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Forex Forum Archive for 04/16/2014

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


GVI Forex 23:54 GMT April 16, 2014
Uh Oh
Reply   
(Reuters) - Google Inc's first-quarter revenue fell short of Wall Street targets and margins narrowed as the price of its ads continued to decline, pushing its shares sharply lower.

Google first-quarter revenue misses Wall Street targets

dc CB 23:05 GMT April 16, 2014
It has Risen!!!

Crash? What crash?
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
"""Net proceeds from the offering will be used for general corporate purposes, including working capital and capital expenditure, Zoosk said in the filing.

The company's net loss narrowed to $2.62 million from $20.66 million for 2013.""""

Online Dating Website Zoosk Files for IPO of Up to $100 Million

dc CB 22:42 GMT April 16, 2014
It has Risen!!!

""that's all that is needed to take away thought of CRASH for the weekend and bring on thoughts of "I shudda bought da dip" LOL""""


As Nasdaq falls, buying opportunity arises

dc CB 21:58 GMT April 16, 2014
It has Risen!!!



JP
I'm wondering how far it will sell off in futures after the 4PM cash close. Even if is flatlines in cash...that's all that is needed to take away thought of CRASH for the weekend and bring on thoughts of "I shudda bought da dip" LOL

By the way, the Flatner is reasserting itself.

GVI Forex john 21:49 GMT April 16, 2014
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data News



April 16, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, April 17. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: CA- CPI, US- Initial Claims, Philly Fed.

  • Far East: No Major Data.
  • Europe: No Major Data.
  • North America: CA- CPI, US- Initial Claims, Philly Fed, Natural Gas, Early Closes.


GVI Forex Blog 21:41 GMT April 16, 2014
AUD and NZD
Reply   
A mildly positive atmosphere, extended by Yellen. The Fed Chair's speech in NY about monetary policy and the economy contained few surprises but did have a dovish tilt, implying rate hikes may not start until 2016. US equities shrugged off a mixed bag of data to follow Yellen and a moderately upbeat Beige Book of regional economic anecdotes, the S&P500 currently up 0.9%.

Australia & NZ Morning Thoughts.

Mtl JP 21:40 GMT April 16, 2014
It has Risen!!!

dc CB DJIA up 1% on the day just like the S&P (which, btw, is again in the + ytd even if barely)

I ll be watching curiously tom, if UP or Down, and it is not that I do not trust in your call.

dc CB 21:15 GMT April 16, 2014
It has Risen!!!
Reply   


One more good push from Da Boys tomorrow

Cambridge Joe 20:53 GMT April 16, 2014
Oil

Yea CB ! According to this, that was a cat bounce... it has further to go. ATM 103.31 is a level to get past, then down like it means it.

104.05 is possibly a problem in the other direction...

If Kim Ill Junk decides to invade Harlem.... then who knows !

In the meantime.... GL & good night !

dc CB 20:43 GMT April 16, 2014
Oil

the Ukraine factor made for a wild ride...and it's still sticking there...otherwise that LARGE oversupply number would have tanked it back to 100.

when this warring shite stops...look out below

dc CB 20:43 GMT April 16, 2014
Oil

the Ukraine factor made for a wild ride...and it's still sticking there...otherwise that LARGE oversupply number would have tanked it back to 100.

when this warring shite stops...look out below

Cambridge Joe 20:29 GMT April 16, 2014
SnP
Reply   
SnP looking like a roller-coaster move south from 00:00 GMT

Lock it or watch it evaporate, as they say.... IMO. GL

Cambridge Joe 19:59 GMT April 16, 2014
Cable
Reply   
Looking for Cable selling approx 01:00 02:00 GMT. IMO. GL

GVI Forex john 19:41 GMT April 16, 2014
Chart Points - Free FX Database
Reply   

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

GVI Forex john 19:00 GMT April 16, 2014
Chart Points -- Trading Points
Reply   
Pre-Closing Trading Points...
many more chart points
About Moving Averages
About Bollinger Bands


GVI Forex Jay Meisler 18:53 GMT April 16, 2014
U.S. Fed Beige Book

vs 119 in the prior Beige Book

PAR 18:19 GMT April 16, 2014
U.S. Fed Beige Book

" Weather " mentioned 103 times in Beige Book

Fed late to realise what is happening

PAR 18:19 GMT April 16, 2014
U.S. Fed Beige Book

" Weather " mentioned 103 times in Beige Book

Fed late to realise what is happening

GVI Forex Blog 18:04 GMT April 16, 2014
Mixed U.S. data. UK Jobs Better. EZ Final HICP Steady to Lower. China GDP Better than Seen
Reply   
HIGH IMPACT NEWS ITEMS: CA- CPI, US- Initial Claims, Philly Fed

Trading slowed late Wednesday as markets wound down ahead of the Easter break that starts as early as Thursday in some centers and can run through Monday for some. Thursday sees some important releases.

Mixed U.S. data. UK Jobs Better. EZ Final HICP Steady to Lower. China GDP Better than Seen

GVI Forex john 18:02 GMT April 16, 2014
U.S. Fed Beige Book
Reply   



NEWS ALERT
Economic activity improving with weather.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

PAR 17:38 GMT April 16, 2014
Yellen

Clap along if you feel happy like a room without a roof

1 lower dollar boost Us exports

2 higher stock market boost bank and bankers capital

3 perpetual low rates protect $ 5 trillion fed bond portfolio

GVI Forex 17:21 GMT April 16, 2014
Yellen
Reply   
Finished. No big news.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 17:16 GMT April 16, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot

Bottom line, no rush to raise rates but data dependent.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 17:10 GMT April 16, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot

Yellen: Dovish but...

Better chance of an inflation undershoot than overshoot.

Confident that Fed has tools to tighten policy when it is appropriate.

Mtl JP 17:06 GMT April 16, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot

stox will not be liking more expensive and less accessible money

Mtl JP 16:58 GMT April 16, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot

according to Yellen: healthy economy within reach
-
time for taper to zero, 10-yr to 5%+ and disband the FED ?

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 16:56 GMT April 16, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot

Yellen prepared text dovish but should not be a surprise.

Q&A is coming up and the main focus

Mtl JP 16:39 GMT April 16, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot

Yellen: Forward guidance will continue to evolve
Yellen: Forward guidance can serve as stabilizer
-
i.e trust bs at your own risk

GVI Forex john 16:32 GMT April 16, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot

Soothing comments from Yellen

Mtl JP 16:10 GMT April 16, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

pretty amazing how choosing the euro/dlr as "Best Trade Today" pony is probably the worst choice one could have made over that last few days

GVI Forex john 15:54 GMT April 16, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

Yellen Speech will have Q&A afterwards which will be carried live by CNBC. Her prepared text presumably will be released in advance on the wires. We assume that will be at 16:15 GMT.

GVI Forex john 15:51 GMT April 16, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot

Late in European trade, prices in prime fixed income markets are ending weaker in response the rally today in equities. The peripheral European bond prices are higher.

European bourses are closing higher. U.S. bourses are stronger. Far East stock markets closed up earlier. The U.S. 10-yr was last 2.64%, +2 bp.


Cambridge Joe 15:45 GMT April 16, 2014
Oil



'Cambridge Joe 09:27 GMT 04/16/2014
Sold oil 104.60. .... ! This time.. Aaamm eatin FOOOD tonite !'

----------

Yess ! Thank you Mkt !

PAR 15:41 GMT April 16, 2014
USDJPY
Reply   
Stops building in USDJPY above 102.50 could be rather big.

Tallinn viies 15:39 GMT April 16, 2014
eurusd
Reply   
DJ story - A so-called fat finger error has seen the EUR/CHF exchange rate pushing to 1.2209 Wednesday, before settling back to the previous level around 1.217. A fat finger error describes a mistake made by hitting the wrong key in an electronic keyboard and this was the cause of the glitch according to a senior trader. EUR/CHF has been trading quietly for some weeks now. "We broke above 1.2210 following the ECB as USD strength was expressed more significantly against the CHF than the EUR," says Neil Staines, head of trading at ECU Group, adding that since then, the consistent unwinding of EUR/CHF positions has taken the currencies to a low of just above 1.2140.

GVI Forex john 15:38 GMT April 16, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

10-yr last 2.643% +2bp

GVI Forex john 15:36 GMT April 16, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

Yellen speech at 16:15 GMT is expected to focus on policy. This is her chance to "correct" or adjust market perceptions about the course of future policy. This is an opportunity to clarify her comments made at her last press conference.

Its possible that she may choose to say nothing new simply because she has nothing new to say. If she says nothing it might be that she does not want to compound the error by saying something that will have to be changed again in the future.

NY JM 15:14 GMT April 16, 2014
EUR/CHF

Caba, Can you explain the fat finger move?

Phila Caba 15:04 GMT April 16, 2014
EUR/CHF
Reply   
Fat finger?

Livingston nh 14:33 GMT April 16, 2014
STOX
Reply   
One of the major Friday distortions is that this week April options expiration loses a day of underlying trading so today may trade like a Thurs (some of that yesterday) - and as Jay has reminded "thin is in"

GVI Forex john 14:31 GMT April 16, 2014
US EIA Weekly Inventories
Reply   



NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: +10.000 vs. +1.500 exp vs. +4.030 prev.
Gasoline: -0.155 vs. -1.500 exp vs. -5.190 prev.
Distillates:-1.300 vs. 0 exp vs. +0.240 prev.
Cap/Util: 88.80% vs. 87.60% exp vs. n/a prev

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Blog 14:19 GMT April 16, 2014
GVI Forex Data Outlook for April 17, 201
Reply   
April 16, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, April 17. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: JP- Industrial Output, CA- CPI, US- Initial Claims, Philly Fed. Far East: JP- Industrial Output

GVI Forex Data Outlook for April 17, 2014

GVI Forex john 14:18 GMT April 16, 2014
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data News
Reply   


April 16, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, April 17. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: CA- CPI, US- Initial Claims, Philly Fed.

  • Far East: No Major Data.
  • Europe: No Major Data.
  • North America: CA- CPI, US- Initial Claims, Philly Fed, Natural Gas, Early Closes.


GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:11 GMT April 16, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EURUSD 1.3831 (I am using 1.3830-35) has been flipping between support and resistance recently. it was intra-day support until the dip below it on the IP data so now a minor resistance although the key level is at 1.3845-50.

GVI Forex john 14:03 GMT April 16, 2014
April 2014 Bank of Canada Policy Decision

"...The lower Canadian dollar should provide additional support. We continue to believe that rising global demand for Canadian goods and services, combined with the assumed high level of oil prices, will stimulate business investment in Canada and shift the economy to a more sustainable growth track.

Recent developments are in line with the Bank’s expectation of a soft landing in the housing market and stabilizing debt-to-income ratios for households. Still, household imbalances remain elevated and would pose a significant risk should economic conditions deteriorate.

In sum, the Bank continues to see a gradual strengthening in the fundamental drivers of growth and inflation in Canada. This view hinges critically on the projected upturn in exports and investment. With underlying inflation expected to remain below target for some time, the downside risks to inflation remain important. At the same time, the risks associated with household imbalances remain elevated. The Bank judges that the balance of these risks remains within the zone for which the current stance of monetary policy is appropriate and therefore has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The timing and direction of the next change to the policy rate will depend on how new information influences the balance of risks."

GVI Forex john 13:57 GMT April 16, 2014
Yellen Speech
Reply   
Speech--Chair Janet L. Yellen
Monetary Policy and the Economic Recovery
At the Economic Club of New York, New York, New York
12:25 p.m. ET

GVI Forex john 13:29 GMT April 16, 2014
Bank of Canada
Reply   
No rate change is expected at the top of the hour. The focus will be on the tone of the policy statement. Presumably the BOC will want to avoid any language that will drive the CAD higher.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:28 GMT April 16, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

For those who didn't request my outlook video, EURUSD and GBPUSD resistance so far proving to be good levels.

GVI Forex john 13:17 GMT April 16, 2014
March 2014 U.S. Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization
Reply   



ALERT
Ind Prod: +0.70% v +0.50% exp v +0.60% (r 1.20%) pre
Cap Util: 79.20% v 78.80% exp v 78.40% pre


RELEASE: Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization



TTN: Live News Special Offer


PAR 12:45 GMT April 16, 2014
Ukraine
Reply   
Massive defections of Ukraine military to pro Russia activists

GVI Forex john 12:37 GMT April 16, 2014
March 2014 U.S. House Starts & Permits (000)



New Homes Starts and Permits. Weaker than expected.


GVI Forex john 12:30 GMT April 16, 2014
March 2014 U.S. House Starts & Permits (000)
Reply   



NEWS ALERT
Starts: 946 vs. 968 exp. vs. 907 (r 920) prev.
Permits: 990 vs. 995 exp. vs. 1018 prev.


New Residential Construction



TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources


GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:00 GMT April 16, 2014
How to Trade Political Markets
Reply   
ALERT
Entry: Target: Stop:

This is a timely article for the current market where Ukraine has been a factor.

How to Trade Political Markets

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:53 GMT April 16, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

TECH TALK
Entry: Target: Stop:

GBPUSD facing key resistance, EURUSD faces resistance as well, USDJPY finally cracks 102 but key mvas loom above.

All covered in my Daily Forex Trading Outlook video

Contact me to get a copy of today's outlook

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:43 GMT April 16, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

JP, great call.

Buy and hold trumped hit and run

Your Best Trade Today
Mtl JP 15:36 GMT 04/15/2014 - My Profile
Buy USDJPY
Entry: market Target: open Stop: sub 101.50

I am NOT calling this Best Trade Today, just one of few

GVI Forex john 10:49 GMT April 16, 2014
Your Best Trade Today
Reply   
Since we always return to the equity markets every day, Its my feeling that the late day rally in U.S. shares was triggered by a short squeeze in thin pre-holiday conditions. Its safe to assume that markets will be even thinner today and Thursday. Many U.S. markets will be trading abbreviated sessions on Thursday.

Market levels today suggest this could be a "risk-on" session, but I still doubt that anyone will be wanting to run "risk" positions into the weekend with the Ukraine situation still unsettled.

Forex markets seem to be going with the flow with the S&P to USDJPY correlation working very closely. UK employment data earlier have given the GBP a lift while final EZ HICP do nothing to ease the pressure on the ECB to ease policy. As for China, 1Q14 GDP data were better than feared and probably will forestall additional economic stimulus from the government. Use the AUD as the CNY proxy,

Thoughts?

HK [email protected] 10:26 GMT April 16, 2014
STAGE 2: Ukr. army+ isurgents move on Kiev to get the..
Reply   


Probably this will be the mother of all battles.

HK [email protected] 10:24 GMT April 16, 2014
STAGE 2: Ukr. army+ isurgent move on Kiev to get the...
Reply   


FASCISTS, and CIA agents.

HK [email protected] 10:19 GMT April 16, 2014
Even the Ukr. soldiers don't want to get orders from the CIA.
Reply   


The vehicles stopped near the city administration building and flew Russian flags while residents chanted "Good job! Good job!"

One of the men who came in the vehicles, who identified himself only as Andrei, said the unit was part of Ukraine's 25th Brigade of Airborne Forces and that they have switched to the side of the pro-Russian forces.

Kramatorsk locals stop Ukrainian tanks, persuade soldiers to leave
------------------------------------------------------------
If you read my previous post, I then suggested the UKR army will defect and join the Russian army.
------------------------------------------------------------

GVI Forex Blog 10:05 GMT April 16, 2014
Global Markets News
Reply   
The GBP was firmer after the UK employment picture continued its improvement. UK ILO Unemployment Rate moved below the BOE 7.0% threshold (**Note back in Feb the central bank stated that it would look at a broader range of economic indicators). The Claimant Count registered its 17 straight month of improvement.

TradeTheNews.com EU Market Update: Tensions escalate over Ukraine; European Q1 results remain mixed and negatively impacted by currencies

Hong Kong AceTrader 10:01 GMT April 16, 2014
AceTrader :Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -GBP/USD, USD/JPY
Reply   


Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views -GBP/USD, USD/JPY

16 Apr 2014 08:37GMT
GBP/USD - 1.6802... The British pound traded in a narrow range in Asia as traders awaited the release of UK jobs data. Price strengthened to 1.6763 in early European morning in tandem with euro b4 rallying to 1.6818 after the release of UK jobs report. However, selling interest below Feb's 4-year high at 1.6823 capped cable's rise n knocked the pair lower.

Bids are now seen at 1.6795/00 n more below at 1.6780/90 with stops building up below there, suggesting buying on dips is the way to go!

UK unemployment rate fell to a 5-year low at 6.9% fm prev. reading of 7.2%.

06:15GMT
USD/JPY - 102.27... BoJ governor Kuroda says 'inflation expectation rising as a trend while long-term rates moving stably due to BoJ's massive bond buying; want to pull end deflation at an early date by steadily continuing with current QE policy.'

GVI Forex Blog 09:42 GMT April 16, 2014
Improved U.K. Employment. EZ Final HICP Steady to Lower. China GDP Better than Expected
Reply   
HIGH IMPACT NEWS ITEMS: Housing Starts/Permits, Industrial Prod Cap Utilization Yellen, Beige Book

Although tensions persist in Ukraine. a late-day rebound in equities appears to have caught many traders short and has seen shares rise elsewhere today. The move was exacerbated by thin markets due to upcoming holiday period starting at the end of this week.

Improved U.K. Employment. EZ Final HICP Steady to Lower. China GDP Better than Expected

Cambridge Joe 09:27 GMT April 16, 2014
Oil
Reply   
Sold oil 104.60. .... ! This time.. Aaamm eatin FOOOD tonite !

GVI Forex john 09:12 GMT April 16, 2014
New Zealand 1Q2014 CPI
Reply   

-- Earlier --
QQ: +0.30% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. +0.10% prev.
YY: +1.5% vs. +1.70% exp. vs. +1.60% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex 09:12 GMT April 16, 2014
Euro zone inflation stuck in 'danger zone', keeps pressure on ECB
Reply   
(Reuters) - A shock drop in March euro zone inflation to its lowest level since November 2009 was confirmed on Wednesday, keeping pressure on the European Central Bank to intervene should prices not rebound.

Euro zone inflation stuck in 'danger zone', keeps pressure on ECB

GVI Forex john 09:11 GMT April 16, 2014
March 2014 Final EZ HICP (CPI)



EZ Final HICP. Headline HICP unchanged. Core CPI lowered. ECB focuses mainly on headline CPI.

GVI Forex john 09:04 GMT April 16, 2014
March 2014 Final EZ HICP (CPI)
Reply   




ALERT
mm: +0.90% vs. +1.00% exp. vs. 1.00% prev.
yy: +0.50% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. +0.50% prev.

HICP core
yy: +0.70% vs. +0.80% exp. vs. +0.80% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex john 08:54 GMT April 16, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot
Reply   
Early in European trading hours, prices in prime fixed income markets are mixed to lower following the late day recovery
Tuesday in North America. The peripheral European bond prices are mostly higher.

Equity markets today are higher as noted, With Europe up and The Far East better. U.S. equity futures are up. The U.S. 10-yr is 2.65% +3bp.


bali sja 08:43 GMT April 16, 2014
buy cable! dont miss it!

great trades abel! yes, keep selling usd is the easiest, cheers!

jkt abel 08:40 GMT April 16, 2014
buy cable! dont miss it!

lovely to see it working so well

jkt abel 09:57 GMT April 15, 2014
buy cable! dont miss it!: Reply
hehe, gbp long stop survived, now downside is done IMO, snap back rally can take us high high high, sky is the limit for cable

jkt abel 03:55 GMT April 15, 2014
buy cable: Reply
this is the original position, still running well:

jkt abel 09:23 GMT April 10, 2014
buy cable: Reply
closed half here at 1.6772 for +197 pips!! rest is still running for much higher, stop at BE, can't lose only win now

jkt abel 09:37 GMT April 7, 2014
buy cable: Reply
bought gbpusd 1.6575, stop 1.6527, target open!

GVI Forex john 08:39 GMT April 16, 2014
February/March 2014 U.K. Employment Data



U.K. Claimant Count Unemployment about steady. 6.90% unemployment below previous 7.0% Carney target to consider raising rates. (Note: A declining Claimant Count is stronger and vice-versa.) GBP higher.

london red 08:33 GMT April 16, 2014
buy cable! dont miss it!

wages higher but not as high as expected, 16823 must be taken or risk is lower

Paris ib 08:33 GMT April 16, 2014
Insurgents in Kramatorsk in armored personnel carriers fly Russian flag

It has always been clear that the Russians want a peaceful outcome. However it has also always been clear, to anyone who cares to notice, that the Yanks prefer war. They are armed to the teeth, export arms pretty much indiscriminately and are actively engaged in overt and covert war all over the planet. I have no faith in American rhetoric. They want war, real war. A very strange nation.... or at least a very strange military industrial complex. Americans - to an extent - are like everyone else but their leaders (and their media) are weird in the extreme. Though everyone pretends not to notice.

jkt abel 08:32 GMT April 16, 2014
buy cable! dont miss it!

lalala, see dont you just love selling usd and buy gbp instead? ;) very easy

GVI Forex john 08:31 GMT April 16, 2014
February/March 2014 U.K. Employment Data
Reply   




-- NEWS ALERT --

Claimant Count (000): -30.4 vs. -30.0 exp. vs. -34.5 prev.
ILO Unemployment: 6.90% vs. 7.10% exp. vs. 7.20% prev.
Average Earnings: 1.70% vs. +1.80% exp. vs. +1.40% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex john 08:29 GMT April 16, 2014
China GDP 1Q14yy



EARLIER: China GDP beat expectations +7.40% yy.

PAR 08:26 GMT April 16, 2014
Insurgents in Kramatorsk in armored personnel carriers fly Russian flag

Russia not interested in war rethoric just wants a diplomatic solution,hence the stronger Euro .

Russia has more similariries and common interest with Europe than can be imagined. Part of London and the Cote d'azur are already controled by Russia and things are just fine overthere.

GVI Forex john 08:22 GMT April 16, 2014
China GDP 1Q14yy
Reply   




EARLIER
+7.40% vs. +7.30% exp. vs. 7.70% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

Paris ib 08:22 GMT April 16, 2014
Insurgents in Kramatorsk in armored personnel carriers fly Russian flag

Euro up not down on this news. It doesn't look like we will get what the Yanks hoped for: a flight to USDs, except in the USD/JPY which is entirely margin related (ie. not real money).

HK [email protected] 08:14 GMT April 16, 2014
Insurgents in Kramatorsk in armored personnel carriers fly Russian flag
Reply   


Alec Luhn of The Guardian tweeted that "pro-Russian unmarked militia now has armored troop carriers & are driving from Kramatorsk to Slaviansk. A definite escalation of tensions."

Raniah Salloum, the foreign affairs editor of Spiegel Online, reports that he "just saw tanks that switched side[s] in #kramatorsk. Now anti Kiev."

london red 08:10 GMT April 16, 2014
buy cable! dont miss it!

Unemployment and wages up soon. 7.1% expected but a lot looking for below 7%. There has been some evidence of increase in productivity so its possible claims are negatively affected by this. However such will put upwards pressure on wages which are expected up 1.8% ie higher than inflation. Resistance 1.6823 support 1.6684 16605

london red 08:10 GMT April 16, 2014
buy cable! dont miss it!

Unemployment and wages up soon. 7.1% expected but a lot looking for below 7%. There has been some evidence of increase in productivity so its possible claims are negatively affected by this. However such will put upwards pressure on wages which are expected up 1.8% ie higher than inflation. Resistance 1.6823 support 1.6684 16605

jkt abel 08:08 GMT April 16, 2014
buy cable! dont miss it!

data have been leaked? ;)

jkt abel 07:58 GMT April 16, 2014
buy cable! dont miss it!
Reply   
here we go again, UK data will trigger the necessary boost for gbpusd

jkt abel 07:57 GMT April 16, 2014
sell usdchf
Reply   
go go go, sell usd!

jkt abel 10:00 GMT April 15, 2014
sell usdchf: Reply
sold 0.8809, stop 0.8857, open target too

Paris ib 07:56 GMT April 16, 2014
Ukraine and China
Reply   
"There is no good will in Washington, only mendacity. Russian delay provides Washington with time to build up forces on Russia’s borders and in the Black Sea and to demonize Russia with propaganda and whip up the US population into a war frenzy. The latter is already occurring." Dr. Roberts

Slow build to real military confrontation? Is this possible? Based on numerous recent precedents IT IS!!

What happens next all depends on how the Chinese choose to respond to this provocation. Do they sell USD bonds or not?

How Far Will Washington Go?

PAR 07:50 GMT April 16, 2014
Chinese GDP
Reply   
Wednesday 16 April 2014 - Prepare to overreact
Presented by Paul Donovan

• Chinese Q1 GDP came in 0.1% higher than consensus at 7.4% yoy. Let joy be unconfined (and under no circumstances reflect on the fact that previous months were revised lower, GDP is revised everywhere all the time, or that Chinese data quality may be questioned).

FR 07:50 GMT April 16, 2014
Amman Wfakhoury
Reply   
Hello everyone,

May I know where is Mr. Amman Wfakhoury.?
I am not looking him in the forum?

Mtl JP 07:49 GMT April 16, 2014
China GDP: A Massaging of the Figures?

what matters more is that european stocks loved the Chinese data, massaged or otherwise
-
crude back above $104

Mtl JP 07:43 GMT April 16, 2014
EUR

mind the GAP ... from approx 1.3882

PAR 07:08 GMT April 16, 2014
EUR
Reply   
Well supported at 1.3800 and with potential to rise above 1.4000 on good economic date from Europe and disappointing macro figures from the USA .

Yellen speech will be another cheerleading for the Us stock markets which will go into the Easter Weekend on a high note boosted by more rate amphetamines .

KL KL 06:11 GMT April 16, 2014
China GDP: A Massaging of the Figures?

Syd,

Where have you been hiding.....? Hope all is well nicely retired and watching the waves roll by... ;-))

What is this Barry O'Farrell resigning over $3000 Wine ... If it was like Labor Craig Thompson....this is non issue...there lies the difference between the ideology of these two party....

also the Property prices is CRAZY...Mega Crazy in Sydney.... Now if we have bought in GFC...we would have more than double it by now......hind sight 20/20......LOL

Now we wait for the POP....goes the weasel in Aussie property in major cities....been an incredible run....like parabolic to me...like in Singapore, Malaysia and so many Asean cities....... anyway g'day to you!!

bali sja 05:06 GMT April 16, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

as I said before there is no stopping them buy stocks, it is all they care about
Dow 17k is a done deal soon and usd will go to toilet with it perhaps...

GVI Forex Blog 05:04 GMT April 16, 2014 Reply   
- (CN) CHINA Q1 REAL GDP Q/Q: 1.4% V 1.5%E; Y/Y: 7.4% V 7.3%E; YTD: 7.4% V 7.3%E >- (CN) CHINA MAR INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION Y/Y: 8.8% V 9.0%E - (CN) CHINA MAR YTD FIXED URBAN ASSETS Y/Y: 17.6% V 18.0%E -

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: China Q1 GDP slowed less than expected; Retail sales beat makes up for Industrial Production miss - Source TradeTheNews.com

Syd 04:18 GMT April 16, 2014
China GDP: A Massaging of the Figures?
Reply   
China’s GDP growth fell in the first quarter to its slowest pace since September of 2012, slipping to 7.4% on-year growth from 7.7% the in the fourth quarter. The increase was slightly higher than economists’ expectations of a 7.3% gain.

Authorities released other data that suggested continuing weakness, but not at a quickening pace. Industrial production grew 8.8% on year in March below expectations of 9% but up from an average 8.6% expansion in January and February, combined to limit distortions from the Lunar New Year holidays. Retail sales were 12.2% higher on-year in March, up from 11.8% growth in January and February.

Fixed-asset investment, meanwhile, slipped to 17.6% on year in the first quarter from 17.9% growth in the first two months.

Some economists saw a massaging of the GDP figures. Others said the data showed a slight recovery in March. (Comments edited slightly for style):

GVI Forex Blog 03:40 GMT April 16, 2014 Reply   
The better than expected Chinese GDP (7.4% vs 7.7% on a Quarterly basis)

Morning Briefing : 16-Apr-2014 -0337 GMT

Syd 03:26 GMT April 16, 2014
China growth slows but beats expectations
Reply   
China’s expansion slowed to the weakest pace in six quarters, testing leaders’ commitment to keep reining in a credit boom and pollution as risks mount of missing a 7.5 per cent annual growth target.

Gross domestic product rose 7.4 per cent in the January -to- March period from a year earlier, the National Bureau of Statistics said today in Beijing, compared with the 7.3 per cent median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey of analysts. Industrial production increased 8.8 per cent in March, less than projected, while first-quarter fixed-asset investment trailed estimates.


An extended slowdown would put pressure on Premier Li Keqiang to add stimulus or ease up on efforts to curb financial risks and property-price gains after this month outlining spending and tax relief to support growth. A weaker Chinese economy would limit a pickup in global expansion forecast by the International Monetary Fund and restrain demand for commodities including copper and iron ore.

Hong Kong AceTrader 02:52 GMT April 16, 2014
AceTrader Apr 16: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views GPB/USD
Reply   
Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views GPB/USD

16 Apr 2014 02:21GMT

GBP/USD - 1.6721.. We mentioned in y'day's update short-term specs sold the pound in Asia in anticipation of a soft U.K. inflation number, European traders did the same when they entered the market n when CPI came out at a 4-year low of 1.6% as per market consensus, cable staged a ferocious rebound fm 1.6657 (Reuters) to as high as 1.6731 on broad-based short-covering/profit-taking (depending where you had ended there trade !), pric later ratcheted higher to session high of 1.6749 b4 retreating.

The intra-day sideways move despite y'day's strg rebound suggests Asian players are respecting the Tue's high print as offers were reported at 1.6745/55 with stops abv there, however, more selling interest is noted at 1.6780/90. On the downside, some bids are reported at 1.6710-00 n more below, so range trading is expected ahead of another batch of U.K. jobs data.

Pay attention to U.K. jobless claims, employment change & the unemployment rate at 08:30GMT, the employment change data is probably the more important figure to watch, street forecast is looking for an increase of 90k vs previous reading of 105k, if the increase falls short of expectation, then expect (pun intended) another round of sterling bashing to come in.

dc CB 02:48 GMT April 16, 2014
Your Best Trade Today



you can see where they want to take the SnP. If it weren't for the Ukraine mess this would have been straight up all day.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 02:32 GMT April 16, 2014
$yen

JAPAN'S NIKKEI 225 INDEX ENDS MORNING UP 2.26% AT 14313.73

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 02:31 GMT April 16, 2014
$yen

102.33. = 50 day mva
102.50. = 20 day mva

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 02:22 GMT April 16, 2014
$yen

Nikkei up => USDJPY up

Now watch 102 as it sets the tone from here

HK [email protected] 02:19 GMT April 16, 2014
There is always a risk the Mkt. will catch with fundamentals.
Reply   


Especially after a long weekend.

The most (if) to be affected is the Euro.

I don't see much optimism at the moment, so better close now and go for a longer weekend.

Hong Kong AceTrader 02:01 GMT April 16, 2014
AceTrader April 16: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
Reply   
Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views

16 Apr 2014 01:28GMT
USD/JPY - 102.04 Japan FinMin Aso says 'can't Ok crop. tax cut without alternative revenue.'
Japan FinMin Aso says 'pull back from sales tax hike not as big as expected; downturn in consumption from pent-up demand ahead of sales tax hike smaller than expected from now.'
Fed's Kocherlakota says 'wage growth has been slow because of low demand; makes goods, services seem more expensive; calls to "audit the Fed" are really calls for politicians to have more say on monetary policy; I am an active "learner" on Bitcoin, very interesting to monitor and keep track of; interested in Bitcoin as a payment system, not as a currency that competes with dollar; it is not clear whether raising the minimum wage adds to, or reduces, unemployment.'
Fed's Kocherlakota says 'we need to do a better job of letting people know "the Fed has economy's back; we can afford to stay accommodative as the recovery proceeds; I expect interest rates to rise gradually as recovery continue; If we see inflation rise rapidly, will raises rates rapidly in response; I am fully committed to doing whatever it takes to keep inflation, because of tools at Feds' disposal; a lot of unemployment is cyclical, and can be affected by monetary policy.'

00:31GMT
AUD/USD - 0.9337 - Australia Mar Westpac leading index rose to 0.0% from -0.1% in Feb.
BoJ's Kuroday says 'expects wider range of prices in Japan to rise ahead.'
'BoJ's QE steadily showing effect on Japan economy; Japan making steady progress toward BoJ's 2% price target; Japan's economy to weaken Q2 on effect of sales tax hike but resume growth above a potential from around summer; Tankan showed board range of Japan firms seen cautious of economic outlook but think firms' positive stance on business maintained.'

syd sf 00:42 GMT April 16, 2014
$yen

I just bght the short back manually at 04 - its s/l is 15

after seeing Gold yesterday - not standing in front of any freight trains today.

HK [email protected] 00:38 GMT April 16, 2014
Everyone with his own interests.
Reply   


It seems that the US citizenry find it more interesting to read about yesterday Blood Moon eclipse than the Ukraine crisis.

Probably they believe it's a sign from the heavens LOL.

nw kw 00:25 GMT April 16, 2014
$yen

NZD Consumer Prices Index (YoY) (1Q)
High
1.5% 1.7% 1.6%

Mtl JP 00:15 GMT April 16, 2014
$yen

early Asia on some happy pill drugs

Mtl JP 00:13 GMT April 16, 2014
Love the Headline

Jack Lew & company: "China not a ‘manipulator’ as U.S. notes yuan weakness" , only squealing that the decline in the yuan was "unprecedented" and calling on Beijing to disclose its intervention in currency markets more regularly ... .. ... saying the weakening of the yuan would "raise particularly serious concerns" if it signals a retreat from Beijing's public policy of scaling back intervention to let market forces play a bigger role...

 




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