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Forex Forum Archive for 03/17/2014

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Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


Cambridge Joe 22:26 GMT March 17, 2014
Sanctions

red ATM L weeks low looks more likely to me. Plainly this is only my view..... so GL. I'm short 101.76. It might start cooking soon !

GVI Forex 22:17 GMT March 17, 2014
Sanctions

I show 15:00 Moscow time = 11:00 GMT

“Tomorrow, at 15.00 pm (Moscow time) President Putin will address the Federal Assembly due to the annexation of a new subject to the RF”, - said Melnikov, having noted that the State Duma will consider this issue in the morning.

london red 22:15 GMT March 17, 2014
Sanctions

russia (putin) will not do anything to hurt himself financially. which means no dumping bonds. and trying to switch out of the dollar now, into euro or yen, he is buying the effective high.
russia needs every cent it can get. this cannot be overstated.

usdjpy. business end of inverted shs now v close. 86/90 needs to be cleared for +102 or risk to 30/40. you feel last weeks low holding into fed, shocks aside.

Syd sf 22:06 GMT March 17, 2014
Sanctions

the stupid thing is now we have to wait for Putin's speech later today // it's going to be pretty boring until Europe comes in.

Asia is thinking why did we buy Gold up so high - that was kind of dumb!

Cambridge Joe 22:03 GMT March 17, 2014
Sanctions

Ya ! wot a way to run a Planet !? Good grief !

Russkies may have had problems with Chetchens demolishing un guarded 20 story apartment blocks, two or three of them a couple of years ago, but hen they didn't have CIA training. Maybe The Mossad isn't what it was, but if Putin wants to rock an' roll with the usd well, perhaps we'll all need to duck ! :-((

nw kw 22:01 GMT March 17, 2014
Sanctions

RBA Release Minutes of March Meeting

gbp/aud

Mtl JP 21:55 GMT March 17, 2014
Sanctions

Joe the fun would likely increase when respective "unspecified" sources start to leak skeletons on each other's elites

Cambridge Joe 21:47 GMT March 17, 2014
Sanctions

"announcing it would transact in all currencies but the dollar going forward. Up to and including gold of course."

Isn't this something that Saddam and Ghaddaffi also thought to be a good idea ?............... Hmmmm.

NGas, getting fed up with it.... should firm up, maybe ....

usdjpy softer into Asia. IMO. GL

dc CB 21:25 GMT March 17, 2014
Sanctions

When this school-yard tit for tat finally ends and Putin plays his PetroDollar Card...the markets will look vely vely vely different at the "close" of the NY session.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

"And just as likely is Russia willing to take steps which would result in the complete liquidation of its $130 or so billion in US Treasurys and announcing it would transact in all currencies but the dollar going forward. Up to and including gold of course."

Putin Strikes Back: Russia's Sanctions List Said To Include US Senators, High Ranking Administration Officials

GVI Forex john 21:20 GMT March 17, 2014
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data News



March 17, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, March 18. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: DE- ZEW Survey, US- Housing Starts/Permits, CPI

  • Far East: No Major Data.
  • Europe: DE- ZEW Survey,
  • North America: US- Housing Starts/Permits, CPI, API Energy.


dc CB 21:09 GMT March 17, 2014
Nat Gas

US Henry Hub futures have been sold all month on the never ending reports of a Warm Up coming the last 2 weeks of March.

Well snow storm today, ltttle warming, then not so much.

US NOAA 6-10day

Cambridge Joe 19:56 GMT March 17, 2014
Nat Gas

+++Cambridge Joe 14:23 GMT 03/17/2014
Looks to me like NGas is about to sell. ++++

Now Looking like it's about to firm for a while... IMO. GL

GVI Forex john 19:43 GMT March 17, 2014
Chart Points - Free FX Database
Reply   

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

GVI Forex john 19:15 GMT March 17, 2014
Chart Points -- Trading Points
Reply   
Pre-Closing Trading Points...
many more chart points
About Moving Averages
About Bollinger Bands


GVI Forex Blog 19:04 GMT March 17, 2014
Crimea Votes to Rejoin Russia. EZ Final February HICP(CPI) Revised Lower
Reply   
HIGH IMPACT NEWS ITEMS: DE- ZEW Survey, US- Housing Starts/Permits, CPI

There was never any doubt about the outcome of the Crimea Referendum on independence from the Ukraine. Over 97% of the votes were in favor of rejoining Crimea with Russia. There was no way to vote otherwise,.so the outcome of the vote was pre-ordained and markets were able to position for that outcome last week. The end of last week saw volatile trade as investors ran for cover, and since there were no major surprises early Monday, trading was relatively calm. If anything Monday has been a "risk-on" day, as traders lifted their hedges against an unexpected outcome from the weekend.

Crimea Votes to Rejoin Russia. EZ Final February HICP(CPI) Revised Lower

nw kw 18:56 GMT March 17, 2014
99.9% - so they're wrong

usa and cad plans for big oil shift in late September part politicks in this stuff// aud-cad strength mid summer after china shakes its money tree to drop week ones out add more stimulus/ stimulus for rural added ap 2days ago so go aud , copper

nw kw 18:48 GMT March 17, 2014
99.9% - so they're wrong

last year I checked usa ship building yards are only building Ngas transport ships for big profits

nw kw 18:13 GMT March 17, 2014
99.9% - so they're wrong

rebalancing the usa for exporting large manufactured goods from ngas advantage and oil fuels,thay don't won't a strong $

nw kw 18:05 GMT March 17, 2014
99.9% - so they're wrong

china has big shall oil but not water for it so import fuels for pollution, usa -aud-cad win

Paris ib 18:03 GMT March 17, 2014
99.9% - so they're wrong

Agreed FX wars - but also global rebalancing. The US has already had to cut back on military spending as capital inflows reduce / stop / reverse - that's a positive for the world. And if capital inflows stop going to the U.S. on the whole that means more money for everyone else. Another positive. I just don't believe these guys have worked out what the future will bring. So they are wrong somewhere along the line.

nw kw 17:44 GMT March 17, 2014
99.9% - so they're wrong

see still fx wars

nw kw 17:43 GMT March 17, 2014
99.9% - so they're wrong

CAD International Securities Transactions (Canadian dollar) (JAN)

1.09B -4.28B

nw kw 17:38 GMT March 17, 2014
99.9% - so they're wrong

china has more speed bumps that's tradable but if usa had no oil id be in run camp, back to NFP

PAR 16:52 GMT March 17, 2014
Sanctions
Reply   
Russia thinking about sanctions against 11 prominent Americans . Mickey Mouse , Ronald Mc Donald , Nancy Pelosi , Madonna , Joe Sixpack , Bill & Hilary Clinton ,
Ralf Lauren , Obama's golf pro, Arnold Swarzennegger
and Michael Bloomberg . Lol.

Paris ib 16:39 GMT March 17, 2014
99.9% - so they're wrong
Reply   
I'm beginning to think we are all missing something very big and it's positive. In a big way.

When I saw this article on Market Watch I thought: right, they've gotta be wrong.

What are we missing?

Doomsday Poll

GVI Forex john 16:35 GMT March 17, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot

Late in European trade, fixed income markets remain in a partial "risk-on" posture as the weekend vote in Crimea held no surprises. Sanctions planned by the U.S. and Europe after the vote amounted to a slap on the wrist to Russia,

As pre-weekend hedges were lifted, European equities have rallied. The peripheral European bond prices are higher. U.S. equities are higher at mid-session in N.Y. The U.S. 10-yr was last at 2.66% +1bp.


Sciacca FD 16:06 GMT March 17, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

ECB threshhold for my money is mainly calender based rather than an actual number, european elections important at this point.
They will switch to number base after the elections. Dont forget that the FED is on the ECB side, don't think the FED would risk a Euro collapse and have to deal with europeans going back to their individual currencies.

PAR 15:40 GMT March 17, 2014
Texas
Reply   
If Texas voted to become independent , would the USA invade Texas ?

PAR 15:34 GMT March 17, 2014
Is This All You Got?

Hollande thinking of seizing some Russian owned superyachts in the French mediterrean and some chalets in Courchevel ? Problem is Russians support part of the French super rich tourist economy and Hollande likes to protect the superrich .

Syd sf 15:23 GMT March 17, 2014
Summary

closes oil 97.94

GVI Forex john 15:09 GMT March 17, 2014
Your Best Trade Today
Reply   
Not much in the way of sanctions against Russia over the annexation of Ukraine. Mainly, the U.S. and Europe have been taking steps to make the lives of oligarchs less convenient. They had ample opportunity last week to pull their liquid assets out of the U.S. and elsewhere. The markets are greeting Obama's slap on the wrist with a yawn.

As we indicated earlier, we are back in "risk-on" markets today. The DJIA is currently up 154 pts and the S&P has gained 15 pts. The U.S. 10-yr is unchanged at 2.660% from earlier.

What is notable to me is that the EURUSD is back trading solidly above !.3900 (last 1.3930). I was wondering late last week if 1.4000 was the pint of pain for the Eurozone and ECB. Previously J-C Trichet identified EURUSD 1.5000 as a level that required action and he capped the pair at that line. There is no way to know what the ECB's point of pain is until they react. Personally I think we are close to , if not in a danger zone.

Any Thoughts?

GVI Forex Blog 14:57 GMT March 17, 2014
Global Markets News
Reply   
The market reaction to the situation in Ukraine continues to be very muted. European indices are looking to close only a few points off their highs and US indices are seeing robust initial gains.

The market reaction to the situation in Ukraine continues to be very muted. European indices are looking to close only a few points off their highs and US indices are seeing robust initial gains.

Mtl JP 14:55 GMT March 17, 2014
Is This All You Got?

nh when will 0 de-friend Putin on Facebook ?

Livingston nh 14:51 GMT March 17, 2014
Is This All You Got?

jp - President works from home

london red 14:50 GMT March 17, 2014
USDJPY

Inverted shs hourly chart shows best. While maintains its shape and gets thru obama then good chance at next crack of res 86/90 and now neck. Target clear of 102.18 to 102.25.

GVI Forex john 14:50 GMT March 17, 2014
Obama to Speak on Ukraine

measures

1) Sanctions on Individuals
2) Sanctions to be widened to military supplies
3) Europe to impose sanctions
4) Russia to be isolated diplomatically

GVI Forex 14:49 GMT March 17, 2014
Is This All You Got?

Obama: Stands ready to increase sanctions on Russia

kl shawn 14:48 GMT March 17, 2014
Is This All You Got?

Obama? go censored yourself

Mtl JP 14:48 GMT March 17, 2014
STOX

usdyen Pivot: 101.46 - currently support

Mtl JP 14:46 GMT March 17, 2014
Is This All You Got?

sooo... snowstorm stops TIC publication ... but not 0's tonguewagging and sanctions

GVI Forex john 14:45 GMT March 17, 2014
Obama to Speak on Ukraine
Reply   
Due at 14:45 GMT

GVI Forex 14:42 GMT March 17, 2014
Is This All You Got?

Obama to speak shortly....

london red 14:35 GMT March 17, 2014
STOX

S&p as spot on as you like rallied from 1831 support, broken 50% of top to bottom, 61.8% at 1867. Ability/power to rally majes usdjpy look like a softie. But would expect that level to hold otherwise high is the target crazy as though it might seem. Tgen again printing money means s&p must have a greater tendency to rally.
Euro and cable closes above 13940 and 16650 key to further rally. We are about there in both so wiething keeping eye on.

Cambridge Joe 14:23 GMT March 17, 2014
Nat Gas
Reply   
Looks to me like NGas is about to sell. (For several hours) This is just short term of course as it's just triggered a buy on the 4 hour. Too long term for me, but that's how it looks. IMO. GL

GVI Forex Blog 14:18 GMT March 17, 2014 Reply   
March 17, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, March 18. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: DE- ZEW Survey, US- Housing Starts/Permits, CPI

GVI Forex Data Outlook for March 18, 2014

HK [email protected] 14:18 GMT March 17, 2014
Expect the TAT.
Reply   


The dollar is not a safe haven anymore baby, but a hazard. Run for your lives babies:)

GVI Forex john 14:16 GMT March 17, 2014
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data News
Reply   


March 17, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, March 18. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: DE- ZEW Survey, US- Housing Starts/Permits, CPI

  • Far East: No Major Data.
  • Europe: DE- ZEW Survey,
  • North America: US- Housing Starts/Permits, CPI, API Energy.


Livingston nh 14:14 GMT March 17, 2014
STOX
Reply   
Fading the open - thin air up here

GVI Forex john 14:00 GMT March 17, 2014
February 2014 National Association of Homebuilders Index
Reply   



NEWS ALERT
47 vs. 50 exp. vs. 46 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

Cambridge Joe 13:56 GMT March 17, 2014
Is This All You Got?

RF it's about to fall back anyhow.... IMO.

Maybe someone leant on his keyboard accidentally... ?

They won't dig out Putin because it would set a precedent and the Bush and Blair of this world would be fair game... so, no.

NY JM 13:56 GMT March 17, 2014
Is This All You Got?

Maybe just covering of risk off positions (e.g. eurjpy) - not equities firmer

HK [email protected] 13:53 GMT March 17, 2014
Is This All You Got?



So why Euro shoots up? Can't understand the connection? Maybe capital flight from USD?

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:44 GMT March 17, 2014
Is This All You Got?

Hearing on CNBC blocking the assets of 7 Russian officials + travel bans rather than sanctions on companies. I also heard 20 people targeted but no details on that.

NY JM 13:39 GMT March 17, 2014
Is This All You Got?

So far anyhow but in any case, we are seeing relief reactions.

Livingston nh 13:38 GMT March 17, 2014
Is This All You Got?

BUT not mr. putin??

Paris ib 13:38 GMT March 17, 2014
Is This All You Got?

The token gesture !!

Well I guess they HAVE to do SOMETHING. ;-)

GVI Forex 13:34 GMT March 17, 2014
Is This All You Got?

US targets 7 Russian officials with sanctons

Paris ib 13:31 GMT March 17, 2014
Expectations for the FOMC

nh.... lol

My point is that the 5 billion less which the FED may decide to purchase (or not) is so pitiful in the greater scheme of things. Policy decisions already made and the unbelievable size of the FED's balance sheet, the amount of debt which needs to be rolled and financed this year... the size of China and Japan's holdings ALL look so much more significant than the piddling 5 billion in Treasury purchases which may or may not be adjusted at the next FOMC meeting.

Livingston nh 13:26 GMT March 17, 2014
Expectations for the FOMC

ib - Because it's a pretty expensive sideshow

Paris ib 13:24 GMT March 17, 2014
Expectations for the FOMC

nh why would I do that?

Mtl JP 13:17 GMT March 17, 2014
Expectations for the FOMC

Fed nominee Fischer: policy decisions are best made early - rtrs
EXTRACT:
"It is never clear next time; it is just unclear in a different way".

GVI Forex john 13:17 GMT March 17, 2014
February 2014 U.S. Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization
Reply   



NEWS ALERT
Ind Production: +0.60% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. -0.30% (r. -0.20% ) prev.
Capacity Utilization: 78.80% vs. 78.40% exp. vs. 78.50% (r. ) prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer


PRESS RELEASE: U.S. Industrial Production/Capacity Utilization

Direct links to primary data sources

Livingston nh 13:16 GMT March 17, 2014
Expectations for the FOMC

ib, just keep telling yourself the TAPER is only a trillion dollars

Paris ib 13:13 GMT March 17, 2014
Expectations for the FOMC
Reply   
This Macleod (see previous link I posted) posits that bank credit in the United States has fallen quite sharply in recent weeks and this may encourage the FED to pause the Taper. I am of the view that they have no choice but to continue to Taper. To do otherwise would eventually put the USD in grave danger (which in point of fact it is anyway but hey.... trying to delay the inevitable is part of human nature).

The consensus is what? Another 10 billion (5 for mortgage backed securities 5 for treasuries)? With no significant market impact? Right now I think the taper is a side show. I don't think the FED is in control of anything. But that's just my view.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:07 GMT March 17, 2014
US Tic Flows Delayed

ib, they can't report it if government offices are closed due to a snowstorm. There is no conspiracy theory here.

Livingston nh 13:01 GMT March 17, 2014
Is This All You Got?

Both sides want an adjustment period so assets can be moved around and secured - the proposal is a 3 step process by the EU and US (basically the only folks who "care") so the next escalation and the next (if anybody remembers to impose them) will not be as draconian as an immediate implementation might be -- Russia may push back a bit harder w/ capital controls and harsh penalties for sanctioners and cooperating countries // CYPRUSSED?, jp

Paris ib 13:01 GMT March 17, 2014
US Tic Flows Delayed

Convenient hey. If they delay it enough it can be lost in a media storm over the FOMC meeting.

No points for guessing whether the TIC data was bad or good.

Mtl JP 12:58 GMT March 17, 2014
US Tic Flows Delayed

what extraordinary timing by that storm !

Paris ib 12:56 GMT March 17, 2014
Is This All You Got?

What did u expect? In the previous link Mr Macleod makes the point that the EU and US threats made PRIOR to the Crimenean vote were in reality an attempt to influence the vote (which failed). After the vote there is not a whole that can be done without ramifications for the so-called 'West'.

What is likely now is and attempt to destablise the Ukraine and Crimea... shipping in the mercenaries, the Jihadis and funding and arming the Neo-Nazis already over there.

GVI Forex 12:47 GMT March 17, 2014
Is This All You Got?
Reply   
3/17/2014 8:44:43 AM
(EU) EU Foreign Ministers agree to impose sanctions against 21 people from Ukraine and Russia

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Paris ib 12:41 GMT March 17, 2014
The Cold War heats up and turns financial
Reply   
A word from Alasdair Macleod....

The head of the Bundesbank is going to redouble its efforts to get its Gold back from the New York Fed.

The Financial World War

GVI Forex john 12:30 GMT March 17, 2014
U.S. March 2104 Empire PMI
Reply   



NEWS ALERT
+5.61 vs. +6.0 exp. vs. +4.5 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:15 GMT March 17, 2014
Monday's Trading Outlook
Reply   
As posted earlier on GVIForex



Video Market Update


Relief but for How Long?

GVI Forex 11:34 GMT March 17, 2014
US Tic Flows Delayed
Reply   
US Tic flows report delayed until Tuesday due to another snowstorm in Wash DC

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 10:22 GMT March 17, 2014
Trading News? Beware of the Freight Train
Reply   
I wrote this article recently and after EZ final HICP was revised down by 0.1% just now, my article is even more relevant. It is suggested reading:

Trading News? Beware of the Freight Train

GVI Forex Blog 10:16 GMT March 17, 2014
Global Markets News
Reply   
The EUR/USD continued to hover around the 1.39 handle as market participants' debate whether to 'test' the verbal intervention from Draghi last week and see exactly where any Euro strength would become a policymaker

TradeTheNews.com EU Market Update: Gold climbs as Crimea formally requests to rejoin Russia

GVI Forex john 10:06 GMT March 17, 2014
February 2014 Final EZ HICP (CPI)



EZ Final HICP. Headline HICP Revised lower. Core CPI unchanged. ECB focuses mainly on headline CPI.



GVI Forex john 10:01 GMT March 17, 2014
February 2014 Final EZ HICP (CPI)
Reply   




ALERT
mm: +0.30% vs. +0.40% exp. vs. -1.10% prev.
yy:+0.70% vs. +0.80% exp. vs. +0.80% prev.

HICP core
yy: +1.00% vs. +1.00% exp. vs. +1.00% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

Syd sf 09:51 GMT March 17, 2014
Summary

if you look at 2 of those markets

gold is 1372/ 80 /87 .. that 92 area was an overshoot early in asia.
oil is 98.30 / 98.71 / 99.45

My Bot is selling more oil at the moment .. I guess its looking for test of 98.30 later.

Currency Wise - I see alot of trades triggered .. all earlier currency positions got closed .. and I see long eur/aud .. short kiwi as the ones its put on now.... I guess these follow along with the commodities expected to weaken some more.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 09:43 GMT March 17, 2014
Summary

SF nicely summed up

Can you email with you new email address

Syd sf 09:36 GMT March 17, 2014
Summary
Reply   
pretty simple really - dow futures +100 Nikkei +200

gold and oil down

position squaring and profit taking .. until the next event comes into play.

GVI Forex john 09:27 GMT March 17, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot
Reply   

There were no surprises in the Crimea referendum (97% in favor of joining Russia) over the weekend. There never was the possibility for any other vote. Markets have taken the vote in stride. Expect sanctions from the U.S. and Europe, but mostly only words.

Early in European trading hours, financial markets are in a risk-on posture with equities higher in Europe. Far East shares mostly fell. U.S. S&P futures are higher at this hour. Prime Fixed income markets are mostly lower. The peripheral European bond prices are mostly up. Final EZ February HICP is due shortly.

Cambridge Joe 09:15 GMT March 17, 2014
USDJPY

Thanks red.

I have to attend to other things now. Back later. :-)

london red 09:03 GMT March 17, 2014
USDJPY

Jpy res @ 101.86/90 102.25 102.50-70
Currently retracing into last weeks range. As long as 102.70 holds downside intact.

bali sja 07:32 GMT March 17, 2014
CRIMEA

PAR, so that leaves Obama biting his fingers and looked like an idiot pissing against the wind

PAR 07:29 GMT March 17, 2014
CRIMEA
Reply   
European and Russian stock markets higher as outcome of non violent referendum as expected . Big European sanctions against Russia unlikely . EURJPY showing risk back on and some big takeovers and ipo 's supporting markets .

bali sja 07:21 GMT March 17, 2014
Russian companies and oligarchs withdrew billions from Western banks last week ahead of possible san

[email protected], maybe eurchf is the way to play if EU gets involved with Obama's crazy move. That may trigger action from SNB which they had previously warned about.

HK [email protected] 06:56 GMT March 17, 2014
Russian companies and oligarchs withdrew billions from Western banks last week ahead of possible san
Reply   


This is a nice big liquid money which will bring volatility to the Mkts.
You must guess what is Russia next step, because this smart Russian money will Know it ahead.

Guess the Mafia and make money:)

Cambridge Joe 06:52 GMT March 17, 2014
USDJPY

Maybe here in fact ... ! GL

Cambridge Joe 06:46 GMT March 17, 2014
USDJPY
Reply   
07:30 GMTsees usdjpy selling for several hours. IMO. GL

HK [email protected] 06:25 GMT March 17, 2014
George Soros Predicts Ukraine Could Ruin The EU



This guy(Soros) is invested in the Ukraine, and wants the EU to take sanctions steps against Russia, which will lead to more troubles. He is an instigator, and well will do the EU if they don't listen to him, because the world needs peace not war.

No one in Europe wants to die in a war for Ukraine, much less for the investments of Soros who by the way may have sponsored some of that revolution!!!

Syd 06:15 GMT March 17, 2014
AUD/USD is vulnerable to Ukraine and China
Reply   
AUD/USD is vulnerable to Ukraine and China, despite its recent resilience to weaker iron-ore and copper prices, say NAB economists. The exchange rate's correlation with iron-ore has fallen to less than 25% in the past 12 months, and the fall in iron-ore may have been exaggerated by destocking, they note. Also, the Aussie dollar has been supported by strengthening Asian emerging markets currencies, a higher gold price, offshore demand for Australian assets, and a high degree of short positioning. "Looking ahead, we continue to view the lower edge of the current AUD/USD range as the more vulnerable, notwithstanding the fact the currency is trading beneath our short-term valuation estimates," the economists say. "Events in the Ukraine in the wake of the weekend referendum are one obvious potential source of a pressure via sharply reduced global risk appetite. We also see risk of renewed pressure on Asian EM currencies, to which the Australian dollar remains quite highly correlated, amid the incoming evidence that China growth is currently struggling to match the 'flexible' 7.5% official 2014 growth target." DOW jONES

Syd 05:35 GMT March 17, 2014
- Source TradeTheNews.com
Reply   
(RU) Russian companies and oligarchs withdrew billions from Western banks last week ahead of possible sanctions including asset freezes - press (update)- Russians may have also reduced their holdings in US treasuries, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York issued a report that said foreigners reduced Treasury holdings by $105B in the week ending March 12th (Russia holds $138.6B in Treasuries) - On the flip side data US financial institutions were heavy sellers of Russian bonds last week (they have about $75B in exposure to Russian debt per the Bank for International Settlements) - Deals to fund some of Russia's largest international companies have been put on hold - Putin economic advisor Alexei Kudrin said on Thu Mar 13th that sanctions could cause an additional $50B in capital outflow per quarter - Source TradeTheNews.com

bali sja 05:33 GMT March 17, 2014
Watch Out for Imminent Sanctions

[email protected], LOL i am praying now that is what will be the case :)
first 2 minutes...hmm wonderful, the best 2 minutes in my life
and then 1 hour later 1.50? ;P

GVI Forex Blog 05:30 GMT March 17, 2014 Reply   
AU) AUSTRALIA FEB NEW MOTOR VEHICLE SALES M/M: +0.1% V -4.0% PRIOR; Y/Y: -3.5% V -3.0% PRIOR - (NZ) NEW ZEALAND FEB PERFORMANCE SERVICES INDEX: 53.1 V 57.8 PRIOR (6-month low) - (NZ) NEW ZEALAND Q1 WE

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: Crimea votes to be annexed by Russia; PBoC widens Yuan trading band to 2% - Source TradeTheNews.com

Syd 05:29 GMT March 17, 2014
George Soros Predicts Ukraine Could Ruin The EU
Reply   
The billionaire financier says in its tepid response to Russia’s Crimea land grab, the EU flubbed a key chance to breathe new life into the stale union.

George Soros, one of the world’s leading investors, has warned that the European Union is in danger of falling apart if it fails to confront Vladimir Putin’s naked aggression in Ukraine.

LINK

HK [email protected] 04:56 GMT March 17, 2014
Watch Out for Imminent Sanctions



kl shawn 04:01

If Putin only says: Pay me in euro my oil/gas bills...Dollar will plunge to 1.42 in the first 2 minutes.

Syd sf 04:27 GMT March 17, 2014
Dealing

+43 on the long audyen - and now opened a short

oil gone short 99.09

not enough movement in these others for any changes .. it's still long in audchf for now though hasn't t/p yet.

kl shawn 04:01 GMT March 17, 2014
Watch Out for Imminent Sanctions

show support for Putin, keep selling the faken dollar, agree [email protected]?

dc CB 03:35 GMT March 17, 2014
Watch Out for Imminent Sanctions

From the WSJ:
The U.S. and European Union must move quickly to exert economic pressure on Russian President Vladmir Putin for his attempt to seize a part of Ukraine, senators who recently returned from the embattled nation said Sunday.

The Senate’s first order of business when lawmakers return to Washington on March 24 will be legislation to impose sanctions against Russia and provide aid to Ukraine, said Sen. John Hoeven (R., N.D.), who was part of a bipartisan group of eight senators to visit Ukraine.

Congress May Impose Sanctions On Russia... When It Comes Back From Vacation On March 24

Hong Kong AceTrader 03:06 GMT March 17, 2014
AceTrader March 17: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
Reply   
17 Mar 2014 02:35GMT
USD/JPY -101.48.. Although dlr opened near Fri's NY 101.21 low at 101.24 in NZ trading today, short-covering lifted price in Toyko morning n dlr climbed to 101.57 b4 easing.

At the moment, offers are seen at 101.60/70 n more at 101.90/00 whilst bids are placed near 101.00 n around 100.80/85 with stops emerging just below 100.50.

Expect choppy trading to continue ahead of Toyko afternoon as Nikkei 225 index is moving between gains n loss (last seen down 63.45 points to 14,264) after over 90 percent of Crimean voters chose to break with Ukraine and join Russia on Sunday. However, investors should keep an eye on the release of Japan Cabinet Office monthly economic report for March later today.

Highlights fm the economic report in Feb - 'the Japanese economy is recovering at a moderate pace; exports are flat; industrial production is increasing at a moderate pace; corporate profits are improving. Business investment is picking up; firms' judgment on current business conditions is broadly improving; the employment situation is improving steadily; private consumption is increasing, while showing a last-minute rise in demand before a consumption tax increase in some sectors; prices are rising moderately.'

Mtl JP 02:56 GMT March 17, 2014
The only thing the US and EU do is shoot themselves in the leg

IF ... if THE PEOPLE had anything to say and were heard in the western-peddled "democracies" by their "leaders"...
"Français et Allemands hostiles à l'entrée de l'Ukraine dans l'UE" and "les Français et les Allemands sont majoritairement opposés à secourir financièrement l'Ukraine, cette hostilité est plus grande en France (64%) qu'en Allemagne (57%)" - according to a IFOP poll in Le Figaro
( Frech and Germans are hostile to Ukraine entering the EU and 64% of polled French and 57% Germans oppose financial aid to Ukraine)

HK [email protected] 02:43 GMT March 17, 2014
Markets are unfazed!!!
Reply   


Simply we know that it can be tit for tat if at all, so why take a position when no winners?:)

No winner in this game. The West can't ignore or deny the popularity of the elections, and name it illegal is an insult to the people of Crimea.

The Russian army acted as a liberation army, so what is illegal here?





Syd sf 02:09 GMT March 17, 2014
Dealing
Reply   
My autotrader - has been pretty active since I switched it on today.

It's main focus has been to buy audyen / audchf / $Nok

sell gbpusd - eurusd - nzdusd

nothing in the commodities as yet as it sold out of longs it had friday - and hasn't got into new positions yet.

pretty hard to really read too much into it as yet.

HK [email protected] 02:06 GMT March 17, 2014
Obama+Soros=2 Anarchists
Reply   


The first wants to see the fall of the white man, the second the fall of the West. A faken unholy pair.

Not having USD is a must this time.

HK [email protected] 02:01 GMT March 17, 2014
The only thing the US and EU do is shoot themselves in the leg
Reply   


Obama is lost and G. Soros the instigator tries to send US/EU to sanction Russia, to save his hopelessly lost investments with the Nazi NGOs.

Dollar is about to collapse on any chirp Russia will emit.

Mtl JP 01:50 GMT March 17, 2014
The U.S. and Russia

Japan votes : Putin's Poklonskaya beats 0bama's Nuland

Hong Kong AceTrader 01:35 GMT March 17, 2014
AceTrader March 17: Japanese yen rises on risk aversion ahead of Sunday's outcome of the referendum
Reply   
Market Review - 14/03/2014 11:44GMT

Japanese yen rises on risk aversion ahead of Sunday's outcome of the referendum in Crimea

The Japanese yen rose broadly against major currencies on Friday due to renewed risk aversion on increased tensions in Ukraine together with the fears about the health of the Chinese economy as Chinese Premier Li Keqiang warned on Thursday that the economy faced "severe challenges" in 2014 while expectations of more debt defaults kept alive worries about the state of its financial sector. However, trading was relatively thin on Friday as traders and investors are reluctant to add bets ahead of the outcome of the referendum in Crimea on Sunday.

The yen poised for its biggest weekly gains in more than a month against the euro and the dollar. Euro fell sharply fm Monday's high at 143.61 to as low as 140.46 whilst U.S. dollar tumbled from Tuesday's high at 103.43 to as low as 101.21 on Friday. Sterling also fell sharply from Monday's high at 172.87 to as low as 167.96 on Friday.

The single currency hit a 2-1/4 year high versus U.S. dollar on Thursday and then retreated to 1.3846 after European Central Bank President Mario Draghi raised concerns about the strength of the eurozone common currency, however, renewed buying at 1.3848 on Friday lifted price to 1.3938 in New York.

News from Reuters, the White House said that Russia's failure to take steps to ease the crisis in Ukraine is "regrettable" and the United States is ready to respond quickly following a referendum planned for Sunday on whether Ukraine's Crimea region should join Russia.

Despite cable's marginal weakness below Thursday's low at 1.6607 to 1.6587, the British pound rebounded strongly after "cable-positive" comments from BoE's Bean who said 'business surveys, employment growth suggests official overall economic growth figures may be an underestimate.' Cable rose to a session high at 1.6649 near New York close.

"We have obviously not gotten to a situation where Russia has chosen to de-escalate, where Russia has chosen a path of resolving the situation peacefully and through diplomacy. That is regrettable. We will have to see how the next several days unfold," White House spokesman Jay Carney told a briefing.

"We stand ready to respond should the referendum go forward on Sunday," Carney said. Asked how soon the response would come, he said, "I think without putting too fine a point on it, I'd say quickly."

Data to be released next week:

U.K. Rightmove house price, EU CPI, U.S. Empire manufacturing, net long term TIC, total net TIC flows, industrial production, capacity utilization, NAHB housing market index on Monday.

Italy trade balance, German ZEW current situation, ZEW expectation, EU ZEW expectation, U.S. CPI, housing starts, building permit, Redbook retail sales on Tuesday.

New Zealand current account, Australia leading index, Japan trade balance, import, export, all activity index, leading index, France current account, U.K. BoE minutes, jobless claim, average weekly earning, unemployment rate, employment change, Swiss Zew expectation, Canada wholesale sales, U.S. FOMC rate decision on Wednesday.

New Zealand GDP, Swiss trade balance, import, export, rate decision, Germany PPI, Italy current account U.K. CBI trend total orders, U.S. initial jobless claims, Philadelphia Fed business outlook, existing home sales, leading index on Thursday.

New Zealand consumer confidence, EU current account, consumer confidence U.K. public finance, Canada retail sales, CPI on Friday. Japan financial market will be closed due to public holiday.

to dk 00:26 GMT March 17, 2014
Watch Out for Imminent Sanctions



..

tokyo ginko 00:08 GMT March 17, 2014
Watch Out for Imminent Sanctions

hypocrisy at the deepest level?

 




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