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Forex Forum Archive for 04/27/2014

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
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Mtl JP 23:56 GMT April 27, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today

Nikkei is down some in early Asia ,
also reflected in usdyen

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 23:41 GMT April 27, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today

Either market would open with a gap on Ukraine or stay in a bunker and wait for data later on to trigger some movement. So far it has been a bunker mentality to start to the week but enough this week to suggest staying alert as there will be some movement..

HK [email protected] 22:25 GMT April 27, 2014
One of the Heaviest Weeks for High Impact News Data in Store. Ukraine Continues to Simmer

Maybe the sanctions of the West, will make some impact news on the Markets.
Probably the heavy weight of today.
Then the countersanctions.

GVI Forex Blog 22:16 GMT April 27, 2014
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Mtl JP 21:35 GMT April 27, 2014

Obama warned Europe yesterday not to duck out of tougher sanctions on Russia

On how many fronts is 0's america not just wanting but able to fight ?

And , maybe more importantly, why - why is 0 creating attention distracting diversions: what crap is about to hit the fan at home in the US ?

dc CB 21:15 GMT April 27, 2014
One of the Heaviest Weeks for High Impact News Data in Store. Ukraine Continues to Simmer

Dave's Daily ETF blog posted this...48 secs long

for all the NEOCONS

Ukraine is game to you!?

dc CB 20:51 GMT April 27, 2014
Yields Up or Down? Soon
Next week marks the beginning of May and the potential for a regime change in US Treasuries. As BofAML's Macneil Curry notes, historically the month of May coincides with a jump in Treasury volatility. A seasonal analysis of implied Treasury volatility using the MOVE Index (Merrill Option Volatility Estimate) shows that May is traditionally the second strongest monthly of the year after December. With the MOVE Index also showing signs of basing, and 10yr Treasury yields stuck in an increasingly unsustainable narrow range, this May is unlikely to disappoint.

While the long term trend for US 10s suggests that Treasury yields should climb higher, in the near term we prefer to take a wait and see approach, watching for a break of the range extremes at 2.825% and 2.591%

BofA Warns Treasury Regime Change Is Coming

GVI Forex Blog 20:49 GMT April 27, 2014
Risk aversion prevailed on Friday evening, mainly due to geopolitical tension in Ukraine. The US and EU discussed sanctions against Russia, and Standard & Poor's cut Russia's sovereign debt rating from BBB to BBB-, citing capital outflows

Australia & NZ Morning Thoughts

Cambridge Joe 20:22 GMT April 27, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today

Very sorry for this.... computer problems causing concern over the estimations.... caution required.

Running charts from three different platforms and getting conflicting pictures.

Therefore.... DYOD... as per.

Cambridge Joe 19:48 GMT April 27, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today

USDJPY same.

Cambridge Joe 19:46 GMT April 27, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today

Just got the computer back up..... tech problems... doncha love 'em !

EURJPY buying about 15....30 mins in. IMO. GL

Still can't run most charts... so I'm blind. :-(

GVI Forex john 13:04 GMT April 27, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today

Looking ahead.
The Monday calendar is relatively light as usual

JAPAN: sees Retail Sales data consensus +10.90% y/y for April vs 3.60%. The gain is expected due to higher prices after the hike in the consumption tax on April 1. We will have to see the analysis afterwards to determine if the economy is improving.
Personally I have grave doubts about the wisdom of the Sales Tax hike, but a robust reading could give the JPY a boost.

United States: Pending Homes sales measure contracts signed to purchase existing homes. That is the first step in buying a home in the U.S. Afterwards a full contract has to be executed. Once the full contract is executed it becomes an "Existing Homes Sale". The sale can still fall through if all terms of the contact (inspections, mortgage approval, etc.) are not met. Traditionally, most sales that go to contract are completed, but we are not in normal times now.

Pending Homes sales is a reliable predictor of Existing Homes Sales in one to two months time. Existing Homes sales is the most closely followed U.S. housing statistic. U.S. housing data have been an ongoing disappointment and suggest the economy is in a sluggish recovery. The USD could react positively to a better than expected Pending Homes sales release, but this report has been poor for the last six months. (see below). The U.S. economy has to rebound for the long expected USD rally to develop.

GVI Forex john 12:36 GMT April 27, 2014
One of the Heaviest Weeks for High Impact News Data in Store. Ukraine Continues to Simmer

For your Blotter
The day after the FOMC Decision...
May 1 Speech--Chair Janet L. Yellen
Community Bank Supervision
At the Independent Community Bankers of America 2014 Washington Policy Summit, Washington, D.C.
8:30 a.m. ET (12:30 GMT)

GVI Forex Blog 12:07 GMT April 27, 2014
One of the Heaviest Weeks for High Impact News Data in Store. Ukraine Continues to Simmer
HIGH IMPACT NEWS ITEMS: JP- Retail Sales, US- Pending Home Sales

We expect no surprises from the FOMC Wednesday. Another $10 bln cut in the monthly Asset Purchase Program to $45bln is assured. There is no press conference afterwards, so we will have only the official statement as an explanation of the policy decision. Chair Yellen will speak publicly on Thursday.

One of the Heaviest Weeks for High Impact News Data in Store. Ukraine Continues to Simmer

nw kw 11:51 GMT April 27, 2014
Boring ukraine

HFT gang got slapped so market in no mode to do much

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:35 GMT April 27, 2014
Boring ukraine

Abel (and others) you can change the forum flow by discussing the market.

As for Ukraine, will the FX market pay notice of weekend events or stay in a bunker like Friday Enron EURUSD traded a 21 pip range?

jkt abel 10:42 GMT April 27, 2014
Boring ukraine
It is so boring to read all posts about Ukraine here. Can they be moved to political forum instead please?

HK [email protected] 07:09 GMT April 27, 2014
Ehud Barak, Israel's 10th prime minister

Says on RT interview, that Putin(and Kremlin) is the most open minded politician in the last Russian 500 years.

This is a big bad stick, into the US wheel propaganda in it's attempt to demonize the Kremlin.

He spoiled the CIA a lot.

nw kw 01:18 GMT April 27, 2014
Commitment of Traders Report

Official Trade Balance Manipulated by UK Sales Of 1464 Tonnes of Gold To Switzerland

Gold Silver Worlds - March 31, 2014 - Category: Physical Market


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