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Forex Forum Archive for 03/04/2014

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
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Cambridge Joe 21:58 GMT March 4, 2014
USDX
Reply   
usdx about to soften for a few hours.

Cable looks to benefit most obviously...... to me at least.

IMO. GL

GVI Forex john 21:57 GMT March 4, 2014
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data
Reply   


March 4, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, March 5. Updated: Trading Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT RELEASES: AU- GDP. EZ/DE/FR- final Service PMI's, EZ- Retail Sales, GDP, US- ADP Jobs, final Markit PMI, ISM Service PMI, Weekly Crude, Beige Book, Bank of Canada

  • Far East: AU- GDP.
  • Europe: EZ/DE/FR- final Service PMI's, EZ- Retail Sales, GDP.
  • North America: US- Weekly Mortgages, ADP Jobs, final Markit PMI, ISM Service PMI, Weekly Crude, Beige Book, Bank of Canada Decision.


dc CB 21:16 GMT March 4, 2014
Another nail in the coffin of the Bitcoin.

Oh, also If you buy a Futures Contract for 100oz of Gold Bullion from the Comex, you CAN take Delivery that Gold Bar as per the Contract if you so choose. LOL

dc CB 20:57 GMT March 4, 2014
Ben Speaks
Reply   
and collects a Quarter Mil.


Bernanke received at least $250,000 for his appearance at the financial conference staged by National Bank of Abu Dhabi NBAD.AD, He is scheduled to speak at an event in South Africa on Wednesday and in Houston on Friday.

"For the future, I'm in a mode of reflection."

Bernanke says Fed could have done more during crisis

GVI Forex john 20:40 GMT March 4, 2014
Chart Points - Free FX Database
Reply   

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

dc CB 20:29 GMT March 4, 2014
At last he does something.

dc CB 14:58 GMT March 4, 2014
So Putin'g Gazprom raises prices to Ukraine
USA ponies up a $Billion (tax) dollars in "AID?" for Ukraine.

Putin's Top Trade of the Day.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Tribute?
European Union commissioner says it will help Ukraine to pay gas bill to Russia.

So - follow the money... US to IMF; IMF to Ukraine; Ukraine to Russia; Russia buys US Treasuries again?

Cui bono

Russian Nat Gas Game Theory

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 20:16 GMT March 4, 2014
USDJPY
Reply   
USDJPY closed February at 101.;77 and odds favor a repeat of recent history in March.

Japanese Fiscal Yearend: USDJPY Weaker or Stronger in March?

GVI Forex john 20:11 GMT March 4, 2014
Chart Points -- Trading Points
Reply   
Pre-Closing Trading Points...
many more chart points
About Moving Averages
About Bollinger Bands


Cambridge Joe 20:09 GMT March 4, 2014
GRAVITY PART II: An Odyssey into a black hole.

Russia test-fires ICBM amid tension over Ukraine

http://uk.news.yahoo.com/russia-test-fires-icbm-amid-tension-over-ukraine-190802764--finance.html#9ReTge

The act of test firing an ICBM at this time would appear to be somewhat ..... er.... dangerous.

Russia would get badly whipped actually, but it would not all be one way traffic. The body-bag market would soar.

Perhaps China will lean on the Ruskies as they will not want their US treasuries to turn to dust in their hands,,,... ?

http://uk.news.yahoo.com/russia-test-fires-icbm-amid-tension-over-ukraine-190802764--finance.html#9ReTge

Syd sf 20:03 GMT March 4, 2014
Good Morning
Reply   
first thing I see is my bot has been buying eurusd

40 30 27 -- so its pretty long .. I just cut this out as - I'm not real convinced in the eurusd at the moment.

its also been selling gold with a couple decent runs and 1 squeeze .. pretty much same as being long stocks I suppose.

Nikkei lost 55 points overnight - and this morning I tend to feel like this will test 15100 in tokyo - so just bought some a few minutes ago.

US Stocks - just seems like - its going to go up until the last person is long and then crash .. but in all honesty I think people are buying into the hype .. sell everywhere else and buy the US.

Forex.com Reviews 19:39 GMT March 4, 2014 Reply   

A Broker Review for Forex.com has just been added.

Memphis Charles 19:18 GMT March 4, 2014
GRAVITY PART II: An Odyssey into a black hole.

Well, if you're convinced that you must prepare for some sort of doomsday scenario that will arise from the Ukranian situation then physical gold is probably the way to go, with food, water, and medicines a close second.

GVI Forex Blog 19:16 GMT March 4, 2014
AUD and NZD
Reply   
Australia & NZ Morning Thoughts Imre Speizer http://a.email6.westpac.com.au/images/19/images_cleardot.gif Risk appetite surged as geo-political tensions in Ukraine abated. Russian President Putin said troops would not be sent to Ukraine and Russia was not considering annexing part of its territory.

Australia & NZ Morning Thoughts

GVI Forex Blog 19:15 GMT March 4, 2014
U.S. ADP and Bank of Canada Policy Decision Wed. Ukraine tension eases. RBA Steady
Reply   
HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: AU- GDP, EZ/DE/FR- final Service PMIs, EZ- Retail Sales, GDP, US- ADP Jobs, final Markit PMI, ISM Service PMI, Weekly Crude, Beige Book, Bank of Canada

Wednesday looks to be an active session with the second round of PMIs (Service) set for release. Also the U.S. ADP Private Jobs report is scheduled. These data always shape expectations foe the Non-Farm Payroll Data on Friday.

U.S. ADP and Bank of Canada Policy Decision Wed. Ukraine tension eases. RBA Steady

dc CB 19:01 GMT March 4, 2014
Another nail in the coffin of the Bitcoin.



I'd worry about the Nail in this coffin
WTF, besides a Kill the Shorts move.

What happened to rally the Small Cap Stocks, if not HAL 9000

HK [email protected] 18:54 GMT March 4, 2014
GRAVITY PART II: An Odyssey into a black hole.
Reply   


I seek an advice, because the Ukraine issue is a very serious one.

Vietnam could be regarded as a cakewalk, compared to what will happen if things may go wrong here.

Ukraine is a black hole, and all involved, know that crossing the horizon will be a no way back from an international disaster.

So where to park the money?

Bonds will be trashed, and share will go to 0.

Exchanges will shut down, and the world may enter into a lengthy bank holiday.

It will all be a tit for tat, and banks will take the opportunity to bail in all of us.

Should one do nowa bank run? right away? now? and buy gold?

dc CB 18:48 GMT March 4, 2014
Another nail in the coffin of the Bitcoin.

it's not Bitcoin, it's the "exchanges" - a moniker loosely applied.

MF Global, Jon Corzine, JPM. They were "operating" in a "regulated market". Bear Sterns, Lehman, CountryWide, Merrill Lynch. Difference is there was noone to BailOut the Bitcoin Exchanges.

HK [email protected] 18:32 GMT March 4, 2014
Politics



Politics? Get some humor on dead market times:)

Cbj Jake 18:30 GMT March 4, 2014
Politics
Reply   
Sorry HK RF for the typo.

Cbj Jake 18:26 GMT March 4, 2014
Politics
Reply   
hk jk ! Yeh! There is a forum for all that emotional stuff!
Be courteous of others. Otherwise, any forum does not work. esp with international politics. Still enjoy you from time to time.

HK [email protected] 18:06 GMT March 4, 2014
All are happy!!!
Reply   


All are happy that O. and Kerry are busy in the Ukraine:


*Iran is happy, as being left alone to continue developing their atomic bomb.

*N. Korea happy to shoot missiles at will without being disturbed.

*Israel happy by getting rid of Kerry the peace negotiator, so can grab more lands and add more constructions in the West bank without being disturbed.

*China happy that they can expand their influence in S. china sea without being disturbed.

*Russians are happy for given an opportunity of muscle flexing.

* And we are happy for not having yet a war.

Meanwhile Euro relaxes on a major support, waiting for someone to push it up or down.

GVI Forex john 17:51 GMT March 4, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot

The colors tell the tale of the markets today. Late in European trade, prices in prime fixed income remain offered in a return to "risk-on" trading. Political tensions in Ukraine appear to be ebbing.

European and U.S. equity prices are sharply higher, and their advances have been a weight on prime sovereign bond prices. Peripheral European bond prices are now better.

GVI Forex john 17:36 GMT March 4, 2014
Another nail in the coffin of the Bitcoin.

Its just what everyone expected. I don't know a lot about it, but suspect than a Bitcoin "exchange" is just a single server sitting somewhere? I wonder if any capitalization is required?

Cambridge Joe 17:16 GMT March 4, 2014
SnP

Thanks nh & CB.

I have usdx to sell. e/$ buy and SnP to sell...... either my set-up is out of phase or the dark forces are pulling the strings.

dc CB 17:13 GMT March 4, 2014
SnP

don't forget to check the schedule

POMO no shorting days

Livingston nh 17:10 GMT March 4, 2014
SnP

Joe - good news Friday NFP may set the stox into worry mode as rates rise

Chicago LS 17:05 GMT March 4, 2014
Tuesday's Trading Outlook

Thanks Jay, they work well with that pair

Cambridge Joe 17:03 GMT March 4, 2014
SnP

nh thanks. I was beginning to get nervy already. It hadn't responded yet as I thought it should....

HK [email protected] 16:56 GMT March 4, 2014
Euro on a major support.
Reply   


If can't hold...a dive!!! Or maybe a bounce.

Livingston nh 16:53 GMT March 4, 2014
SnP

1825 is a s/t target (3 days) - mthly break of 1740

HK [email protected] 16:44 GMT March 4, 2014
Another nail in the coffin of the Bitcoin.
Reply   


Bitcoin bank Flexcoin closes after hack attack

Bitcoin bank Flexcoin closes after hack attack

Cambridge Joe 16:41 GMT March 4, 2014
SnP
Reply   
SnP selling here. Entry 69.1

IMO.GL

eu pat 16:40 GMT March 4, 2014
Tuesday's Trading Outlook

eu pat 13:37 GMT 03/04/2014
just now is usd setup against all (eur, gbp, aud, nzd) to get stronger . usd/jpy go down with them together to push jpy crosses down...we will see...)))
--------------------------------------------------------------

As I mentioned earlier, usd is stronger against all- eur, gbp, nzd, aud (also against cad, chf, etc) usd/jpy did not follow them down to push jpy crosses down ( there was set ups but was false, nikkei is up) and usd was stronger against jpy too.
it is short term paterm( stronger usd) so need to watch what next,,,

Livingston nh 16:36 GMT March 4, 2014
Under what divine guidance Obama acts?

sorry jay

Livingston nh 16:35 GMT March 4, 2014
Under what divine guidance Obama acts?

RF - are the smart people the mopes that got us into Iraq? - take a look at what the smart people did in Georgia??

No US administration has ever taken on Russia/Soviets just as no Russia/Soviets has taken on US - I'll leave it to the clever to determine why that might be

The EU/Europe/NATO whatever is always in the middle and its various currencies float like a cork at times like this

GVI Forex john 16:34 GMT March 4, 2014
ECB and Sterilization
Reply   
A primer on what the ECB might decide on Thursday

What Does the ECB’s ‘Sterilization’ Program Do?

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 16:30 GMT March 4, 2014
Under what divine guidance Obama acts?

RF, we appreciate all the posts but some of them belong in the Political Forum if they do not affect trading. I am not defending Obama but am trying to balance out politics and trading in this politically charged market.

Livingston nh 16:29 GMT March 4, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

On a 4hr chart - cable looks vulnerable - Eur/Usd flirting w/ a break of 55 ema // the 21 dma on both is a target

GVI Forex Blog 16:28 GMT March 4, 2014
Global Markets News
Reply   
Global markets are retracing all of their losses from yesterday as Russian President Vladimir Putin pauses his campaign in Crimea.

TradeTheNews.com US Market Update: Russia Hits Pause on Ukraine Invasion, S&P500 Sees Record Intraday High

HK [email protected] 16:23 GMT March 4, 2014
Under what divine guidance Obama acts?
Reply   


Seems the actions of the US administration regarding the Ukraine are not popular even in the US, much less with the smart people.

He will not listen to any advice for hands off this matter.

Actions resulting from inferiority complex, just not to appear as a weak leader.
It looks personal, this guy has a problem with his public image.

One month more, and his approval rating will be at another all time low.

Hope he will not run out of control:(




GVI Forex Jay Meisler 16:15 GMT March 4, 2014
Tuesday's Trading Outlook

LS, good heads up on that FIBO

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 16:14 GMT March 4, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

John, I wouldn't even call it a half life. So far this isn't even a blink of the eye but still have to watch for headlines.

Livingston nh 16:07 GMT March 4, 2014
At last he does something.

This is all show - the chance of sanctions are high but effective or enduring very low - as far as meeting w/ NATO is a joke because NATO is a partial proximate cause // US and Russia don't engage no matter what (that's why god made proxies) -- the EU may or may not have gotten the memo // focus on the economics/financials

PAR 16:07 GMT March 4, 2014
UKRAINE
Reply   
FXStreet (Łódź) - Russian navy ships blocking channel between Russia and Crimea

According to recent reports from the Ukranian border guards two Russian navy ships have blocked both ends of the Kerch Strait separating the Kerch Peninsula of Crimea from the Taman Peninsula of Russia.

Russian armored vehicles were also spotted on the Russian side of the channel.

On Monday Russian PM Dmitry Medvedev said that a bridge over the Kerch Strait would be built, on the basis of an earlier transit trade agreement between Russia and Ukraine.

Meanwhile, Russia agreed to hold talks with NATO officials on Wednesday, after Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen said that the country´s intervention in Ukraine “violates the principles of the United Nations charter.”

Cambridge Joe 15:37 GMT March 4, 2014
KaL Oil
Reply   
Still a bit vague, but looks like oil to firm into Asia from around 18:20 GMT.

It might bounce off 102.80ish a couple of times tho....

***IMO. GL

PAR 15:34 GMT March 4, 2014
USDJPY
Reply   
Taking profit on USDJPY as stocks are at new record high and Kerry tries to create some new problems in Ukraine .

GVI Forex john 15:30 GMT March 4, 2014
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data
Reply   


March 3, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, March 4. Updated: Trading Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT RELEASES: AU- GDP. EZ/DE/FR- final Service PMI's, EZ- Retail Sales, GDP, US- ADP Jobs, final Markit PMI, ISM Service PMI, Weekly Crude, Beige Book, Bank of Canada

  • Far East: AU- GDP.
  • Europe: EZ/DE/FR- final Service PMI's, EZ- Retail Sales, GDP.
  • North America: US- Weekly Mortgages, ADP Jobs, final Markit PMI, ISM Service PMI, Weekly Crude, Beige Book, Bank of Canada Decision.


Livingston nh 15:01 GMT March 4, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

Consider fading this STOX open - typical "worst is over" reflex move

dc CB 15:00 GMT March 4, 2014
At last he does something.

Top Trade Part 2

"authorities should dump US government bonds in the event of Russian companies and individuals being targeted by sanctions over events in Ukraine." Glazyev said the United States would be the first to suffer in the event of any sanctions regime.

“The Americans are threatening Russia with sanctions and pulling the EU into a trade and economic war with Russia,” Glazyev said. “Most of the sanctions against Russia will bring harm to the United States itself, because as far as trade relations with the United States go, we don’t depend on them in any way.”

Putin Advisor Threatens With Dumping US Treasurys, Abandoning Dollar If US Proceeds With Sanctions

dc CB 14:58 GMT March 4, 2014
At last he does something.

So Putin'g Gazprom raises prices to Ukraine
USA ponies up a $Billion (tax) dollars in "AID?" for Ukraine.

Putin's Top Trade of the Day.

Kerry Lands In Kiev, Sanctions Against Russia "In Matter Of Days", US Prepares $1 Billion Loan For Ukraine

HK [email protected] 14:54 GMT March 4, 2014
At last he does something.
Reply   


US Secretary of State John Kerry places flowers at shrine in Kiev - @BBCWorld

HK [email protected] 14:51 GMT March 4, 2014
EURO
Reply   


Not looking O.B. on any time frame.

It has passed the Ukraine fire baptismal practically unfazed.

Can't bet anything on this aimlessly floating boat.

Chicago LS 14:43 GMT March 4, 2014
Tuesday's Trading Outlook

At the risk of sounding like a broken record, .618 between 1.3825/1,3720=1.3785

nw kw 14:40 GMT March 4, 2014
USDCAD

xaucad for week its tripping up more than xaujpy target 1.2

Livingston nh 14:36 GMT March 4, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

The EUR problem in Ukraine is the financial condition of the country - a lot of loose talk about IMF - folks may be surprised by IMF response and Ukraine response to any IMF offers - there is no political order

GVI Forex john 14:33 GMT March 4, 2014
Your Best Trade Today
Reply   
It looks like we are back to the correlation trade now that we are returning to the risk-on environment as worries about Ukraine start to diminish. History suggests that geo-political events tend to have a short half-life in forex markets.

Higher equities WOULD imply a higher USDJPY. Where the EURUSD would trade under such a scenario is not as obvious, at least to me!

Any thoughts?.

HK [email protected] 14:22 GMT March 4, 2014
No more war no more tears. The children can go out and play.
Reply   

Russia has agreed to meet with NATO on Wednesday, Italy's foreign minister says - @Reuters

Memphis Charles 14:10 GMT March 4, 2014
Tuesday's Trading Outlook

R1 is 1.37756. R1.5 1.37963... upside will be capped today no higher than R1.5 and probably at Jay's level.

Memphis Charles 14:07 GMT March 4, 2014
Tuesday's Trading Outlook

You're in good company, Jay:

http://www.efxnews.com/story/23149/eurusd-below-13826-risk-further-slide-stay-small-short-commerzbank

Why is tinyurl censored?

Memphis Charles 14:06 GMT March 4, 2014
Tuesday's Trading Outlook

http://censored/Commerzbank-Short-Euro

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:58 GMT March 4, 2014
Tuesday's Trading Outlook

For those who viewed my video, note how EURUSD 1.3780 held again (current bid 1.3762)

Livingston nh 13:49 GMT March 4, 2014
NFP
Reply   

Entry: Target: Stop:

As attention shifts from politics to data -- the FOMC might want to consider a bit of history - 20 yrs ago the unemployment rate was 6.6%, qtrly inflation was the current target 2% BUT fed funds = 3.25% and the 30 yr = 6.49% // Put those numbers in the model Janet

eu pat 13:37 GMT March 4, 2014
Tuesday's Trading Outlook

just now is usd setup against all (eur, gbp, aud, nzd) to get stronger . usd/jpy go down with them together to push jpy crosses down...we will see...)))



Mtl JP 13:23 GMT March 4, 2014
Tuesday's Trading Outlook

players pushing usd lower as collective market sentiment about risk aversion fades. Putin is currently such a reasonable guy.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:14 GMT March 4, 2014
USDCAD
Reply   
Good post on GVIForex on USDCAD and tomorrow's BOC meeting.

Send me an EMAIL for a copy.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:35 GMT March 4, 2014
Tuesday's Trading Outlook
Reply   
After viewing my video, I suggest clicking on the link in it to read my latest newsletter



Daily Forex Trading Outlook

Trading a political market - EURUSD confounds again, still within 1.37-1.38

HK [email protected] 12:12 GMT March 4, 2014
Spies from the skies. HEEEELP!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Reply   


Facebook 'in talks to buy drone satellite firm'

Facebook is reportedly in discussions to acquire Titan Aerospace, a manufacturer of drones, for around $60m.

Titan Aerospace specialises in solar-powered, very high flying drones capable of staying airborne for five years at a time, positioned as a more cost-effective alternative to orbital satellites dubbed as “atmospheric satellites”.

The talks, confirmed by technology site TechCrunch, indicate that Facebook is likely interested in these satellite alternative drones that fly as high as 20km in altitude as part of its Internet.org initiative.

nw kw 11:42 GMT March 4, 2014
NZD

nfp week so charts set at pivots as usually gbp/nzd is a big pivot and china reform vote week

bali sja 11:34 GMT March 4, 2014
Ukraine tensions ease. The RBA keeps policy steady and talks down the AUD again

LOL i love this Putin guy! Obama is screwed completely, let's see what Obama will respond next. I think Putin is in total control of the situation so far and there is nothing US can do about it except to always be one step behind.

Mtl JP 11:25 GMT March 4, 2014
Ukraine tensions ease. The RBA keeps policy steady and talks down the AUD again

Putin: U.S. is like a lab that runs experiments
Putin: We won't go to war with Ukrainian people
-
usdyen back N of the 100dma and
S&P showing new enthusiasm

GVI Forex Blog 11:09 GMT March 4, 2014
Global Markets News
Reply   
The EUR/USD tested session highs after Russian Presidential advisor Glazyev (hard liner) stated that it would move away from the USD into other currencies if the US Senate imposed sanctions against Russia. The view was later clarified as 'his own'

TradeTheNews.com EU Market Update: Tensions in Ukraine ease after President Putin orders ends military exercise in the western part of Russia

bali sja 11:06 GMT March 4, 2014
EURUSD 13800 and 13661

long live master wfakhoury! 1.38 euro is confirmed, you gotta buy!

GVI Forex Blog 10:49 GMT March 4, 2014
Ukraine tensions ease. The RBA keeps policy steady and talks down the AUD again
Reply   
HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: No major data

Tensions in Ukraine today have eased today and the easing of tensions has been reflected in the financial markets. The flight to safety bid has eased from bond markets and equity prices generally are higher.

Ukraine tensions ease. The RBA keeps policy steady and talks down the AUD again

eu pat 10:46 GMT March 4, 2014
NZD
Reply   
I have seen the huge signals for Nzd fell 2 weeks ago. The strongest signal is sell nzd/jpy, more slightly nzd/usd..as wll usd/jpy is set down...but every day this signal are stronger and Nzd is holding pretty well...Is it trap for bears. or trap for carry traders??
Any own view are welcome)))

GVI Forex Blog 10:45 GMT March 4, 2014 Reply   
HIGH IMPACT ITEMS: No major data Tensions in Ukraine today have eased today and the easing of tensions has been reflected in the financial markets. The flight to safety bid has eased from bond markets and equity prices generally are higher.

Ukraine tensions ease. The RBA keeps policy steady and talks down the AUD again

GVI Forex 10:33 GMT March 4, 2014
UKRAINE

MOSCOW/KERCH, Ukraine - President Putin ordered troops involved in a military exercise in western Russia back to base in an announcement that appeared intended to ease East-West tension over fears of war in Ukraine.

Putin ends army exercise, Russian markets rally despite Ukraine tension BY VLADIMIR SOLDATKIN AND ALISSA DE CARBONNEL

HK [email protected] 10:21 GMT March 4, 2014
EURO
Reply   


Should not exclude the possibility, that for politicoeconomical reasons ECB will intervene to stabilize the Euro, or at least prevent a collapse, though a weak euro is of their interest, but probably not at this moment:)

GVI Forex john 10:20 GMT March 4, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot
Reply   
Early in European trading hours, financial markets are indicating that pressure over Ukraine has been easing today. Prices in prime fixed income markets are broadly lower as the flight to safety bid has eased. European equities are recovering.

Far East equities ended mostly higher. U.s. S&P futures are stronger at this hour. The peripheral European bond prices are up. Forex markets are mixed.

GVI Forex 10:15 GMT March 4, 2014
Do Spreads Really Matter?

Fact or fiction?

Do Spreads Really Matter?

GVI Forex john 10:01 GMT March 4, 2014
January 2014 Eurozone PPI
Reply   




ALERT
mm: -0.30% vs. -0.10% exp. vs. +0.20% prev.
yy: -1.40% vs. -0.20% exp. vs. -0.90% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Direct links to primary data sources

HK [email protected] 09:38 GMT March 4, 2014
Help to create more turmoil...


bali sja, Probably the Psycho is in dire need of cash right now.

He makes all not to be forgotten.

bali sja 09:35 GMT March 4, 2014
EURUSD 13800 and 13661

wfakhoury: are you on the Putin side? hehe but i like it 1.38 comes first!

bali sja 09:33 GMT March 4, 2014
Kremlin aide: If US imposes sanctions on Russia over Ukraine...

now this is exactly what we want to hear from a trader's perspective! now sell usd! you have got a green light from Mr Putin and co.

bali sja 09:32 GMT March 4, 2014
Help to create more turmoil...

[email protected], that psycho fatso certainly knows how to play
he must have been playing in the markets together with Putin knowing how a slight stupid news nowadays can move the market to their favour!

HK [email protected] 09:24 GMT March 4, 2014
The most intelligent statement I heard recently!!!
Reply   


Barack Obama: Russia on 'wrong side of history' in Ukraine.


US president Barack Obama said Moscow's actions in Ukraine have rightly earned it global condemnation.

"I think the strong condemnation that it has received from countries around the world indicates the degree to which Russia is on the wrong side of history on this," he said.
................................................................................

The supreme judge and GOD O B A M A !!!

LINK

HK [email protected] 09:15 GMT March 4, 2014
Help to create more turmoil...
Reply   


North Korea fires 7 short-range projectiles off its east coast, South Korea's defense ministry says - @YonhapNewsNorth Korea fires 7 short-range projectiles off its east coast, South Korea's defense ministry says - @YonhapNews

32 minutes ago

HK [email protected] 09:05 GMT March 4, 2014
Kremlin aide: If US imposes sanctions on Russia over Ukraine...
Reply   


Kremlin aide: If US imposes sanctions on Russia over Ukraine, Moscow might be forced to drop the dollar as a reserve currency - @ReutersKremlin aide: If US imposes sanctions on Russia over Ukraine, Moscow might be forced to drop the dollar as a reserve currency - @Reuters

Syd sf 09:04 GMT March 4, 2014
UKRAINE

russian aide says - if any economic sanctions imposed then they will default.

Amman wfakhoury 09:00 GMT March 4, 2014
EURUSD 13800 and 13661
Reply   
EURUSD has now 2 levels to be reached 13800 and 13661
the strongest to reach is 13800.
mostly we are going up first.
it is better to buy as any decline will be raised again untill reach 13800.

Syd sf 08:51 GMT March 4, 2014
UKRAINE

putin is speaking to a group of Russian journalists - no western journalists allowed .. after completion he will be releasing a pre-recorded statement

waiting for this to come out.

Syd sf 08:35 GMT March 4, 2014
UKRAINE

Putin expected to speak at any moment.

Hong Kong AceTrader 08:34 GMT March 4, 2014
AceTrader Mar 3: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
Reply   
Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views

04 Mar 2014 07:38GMT

EUR/USD - 1.3757... Despite euro's marginal weakness below y'day's low at 1.3726 to 1.3719 in Asia, price rebounded strongly in European to 1.3767 due to improved risk appetite after Russia's Putin orders troop military exercise back to base b4 easing.

Bids are noted at 1.3745/40 n then 1.3725/20 with stops emerging below 1.3700. On the upside, offers are placed at 1.3780-90 n around 1.3800 with stops emerging abv last Fri's 2-month peak at 1.3825.

bali sja 08:30 GMT March 4, 2014
UKRAINE

now this gets Germany involved somehow, dont do something stupid Putin...

Syd sf 08:28 GMT March 4, 2014
UKRAINE

amount is 200-240 bio

some european banks would go under

seen as low chance of happening at momo.

Putin is expected to speak shortly.

Syd sf 08:26 GMT March 4, 2014
UKRAINE

russia threatens to default on debt.

bali sja 08:06 GMT March 4, 2014
UKRAINE



Putin can kick Obama's ass

Syd sf 08:05 GMT March 4, 2014
UKRAINE

the ukraine minister guy - said I don't care about the 150,000 - we have been invaded by 18,000 Russians and while we haven't fired a shot yet .. we will seek a political solution first.

HK [email protected] 07:58 GMT March 4, 2014
UKRAINE



Market is too Spec. low-USD, Euro got 30pips bonus from Putin but no enthusiasm. Gold is being played by Panthers, so got a crazy reaction on good news, probably on the way to close a gap near 1325.

The question was not about war, but about sanctions and who will suffer more. This issue will take time to resolve.

Let's see when, and if the Russian army will be called from inside Crimea;)

bali sja 07:45 GMT March 4, 2014
UKRAINE

PAR, Putin is laughing all the way to the bank now while saying: you all can kiss my a$$

PAR 07:21 GMT March 4, 2014
UKRAINE
Reply   
Looks like crisis in Ukraine is over . USDJPY back above 140.00, Dow futures up tripple digits and close to all time record highs . Nothing to worry about .

Hong Kong AceTrader 07:12 GMT March 4, 2014
AceTrader Mar 4: Daily Market Outlook on Cross – GBP/JPY
Reply   
DAILY GBP/JPY CROSS OUTLOOK - 169.70
04 Mar 2014 06:07GMT

Although sterling intra-day rebound after Monday's
sell off to a 2-week low at 168.85, as long as 169.81
res holds, fall from 171.89 would head twd 168.55.

Raise short entry for 168.80 1st n only abov2 170.00
risks gain twd 170.30 (61.8% r from 171.89).

bali sja 06:37 GMT March 4, 2014
So what is emerging is: WWIII, but without bullets.

see, this is exactly what i said drama will be over in a few sessions,
all BS, if we trade based on stupid events like this and try to justify certain trends then it is better to go casino gambling

Syd sf 06:35 GMT March 4, 2014
So what is emerging is: WWIII, but without bullets.

these were the troops that were on the border - 150,000 men
called back to their bases... by Putin.

Syd sf 06:32 GMT March 4, 2014
So what is emerging is: WWIII, but without bullets.

russian stocks up 3 % and usdrub 0.5% retracement

Syd sf 06:31 GMT March 4, 2014
So what is emerging is: WWIII, but without bullets.

some russian troops told to return to base.

jkt abel 06:16 GMT March 4, 2014
So what is emerging is: WWIII, but without bullets.

who says stocks to suffer, risk on LOL, everything is fine, Russia is just doing military training in Crimea

jkt abel 05:51 GMT March 4, 2014
So what is emerging is: WWIII, but without bullets.

and if that psychotic fatso in NK also does something stupid then all headaches to US if they still want to engage in everything else in the world

jkt abel 05:48 GMT March 4, 2014
So what is emerging is: WWIII, but without bullets.

China over Taiwan will be more interesting...what say US?

jkt abel 05:47 GMT March 4, 2014
So what is emerging is: WWIII, but without bullets.

problem is, if this is ignored and let happen, then we can expect more aggresion like this happening elsewhere, old history and geographical lesson will be brought to surface to justify it

will Indonesia attack East Timor as well for example?

Mtl JP 05:45 GMT March 4, 2014
So what is emerging is: WWIII, but without bullets.

oh cry-me-a-river
The U.S. announced late Monday it was suspending trade and investment talks with Russia as well as all "military-to-military engagements" as penalties for its actions in Ukraine. - fox

bali sja 05:34 GMT March 4, 2014
So what is emerging is: WWIII, but without bullets.

Obama is just all talk, just to save some face for US as the so-called world police. But things are different now, Obama just cannot afford wasting more taxpayers money on stupid and costly war. Is he gonna blow more trillions of dollar?

Putin knows this and if he is playing it smart without waking up Germany tiger, then he is getting what he wants in the end. Will this trigger old arch-rivalry Russia (Soviet) vs Germany, only time will tell.

GVI Forex Blog 05:29 GMT March 4, 2014 Reply   
- (AU) RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA (RBA) LEAVES CASH RATE TARGET UNCHANGED AT 2.50% (AS EXPECTED); Maintains neutral bias >- (AU) AUSTRALIA Q4 CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE (A$): -10.1B V -10.0BE; NET EXPORTS

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: RBA retains neutral bias, reintroduces discomfort with high AUD; All quiet on Crimea front as rumored ultimatum deadline passes - Source TradeTheNews.com

bali sja 05:16 GMT March 4, 2014
So what is emerging is: WWIII, but without bullets.

UK, i bet will stay out of this whole mess and just taking advantage should EU zone suffer

HK [email protected] 05:13 GMT March 4, 2014
K.I.S
Reply   


If the new Ukraine Gov. will try to join NATO, or become NATO part memeber, the Russians will be inside very fast.

That time CHF,GOLD will be best.

HK [email protected] 05:08 GMT March 4, 2014
So what is emerging is: WWIII, but without bullets.



NATO tried to encroach into the Ukraine, spearheading the weapon and oil companies, but this time the Russian stopped them.

Obama boils his top, but can't do anything, Only sanctions, which will damage the whole world economy, where Eurozone will suffer most.
Being a running dog of big corporations with a potential of an armed conflict, may not be accepted even within the American circles.

prague viktor 05:07 GMT March 4, 2014
So what is emerging is: WWIII, but without bullets.

from history we learnd thats we cant deal with like a game but like a real world ,regards for UKR the best is to be 2 parts,one for the west and one for the east,but the peace time is over and be ready for a war time i see it like this maybe im wrong,but when hitler invade cz noone thought thats the WW2 will happen ,for now buy the USD 1,385to 1,345till it will break.

bali sja 04:47 GMT March 4, 2014
So what is emerging is: WWIII, but without bullets.

there are some countries in this world that just cannot manage themselves and best left being taken over by others, mismanaged independence leads to slavery next

GVI Forex Blog 03:29 GMT March 4, 2014 Reply   
The global equity markets suffered from a bout of profit-taking yesterda

Morning Briefing : 04-Mar-2014 -0329 GMT

bali sja 03:29 GMT March 4, 2014
So what is emerging is: WWIII, but without bullets.

[email protected], calm down, in a few more sessions this drama will all be over, everybody will be smiling again and shaking hands, wonderful world

HK [email protected] 02:45 GMT March 4, 2014
So what is emerging is: WWIII, but without bullets.
Reply   


Sanctions, travel bans and/or trade limitations, are just equivalent to war damages.

Business contraction,drop in commodity prices, more layoffs, increase in unemployment and social unrest.

Is there any safe haven against all of it?

Probably cash USD(as for the time, nicer eco-numbers) for new coming opportunities.

GVI Forex 02:41 GMT March 4, 2014
View

NIKKEI 225 INDEX ENDS MORNING UP 0.32% AT 14,698.52

Syd sf 02:21 GMT March 4, 2014
View

Nikkei I'd sell at 14830 area on the day but I'm not sure its going to get there .. as $yen may just do nothing.

Syd sf 02:19 GMT March 4, 2014
View
Reply   
what I think is going to happen is we see some sort of euryen sell off to 138.50 before we can see some sort of recovery.

when $yen goes bid eurusd goes offered and when $yen backs off eurusd goes bid

suggests to me we are going to see euryen offers 70/80/90 -- only above 140.10 does the pressure come off the downside.

RF you maybe dead on .. if $yen just sits at 101.50/60 --> that will leave eurusd to do all the work later in europe.

HK [email protected] 02:06 GMT March 4, 2014
Add one more
Reply   

Ukraine Tensions Could Create Problems for Boeing

Aerospace Giant Operates a Manufacturing Joint Venture in Russia

Escalating tensions over Ukraine could create headaches for Boeing Co.'s business in Russia, which is both a major supplier and a big market for the U.S. aerospace giant.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 01:55 GMT March 4, 2014
Do Spreads Really Matter?
Reply   
Fact or fiction?

Do Spreads Really Matter?

HK [email protected] 01:49 GMT March 4, 2014
All the below are bad for the world economy, especially for the EURO!!!!!
Reply   

7 MINs agoEurope
Russian Markets Shudder Under Threat of Sanctions

As Russia's military secured the Crimean peninsula, its currency hit a record low and its stock market plunged in the face of U.S. and European warnings of sanctions over the incursion into Ukraine.

40 MINs agoU.S.
Pentagon Suspends Military Ties With Russia

WAHINGTON – The Pentagon is immediately suspending military relations with Russia as the latest of a quickening series of American moves to isolate Moscow over its military intervention in Ukraine. Defense Department officials said Monday that the decision would bring a halt to planning for a joint Naval exercise planned for May, along with port [...]

6 MINs agoUS
U.S. Suspends Trade and Investment Talks With Russia

nw kw 01:40 GMT March 4, 2014
Global PMIs better than expected. Ukraine worries force a

grain or wheat belt in play can be a risk guide

Hong Kong AceTrader 01:36 GMT March 4, 2014
AceTrader Mar4: Euro falls on risk aversion due to geopolitical tensions in Ukraine
Reply   
Market Review - 03/03/2014 22:04GMT

Euro falls on risk aversion due to geopolitical tensions in Ukraine

The single currency fell against the dollar and the other major currencies on Monday as fears over the growing threat of war between Russia and Ukraine after Russian President Vladimir Putin's decision to send troops into the Crimea region over the weekend sparked a broad based selloff in assets perceived as risky.

Euro 'gap-down' opened in New Zealand on Monday after rising to a fresh 2-year peak at 1.3825 last Friday. Price fell to 1.3755 before rebounding to 1.3793 ahead of European opening on short-covering. Later, despite release of a mixed manufacturing PMIs from euro zone and its members countries, euro fell further versus dollar to 1.3726 in late New York on dollar's broad-based strength except versus the Japanese yen.

In euro zone, data on Monday confirmed that the region's manufacturing PMI declined to 53.2 in February from 54.0 in January. It was the first dip in five months, highlighting the fragile nature of the recovery in the euro area. Separate reports showed that the rate of decline in France's manufacturing sector eased in February, while activity in Germany's manufacturing sector rose for the eighth straight month.

Versus the Japanese yen, although dollar remained under pressure after opening lower from Friday's close of 101.80 to 101.32 in Monday's New Zealand due to broad-based buying of yen on risk aversion after Russian President Vladimir Putin's threat to invade Ukraine. Price briefly staged a short-covering rebound to 101.67 in Australia before falling further to 101.20 in Europe. Later, dollar climbed back to 101.57 after release of a slew of encouraging U.S. economic data in New York morning and then traded sideways in New York afternoon.

On the data front, U.S. personal income rose 0.3%, beating expectations for a 0.2% increase, after a flat reading in December. U.S. personal spending rose 0.4% in January, above expectations for an increase of 0.1%, however, December data was revised down to a 0.1% gain from a previously reported increase of 0.4%.

Cable traded in a choppy fashion on Monday. Although price moved closely with euro in Asia and rebounded from New Zealand low at 1.6710 to 1.6751, price retreated to 1.6698 (Reuters) in European morning and then rebounded to 1.6751 after data showed that the strong upswing in the U.K. manufacturing sector continued in February and more-than-expected mortgage approvals in January. Later, broad-based rebound in greenback pushed price lower again n cable nose-dived to 1.6652 in late New York after penetrating 1.6698 level.

The Markit U.K. manufacturing purchasing managers' index for February came in at 56.9, up from a revised 56.6 in January. Market had expected the index to tick down to 56.5. A separate report showed that the number of mortgages approved in the U.K. rose to 76,947 in February, the highest level since November 2007, from 72,798 in January.

In other news, ECB's President Mario Draghi gave testimony before the European Parliament's Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs on Monday and said 'government bonds will be stressed according to stress parameters like all other assets in stress test; very important to reach swift conclusion on single resolution mechanism; financial linkages of Ukraine with euro zone are "rather small", economic impact likely to be limited; geopolitical dimensions of Ukraine could go beyond actual links of statistical numbers, must watch carefully; we have to find a way whereby the changes of our monetary policy will be passed to the real economy; start seeing some progress now in lending channels improving; funding for lending scheme is one of the instrument we could use; euro exchange is not our policy target, but it is important for price stability; premature to speculate about a debt relief for Greece, Greece should focus on programme implementation; looking at house price increases in some parts of euro zone with "great attention", too early to speak of bubble.'

Data to be released on Tuesday:

Australia building approvals, RBA rate decision, U.K. PMI construction, EU PPI and U.S. ISM New York.

HK [email protected] 00:25 GMT March 4, 2014
CHF
Reply   


USD/CHF, has a potential to test an upper hourly trendline at about 0.8930, per constant(if) ratio Euro will be at about 1.3585 if seen.

 




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