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Forex Forum Archive for 04/20/2014

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GVI Forex 23:55 GMT April 20, 2014
Japan Data

NEWS: JAPAN MAR TRADE DEFICIT Y1.446 TRLN; MNI MEDIAN Y1.080 TRLN

NEWS: JAPAN MAR EXPORTS +1.8% Y/Y, MNI MEDIAN FORECAST +6.5%

NEWS: JAPAN MAR IMPORTS +18.1% Y/Y, MNI MEDIAN FORECAST +16.7%...

GVI Forex 23:41 GMT April 20, 2014
Japan Data
Reply   
JAPAN DATA: Today, 0850 JST (2350 GMT Sunday): The Ministry of Finance releases March trade data.
Median forecasts: A trade deficit worth Y1.080 trillion; exports +6.5% y/y vs. +9.8% in February; imports +16.7% y/y vs. +9.0%.
Japan will post a trade deficit for the 21st straight month in March and the shortfall is expected to be up from Y802.5 billion in February.

Source: Market News International (MNI) – A Deutsche Börse company

dc CB 23:39 GMT April 20, 2014
US LNG with be the End of Putin?

interesting interview Starts at 12:40

Chevron, Condi Rice, Cargil???

Keiser Rpt

Mtl JP 23:22 GMT April 20, 2014
US LNG with be the End of Putin?

dc CB that is probably a wrong question
-
one could speculate and maybe not be too far off why US moving against Russia... hints strongly that they've seen the latest actual non-conventional oil output.. and we may have hit peak non conventional oil. we hit peak conventional oil in 2005-2007. that's why they're going after Russia now: they
- tried with iraq (conventional invasion, couldn't hold the land)
- can't take the saudis.. not with that many jihadists ready to take them on..
- Iran has been firm against the NWO folks too, despite sanctions
- Russia has spare oil capacity now

why does control of access to crude and nat gas matter ?
coz everything that is modern techno civilization is built on cheap oil
without that a lot of debts will never be paid and everything will go to shambles. which just might be Vlad's wild joker... besides the minor inconvenience that Pritchard calls "The greatest risk is surely an "asymmetric" riposte by the Kremlin"

dc CB 22:54 GMT April 20, 2014
US LNG with be the End of Putin?
Reply   
The European Nat Gas Wars.
PS...Syria is as big a part of this as is the Ukraine.
But for the Ukraine the numbers don't add up.

LNG Bloviation. LOL

http://ourfiniteworld.com/2014/03/31/the-absurdity-of-us-natural-gas-exports/

http://www.peakprosperity.com/blog/85239/us-gas-will-never-replace-russian-gas-europe



HK [email protected] 22:39 GMT April 20, 2014
Ukraine rebels call for Russian troops after deadly gunfight
Reply   


Slavyansk (Ukraine) (AFP) - Pro-Kremlin rebels in east Ukraine appealed Sunday for help from Russian "peacekeepers" after a deadly gunfight killed at least two of their militants, shattering an Easter truce and sparking "outrage" in Moscow.

Cambridge Joe 18:41 GMT April 20, 2014
Pro-Russian Forces Work on Consolidating Power

HK [email protected] 12:50

Seeing you comment on gold I took a look and it appears to me that it buy approx 1hr 20 in to the new trading period.

Just my 'hapenny-worth !

GVI Forex john 16:44 GMT April 20, 2014
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data
Reply   


April 20, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, April 21. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: No Major Data.

  • Far East: No Major Data.
  • Europe: No Major Data.
  • North America: US- Leading Indicators.


Mtl JP 13:01 GMT April 20, 2014
Pro-Russian Forces Work on Consolidating Power

Question:

What options, do u think, are opened to Vlad to help tits western financial system ?

Is western banking system 100% insulated / immune to east <-> west belligerence ?

HK [email protected] 12:50 GMT April 20, 2014
Pro-Russian Forces Work on Consolidating Power



Ukrainians realized that they can't get back the cities they lost to the insurgents.

By creating this sort of provocations and attacks they hope to bring confrontations among the super-powers and possibly get some international support to drive out the insurgents.

It is a Q. of days B4 the insurgents will ask for help from Russia.

And it will come in gradually by sending undercover Russian ground forces in increasing quantities into the east.

These kind of fascists/nazis,is a staple food for the Russians, so one may look for some action.

Probably euro will plunge in tomorrow opening.

About gold, not easy to say, but better one should cover his short, as there may be still some selling power at the opening.



Cambridge Joe 12:17 GMT April 20, 2014
Pro-Russian Forces Work on Consolidating Power

Jay I have no direct answer to the question posed, only to say that fxcm's USDX indicates selling usd from approx 05:30 GMT after mkt open.

To me it looks as though Cable is a prime candidate to gain from this.

Oil I have looking slightly firmer from open with selling from around three hours in...

IMO. GL

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 10:25 GMT April 20, 2014
Pro-Russian Forces Work on Consolidating Power

Assuming Russia does not step in to diffuse the situation as per the Geneva agreement, does the US etc increase sanctions? This is the risk that would escalate the mini Cold War

Whether it has an impact on markets is another question?

Mtl JP 07:26 GMT April 20, 2014
Long Weekend Reads

Livingston NH re the most recent meeting of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in Washington, financial policy experts and bank industry executives urged central banker governors to continue their policy of cheap money

that probably refers to the IMF seminar titled “Managing the Transition to Normality - Implications for Fiscal Policy.”

at which the attendees were asked to vote “yes” or “no” on “Is the time right for central banks to unwind unconventional monetary policies?”
the vote was 63 to 37 in favor

-
Bottom Line
do you have Gold (held outside the banking system)

HK [email protected] 05:54 GMT April 20, 2014
Five reportedly killed in E. Ukraine shooting
Reply   


Five people have been reportedly killed in a shooting in Slavyansk, a city in eastern Ukraine held by anti-government protesters.

The fatalities came after a night attack on a protester checkpoint on the outskirts of the city, a Rossiya 24 news channel correspondent reported. Four cars drove by the checkpoint and opened fire at the local residents holding it, killing three people and seriously injuring another one.

A group of protesters, who had firearms unlike those holding the checkpoint, was called from their camp in the city. They opened fire at the attackers, killing two of them, the report said.

The protesters in the confrontation reportedly captured the attackers’ two cars. Firearms, explosives and aerial photos of Slavyansk were discovered there.

RIA Novosti cites a doctor at the city’s main hospital as saying that four people with gunshots were brought in overnight.

“Apparently, something serious happened,” the doctor said.

The protesters believe that they were attacked by paramilitary from the Right Sector.

LINK

Livingston nh 02:08 GMT April 20, 2014
Long Weekend Reads

JP - LINK

Perfumed Prices at play - control??

Livingston nh 01:56 GMT April 20, 2014
Long Weekend Reads

Let's see -- every trader has a time bubble (call it a comfort zone) - every market has a time bubble (e.g., energy vs. ags) // John makes the point about longs (fundys??) vs shorts -- fundamentals ALWAYS triumphs techs BUT only if you can withstand the Time Bubble of your trade // if you used physics - techs would be effective on a quantum level (short term) and fundys would be gravity (long term)

If you trade quantum you can't care about the future of the Japanese economy but if you have deep pockets you trade fundys - the market will come to you // BUT you can't trade on the basis that "it's different this time"

So if the market persists against short term indicators larger money than you is sending you a message

GVI Forex 00:18 GMT April 20, 2014
Pro-Russian Forces Work on Consolidating Power
Reply   
DONETSK, Ukraine — Just before the most important religious holiday of the year for both Ukrainians and Russians, the Orthodox Christian Easter celebration on Sunday, pro-Russian militant groups have paused what had been the daily expansion of their territory in eastern Ukraine.

Pro-Russian Forces Work on Consolidating Power

 




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