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Forex Forum Archive for 04/25/2014

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


Syd 22:25 GMT April 25, 2014
JUGGLING IN CHINA: WHAT OUR WAVE CHARTS FORESHADOW
Reply   
For every action there is a reaction. China’s actions to avert the credit crunch impact now seem to be intersecting. Here are two actions, for example:

The massive injection of credit by the government and boom in shadow financing (not much different in every industrial country; just that China was already bumping up against excess capacity as this new credit was spread through its economy)
Initiation of real reform that should ultimately lead to higher quality growth and more competitiveness (in value-added products) for the economy in the years ahead

The Fed just announced the ideas from their latest FOMC meeting! It's sounding quite hawkish. Needless to say this is going to have some serious bearing on the price of currencies. My positions are doing well in the wake of the announcement. You can come aboard with my forex trading newsletter now and be sure to receive my trading alerts and recommendations as the market reacts to the Fed over coming days.

Syd 22:23 GMT April 25, 2014
Copper & Aussie: A nasty statistic from China
Reply   
Similarly, the Chinese cannot be blamed for being suspicious that the United States and the West might be choosing inflation as a means of defaulting on debt, especially given that U.S. policymakers seem committed to avoiding any risk of deflation— which implies taking all the risk with inflation. And they wonder, what if the inflation rate the industrial- ized world needs to resolve its debt kills or severely damages emerging markets along the way? China cannot be blamed for fearing the normal conse- quences of inflation: higher prices. Nor can they be blamed for being paranoid. By one measure, China is being defaulted upon, encircled, and threatened on multiple levels. One cannot really be surprised that China may respond to their rising duress using what-ever means necessary.”

.link

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 19:54 GMT April 25, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

EURUSD closing 1.38xx for the 12th out of 13 days (last 2 days have closes above 1.3820 after closing below it 8 days in a row)

USDJPY closing 102.xx for 8th day in a row (but last 2 days have lower closes)

GBPUSD 1.68 trades for 5th day in a row

EURUSD had a 21 pip range today, as tight as I ever remember a day range in what continues to be an FX sideshow to the main events elsewhere

GVI Forex john 19:52 GMT April 25, 2014
Chart Points - Free FX Database
Reply   

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

GVI Forex john 19:44 GMT April 25, 2014
Commitment of Traders Report

So traders modestly long EURUSD, heavily long USDJPY and modestly short S&P futures.

Use the links to see the others

just flipped decisively long AUD. heavily long GBP...

Cambridge Joe 18:29 GMT April 25, 2014
Oil

CB acc to this... Oil definitely buys from the new trading period.

GVI Forex john 18:22 GMT April 25, 2014
Risk on (green) Risk off (red) Table

The risk-off sell-off in shares continues
DJIA -162
S&P -18

10-yr 2.66% -3bp

Livingston nh 18:20 GMT April 25, 2014
STOX
Reply   
as we test this morning's low in stox the SPX opening gap from last week is below 1845 (another ~130 points in DOW) // reaction to aapl split and amzn are an example of "the Emperor has no clothes" period as sobriety sets in

dc CB 17:47 GMT April 25, 2014
Oil

is to annc a release from the Strat Oil Reserve to knock down the price in an attempt to wound Putin.

tyyyypppo corextion

dc CB 17:46 GMT April 25, 2014
Oil

the script that oil has followed during the Ukraine deal, has been, even if there was a large build in the EIA report on Wed, the tensions would lead to buyng into the weekend. Today that didn't happen, though I think the 100 level floor is the result of the Ukraine.

The wild card that could be played by the O, is to annc a release more from the Strat Oil Reserve to knock down the price in an attempt to would Putin. There is plenty of oil, almost a glut, in the stored in the gulf region (Gulf of Mexico) to refill easily.

The pit closes in 45mins after that the market will die and be easily moved up or down.

Cambridge Joe 17:24 GMT April 25, 2014
Oil

FR, more than welcome !

This recent example showed what can happen.... at one moment you get the 'go' tone, only to see it fall away again.

While this is / can be frustrating, my experience shows that predominantly, it usually gives an advantageous entry point.

The Easter weekend out weirded this arrangement, because tho I had been looking for a significant down-turn, the days where light trading took place, threw out the calculations.

## Cambridge Joe 21:19 GMT April 17, 2014
Oil: Reply
Looks to me like oil is still very high. Wednesday Thursday sees a significant turn south IMO.
###

Still...... it gives a reasonable heads up.... most times !

GL.

FR 17:09 GMT April 25, 2014
Oil

Thanks Joe,

oil is making its further movement.....100.40---101...
but the main target is to break the 100 and remain below it.
then we are bearish....
but if it does not break 100 or does not remain below then the next target is very bullish....
let us see....
Who is Lucky....

GVI Forex Blog 16:59 GMT April 25, 2014
Week Ahead
Reply   
• Sluggish US Q1 GDP expected, but payrolls and ISM to suggest faster Q2 growth

• Euro area preliminary HICP inflation expected to rise and ease calls for ECB QE

• Robust UK Q1 GDP expected to add to interest rate hike expectations

ECONOMIC DATA ANALYSIS - US ECONOMY 'SPRINGING' TO LIFE?

GVI Forex Blog 16:46 GMT April 25, 2014 Reply   
April 25, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, April 28. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: JP- Retail Sales, DE- Retail Sales, US- Pending Home Sales

GVI Forex Data Outlook for April 28, 2014

GVI Forex john 16:44 GMT April 25, 2014
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data
Reply   


April 25, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, April 28. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: JP- Retail Sales, DE- Retail Sales, US- Pending Home Sales

  • Far East: JP- Retail Sales.
  • Europe: DE- Retail Sales.
  • North America: US- Pending Home Sales.


Tallinn viies 16:20 GMT April 25, 2014
eurusd
Reply   
euro has been trading 10 days in 80 pips range.
last 5 day average daily range is 41 pips. so far today 21 pips.
where next?

dc CB 16:05 GMT April 25, 2014
Risk on (green) Risk off (red) Table

Moar Threats:
*LEW SAYS RUSSIA NEEDS TO 'TAKE A STEP BACK'
*LEW: U.S., ALLIES WORKING TO ENSURE RUSSIANS 'PAY THE PRICE'
*LEW SAYS U.S. PREPARED TO ACT IF RUSSIA DOESN'T STEP BACK
*LEW DECLINES TO COMMENT ON CONTENT OF POSSIBLE SANCTIONS

bali sja 16:04 GMT April 25, 2014
buy gbp sell usd
Reply   
yawn, next week we will see the return of king cable, no chance for usd, will come back to this post next week, ciaoo guys, have a nice weekend :)

bali sja 16:04 GMT April 25, 2014
buy gbp sell usd
Reply   
yawn, next week we will see the return of king cable, no chance for usd, will come back to this post next week, ciaoo guys, have a nice weekend :)

GVI Forex john 15:26 GMT April 25, 2014
Risk on (green) Risk off (red) Table

Late in European trade, you can see a lot of red (risk-off) in our Heat Map heading into the weekend. (Note again that we have changed the color scheme of interest rate to reflect yields, not bond prices. This realigns the the colors in the chart to reflect risk-on (green and risk- off (red)). The EURUSD remains now about steady on the day.

Prices in prime fixed income markets are higher and equities have turned broadly lower. The prices for the peripheral bond markets are mixed. European equities are closing weaker. Far East equity markets ended mixed earlier. U.S. equities are down. The U.S. 10-yr was last 2.65%%, -4 bp.


GVI Forex Jay Meisler 15:12 GMT April 25, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today

FX taking a back seat to stocks and bonds.

EURUSD has had a whopping 20 pip range today but feels like more given the chop.

No obvious place to hide in FX although JPY and CHF stand to benefit as this is where there are carry trade positions

This feels like a game of global chicken where neither side can step down or risk losing face.

Feels like most fx traders have given up on the day.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:29 GMT April 25, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today

EURUSD so far unable to get to 1.3850, which guards key levels at 1.3855 and 1.3864. Minor intra-day support at 1.3826/27-31

USDJPY 102.50 capped upside overnight but so far finding support below 102. As noted, 102 will set its tone going forwards. Currently below 20/50/100 day mvas. 100.93 = 200 day mva.

GBPUSD 1.68 has traded each day this week

Unlike other crises, FX is not leading but following.

Sums up a bunker day

GVI Forex john 14:01 GMT April 25, 2014
Final April 2014 University of Michigan Sentiment Index



University of Michigan-Conference Board Sentiment Final U of M data revised up strongly.

ottawa ottawa 13:57 GMT April 25, 2014
Final April 2014 University of Michigan Sentiment Index

complacent....time for a sell off corrction

GVI Forex john 13:52 GMT April 25, 2014
April 2014 U.S. Markit flash Services PMI



U.S. flash Markit Service PMI. Weaker than forecast..

GVI Forex john 13:46 GMT April 25, 2014
April 2014 U.S. Markit flash Services PMI
Reply   



ALERT: News Data
54.2 vs. 56.2 exp. vs. 55.3 prev.

Markit PMI Press Release


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:39 GMT April 25, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today

Reminder, UofM sentiment comes out to subscribers before it hits the wires.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:38 GMT April 25, 2014
Ukraine News

Merkel confirms joint G7 actions being prepared.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:37 GMT April 25, 2014
Ukraine News
Reply   
4/25/2014 9:33:46 AM
(DE) Germany Chancellor Merkel: Need to think about imposing additional sanctions on Russia due to lack of progress; Seeking a sensible way out of the Russia Ukraine crisis
- Russia had a chance to convince Ukraine separatists to back down, but have seen very few actions from Russia since the Geneva accord last week
-Reiterates Europe must diversify energy supply.
- Source TradeTheNews.com

eu pat 13:30 GMT April 25, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

What do I do? .. Wait for the U.S. datas and if USD a little strengthened, I turn sold it. I can diversify between JPY, EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD, CAD ... gradually to good levels. Whereas games are popular at the crosses I am not sure which one will be th best choice..
There is risk for EUR due Jordan (SNB) speech later on. They should verbal intervene against strong CHF (USD/CHF up- EUR/USD down...we will see))

GVI Forex john 13:28 GMT April 25, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today

Whether they realize it or not, JPY bears (USDJPY bulls) have been betting on a higher Nikkei and S&P. Problem is I don't know how much upside the equity markets still have in them?

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:21 GMT April 25, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today

Markets need to be led and this is why JPY bears are frustrated by the BoJ not hinting of more QE and EUR bears hoping for a currency signal from the ECB in the form of a rate cut to negative or QE.

GVI Forex john 13:18 GMT April 25, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today

Flip- There are times when I agree with these observations, but somehow I feel that the markets only need a reason (pretext?) to break out of these chains. I don't feel the algos do any thinking, that is why the current state of affairs can't last.

I'm curious how they would deal with the volatility that some of us have seen in the not too distant past?

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:18 GMT April 25, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today

Flip, for intra-day trading, market seems only to move on news or anticipation of news events and then settles back into ranges after stops get run (or if stops aren't run).

Currently, EURUSD is just +70 pips y-t-d after nearly 4 months of trading while USD is down against most currencies except CAD and that is off its high.

This is in a year where forecasts were (and for the most part still are) calling for a higher USD based on the economy outperforming its peers.

Ukraine becomes an issue for Europe if Russia cuts off gas exports but that is something both sides want to avoid.

eu pat 13:10 GMT April 25, 2014
US Dollar

What we see today? Everything is going out of USD ( I mentioned it 2 days ago). USD is not a risk currency with tensions ( very serious) in Ukraine..U.S authorities make a very bad job again. Loks for Balance of Payments (MEI). It is one of more important data. U.S absolutely down of all (terrible), UK follow them as usally. Germany at the top...Look at debts...Who needs this play with war?

Brisbane Flip 13:10 GMT April 25, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today

John I don't think there are many actual people with opinions who move volume in the market these days. Between algos, HFT and ACBs "managing" squillions in their country's interests the news and fundamentals appear less important by the day.
E.g Europe has drifted into deflation with no growth and massive unemployment but I can't remember us actually trading off any of it on any reinforcing continually imploding data release.

GVI Forex john 13:01 GMT April 25, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today

If the markets felt there were a a serious risk of a major event in Ukraine over the weekend, they would be selling EURUSD. As of this hour, the EURUSD is up very modestly.

The moves in stocks and bonds look to me more like position squaring than pro-active trading into the new week. Does this position-squaring present a trading opportunity?

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:53 GMT April 25, 2014
US Dollar

4/25/2014 8:44:06 AM
(RU) Russia Deputy PM Shuvalov: Glazyev proposal to reduce USD assets not on Russia govt agenda - comments from Elabuga
- Govt in discussion to switch trade to Rubles
- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:49 GMT April 25, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today

Market wants to ignore Ukraine but as tensions rise, Russian troops edge closer to the border, and US threatens more sanctions (question is how far will Europe go), market is forced into defense.

Given a market heading to the bunkers, my daily outlook video covers risk on a day like this. I also suggest clicking on the link in the video if you want some keen insights.



Video Market Update

Defensive Friday, Potential EURUSD stop levels.

GVI Forex john 12:32 GMT April 25, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today
Reply   
Here we are: "same old same old"

The DAX is getting slammed again today heading into the weekend presumably due to caution over Ukraine.

Note below our revised blue table is showing a lot of red due to risk off. (Lower equities and falling bond yields).

Lower S&P futures are a weight of USDJPY because of the correlation trade. Nikkei futures are lower now (-75) after the cash market closed higher. DJ futures are down 58.

EURUSD and Gold do not correlate well with risk-on or risk-off in my view.

Cambridge Joe 12:30 GMT April 25, 2014
Oil

FR. Also please do be aware that it fails also .... !

GVI Forex john 12:22 GMT April 25, 2014
Risk on (green) Risk off (red) Table

btw U.S. equities are Thursday closes. More importantly SP-F, which is the S&P futures is live (and red).

Thus we are starting off posture.

GVI Forex john 12:18 GMT April 25, 2014
Risk on (green) Risk off (red) Table
Reply   
I have decided to redo the heat map on this table so that higher yields are now green and lower yields are now red. Thus a red cells (lower shares or lower yields) are all risk off and green are risk on. I think it works better this way but could raise issues for bond purists.



GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:18 GMT April 25, 2014
How to Survive When Prices Don't Move
Reply   
For those who have not read my article, you should do so in this market of tight ranges.

How to Survive When Prices Don't Move

Cambridge Joe 12:16 GMT April 25, 2014
Oil

Hi FR. Sorry for the delay.... analysis.... no, that is a function of the set-up.... a great deal of analysis went into developing the set-up..... so now, I just have to read it.

It is based on time and momentum, rates of decay of signal strength. A kind of forward looking radar based entirely on what preceded this point in time.

Oil appears much less difficult that other things.

If I alter any settings..... oh my, that is a long job to get it (almost) right !

FR 12:01 GMT April 25, 2014
Oil

hello Joe,
is there any analysis about oil....touching again bottom....???

Cambridge Joe 11:44 GMT April 25, 2014
Oil
Reply   
Oil bottoming here for a day trade north . IMO. GL

Cable... ? I give up.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:08 GMT April 25, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

JPY seeing some safe haven flows or more likely positioning squaring ahead of the weekend due to Ukraine.

Key support is not until 101.30 with support scattered at 101.40-85.

With that said key is to hold 102 as that will set the tone for this pair that confounds a market still hoping for 110.

Cross offsets from eurjpy so far keeping EURUSD from testing 1.3850.

HK [email protected] 11:00 GMT April 25, 2014
Deception tactics.
Reply   


Now the Russians want to go to the UN for a debate about Ukr., where indeed the "Die has been cast"=Invasion.

But the Russians want to let it look as if they were forced by the circumstances to invade, after doing everything to avoid it(in the spirit of De-escalation).LOL

tokyo ginko 10:55 GMT April 25, 2014
US Dollar

What can the US do? He who holds the nuke, holds the table.

Economic financial warfare is the new game.

New York USA 10:54 GMT April 25, 2014
USD/CHF Trend and Signal For Today
Reply   
USD/CHF is trading with a neutral character. On the daily chart we can see a long downward trend of gradually increasing interest prevails. As previously predicted, the bulls have formed another correction, sliding the bears up to the level of 0.8861, where the price groped resistance and restore the original motion. Now, after a series of impulsive movements, bears reduced fervor, forming double-digit market battle. Development of the plot for the next trading days may be so- it's possible we'll see the ambiguity before passing mark 0.8800, where the market from time to time will join the bulls. If the price still be able to cross this mark with a growing interest in short positions , then we can assume further downward movement until preformed minimum 0.8698. Key resistance levels Zone is at 0.8900, 0.9000 and 0.9130 while support level are at 0.8800, 0.8700 and 0.8567 downside.

Trading Signals - Buy USD/CHF of recommended at a price above 0.8835 with the prospect of progress to the level of 0.8900.
Sale pair is recommended for less than 0.8800 with the prospect of running around to 0.8700.

london red 10:50 GMT April 25, 2014
US Dollar

yen fib at 102.05. yest rallied just ahead of it so if touched today probably goes lower to 101.80 odd
cable no able to make much headway after data surprise but imm positioning is stretched. we may need to go lower to flush out stale longs

GVI Forex Blog 10:05 GMT April 25, 2014
Global Markets News
Reply   
***Currencies/Fixed Income*** - Rhetoric and accusations were still flying regarding the situation of Russia-Ukraine border keeping global risk appetite at bay (aiding safe haven flows). However, FX markets not responding to concerns and remain locked in tight ranges.

TradeTheNews.com EU Market Update: Ukraine situation keeps risk appetite muted; Fitch raises Italy's outlook

syd sf 10:02 GMT April 25, 2014
US Dollar

to me it is getting pretty embarrassing for the US .. I'm not too sure what they are trying to do to be honest.

trading wise prob means some of these trades are going to get squeezed into the weekend.

GVI Forex john 09:36 GMT April 25, 2014
Russian Rate Hike Surprise
Reply   
Russia raises rates by 50bps to 7.50% to support the Rouble.

eu pat 09:35 GMT April 25, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

Out from long eur/usd at 1.3845...before U.S datas later on and below ECB levels...

GVI Forex john 09:34 GMT April 25, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot

Note in the fixed income snapshot. All the green in prime fixed income markets (higher prices/lower yields) are saying RISK-OFF market. RED in equities say the same thing. U.S. bourses (other than S&P futures) are based on Thursday closes. S&P futures are live.

GVI Forex Blog 09:28 GMT April 25, 2014
Mixed U.K. Retail Sales Data. Ukraine Worries Persist. Busy Data Session
Reply   
HIGH IMPACT NEWS ITEMS: US- flash Markit Mfg PMI, University of Michigan Survey

U.K. Retail Sales data were mixed. They were adversely impacted impacted by the late Easter holiday this year. The GBP gained after the data release.Be sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar For key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.

Mixed U.K. Retail Sales Data. Ukraine Worries Persist. Busy Data Session

PAR 09:28 GMT April 25, 2014
US Dollar
Reply   
Imho dollar suffering from bellicose rhetoric on Russia, on CHina , on North Korea etc .

GVI Forex john 09:13 GMT April 25, 2014
Fixed Income Snapshot
Reply   
Early in European trading hours, prices in prime fixed income markets are broadly stronger after European equities got off to a weaker start after mixed U.S. earnings data late on Thursday.

The peripheral European bond prices are mixed. Equity markets in the Far East closed mixed again. U.S. equity futures are lower. The U.S. 10-yr is 2.67% -2bp.



GVI Forex john 08:59 GMT April 25, 2014
March 2014 Japanese CPI

Japanese CPI in line. the impact of the Sales tax increase will not be felt until next month's data release.

GVI Forex john 08:57 GMT April 25, 2014
March 2014 Japanese CPI
Reply   






EARLIER Data News
Core CPI:
yy: 1.30% vs. +1.30% exp. vs. +1.30% prev.
Headline:
yy 1.60% % vs. +1.50% exp. vs. +1.50% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex john 08:50 GMT April 25, 2014
March 2014 UK Retail Sales

In March 2014, the quantity bought in the retail industry increased by 4.2% compared with March 2013 and by 0.1% compared with February 2014. The quantity bought also increased in Q1 2014 compared with Q1 2013, by 3.8%. This continues a pattern of year-on-year growth since early 2013.

Non-food stores saw the highest year-on-year increase (9.6%) since April 2002. This may partly reflect the negative effect of the very cold weather a year earlier, which was the second coldest March on record, in contrast to the warm weather in March 2014. Food stores, however, saw the largest year-on-year decrease (2.3%) since April 2013 (2.9%).

In March 2014, the amount spent in the retail industry increased by 3.9% compared with March 2013 and by 0.3% compared with February 2014. Non-seasonally adjusted data show that the average weekly spend in the retail industry in March 2014 was £6.7 billion compared with £6.6 billion in March 2013 and £6.5 billion in February 2014.

Average prices of goods sold in March 2014 showed deflation of 0.5%; fuel once again provided the greatest contribution, falling by 5.8%. These data are consistent with the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) which was published on 15 April 2014.

The amount spent online increased by 7.1% in March 2014 compared with March 2013 and by 1.4% compared with February 2014.

-UK ONS

GVI Forex 08:48 GMT April 25, 2014
March 2014 UK Retail Sales

The cold weather a year ago was a key factor in the year-on-year rise, the ONS said.

GVI Forex john 08:44 GMT April 25, 2014
March 2014 UK Retail Sales



U.K. Retail Sales data mixed after revisions. GBPUSD up.

eu pat 08:43 GMT April 25, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

yes, gbp is mixed picture and for this I did not trade it...50/50;..

later on U.S datas..expectdt better...risk for turn usd from weak...we will see a picture later on, what market see..

London Chris 08:39 GMT April 25, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

Rise in sales due to fuel cost?

Not a reason to buy GbP

GVI Forex john 08:35 GMT April 25, 2014
March 2014 UK Retail Sales

Mixed data after revisions GBP gains

GVI Forex john 08:34 GMT April 25, 2014
March 2014 UK Retail Sales
Reply   




-- NEWS ALERT --

mm: +1.00% vs. -0.40% exp. vs. +1.70% (r 1.30%)prev.
yy: +4.20% vs. +3.80% exp. vs. +3.70% (r +3.30%)prev.

x-fuel
Mfg mm: -0.40% vs. -0.50% exp. vs. +1.80% (r +1.30%) prev.
Mfg yy:+4.20% vs. +4.40% exp. vs. +4.20% (r 1.00%)prev.

RELEASE: UK Retail Sales


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

nw kw 08:32 GMT April 25, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

out + thank you

eu pat 08:32 GMT April 25, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

out from short eur/aud with small15 pips...holding only long eur/usd now...

nw kw 08:28 GMT April 25, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

be strong gbp

CT LV 08:24 GMT April 25, 2014
EUR outlook

Thank you so much

GT

Amman wfakhoury 08:22 GMT April 25, 2014
EUR outlook

EURUSD in slow motion for 30-40 pips
we have 13855 confirmed fro yesterday and 13850 for today.
any decline below 13830 will return to it .the close 1 hr below 13830 means 13820 will be seen first and may continue to 13807

GVI Forex 08:12 GMT April 25, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

Retail sales figures for March provide today’s domestic highlight. Headline volumes (ex-auto) for February surprised on the upside with a 1.8% m/m jump and recent BRC data for annual sales points to some retracement this month. This year’s late Easter is also likely to weigh on sales, although the magnitude of any adjustment made by National Statistics is difficult to judge. Our UK team expect sales to fall by 0.6% against a -0.5% consensus view.

Lloyds Bank Daily Economic a Outlook

london red 08:00 GMT April 25, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

uk sales up soon. expected weaker across the board. however cbi for april paints a rosier picture. a better number will give cable a pop and crack at 16850.
on downside a weak number risks 10 day ma at 16782 and 23.6 fib at 16753. market will remain in uptrend while 16680 holds forthe week.

eu pat 07:55 GMT April 25, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

usd looks bad, aud looks well..
so I take short eur/aud 1.4930...better than long aud/usd...more volatilite in this cross and little hedging my long eur/usd.. we will see))

CT LV 07:46 GMT April 25, 2014
EUR outlook
Reply   
Dear Mr wfakhoury. Will you please share your levels for EUR/USD?

bali sja 07:39 GMT April 25, 2014
virgin plane is hijacked in bali

turns out a drunken man was acting aggresively and trying to get into the cockpit LOL
next we hear is they stop offering wine on board

eu pat 07:39 GMT April 25, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

ok I will take your advice and I will check after break my profit)))...
if will be loose I will send to ECB claim for refund money to me....because they make a to strong resistance..

bali sja 07:34 GMT April 25, 2014
virgin plane is hijacked in bali
Reply   
right, another plane just got hijacked
use this reason to sell usd today, remember it is friday LOL

Hong Kong AceTrader 07:29 GMT April 25, 2014
AceTrader Apr 25: Market Outlook on Asian Exotic USD/IDR
Reply   
USD/IDR DAILY OUTLOOK - 11585

25 Apr 2014 04:53GMT

Dlr's retreat from Wed's 7-week high of 11665 to
11565 today confirms recent up move from 11255 (Mar)
has made a temp. top and consolidation is seen before up.
Still favour buying again on dips for 11620 first
and only below 11525 risks stronger retrace to 11460.

STRATEGY : Buy at 11550

OBJECTIVE : 11620

STOP-LOSS : 11510

RES : 11625/11665/11690

SUP : 11565/11525/11465

tokyo ginko 07:22 GMT April 25, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

when I am confused, I take a break...taking a break is also taking a position..FWIW

eu pat 07:18 GMT April 25, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

I am in long eur/usd 1.3830..I stopped long at this level yesterday...euro is bullish still,usd bearish...lets test ECB again...

eu pat 07:15 GMT April 25, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

Does anybody know what to trade in this market today?...because I am little bit confused)))

GVI Forex Blog 06:27 GMT April 25, 2014 Reply   
- (JP) JAPAN APR TOKYO CPI Y/Y: 2.9% (multi-year high) V 3.0%E; CPI CORE Y/Y: 2.7% (22-year high) V 2.8%E >- (JP) JAPAN MAR NATIONAL CPI Y/Y: 1.6% V 1.6%E; CPI CORE Y/Y: 1.3% V 1.4%E; FY13/14 core CPI

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: Tokyo Core CPI hits 22-year highs; Baidu, Microsoft rally on earnings***Economic Data*** - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Blog 03:26 GMT April 25, 2014 Reply   
The stand-off between USA and Russia keeps going on and affects the wheat price to the

Morning Briefing : 25-Apr-2014 -0325 GMT

Hong Kong AceTrader 02:17 GMT April 25, 2014
AceTrader April 25: Daily Market Outlook on USD/JPY
Reply   
DAILY MARKET OUTLOOK USD/JPY - 102.40

Update Time: 25 Apr 2014 01:44 GMT

Despite yesterday's retreat to 102.09, subsequent rebound in Asian morning suggests dollar's choppy consolidation below Wednesday's high at 102.73 is likely to continue with neutral bias. A breach of 102.73 would confirm erratic up move from April's low at 101.32 has once again resumed and extend gain to 103.06, however, loss of momentum should cap price at 103.39/40 today.

On the downside, a breach of 101.86 would indicate the recovery from 101.32 is over instead and weakness to 101.50 and 101.32 would follow.

Mtl JP 01:40 GMT April 25, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

You will probably need to see nukes' rockets starting to rev up or serious cyber-warfare in action (critical infrastructure like powergrids, utilities or banking transaction failures) to see market reacting. Otherwise Ukraine is like a joke heard one time too many - nobody is wasting their money on a ticket to hear it.

Start looking for a new market moving catalyst.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 01:25 GMT April 25, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

By the way, there was a time when news like Ukraine would have sent USDJPY and EURJPY down sharply but this has so far not been the case.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 01:23 GMT April 25, 2014
Your Best Trade Today

I suggest reading this thread - John did a great job laying out Friday's events.

GVI Forex Blog 00:27 GMT April 25, 2014
Forex News
Reply   
* Dollar near 1-week low vs yen on rising Ukraine tensions

* Yen shrugs off slightly smaller-than-expected Tokyo April inflation

* Euro recovers from low hit on comments by ECB's Draghi

FOREX-Dollar under pressure on rising Ukraine tension

 




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