GVI Forex john 23:27 GMT November 24, 2014
BREAKING NEWS
sf- thanks. Got it
gc sf 23:15 GMT November 24, 2014
BREAKING NEWS
GVI - John - spam in the Gold Forum if you have a minute.
GVI Forex john 22:15 GMT November 24, 2014
BREAKING NEWS
Weekly
Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):
23:50 JP BOJ Minutes Policy insight
TUESDAY
07:00 DE GDP Widest Economic Indicator
13:30 CA Retail
Sales Consumer Demand
13:30 US GDP 3Q14 Widest Economic Indicator
15:00 US CB
Consumer Conf Short Term Sentiment Indicator
18:00 UST 5-yr Treasury Borrowing
WEDNESDAY
09:30 GB GDP Widest Economic Indicator
12:30 US PCE
defl y Top Fed Inflation Measure.
12:30 US Personal Income Key to demand
13:30 US Initial
Claims Weekly Jobless
13:30 US Dur Goods Industrial demand
13:45 US Chicago PMI regional Indicator
13:55 US U
Mich final Long term Sentiment Survey
15:00 US New
Homes Sales Housing Metric
15:00 US Pending
Homes Predictor of Existing Homes Sales 15:30 US EIA Crude Impacts
Spot oil prices
18:00 TRY 7-yr Treasury borrowing
23:30 JP Core
CPI Japan inflation
23:50 JP Ind Out industrial activity
THURSDAY
US Holiday
8:55 DE unem Kchg German unemployment
9:00 DE fl HICP
Key Metric for ECB
13:30 CA Cur/Acct Canadian external Accounts
23:50 JP Retail Sales Consumer Demand
FRIDAY
7:00 DE Ret
Sales Consumer Demand
10:00 EZ FL
HICP Key ECB Metric
12:30 CA GDP
Widest Economic Measure
23:30 JP Unemployment 3.60% 3.50%
GVI Forex john 22:14 GMT November 24, 2014
PIVOT POINTS: Trading System
Bollinger Bands
Trading System. EUR: POSITION TRADING 20 day time frame (Bollinger Band) Support and Resistance levels Updated Daily.
WIDER BANDS THAN PIVOTS: ADJUST LEVERAGE ACCORDINGLY
GVI Forex john 22:11 GMT November 24, 2014
PIVOT POINTS: Trading System
Trading System. USD: POSITION TRADING 20 day time frame (Bollinger Band) Support and Resistance levels Updated Daily.
WIDER BANDS THAN PIVOTS: ADJUST LEVERAGE ACCORDINGLY
NY JM 21:28 GMT November 24, 2014
eurusd
This is generally not a week of big bets so market does not have a lot of firepower. For that reason the bottom may hold in the EURUSD but only back above 1.2500-05 would put it in last week's range before the breakdown. The 100 and 200 hour mva currently 1.2482-90 and 1.2480 = 50% so maybe this is the key area although the immediate obstacle is 1.2444-52 (suggests 1.2450).
Otherwise, 1.2452 = 38.2% and 1.2508 = 61.8%. Daily pivot for Tuesday 1.2415, R1 = 1.2469, S1 = 1.2385
Commodity currencies and JPY the underperformers, EUR and GBP the outperformers.
Watch USDJPY 118, it has traded 4 days in a row so see if this pattern gets broken or repeated.
Tallinn viies 21:15 GMT November 24, 2014
eurusd
Reply
this market feels to me more and more like christmas time holiday markets...
technicals pointing one direction > market moving hundreds pips opposite directions > and this pattern repeated time after time until major move in the final days of the year or first days of the new year going 1000 pips in one direction.
it feels to me time to cut position sizes and play more range play with dynamic stops.
so for tommorow I still expect euro to test 1,2355-60 again and finally go down to 1,22sh and most likely even lower. complicated now to figure out where the tide turns again. most likely close above 1,2485.
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 21:08 GMT November 24, 2014
PIVOT POINTS: Trading System
Interesting how EURUSD gravitated to its daily pivot (1.2443)
tokyo ginko 20:57 GMT November 24, 2014
BREAKING NEWS
good morning IB,
'Ginko still hasn't told us if prices are actually falling in Japan in JPY terms or not. There are no deflation anywhere else'
in JPY terms - prices up
in Foreign Currency - prices down
best time to invest in Japan...hav some attractive real estate deals here to go.
GT all!
Tallinn viies 19:29 GMT November 24, 2014
eurusd
Reply
USA YV 19:03 GMT - in Europe it was not very common to trade IMM futures.
everybody was trading otc spot. voice brokers u know.
ebs and reuters dealing came later. imm futures were used to arbitrage between spot and futures.
gc sf 19:22 GMT November 24, 2014
eurusd
and just like last week in Asia we got that comment about speed of the market moves -- which they always say in these trend moves
this week - we will get opposite comments - that things aren't going as planned - will be ready for more action.
anyway lets see a little later into the day how it plays out given it is a really short week.
gc sf 19:17 GMT November 24, 2014
eurusd
yeah that is the thing with them - you can optimize them for today's market but in 3 months time you may need an update - or slightly different strategy variation .. so that is just part of it as well.
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 19:06 GMT November 24, 2014
eurusd
One hour chart, pretty clear
USA YV 19:03 GMT November 24, 2014
eurusd
Algo trading platforms been around since the Schwartzatron circa 1980 used primarily at the CBOE utlimately sold 8 years later to Reuters where it slid into oblivion.
Tallinn viies 18:42 GMT November 24, 2014
eurusd
Reply
gc sf 18:30 GMT - good old times never come back....
I used to work for a boutique many many years ago who executed trades for black boxes and grey boxes, etc. at that time electronic trading just started.
win win for everybody. customer made 30+ % per year. we made 100% from customer account size :)))
if program didnt work customer through it out of the window and bought new one. of course customers had 3-5 diffrerent black boxes running all the time
gc sf 18:30 GMT November 24, 2014
$yen
JP
basically I went to FX abc M - software guys to program for me - they wanted 5-6k to do what I asked .. so I bought a development program and did it myself... you can search these online - they range from free up to 1,000-2,000.
or you can go to a freelance site and pay an expert that way .. but seemed less secure and why I didn't do that.
EA trading is not intelligent - it is rule based - so while things stay in pattern it is profitable - when things go outside of pattern than its s/l just like any other sort of trading.
The main thing for me is I can't sit in front of the screen all the time anymore .. so they can fill that role for me.
I use one VPS in London and one in New York - these trade 3 brokers.
Then I can monitor everything from my Desktop or IPad... and type here at same time LOL.
As far as strategy goes - I set up - range based and breakout - these you can decide for yourself how you want to trade and what you think works best... then just test before going live.
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 18:28 GMT November 24, 2014
eurusd
1.2444 so far capping the upside (dead on) as it trades in a 1.2400-50 no man's land with upside capped as long as 1.2450 holds.
Intra-day 1.2424 is a good support with 1.2414-24 blocking a return to 1.2400.
This is not generally a week where big bets are made so keep that in mind as tomorrow is the last full day for US this week,
gc sf 18:19 GMT November 24, 2014
eurusd
My Nikkei Dec 14 CFD Range 17325-17590 current 17550
as far as Nikkei vs S/P ... S/P is not the main driver in Nikkei.
We may see $YEN dip as EUR runs up to 55-80 -- but once that is over it will be back to buying $Yen .. and if xxx/jpy rises then $Yen won't go down.
Correction looks over to me.
GVI Forex john 18:10 GMT November 24, 2014
eurusd
sf you following Nikkei futures? Im seeing 17530.00 for December contract, but S&P futures are looking weak.
Mtl JP 18:08 GMT November 24, 2014
$yen
gc sf / re earlier EA's and Pepp
any +/- experience w/hft u can share ?
tia
gc sf 17:58 GMT November 24, 2014
eurusd
Nikkei broken 17500 and if that goes to 18000+
$yen is sure to follow .. so with one eye on that - you have to think 117.60-70 is the bottom and we can travel to 119.10 area again and if conditions get thin enough even further.
seems whatever correction we were going to get is over.
Not sure what all this China stuff means tbh .. but it is obviously causing some flows.
GVI Forex john 17:49 GMT November 24, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk
Reply
24 November--� 17:35 GMT- Current Market Conditions:
Monday has seen a much stronger than expected
German IFO Survey, and then a disappointing flash Markit service PMI
from the U.S. At this hour, markets are in a� MIXED ON posture
with equities and bond yields turning mixed. This is a
holiday shortened week in the U.S.
- In forex, the USD is broadly lower. The EUR is higher on
its major crosses. Gold and oil prices are mixed.
- In
the Far East, equities ended higher. Japanese markets were closed for a
holiday.
- European bourses are ending the day mixed. 10-yr
bund and UK Gilt
yields are mixed.. European peripheral bond yields are
mostly lower, except for Greece..
- The U.S 10-yr note yield is higher.
U.S. share futures are up.
The
heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.
GVI Forex Blog 16:41 GMT November 24, 2014
Reply
November 24, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, November 25. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar
HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: JP-BOJ Minutes, DE- GDP, CA- Retail Sales, US- Case-Shiller, GDP, Richmond Fed, CB Cons Conf, 5-yr
GVI Forex Data Outlook for November 25, 2014
GVI Forex john 16:39 GMT November 24, 2014
BREAKING NEWS
November 24, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, November 25.
Updated: Trading News Events Calendar
HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: JP-BOJ Minutes, DE- GDP, CA- Retail Sales, US- Case-Shiller,
GDP, Richmond Fed, CB Cons Conf, 5-yr
- Far East: JP- NOJ Minutes
- Europe: DE- GDP
- North America: CA- Retail Sales, US- Case-Shiller, GDP, Richmond Fed, CB Cons Conf, 5-yr, API
Amman wfakhoury 15:58 GMT November 24, 2014
EURUSD 12455 confirmed
Reply
12455 confirmed will be reached , return level 12412 any decline below it will return to it if 12455 not reached.
Mtl JP 15:49 GMT November 24, 2014
BREAKING NEWS
TransUnion: Auto Loan Delinquency Rate and Debt Drive Higher in Q2
CHICAGO, IL--(Marketwired - Sep 9, 2014) - Auto loan delinquency rates increased more than 9% in Q2 2014 versus the same period last year while auto loan debt rose for the 13th straight quarter at the midpoint of 2014. The latest TransUnion auto loan report also found that both delinquency rates and debt levels rose for all age groups during Q2 2014.../..
london red 15:31 GMT November 24, 2014
eurusd
current trendline print is 1.24464
Tallinn viies 15:23 GMT November 24, 2014
eurusd
Reply
sold euros at 1,2430. want to add at 1,2480. will revaluate if close today above 1,2465. target 1,2350 first
FW CS 15:18 GMT November 24, 2014
eurusd
For Euro bears to maintain advantage close under 1.2438 today otherwise may range trade again.
london red 14:53 GMT November 24, 2014
BREAKING NEWS
loonie. they struggled to close below the 11266 fib for quite a while so should continue to be an imp level this week.
GVI Forex john 14:47 GMT November 24, 2014
BREAKING NEWS
U.S. data miss.
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:35 GMT November 24, 2014
eurusd
So we have'
1.2444 = Friday breakdown
1.2447 = current one hour trendline
1.2452 = 38.2%
High has been 1.2422
JPY (AUD and NZD as well) the weak links
EUR in background, support out of these crosses vs opposite trend on Friday
london red 14:31 GMT November 24, 2014
eurusd
hourly chart lows 7th and 14th nov coincidentally at the same hour of day. Draw a line thru those two prs and thats the lower trendline im using
GVI Forex john 14:30 GMT November 24, 2014
BREAKING NEWS
Issue apparently has been on his conduct of policy against ISIS.
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:30 GMT November 24, 2014
eurusd
One hour chart - note the down trendline
london red 14:24 GMT November 24, 2014
eurusd
hourly trendline currently 12447 some offers at 35 ahead of that. abv there 12479-12502 should provide at least a pullback to 12450/or trendline, whichever happen to be higher at the time. from then its either continuing lower or 12480/125 retest.
London Chris 14:24 GMT November 24, 2014
eurusd
Those who were looking for a continuation of Friday's moves are sucking wind
I do not think we get this high but 1.2480 is my ideal sell level.
Mtl JP 14:24 GMT November 24, 2014
BREAKING NEWS
Hagel not spending enuff ?
GVI Forex john 14:19 GMT November 24, 2014
BREAKING NEWS
U.S, Defense Secretary Hagel stepping down under pressure according to NYT.
Mtl JP 13:53 GMT November 24, 2014
eurusd
Draghi will try to bully the market again this week:
Thursday, 27 November 2014
Board member: Mario Draghi
Event: Speech by the President at seminar organised by the Bank of Finland in Helsinki, Finland.
Mtl JP 13:47 GMT November 24, 2014
eurusd
sell 1.2450 and 1.25 if/when seen
Singapore SC 13:39 GMT November 24, 2014
eurusd
Tallin do you have an idea for the range after 1.2395 did not hold on the top?
Any suggestions for a eurus sell level?
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:02 GMT November 24, 2014
Video: Forex Trading Outlook for Week of Nov 24, 2014
This is likely to be a thin week due a holiday in Japan, the US Thanksgiving break and month end but as we have seen, complacency can be your worst enemy as the market has been full of surprises. The weak close for the EUR after nearly three weeks of consolidation has shifted the focus to this currency, which faces some key event risks over the next few weeks. See my forex video outlook for the week ahead.
Video: Forex Trading Outlook for Week of Nov 24, 2014
Mtl JP 12:28 GMT November 24, 2014
Nota bene
News Release
24 November 2014
Markit Global Business Outlook
Global business confidence slumps to five-year survey low
-
- Markit surveyed 6,100 companies
- A net 28% expecting higher activity, down from 39% in June - five-year low.
- "Of greatest concern is the slide in business optimism and expansion plans in the US to the weakest seenover the past five years. US growth therefore lookslikely to have peaked over the summer months, with aslowing trend signalled for coming months." - Chris Williamson, Chief Economist, Markit
--
This is likely to mean one thing: central bankers persist with more of same old policies. Never mind that they is not working. In fact because they are not working, all the more reason to not just keep but add more of the same old policies.
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:09 GMT November 24, 2014
eurusd
- 1.2452 = 38.2% of 1.2600-1.2360, 1.2417 = 23.6%, high so far 1.2414
GVI Forex john 11:15 GMT November 24, 2014
BREAKING NEWS
NEW CHART: Latest ZEW and IFO surveys "expectations" minus "current situation". This provides their implied forecasts. Surveys
are MIXED for the next six months. ZEW is head of the IFO.
PAR 10:33 GMT November 24, 2014
CHINA
Reply
FXStreet (Barcelona) - The Rabobank Research Team note PBoC entering the FX war fiasco by surprising the markets with a rate cut.
Key Quotes
�Only few weeks after the BoJ shocked the markets with a huge dose of fresh monetary policy stimulus, the People�s Bank of China unexpectedly cut its base 1-year lending rate by 40bps to 5.6% with the 1-year deposit rate trimmed by 25bps to 2.75%. �
�The PBoC also increased flexibility in the banking sector allowing banks to offer deposit rates at up to 20% above the benchmark from the previous cap of 10%. �
�While the central bank insisted that its first interest rate cut since 2012 (following somewhat insufficient targeted easing measures) is �a neutral operation and doesn�t mean any change in monetary policy direction�, it seems that China fired its first salvo in the currency war with the BoJ.�
GVI Forex john 10:05 GMT November 24, 2014
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On
Reply
24 November-- 10:00 GMT- Current Market Conditions:
The highlight today already has been a much stronger than expected
German IFO Survey. Currently, markets are in a mild RISK ON posture
with equity values generally higher, and bond yields up.This will be a
holiday shortened week in the U.S.
- The USD is broadly lmodestly lower and the EUR is higher on
its key crosses.
- In
the Far East, equities ended higher.10-yr JGB yields are steady..
- European bourses are broadly higher at this hour. 10-yr
bund and UK Gilt
yields are a touch higher.. European peripheral bond yields are
mixed to lower.
- The U.S 10-yr note yield is higher.
U.S. share futures are up.
The
heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.
Tallinn viies 10:00 GMT November 24, 2014
eurusd
Reply
sell euro ag usd today should work. expect euro to test 1,2355 and then 1,2280, 1,2220 and 1,2065 during this week.
risk only if euro able to close over 1,2465
GVI Forex john 09:13 GMT November 24, 2014
BREAKING NEWS
Global-VIew EZ and German Charts
German Ifo data: German data better than expected across the board for the first time in about a year. This is a broadly followed report EURUSD better.
PAR 09:05 GMT November 24, 2014
BREAKING NEWS
Draghi doesnt look at German data .
GVI Forex john 09:02 GMT November 24, 2014
BREAKING NEWS
IFo beats across the board. EURUSD higher. ZEW beat last week.
GVI Forex john 09:01 GMT November 24, 2014
BREAKING NEWS
BREAKING NEWS: German IFO Survey November 2014
NEWS ALERT
Climate: 104.7 vs. 103.0 exp. vs. 103.2 prev.
Conditions: 110.0vs. 108.0 exp. vs. 108.4 prev.
Expectations:99.7 vs. 98.5 exp. vs. 98.3 prev.
IFO Climate Survey
TTN: Live News Special Offer
London London 08:07 GMT November 24, 2014
New signal - Try our free trial
Reply
Buy USDJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:
Visit us for more information
New Signal: Buy USD/JPY @ 117.883 at 2014.11.24
S.L - 55
T.P + 45
Explanation: It's market signal - You need to place the order in your trading account if the position does not reach to Stop loose or take profit.
Posted with permission of global-view.com
forex signals
dc CB 06:25 GMT November 24, 2014
Oh My God De Can't...Like SPEND
Oh shock-O-rama
save us Gammy...we wants to vist you on that Thanksgiv day
But we can't SNOWSTORM...
Oh FUC*K
perth wtr 04:52 GMT November 24, 2014
sell usdjpy
get ready to sell usdjpy on pops above 118
Hong Kong AceTrader 02:56 GMT November 24, 2014
AceTrader Nov 24: Intra-Day News and Views (USD/JPY) & data to be released today
Reply
Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
24 Nov 2014 02:21GMT
EUR/USD - ..... The single currency weakened broadly on Friday after dovish comments from ECB's President Mario Draghi. Euro fell sharply against the greenback from 1.2553 to 1.2424 in European morning and continued to ratchet lower after a brief recovery to 1.2460.
Later, the pair fell to as low as 1.2375 in NY and then 1.2360 at Mon's NZ open before recovering in thin Asian session.
Although euro's failure to test Nov's 26-month trough at 1.2357 suggests price is likely to stage a recovery ahead of European open, the single currency is expected to undergo another round of selling pressure later in the day due to recent 'negative sentiment'.
Therefore, whilst investors may look to buy euro on dips for a recovery towards 1.2400 for st trade, preferred strategy is selling on intra-day rebound.
Bids are placed at 1.2370-60 with stops emerging just below 1.2350.
On the upside, offers are located at 1.2390-00 and then 1.2415/20 with mixture of offers and stops noted at 1.2440/45 and just above 1.2450.
Investors should pay close attention to the release of German IFO reports in European morning (09:00GMT). Market forecasts the headline IFO Business Climate Index to edge further down to 103.0 in Nov, below the 103.2 booked in October, which was the lowest level since Dec 2012.
Meanwhile, the Current Assessment sub-index is also seen edging down to 107.9, after posting a figure of 108.4 a month ago. Only the IFO Expectations Index is projected to rise to 98.6, from 98.3 in Oct.
This week will see the release of following economic data:
Swiss non-farm payrolls, German Ifo business climate and U.S. Markit services PMI on Monday;
Japan's BoJ meeting minutes, New Zealand's RBNZ inflation expectation, German GDP, U.S. prelimary GDP, PCE prices and Redbook, Canada's retails and U.S. monthly home price and consumer confidence on Tuesday;
German import prices U.S. GDP and CBI distributive trades, U.S. core PCE, durables, personal income, Chicago PMI, University of Michigan sentiment, new home sales, pending homes sales change and building permits on Wednesday;
New Zealand's trade balance, Australia's HIA new home sales, Swiss GDP, U.K. Nationwide house prices, German unemployment rate, EU business climate, consumer confidence, economic sentiment, Germn Gfk consumer sentiment, HICP and CPI on Thursday;
Japan's unemployment rate, CPI, prelimary industrial output, IP forecast, retails sales, New Zealand's NBNZ business outlook U.S. Gfk consumer confidence, Japan's construction orders, housing starts, Swiss KOF indicator, EU inflation and unemployment rate, Canada's GDP and producer prices on Friday
dc CB 02:38 GMT November 24, 2014
Nota bene
Fair Game
By GRETCHEN MORGENSON
The Fed announcement looks an awful lot like damage control. It came late Thursday afternoon, directly after one Senate hearing that was critical of Fed practices and before another on Friday. It also came after a bill proposed by Senator Jack Reed, a Rhode Island Democrat, that would change the way the head of the most powerful of the 12 district banks � the Federal Reserve Bank of New York � is appointed. Currently, the president of the New York Fed is selected by its so-called public board members � those not affiliated with financial institutions.
Senator Reed�s proposal would give the president of the United States, with Senate approval, responsibility for naming the president of the New York Fed....................
Increasing scrutiny of the Fed, and the New York Fed in particular, is absolutely justified, given the immense powers they enjoy. Lest we forget, it was the New York Fed, under Timothy F. Geithner, that let Citibank increase its risky assets in the years leading up to the crisis. And it was the same New York Fed that seemed more interested in bailing out the big-bank trading partners of the American International Group than in rescuing the insurer itself.
The Week That Shook the Fed
perth wtr 01:29 GMT November 24, 2014
sell usdjpy
Reply
selling on rallies as long as under 118.25
Melbourne Qindex 00:27 GMT November 24, 2014
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.2348
Buy EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:
EUR/USD : Weekly Cycle Projected Series
... 1.2179 - 1.2211* - 1.2244 - 1.2260 // 1.2276* - 1.2292 - 1.2308 - 1.2324 - 1.2340* - 1.2357 - [1.2373 - 1.2389 - 1.2405* - 1.2421 - 1.2437 - 1.2453 - 1.2469* // 1.2486 - 1.2502 - 1.2534* - 1.2566 ...
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