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Forex Forum Archive for 04/22/2014

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Livingston nh 23:12 GMT April 22, 2014
Ukraine orders new `anti-terror' operation

jp - talk about "chump change" 50 mio -what ?? // if the US cared we'd put a trip wire in - we don't care 'cause eastern UKRAINE is gone

Livingston nh 23:07 GMT April 22, 2014
Chart Points -- Trading Points

cb - "and as someday it may happen that a victim (buyer) must be found I have a little list of ... "" -- we'll see what happens to all the smart guys -- they'll be on the beggar cup circuit again // always the chance that the rubes wake up and say "nobody too big too fail"

Mtl JP 22:59 GMT April 22, 2014
Ukraine orders new `anti-terror' operation

what an insult !

woosh ... Biden shows support for Ukrainian leaders and promises another $50 million in aid - cbsnews

Ukraine the dolt ... and down the toilet

HK [email protected] 21:39 GMT April 22, 2014
Ukraine orders new `anti-terror' operation
Reply   

KIEV, Ukraine (AP) -- Ukraine's acting president ordered security forces to resume "anti-terror" operations in the country's east Tuesday after the bodies of two people allegedly abducted by pro-Russia insurgents were found and a military aircraft was reported to be hit by gunfire.

The twin developments - which came just hours after U.S. Vice President Joe Biden left Kiev, the Ukrainian capital - raised fears that last week's international agreement on easing Ukraine's crisis was failing.

GVI Forex Blog 21:12 GMT April 22, 2014
Forex News
Reply   
* March U.S. existing home sales dip less than expected

* ECB's Draghi speech may weigh on euro

* Euro zone PMIs and German IFO a key focus

FOREX-Dollar strength ebbs, threats of ECB action keep euro subdued

dc CB 21:06 GMT April 22, 2014
Chart Points -- Trading Points

those that Barnum was speaking of do not get to borrow money at 0.25%, which can be leveraged up to 10x, and continuously "rolled over" at essentially Zero cost. "Buying" aka Putting a 30Y "on the books" as just provides more collateral which enable more leverage. They are also doing the FEDs work by "helping" to keep long term interest rates low.

there is no intention of holding for 30Y.

Mtl JP 20:54 GMT April 22, 2014
Chart Points -- Trading Points

nh your ref to Barnum made me chuckle

GVI Forex john 20:36 GMT April 22, 2014
Weekly US API Data
Reply   



NEWS ALERT
(Estimates and Previous data for EIA Survey)
Crude Oil: +0.520 vs. +2.500 exp vs. +10.000 prev.
Gasoline: -3.400 vs. -1.500 exp vs. +0.155 prev.
Distillates:+0.570 vs. -0.500 exp vs. -1.300 prev.
Cap/Util: 89.80% vs. n/a exp vs. 88.80% prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

Livingston nh 20:29 GMT April 22, 2014
Chart Points -- Trading Points

jp - nobody wanted 11% 30 yrs ago - and now they're lining up to get less than 4% // Barnum was right

Mtl JP 20:18 GMT April 22, 2014
Chart Points -- Trading Points

you want to be long 30-yr Lew paper ?
to expiry ?

Livingston nh 20:07 GMT April 22, 2014
Chart Points -- Trading Points

From Market Watch -
"But when the entire market thinks one thing is about to happen, the opposite outcome is often in store, notes James Camp, managing director of fixed income at Eagle Asset Management. So dont count out that result with Treasurys, he advises.

Its the most hated asset class, says Camp, but Treasurys are some of the best performers year-to-date."

And sometimes the market is right

GVI Forex john 19:47 GMT April 22, 2014
Chart Points - Free FX Database
Reply   

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

dc CB 19:34 GMT April 22, 2014
FWIW

Even with the Putin factor...looks like none of the Specs really wanted to hold WTI for delivery at $104. The expiring May contract went off the boards at the low $101.69, from its high today of 104.34.

dc CB 19:19 GMT April 22, 2014
FWIW

The proud recipient of today's $250,000 invoice for propaganda rendered by Ben Bernanke will be the Economic Club of Canada...

BERNANKE: FED ACTIONS DIDN'T FAVOR WALL STREET OVER MAIN STREET
Bernanke Says US Economy Is Heading Towards Complete Recovery

Cambridge Joe 18:57 GMT April 22, 2014
Cable

Short term turbulence, but selling well thru Asia. IMO. GL

GVI Forex Blog 18:44 GMT April 22, 2014 Reply   
April 22, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, April 23. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: AU- CPI, CN- flash HSBC PMI, FR/DE/EZ- flash Mfg and SVC PMIs, BOE Minutes. US- New Homes Sales, flash Markit PMI, 5-yr

GVI Forex Data Outlook for April 23, 2014

GVI Forex john 18:42 GMT April 22, 2014
Chart Points -- Trading Points
Reply   
Pre-Closing Trading Points...
many more chart points
About Moving Averages
About Bollinger Bands


GVI Forex john 18:38 GMT April 22, 2014
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data
Reply   


April 22, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, April 23. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: AU- CPI, CN- flash HSBC PMI, FR/DE/EZ- flash Mfg and SVC PMIs, BOE Minutes. US- New Homes Sales, flash Markit PMI, 5-yr

  • Far East: AU- CPI, CN- flash HSBC PMI.
  • Europe: FR/DE/EZ- flash Mfg and SVC PMIs, BOE Minutes.
  • North America: US- Weekly Mortgages, New Homes Sales, flash Markit PMI, Weekly Crude, 5-yr.


GVI Forex Blog 18:32 GMT April 22, 2014
U.S. Housing Flat. Flash Global PMIs Releases Wednesday
Reply   
HIGH IMPACT NEWS ITEMS: AU- CPI, CN- flash HSBC PMI, FR/DE/EZ- flash Mfg and SVC PMIs, BOE Minutes. US- New Homes Sales, flash Markit PMI, 5-yr

Tuesday turned into a "risk-on" session and this was favorable for the USD. Furthermore, early in the day, a ECB official explicitly talked down the EURUSD. This reinforces the view that the strength of the EUR is a major concern at the central bank. So far the USD gains vs. the EUR have been modest .

U.S. Housing Flat. Flash Global PMIs Releases Wednesday

Cambridge Joe 18:30 GMT April 22, 2014
Cable
Reply   
Cable HOD in place. Now to travel South . 6800 / 6770 f0r starters.

IMO. GL.

Chicago LS 18:30 GMT April 22, 2014
STOX

SP 1 hour rsi hanging on to >85 for what looks like too long also

Livingston nh 18:00 GMT April 22, 2014
STOX
Reply   
STOX - if you are watching Yen - there is a good chance stox drop big here - lunchtime rally not impressive - MACD rolling over

Livingston nh 17:46 GMT April 22, 2014
FWIW

For our purposes Ukraine will become a problem once the financial implications hit - everybody worries about the "shooting war" -- this is about the debt and trade (i.e., energy) -- like Greece these guys need time to unload debt positions

GVI Forex john 17:06 GMT April 22, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot

2-yr 0.447%
bid to cover 3.35 vs. 3.20

NY JM 16:34 GMT April 22, 2014
FWIW

RF too bad Ukraine has not been a market factor as we would have had done good headline moves.

HK [email protected] 16:08 GMT April 22, 2014
FWIW
Reply   


Report: Ukraine military plane hit by gunfire over town of Sloviansk, held by pro-Russian militants, defense ministry says - @BBCBreaking

GVI Forex john 15:58 GMT April 22, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

USDJPY to S&P correlation has broken down down over the past hour or so. The USDJPY has weakened while the S&P has flattened.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 15:55 GMT April 22, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot

US bond yields backing off highs and FX market reacting although equities remain firm, in US and Europe. Such is life in the world of correlations.

GVI Forex john 15:35 GMT April 22, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot

Late in European trade, today has turned into a "risk-on" session which has been favoring the USD. Furthermore, A ECB official earlier was out explicitly talking down the EURUSD. So far the USD gains vs. the EUR have been modest. Prices in prime fixed income markets have been mostly lower as equities have gained. The prices for the peripheral bond markets are higher. European equities are closing higher. Far East equity markets closed mixed earlier. U.S. equities are higher. The U.S. 10-yr was last 2.74%, +5 bp.


GVI Forex Blog 15:30 GMT April 22, 2014
Global Markets News
Reply   
European equities opened after the four-day Easter holiday and saw solid gains, driving a positive tone coming into the US session. US trading volumes remain somewhat subdued this morning. As of writing, the DJIA is up 0.52%, the S&P500 is up 0.47% and the Nasdaq is up 0.88%.

TradeTheNews.com US Market Update: Pharmaceutical Mega-Deals Dominate Headlines

eu pat 15:20 GMT April 22, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

sell usd looks well... against what?...nzd, aud are prefered...cad,gbp, eur, jpy, ...we will see)))

NY JM 15:19 GMT April 22, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

Is the holiday extended to Easter Tuesday as market and forum are very quiet with most attention on equities?

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 15:14 GMT April 22, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

What caught my eye on this post is there has not been a close above 1.3820

Your Best Trade Today
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:00 GMT 04/22/2014 - My Profile

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:36 GMT April 22, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

Firmer stocks, higher bond yields, all is well with the world.

See my earlier posts.

hk Q 14:31 GMT April 22, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

Any news out why usd firmer?

GVI Forex john 14:14 GMT April 22, 2014
March 2014 U.S. Existing Homes Sales (mln)

Existing Homes Sales is by far the most significant housing statistic. In line with Pending Homes Sales. Still looking stressed.

GVI Forex john 14:03 GMT April 22, 2014
March 2014 U.S. Existing Homes Sales (mln)

Existing Homes sales a touch better than expected, but they remain at depressed levels.

GVI Forex john 14:02 GMT April 22, 2014
March 2014 U.S. Existing Homes Sales (mln)
Reply   



ALERT
4.590 vs. 4.550 exp. vs. 4.600 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources


GVI Forex john 14:00 GMT April 22, 2014
March 2014 Consumer Confidence prelim
Reply   




ALERT
-8.7 vs. -9.0 vs. -9.3 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex john 13:59 GMT April 22, 2014
U.S. Richmond Fed
Reply   



NEWS ALERT
+7 vs. +2 exp. vs. -7 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex john 13:53 GMT April 22, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

Risk on ??
U.S. equities trying to work higher S&P +3. DJIA +29
10-yr 2.74% USDJPY up from earlier today...

Existing Homes Sale due shortly.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:52 GMT April 22, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

EURUSD 4 hour trendline (as per my video) is the one I am currently using on the upside. Currently 1.3831 vs. 1.3824 day high

USDJPY vs. S&P correlating

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:00 GMT April 22, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

As posted this on GVI Forex

EURUSD Closes
GVI Forex john 12:43 GMT 04/22/2014 - My Profile
4/14 1.3820
4/15 1.3813
4/16 1.3813
4/17 1.3814
4/18 1.3818
4/21 1.3793
4/22 1.3819 now

No wonder people are on the sidelines??

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:53 GMT April 22, 2014
Scam Signals

HVW, can you email me with the details

Johannesburg HvW 12:42 GMT April 22, 2014
Scam Signals
Reply   
J, I have just received a full refund from these guys we spoke about and that after a continuous bombardment of e-mails from my side. They now say they will reply within 24 - 48 working hours which is 6 days. Have you ever?

GVI Forex john 11:52 GMT April 22, 2014
Your Best Trade Today
Reply   
Markets are looking for direction as activity starts to pick heading into NY trading hours. U.S. Existing Homes sales data today are a top-tier release. Pending Homes Sales data released last month suggest a report on the order of an annualized 4.50 mln which is in line with street estimates of 4.55mln.

Housing Sales have been in a downturn since late summer of 2013. That probably is when "investors" ran out of bargain-basement prices on houses. Rising house prices and stringent lending requirements have kept many potential home buyers on the sidelines. The report is important because it is a good measure of consumer confidence.

The USDJPY to S&P futures correlation trade is working extremely well at this hour. When in doubt trade of equities. Equities themselves do not have much direction heading into the U.S. Earnings season so far has fallen short of expectations. European bourses are higher today, but that was catch-up with the U.S. after their holidays. The Far East today was mixed.

Thoughts?

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:45 GMT April 22, 2014
Your Best Trade Today
Reply   
As posted earlier on GVI Forex



Video Market Update

is or will Ukraine become a factor?

London Chris 11:17 GMT April 22, 2014
gbp

No sniff so far.

GVI Forex Blog 10:36 GMT April 22, 2014
Global Markets News
Reply   
The FX market remained quiet despite the return of European traders. Dealers still debated the probability of unsterilized large scale QE by the ECB during the course of 2014, especially if the EUR remained at elevated levels. - Verbal intervention had no effect on the Aussy during the Asian session.

TradeTheNews.com EU Market Update: European markets return after holiday to strength; Pharma industry consolidates

London Chris 10:25 GMT April 22, 2014
gbp

It is Tuesday but it feels like Monday

Cable likely to sniff our 1.6850?

Dubai OR 10:04 GMT April 22, 2014
gbp
Reply   
Is anyone long gbpusd?

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 09:49 GMT April 22, 2014
Tuesday's Trading Outlook
Reply   
This Reuters article covers a lot if ground and is worth reading.

M&A talk lifts European shares, euro dips to two-week low

GVI Forex john 09:44 GMT April 22, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot

I neglected to mention that the next FOMC decision is set for Wednesday next week. This will be before the April jobs report on the subsequent Friday. I have said for many years that the current Fed meeting schedule is idiotic. They ought to meet monthly (with a press conference) after the monthly jobs data are scheduled (ideally 12 days following the monthly jobs report).

GVI Forex Blog 09:32 GMT April 22, 2014
Active U.S. Data News Calendar Starts Later. Markets Slow to Pick up after Easter Break
Reply   
HIGH IMPACT NEWS ITEMS: EZ- Consumer Confidence, US- Existing Homes Sales

Tuesday sees key data from the U.S. in the way of Existing Homes Sales and the Richmond Fed Survey. Trading this week ha

Active U.S. Data News Calendar Starts Later. Markets Slow to Pick up after Easter Break

GVI Forex john 09:19 GMT April 22, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot
Reply   
Early in European trading hours, markets appear to be slow to come back from the holiday break. The economic calendar is relatively slow today but comes back on Wednesday with an avalanche of key data releases. Next week will see the critical monthly U.S. employment reports. Prices in prime fixed income markets are weaker. The peripheral European bond prices are mixed.

Equity markets in the Far East closed mixed. European shares are higher. U.S. equity futures are lower. The U.S. 10-yr is 2.71% +2bp.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 09:19 GMT April 22, 2014
Not updating

HVW. It reflects a market getting back from a long weekend with a very slow start.

So far not a market with grand ideas.

Johannesburg HvW 08:47 GMT April 22, 2014
Not updating
Reply   
Are you guys experiencing issues with the Forum updating? My last updated message was @ 05h37 GMT

Thanks for replying.

GVI Forex Blog 05:37 GMT April 22, 2014 Reply   
- (AU) AUSTRALIA FEB CONFERENCE BOARD LEADING INDEX M/M: 0.3% V 0.2% PRIOR - (TW) TAIWAN MAR UNEMPLOYMENT RATE: 4.1% V 4.1%E - (SL) SRI LANKA LEAVES REVERSE REPO RATE UNCHANGED AT 8.00% (EXPECTED); LE

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: Australian treasurer scoffs at RBA's neutral stance; Netflix sets the pace for beaten down momentum stocks - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Blog 04:16 GMT April 22, 2014 Reply   
The general sentiment in the global markets is positive today as the earnings

Morning Briefing : 22-Apr-2014 -0315 GMT

HK [email protected] 03:34 GMT April 22, 2014
Take your time!
Reply   


Senate Armed Services Committee will be briefed by military officials on situation in Ukraine on May 1.

Until then it may be all over hehe.

Hong Kong AceTrader 02:38 GMT April 22, 2014
AceTrader Apr 22: Daily Market Outllook on Major -EUR/USD
Reply   


DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK on Major -EUR/USD

Update Time: 22 Apr 2014 00:52 GMT

EUR/USD - 1.3791
Yesterday's anticipated breach of last week's low at 1.3790 to 1.3787 in holiday-thinned New York session confirms recent decline from April's high at 1.3906 has resumed and expect initial consolidation before aforesaid fall pressures euro to 1.3761 (being 61.8% r of the early rise from 1.3672-1.3906), however, loss of downward momentum is likely to keep price above 1.3748 (previous res, now sup).

On the upside, only a firm rise back above Monday's high at 1.3831 would signal temporary low is in place, however, reckon res at 1.3865 would remain intact.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 00:43 GMT April 22, 2014
How to Trade in a Low Volatility Market
Reply   
Good article for the current market.

How to Trade in a Low Volatility Market

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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