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Forex Forum Archive for 03/16/2014

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to dk 23:54 GMT March 16, 2014
Watch Out for Imminent Sanctions



euro

jkt abel 23:35 GMT March 16, 2014
Watch Out for Imminent Sanctions

obama once again shows stupidity beyond words, US as the police and judge of the world? what a joke! if US us all about democratic world and the vote in crimea is not democratic therefore rejected? Putin will just say to Obama with his sanction: go censored yourself

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 23:32 GMT March 16, 2014
Watch Out for Imminent Sanctions
Reply   
Worst East-West standoff since the Cold War

U.S. rejects Crimea referendum, warns Russia of imminent sanctions 4:43pm EDT

dc CB 23:18 GMT March 16, 2014
VOX POPULI



sona si latine loqueris

Syd sf 22:11 GMT March 16, 2014
IMPORTANT VERY! Ukraine, Russia agree Crimea truce until March 21-Ukraine minister

no .. I'm not really sure what effect that will have.

Just really know very little about China.

Mtl JP 21:49 GMT March 16, 2014
IMPORTANT VERY! Ukraine, Russia agree Crimea truce until March 21-Ukraine minister

Syd sf 21:43 u were not referring the +/-2% widening of the yuan by China ?

Livingston nh 21:46 GMT March 16, 2014
VOX POPULI

Et tu, Chechnya

Syd sf 21:43 GMT March 16, 2014
IMPORTANT VERY! Ukraine, Russia agree Crimea truce until March 21-Ukraine minister

most likely whatever Asia does will end up being wrong anyway.

Mtl JP 21:34 GMT March 16, 2014
IMPORTANT VERY! Ukraine, Russia agree Crimea truce until March 21-Ukraine minister

it appears not IMPORTANT VERY!
crude zzzs
exxonmobile stock zzzs
usdyen zzzs
-
Bottom Line
players are saying the vote was/is baked in. Even bloodthirsty neo-com Charles Krauthammer says so: "Which means we can do nothing decisive in the short or even medium term."

HK [email protected] 19:48 GMT March 16, 2014
1797





The next referendum: TEXAS

The country of shelter and last resort, where the white man will shelter after intensive Obamacare.

Cambridge Joe 19:33 GMT March 16, 2014
1797

Just think of all the extra offices at the UN for these new nations !

All the new flags, all the new parliaments full of new politicians!

The world economy might just implode under the burden of all these new leaches. :-)

HK [email protected] 19:23 GMT March 16, 2014
1797



Cambridge Joe 19:12 GMT 03/16/2014

Don't joke. This referendum(Venice) has a potential of causing WWIII;(

HK [email protected] 19:18 GMT March 16, 2014
IMPORTANT VERY! Ukraine, Russia agree Crimea truce until March 21-Ukraine minister


Sanctions or not; Crimea has gone!!!

These sanctions will be a silly ineffective move which can't last.
The west is wrong and they know that!!!

Everyone knows that, and the sanctioneers will backout.

No one can stand against the free will of the people!!!

VERY CLEAR: NO WAY BACK.




Cambridge Joe 19:12 GMT March 16, 2014
1797
Reply   
HK [email protected] 19:07 GMT 03/16/2014

For the benefit of our American readers, it might be a small kindness to point out that 1797 refers to a year and not a house or apartment number. :-)

HK [email protected] 19:07 GMT March 16, 2014
Venice prepares for referendum on secession from Italy
Reply   



Voting will begin on Sunday in a referendum on whether Venice and its surrounding region should secede from the rest of Italy, in a bid to restore its 1,000-year history as a sovereign republic.


"La Serenissima" or the Most Serene Republic of Venice was an independent trading power for a millennium before the last doge, or leader, was deposed by Napoleon in 1797.


The republic encompassed not just Venice but what is now the surrounding region of Veneto and it is there that the vote will take place from Sunday until Friday.


Campaigners have been inspired by the example of Scotland, which will hold its referendum on independence from the rest of the UK in September, and Catalonia, where around half the population say they want to break away from Spain.


Activists say that the latest polling shows that 65 per cent of voters in the Veneto region, which includes historic cities such as Treviso, Vicenza and Verona, are in favour of cutting ties with Rome.
///////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////////

How about Sanctions?:)

Cambridge Joe 19:07 GMT March 16, 2014
IMPORTANT VERY! Ukraine, Russia agree Crimea truce until March 21-Ukraine minister

'followed by a wave of +usd sentiment. That's what I have. '

Reading north usdjpy usdchf usdx. To clarify.

HK [email protected] 18:49 GMT March 16, 2014
VOX POPULI
Reply   


The election returns say it all!!!

The world will have to bend it's head; It was all people's free will.
People voted with enthusiasm their way out of Ukraine.

How can it be denied??? How dare the world deny it!!!

Simply the right wing idiots are now to be blamed for the loss of territory; Oh no what a stupid mistake, what a silly revolution!

Cambridge Joe 18:39 GMT March 16, 2014
IMPORTANT VERY! Ukraine, Russia agree Crimea truce until March 21-Ukraine minister

HK [email protected] 14:00 GMT 03/16/2014


Not positive for gold!!!!
-------------------

Agree with that ! I have gold softer on 1 hour, 30 min, 15 min, 5 min not positive and 1 min all over the shop !

have to disagree on euro tho, looks to me like a possible early spike followed by a wave of +usd sentiment. That's what I have. :-)

GVI Forex john 17:39 GMT March 16, 2014
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data News
Reply   


March 16, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, March 17. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: EZ- Final HICP, US- Empire PMI, Industrial Production

  • Far East: No Major Data.
  • Europe: EZ- Final HICP.
  • North America: US- Empire PMI, TIC Flows, Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization.


GVI Forex Jay Meisler 17:05 GMT March 16, 2014
Knowledge is Power
Reply   
There are several articles of interest posted this past week,

- Spring Global Upturn? 15 March 2014 Trading Themes
- Why on Earth is EURUSD so Strong?
- Was Eurozone HICP (CPI) Leaked Beforehand (Update)
- Ask Your Advocate: Is Trading Gambling?
- NFA Proposal to Impose Capital Requirements on CTAs and CPO's and More
- Did Banks Manipulate the Forex Market?

Knowledge is Power - Read our Articles

GVI Forex Jay MNeisler 17:03 GMT March 16, 2014
IMPORTANT VERY! Ukraine, Russia agree Crimea truce until March 21-Ukraine minister

Economic consequences and reaction => reaction have a greater risk to markets than political events where markets have a short memory.

Livingston nh 16:37 GMT March 16, 2014
IMPORTANT VERY! Ukraine, Russia agree Crimea truce until March 21-Ukraine minister

Jay - sanctions are definitely a critical part of the economic effect - as opposed to the identifiable and specific direct cost of financial aid by US and/or EU sanctions impose unmeasurable indirect costs on the sanctioners // Russian foreign policy goals are immune to non-military factors - Russia has no encumbering ally concerns and its domestic politics is only slightly removed from the USSR

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 16:16 GMT March 16, 2014
IMPORTANT VERY! Ukraine, Russia agree Crimea truce until March 21-Ukraine minister

The other issue is the response by the West and whether US/Europe put on sanctions in what some may describe as the mild revival of the Cold War.

Livingston nh 15:49 GMT March 16, 2014
IMPORTANT VERY! Ukraine, Russia agree Crimea truce until March 21-Ukraine minister

The issue is no longer Crimea; it is Eastern Ukraine - if you read the statement the "truce" applies to military sites in Crimea - no fighting there because Ukraine won't fight -- so Russia will give them time for an orderly withdrawal but personnel will be withdrawn -- equipment will be taken by NEW Crimea // this is still a political "crisis" -- military crisis unlikely as long as the victim does not resist but economic crisis awaits

This is a thin reed on which to base a rally

kl shawn 14:18 GMT March 16, 2014
IMPORTANT VERY! Ukraine, Russia agree Crimea truce until March 21-Ukraine minister

yes, buy at open at market, 1.43 next

Mtl JP 14:01 GMT March 16, 2014
China Doubles Yuan Trading Band

plz name pairs that see daily +/-2% moves

HK [email protected] 14:00 GMT March 16, 2014
IMPORTANT VERY! Ukraine, Russia agree Crimea truce until March 21-Ukraine minister



Not positive for gold!!!!

Euro will likely shoot up!!!

HK [email protected] 13:33 GMT March 16, 2014
IMPORTANT VERY! Ukraine, Russia agree Crimea truce until March 21-Ukraine minister
Reply   


(Reuters) - The defence ministries of Ukraine and Russia have agreed on a truce in Crimea until March 21, Ukraine's acting defence minister said on Sunday.

"An agreement has been reached with (Russia's) Black Sea Fleet and the Russian Defence Ministry on a truce in Crimea until March 21," Ihor Tenyukh told journalists on the sidelines of a cabinet meeting.

"No measures will be taken against our military facilities in Crimea during that time. Our military sites are therefore proceeding with a replenishment of reserves."

Livingston nh 13:30 GMT March 16, 2014
China Doubles Yuan Trading Band

If the PBOC wishes to keep the CNY on the weaker side it might have a modest effect on imports and provide a bit of support for competiveness vs regional Asian countries (US whiners will bang the "manipulation" drum) - interesting because the PBOC's tightening on the domestic monetary front so band widening could offset some of that // as a controlled currency we need to know the goal of the Planners not the market reaction -- maybe KRW, S.E. Asian may see a bit of upset -- it's just another weight on the slowing China demand for AUD // energy and luxury importers may be affected

GVI Forex 13:18 GMT March 16, 2014
China Doubles Yuan Trading Band

WSJ - "Today's band widening strengthens the PBOC's signal that the one-way bet on the yuan is over and we should expect more yuan/dollar volatility going forward," Lu Ting, economist at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, wrote in a note to clients.

"We believe the PBOC won't stop here, but further band widening is of little meaning. A much more important and meaningful reform is to change the rule on setting the daily fixing of yuan/dollar. As an intermediate step, the PBOC could peg the yuan to a basket of currencies weighted by the importance of (China's) trading partners."

GVI Forex Blog 12:52 GMT March 16, 2014
Outcome of Crimea Vote Due before Trading Starts Monday. China Widens CNY Trading Band
Reply   
HIGH IMPACT NEWS ITEMS: EZ- Final HICP, US- Empire PMI, Industrial Production

China ha widened the trading band on the CNY. A wider band increases the risks for those arbitraging the external yuan (CNY) against its internal (CNH) counterpart, The outcome of the Crimea vote will be known before trading starts in earnest. There is no doubt about its outcome. There is not much anyone can do about the Russian annexation of Crimea, so odds are it will fade as a market factor fairly quickly.

Outcome of Crimea Vote Due before Trading Starts Monday. China Widens CNY Trading Band

HK [email protected] 12:43 GMT March 16, 2014
There are reports of high turnout at polling stations
Reply   


Election official Mykhaylo Malyshev said there had been a "record-breaking turnout" of 44.27%, after six hours of voting.

Voting across Crimea started at 08:00 local time and will close at 20:00 (18:00 GMT).

Crimea's pro-Russian Prime Minister, Sergey Aksyonov, casting his ballot, said the vote was going well.

"As you can see, people are voting freely. There are no problems at polling stations. I don't feel or see that any pressure is being applied," he told Interfax news agency.

LINK

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 09:53 GMT March 16, 2014
China Doubles Yuan Trading Band

Question for the forum

What are the FX implications for other currencies of China widening the band other than increasing the two-way risk in the CNY?

 




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