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Forex Forum Archive for 05/19/2014

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dc CB 22:52 GMT May 19, 2014
Eric Holder had a busy day

NEW YORK — Jon Corzine and other former insiders of collapsed brokerage MF Global can tap another $10 million of insurance funds to defend lawsuits accusing them of hastening the firm's downfall, a U.S. judge said on Monday.

Ex-MF Global Executives Can Tap More Legal Defense Money

dc CB 22:33 GMT May 19, 2014
Eric Holder had a busy day
Reply   
Press conference this morning:

*FIVE CHINESE MILITARY OFFICERS CHARGED BY U.S. WITH ESPIONAGE
*JUSTICE DEPARTMENT SAYS CHINA HACKERS PENETRATE U.S. COMPANIES
*DOJ SAYS ESPIONAGE TARGETED WESTINGHOUSE ELECTRIC, U.S. STEEL, ALCOA, SOLARWORLD

Holder added that the "range of trade secrets and other senstivive business information stolen in this case is significant and demands an aggressive response."
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Just now at 6PM another presser:

Credit Suisse Admits Guilt In Aiding US Citizens Evade Taxes -

U.S. FILES CRIMINAL CASE AGAINST CREDIT SUISSE IN FEDERAL COURT
CREDIT SUISSE AGREES TO PLEAD GUILTY IN TAX CASE SAYS U.S
CREDIT SUISSE PLEA WOULD END THREE YEAR U.S. INVESTIGATION
U.S. ALLEGES CREDIT SUISSE AIDED U.S. CITIZENS IN TAX EVASION



Credit Suisse Set to Plead Guilty in Tax Evasion Case

Mtl JP 22:17 GMT May 19, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today

Game On ?

After Vietnam hissed, spit and scratched at China over its planting of an oil rig in allegedly Vietnamese waters, Chinese Military Said to Be Massing Near the Vietnam Border (+Photos)

sofar Gold, WTI, Brent and usdyen are relatively calm



GVI Forex john 21:32 GMT May 19, 2014
Chart Points -- Trading Points
Reply   
Basis Monday session ranges...




GVI Forex john 20:56 GMT May 19, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today

Weekly Trading Planner

TUESDAY 20 May 2014

U.K- Inflation (CPI, RPI & PPI) CPI expected to remain below the BOE's target. This will give the central bank leeway to continue its accommodative policies

WEDNESDAY 21 May 2014

Japan- Bank of Japan Meeting No policy changes are expected. More QE in the future?

U.K.- Retail Sales. One of the key measures of the strength of the economy.  
U.K.- BOE Meeting Minutes. This is where we get the first hard information about the BOE Meeting two weeks ago. The key thing to watch for is the amount of "slack" in the economy. Managing potential non-inflationary growth has become a key BOE policy objective.

Eurozone- Consumer Confidence not a market mover, but  a useful sentiment barometer.

Cambridge Joe 20:27 GMT May 19, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today

usdjpy softer here for an hour or two. IMO. GL

GVIForex Jay Meisler 20:23 GMT May 19, 2014
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5th consecutive close within 1.3700-10

GVI Forex Blog 20:14 GMT May 19, 2014
AUD and NZD
Reply   
Strange mix of moves last night. Early equity market losses and core bond market gains reversed mid session so that we close with equities and yields smalls higher.

Australia & NZ Morning Thoughts

GVI Forex john 19:50 GMT May 19, 2014
Chart Points - Free FX Database
Reply   

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

GVI Forex john 19:25 GMT May 19, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today

U.S. 10-yr last 2.54% +2bp. Equities holding mildly positive.

dc CB 19:21 GMT May 19, 2014
the men had “targeted the U.S. private sector for commercial advantage.”
Reply   
The authorities said that the five men had worked at a 12-story white office tower on a Chinese Army base on the outskirts of Shanghai that was identified in a report last year as a source for many attacks on the American government and corporations.

U.S. Charges Chinese Army Personnel With Cyberspying

GVI Forex john 19:06 GMT May 19, 2014
Chart Points -- Trading Points
Reply   
Pre-Closing Trading Points...
many more chart points
About Moving Averages
About Bollinger Bands


GVI Forex Blog 18:53 GMT May 19, 2014
Market Flips from Risk off to Risk on. Key U.K. Data All Week.
Reply   
HIGH IMPACT NEWS ITEMS: JP- Trade, Lead Indicators, GB- CPI, RPI & PPI

Trading has been trying to turn back to the more traditional market influences, but potential political unrest is an ever-present risk with Russia and its neighbors and with China and nearby countries.

Market Flips from Risk off to Risk on. Key U.K. Data All Week.

GVIForex Jay Meisler 17:37 GMT May 19, 2014
9 Trading Strategies to Use in a Low Volatility Market
Reply   
This article is worth reading for the current low volatility market.

9 Trading Strategies to Use in a Low Volatility Market

GVIForex Jay Meisler 17:25 GMT May 19, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today

One of those Mondays. Seems like Tues-Thurs is when the market gets in gear. In any case, these are times to stay alert.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 16:25 GMT May 19, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today

EURUD current bid 1,3711

it has closed at 1.3700-10 for 4 days in a row

SaaR KaL 15:25 GMT May 19, 2014
Day's Trades

GBPAUD
still short and adding
short range 1.8043 1.8000

tgt
1.7842

GVI Forex john 15:22 GMT May 19, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map



  • As the U.S. morning wore on markets have been moving away from a broad risk-off" position to a more neutral posture.
  • Prime fixed income markets have turned mixed after they had   fallen modestly as shares were weaker. Prices on bonds on the periphery of the Eurozone are mostly higher (yields are lower).
  • Equities have turned mixed. European equities are closing off their lows.  Far East markets closed down. U.S. equities are trading mixed.
  • The U.S. 10-yr is 2.50%, -2bp.

    The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflect yields. This aligns all the colors in the chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off (red)

GVI Forex Blog 15:14 GMT May 19, 2014
Global Markets News
Reply   
Geopolitical developments continue to haunt global markets. In Libya, a renegade general sent his troops to storm parliament and suspend its work, claiming Islamist politicians had gained too much power in the body. The government is gathering Islamist-leaning militias in Tripoli, setting the stage for possible civil war. Meanwhile in Ukraine

TradeTheNews.com US Market Update: Week Opens with Low-Volume, Low-Energy Trading

Paris ib 15:06 GMT May 19, 2014
Geopolitics
Reply   
The U.S. geopolitics strategy doesn't seem to be working

- ​Russia and China are set to sign a 30-year gas contract.
- And the "liberation" of Libya is coming unravelled.

"A Libyan air force base in the eastern city of Tobruk on Monday joined the forces of a general who had stormed the Libyan parliament to demand its suspension."

For now the USD is holding but the outlook is poor.

Gazprom and China

SaaR KaL 14:55 GMT May 19, 2014
Day's Trades

Oil
Next day Buy
Below 101.20
till 101
might want 103 as tgt

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:49 GMT May 19, 2014
Put This on Your Trading Checklist

EURUSD: Nice setup that did not follow through as stops negated by sellers above 1.3730.

As I suggested, read the article posted in this thread (click on the subject to get the link)

Cambridge Joe 14:47 GMT May 19, 2014
Day's Trades

Make you right Kal.

15:30 Oil longs need to be lucky and have deep pockets..... it's pent up IMO !

Paris ib 14:39 GMT May 19, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today

What I'm wondering is what this massive beat up will lead to. So they get the market all revved up for the next ECB meeting. And then it happens, at best as expected, at worst less exciting. What then? Do they really want us to keep believing that Central Banks can pull a rabbit out of their hats over and over and over? The fall out from this could be ugly. I wish they would all just shut up. I think all this talk is hugely irresponsible.

SaaR KaL 14:29 GMT May 19, 2014
Day's Trades

IMO
We are inside a turning times
Gets tough here

GVI Forex 14:12 GMT May 19, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today

The ECB's Mersch just said the probability of June ECB action has risen considerably.

I'm wondering if this is a "planted" piece of forward guidance for the markets?

GVI Forex Blog 13:53 GMT May 19, 2014 Reply   
May 19, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, May 20. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: JP- Trade, Lead Indicators, GB- CPI, RPI, PPI.

GVI Forex Data Outlook for May 20, 2014

GVI Forex john 13:50 GMT May 19, 2014
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data
Reply   


May 19, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, May 20. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: JP- Trade, Lead Indicators, GB- CPI, RPI, PPI.

  • Far East: JP- Trade, Leading Indriversdicators.
  • Europe: GB- CPI, RPI, PPI.
  • North America: US- API.


Cambridge Joe 13:45 GMT May 19, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map

If you want to long SnP, I'd do it from lower. An opportunity to do so will occur soon. IMO. !

GVI Forex john 13:36 GMT May 19, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map

U.S. shares off their earlier pre-open lows. Attempting to recover?

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:34 GMT May 19, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today

EURUSD

Stops or offers still around 1.3830-33?

Once again tested 1.3825-35 - 5th time - and 2nd day so far not reaching 1.3830.

GVI Forex john 13:33 GMT May 19, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map

10-yr 2.052% -2bp.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:22 GMT May 19, 2014
Put This on Your Trading Checklist
Reply   
For those who have not read this article, I suggest doing so on a day like today.

Have you ever been long a currency in what looked like a good setup only to see the bottom drop out of nowhere? Have you ever been short a currency that setup nicely to the downside only to see it suddenly reverse to the upside? There is a term to describe this that I have added to my daily checklist that I reveal in the following article....

Put This on Your Trading Checklist

nw kw 12:52 GMT May 19, 2014
Day's Trades

long eur/gbp 50

nw kw 12:50 GMT May 19, 2014
Day's Trades

london red 08:41 GMT 05/19/2014
eurgbp lt [email protected], 10 [email protected], st [email protected], 20 [email protected]
anything above 10 day likely to see some sharp short covering, but 20 day should cap any intraday move with a return to/under 10 day possible by close.
10 week(8230) and 20 week(8247) should cap any multiday rally if materialises.

RED MAN TKS got out ++++at least you care

nw kw 12:43 GMT May 19, 2014
Learn About Binary Options + a Bonus

200% bonus Fars get of the pot --100=120

Cambridge Joe 12:26 GMT May 19, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today

Cable sells here. IMO. GL

GVI Forex Blog 12:04 GMT May 19, 2014
Learn About Binary Options + a Bonus
Reply   
Binary options trading academy + 200% bonus

Learn About Binary Options + a Bonus

Cambridge Joe 12:02 GMT May 19, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today

I have Oil softer into NY and beyond.

Also , I do hope so... !

GVI Forex john 11:45 GMT May 19, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today

It should not be shocking that the EURUSD pivot point for today i3 1.3703. Its 20-day average looks to be out of range at 1.3812. EURUSD bulls have have a lot of work to do to get any momentum support for the long side of the market.

In the USDJPY, we are seeing divergence with the S&P which has turned higher. It could be giving the USDJPY a lift right now. Its pivot is 101.51, above its daily pivot the tone of USDJPY should improve? Otherwise the 20-day average at 102.11 is distant.

This looks to be shaping up as a risk-off session, but that could change after U.S. markets open today. U.S. equity markets usually do not like to follow trends that start overseas.

Any thoughts?

GVI Forex john 11:31 GMT May 19, 2014
Chart Points -- Trading Points
Reply   
Basis previous session ranges...





GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:27 GMT May 19, 2014
Share Your Trading Ideas for Today

EURUSD

1.3715 = 5 day mva

Last 4 closes have been between 1.3700-10

Cambridge Joe 10:54 GMT May 19, 2014
USDX
Reply   
usdx firming about here for the next several hours. IMO. GL

SaaR KaL 10:16 GMT May 19, 2014
Day's Trades

if you long cable around here
Watch a Movie called..."The Darwin awards"
It will help

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 10:12 GMT May 19, 2014
USDJPY

Below the 200 day mva (101.24) for first time since early Nov. USDJPY 100.75 is key support that needs to be defended to prevent risk shifting to 100.00

Pressure could be coming from unwinding of JOY vs. peripheral bond carry trades

GVI Forex Blog 10:10 GMT May 19, 2014
Global Markets News
Reply   
The USD/JPY pair tested a pivotal area between 101.20-30 area in the session seen as pivotal 4-month support line and near the 200-day moving average

TradeTheNews.com EU Market Update: AstraZeneca rejects 'Final' offer by Pfizer; ECB bond buying back under focus

SaaR KaL 09:42 GMT May 19, 2014
Day's Trades

cable is forked from now on
wont do too much north
Let him have it guys

SaaR KaL 09:38 GMT May 19, 2014
Day's Trades

ok...will long USDJPY
for the day till 101.00
tgt tops 101.8

Cambridge Joe 09:36 GMT May 19, 2014
SnP
Reply   
SnP firming here IMO. GL

GVI Forex Blog 09:29 GMT May 19, 2014
No Major Data Releases. Focus on Stocks and Bonds
Reply   
HIGH IMPACT NEWS ITEMS: CA: Holiday

For the moment, the focus is back on more traditional market influences. The most basic influence in forex is capital flows, and they are usually driven by interest rate and investment activities. The dominant theme very recently in the markets has been the price correction in equity markets led by the fall in U.S. prices. It is axiomatic that falling share values can lead to rising bond prices. Higher bond prices result in lower interest rates. This is precisely what has been happening.

No Major Data Releases. Focus on Stocks and Bonds

SaaR KaL 09:29 GMT May 19, 2014
Day's Trades

xptusd
Long below 1460
till 1440...
nice rally north comin up IMO
Might see 1500 Mid week

GVI Forex john 09:21 GMT May 19, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map
Reply   


  • Markets are off to a typically cautious Monday start..
  • Prime fixed income markets have seen yields fall modestly as shares weaken. Prices on bonds on the periphery of the Eurozone are generally higher (yields are lower).
  • Equities are performing poorly. European equities are broadly  lower.  Far East markets closed down. U.S. S&P futures are weaker.
  • The U.S. 10-yr is 2.51%, -1bp.

    The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflect yields. This aligns all the colors in the chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off (red)

SaaR KaL 09:08 GMT May 19, 2014
Day's Trades

CHFJPY SHorts
above 113.6 to 113.9
is not much of a problem IMO

SaaR KaL 08:54 GMT May 19, 2014
USDJPY

red
USDJPY with me sort of flat
buying below 101.4 seems fine
more like 2:30 AM trend
don think will go lower then 101.00 for next few days

SaaR KaL 08:51 GMT May 19, 2014
Day's Trades

AUDCHF
Recommended Long
Lower then 0.8339
Longing down to .8300 with dips

london red 08:50 GMT May 19, 2014
USDJPY

just a hunch but no follow thru on downside so what of bear squeeze to 101.80/102.20 before break to downside?

GVI Forex 08:47 GMT May 19, 2014
USDJPY
Reply   
Held a first test of 200 day mva (101.24)

london red 08:41 GMT May 19, 2014
Day's Trades

eurgbp lt [email protected], 10 [email protected], st [email protected], 20 [email protected]
anything above 10 day likely to see some sharp short covering, but 20 day should cap any intraday move with a return to/under 10 day possible by close.
10 week(8230) and 20 week(8247) should cap any multiday rally if materialises.

Tallinn viies 08:38 GMT May 19, 2014
eurusd
Reply   
this week euro most likely will not be able to move over 1,3770/75. selling euros with stop at 1,3805. should work.
downside target 1,3620/30 first and next at 1,3575.

SaaR KaL 08:07 GMT May 19, 2014
Day's Trades

Long NZDUSD
Below 0.8650

Shorts GBPJPY above 169.9

SaaR KaL 07:54 GMT May 19, 2014
Day's Trades

Out of Gold and Silver Longs here
Longing later

Hong Kong AceTrader 07:11 GMT May 19, 2014
AceTrader May 19:Weekly Outlook on Asian Exotic USD/IDR
Reply   
WEEKLY USD/IDR OUTLOOK - 11360

19 May 2014 04:25GMT

Last week's sharp sell off signals recovery from
Mar's low at 11255 has ended at 11655 (Apr) and MT
fall should resume for weakness to 11255 later.

Sell on recovery with stop as indicated, break
signal temp. top made and risk gain to 11520.


STRATEGY : Sell at 11400

OBJECTIVE : 11260

STOP-LOSS : 11470

RES : 11465/11520/11655

SUP : 11300/11255/11100

nw kw 06:56 GMT May 19, 2014
Day's Trades

tks man .8160 is good help I see it now

SaaR KaL 06:48 GMT May 19, 2014
Day's Trades

KW
Hi... Fine Long below 0.8160 for today
I think want to change its mind next day above 0.8170 area
Most likely into late Tues

nw kw 06:30 GMT May 19, 2014
Day's Trades

in long eur/gbp do you see resistance day trade

SaaR KaL 06:19 GMT May 19, 2014
Day's Trades
Reply   
EURJPY shorts above 138.9
USDCHF Longs below 0.8920

EURUSD Shorts above 1.3680
cable shorts above 1.6780

GVI Forex Blog 05:32 GMT May 19, 2014 Reply   
- (CN) CHINA APR NEW HOME PRICES M/M: PRICES RISE IN 44 OF 70 CITIES V 56 PRIOR; Y/Y: PRICES RISE IN 69 OF 70 CITIES V 69 PRIOR - (JP) JAPAN MAR MACHINE ORDERS M/M: 19.1% V 5.8%E (4-year high); Y/Y: 1

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: China property sector prices slow further; Merger Monday sees announcements on DirecTV/AT&T and AstraZeneca/Pfizer - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Blog 03:30 GMT May 19, 2014 Reply   
There are more questions than firm answers right now in the global markets

Morning Briefing : 19-May-2014 -0330 GMT

Hong Kong AceTrader 01:22 GMT May 19, 2014
AceTrader May 19: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views EUR/USD USD/JPY
Reply   
Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views

19 May 2014 01:06GMT

EUR/USD - 1.3701
A piece of important w/end news worth noting. Reuters, together with our media reported ECB Executive Board member Peter Praet will recommend that the bank cut its main refinancing rate to a record low 0.15 percent from 0.25 percent at its policy meeting on Jun 5, according to the German magazine Der Spiegel.

Praet is also expected to recommend the introduction of a negative rate on bank deposits for the first time, Der Spiegel reported on Sun, without citing a source.

USD/JPY - 101.55
Japanese gov't. official says : machinery orders rise at fastest pace since comparable data available fm fiscal year 2005.
Japan's Mar monthly & year-on-year machinery order surged to 19.1% n 16.1% respectively, way abv market consensus of 6.0% & 4.2% respectively, however, dlr has shown muted reaction to the data.

The ECB declined to comment. Last week Reuters reported that the ECB was preparing a package of policy options for its June meeting, including cuts in all interest rates.

Five people familiar with the measures being prepared described plans involving a potential rate cut, including the ECB's deposit rate going negative for the first time, along with measures targeting small n mid-size companies.

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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