?

fwiw Dudley speaks for the Fed. Bullard speaks for himself.

Tallinn viies 09:33 GMT November 13, 2014
eurusd
Reply   
euro once again testing 200 h sma. most likely will fail again. sharp spike to 1,2530 not ruled by my logic but as long as last week high 1,2577 contains upmoves trend is still clearly lower toward 1,2280 in november...

london red 09:28 GMT November 13, 2014
cable
Reply   
prev high 15751. if can get thru then 61.8 of 148/172 at 15721 is tgt. imp res remains 15786/90.

PAR 08:52 GMT November 13, 2014
Central Banks - Who is most dovish ?
Reply   
Dovish BOJ - Dovish ECB - Dovish FED - Dovish BOE -Dovish PBOC


FEDs Dudley trying to do a Bullard by saying rates will stay low for a very long time .

gc sf 08:48 GMT November 13, 2014
Russia Navy Update
Reply   
"Russian officials have responded to the frenzy surrounding the convoy of heavily armed warships that are heading to Australia - and you won't believe what it is.

7News broke this story last night about the move, which is being seen as a defiant gesture not just to Australia but to the West and a reminder that Russia is still a big player in global affairs.

Prime Minister Tony Abbott has ordered for the Russians to be monitored around the clock.

The official response is that Russia is testing its pacific fleet's range capability, believe it or not, in case it has to do climate change research in the Antarctic.

The embassy spokesman also added that the Russian warships may have to provide security for their president, but it seems that Australia is simply being dragged into a geopolitical play by a resurgent Russia.

Stung by the rise of China and an America that's reasserting its authority in the region, Russia is sending a message to the world: Don't forget about us."

Hong Kong AceTrader 08:28 GMT November 13, 2014
AceTrader Nov 13: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views (GBP/USD)
Reply   

13 Nov 2014 08:03GMT

GBP/USD - ...... Cable remains under pressure in European morning after yesterday's dovish BoE inflation report and hovers just above Aust.'s fresh 14-month low at 1.5760.

Fresh offers are noted at 1.5775/80 and around 1.5790 with stops emerging above 1.5800, however, more selling interest from various accounts is placed in the region of 1.5820-40.
On the downside, bids from profit-taking are touted at 1.5750-40 and around 1.5720 with buying interest from real accounts located further out at 1.5700.

This morning Cable tumbled on Wednesday after the BoE downgraded U.K. inflation forecasts significantly in its quarterly Inflation Report n dampened market's hopes of rate hike in early 2015.
BoE said in the report that inflation rate in U.K. may fall below 1.0% at sometime within the next 6-months and growth prospects are also somewhat lower to 2.9% in 2015. The British pound fell sharply after the report, dropping fm intra-day high of 1.5940 to 1.5776 in NY afternoon n then further to a fresh 14-month trough at 1.5760 in Australia earlier this morning before stabilising.
Earlier, as cable remained under pressure with no U.K. eco. release are due, selling the pound on recovery is the way to go. buying interest from real accounts located at 1.5700.

Paris ib 08:08 GMT November 13, 2014
One CB is NOT printing

bc - Thanks for clarifying who the Chinese speakers fighting with ISIS in the Middle East might be. I find the whole thing mind boggling. And for me it makes the global geopolitical situation just that much more difficult to read. I can't help but feeling we are playing without the full deck of cards.

Summit in Brisbane, robust rhetoric from the Rhodes scholar -which frankly I find pitiful (but still), Russian war ships hanging around somewhere off Brisbane but apparently they do that at every gathering (?)... even so some people (judging from the propaganda output) are spoiling for another major war. Good for the arms merchants, the police and surveillance state and pretty much no-one else.

Meanwhile the cost of refunding the U.S. government debt keeps rising (no-one comments or notices)....

Russia and the ships

london red 07:56 GMT November 13, 2014
euro

sorry thats in an hour and between not better.

london red 07:55 GMT November 13, 2014
euro
Reply   
supported by trendline (nov 7/11), part of a loose triangle formation (hourly). ecb monthly report due in an hour and a half likely to see some downwards revisions to inflation outlook. watch the trendline, because if we can move and stay below, likely upside of triangle gets tested c. 90. stops abv 2520/30 should be safe ahead of tomorrow euro gdp and us sales.
cable. res 15786 fib, 90 prev low. upside 15875/80 poss if overcome, but while below this fib, downside v much in play. bar not v high but market digesting change in rate outlook. players need to differentiate better growth and rate outlook. uk growth in a good place relatively but rate outlook to lag given external influences. uk internal growth is fine, europe a drag. monitor internal via wage vs inflation and oil. we saw avg earnings move abv inflation for first time in a long time and this will keep the doves in check. folks will have more to spend and this will underpin the economy and low inflation/oil/currency mix aids uk manufacturer/exporter. eurgbp remains a sell on blips higher.

GVI Forex Blog 06:00 GMT November 13, 2014 Reply   
(KR) BANK OF KOREA (BOK) LEAVES 7-DAY REPO RATE AT 2.00% (AS EXPECTED) - (JP) JAPAN OCT CGPI (PPI) M/M: -0.8% V -0.4%E; Y/Y: 2.9% (7-month low) V 3.3%E - (JP) JAPAN SEPT MACHINE ORDERS M/M: 2.9% (4-m

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: AUD slides on RBA intervention chatter; BOK on hold with an eye on weak Yen - Source TradeTheNews.com

gc sf 05:47 GMT November 13, 2014
Asia
Reply   
Asia has pretty much done what Asia tends to do.

Bid $YEN -- offer EUR + GBP then when they stop going down buy it back.

Now as we wind down and Europe comes in - let's see if they can re-assert EUR + GBP back on a stronger downward path... that sees us back to 1.2370-80 + 1.5680 - 1.5730

shanghai bc 05:22 GMT November 13, 2014
One CB is NOT printing


FW CS

Greetings..Hope you are fine..Medium-term,expecting to see Eur 1.200 and Gold 1100 at some point..And medium-term bounce from there for several months..


All the best to you..

FW CS 04:26 GMT November 13, 2014
One CB is NOT printing

Bali
thanks. I think one is free to express views here that was intent of this place and to at least listen to other views whether agree or not.

Euro comments a close below 1.2390 opens up the recent low and a Possible waterfall decline.

Syd 04:23 GMT November 13, 2014
Source TradeTheNews.com
Reply   
(AU) RBA's Kent: Has not ruled out intervention on AUD - AUD too high relative to fundamentals- Looking forward to time when US normalizes rates- Labour market subdued, improving signs- Jobless rate broadly consistent with below trend growth - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Blog 03:57 GMT November 13, 2014 Reply   
Dow (14,612.20, -0.02%) bounced off from its supports at 17,500 to end the day unchanged. This

Morning Briefing : 13-Nov-2014 -0356 GMT

FW CS 03:53 GMT November 13, 2014
One CB is NOT printing

This $ bull looks very mature. Euro near long term support. Maybe $ has say another 5% upside. $ jpy another story.

HK [email protected] 03:49 GMT November 13, 2014
AUD/NZD
Reply   

Clear crash mode from 1.1300, through 1.1200 support, may reach back to 1.0475, within weeks.

Livingston nh 02:40 GMT November 13, 2014
One CB is NOT printing

Done - apologies

Hong Kong AceTrader 02:38 GMT November 13, 2014
AceTrader Nov 13: Intra-Day News and Views (USD/JPY) & data to be released today
Reply   
Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views

13 Nov 2014 02:18GMT

USD/JPY - ...... After taking centre stage by swinging wildly in Asia, European & NY sessions on Wednesday, the greenback has moved narrowly in relatively subdued Tokyo morning trading as the absence of market-moving comments by Japanese official(s) has kept price moving sideways.

Dlr showed muted reaction to early release of Japan's machinery orders which showed an unexpected rise of 2.9% in September vs forecast of a drop of 1.9%. However, for those who like to trade on comments/news, keep an eye on breaking news from Reuters/Bloomberg when BoJ Governor Kuroda appears before the Japanese parliament at 04:40GMT.

Despite yesterday's brief drop to 114.85 (Reuters) in NY morning, subsequent strong bounce in NY afternoon on renewed dlr's broad-based strength suggests consolidation with mild upside bias is in store, however, as the Nikkei is trading well below yesterday's fresh 7-year peak at 17443 (currently at 17225), range trading should continue.
Offers are noted at 115.70/75 n more above with stops reported above 116.10. Initial bids are noted at 115.40-30 n more below with stops building below 114.80.

Japan Chief Gov't spokesman: decline to comment on some views that next sales tax hike should be delayed by a year and a half. To hike or not to hike (sales tax), Japanese officials have kept the market guessing.


Thursday will see the release of Japan CGPI, machinery orders, industrial output, capacity utilization, China industrial output, retail sales, Germany CPI, HICP, Swiss PPI, Italy CPI, Canada housing price index, U.S. jobless claims and Federal budget.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 02:36 GMT November 13, 2014
One CB is NOT printing

I asked you to take it to the Political Forum, not here

Livingston nh 02:30 GMT November 13, 2014
One CB is NOT printing

CS were you ever in al ocker room or a trading room

Livingston nh 02:26 GMT November 13, 2014
One CB is NOT printing

YES

FW CS 02:24 GMT November 13, 2014
One CB is NOT printing

Nh are you an Ahole or a moron or both? You insult a guy then expect him to respond to you???

Livingston nh 02:16 GMT November 13, 2014
One CB is NOT printing

Hey bc - just checked the poli forum -- getting late here -- anything to say

dc CB 01:58 GMT November 13, 2014
Five Banks to Pay over $1.4 Billion in Penalties for Attempted Manipulation of Foreign Exchange

Livingston nh 20:21 GMT
As always as soon as you find the key to the markets' vault somebody goes and changes the Lock

the 2:15 Express is well known and widely publicised....

SPY chart, Dave's Daily ETF

Livingston nh 01:39 GMT November 13, 2014
One CB is NOT printing

My pleasure

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 01:38 GMT November 13, 2014
One CB is NOT printing

This is why we have a Political Forum. Please take any further discussion on this there.

Livingston nh 01:35 GMT November 13, 2014
One CB is NOT printing

Simple Facts --- gimme a break

Livingston nh 01:32 GMT November 13, 2014
One CB is NOT printing

bc - BS - you are a censored if you think the cynics here are stupid enough to buy the anti us crap

GVI Forex Blog 01:25 GMT November 13, 2014
Forex News
Reply   
* Dollar consolidates vs yen, euro as markets await data

* Sterling stuck at 14-month lows following dovish BOE

* Swiss franc stays bullish vs euro, remains near SNB's 1.20 cap

FOREX-Dollar cools rally ahead of data, pound stuck at 14-mth lows

FW CS 01:16 GMT November 13, 2014
One CB is NOT printing

Many greetings bc.

Can I get you medium term euro and gold view?

Many thanks

shanghai bc 01:12 GMT November 13, 2014
One CB is NOT printing


Jay

If you go to northern Pakistan or Afghanistan countryside,you will see many folks who look like and dressed like Bin Laden..Not easy task to differentiate at all by their look unless DNA is tested..All governments fabricate news to their convenience..Simple facts..

shanghai bc 00:58 GMT November 13, 2014
One CB is NOT printing


Jay

My pleasure..Learing a lot from the Forum too..Much better than governments sponsored news circle..

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 00:56 GMT November 13, 2014
One CB is NOT printing

bc Are you saying that it was not Bin Laden who was killed in 2011?

shanghai bc 00:47 GMT November 13, 2014
One CB is NOT printing



JP

Bin Laden was a asset of CIA and Pakistan intel.. And had a good connection with Chinese intel too..Not a simple personality..Pakistan intel had a contact with Bin Laden all along..They had that info of Bin Laden's bladder problem and resulting death in bed..Pakistan and China share all info on security front..That is classified info in China :)

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 00:43 GMT November 13, 2014
One CB is NOT printing

bc thanks for that history update. It is this type of information from local sources that makes our forums unique and different than anything else I have seen on the web.

Mtl JP 00:28 GMT November 13, 2014
One CB is NOT printing

shanghai bc 22:56 any detail on Bin Laden's illness from which he died some 10 years ago ? tia

Livingston nh 00:28 GMT November 13, 2014
eurusd

This is really poli forum stuff

Russia is not a world problem - it has a nuke ability but lacks for some reason willingness (Chechen) -- so you assume the Russians lack "balls"

the Chinese are recent players on world stage so they make rookie mistakes

EU = a joke in foreign affairs because there is no value

Mtl JP 00:16 GMT November 13, 2014
eurusd

nh what you are missing in your painting is that Vlad's presence is a privilege, with his presence he is actually gracing the meeting. You see , he does not need to be there.

Provo John 00:15 GMT November 13, 2014
One CB is NOT printing

nh, actually ever since Truman. If you recall, Paton wanted to go in as soon as WW2 was over and settle up then.

 




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