syd sf 23:01 GMT June 9, 2014
Bot Report
can't speak for every bot - but in essence they are all built basically the same and optimized for the various sessions during the global day.
depends whether they are leveraged/range or breakout as to how they trade.
not much more I can say on this - some are very effective / some have their ups and downs and any that get out of step are retested/optimized and started up again.
I'm out most of the day today - will get back to you later .. all the best.
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 22:57 GMT June 9, 2014
Bot Report
10 AM Sydney = 00:00 GMT
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 22:37 GMT June 9, 2014
Bot Report
sf, is that your bot talking or some other bots? If you have time email me as I have a few questions on this. TIA
Mtl JP 21:26 GMT June 9, 2014
AUD and NZD
GVI Forex Blog 20:36 / odds are the FED trumpets are trying to set up players for a plucking with their "...may raise rates earlier than..."
syd sf 21:16 GMT June 9, 2014
Bot Report
Reply
Leveraged Bots sell Eur n Gbp
they are looking for eur 85/95 gbp 90/02 till 10 am sydney
breakout bots sell target 1.3515 and 1.6745
range bots are silent at this time.
gbpcad eurcad - they bought earlier and took small profits when some of the other bots starting selling . doesn't look to be any more trades coming in the next 3 hours.
GVI Forex Blog 20:36 GMT June 9, 2014
AUD and NZD
Reply
The US dollar and US interest rates firmed, amid comments from Fed dove Bullard that hikes may start even earlier than March 2015 if the jobless rate continues to fall and GDP grows 3%. A Eurozone investor confidence survey fell sharply, and may have contributed to the weaker EUR. US equities made fresh record highs but retreated, the S&P500 currently unchanged.
Australia & NZ Morning Thoughts
GVI Forex john 20:28 GMT June 9, 2014
Weekly Trading Planner
Reply
TRADING PLANNER
�
TUESDAY 10 June 2014
- China - CPI always closely
watched
- GB- Ind/Mfg Output- Key
Production measures�
- United States- Wholesale Inventories- impacts GDP calculation
- United States- 3-yr Auction
WEDNESDAY 11 June 2014
- GB- Employment- measures
mfg activity
- United States- 10-yr Auction- confidence measure
THURSDAY 12 June 2014
- Australia- Employment- Key
growth measure
- United States- Weekly
Jobs- Employment stat
- United States- Retail Sales- Consumer is king
FRIDAY 13 June 2014
- Japan- BOJ - No rate
change
- United States- PPI-� Part of the picture
- United States- Univ of Mich Survey prelim-� Key data
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 20:23 GMT June 9, 2014
Agree or Disagree? EURUSD
Well we have Zeus targeting 1.2777 on the bottom so would someone like to suggest where the top is.
As per my video, I stay bearish as long as it stays below 1.3688, which worked out nicely today.
We will get a better feel tomorrow when Europe returns from its long weekend,
FWIW, eurusd traded essentially within 1.3585-95 (tighter most of the time) for the past 7+ hours, which is just about he whole US session.
Ranges were similarly tight like this in other pair.
dc CB 19:50 GMT June 9, 2014
Trade Should Return to Normal on Tuesday. Quiet Calendar Week
via ZH: The Bull's Prayer
"Our Fed
Who art in Manhattan
Yellen be thy name
Thy QE come
Thy print be done
By Ben as it is with Janet
Give us this day our daily 1.5 billion
And forgive us our savings
As we drown with the debtors
And lead us not into deflation
But deliver us from volatility"
Amen
USA ZEUS 17:26 GMT June 9, 2014
EUR/USD This is the top
Update-
USA ZEUS 18:40 GMT March 13, 2014
EUR/USD This is the top: Reply
Will use this post with posted chart as the basis for the remainder of 2014.
USA ZEUS 09:59 GMT March 13, 2014
_______________________________________________________
1.2777 is on the horizon.
Cheers!
Mtl JP 15:54 GMT June 9, 2014
Day's Trades
euro sitting just at 1.3586-ish.. recent support
early enthusiasts ready to jump on on break down
GVI Forex john 15:49 GMT June 9, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map
Risk on-off Heat Map coming back into play? plenty of green where it matters Yields are rising along with shares. Trade is not enthusiastic? Red in yields is in the periphery of Europe where we are seeing a convergence of interest rates within the EZ as the ECB desires...
Thoughts? This whole financial picture has to fit together and make sense. It impacts Forex
london red 15:13 GMT June 9, 2014
Agree or Disagree? USDJPY
Monthly s&p bar showing either 1970/80 or return to 1900 by end of month. Last part of any rally is usually the most painful for shorts. Difficult to pinpoint a top but retracement theory suggests the odds are good for a return for 1910/1900.
GVI Forex john 15:13 GMT June 9, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map
- Yields in European fixed income
markets have continued to converge with German yields up slightly while
yields on the periphery continue to fall sharply in the wake of
the targeted ECB policy ease last week.
- U.K. yields are higher from the open along with The
U.S.. Many Continental centers were closed for Whit Monday,
but electronic trade for some was open. The U.S. 10-yr is 2.63% +3bp.
- Equities closed broadly higher in the
Far East earlier. Bourses in Europe are mixed. U.S. equities
are modestly higher.
The heat map color scheme
of interest rates reflects yields. This aligns all the colors in the
chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off(red).
SaaR KaL 14:59 GMT June 9, 2014
Day's Trades
GBPJPY this month 172.32 168.86
got the hourly turning
I doubt will go above
172.90
EURJPY got 139.77 136.78 for the month
With turning Hourly
139.94 139.20
for today
these 2 pair will make a show this month
SaaR KaL 14:41 GMT June 9, 2014
Agree or Disagree? USDJPY
IMO
USDJPY range 102.95 100.89 is reasonable for a month
for today
102.69 102.35
Might change trends into the week
GVI Forex john 14:33 GMT June 9, 2014
Agree or Disagree? USDJPY
nh- I don't fully grasp why, but I see the same divergence in the longer term charts, but the two on an intra-day basis SEEM always to trade in lock-step.
Isn't the long-term just all the short-terms run together?
Don't worry i'll figure it out lol!
Livingston nh 14:09 GMT June 9, 2014
Agree or Disagree? USDJPY
John - some concern about USD/JPY action recently and YTD chart shows divergence -- if yen is leading SPX in for trouble
GVI Forex Blog 14:05 GMT June 9, 2014
Reply
June 9, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, June 10. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar
HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: CN- CPI, GB- Industrial/Manufacturing Output, 3-yr Auction
GVI Forex Data Outlook for May 10, 2014
SaaR KaL 13:58 GMT June 9, 2014
Day's Trades
GBPAUD ready to fly to 1.8330 area IMO
picking longs with dips
GVI Forex john 13:58 GMT June 9, 2014
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data
Reply
June 9, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, June 10.
Updated: Trading News Events Calendar
HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: CN- CPI, GB- Industrial & Manufacturing Output, 3-yr
Auction
- Far East: CN- CPI.
- Europe: GB- Industrial/Manufacturing Output.
- North America: US- Wholesale Inventories. 3-yr Auction, API Energy.
GVI Forex john 13:46 GMT June 9, 2014
Agree or Disagree? USDJPY
Reply
S&P futures spiking higher on the back of the trade higher in USDJPY. USD broadly higher with EURUSD softening.
Amman wfakhoury 13:26 GMT June 9, 2014
EURUSD 80 pips move
Reply
Amman wfakhoury 14:50 GMT June 6, 2014
EURUSD 80pips move: Reply
Amman wfakhoury 10:03 GMT 06/06/2014
13608 confirmed and any rise above 13531 will return to it iso 13653.
_______________________________________
Returned to 13631 after it rose till 13675.
The close of 1 hr bar below 13631 will take us to 13580 area.
______________________
into 13580 area
The only one in the world who confirms the next level
Mtl JP 13:18 GMT June 9, 2014
Day's Trades
euro would need to break down thru the 1.3586-ish first
SaaR KaL 13:13 GMT June 9, 2014
Day's Trades
Reply
EURUSD turning for sure
seems that 1.3340 on the way
cable ...same thing
Mtl JP 13:05 GMT June 9, 2014
GBP
but 2.25% might be a good trading opp level
Mtl JP 13:04 GMT June 9, 2014
GBP
2.25% ? could be if the "officials" decide to correct enthusiasts from trying to push up and above 2.65%
Livingston nh 12:59 GMT June 9, 2014
GBP
JP - should be an interesting Battle of the Bonds - some flows seeking capital gain into EU bonds while others seeking yield move into US, UK, Australia // saw some guy this AM suggesting a move to 2.25% on 10 yr -- spit my coffee// USD/MXN coming off the bottom on surprise cut you noted
US Consumer credit (APR) jumped on Friday -- if banks start to move money rates rise -- treasuries react to CPI // stretching for yield in US (rate risk) and Cap gains search in EU (currency risk) == perfect together
Meanwhile, volatility =godot
Mtl JP 12:40 GMT June 9, 2014
GBP
Reply
(1.6803) currently sitting abouve its 50ma at 1.6796
technically has an UP bias
-
Livingston nh 11:25 gut says there is some market stirring about Lew's 10-yr paper pricing
London Chris 12:31 GMT June 9, 2014
Agree or Disagree? EURUSD
Is it time for the euro bulls to see the light and switch your hats?
See how e/y bounced off 140. That was your first clue.
Livingston nh 11:25 GMT June 9, 2014
Global Markets News
I hope Friday afternoon wasn't the new standard for volatility in all markets - Summer is usually tough absent crisis
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:24 GMT June 9, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map
John shows Spanish yields on par with US yields -- could be weighing on the EUR (weak vs. all pairs)
Brock Thor 09:50 GMT June 9, 2014
GBP/JPY
GBPJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:
CLOSED
All open positions.
Took profit.
Hong Kong AceTrader 09:32 GMT June 9, 2014
AceTrader Jun 9: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views on EUR/USD
Reply
Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
09 Jun 2014 08:24GMT
EUR/USD - 1.3643 ... Despite euro's brief bounce to 1.3669 at European opening, renewed selling below last Fri's peak at 1.3677 (reaction high after U.S. NFP) knocked price lower again. Offers are now noted at 1.3660-70 with stops only seen above 1.3680.
On the downside, some bids are located at 1.3630-20 with some stops seen below 1.3620.
GVI Forex john 09:04 GMT June 9, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map
Reply
- Yields in European fixed income
markets continue� to converge with German yields about steady
while yields on the periphery continue to fall sharply in the wake of
the targeted ECB policy ease last week.� U.K. yields are up
modestly. Mony Continental centers are closed for the Whit MOnday
holiday today, but electronic trade for some is open.
- The U,S. 10-yr is 2.60% 0bp. ..
- Equities closed broadly higher in the
Far East earlier. Bourses in Europe are mostly higher. U.S. equities
are slightly lower in
futures trade.
The heat map color scheme
of interest rates reflects yields. This aligns all the colors in the
chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off(red).
Mtl JP 08:59 GMT June 9, 2014
Further RRR Cuts Needed for Chinese Banks to Rise: Goldman
The Question is not about some Chinese banks rising.
Judging form headlines about Chinese officials trying to meddle, interfere and manipulate market again - but this time "battling" (haha) speculative credit excesses and financial fraud - allegedly so that the �real� (2nd haha) economy gets enough access to credit to ward off a collapse.
Screw the Rise of Chinese Banks. Screw Chinese Bonds. The sooner the better China goes thru a painful downside, but not as painful as a Collapse, the better. This just a Simple Bottom Line fact of features of the thermo-physical-kinetics of Bubbles: less available credit and higher borrowing costs make naked prior fraud, mendacity and the reality of bad "investments".
Chinese meddler and interference officials - and they are not alone in the world btw - face a choice: let the Bubble go phrrrrrtttt or see it eventually go bOOm.
Syd 05:32 GMT June 9, 2014
Further RRR Cuts Needed for Chinese Banks to Rise: Goldman
Reply
Goldman Sachs says further cuts in the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) is needed for Chinese bank shares to rise. "We see banks and corporates facing a conundrum of tighter credit and lower interbank/bill rates," it says. "Default risk from weak borrowers will likely increase in 2H14, although the impact could be partially offset by recent monetary loosening." Goldman estimates a further 50-75bps bill discount rate decline is required to offset the credit tightness from tighter loan and shadow banking credit underwriting standards. This suggests further RRR cuts or targeted RRR cuts in order to achieve this level of interbank loosening. It prefers large banks because of their low leverage but is cautious on mid-cap banks due to their rapidly increasing gearing and above-average property exposure.
Syd 05:23 GMT June 9, 2014
NZD/USD Grinding Higher Ahead of Upcoming Rate Decision -
Reply
The NZD/USD is grinding higher ahead of Thursday's central bank rate decision. "People who have shorted it over the last two months are not willing to go in with a short-kiwi position," says Westpac Bank Senior Strategist Imre Speizer. "Any downgrade to the official cash rate track is likely to be very modest and given that the market has priced in more than modest, the Kiwi will rise," he adds. He expects similar trading "right into Thursday." The pair is at 0.8512; Speizer says it has support at 0.8480 and resistance at 0.8550.
Syd 05:21 GMT June 9, 2014
NZ Central Bank To Raise Rates by 25 bps Thursday Says BNZ -- Market Talk
Reply
New Zealand's central bank will increase interest rates by 25 basis points to 3.25% on Thursday "while keeping the door open to a July hike," says BNZ Economist Craig Ebert. He notes that some economic data of late has "looked a bit slower" but "we don't believe the general data tone has provided cause for the RBNZ to alter the big picture it appears fixed upon." Given that, he expects the bank to maintain a 90-day bank bill rate track which suggests a 5.0% peak in the cash rate. However, he also expects the central bank to "signal aggressively" that the path of future rate increases will be heavily dependent on the data and--even more importantly--the path of the NZD.
Hong Kong AceTrader 02:20 GMT June 9, 2014
AceTrader Jun 9: Intra-Day Market Moving News & Views & data to be released today
Reply
Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
09 Jun 2014 01:41GMT
USD/JPY - 102.54 ... Despite last Fri's brief but strong retreat to 102.12 after the release of U.S. non-farm payrolls data, the greenback subsequently rebounded to 102.61 and then extended marginal gain to 102.65 in Asian morning today b4 retreating. Bids are now located at 102.45-40 and more buying interest is noted at 102.30-25 with stops only seen below 102.10. On the upside, some offers are tipped at 102.65 and 102.75-80 with stops are reported above 102.80 and 103.00.
On the data front, Japan's gross domestic product (GDP) grew an annualized 6.7% in the first three months of the year, faster than economists' forecast of 5.6% n a preliminary 5.9%. Besides, Japan reported a narrower current account surplus, 187.4 billion yen versus economists' forecast of 322.5 billion yen.
Data to be released next week:
Japan GDP revised, consumer confidence index, economy watch, euro zone Sentix index, Canada house starts. Market in Germany, France and Switzerland will be closed on Monday.
Australia NAB business confidence, NAB business conditions, invest housing finance, housing finance finance, China PPI, CPI, unemployment rate, retail sales, France industrial output, Italy industrial output, GDP, U.K. industrial output, manufacturing output, U.S. wholesale inventories, wholesale sales on Tuesday.
Australia consumer sentiment, U.K. average earnings, claimant count unemployment change, ILO unemployment rate, U.S. Federal budget on Wednesday.
Japan machinery orders, U.K. RICS housing survey, Australia unemployment rate, employment, France CPI, current account, euro zone industrial production. U.S. retail sales, export prices, import prices, business inventories, Canada new housing price index, capacity utilization on Thursday.
Japan capacity utilization, industrial output, France non-farm payroll, China retail sales, Germany CPI, HICP, Italy CPI, euro zone employment, Canada manufacturing sales, U.S. University of Michigan sentiment on Friday
Brock Thor 00:44 GMT June 9, 2014
GBP/JPY
GBPJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:
Thanks kw
Points taken.
Japan 'GDP revisedQQ 'out June 8th per Rueters.
Price above 21ema and 25 SMA 1hr chart.
Good US jobs report gives lower Sentimant overall to jpy.
Per DowJones.
If price crosses 21 ema I may re-evaluate.
HK RF@ 00:20 GMT June 9, 2014
AUDUSD
When good news are not making good anymore: The bride is beautiful, but with financial, or structural problems. MUTE!!!
nw kw 00:20 GMT June 9, 2014
GBP/JPY
Yen Crosses at the Crossroads - USD/JPY, AUD/JPY, GBP/JPY - 06/08/2014
Market participants should keep a close eye on key developments for the Japanese yen as the index has shown a breakout from its descending triangle, which is apparent on the daily chart. At the same time, the index is supported by a rising trend line that has been intact since the start of February. In the midst of this analysis pointing to upside gains, also adding conviction is the fact that there is bullish momentum divergence that has been developing since the start of the year.
All in all, forex traders looking for opportunities this upcoming week and thereafter may want to monitor yen crosses (USD/JPY, GBP/JPY, AUD/JPY, NZD/JPY, etc) as yen futures signal gains in the medium to near long term; therefore indicative of losses of the pairs mentioned above.
Brock Thor 00:14 GMT June 9, 2014
GBP/JPY
Reply
Long this pair +95,+82, +61 pips on three compounded trades.
Moved SL up to 171.589.
May add more watching price action.
Take profit is 179x2 And 184.
Or on a consolidation or if there is bad fundamentals out of
GB.
We are starting an affiliate program to market some of our products.