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Forex Forum Archive for 05/13/2014

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
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GVI Forex Blog 23:52 GMT May 13, 2014
Forex News
Reply   
* Euro hits five-week lows vs USD, plumbs 16-month low on sterling

* WSJ report says Bundesbank willing to back ECB easing next month if needed

* Sterling awaits BOE report and UK jobs data

FOREX-Euro vulnerable after fresh setback, sterling eyes BOE

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 23:24 GMT May 13, 2014
GTA

Tks enjoy

Brock Thor 23:12 GMT May 13, 2014
GTA
Reply   
JAY all set.

Mtl JP 22:56 GMT May 13, 2014
Eurusd till friday

KaL 22:39 w/what sl ?

SaaR KaL 22:39 GMT May 13, 2014
Eurusd till friday
Reply   
buying eurusd till friday...monday might hit 1.4020

GVI Forex john 21:34 GMT May 13, 2014
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data



May 13, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, May 14. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: JP- GDP, GB- Unemployment, BOE Inflation Report. EZ- Industrial Production, US- PPI.

  • Far East: JP- GDP.
  • Europe: GB- Unemployment,BOE Inflation Report, EZ- Industrial Production.
  • North America: US- PPI, Weekly Crude.


GVI Forex john 20:36 GMT May 13, 2014
Weekly US API Data
Reply   



NEWS ALERT
(Estimates and Previous data for EIA Survey)
Crude Oil: +0.910 vs. 0.00 exp vs. -1.800 prev.
Gasoline: -2.000 vs. 0.0 exp vs. -1.610 prev.
Distillates:+0.885 vs. +0.500 exp vs. -0.450 prev.
Cap/Util: 89.1% vs. n/a exp vs. 90.2% prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john 20:25 GMT May 13, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today

Wednesday

Japan: 1Q14 GDP- see 1.0% vs. +0.20% not likely to be a market mover.

U.K.: Employment Report & Bank of England Inflation Report. Jobs data are a key measure of the strength of the Economy. We spotted strength in the U.K. economy initially in these data about a year ago. As for the BOE Quarterly Inflation Report, The BOE targets inflation and must report its performance to the government once each quarter.

Eurozone: Composite Industrial Production- We will be looking closely at this indicator of economic strength. Its a part of the puzzle the ECB will be looking at early in June.

U.S.: PPI- unlikely to be a market mover.


GVI Forex john 20:09 GMT May 13, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map

10-yr closing at 2.61% -5bp.

GVI Forex john 19:40 GMT May 13, 2014
Chart Points - Free FX Database
Reply   

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

GVI Forex john 19:08 GMT May 13, 2014
Chart Points -- Trading Points
Reply   
Pre-Closing Trading Points...
many more chart points
About Moving Averages
About Bollinger Bands


GVI Forex Blog 18:37 GMT May 13, 2014
EURUSD Pushes Lower. Mixed Data from Germany and U.S. Key U.K. Reports Upcoming
Reply   
HIGH IMPACT NEWS ITEMS: JP- GDP, GB- Unemployment, BOE Inflation Report. EZ- Industrial Production, US- PPI

The EURUSD fell to new lows for the move Tuesday. The markets continue to react to comments by ECB President Draghi last Thursday. He said a strong Euro in the context of low CPI and low econ growth is a cause for "serious concern".

EURUSD Pushes Lower. Mixed Data from Germany and U.S. Key U.K. Reports Upcoming

Cambridge Joe 18:23 GMT May 13, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today

Sold oil 101.50 . GL !

dc CB 18:08 GMT May 13, 2014
STOX

today's RevRepo
$204.839 bln

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 17:55 GMT May 13, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today

Came within range of the major daily trendline, so far holding it, which protects the key 1.3670 level. At a minimum 1.3700+ is needed to slow the risk.

SaaR KaL 17:29 GMT May 13, 2014
EURNZD

EURCAD Staying Long for 2 weeks
buying with dips into the week
tgt > 1.53

GVI Forex john 17:11 GMT May 13, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today

EURUSD making new LOD 1.3688. Last 1.3692.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 17:04 GMT May 13, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today

Sticking with the bearish bias while below 1.3740-50 (as noted earlier) and that has worked out...

Market next needs to test 1.3670, seems a matter of when, only 1.3740-50+ neutralizes the risk. There is a major daily trendline that comes in ahead of it at 1.3680 (but use some leeway as some have it at 1.3685 and 1.3690).

GVI Forex john 16:57 GMT May 13, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today

Be sure to know where these benchmark moving averages lie. If you are tempted to buy a falling knife you don't want to put a stop at or around one of the "vulnerable levels".

GVI Forex john 16:53 GMT May 13, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today

There is little doubt that this has been a major break in EURUSD since May 8, when Mario Draghi sent a clear signal that a weaker currency is desired. I'm seeing that a number of key moving averages have been breached 20-day 1.3822. 50-day 1.3824, 100-day 1.3739. The 200-day is now in range @ 1.3621. The 200-day average is of greater interest to equity traders than forex traders as we tend to be a lot more shorter-term oriented.

We won't get a nice clean look in the COT report Friday because it is taken on Tuesdays, but I suspect EURUSD longs were building into last Thursday, which is why there has been so much selling. As I often say, stops are the greatest force in forex. That is why the COT reports can be useful, because they give you a general idea of how traders are positioned and therefore where the vulnerabilities lie.

eu pat 16:47 GMT May 13, 2014
usd

CT LV 12:27 GMT 05/13/2014 - My Profile
We will have to wait and see then
-------------------------------------------

CL are you here? I d like ask you a question.

SaaR KaL 16:40 GMT May 13, 2014
EURNZD
Reply   
EURNZD is a great Buy Long term
I see 1.73 in Aug/2014
Slight Stop to 1.60 area then 1.78 around New year

Livingston nh 16:14 GMT May 13, 2014
Cable
Reply   
Cable hasn't closed below 21 dma (1.6839) since the Feb correction and it has held on today -- BUT EUR/USD may test 1.3677 and pressure on EUR/GBP could make BoE take notice -- inflation report could be the game changer to break the 21 dma

Paris ib 16:12 GMT May 13, 2014
AUD and the budget
Reply   
The Abbott Government faces months of wrangling in the Senate over key budget measures to introduce a GP fee and increase taxes on fuel and high-income earners.

Australian budget

Paris ib 16:00 GMT May 13, 2014
Oh, Chechonia

Good grief. Nepotism, corruption.... all way out in the open.

dc CB 15:55 GMT May 13, 2014
Oh, Chechonia
Reply   
Burisma Holdings is a privately owned oil and gas company with assets in Ukraine and operating in the energy market since 2002. To date, the company holds a portfolio with permits to develop fields in the Dnieper-Donets, the Carpathian and the Azov-Kuban basins.
In 2013, the daily gas production grew steadily and at year-end amounted to 11.6 thousand BOE (barrels of oil equivalent – incl. gas, condensate and crude oil), or 1.8 million m3 of natural gas. The company sells these volumes in the domestic market through traders, as well as directly to final consumers.

Joe Biden's Son Joins Board Of Largest Ukraine Gas Producer

GVI Forex john 15:55 GMT May 13, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map

Weaker than expected (before revisions) U.S. Retail Sales data have seen yields in prime fixed income markets fall across the board. On the other hand, equities are performing relatively well. Perhaps stocks are focused on the revisions?

European equities are ending mostly higher. Far East markets ended mostly up. U.S. S&P equities are higher. The peripheral European bond yields are mostly down. The U.S. 10-yr is 2.62%, -3bp.

The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflect yields. This aligns all the colors in the chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off (red).

NY JM 15:46 GMT May 13, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today

EURUSD triple intra-day bottom around 1.3700

US session range has been 1.3699-1.3730

Market stays bearish as long as below 1.3740-50

Livingston nh 15:43 GMT May 13, 2014
STOX
Reply   
We may have a Turnaround Tuesday again - see if any Lunchtime rally appears // MAY is usually a good time to sell because crisis is usually a warm weather phenomenon

Paris ib 15:37 GMT May 13, 2014
Global Markets News

Out in the real world prices are going up: taxes, utilities, food, petrol is ridiculous.... while wages are mostly falling. If some prices have fallen it's maybe borrowing costs - interest rates. The deflation bogeyman is something the statistics bureau can invent at will by adjusting the sample of goods.... but it is completely bogus. So why these weird moves by Central Banks?

Paris ib 15:31 GMT May 13, 2014
Global Markets News

John - honestly I have no idea what the rationale behind that was. They have moved from no precommit to flagging some kind of action - undetermined - if inflation forecasts (not actual inflation mind you but staff inflation FORECASTS) come out in some unspecified way - lower I presume. So this is worse in a way than the FED and the unemployment target (now defunct?). So we have to wait for the release of inflation forecasts (which are when??) and presume some sort of action by the ECB in June. Which will do what? The idea seems to be to get the Euro down (or is it to support the USD??) though no targets are provided. I think the whole thing is a bit of shambles and I wonder what on earth is behind all this. I'm not impressed. Do we have panic? Why? What exactly is the problem? It's NOT deflation, that is a figment of the imagination....

GVI Forex john 15:25 GMT May 13, 2014
Global Markets News

ib- I feel Mario was providing forward guidance last Friday. If the ECB is to ease, the June meeting would be the time. We have to assume he had a good idea what the official inflation forecasts are going to look like?

Paris ib 15:19 GMT May 13, 2014
Global Markets News

I hope we don't keep this scuttlebutt up for an entire month. Good grief. One person who is informed.... Somehow I think the Bundesbank might not necessarily dance to the tune set by the Anglo press or for that matter meekly follow Draghi. But lord I hope we don't have to dance around this issue for an entire month.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 15:15 GMT May 13, 2014
Global Markets News

No clue, first I saw of it was on TTN.

But damage has been done as market is looking for reasons for ECB to ease.

Paris ib 15:09 GMT May 13, 2014
Global Markets News

Was there an official Bundesbank response or is this just more 'one person said' as headlined by the WSJ during the European lunch break?

GVI Forex Blog 15:04 GMT May 13, 2014
Global Markets News
Reply   
The Bundesbank responded to reports out overnight, reminding markets that the ECB saying it is ready to take action on monetary policy is nothing new. The earlier reports suggested that the Bundesbank was finally giving a green light to ECB stimulus action in June if 2016 inflation forecasts were lowered

TradeTheNews.com US Market Update: DJIA and S&P500 Both at Record Highs

GVI Forex Blog 15:04 GMT May 13, 2014 Reply   
May 13, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, May 14. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: JP- GDP, GB- Unemployment, BOE Inflation Report. EZ- Industrial Production, US- PPI.

GVI Forex Data Outlook for May 14, 2014

GVI Forex john 15:01 GMT May 13, 2014
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data
Reply   


May 13, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, May 14. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: JP- GDP, GB- Unemployment, BOE Inflation Report. EZ- Industrial Production, US- PPI.

  • Far East: JP- GDP.
  • Europe: GB- Unemployment, BOE Inflation Report, EZ- Industrial Production.
  • North America: US- PPI, Weekly Crude.


GVIForex Jay Meisler 14:53 GMT May 13, 2014
Put This on Your Trading Checklist
Reply   
I just posted this article and it is very timely and suggested reading given the price action today.

Put This on Your Trading Checklist

GVI Forex john 14:38 GMT May 13, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map

S&P higher presumably on momentum and upward revisions to previous data. 10-yr note yield dipped earlier to 2.610% now 2.625%. Pre- U.S. opening, the 10-yr was 2.66%. We can't sustain rising equity prices and falling fixed income yields simultaneously.

GVI Forex john 14:11 GMT May 13, 2014
March 2014 U.S. Business Inventories

U.S. Business Inventories data should have little impact on !Q14 GDP revisions. Earlier upward revisions to prior Retail Sales data could these data higher.

GVI Forex Blog 14:08 GMT May 13, 2014
New! Binary Options - 30 seconds Options
Reply   
OptionsXO is offering a new trading option that will elevate your trading to the next level

New! Binary Options - 30 seconds Options

(posted with permission)

GVI Forex john 14:00 GMT May 13, 2014
March 2014 U.S. Business Inventories
Reply   



NEWS ALERT
+0.40% vs. +0.40% exp. vs. +0.40% (r +0.50%) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex john 13:42 GMT May 13, 2014
Fed Chair Yellen
Reply   
UPCOMING Thursday
May 15 Speech--Chair Janet L. Yellen
Small Businesses and the Economy
National Small Business Week 2014, Washington, D.C.
6:10 p.m. ET

GVIForex Jay Meisler 13:36 GMT May 13, 2014
usd

Paris ib, please email me at [email protected]

GVI Forex john 13:24 GMT May 13, 2014
usd

yes it's a joke. Reporters need a story.

Paris ib 13:11 GMT May 13, 2014
usd

John - LOL !!!

That's a joke right?

GVI Forex john 13:11 GMT May 13, 2014
usd

One news service is notorious for speaking to a parking attendant at the Fed and reporting HIS opinions. "A source close to the Fed". Thing is they are almost always wrong. But they always make headlines.

GVI Forex john 13:07 GMT May 13, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map

10-yr 2.63%, -3bp after disappointing March Retail Sales data. Even after revisions, traders would have liked March to advance on February.

Paris ib 13:07 GMT May 13, 2014
usd

John - indeed lol.

How many people do you think there are out there who are 'familiar with this matter'? A couple of million? So did they go for a random sample? Or we to assume that they got one of the Bundesbank head honchos to give them a whisper? Please.

GVI Forex john 13:03 GMT May 13, 2014
usd

ib- lol

Paris ib 13:03 GMT May 13, 2014
usd

Bloomberg has a better source:

"two people with knowledge of the matter said"

talk about an echo chamber.

Bloomberg Gossip

Paris ib 12:59 GMT May 13, 2014
usd

and the market reacts to what 'a person said' !!!

Of course the FT picks this up and runs with 'the WSJ reported'

without mentioning that it is scuttlebutt based on what A PERSON SAID. Good grief.

london red 12:56 GMT May 13, 2014
April 2014 U.S. Retail Sales

Will expand later as on move but yes eurgbp played out, just the crumbs left.

Paris ib 12:55 GMT May 13, 2014
usd

'a person familiar with the matter said'......

So we have the Murdoch Press (aka Wall Street Journal) printing stories about what the Bundesbank may or may not vote in favour of. And this comes out on the European lunch time session. Right. Pass the salt.

GVI Forex john 12:52 GMT May 13, 2014
April 2014 U.S. Retail Sales

red I am wondering if the better GBP play is long against the EUR (or short EURGBP). That would take EURUSD volatility out of the equation. Problem is EURGBP has already moved pretty far.

eu pat 12:46 GMT May 13, 2014
usd

now you can see this set up I mentioned before ( weak usd next hour)
it is valid...but bundesbank changed eur and gbp and ,oved power to aud and nzd (crosses)...if not bundesbank I am sure that crosses folow now eur and gbp...my fault too early enter (a few minutes before news))..this is job- not easy

My last post. Good luck.

london red 12:42 GMT May 13, 2014
April 2014 U.S. Retail Sales

with hazardous us data out of way now time to buy cable dips into tomorrows jobs and qir.
march revised higher but q1 gdp still will be negative. jam tomorrow q2 for us but so far uk way ahead of us curve even europe on par if not better as far as q1 gdp concerned. euro possibly done low for bounce but would prefer to see fib posted earlier by gvi before going long. when it comes to fx i am a cautious pessimist :/

GVI Forex john 12:42 GMT May 13, 2014
April 2014 U.S. Retail Sales



U.S. Advance Retail Sales. Weaker than expected. Previous month data revised higher.

GVI Forex 12:34 GMT May 13, 2014
April 2014 U.S. Retail Sales

Note March revised higher

GVI Forex john 12:33 GMT May 13, 2014
April 2014 U.S. Retail Sales
Reply   



ALERT
+0.10% vs. +0.40% exp. vs. +1.20% (+1.50%) pre
Ex-Auto: 0.0% v +0.6% exp. v +0.7% (+1.4%) pre
Ex-Auto/Gas: -0.1% v +0.5% exp. +1.0% (+1.4%)


PRESS RELEASE: U.S. Advance Retail Sales



TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex john 12:31 GMT May 13, 2014
April 2014 U.S. Import Prices
Reply   



ALERT
-0.40% vs. +0.40% exp. vs. +0.60% (r+0.40% ) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

CT LV 12:27 GMT May 13, 2014
usd

We will have to wait and see then

eu pat 12:02 GMT May 13, 2014
usd

LV,hard to say ... there was nice set up for eur an gbp before...this news will be not deny later...they broken supports ...usually when market was set up to another side after unespected news can be correction ( sometimes)...but I really do not know now. euro is in big defensive. aud and nzd play against euro due crosses

CT LV 11:38 GMT May 13, 2014
usd

eu pat 10:28 GMT 05/13/2014
srry..central banks again changed all in one minute.. a few minutes ago see link...it was unespected..

I am in only long eur/aud and eur nzd...it make me a worry
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Hopefully there will be a retrace after negative US data in about an hour

GVI Forex john 11:13 GMT May 13, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today

The key question is whether we are transitioning away from the Ukraine-driven political markets to more traditional drivers. Political pundits have been saying for a couple of weeks that Putin has been trying to dial down the tensions.

Note that Draghi last week said that that the EUR demand has been driven by capital flight due to political uncertainties.

GVIForex Jay Meisler 11:03 GMT May 13, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today

EURUSD 1.3670 is key support and in that area is also 1.3673 = 61,8% of the 2014 range (1.3475-1.3993)

1.3623 = 200 day mva

Market will stay in a SOB mode as long as below 1.3740-50

eu pat 10:57 GMT May 13, 2014
usd

sorry,correct is :gbp can not go much higher without euro....

GVI Forex john 10:55 GMT May 13, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today
Reply   
I noted last week and in my weekend comments that ECB President Draghi had been providing "forward guidance" for an ECB policy easing after the last ECB meeting. Forward guidance is a signal for possible future policy action, but it is contingent on the current economic conditions not changing. The problem in the Eurozone is that inflation is not hitting the ECB's minimum target level. The ECB targets inflation at just below 2.00%.

I know to some traders the Bundesbank comments a short while ago were just words. but assuming the Bundesbank source quoted a short while ago was authoritative, it would mark a public green light from the German central bank for the ECB to ease policy at its June meeting. Important for EUR trading strategies, the markets have been reacting accordingly.

UNOFFICIALLY, the Bundesbank appears to have a veto power over major ECB decisions. Its not fair, but thats the way the world works. No other EZ central bank has that power. I am wondering if the Bunbesbak is reacting to the recent weakness in German data that I have been seeing?

eu pat 10:54 GMT May 13, 2014
usd

This Bundesbank news is like from sky and it is very imoprtant news...We have seen, that eur is now ko for new huge uptrend...they can try but a small chance...gbp shows, that can go much higher without tandem in eur at this stage ( due export to EU)
It is central banks war everywhere and they can shoot at any time...trading is now manipulated an dificult ( must be sl)
For this I will not post my trade here any more..I do no want to confuse you..Thanks

GVIForex Jay Meisler 10:40 GMT May 13, 2014
News Matters: Special Offer
Reply   
The price action in EURUSD just now shows how you need to stay on top of the news

Here is a great offer for free news + other discounts at the following

News matters: Special Offer

GVI Forex 10:30 GMT May 13, 2014
Global Markets News

This was the catalyst for the EURUSD fall through the 100 day mva (1.3739) as Bundesbank gave a green light to sell.

5/13/2014 6:08:08 AM
(DE) Bundesbank said to be 'open' to 'significant' ECB stimulus in June if 2016 inflation forecasts are lowered - financial press
- Bundesbank said to be willing to cut interest rates if needed, including negative deposit rate. Also would support extending unlimited bank loans well into 2016 if needed.
- Bundesbank may support some ECB purchases of ABS, but remains skeptical on merits of broad-based asset purchases.

**Reminder: On May 8th ECB's Draghi stated at the monthly press conference that the Council would be comfortable acting at the June meeting, if needed. Discussion touched on a wide range of instruments

- Source TradeTheNews.com

eu pat 10:28 GMT May 13, 2014
usd

srry..central banks again changed all in one minute.. a few minutes ago see link...it was unespected..

I am in only long eur/aud and eur nzd...it make me a worry

Link

SaaR KaL 10:27 GMT May 13, 2014
USDJPY Sell to 101.4

EURUSD
Just testing you
Stick to your frekin Plan

GVI Forex Blog 10:12 GMT May 13, 2014
Global Markets News
Reply   
The EUR/USD remained steady throughout most of the session but drifted to 1-month lows after a mixed German ZEW Survey. German investor morale plunges to lowest since Jan 2013

TradeTheNews.com EU Market Update: Softer German ZEW Survey attributed to strong Q1

kl fs 10:10 GMT May 13, 2014
buy euro
Reply   
going to start buying euro later in NY

SaaR KaL 09:59 GMT May 13, 2014
USDJPY Sell to 101.4

Silver
Playin tricks ...ash hole
he will have to go to 19.00 to 18.80
will add more at open at 19.67
for that TGT 19

eu pat 09:50 GMT May 13, 2014
usd
Reply   
I see usd weak next hours...eur and gbp/usd is buy...eur/aud looks buy maybe eur/nzd too...good luck.

SaaR KaL 09:42 GMT May 13, 2014
USDJPY Sell to 101.4

GBPCAD
Thusrday
bottoms at 1.8250
will short at 1.8420 to 1.8430
tgt US Open 1.8344

Tallinn viies 09:39 GMT May 13, 2014
eurusd
Reply   
sold euros at 1,3751. stop at 1,3801.
target 1,3685

GVI Forex Blog 09:22 GMT May 13, 2014
German ZEW Survey Mixed. Economic Expectations Weaker. U.S. Data Retail Sales Due
Reply   
HIGH IMPACT NEWS ITEMS: US- Import Prices, Retail Sales, Business Inventories

The German ZEW survey was mixed withe the key Economic Expectatiions component continuing to fall. This report is seen as a precursor of the IFO Survey due next week.Be sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar For key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.

German ZEW Survey Mixed. Economic Expectations Weaker. U.S. Data Retail Sales Due

SaaR KaL 09:22 GMT May 13, 2014
buy audusd

gbpnzd
Long till 1.9630
short there to 1.9500

kl fs 09:22 GMT May 13, 2014
buy audusd

Kal, looks good that way, i like playing this coiling-recoiling thing

SaaR KaL 09:18 GMT May 13, 2014
buy audusd

FS
What do you think of this
Buy here to your level or to .9395...SHort there before US Open
till 0.9340 Near End of US Session
Long There till 0.9378

kl fs 09:16 GMT May 13, 2014
buy audusd

adding near 0.9335 Kal

SaaR KaL 09:12 GMT May 13, 2014
buy audusd

Nice
Got The same

kl fs 09:09 GMT May 13, 2014
buy audusd
Reply   
bought intraday play 0.9341, stop 0.9317, target 0.9380

GVI Forex john 09:08 GMT May 13, 2014
May 2014 German ZEW Survey



German ZEW Survey. Data mixed. The more closely watched Economic Expectations reading falls sharply. EURUSD slightly weaker.


GVI Forex john 09:00 GMT May 13, 2014
May 2014 German ZEW Survey
Reply   



NEWS ALERT
Economic Expectations: +33.1 vs. +40.0 exp. vs. +43.2 prev.
Current Conditions: +62.1 vs. +60.5 exp. vs. +59.5 prev.


RELEASE: German ZEW Survey


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex john 08:53 GMT May 13, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map
Reply   
A mild "risk-on bias has carried over into early Tuesday trade ahead of a moderately active day for data. Yields in prime fixed income markets are generally unchanged to higher. The peripheral European bond yields are mixed to higher.

European equities are higher. Far East equities closed mostly up. U.S. S&P futures are higher. The U.S. 10-yr is 2.66%, +1bp.

The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflect yields. This aligns all the colors in the chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off (red).



GVI Forex 08:31 GMT May 13, 2014
Next Up: German ZEW
Reply   
Today’s ZEW will be the first German survey information for May. Last month the ZEW underperformed the IFO and PMIs and so a rebound is likely. However, we think that the relatively low level of the current conditions component makes it more likely that this, rather than expectations, will rise. It should be noted that as a survey of investors the ZEW is more susceptible than the others to being influenced by fluctuations in financial variables.

Lloyds Bank Daily Economic Outlook

SaaR KaL 08:20 GMT May 13, 2014
USDJPY Sell to 101.4

Firday EURUSD trades in the range of 1.38 to 1.3955
For Next 2 sessions will be slow
i think 1.3738 to 1.3710 is great

SaaR KaL 08:06 GMT May 13, 2014
USDJPY Sell to 101.4

Long CADCHF till US Close
TGT 1.8170

GVI Forex Blog 07:48 GMT May 13, 2014 Reply   
***Economic Data*** - (AU) AUSTRALIA Q1 HOUSE PRICE INDEX Q/Q: 1.7% (1-year low) V 3.0%E; Y/Y: 10.9% V 10.4%E >- (AU) AUSTRALIA MAR HOME LOANS M/M: -0.9% V +1.0%E; INVESTMENT LENDING: -0.8% V +4.4% P

Asian Market update Australia property sector growth slows . China weakens CNY despite visit from Lew

london red 07:38 GMT May 13, 2014
eurgbp
Reply   
euro firmer slightly ahead of german confidence. pressure for eurgbp abaits slightly above 8160. most looking for a weaker zew some eye below 40 so surprise move is to upside today. whether that has a lasting effect on euro is another matter. plenty of sellers lines up from 13785 to the figure. think 138 and 8185/8200 good points to enter short trades if seen.

PAR 07:35 GMT May 13, 2014
EURO
Reply   
Two weeks after the latest interest rate cut by the ECB the EURO was trading sharply higher .Neither exchange rates nor the financing of governments are the mean tasks of the ECB . If you want a lower Euro just intervene like the Swiss , The Japanese and the USA have done very succesfully in the past .

If you count on an interest cut by the ECB to lower the Euro the end result may be a sharply higher Euro .

SaaR KaL 07:35 GMT May 13, 2014
USDJPY Sell to 101.4

I think gold is a buy till US close
doubt goes lower then 1288
tgt 1303

SaaR KaL 07:24 GMT May 13, 2014
USDJPY Sell to 101.4

GBPJPY selling as well with spikes i dout goes higher then 172.8
till 171.00 area


Most Likel range for EURUSD today is 1.3780 to 1.3738
entry Long for 1.38 is not today

SaaR KaL 07:11 GMT May 13, 2014
USDJPY Sell to 101.4
Reply   

Entry: 102.4 Target: 101.4 Stop: 102.87

it is starting Folks

dc CB 04:45 GMT May 13, 2014
Tim Geithner: The White House Asked Me to Mislead the Public

in case you are not attentive

SnP to the Moon

just look at the links on the SnowJob GQ page.

never tought it would get this Crude

the many D'Ohs of Homer Simpson

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g6GuEswXOXo



Watch Jennifer Lawrence Make Butt Plugs Seem Charming

CT LV 04:40 GMT May 13, 2014
Why EURUSD and GBPUSD May Struggle with Breaks Tomorrow

http://www.dailyfx.com/forex/video/technical_analysis/2014/05/13/Strategy-Video-Why-EURUSD-and-GBPUSD-May-Struggle-with-Breaks-Tomorrow--.html

Cape Town LV 04:39 GMT May 13, 2014
Why EURUSD and GBPUSD May Struggle with Breaks Tomorrow
Reply   
I find this strategy analysis for the rest of this week very interesting.

GT

dc CB 04:27 GMT May 13, 2014
Tim Geithner: The White House Asked Me to Mislead the Public

hey for your Holly/Bolly wood read...go to GQ

Media baby....whot sells

SnowJob

The Man Who Knows Too Much

GVI Forex Blog 03:29 GMT May 13, 2014 Reply   
Further rise was seen in Equities overnight. The overall outlook remains bullish and higher

Morning Briefing : 13-May-2014 -0328 GMT

Hong Kong AceTrader 02:19 GMT May 13, 2014
AceTrader May 13: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views USD/JPY AUS/USD
Reply   
Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views

13 May 2014 01:47GMT

USD/JPY - 102.20
The greenback maintained a firm undertone in Asian morning today due to the rally in Nikkei-225 index (currently rose by 250 points) following the rise in global stock markets on Monday.
U.S. dollar extended gain to 102.24 in part due to active cross selling in jpy (eur/jpy rose to 140.73).
Bids are now located at 102.05-00 n 101.85 whilst offers are tipped at 102.30-40 with some stops seen aboev 102.50.

Trading is likely to be thin in Asia as market players are waiting for the release of U.S. retail sales at 12:30GMT.
Besides, Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen is due to speak May 15 after tempering speculation last week that an improving economy will spur interest-rate increases.

13 May 2014 01:35GMT

AUD/USD - 0.9353
Australian home loans dropped by 0.9% m/m in March versus economists' forecast of a rise of 1.0% n well below previous reading of a rise of 2.3%. Australian house price index came in at -1.2% q/q n 10.9% y/y against the expectation of 3.0% n 10.4% respectively.

The Australian dollar showed muted reaction after the release of house price data.
Some offers are tipped at 0.9365/70 n more at 0.9385-95 with stops only seen above 0.9400. On the downside, mixture of bids n stops is located at 0.9340.

Investors are now paying attention to the release of China's retail sales and industrial production data at 05:30GMT.

Brock Thor 01:37 GMT May 13, 2014
Hmmm Eur/Usd small spike

Long Eur/usd scalpers closing trades now it appears.

1.37658 ran it's course.
I'm out hate these tablets.

Brock Thor 00:57 GMT May 13, 2014
Hmmm Eur/Usd small spike
Reply   
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Now a long wick ???

GVI Forex Blog 00:47 GMT May 13, 2014
Forex News
Reply   
* Euro steadies but having broken below channel support

* British pound near 16-month high vs euro on rate outlook

* Yen at 1-week low on improved risk sentiment

* Aussie eyes budget, China data

FOREX-Euro stabilises for now but seen shackled by ECB prospects

dc CB 00:43 GMT May 13, 2014
Tim Geithner: The White House Asked Me to Mislead the Public

all the press is about his Book

NYTimes Sunday Mag did a front page spread in Timmmmaaaaaay, written by "friend" of all bankers and DealBook and CNBC famous personna Andrew Sorkin

sunday times mag

HK [email protected] 00:37 GMT May 13, 2014
Tim Geithner: The White House Asked Me to Mislead the Public
Reply   


The White House wanted Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner to lie on Sunday talk shows to downplay the part Social Security played in driving the deficit, it was revealed today.

'I remember during one Roosevelt Room prep session before I appeared on the Sunday shows, I objected when Dan Pfeiffer wanted me to say Social Security didn't contribute to the deficit. It wasn't a main driver of our future deficits, but it did contribute,' he says.

LINK

dc CB 00:04 GMT May 13, 2014
Let's burn up some jet fuel. Pagin Maj Kong
Reply   
OFFUTT AIR FORCE BASE, Neb. – U.S. Strategic Command will conduct Exercise Global Lightning 14 from May 12-16 in coordination with other combatant commands, services, and appropriate U.S. government agencies to deter and detect strategic attacks against the U.S. and its allies.

Exercise Global Lightning 14 has been planned for more than a year and is based on a notional scenario. The timing of the exercise is unrelated to real-world events.

Units included in the exercise are bomber wings that will fly approximately 10 B-52 Stratofortresses and up to six B-2 Spirit bombers to demonstrate flexibility and responsiveness in the training scenarios throughout the continental U.S.

“This exercise provides unique training opportunities to incorporate the most current technology and techniques in support of our mission. Continued focus and investment in our strategic capabilities allow USSTRATCOM to deter, dissuade, and defeat current and future threats to the U.S. and our allies,” said Adm. Cecil Haney, commander, U.S. Strategic Command.

For more information, contact USSTRATCOM Public Affairs, (402) 294-4130, or via email: [email protected]

Global Lightning 14 U.S. Strategic Command Public Affairs

 




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