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Forex Forum Archive for 04/13/2014

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HK [email protected] 23:17 GMT April 13, 2014
After the defeat in Bundy Ranch by local Indians.

Don't expect the US to get into the Ukraine Blackhole.

Until 18th, every side in the conflict, will try to better his cards, but can't expect the West to do much.

Just gradual daily escalation, which will affect markets seriously.

tokyo ginko 22:52 GMT April 13, 2014
Arseniy Yatsenyuk
I hope you learn that life is not so sweet..Arseniy Yatsenyuk, a wannabe nationalist who is sending his country to ruins before turning 40..

HK [email protected] 22:49 GMT April 13, 2014
Ukraine gives rebels deadline to disarm or face military operation

K.I.S: With 12000 special forces(likely neo-nazis) that Ukraine threatens an attack on the pro-Russia rebels, expect the Russian army not to be indifferent.

But no worry; Biden will be there on the 22nd, which means more fuel on the flame.

Mtl JP 22:38 GMT April 13, 2014
Ukraine gives rebels deadline to disarm or face military operation

rebels and terrorists... according to Reuters
so what is nuland's boy Yats going to do - throw at them some of the 300,000 MREs the US generously delivered last week ?
in the meantime Israel appropriates land in West Bank: newspaper - RTRS

..."The measure, which falls short of annexing the land to Israel, is based on an Israeli interpretation of an Ottoman-era law that allowed the confiscation of tracts that had not been planted or cultivated for several years in a row."...
But perhaps more importantly EU to approve bank rules before May election slows legislative machine - RTRS

..."On Tuesday the European Parliament will approve two major reforms to make it easier and quicker to close failing banks so they don't collapse messily or require taxpayer money.

It will also rubber-stamp a sweeping reform of .../..

HK [email protected] 22:18 GMT April 13, 2014
Ukraine gives rebels deadline to disarm or face military operation

Ukraine is giving nothing to any rebels by this time.

Ukraine now is a "no man" land(worst case scenario), broken financially, and probably it's security forces are fractured and demoralized.

My primitive expectations are in line for the moment(Euro down, gold up...): Euro down, gold shoots up, but per ""sf"" suggestion "no jumping in".

to the comment:
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:32 GMT 04/13/2014 - My Profile
RF people will take notice if markets take notice.

I think market runs on expectations too, so nice to take notice ahead(speculate).

Silent Forum.
philly caba 13:29 GMT 04/13/2014
RF, get a life!
Probably with the profits I could get nicer life:)))


GVI Forex 21:55 GMT April 13, 2014
Ukraine gives rebels deadline to disarm or face military operation
(Reuters) - Ukraine has given pro-Russian separatists a Monday morning deadline to disarm or face a "full-scale anti-terrorist operation" by its armed forces, raising the risk of a military confrontation with Moscow.

Ukraine gives rebels deadline to disarm or face military operation

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 21:39 GMT April 13, 2014
Draghi says a stronger euro would trigger looser ECB policy

Gap lower opening bounced off 1.3835 support

Mtl JP 21:21 GMT April 13, 2014
Draghi says a stronger euro would trigger looser ECB policy

that is an approx 40pip opening gap

GVI Forex Blog 21:17 GMT April 13, 2014
US equities broke down further. Small company and technology stocks again led the way, although banks also suffered after JP Morgan's earnings report disappointed. Also weighing on sentiment was Ukraine, NATO reportedly warning (via Bild) Russia wants to annex the whole country.

Australia & NZ Morning Thoughts

syd sf 21:03 GMT April 13, 2014
Silent Forum.


I don't start my automated strategies until midday like alot of people on mondays - so it's bit hard to comment until I see what they want to do.

as far as news on the weekend - well these types of things were all the risks people had holding positions over the weekend -- good or bad // so see how it plays out,

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 20:53 GMT April 13, 2014
Silent Forum.

RF news here has moved Ukraine up the ladder of importance.

GVI Forex john 20:38 GMT April 13, 2014
Draghi says a stronger euro would trigger looser ECB policy

ginko yes that is what I an seeing.

tokyo ginko 20:19 GMT April 13, 2014
Draghi says a stronger euro would trigger looser ECB policy

eur/usd open? is it trading 1.3840/43?

Mtl JP 18:20 GMT April 13, 2014
“the worst-case scenario”

what about this scenario ...

Biden to travel to Ukraine as unrest builds - thehill

..."The White House says he will travel to the capital of Kiev on May 22 to focus on international efforts to help stabilize and strengthen Ukraine’s economy."...

GVI Forex john 16:39 GMT April 13, 2014
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data News

April 13, 2014 ( UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, April 14. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: EZ- Industrial Production, US- Retail Sales

  • Far East: No Major Data.
  • Europe: EZ- Industrial Production
  • North America: US- Retail Sales, Business Inventories.

Mtl JP 15:45 GMT April 13, 2014
Pressures on the USD

Paris ib 16:07 ever since the genius complete delinking of USD from Gold in 1971, the monetary base has shot from $70 billion to $3,852 billion .. a 5,500% increase (st louis fed), and what cost $100 in 1971 costs $2,428 (according to shadowstats). It is highly unlikely this is something lost on the international holders of the fiat USD paper.

Meet Jim Willie's predicted solution: The Split Birth Of New Scheiss Dollar

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:32 GMT April 13, 2014
Silent Forum.

RF people will take notice if markets take notice.

philly caba 13:29 GMT April 13, 2014
Silent Forum.

RF, get a life!

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:29 GMT April 13, 2014
Draghi says a stronger euro would trigger looser ECB policy

From my article Are You Tired of a Being a Jerked Around?

... The only way to make them accountable is to force policy changes through price action. One example would be to push EURUSD to a level (e.g. 1.40+) that would force the ECB to take policy actions to deal with the deflationary impact and drive its currency lower. This has so far not happened and in fact, ...

Are You Tired of a Being a Jerked Around?

GVI Forex john 12:58 GMT April 13, 2014
Draghi says a stronger euro would trigger looser ECB policy

Interesting that Draghi would comment on the strength of the EUR. It seems he usually likes to avoid talking about forex because of unintended consequences?

HK [email protected] 12:15 GMT April 13, 2014
Silent Forum.

We are now in a major world event, but seems few are posting.
The only responses to my posts are from GVI.

Probably majority of traders are trapped in an unfavorable positions, which may be negatively affected by the events.

Or maybe I am wrong, and the events in Ukraine are only background events, and I am the only one imagining a point as a mountain. So until here, see you tomorrow. GL/GT

HK [email protected] 12:00 GMT April 13, 2014
“the worst-case scenario”

Ukraine Tension Turns Deadly in ‘Worst Case Scenario’

Market impact as I suggested 1) Drop in stock Mkts. all over Europe(probably Asia too, will open down), if things will not go better until the Mkts. open, investors may search for safe havens.

Probably Euro may come down against USD, Oil may shoot up, as gas supply to Europe may cut because of the unmanageable mess.

Gold and USD, US bonds, MAY serve as safe havens.

These are trivial common sense interpretations.

The way I see it, things will not be solved in one day, and a lingering situation, will only escalate damages in Mkts.

Ukraine Tension Turns Deadly in ‘Worst Case Scenario’

GVIForex Jay Meisler 11:04 GMT April 13, 2014

RF, thanks for keep us posted on these events but would like to see a comment whether it has a market impact.

if not then you can use the Political Forum

HK [email protected] 10:52 GMT April 13, 2014

What kind of minister is running state affairs fron FB?

""Arsen Avakov said in a Facebook"" What kind of minister is running state affairs fron FB?
Arsen Avakov said in a Facebook post that a Security Service officer was killed in Slovyansk, where the police station and local Security Service office were seized a day earlier by camouflaged armed men. He also reported an unclear number of casualties among the militia.

K.I.S: Ukraine now is bankrupt, has no military power, no budget to fight...In short as one rebel said: "Ukraine is a No man's land".

A serious state of uncertainty exists at the moment.

No one can expect any clear political direction, at least until Thurs. meeting. Probably stock Mkts. in Europe will drop hard.

No Mkts. like uncertainty; Isn't it?

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 10:35 GMT April 13, 2014

Yes or No should be a question whether it has a market impact.

So far it ha been more of a background news event.

Feel free to comment.

HK [email protected] 08:04 GMT April 13, 2014

Ukraine forces launch counter-attack to end occupation in eastern city

Residents in Slaviansk told to stay indoors and keep away from windows as government announces 'anti-terrorist' operation

"An anti-terrorist operation has begun in Slaviansk. It is being directed by the anti-terrorist centre of the state security service. Forces from all the security units of the country have been brought in," Interfax news agency quoted the minister, Arsen Avakov, as saying on his Facebook page.

He also said there was gunfire in the city, but a Reuters reporter in Slaviansk said he had not heard shooting.

prague mark 06:09 GMT April 13, 2014
Draghi says a stronger euro would trigger looser ECB policy


tokyo ginko 05:18 GMT April 13, 2014
Draghi says a stronger euro would trigger looser ECB policy

let's guess the opening price of eur/usd...

dc CB 01:12 GMT April 13, 2014
Iraq is here. No fly zone over the Bundy Ranch.

HK this one tops that.

Debts that won't die with those that incurred them.

Social Security, Treasury target taxpayers for their parents’ decades-old debts

dc CB 00:04 GMT April 13, 2014
Iraq is here. No fly zone over the Bundy Ranch.

The latest news is a 'win' for Bundy for now...

The gathering of rancher Cliven Bundy's cattle in northeast Clark County has been stopped by the director of the Bureau of Land Management.
Bundy is meeting this morning with Clark County Sheriff Doug Gillespie to discuss a possible solution to his dispute with the BLM.

Why The Standoff At The Bundy Ranch Is A Very Big Deal


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