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Forex Forum Archive for 06/13/2014

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GVI Forex john 23:00 GMT June 13, 2014
Commitment of Traders Report

Lastly, crude oil looked like it was ready to pop even before the Iraq news hit.





GVI Forex john 21:46 GMT June 13, 2014
Commitment of Traders Report

AUDUSD taking off as well...








GVI Forex john 21:40 GMT June 13, 2014
Commitment of Traders Report

We turned bullish the GBP even BEFORE Caney's comments late Thursday...





GVI Forex john 21:33 GMT June 13, 2014
Commitment of Traders Report

Beautiful chart how Spot aligns with net positions. Market flipping short EURUSD.




GVI Forex john 20:10 GMT June 13, 2014
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data
Reply   

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

GVI Forex john 20:00 GMT June 13, 2014
Iraq

Twitter rumor being denied by PM's office.

GVI Forex 19:47 GMT June 13, 2014
Iraq
Reply   
twitter saying Iraqi PM's helicopter has been shot down and he has been killed - all rumors no credible sources yet

take with a grain of salt!

london red 19:05 GMT June 13, 2014
Day's Trades

Kaal, eurgbp will trade in this weeks range to some extent as all pairs must unless in breakout mode. can go to 8006/8035 initially then down again unless uk data disappoints. essentially we can go to 8100 and not do real damage so there is scope for retracement but it would need some kind of catalyst to go that far. i would like to see it run towards 7900 monday tuesday for a long otherwise look to sell retracement 8035.
john, first increase priced in nov/december hence v high bar for future data releases. most data will be strong but some which have external influences will disappoint giving plenty opportunity on long and short side.

Livingston nh 19:04 GMT June 13, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map

John - now we see if markets can hold their nerve into the close --- Yen, Stox and 10 yr got no firm info from Pres // test for SPX is yesterday's low

GVI Forex john 18:12 GMT June 13, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map

10-yr now 2.590% +1bp

SaaR KaL 16:51 GMT June 13, 2014
Day's Trades

Red
YOu Buying EURGBP Lower then 0.7970 area?
Seems want to correct to above 0.81 next week

GVI Forex john 16:37 GMT June 13, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map

Chatter is +25bp BOE by yearend. Note FTSE closed the day lower. GBP bullish

July 2015 Fed Funds futures now show 104% odds of a +25BP Fed rate hike by that time. that is 100% on +25bp and 4% odds of a second 25bp increase. FOMC meets on Wednesday. USD bullish.

GVI Forex john 16:29 GMT June 13, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map


  • Markets remain in a risk-off posture on trader fears of the implications of a possible disintegration of Iraq. U.S. data due  Friday are not major.
  • Yields in prime Eurozone fixed income markets are mostly lower on a flight to safety, while yields on the periphery are higher.
  • U.K. yields have risen following comments by BOE Governor Carney sending a message that interest rates could rise earlier than generally expected. this amounts to a change in policy. Some see a +25bp rate hike by yearend  U.S. yields are up from their flight to safety lows late Thursday. The U.S. 10-yr is 2.61%, +. bp.
  • Equities closed mostly higher in the Far East earlier. Bourses in Europe are ending lower. U.S. shares are up.

    The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields. This aligns all the colors in the chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off(red).


GVI Forex Blog 16:26 GMT June 13, 2014
Week Ahead
Reply   
•Iraq tensions push oil prices to nine-month high

•Carney signals possible early rate hike

•MPC minutes and US FOMC meeting keep the focus on monetary policy

ECONOMIC DATA ANALYSIS - CARNEY IGNITES UK RATE FEARS

Livingston nh 15:54 GMT June 13, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map

John - Pres Obama may introduce some new stress to the market in this presser --- political pressure, populist opposition and complicated regional alliances/enmities make this announcement a powder keg for all parties

Hk [email protected] 15:33 GMT June 13, 2014
Preliminary June 2014 University of Michigan Sentiment Index



Purchasing power of consumers is becoming less(worldwide).

Everyone wants to be more competitive than the other: So Japan, EZ, US, want weaker currency.

The solution: Currency war:)

GVI Forex john 15:19 GMT June 13, 2014
Preliminary June 2014 University of Michigan Sentiment Index

US. data continue to be so-so, I was expecting to see better data on a rebound from winter. One sector I watch closely is real estate. Its been lousy since last October. Wre get housing Starts and Permits next week. This seasonally is the best time of the year. To me, these data are as important as the FOMC on Wednesday.

GVI Forex john 15:13 GMT June 13, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map

10-yr 2.621% no signs of stress today?

london red 15:03 GMT June 13, 2014
Cable - Double Top risk

Livingston nh 13:17

dont shout so loud, that was going to be my trade next week into the fomc meet. a run thru 1.70 early next week (tuesday on cpi), short at 17030. have to fill in the previous week range and with fomc likely to be hawkish, you can see cable back to 16850.

GVI Forex Blog 14:42 GMT June 13, 2014 Reply   
June 13, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, June 16. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: Europe: EZ- HICP. US- Industrial Production

GVI Forex Data Outlook for May 16, 2014

GVI Forex john 14:40 GMT June 13, 2014
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data
Reply   


June 13, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, June 16. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: Europe: EZ- HICP. US- Industrial Production

  • Far East: No Major Data.
  • Europe: EZ- HICP.
  • North America: US- Empire PMI, TIC data, Industrial Production, NAHB Index.


GVI Forex john 14:08 GMT June 13, 2014
Preliminary June 2014 University of Michigan Sentiment Index

University of Michigan-Conference Board Sentiment. Preliminary May Michigan Survey much weaker than expected. Data subject to revision in about two weeks.




GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:19 GMT June 13, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map

Stocks edging into the green, less panic than seen yesterday but day is young. USDJPY seemed to lead stocks earlier and now following.

"50" levels pivotal in EURUSD and GBPUSD, 102 in USDJPY

Livingston nh 13:17 GMT June 13, 2014
Cable - Double Top risk
Reply   
If Cable stalls at this level the daily chart indicates a possible short term double top -- there have been 3 such since Cable began its rally last summer -- each of the 3 have been halted by support at the daily 89 ema

The low risk is that a Wkly double top similar to late 2012-early 2013 could develop -- the daily 89 ema and the LT wkly support at 21 wk sma (both avgs ~1.67) are critical

NY JM 13:09 GMT June 13, 2014
May 2014 U.S. PPI

RF, that is a stronger argument for letting the EUR drop.

GVI Forex john 13:02 GMT June 13, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map

10-yr 2.629% +2bp

flight to safety bid gone?

HK [email protected] 13:00 GMT June 13, 2014
May 2014 U.S. PPI



Probably the US can have inflation (some of it by letting it's currency drop), which will also improve the job numbers.

GVI Forex john 12:58 GMT June 13, 2014
May 2014 U.S. PPI

JM- Market rarely moves much on PPI Especially now that the number has been completely revamped to include services.

NY JM 12:36 GMT June 13, 2014
May 2014 U.S. PPI

Market barely blinked on the tepid PPI. Maybe because next month will get boosted by rising energy costs.

I get the feeling many have gone the way of sf and have retreated to a Friday bunker mentality.

GVI Forex john 12:31 GMT June 13, 2014
May 2014 U.S. PPI
Reply   



NEWS ALERT
Headline: -0.20% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. +0.50% (r. ) prev.
Core: -0.1% vs. +0.10% exp. vs. +0.60% (r. ) prev.

RELEASE: Producer Price Index



TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

NY JM 11:44 GMT June 13, 2014
Agree or Disagree? EURUSD

Personally I do not see the love affair with the EURUSD. ECB wants it down but need the sovereigns to step aside.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:36 GMT June 13, 2014
Forex Trading Outlook for Friday the 13th 2014
Reply   

USD ZEUS 11:29 GMT June 13, 2014
Carney tips Fed's hand- Pro USD

USD ZEUS 07:25 GMT 06/13/2014
EUR/USD Rising wedge about to fail for a test lower.

Perfect

london red 11:24 GMT June 13, 2014
EURUSD in buy mood

expiries at 135 13525 but larger at 13550 and 136. barrier at 135 rumoured to be part of dnt 135/140.
falling euro could yet put cable in trouble. not wise to top pick while stops are being run but, long wick building on daily candle, if below 16920 then can fall quickly to 16880.
eurgbp 7964 target for some. below there 7905 for a multiday rally.

Amman wfakhoury 11:12 GMT June 13, 2014
EURUSD in buy mood
Reply   
kl shawn 10:57 GMT 06/13/2014
_____________________________
still in buy mood 13563 and 13584 will be reached.
Buy and add buy if decline.

SaaR KaL 11:09 GMT June 13, 2014
Day's Trades

GBPJPY
@ 69%

6/18/2014 173.3120 170.2844
6/23/2014 173.4179 169.5745
6/28/2014 174.0619 169.2677
7/3/2014 173.9691 168.0173

SaaR KaL 11:07 GMT June 13, 2014
Day's Trades

cable
go ahead and long it
risk it baby

@ 69%

6/18/2014 1.6930 1.6676
6/23/2014 1.6972 1.6666
6/28/2014 1.7003 1.6679
7/3/2014 1.7017 1.6680
7/8/2014 1.7015 1.6657

@ 84%

6/18/2014 1.7018 1.6593
6/23/2014 1.7086 1.6556
6/28/2014 1.7131 1.6557
7/3/2014 1.7153 1.6549
7/8/2014 1.7163 1.6514

SaaR KaL 11:00 GMT June 13, 2014
Day's Trades

NZDUSD
@ 69%

6/18/2014 0.8657 0.8411
6/23/2014 0.8618 0.8377
6/28/2014 0.8695 0.8406
7/3/2014 0.8773 0.8448
7/8/2014 0.8796 0.8430

@ 84%

6/18/2014 0.8746 0.8335
6/23/2014 0.8709 0.8298
6/28/2014 0.8811 0.8299
7/3/2014 0.8907 0.8322
7/8/2014 0.8951 0.8284
7/13/2014 0.9006 0.8263

@ 98%

6/18/2014 0.8924 0.8186
6/23/2014 0.8891 0.8143
6/28/2014 0.9041 0.8093
7/3/2014 0.9175 0.8081
7/8/2014 0.9261 0.8006
7/13/2014 0.9353 0.7954

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 10:58 GMT June 13, 2014
Agree or Disagree? EURUSD

As posted on GVIForex


Video Market Update

Defensive Friday the 13th expected. Key levels cited. Note the power of 1.3550

kl shawn 10:57 GMT June 13, 2014
euro
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury, euro 1.3584 and 1.3588 still coming today?

SaaR KaL 10:55 GMT June 13, 2014
Day's Trades
Reply   
EURUSD
whatever time frame
@ any parametric risk

Talk Market Psychology?
There you go!!

this is at 69% to your favor levels

6/18/2014 1.3639 1.3441
6/23/2014 1.3648 1.3422
6/28/2014 1.3727 1.3449
7/3/2014 1.3791 1.3474
7/8/2014 1.3819 1.3482
7/13/2014 1.3851 1.3490
@ 84%

6/18/2014 1.3713 1.3377
6/23/2014 1.3733 1.3343
6/28/2014 1.3839 1.3343
7/3/2014 1.3922 1.3346
7/8/2014 1.3959 1.3343
7/13/2014 1.4003 1.3340
7/18/2014 1.4061 1.3346
7/23/2014 1.4158 1.3348

@ 98%

6/18/2014 1.3860 1.3250
6/23/2014 1.3904 1.3187
6/28/2014 1.4062 1.3135
7/3/2014 1.4185 1.3098
7/8/2014 1.4241 1.3075
7/13/2014 1.4307 1.3051
7/18/2014 1.4391 1.3035
7/23/2014 1.4537 1.2994
7/28/2014 1.4629 1.2966

prague mark 10:43 GMT June 13, 2014
BUY GBP/USD
Reply   
Buy GBPUSD
Entry: 1.3964 Target: 1.4064 Stop: 1.3914

longed

GVI Forex john 10:33 GMT June 13, 2014
EURUSD in buy mood

Pre-weekend position squaring (short-covering) in EUR crosses?


GVI Forex john 10:28 GMT June 13, 2014
Agree or Disagree? USDJPY
Reply   
No correlation at this hour between the S&P and USDJPY. Earlier, the BOJ kept policy steady as expected but the BOJ governor DID jawbone the markets. He saw no reason for the JPY to strengthen against the EUR and warned that explicit European attempts to weaken EURJPY will not work.

BOJ efforts to jawbone the JPY in the past rarely have worked. The fact he felt the need to comment is interesting in itself.

GVI Forex Blog 10:16 GMT June 13, 2014
Global Markets News
Reply   
The GBP/USD was approaching the 1.70 handle following BoE's Carney hawkish message in his keynote Mansion House speech. GBP currency strength attributed that dealers now forecasted the first BOE rate hike in late 2014 vs. prior view of late Q1 2015. The 1.7050 level has been a pivotal trading point over the past eight years.

TradeTheNews.com EU Market Update: Dealers bring forward view of first BOE rate hike following Gov Carney's Mansion House speech

KL KL 09:48 GMT June 13, 2014
SELL gbpusd...Sell

he he ...getting out gbpusd short here 1.6968...

chased it to 1.69901......in bigger and bigger chunk....time to get off where I got on......LOL

Out 9/10...wait again near 1.7019.... no problem....calling it a day...time to rest....go Cameroon?.....go Aussie??

and hockey world cup.......no need to trade for a few days...mind is not right.... body is weak ..mind willing........LOL...g'nite...DFM...DYOR...imvho and gl gt....

Mtl JP 09:32 GMT June 13, 2014
Little by little, we are going insane
Reply   
re-affirming Einstein's def of insanity

Little by little, we went insane - .pdf

“Are we finished ? The answer is no.” - Mario Draghi

Amman wfakhoury 09:21 GMT June 13, 2014
EURJPY sell and SMS signals



clear chart

HK Dave 09:13 GMT June 13, 2014
EURJPY sell and SMS signals

1) Wrong chart posted
2) That's probably the bid and not the ask which people would have presumed when you mentioned your tp which in any case wasn't hit.

Nothing against your system, but I think some accuracy is in order here.

I rest my case.

Amman wfakhoury 09:11 GMT June 13, 2014
EURJPY sell and SMS signals



138184 reached on chart no argument.. ignore previous chart

Amman wfakhoury 09:08 GMT June 13, 2014
EURJPY sell and SMS signals



138184 on chart no argument

manila tom 09:03 GMT June 13, 2014
EURJPY sell and SMS signals

never argue with 'the only one in the world', he is always right no matter what

Amman wfakhoury 09:02 GMT June 13, 2014
EURJPY sell and SMS signals

138185 reached and buy SMS alert to take the profit and take buy .

GVI Forex Blog 09:01 GMT June 13, 2014
Iraq Remains a Worry. BOE Carney Warns About Rate Hikes. Risk Off into the Weekend
Reply   
HIGH IMPACT NEWS ITEMS: US- PPI, University of Michigan

Bank of England Governor Carney sent a clear message late Thursday that monetary policy could be tightened sooner than expected. Think of this as "forward guidance" to the markets and a part of monetary policy. Gillt yields have gotten the message and have increased, while the GBP is higher.

Iraq Remains a Worry. BOE Carney Warns About Rate Hikes. Risk Off into the Weekend

HK [email protected] 08:59 GMT June 13, 2014
EURJPY sell and SMS signals



Mr. Amman.

Your post: Amman wfakhoury 08:49 GMT 06/13/2014

Is not an FX prediction, but a self advertisement of your past texts, that only you knew about.

Not interesting anyone, let alone useless.

GL/GT

HK Dave 08:56 GMT June 13, 2014
EURJPY sell and SMS signals

C'mon EURJPY didn't hit 138.18. Lowest it got to was 138.20. Anybody who entered short would have been trapped when there was SAR or had their profits significantly reduced depending on when the person got out.

Amman wfakhoury 08:49 GMT June 13, 2014
EURJPY sell and SMS signals
Reply   
following SMS signals sent to eurjpy participants since morning
both excuted and reached
-EURJPY sell tp 13818 return 13836. 0718GMT
-EURJPY buy tp 13836 return 13818 0802 GMT

GVI Forex john 08:46 GMT June 13, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map
Reply   


  • Markets remain in a risk-off posture on trader fears of the implications  of a possible disintegration of Iraq. U.S. data due  Friday are not major.
  • Yields in prime Eurozone fixed income markets are mostly lower on a flight to safety, while yields on the periphery are higher.
  • U.K. yields have risen following comments late Thursday by BOE Governor Carney sending a message that interest rates could rise earlier than generally expected. this amounts to a changer in policy.  U.S. yields are up from their flight to safety lows late Thursday. The U.S. 10-yr is 2.60%, +2 bp.
  • Equities closed mostly higher in the Far East earlier. Bourses in Europe are trading lower. U.S. share futures are up.

    The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields. This aligns all the colors in the chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off(red).


Amman wfakhoury 08:42 GMT June 13, 2014
EURUSD in buy mood
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 11:11 GMT June 10, 2014
EURUSD in buy mood: Reply
London Chris 10:02 GMT 06/10/2014
Today movement 50-60 pips from 13580 area
13588 will be reached again
I am in buy since 13570
will add buy around area 13520 if reached
_____________________________-
Please read 13584 will be reached again iso 13588


GVI Forex Blog 08:39 GMT June 13, 2014 Reply   
When we think of traditional investments, stocks and mutual funds are probably the first things that come to mind.

How to Start Investing in Gold Options

GVI Forex Blog 08:37 GMT June 13, 2014 Reply   
When we think of traditional investments, stocks and mutual funds are probably the first things that come to mind.

How to Start Investing in Gold Options

HK [email protected] 08:16 GMT June 13, 2014
GBP strong support now at 1.6955.
Reply   
/

HK [email protected] 07:43 GMT June 13, 2014
Good am I in GBP? Forecast according the Tech.
Reply   
.

HK [email protected] 07:28 GMT June 13, 2014
Carney tips Fed's hand- Pro USD



It's time to bet the farms!!!!!!!!!!!

USD ZEUS 07:25 GMT June 13, 2014
Carney tips Fed's hand- Pro USD

EUR/USD Rising wedge about to fail for a test lower.

HK [email protected] 07:09 GMT June 13, 2014
USD is simply disliked.
Reply   


Because the US lies about it's economic recovery.

*Confiscation of funds and sanctions.

*Because it has created troubles in Ukraine, in a hope for more expansions. And by that ruined a great opportunity for cooperation with Russia.

*Because they paraded DSK handcuffed and humiliated him, while still considered innocent. Fits more to Nazi Germany to do this things.

*Because they spy on everyone on the internet and any communication system.

And maybe more: SIMPLY A DISGUSTING ADMINISTRATION.

USD ZEUS 07:03 GMT June 13, 2014
Carney tips Fed's hand- Pro USD

Carney just doomed EUR/USD reserve hopefuls. Easung at the ECB and rate hikes sooner than the market expects in USD (Can't tell me Carney would raise rates without the US doing so) So there you have it. 1.2777 is on the way! View archives for simple wave count chart posted initially in March and the follow-up charts as the market has developed. Said it would be the guide for 2014 and it is.

HK [email protected] 07:00 GMT June 13, 2014
Iraq in paralysis after Sunni militants' blitz
Reply   


BAGHDAD (AP) -- The Shiite-led government of Iraq's Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki remained in paralysis Friday, unable to form a coherent response after al-Qaida-inspired militants blitzed and captured entire chunks of the nation's Sunni heartland this week, including major cities, towns, military and police bases as Iraqi forces melted away or fled.

The new reality is the biggest threat to Iraq's stability since the U.S. withdrawal at the end of 2011, and it has pushed the nation closer to a precipice that would partition it into Sunni, Shiite and Kurdish zones.

Fighters from the militant group known as the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant on Thursday vowed to march on Baghdad, joined by Saddam Hussein-era loyalists and other disaffected Sunnis.

Trumpeting their victory, the militants also declared they would impose Shariah law in Mosul, Iraq's second-largest city they captured on Tuesday, and other areas they seized.

In northern Iraq, Kurdish security forces moved to fill the power vacuum - taking over an air base and other posts abandoned by the military in the ethnically mixed city of Kirkuk.

Three planeloads of Americans were being evacuated from a major Iraqi air base in Sunni territory north of Baghdad, U.S. officials said, and Germany urged its citizens to immediately leave parts of Iraq, including Baghdad.

HK [email protected] 06:56 GMT June 13, 2014
Do you remember days ago, when...
Reply   

A company which posted here a trade (by permit of GVI) targeting Euro to 1.3800.

Seems this will do right.

USA ZEUS 06:42 GMT June 13, 2014
Carney tips Fed's hand- Pro USD

Stockholm Max 06:22 GMT 06/13/2014

Good ideas. Thanks for the observations!

GVI Forex Blog 06:40 GMT June 13, 2014 Reply   
When we look at the price activity seen in recent weeks, it certainly looks like the tide is turning for the Euro and that we are ready to see lower market valuations into next quarter.

Euro on the Verge of Major Support Break

USA ZEUS 06:40 GMT June 13, 2014
Friday the 13th freaks the market
Reply   
Today is a USD day, contrary to all pundits. Sell EUR/USD, GBP/USD buy USDCHF etc GL

USA ZEUS 06:37 GMT June 13, 2014
Carney tips Fed's hand- Pro USD

Carney knows better than to speak of raising rates without knowing that the fed will "sooner than expected" as well, thus making GBP/USD moves higher exaggerated. . DYOD GL LOL Cheers!

USA ZEUS 06:34 GMT June 13, 2014
Carney tips Fed's hand- Pro USD

Monkey short GBP/USD at 1.6985 betting the farm for a swing trade lower.

GVI Forex Blog 06:33 GMT June 13, 2014 Reply   
When we look at the price activity seen in recent weeks, it certainly looks like the tide is turning for the Euro and that we are ready to see lower market valuations into next quarter.

Euro on the Verge of Major Support Break

Stockholm Max 06:22 GMT June 13, 2014
Carney tips Fed's hand- Pro USD

Just an idea - to hedge an GBPUSD short with a long GBPJPY.

BBs in JPY and some JPY crosses in the weeklies extremely tight, also in GBPJPY - so likely there's a huge move to come.
Question is just to which side.

Could of course be a fake move in GPBJPY i.e. if there is a bigger stock market selloff to come - but I sense that japanese housewifes and some news hoppers eventually are riding that GBP rate rise train. At least as long as it lasts.

Furthermore often enough we have seen a down week or at least some down days prior to OE week - in which stocks, and in lockstep JPY-crosses, tend to again moving north. Maybe GBPJPY is just a bit ahead of the crowed already.

EURJPY btw also bouncing from daily BBs - up to the upper range again?

Anyway - just some observations.

HK [email protected] 06:21 GMT June 13, 2014
GBP locomotive. Extreme buying pressure.
Reply   
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USA ZEUS 06:02 GMT June 13, 2014
Carney tips Fed's hand- Pro USD

prague mark 04:08 GMT 06/13/2014

I'm not afraid to succeed. It's going down for many figures, so up one means nothing to me. Besides, as the old man said " When I think I should sell, I sell."

Best trades to you!

HK [email protected] 06:01 GMT June 13, 2014
GBP targeting 1.7000.



Want a short GBP/USD. play it safe at 1.7040 if seen.
If not seen then no!

HK [email protected] 05:58 GMT June 13, 2014
GBP targeting 1.7000.



High price pressure upward.
If one has enough funds to support a Ret. it is a safe trade.

manila tom 05:57 GMT June 13, 2014
Carney tips Fed's hand- Pro USD

i give gbpusd short a try as well 1.6960, start small on friday

jkt abel 05:45 GMT June 13, 2014
buy usdjpy

kl fs, i'll give it a try with stop below 101.20

HK [email protected] 05:40 GMT June 13, 2014
Iran has sent two battalions of Revolutionary Guards into Iraq to aid the current govt in its fight



Let the games start.

HK [email protected] 05:38 GMT June 13, 2014
GBP targeting 1.7000.
Reply   
.

GVI Forex Blog 05:26 GMT June 13, 2014 Reply   
(NZ) NEW ZEALAND MAY BUSINESS MANUFACTURING PMI: 52.7 (lowest reading since Dec 2012) V 54.4 PRIOR - (NZ) NEW ZEALAND MAY FOOD PRICES M/M: 0.6% V 0.6% PRIOR - (SG) SINGAPORE Q1 FINAL UNEMPLOYMENT RAT

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: BOJ on hold again as expected, maintaining assessment for 11th time; Sterling spikes on bullish BOE Gov comments***Economic Data*** - Source TradeTheNews.com

kl fs 05:23 GMT June 13, 2014
buy usdjpy

jkt abel, i think so, but not now, let it settle a bit first

syd sf 05:22 GMT June 13, 2014
buy usdjpy

I don't see enough momentum to buy it to be honest... (range trading at best)

Plus with these crisis at the moment around the world - if anything bad happens over a weekend - it is going to gap lower.

I'm a buyer when it shows us it is going to 105/110 - not when the top is around 102.40/50.

If you like it don't let me stop you - there is ntg worse than being talked out of a trade if you feel strongly about it .. those are just my random thoughts.

Cheers


Syd 05:16 GMT June 13, 2014
Iran has sent two battalions of Revolutionary Guards into Iraq to aid the current govt in its fight
Reply   
(IQ) Iran has sent two battalions of Revolutionary Guards into Iraq to aid the current govt in its fight against the Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant (ISIS) - press (update)- The Revolutionary Guard sent were Quds Force, one of the most elite special operations forces in the Middle East - Iran intervention could force Sunni's in Iraq not currently involved in the conflict to side with ISIS and could legitimize an ISIS 'Sunni v Shia' view of the conflict - The crisis could escalate if any Sunni civilian are shot or killed by Iranian Revolutionary Guards - ISIS is currently unable to invade and hold multiple cities and will look to the wider Sunni population for support - Source TradeTheNews.com

jkt abel 05:10 GMT June 13, 2014
buy usdjpy
Reply   
sf, do you think it is good to buy usdjpy?

GVI Forex Blog 05:02 GMT June 13, 2014 Reply   
BOJ has kept all of the rates unchanged and the US market is going under a correction, which

Morning Briefing : 13-Jun-2014 -0500 GMT

syd sf 05:01 GMT June 13, 2014
Morning Levels

gbp/usd rose to target - everything else bit pear shaped on the day ... maybe because it is Friday and this GbpUsd move today has convinced people to pull their heads in.

Personally I have turned everything off for rest of the day and let the market do its thing... pick it up on Monday.

BOL>

bali sja 04:49 GMT June 13, 2014
Carney tips Fed's hand- Pro USD

1.70-1.72 is flashing.....world cup is hypnotizing..

SaaR KaL 04:39 GMT June 13, 2014
Day's Trades

NZDUSD
Could reach 0.77 in 6 months

SaaR KaL 04:36 GMT June 13, 2014
Day's Trades

AUDUSD Seems to want 0.86- 0.83 area
Given it starts dropping
could drop for 6 months

SaaR KaL 04:25 GMT June 13, 2014
Day's Trades

AUDUSD SHorts
Getting ready
Into Next week
0.9420 0.9181 69%
0.9700 0.8911 98%

KL KL 04:21 GMT June 13, 2014
SELL gbpusd...Sell
Reply   
in short Gbpusd relentless 1.697......

after world cup Fifa and hockey...eyes like Zombie...thinking like crazy ninja.......LOL.... still its in my zone and I like it....

also keeping ALL those SnP and Dow and some gold long.... shorts near tops and lets hope world economy collapse...LOL....and now IRAQ... bring on the Hinderberg Omen...I am well positioned.......LOL...DYOR...DFM...imvho and GL GT!!

prague mark 04:08 GMT June 13, 2014
Carney tips Fed's hand- Pro USD

Zeus, gbp/usd will go 150 pips up from here, what the point to be so core at current level?

SaaR KaL 04:07 GMT June 13, 2014
Day's Trades
Reply   
NZDUSD should start da crash
Added shorts cable
and GBPJPY

Still long GBPNZD and AUDNZD

USA ZEUS 03:58 GMT June 13, 2014
Carney tips Fed's hand- Pro USD

All-in GBP/USD core short at 1.6966
This is going to be awesome!

USA ZEUS 03:17 GMT June 13, 2014
Carney tips Fed's hand- Pro USD

Even GBP/USD scalpers can sell and see 1.6920 get tested.
Cheers!

USA ZEUS 03:11 GMT June 13, 2014
Carney tips Fed's hand- Pro USD

Added amazing GBP/USD shorts at 1.6947

USA ZEUS 02:58 GMT June 13, 2014
Carney tips Fed's hand- Pro USD

I have this amazing tool and it says 1.6957 would be a key inflection point for GBP/USD and so far so good. I have complete confidence in this tool. I am very heavily short and can sleep well knowing big profits are coming- even though I don't really sleep because its a waste of time.

Cheers!

Mtl JP 02:40 GMT June 13, 2014
Morning Levels

Livingston nh think Martin is onto something?
French say 60% of National Debt is Illegal – Default Anyone?

Dillon AL 02:31 GMT June 13, 2014
Are we on the brink of a share plunge? Fears of end to soaring prices as millions prepare to invest

with an average uk salary of gbp26,500 how are they meant to find 15,000 to put into the ISAs

Hong Kong AceTrader 02:26 GMT June 13, 2014
AceTrader Jun 13: Intra-Day Market Moving News & Views & data to be released today
Reply   


Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views

13 Jun 2014 01:56GMT

USD/JPY ... Despite staging a brief bounce to 102.14 yesterday, the greenback ratcheted lower in New York and fell to an intra-day low of 101.61 on speculation that continued speculation that the BoJ will refrain from expanding stimulus measures at Fri's monetary meeting, however, short-covering in late NY lifted the pair to 101.82 in Asian morning. Bids are located at 101.65-60 whilst some offers are tipped at 102.00-10.

BOJ is likely to announce its rate decision at 02:30-03:30 GMT. Most economists predict no policy change. The BOJ has kept its policy of buying about 7 trillion yen ($68.8 billion) of government bonds a month since April 2013.

Nikkei-225 index currently drops by 95 points to 14877, following the sell off in U.S. stock markets.


Data to be released on Friday:

Bank of Japan rate decision, Japan industrial production, China industrial output, retail sales, Germany CPI, HICP final, Italy consumer prices final, CPI, euro zone employment, trade balance, U.S. PPI, University of Michigan consumer sentiment.

Syd 02:09 GMT June 13, 2014
Are we on the brink of a share plunge? Fears of end to soaring prices as millions prepare to invest
Reply   
With the launch of the new Super Isas just around the corner, fears are growing that savers could be putting their money into cash or shares Isas at just the wrong time.

There is increasing evidence that fund managers are not feeling so confident about the current stock market, and cash Isa rates have been falling too.

The new tax-free Super Isa accounts — which were unveiled in the Budget — will, from July 1, allow savers to put £15,000 annually into cash or shares.

Millions are thought to be holding on to money in current accounts waiting to plough it into the Super Isas when they are launched in 19 days’ time. There was a record £2.8billion fall in money held in cash Isas in April, which is usually a bumper month for saving

USA ZEUS 01:57 GMT June 13, 2014
Carney tips Fed's hand- Pro USD

Added to core shorts at 1.6945. Looking for 20+ figures gain on this no brainer. Cheers!

Mtl JP 01:54 GMT June 13, 2014
Forex News

GVI Forex Blog 00:42 / no odds at all of FED not just stopping its taper in the tracks (last market rumour someone floated was a next taper of 15 billion) but actually turning its "taper" around into QE up-tick of 10 monthly billions ?

Mtl JP 01:38 GMT June 13, 2014
Winter is coming: the stocks set to suffer as business conditions soften

Syd 00:45 iron ore at 100 bux / ton is below cost of production
on the other hand those using stell in the production of their products (like pipe manufacturers or car makers) have an opp to increase their margins if they dont pass lower costs to their final customers

Syd 01:17 GMT June 13, 2014
Hedge Funds Get Stung by Slow Markets
Reply   
Losing Money on Bad Bets
Louis Bacon and Paul Tudor Jones Are Among Prominent Investors wsj

HK [email protected] 01:09 GMT June 13, 2014
1.3588 next challenge for Euro.
Reply   
/

Syd 00:45 GMT June 13, 2014
Winter is coming: the stocks set to suffer as business conditions soften
Reply   
A stubbornly high Australian dollar, falling commodity prices and a hard-hitting federal budget are expected to weigh on company earnings in coming months, Deutsche Bank predicts.

Australia's GDP growth for the March quarter was better than expected, but Deutsche has forecast that earnings will soften as autumn turns to winter. It has begun ditching assets traditionally considered risky, such as mining, from its portfolio.

Deutsche's prediction comes as Bank of America Merrill Lynch strategists cautioned that earnings forecasts for the 2015 financial year were ''too optimistic'', labelling retail and contractors as stocks in ''challenging industries''.

''Weaker US growth and moves in investor positioning have weighed on yields, but data this week suggests this is passing. The US data surprise index has risen closer to neutral, and long positioning looks to have peaked.





'On the domestic front, [foreign direct investment] inflows are coming off a little, as resource projects roll off, giving less support to the AUD.''

dc CB 00:44 GMT June 13, 2014
The Story everyone is ignoring

Nahh Still not payin' attention

Just don' get it

YET

"we" let 5 of dose guys lose who spent HOW MANY YEARS Thinking.

So, suddenly the shiete hits the fan.

the many Doh's of Barack Obama

nw kw 00:43 GMT June 13, 2014
Interest rates may rise by end of year hints Bank chief after Osborne paves way for cap on mortgages

Mark Carney started a trend in cad the gov. owns mortgage loans and he did this to gbp/one day world will learn from Carney

GVI Forex Blog 00:42 GMT June 13, 2014
Forex News
Reply   
* Downbeat U.S. economic data curbs speculation that Fed will hike soon.

* Iraq tensions underpin traditionally safe-haven yen

* Sterling pushes to five-week highs after Carney tips higher rates

FOREX-Dollar steadies near two-week low vs yen as BOJ awaited

Syd 00:29 GMT June 13, 2014
Interest rates may rise by end of year hints Bank chief after Osborne paves way for cap on mortgages
Reply   
Millions of homeowners were last night warned to get ready for interest rate rises by the end of the year and the introduction of a cap on mortgage lending.

Bank of England governor Mark Carney indicated that the first hike in rates for seven years is closer than expected – and is now likely to take place within months.

And Chancellor George Osborne, announced the Bank is being given new powers to order a cap on the ratio of mortgage loans compared to borrowers’ incomes or to the value of their house.


Mark Carney hinted a hike in interest rates will take place within months First increase in seven years revealed at annual Mansion House speech Chancellor George Osborne also announced cap on mortgage loans Is likely to be between three and three-and-a-half times borrowers' salary Could harm first-time buyers and those seeking to remortgage a house

Syd 00:07 GMT June 13, 2014
GBP, NZD Up on Rates; Yen Up on Risk; USD Down on Data
Reply   
AUD/USD--to consolidate with bullish bias after hitting two-month high 0.9437 Thursday. Supported by negative dollar sentiment; spillover strength from buoyant Kiwi. But AUD/USD gains tempered by Aussie sales on soft AUD/JPY cross amid increased investor risk aversion; Aussie sales on falling AUD/NZD cross; weak iron ore prices; positions adjustment before weekend. Aussie vulnerable to 0530 GMT China May retail sales, industrial output, fixed assets investment data. Other data: 0130 GMT Australia April lending finance. Daily chart positive-biased as MACD & stochastics bullish, although latter at overbought; bullish outside-day-range pattern completed Thursday; five-day moving average above 15-day MA and advancing. Resistance at 0.9437 (Thursday's high); breach would target 0.9461 (April 10 swing high), then 0.9495 (76.4% Fibonacci retracement of 0.9755-0.8658 Oct. 23-Jan. 24 decline), 0.9542 (Nov. 6 reaction high) and 0.9622 (Oct. 28 high). Support at 0.9356 (Thursday's low), then at 0.9338 (Tuesday's low); breach would target 0.9326-0.9316 band (Monday's low-June 6 low), then 0.9255-0.9249 band (June 5 low-June 4 low), 0.9229 (June 3 low) and 0.9211 (May 28 low).

NZD/USD--to consolidate with bullish bias after hitting five-week high 0.8699 Thursday. Kiwi sentiment bullish after Reserve Bank of New Zealand on Thursday raised its cash rate by 25 bps to 3.25% and signaled more rate increases in coming months. NZD/USD also supported by negative dollar sentiment; Kiwi demand on soft AUD/NZD cross. But NZD/USD gains tempered by negative global risk sentiment; positions adjustment before weekend. Daily chart positive-biased as MACD & stochastics bullish, although latter at overbought; five-day moving average above 15-day MA and advancing. Resistance at 0.8699 (Thursday's high); breach would expose upside to 0.8779 (two-and-a-half year high hit May 6), then 0.8840 (Aug. 1, 2011 swing high). Support at 0.8602 (hourly chart), then at 0.8526 (Thursday's low); breach would target 0.8511 (Wednesday's low), then 0.8484-0.8476 band (Tuesday's low-Monday's low), 0.8413 (June 5 low) and 0.8400 (June 4 low).

GBP/USD--to trade in higher range after hitting one-month high 1.6936 this morning. Sterling sentiment boosted after Bank of England Gov. Carney said the exact timing of the first U.K. interest rate hike "could happen sooner than markets currently expect." GBP/USD also supported by negative dollar sentiment; sterling demand on soft EUR/GBP cross. But GBP/USD gains tempered by negative global risk sentiment; positions adjustment before weekend. Daily chart positive-biased as stochastics bullish; MACD staged bullish crossover against its exponential moving average; bullish parabolic stop-and-reverse signal hit Thursday. Resistance at 1.6937 (May 9 high); breach would target 1.6975 (May 8 high), then 1.6986 (May 7 high), 1.6996-1.7000 (four-and-a-half year high hit May 6--psychological line) and 1.7042 (Aug. 5, 2009 reaction high). Support at 1.6800 (hourly chart), then at 1.6783 (Thursday's low); breach would target 1.6737 (Wednesday's low), then 1.6720 (June 5 low), 1.6696-1.6691 (June 4 low-May 29 low, near 100-day moving average) and 1.6680 (April 15 reaction low).

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
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Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
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