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Forex Forum Archive for 03/13/2014

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


Mtl JP 23:21 GMT March 13, 2014
AUD and Aussie is going to Pay Big time thanks to Global Warming

warming ya say eh ? did you say warming ?

lets see ... how the warming meme works out for the "working joe"
-
hint: buy Enbridge on dips

Mtl JP 22:31 GMT March 13, 2014
Asia

sf thx 4 the tip

Syd sf 22:15 GMT March 13, 2014
Asia

I deal things like usdnok chfnok and alot of eur/xxx

these were 75/90 points a little bit ago now they are 50 and later they will be 20/25

gbpyen typically blows out to 10/15 points ... like I said these things influence my autotrader .. so I have to turn it off till the spreads narrow to normal levels.

why do I deal those off currencies .. well when you autotrade them they are very profitable compared to something like $yen .. its hard to model profitable $yen autodealing .. but in those other things its pretty simple.

Mtl JP 21:54 GMT March 13, 2014
Asia

what pairs show 50 spread : indian roopee, israel sheckel, turkish lire ... which ? tia

Syd sf 21:13 GMT March 13, 2014
Asia
Reply   
Sitting down to the market this morning couple things stand out.

* Draghi made a comment about FX Market Rate
* Merkel who is from East Germany and speaks Russian - has become increasingly hostile towards Russia - which was not expected.
* Troop Movements
* Build-Up in China Concerns finally taken seriously in US
* Nikkei heavy selling for 2-3 days finally affected $yen and US Stocks (heavy lag has been evident)

will turn the auto dealer on at tokyo open and see what it starts trading and what its looking for.

It doesn't cope well with rollover time and low liquidity because my platform spikes out spreads to 5 - 50 points in some pairs and messes up signals.

USA ZEUS 20:45 GMT March 13, 2014
EUR/USD This is the top

1.3777//1.3277//1.2777//1.2277

USA ZEUS 20:43 GMT March 13, 2014
EUR/USD This is the top



I posted this chart earlier today when price was at the top-

GVI Forex john 19:38 GMT March 13, 2014
Chart Points - Free FX Database
Reply   

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

GVI Forex john 19:34 GMT March 13, 2014
Chart Points -- Trading Points
Reply   
Pre-Closing Trading Points...
many more chart points
About Moving Averages
About Bollinger Bands


GVI Forex Blog 19:27 GMT March 13, 2014
Tumultuous Session in Stocks, Bonds and Forex. Crimea Vote on Independence Looms
Reply   
HIGH IMPACT NEWS ITEMS: JP- Industrial Output, BOJ Minutes, GB- Trade, US- PPI, Univ of Michigan Survey

Thursday was a tumultuous day in forex markets thanks to an early comment by ECB President Draghi that conditions do not require a change in policy. That saw the EURUSD surge . Later Draghi that FX rate considerations were becoming more relevant to policy. The second comment was seen as a possible rate protest against the stronger EURUSD.

Tumultuous Session in Stocks, Bonds and Forex. Crimea Vote on Independence Looms

KL KL 19:26 GMT March 13, 2014
Sell EURUSD NOW!!

top top morning....

...like in the soccer match after the opponent scored a goal in their rival home soil....... Shhhhhhhhhhhhhh running around the fiedls and taunting the fans........ now ninja 286 sx relentlessly running around and saying .....shhhhhhhhh to Pentium i7 computer users.....LOL

covering 1/2 here 1.3860...... 2 armarda account have unloaded 1/2 ....... about to close the rest....just at leisure.....some people just cannot accept there are many ways to trade....pity...pity...!! Luckily the world do not revolve on some set mind and style....!!DYOR...DFM..imvho and gl gt

london red 19:22 GMT March 13, 2014
euro
Reply   
euro. 68 51 short term up and down pivots

USA ZEUS 19:21 GMT March 13, 2014
EURUSD 14300

Amman wfakhoury 19:01 GMT 03/13/2014

Wasn't posting about your comments- sorry NOT interested. Good Luck!

Amman wfakhoury 19:01 GMT March 13, 2014
EURUSD 14300

Amman wfakhoury 08:11 GMT 03/13/2014

Again this is to remind you that we are heading 14300 unless it breaks down 13910 and keeps below it.
----------------------
Everyone read well my signal specially Zues as I said
Unless it breaks down 13910..then I confirmed only 13965 and reached.14300 for short term period. still valid if breaks up 13910 again.

douglas IOM cookie 19:00 GMT March 13, 2014
analysis of Bull.....!!
Reply   
Sell USDJPY
Entry: 10267 Target: Stop:

glad I never take notice of experts !! only read the charts for market moves

HK [email protected] 18:57 GMT March 13, 2014
This time is Russia and China combined against US policy.



I don't think that amassing Russian troops scares Wall street, but stupid sanctions policy which will by the first place hurt US business interests do!

HK [email protected] 18:53 GMT March 13, 2014
This time is Russia and China combined against US policy.
Reply   


Too early the USD to be happy.

USA ZEUS 18:47 GMT March 13, 2014
EUR/USD This is the top

Never mess with a marine sniper and his rifle
Lapua 338
Barrett 416
BMG 50

Semper Fi!

USA ZEUS 18:40 GMT March 13, 2014
EUR/USD This is the top

Will use this post with posted chart as the basis for the remainder of 2014.

USA ZEUS 09:59 GMT March 13, 2014

Cheers!

USA ZEUS 18:39 GMT March 13, 2014
EURUSD 14300

jkt abel 07:17 GMT March 10, 2014
EURUSD 14300:
with Dr Qindex, bali sja and amman wfakhoury go in tandem wow euro will just go up, no doubt! thanks gentlemen!
Dil, FM and Zeus can go hibernating :) j/k no offense
________________________________________________
None taken. I let the market speak for itself. Cheers!

HK [email protected] 18:25 GMT March 13, 2014
Next 16000 for the DOW?
Reply   

If 16000 will give way ....avalanche!!!


london red 18:24 GMT March 13, 2014
euro
Reply   
38.2 of pre ecb meet to recent high at 13836

london red 18:17 GMT March 13, 2014
cable
Reply   
cable support at 16605 that old chestnut again. failure to hold this brings 16540 into focus where should be able to build multiday longs. stop if we get there as stubbornly supported at 1.66 options related buying.

london red 18:13 GMT March 13, 2014
eurgbp
Reply   
8333 = 1.20 gbpeur. first fib 8315. should see 8380-8425 before lower (8350 interim imp on a closing basis). but, if lower first, would look to buy 8300 8280 with stop under 8250 (ends bull run).

HK [email protected] 18:05 GMT March 13, 2014


Nothing to worry about Russian troops. It is just a warning, that peace and order has to be maintained during the referendum.

And a message to the US president, that this situation can't be handled classic Chicago style, if you know....

I don't think Crimea will be annexed; For this you don't need a referendum; Just grab!!!





GVI Forex Blog 17:58 GMT March 13, 2014
Aud and NZD
Reply   
Risk aversion again took hold as risks from Ukraine intensified. Reports that Russia was building troop numbers on its border with Ukraine raised concerns regarding possible annexation. Safe-haven markets performed well, notably US treasuries and the yen

Australia & NZ Morning Thoughts

HK [email protected] 17:55 GMT March 13, 2014
I don't see any good for the USD in the new situation.



When Dow will print 15000 fast and bonds will selloff and capital flight from the US....

Then policy makers will have to rethink, because the corporate owners which own the US will call Mr. Obama....

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 17:52 GMT March 13, 2014
EURUSD Dips on Draghi

I posted this earlier as part of my Daily Forex Outlook

Event risk - Draghi speaks today but venue is not one for a policy statement so if he says something on monetary policy it would be worth noting.

Mario Draghi Event: Speech by the President on the occasion of the awarding ceremony of the Schumpeter Award organised by Schumpeter Gesellschaft in Vienna, Austria.
Time: 6 p.m. CET

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 17:49 GMT March 13, 2014
EURUSD Dips on Draghi

Needs to hold 1.3841 to avoid an outside day

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 17:47 GMT March 13, 2014
EURUSD Dips on Draghi
Reply   
3/13/2014 1:45:33 PM
(EU) ECB chief Draghi: Not in favor of an excessively long deleveraging period; FX rate is now becoming more relevant in assessing price stability

- comments from Vienna- Reiterates ECB will counter any material risk to inflation expectations - Source TradeTheNews.com

nw kw 17:41 GMT March 13, 2014
I don't see any good for the USD in the new situation.

might be Natgas send it to eur / reported

NY Bob 17:39 GMT March 13, 2014
Try Something Different
Reply   
Comment on blog page please

HK [email protected] 17:36 GMT March 13, 2014
I don't see any good for the USD in the new situation.
Reply   

Probably those sanctions will backfire on the US and Europe. Much more business interests in the US which are bound to have loses will soon come out screaming.

And wrong Obama will come out very small. 0% approval.

HK [email protected] 17:32 GMT March 13, 2014
US shot itself in the leg. LOL First to suffer from it's own sanctions.
Reply   


FROM GVI:

Stocks are getting slammed at this hour despite decent data from the U.S. earlier. We could be seeing a precautionary sell-off ahead of the Crimea vote this weekend, especially after the U.S. sent Putin a warning about sanctions after it announced a token release of oil reserves from the SPR.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 17:29 GMT March 13, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

EURUSD 13884 = 61.8% of 1.3832-1.3967

Low was 1.3887

Livingston nh 17:25 GMT March 13, 2014
STOX
Reply   
a tech purist might quibble but SPX filled last week's gap ~1845 - Russell 2k (RUT) touched its 21 dma // bias has been higher last 30-45 min into close -- still a ways to go but next test is around 1830 // a true correction would be a test of the SPX Feb low ~1740

GVI Forex john 17:16 GMT March 13, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot

10-yr now 2.660%

GVI Forex john 17:06 GMT March 13, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot

30-yr 3.630%
bid to cover 2.35 vs. 2.57

Not a good auction.

Mtl JP 17:00 GMT March 13, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

john - you might have seen on GVI in some earlier posts that US debt margin in stocks is very close to half a trillion dollars (or approximately 3% worth of US GDP)

GVI Forex john 17:00 GMT March 13, 2014
Your Best Trade Today



Chart S&P vs.USDJPY

Johannesburg HvW 16:59 GMT March 13, 2014
GBP/JPY

Fascinating Mr.Wfakhoury; fascinating indeed.

I closed on the -23% Fib @ 169,342 which to me is always a very strong level.

Any comments would be appreciated, if and when you have a minute to spare, please.

Continued success to you.

Amman wfakhoury 16:52 GMT March 13, 2014
GBP/JPY

Amman wfakhoury 15:14 GMT 03/12/2014
Amman wfakhoury 15:03 GMT 03/12/2014
Johannesburg HvW 14:49 GMT 03/12/2014
------------
still heading twd 169 area unless it breaks up 171.20.

--------------------------------
GBPJPY into 169 area
as 171.20 reached and broken down again

GVI Forex john 16:39 GMT March 13, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

The weaker S&P has been dragging USDJPY lower ever since just after the U.S. open. The correlation trade is working perfectly. It could not be tighter.

GVI Forex john 16:34 GMT March 13, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

Stocks are getting slammed at this hour despite decent data from the U.S. earlier. We could be seeing a precautionary sell-off ahead of the Crimea vote this weekend, especially after the U.S. sent Putin a warning about sanctions after it announced a token release of oil reserves from the SPR.

In response to the latest down-leg in stock prices, the yield on the U.S. 10-yr has eased further to 2.667% -6bps. A U.S. 30-yr auction is due in about 30 mins. The EURUSD is weaker on these developments.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 16:31 GMT March 13, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

I posted this earlier on GVIForex and was an early warning of what was to come:

Thursday's Trading Outlook
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:50 GMT 03/13/2014 - My Profile
Now we see if JPY (firmer) will lead stocks as (eurchf as well) indicating risk aversion, offsets knocking EURUSD into a 1.3915-30 support zone.

nw kw 16:13 GMT March 13, 2014
s&p

gold pack up but xjpy not so can keep selling yen

london red 16:09 GMT March 13, 2014
s&p
Reply   
23.6 fib coming into focus again at 1853. If holds here then looking at double bottom with potential towards 1880, while a break targets 38.2 at 1831 and 50 day a whisker below.

GVI Forex john 16:02 GMT March 13, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot

Late in European trade, fixed income markets remain in a "risk-off" posture as the weekend vote in Crimea approaches. It appears the U.S. decision to release a token amount of oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) for a test of the system was a warning to Putin what the U.S. is now capable of doing.

European equities are lower on the day. The peripheral European bond prices are mixed. U.S. equities are lower at mid-session in the U.S. The U.S. 10-yr was last at 2.70%, even though data released today have been positive. A U.S. 30-yr auction is due early in the N.Y. afternoon.


nw kw 15:53 GMT March 13, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

yen ripping

GVI Forex Blog 15:47 GMT March 13, 2014
Global Markets News
Reply   
Earlier this morning, EUR/USD tested above 1.3960 for fresh two-year highs, although the US data out later in the AM helped strengthen the greenback. The yen remains firmer, however, with USD/JPY around two-week lows of 102.32.

TradeTheNews.com US Market Update: Poor China Data Once Again Undermines Markets

GVI Forex john 15:39 GMT March 13, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

It would be natural to wonder if there was someone in the background earlier (National Central Banks?) acting to keep EURUSD away from the psychological 1.400 line.

Any thoughts?

GVI Forex Blog 15:22 GMT March 13, 2014 Reply   
March 13, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, March 14. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: JP- Industrial Output, BOJ Minutes, GB- Trade, US- PPI, Univ of Michigan Survey

GVI Forex Data Outlook for March 14, 2014

GVI Forex john 15:20 GMT March 13, 2014
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data News
Reply   


March 13, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, March 14. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: JP- Industrial Output, BOJ Minutes, GB- Trade, US- PPI, Univ of Michigan Survey

  • Far East: JP- Industrial Output, BOJ Minutes.
  • Europe: GB- Trade.
  • North America: US- PPI, Univ of Michigan, COT Report.


Livingston nh 14:47 GMT March 13, 2014
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims

Treasury yields still can't get off the floor -still seems to be some worries

GVI Forex john 14:42 GMT March 13, 2014
WEEKLY- US Natural Gas (bcf)
Reply   



ALERT
-195 vs. -130 exp vs. -95 prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

London 14:36 GMT March 13, 2014
New Signal
Reply   
Sell AUDJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:


The slowdown in China’s retail sales and industrial production for January hit brought back the risk-off picture as AUD is down again while JPY and CHF are picking up.

Posted with permission of global-view.com

Forex Signals

GVI Forex john 14:02 GMT March 13, 2014
January 2014 U.S. Business Inventories
Reply   



ALERT
+0.40% vs. +0.40% exp. vs. +0.50% (r ) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex john 13:07 GMT March 13, 2014
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims

Analysts reacting positively to weekly jobless data (note blue line). This series tends to be very volatile, but it is the most recent jobs data available.

GVI Forex john 12:48 GMT March 13, 2014
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims

U.S. Weekly jobless claims fall.




Click on chart for ten-year history


PRESS RELEASE: U.S. Weekly Unemployment Insurance Claims

GVI Forex john 12:46 GMT March 13, 2014
February 2014 U.S. Advance Retail Sales



U.S. Advance Retail Sales. Data mixed.

PRESS RELEASE: U.S. Advance Retail Sales

GVI Forex john 12:37 GMT March 13, 2014
January 2014 U.S. Import Prices
Reply   



ALERT
+0.90% vs. 0.60% exp. vs. 0.10% (r ) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex john 12:33 GMT March 13, 2014
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims
Reply   




ALERT
Initial Claims (000)
315K vs. 330K exp. vs. 323K (r 324K K) prev.
Continued Claims (mln)
2.855 vs. n/a exp. vs. 2.907 (r.2.903 ) prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer

Direct links to primary data sources

Horbat Qindex 12:32 GMT March 13, 2014
EUR/USD : Critical Level 1.3866

Buy EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:




EUR/USD : Maintain a positive note when the market closes above the critical point 1.3866 in the New York session.


==============================================

Forex Forum Search

You Searched For: Author: Qindex > Comment: EUR/USD > Date: March 1, 2014 - March 13, 2014
Melbourne Qindex 21:47 GMT March 9, 2014
EUR/USD : Critical Level 1.3866 : Reply
Buy EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:




EUR/USD : Weekly Cycle Analysis


The odds are in favour of taking a long position when the market is trading above the barrier of 1.3687 // 1.3744. Speculative buying interest will increase when the market momentum is strong enough to overcome the weekly cycle pivot centre at 1.4104. The current weekly cycle pivot centres are positioning at 1.3847 - 1.3912 - 1.4104 which are marked with yellow colour (see details at the front page of website, qindex.com ). The next two upside targets are 1.3912 and 1.4006.


Qindex.com

EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts (updated)

Melbourne Qindex 04:14 GMT March 8, 2014
EUR/USD : Critical Level 1.3866 : Reply
Buy EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:




EUR/USD : The market is positive when it is able to close above the critical level at 1.3866 - 1.3870 in the New York session. The market has good potential to tackle the range at 1.3930 - 1.3986 in early next week.


Qindex.com

EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts

Melbourne Qindex 08:15 GMT March 7, 2014
EUR/USD : Critical Level 1.3866 : Reply
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:





The following is still valid :


Hong Kong Qindex 02:55 GMT January 31, 2014
EUR/USD : Critical Level 1.3866 : Reply
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:


EUR/USD : Trading Reference


... 1.3417* - 1.3477 - [1.3537] - 1.3596 - 1.3656* - 1.3715 - 1.3775 - 1.3834 - 1.3894* // 1.3953 - 1.4013 ...

EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts

GVI Forex john 12:32 GMT March 13, 2014
February 2014 U.S. Advance Retail Sales
Reply   



ALERT
Headline: +0.30% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. -0.40% (r +0.60%prev.
Ex-Autos: +0.30% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. 0.00% prev.
Ex-Autos and Gas: +0.30% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. 0.0% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:20 GMT March 13, 2014
U.S. News Data Releases

Note the links in the data releases in the Countdown Clock (and our Economic Calendar) to John's data charts. which I feel are the best on the web.

GVI Forex john 12:17 GMT March 13, 2014
U.S. News Data Releases
Reply   

HEADS-UP: Data (forum top)
EURUSD= 1.3950
GBPUSD= 1.6705
USDJPY= 102.60
U.S. 10-yr=2.73%
(Manually refresh forum to update Calendar)

HK [email protected] 12:04 GMT March 13, 2014
D'Cwen
Reply   


Faces Res. at 1.6735, and at today last Hi.

Essential to breach for 1.6800 many hours later.

GVI Forex john 12:01 GMT March 13, 2014
Your Best Trade Today
Reply   
Maybe I'm nuts, but I just listen to what Draghi says and go with it. I don't know why he would intentionally try to mislead the markets. Today, reportedly he said that present economic conditions do not require a change in policy. That is what he said a week ago, but there is a large contingent in the markets who does not believe him.

EURUSD is up strongly today vs. the USD. I'm not passing judgement on the correctness of current ECB policy. My focus is more on what they are going to do. I don't think its proper, but policy is geared primarily to the German economy, so we have to go with it until something fundamentally changes. Also keep in mind that there are no fears among key officials about the risk of ECB deflation.

We will see a couple of key pieces of U.S. data at the bottom of the hour (12:30 GMT).

prague mark 11:45 GMT March 13, 2014
EUR/USD This is the top

USA ZEUS 09:59 GMT 03/13/2014

dont forget to note for other traders that your SL is 2500 pips

Johannesburg HvW 11:13 GMT March 13, 2014
GBP/JPY

Thank you for the confirmation, Mr.Wfakhoury.
Appreciated.

HK [email protected] 11:12 GMT March 13, 2014
Crimea: Probably a good real estate investment
Reply   


Crimea will become an independent territory by next week.
It will likely not be annexed by Russia, but will become an independent zone.

I believe that eventually it will emerge as a special financial and industrial zone, like H.K or Singapore or Dubai.

This peninsula has a great economical potential, so buying real estate for any commercial purposes can make a great investment for the next few years.

The West knows that, and they blow their top in order to prevent it, but with the presence of Russian army on the territory it will be a very safe place to invest.

Probably no one likes to buy now, but it is really the time to do it: It is safe and will yield well.

Just few weeks later you will see how investors will flock for buying.

GVI Forex john 11:12 GMT March 13, 2014
audnzd

Video of RBNZ policy announcement

Monetary Policy Statement highlights, 13 March 2014

GVI Forex john 11:01 GMT March 13, 2014
audnzd

Shawn- possible. RBNZ expressed concern about the strength of the kiwi but also indicated interest rates could move 200bps higher if I heard correctly yesterday. I think they are anticipating a higher FX rate?

kl shawn 10:20 GMT March 13, 2014
audnzd
Reply   
i wonder if this latest move by rbnz could spur audnzd towards parity sooner as rba still in waiting mode

kl shawn 10:14 GMT March 13, 2014
euro
Reply   
top? another embarassment in the making or just another broken clock luck

GVI Forex Blog 10:08 GMT March 13, 2014
Global Markets News
Reply   
The EUR/USD at a two-year high and moved closer to the 1.40 handle as market participants decided that if the ECB was not concerned about deflation nor should they be.

(EU) TradeTheNews.com EU Market Update: Euro hits 2-yr high; China Feb Industrial production, Retail sales disappoints

USA ZEUS 09:59 GMT March 13, 2014
EUR/USD This is the top
Reply   


Possible slight overshoot into a "sweet zone" to add shorts. Otherwise the top has been put in. 15-30 figure slide comes next. Good luck!

GVI Forex john 09:50 GMT March 13, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot
Reply   
Early in European trading hours, financial markets appear to be moving away from their recent risk-off posture. Prices in prime fixed income markets are mixed.

European equities are mixed as well. Far East equities ended mixed. U.s. S&P futures are higher at this hour. The peripheral European bond prices are weaker.


Syd 09:49 GMT March 13, 2014
Fade AUD, CAD Piggy-Back Rebound: Morgan Stanley -- Market Talk dj
Reply   

The RBNZ rate hike and - to a lesser extent - the stronger than forecast Australian data triggered a rebound in the commodity-related currencies, notes Morgan Stanley. However, with the international risk environment - and especially developments in China - likely to weigh on AUD, and with the charts supportive of USD/CAD, the bank has used overnight AUD and CAD strength as fresh selling opportunities. MS sold AUD/USD at 0.9050 to target 0.86 with a protective stop up at 0.9150 and is long USD/CAD from 1.11, targeting 1.16 with a 1.10 stop-loss. USD/CAD now at 1.1075, AUD/USD at 0.9066.

Amman wfakhoury 09:48 GMT March 13, 2014
EURUSD 13965 confirmed

Amman wfakhoury 09:22 GMT 03/13/2014
13965 confirmed not 13985.
-------------------------
13965 reached

GVI Forex Blog 09:40 GMT March 13, 2014
RBNZ hikes rates as expected. Australia Jobs data stronger than forecast
Reply   
HIGH IMPACT NEWS ITEMS: US- Retail Sales, Weekly Jobs, 30-yr

The EURUSD is trading higher following comments ECB President Draghi that conditions do not require a change in policy.

RBNZ hikes rates as expected. Australia Jobs data stronger than forecast

bali sja 09:31 GMT March 13, 2014
EURUSD 14300

[email protected], nothing dramatic, just like before they say 1.3890 was a very strong resistance which proved just another peanut to crack
this one target too, all it needs just the usual 40-50 pips pullback which a lot here always scream as 'imminent crash' and then we are all good to go higher

Amman wfakhoury 09:22 GMT March 13, 2014
EURUSD 13965 confirmed
Reply   
13965 confirmed not 13985.

Amman wfakhoury 09:20 GMT March 13, 2014
EURUSD 13985 confirmed

The confirmed level is 13965 not 13985..pls correct.

GVI Forex john 09:12 GMT March 13, 2014
February 2014 Australia Employment
Reply   






-- EARLIER NEWS --

Employment: +47.3 vs. +15.0K exp. vs. -3.70K (r 18.0) prev.
Rate: 6.0% vs. 6.00% exp. vs. 6.00% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Direct links to primary data sources



HK [email protected] 09:10 GMT March 13, 2014
EURUSD 14300



1.4300 for Euro is possible, but needs really a dramatic pull up to be continued.

FR 09:07 GMT March 13, 2014
EURUSD 13985 confirmed

Thank you Sir,

london red 09:07 GMT March 13, 2014
-
Reply   
Euro barrier run dragged cable higher and leads me to reassess. Now looking to long agead of 16605 support following eurgbp move to 8390/8400, which itself is progressing towards that target. Still looking to sell there with stop as before.

Amman wfakhoury 09:06 GMT March 13, 2014
EURUSD 13985 confirmed

any confirmed level will be reached within 24-36 hour

FR 08:53 GMT March 13, 2014
EURUSD 13985 confirmed

Sir,
One more thing would like to ask about 13985.
what is the time period reach to that level.
Any idea?

Amman wfakhoury 08:22 GMT March 13, 2014
GBP/JPY

Amman wfakhoury 15:30 GMT 03/12/2014
Yes ..it is heading twd 171.10 any decline below 17065 will return to it
-------------------------171.10 reached

Syd sf 08:15 GMT March 13, 2014
Sell EURUSD NOW!!

well to be fair when we were at 1.3480 it looked like we were going to go lower ... but ever since then its been pretty much a one way street as every number came out.

anyway some data later - so that should be enough to get it up to 70-80 and make some people feel even worse.

I still remain probably one of the worst eurusd traders around lol.

Amman wfakhoury 08:13 GMT March 13, 2014
EURUSD 13985 confirmed
Reply   
13985 confirmed and will be reached ..decline below 13937
will return to it.

Amman wfakhoury 08:11 GMT March 13, 2014
EURUSD 14300
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 18:24 GMT December 11, 2013
EURUSD 14300: Reply
we want someone to sit on the top of 13840 to prevent breaking it..and keeps above it otherwise 14300 is coming.
---------------------------------
Again this is to remind you that we are heading 14300 unless it breaks down 13910 and keeps below it.

jkt abel 08:00 GMT March 13, 2014
Sell EURUSD NOW!!

Syd sf, 1.28 is ok, how about those below parity imminent crash calls? yeah sell sell selllll euro and gbp 1.35 is coming LOLLLL

bali sja 07:56 GMT March 13, 2014
Sell EURUSD NOW!!

Syd sf, it used to be US is leading the rest of the world, now NZ is leading, and then followed by EU, UK, and the last one being US? hehe

Syd sf 07:46 GMT March 13, 2014
Sell EURUSD NOW!!

eurusd just seems to want to crush these FX Analysts calls for 1.2800 .. its just a matter of how high their stops are as to how high this goes .. maybe later in the year when US looks to Hike things can turn around.

German Guy says hike rates .. lol .. talk about putting Salt on the Wound.

Hong Kong AceTrader 06:56 GMT March 13, 2014
AceTrader Mar 13: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
Reply   
Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
13 Mar 2014 05:49GMT

USD/JPY - 102.62... Japanese Finance Minister TARO ASO speaks in Tokyo, he says "Tapping has had large impact on emerging market."

05:48GMT
China Feb fixed assets ex rural YTD YoY and retail sales YTD YoY came in at 17.9% and 11.8 respectively.
China Feb Industrial Production came in at 8.6%, lower than the expectation of 9.5%.

05:05GMT
EUR/USD - 1.3942.. Euro made a surprise 'jump' in post-Tokyo lunch session after tripping stops (large) above yesterday's as well as last Fri's 2-1/4 year peak of 1.3915.
Price quickly climbed to 1.3949 (EBS) b4 stabilizing n current firmness suggests euro still has legs to move higher.

However, with the release of important Chinese economic data (retail sales & industrial production) in just 25 minutes, further strong gain is unlikely to be seen.
Perhaps certain big names know the China data to be bullish (robust) and the market doesn't n is buying ahead of the release.

bali sja 05:35 GMT March 13, 2014
Sell EURUSD NOW!!

KL KL, of course you never lose because nobody will be able to understand what you are doing or talking about, opening and closing and averaging everything on one post, better keep it all for yourself then! i dont think others would want to read your highly manipulated trading diary

KL KL 05:31 GMT March 13, 2014
Sell EURUSD NOW!!

covering shorts at leaisure now 1/8 here 1.3937 each 3-5 seconds.....LOL...How to lose??...leassen burden and move higher to short again....pffff....europe recovery.....its Chaos due to Ukraine......

bali sja 05:24 GMT March 13, 2014
sell usd



kl shawn, yes sometimes human stupidity is beyond words, claiming to be a trader yet ignoring charts and more like casino gamblers, the usual suspects are always at it
anyway euro just broke the multimonths resistance line, sellers running for cover, meanwhile we are very very relaxed on the way to target, didn't think it would be this easy, but hey can't complain

HK [email protected] 05:17 GMT March 13, 2014
sell usd



1.3970 is blinking:)

kl shawn 05:10 GMT March 13, 2014
sell usd
Reply   
keep buying usd if you want to say byebye to your wealth and capital, only idiots to play small bounce here and there where the trend is down down down for usd

KL KL 05:07 GMT March 13, 2014
Sell EURUSD NOW!!
Reply   
Short Relentless 1.3943....keep adding as fast as finger can confirm and new order incresing in size as it goes higher by 2-5 pips....no problem... gl gt...

Gold a bit boring....not in my zone and can wait for opportunity to short.....LOL...Ninja IGNORE gold......LOL

GVI Forex Blog 04:29 GMT March 13, 2014 Reply   
- (NZ) NEW ZEALAND CENTRAL BANK (RBNZ) RAISES OFFICIAL CASH RATE BY 25BPS TO 2.75%, AS EXPECTED - (NZ) NEW ZEALAND FEB FOOD PRICES M/M: -1.0% V +1.2% PRIOR (first decline in 4 months) - (AU) AUSTRALIA

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: RBNZ commences tightening cycle with a hawkish 25bp hike; Strong Australia jobs figures quiet speculation over more RBA cuts - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Blog 04:27 GMT March 13, 2014 Reply   
- (NZ) NEW ZEALAND CENTRAL BANK (RBNZ) RAISES OFFICIAL CASH RATE BY 25BPS TO 2.75%, AS EXPECTED - (NZ) NEW ZEALAND FEB FOOD PRICES M/M: -1.0% V +1.2% PRIOR (first decline in 4 months) - (AU) AUSTRALIA FEB EMPLOYMENT CHANGE: 47.3K V 15.0KE (10-month high); UNEMPLOYMENT RATE: 6.0% V 6.0%E - (AU) AUSTRALIA MAR CONSUMER INFLATION EXPECTATION: 2.1% V 2.3% PRIOR (3-month low) - (JP) JAPAN JAN MACHINE ORDERS M/M: 13.4% V 7.1%E (10-month high); Y/Y: 23.6% V 18.9%E - (JP) Japan investors sold ¥618.5B (2nd consecutive week of net sales) in foreign bonds last week vs sold net ¥759.0B in prior week; Foreign Investors bought net ¥383.8B in Japan stocks v sold net ¥4.1B in prior week - (KR) BANK OF KOREA (BOK) LEAVES 7-DAY REPO RATE UNCHANGED AT 2.50% (AS EXPECTED; 10TH STRAIGHT PAUSE) - (UK) UK JAN RICS HOUSE PRICE BALANCE: 45% V 52%E (6-month low) Market Snapshot (as of 04:30 GMT): - Nikkei225 +0.5%, S&P/ASX +0.7%, Kospi +0.6%, Shanghai Composite +1.2%, Hang Seng +0.5%, Mar S&P500 +0.3% at 1,873, Apr gold +0.1% at $1,371, Apr crude oil +0.3% at $98.32/brl ***Highlights/Observations/Insights*** - Reserve Bank of New Zealand became the first central bank of a developed economy to embark on a tightening campaign. And while the 25bp rate hike was largely priced in by the fixed income markets, NZD rose about 100pips after the initial tip to as high as $0.8560. Specifically RBNZ justified the hike by warning that inflationary pressures are expected to continue to rise over the next 2 years, that LVR lending limits policies are having a faster than expected impact, and domestic expansion is becoming more broad based amid very high consumer and business confidence. A research note from Westpac said the decision was more hawkish than expected, with an increase in 90-day bill interest rate projections implying 3.75% OCR by year-end as well as extension of rate forecast to 2017 with an eye on at least 5.00% key rate. - Australia employment surprised to the upside with a much higher than expected 47K net new jobs, sparking a debate on whether the figure is due to sampling adjustment (recall last year's Feb employment was also much, much stronger) or truly a sign of healing down under, reflecting the leading indicators of stronger AiG Services and ANZ job ads. According to local press, UBS and NAB economists are on the side of "sampling error", noting RBA will either stay on hold or even cut policy before the end of 2014. CBA economist said the improvement is legitimate, forecasting a rate hike as early as November and some 20-30K in jobs gains on a monthly basis over the near term. JPMorgan said unemployment rate would have to rise further to 6.5% for the RBA to consider more easing. Note that despite the rise in employment, jobless rate remained unchanged at 6.0% due to a sound increase in the participation rate, which hit a 5-month high. AUD/USD was up about 80pips above $0.9070 after the jobs data. - Bank of Korea was on hold for the 10th consecutive month, in line with unanimous analyst forecasts. In his last rate decision before stepping down, BOK Gov Kim reiterated the negative production gap is seen sustained going forward but will narrow gradually, and also noted inflation would rise in the medium term but remain low for now. USD/KRW was little changed after the decision just below KRW1,068. - China premier Li addressed the delegates as the National Peoples Congress drew to a close, most notably promising the govt will not allow systemic risks to arise from debt defaults even though defaults were unavoidable in some cases. Li also said 2014 would be more challenging, but the State Council would seek to raise the quality and efficiency of growth. Li further noted the govt is more concerned with employment and living standards than GDP - a veiled reference to the "elastic" nature of the 7.5% GDP target set for 2014 at the start of the conference. Shanghai Composite is leading the regional indices to the upside, with most pronounced gains made during the premier Li remarks. ***Fixed Income/Commodities/Currencies*** - (AU) Australian 3-yr yield rises to 3.07%, highest since Dec 11th - (JP) BOJ offers to buy ¥400B in 5-10yr JGB and ¥170B in JGB with maturity over 10-yr - (CN) PBoC to drain CNY100B in 28-day repos (8th consecutive drain); Drains CNY40B this week v drained CNY70B prior (5th week of drain) >- (CN) China Qinhuangdao coal price falls to CNY530-540/t (9th consecutive decline; lowest since late Oct) - GLD: SPDR Gold Trust ETF daily holdings fall 1.5 tonnes to 811.2 tonnes (first decline since Feb 19th) ***Equities*** US markets: - CALL: Reports Q4 $0.69 v $0.50e, R$38.2M v $36.0Me (only 1 est.); +19.6% afterhours >- KKD: Reports Q4 $0.12 v $0.13e, R$112.7M v $119Me; increases buyback program to $80M (1.4% of market cap); +10.2% afterhours - WSM: Reports Q4 $1.38 v $1.35e, R$1.466B v $1.43Be; raises dividend 6% to $0.33 from $0.31; +6.7% afterhours - VOCS: Said to be considering sale process after hiring Stifel as advisor - press; +2.4% afterhours Notable movers by sector: - Consumer Discretionary: Tan Chong International 693.HK +3.4% (positive profit alert); Zhejiang Aokang Shoes 603001.CN +10.0% (cooperation with Alibaba) - Financials: Beijing North Star 601588.CN -0.8% (FY13 results); Powerlong Real Estate Holdings 1238.HK -6.9% (FY13 results); China CITIC Bank 998.HK +2.1% (speculation on online credit card with Alibaba and Tencent) - Industrials: Leighton LEI.AU -0.9% (revised offer from Hochtief); Teijin 3401.JP +2.3% (Airbus order) - Technology: NCsoft Corp 036570.KR +7.3% (to release game); Shenzhen Zowee Tech 002369.CN +0.4% (confirmed as Xiaomi's supplier) - Healthcare: Guizhou Bailing Group Pharmaceutical 002424.CN +7.8% (FY13 results) - Source TradeTheNews.com

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: RBNZ commences tightening cycle with a hawkish 25bp hike; Strong Australia jobs figures quiet speculation over more RBA cuts - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Blog 03:22 GMT March 13, 2014 Reply   
The global markets are trading mostly flat ahead of a batch of key Chinese

Morning Briefing : 13-Mar-2014 -0321 GMT

kl shawn 02:25 GMT March 13, 2014
Wake up the Cwen. It's morning.

euro spent last week above 1.37 before running higher, this week above 1.38 and now looks like 1.39, if the same pattern continues then 1.40 should be minimum end of the week, trending up nicely

HK [email protected] 02:07 GMT March 13, 2014
Wake up the Cwen. It's morning.
Reply   


Time to move.

Hong Kong AceTrader 01:33 GMT March 13, 2014
AceTrader March 13: The single currency rises on Wednesday after ECB's official comments
Reply   
Market Review - 12/03/2014 20:31GMT

The single currency rises on Wednesday after ECB's official comments

The single currency rose against U.S. dollar on Wednesday and re-tested last Friday's 2-1/4 year high at 1.3915 after a senior European Bank official said there are no signs of deflation in the euro zone.

During the day, although the single currency retreated to 1.3844 in European morning, renewed cross-buying limited intra-day losses there and price later rose to 1.3915 (last Friday's 2-1/4 year peak) in New York on 'euro-positive' comments from ECB executive board member Benoit Coeure.

ECB's Coeure said on Wednesday that 'we don't see deflation in the euro zone; we see deflation as a risk, and we have to be ready to act; we may have situation where level of excess liquidity is not appropriate to monetary policy stance, would have to inject more liquidity; that is not the case now; different contingencies would call for different policy instruments; development of ABS market is probably beyond remit of monetary policy, European commission should lead it.'

Versus the Japanese yen, although dollar rebounded after marginal weakness below Tuesday's low at 102.84 to 102.79 in Australia on Wednesday, renewed cross-buying of yen due to risk aversion amid lingering concerns over the health of China's economy and escalating tensions over the crisis in Ukraine capped intra-day gain at 103.10 in Asia and the pair later fell further to 102.62, then 102.55 in New York morning before recovering.

Ukraine’s interim Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk was to travel to the U.S. to meet President Barack Obama on Wednesday, as diplomatic efforts to resolve the crisis continued.

Cable moved in a choppy fashion on Wednesday as despite falling from European morning high of 1.6636 to a fresh 2-week low at 1.6568 on risk-off trade ahead of New York opening, price rebounded strongly in tandem with euro to 1.6627 in New York before stabilizing.

On the data front, report showed that euro zone industrial production was down 0.2% in January from a month earlier, dragged down by a 2.5% drop in energy output. However, the underlying trend remained strong, with industrial output rising 2.1% on a year-over-year basis, after rising at an annual rate of 1.2% in December.

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand raised its benchmark cash rate by 25 basis points to 2.75%, as widely expected, and flagged a series of further increases to keep inflation pressures in check as the economy gains momentum.

Data to be released on Thursday.

Australia employment change, unemployment rate, Japan machine orders, China fixed assets exclude rural, retail sales, industrial production, U.K. RICS house price balance, France HICP, CPI, Italy HICP, Canada capacity utilization rate, new housing price index, U.S. retail sales, initial jobless claims, import price index, business inventories.

GVI Forex 00:45 GMT March 13, 2014
Australia Jobs
Reply   
NEWS: AUSTRALIA FEB EMPLOYED PERSONS +47300 M/M; MNI MEDIAN +15000

AUD spikes higher

 




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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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