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Forex Forum Archive for 06/16/2014

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Mtl JP 23:46 GMT June 16, 2014
Observations

is that 275 +/- 1,2..5 ?

dc CB 22:55 GMT June 16, 2014
Observations

U.S. TO DEPLOY UP TO ABOUT 275 ARMED FORCES PERSONNEL TO IRAQ

HK [email protected] 22:46 GMT June 16, 2014
How many % exit fees are suspected to be?
Reply   


Any idea? Fraction of a percent?

I don't see what is the good in imposing such a fee?

Brings thoughts about later days confiscations, or at least "freeze investments of thy neighbor"?

GVI Forex john 22:00 GMT June 16, 2014
Fed Closed Door Meeting

Maybe nh can explain why the Fed must have a "closed-door" meeting just before their regular closed door meeting. I guess that means the content of the meeting will not be in the minutes??

GVI Forex 21:52 GMT June 16, 2014
Fed Closed Door Meeting
Reply   
Another one

Fed Says Board of Governors to Hold Closed-Door Meeting Tuesday at 10 am

Fed Says Meeting Aimed at Discussion of Medium-Term Monetary Policy Issues

syd sf 21:35 GMT June 16, 2014
Morning
Reply   
thanks Red.

this morning bots

+ eurcad @10-11 target 70-80
- gbp @82-83 till 10 am syd
+eur @68 till 10 am syd
+ aud/nzd @15 no target trailing s/l.

thinking eurgbp up on the day as red suggests - until gbp finds a bid then up thru 170 again.

Paris ib 21:14 GMT June 16, 2014
Observations

CB "according to the FT, Federal Reserve officials have discussed imposing exit fees on bond funds".... I take it that the FT is trying to provoke a panic rush to the exits in the bond market?

What gives with these weirdo publications?

dc CB 21:12 GMT June 16, 2014
Observations



not that any of that matters when there's 0% and 'being in Bonds" risks being Cyprused

GM Stock

dc CB 21:09 GMT June 16, 2014
Observations

The mission almost certainly would be small: one U.S. official said it could be up to 100 special forces soldiers. It also could be authorized only as an advising and training mission — meaning the soldiers would work closely with Iraqi forces that are fighting the insurgency but not officially be considered as combat troops.

Obama considers special forces to help in Iraq

dc CB 21:07 GMT June 16, 2014
Observations

GM TO RECALL 3.16M 2000-'14 MODEL YR CARS ON IGNITION ISSUE
GM SAYS HAS LAUNCHED 44 RECALLS THIS YEAR
GM SAYS TOTAL NORTH AMERICA RECALLED CARS NOW 20.0 MLN


And the bottom line, and why this entire bailout farce is now beyond simply criminal and purely ridiculous: as of this moment, GM has recalled more than double the number of cars it sold in all of 2013, or, another way of putting it, more than the total number of cars it sold in 2013 AND 2012 combined.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++



Stunning Fact Of The Day: In 2014 GM Has Recalled More Cars Than It Sold In 2013 And 2012

dc CB 20:46 GMT June 16, 2014
Fun with Covers
Reply   


Plus old Murdock is letting everyone read the Roundtable for FREE.

wonder why that is?

Barrons Mid Year RT

dc CB 20:40 GMT June 16, 2014
Observations

so if you read the analysis, you would have read this:

So what is the obvious desired outcome, at least by the Fed? Why a wholesale panic withdrawal from bond funds now, while the gates are still open, and since those trillions in bond funds have to be allocated somewhere, where will they go but... stock funds.

In other words, now that the Fed is pulling away from injecting tens of billions of liquidity into the market every month, it is hoping the investing population will pick up the torch. And since it has failed to incite the mass reallocation of funds from bonds to stocks, the Fed is willing to use every trick in the book to achieve its goal.

GVI Forex Blog 20:14 GMT June 16, 2014
AUD and NZD
Reply   
Mixed news flow kept sentiment in check. Curbing appetite were reports of US warships moving towards the Middle East amid continuing fighting in Iraq, Russia cutting gas supplies to Ukraine, and IMF downgrades to world and US growth forecasts. US data, though, was supportive, the S&P500 up 0.1% currently.

Australia & NZ Morning Thoughts

GVI Forex john 20:08 GMT June 16, 2014
Observations

Gimme a break! Shouldn't institutional Bond traders also have "Exit Fees"???

Just another way to screw the least sophisticated investors, as if bond funds were not bad enough as a concept.

dc CB 20:02 GMT June 16, 2014
Observations

according to the FT, "Federal Reserve officials have discussed imposing exit fees on bond funds to avert a potential run by investors, underlining regulators’ concern about the vulnerability of the $10tn corporate bond market."

FT justifies this latest unprecedented pseudo-capital control by sayng that "officials are concerned that bond-fund investors, as with bank depositors, can withdraw their money on demand even though the assets held by their funds are long-term debt and can be hard to sell in a crisis. The Fed discussions have taken place at a senior level but have not yet developed into formal policy, according to people familiar with the matter."

Fed Prepares For Bond-Fund Runs, Looking At Imposing "Exit Fee" Gates

GVI Forex john 19:57 GMT June 16, 2014
Chart Points - Free FX Database
Reply   

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

GVI Forex Blog 19:10 GMT June 16, 2014
Markets Off to a Cautious Start Monday Amid Political Concerns. Active U.S. Calendar
Reply   
HIGH IMPACT NEWS ITEMS: GB- CPI, RPI-X, DE- ZEW Survey, US- House Starts & Permits

Trade Tuesday see a number of key data releases from the U.K. Germany and the U.S. that have the potential to move prices. See "High impact releases in red just above this paragraph. See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and comments from experienced traders to events as they happen.

Markets Off to a Cautious Start Monday Amid Political Concerns. Active U.S. Calendar

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 19:09 GMT June 16, 2014
Agree or Disagree? EURUSD

Note, 200 hour mva capped the upside

Observations
london red 14:20 GMT 06/16/2014
Jay, often on a monday or tuesday people ask the same question. some retracement is called for at the start of the week, particularly with no real data until mid week. its v rare not to partly fill in prev wk range. so no harm done yet. 3569 first key level for me then the 200 hour, above there can stop run to fig/3610. downside in play while below 13670. erurgbp 8006 then possibly 8065 but 8035 could halt.

GVI Forex john 18:59 GMT June 16, 2014
Chart Points -- Trading Points
Reply   
Pre-Closing...


dc CB 18:35 GMT June 16, 2014
Observations

just as the world's bond traders think they have the central banks understood, the Bank of England drops a tape-bomb...

Just when you thought you knew your uber-dovish central bank, this happens:
BoE Governor Carney noted that borrowing costs may rise sooner than economists expected...
and Deputy Governor Bean added...

"An increase in interest rates will be a symbolic step, because it will be an indication that we are on the road back to normality,"
"I would welcome us getting on to the path of normalization, as a demonstration that the economy is healing,"

Which produced this... in 1Y Gilts...
(Chart)
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

(The Hank Paulson "kill the shorts" double reverse Lutz...Eton Style)

Treasury Bulls Beware: A Cautionary Tale From Punk'd British Bond Traders

GVI Forex john 18:15 GMT June 16, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map


  • Markets remain in rough a risk-off posture , as traders continue to worry about the implications  of a possible disintegration of Iraq on global energy prices.. Oil prices are now off their highs of theday.
  • Yields in prime Eurozone fixed income markets closed mixed, while yields on the periphery were mostly higher.
  • U.K. yields ended higher. Many see a +25bp BOE rate hike by yearend  U.S. yields steady on the day The U.S. 10-yr is 2.61%, 0 bp.
  • Equities closed mixed in the Far East earlier. Bourses in Europe were mostly lower. U.S. shares are up.

    The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields. This aligns all the colors in the chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off(red).


GVI Forex Jay Meisler 18:01 GMT June 16, 2014
Agree or Disagree? EURUSD

It is like the market is looking ahead to the FOMC and will try to bide its time. With Iraq looming, it just doesn't feel like a time to make big bets unless you want to bet on the FOMC outcome.

dc CB 17:59 GMT June 16, 2014
Observations

Evidence of an increase in equity-buying by central banks and other public-sector investors has emerged from a survey of publicly owned or managed investments compiled by the Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum (OMFIF), a global research and advisory group.

The OMFIF research publication, Global Public Investor (GPI) 2014, launched on June 17, is the first comprehensive survey of $29.1 trillion worth of investments held by 400 public-sector institutions in 162 countries. The report focuses on investments by 157 central banks, 156 public pension funds and 87 sovereign funds.

Central banks becoming major investors in stock markets

Central Kwun 16:52 GMT June 16, 2014
World Cup
Reply   
Buy Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

Germany 3:0 Portugal Yeah!

HK [email protected] 16:24 GMT June 16, 2014
Agree or Disagree? EURUSD



1.3590 vicinity may be the highest Euro will print today.

Just a strong Res. for the moment.

Paris ib 16:23 GMT June 16, 2014
Observations

Jay - the point is that there is buying in U.S. bonds but it is not coming from foreign investors so there are no implications for the USD.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 16:21 GMT June 16, 2014
Observations

ib, too much time debating this but US bond yields are closer to 2.50% than 3.00%, confounding to just about everyone

As for the dollar, as I said it is a never ending race to the bottom and currently ECB has EURUSD in the lead until charts tell you otherwise but there seems to be that invisible hand once again showing its ugly face.

Otherwise, market bides its time to the FOMC meeting with an eye on Iraq and oil.

Paris ib 16:15 GMT June 16, 2014
Observations

Jay there is no net demand for U.S. bonds from foreign buyers.

HK [email protected] 16:13 GMT June 16, 2014
Agree or Disagree? EURUSD



Per my suggestion, wait to see the closing candle!

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 16:10 GMT June 16, 2014
Agree or Disagree? EURUSD

1.3575-80 so far holding.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 16:02 GMT June 16, 2014
Observations

ib, yet US bonds are still in demand so there is not a flight from the dollar but there is diversification. There is a big difference.

HK [email protected] 16:02 GMT June 16, 2014
Observations



The German people demand to see their gold!!!

Bring back home our gold NOW!!!

Where is our gold???

UNCLE SAM: IN GOD WE TRUST, you may have USD!!!

Paris ib 15:41 GMT June 16, 2014
Observations

From within the United States I think it must be hard to understand just how enormous the shift has thinking has been. The United States and its institutions are simply not trusted like they used to be. Too many lies have been exposed. Too many fraudulent practices and way too much dubious war mongering. I think it's hard to come back from that and I don't think the United States is even trying.

GVI Forex Blog 15:37 GMT June 16, 2014 Reply   
June 16, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, June 17. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: GB- CPI, RPI-X, DE- ZEW Survey, US- House Starts & Permits, CPI Far East: No Major Data. Europe: GB- CPI, RPI-X, DE- ZEW Survey North America: US- House Starts & Permits, CPI, API.

GVI Forex Data Outlook for June 17, 2014

GVI Forex john 15:35 GMT June 16, 2014
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data
Reply   


June 16, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, June 17. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: GB- CPI, RPI-X, DE- ZEW Survey, US- House Starts & Permits, CPI

  • Far East: No Major Data.
  • Europe: GB- CPI, RPI-X, DE- ZEW Survey
  • North America: US- House Starts & Permits, CPI, API.


GVI Forex Jay Meisler 15:34 GMT June 16, 2014
Observations

ib, I have no emotional attachment to the USD and will trade whatever side is most vulnerable. Trade and current account deficits are nothing new. I think a wild card going forwards is if the US can get its energy act together and become self sufficient but that is for another discussion. What you didn't mention is global reserve diversification and that is not going away and works against the USD..

GVI Forex Blog 15:31 GMT June 16, 2014
Global Markets News
Reply   
The strong showing in the June Empire survey and the May industrial production numbers has helped propel the S&P500 into positive territory this morning, however the DJIA and the Nasdaq are still bogged down in the red.

TradeTheNews.com US Market Update: Merger Monday

Paris ib 15:28 GMT June 16, 2014
Observations

Jay the U.S. has the following problems:
1) a trade deficit
By definition that means more imports selling dollars than exporters buying dollars
2) a current account deficit
By definition more income leaving the country than income from abroad coming in
3) an already enormous dependence on foreign capital - just look at the 6 trillion foreigners already own in U.S. Treasuries.

The only way for the USD to go up is for a massive influx of new capital to come into the country. It's not like you are going to suddenly become these massive export earners.

I see no reason for a new massive influx of capital and some possibility of repatriation. That makes the USD uniquely vulnerable IMVHO.

Short term all you have on your side is speculators and that is not enough.

HK [email protected] 15:22 GMT June 16, 2014
Euro MAY end today on bullish outer day...
Reply   


Close to a Bullish outer day on last Thu. June 12.

Another supportive Tech. if you like Tech. to build on:)

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 15:21 GMT June 16, 2014
Observations

ib, every currency has problems and why the
current fx market has been referred a race to the bottom, currencies taking turns at the bottom of the food chain.

RF, no clue where the name banksters comes from but it is the reserve managers who hold the chips. Banks are no long risk takers.

Paris ib 15:15 GMT June 16, 2014
Observations

Jay the USD has long term underlying problems. At this point anything short of a serious move to the hawkish side of policy by the FED is unlikely to change that. Draghi did his bit. The BoJ have done more than their bit. But the FED is still a long way from hiking. Lagarde has just been making that point. If anything the IMF's softish forecasts for U.S. growth this year have added to the soft tone of the USD.

HK [email protected] 15:15 GMT June 16, 2014
Observations



Sometimes, banksters are fined heavily to the amount, which may be a fraction of what they have ill-gotten.

london red 15:15 GMT June 16, 2014
Observations

i think they have to put out more hawkish rhetoric because of inflation creeping up but downgrade growth expectations due to hit and miss data. thats what i am hearing.

HK [email protected] 15:10 GMT June 16, 2014
Observations


You better read more about it in ZeroHedge.

Mostly market manipulators, criminal friends of the FED(no names please)

NY JM 15:07 GMT June 16, 2014
Observations

RF, can you define Banksters

HK [email protected] 15:06 GMT June 16, 2014
Observations



Forget about fundamentals or Tech.

Against all odds, the Banksters are long Euro, where Specs, are short to the teeth.

Buyers are not avoiding USD because of possible US involvment in the gulf. Even gold drops.
It is who is now at what side of the Mkt.

Specs are booked as usual with the Banksters for a squeeze.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:44 GMT June 16, 2014
Observations

Red, I was observing more than just the EURUSD. Dollar is generally soft although logic says it should be supported pre-FOMC as many are looking for a less dovish statement. With that said EUEUSD is still below 1.3575-80 resistance but trapped as long as 1.3550+.

london red 14:20 GMT June 16, 2014
Observations

Jay, often on a monday or tuesday people ask the same question. some retracement is called for at the start of the week, particularly with no real data until mid week. its v rare not to partly fill in prev wk range. so no harm done yet. 3569 first key level for me then the 200 hour, above there can stop run to fig/3610. downside in play while below 13670. erurgbp 8006 then possibly 8065 but 8035 could halt.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:14 GMT June 16, 2014
Observations

For whatever reason (maybe concern over US getting sucked back into Iraq?), market is not buying USD. Anyone see it different?

US stocks reversed earlier losses, now +

London Misha 14:14 GMT June 16, 2014
Observations
Reply   
EURUSD - Indecisive Long Legged Spinning Top & nearing NFP low, Double Top target & key 50% Fib at 1.3489 on Daily Chart.
USDJPY - Bullish Harami on Daily Chart as continues to bounce up off Long MA support.
GBPUSD - 3rd White Soldier on Daily Chart. New 2014 high today. Nearing 2009 high resistance at 1.7042.
USDCHF - Continues to follow Middle Tine of recent Bullish AP on Daily Chart!
EURGBP - New 2014 low & 6th Black Crow on Daily Chart. Middle Tine of Nov13-Mar14 AP & 2011-2013 SP now becomes resistance.
AUDUSD - Bearish Harami as nears 2014 high on Daily Chart!
USDINR - 3rd White Soldier & market move son up from break of 59.37-59.43 Fib band (now support) on Daily Chart. Today tests
big 50% Fib resistance at 60.09!
USDZAR - Bearish Gravestone Doji on Daily Chart. Still forming either a Double Top or a Halfway Hesitation!
USDBRL - Key Reversal Down on Daily Chart!


GVI Forex john 14:00 GMT June 16, 2014
U.S. NAHB Index
Reply   



NEWS ALERT
49 vs. 45 exp. vs. 45 prev.


RELEASE: NAHB Index


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

Paris ib 13:37 GMT June 16, 2014
April 2014 U.S. TIC flows

The break down of the nearly 6 trillion U.S. bonds held by foreigners.

Foreign Holders of U.S. Bonds

Paris ib 13:31 GMT June 16, 2014
April 2014 U.S. TIC flows

Didn't have to wait long:

China sold, Japan bought, Belgium sold, Russia bought. Overall USD 34 billion left the U.S........ capital inflows? None. Economic recovery? Not without foreign money inflows.

Belgium down, China down, Japan up

Paris ib 13:25 GMT June 16, 2014
April 2014 U.S. TIC flows

"After including adjustments, such as estimates of unrecorded principal payments to foreigners on U.S. asset-backed securities, overall net foreign sales of long-term securities are estimated to have been $34.5 billion in April."

Long term capital continues to leave the United States. The 12months rolling figure is now at an yearly outflow of USD 188 billion. Mysteriously the monthly figures continue to record outflows but the 12 months cumulative figure is not moving about USD 200 billion. Can't wait to see how much buying of U.S. bonds Belgium managed to pack away in April.

Belgium to the rescue?

GVI Forex john 13:16 GMT June 16, 2014
April 2014 U.S. Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization
Reply   



ALERT
Ind Production:+0.60% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. -0.60% (r -0.30% ) prev.
Capacity Utilization: 79.1% vs. 78.90% exp. vs. 78.60% (r 78.0%) prev.


RELEASE: Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization



TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:06 GMT June 16, 2014
Agree or Disagree? EURUSD

The ECB speak was not news but reaction to it is more important than the headlinee.

Key level is 1.3575-80 so still within a local range where 1.3550 (magnet level) sets the tone.

GVI Forex john 13:03 GMT June 16, 2014
April 2014 U.S. TIC flows
Reply   



ALERT
Net Capital Flows USDb:+136.8 vs. n/a vs. -126.1 (r -122.3) prev.
Long-Term Flows USDb:-24.28 vs. exp. vs. 4.0 prev.


RELEASE: U.S. TIC Data



TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

Amman wfakhoury 12:53 GMT June 16, 2014
EURUSD in buy mood
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 11:12 GMT June 13, 2014
EURUSD in buy mood: Reply
kl shawn 10:57 GMT 06/13/2014
_____________________________
still in buy mood 13563 and 13584 will be reached.
Buy and add buy if decline.
______________________________
13563 reached again

GVI Forex 12:50 GMT June 16, 2014
Agree or Disagree? EURUSD

EURUSD appeared to pop up on this

6/16/2014 8:44:46 AM ]
(EU) ECB to refrain from undertaking additional easing policies over the next several months; if the inflation outlook worsens, ECB could take action - financial press

**Note: Reports inline with comments following Draghi's press conference on Jun 5th after announcing a combination of measures to combat deflationary concerns
- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex john 12:30 GMT June 16, 2014
U.S. Empire PMI
Reply   



ALERT
+19.28 vs. +15.0 exp. vs. +19.0 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:59 GMT June 16, 2014
Agree or Disagree? EURUSD

EURUSD buying seemed to come out of EURGBP but did not threaten 1,3550 or .8000

GVI Forex john 11:33 GMT June 16, 2014
Chart Points -- Trading Points
Reply   
NEW Heat MAP EUR Crosses Moving Averages...
Looking at the markets from a EUR point of view, I don't see much of a trading bias as of this hour.





GVI Forex john 11:25 GMT June 16, 2014
Agree or Disagree? USDJPY
Reply   
JPY to S&P correlation is not working well at the moment on the 5 min chart. the USDJPY daily chart is dead flat since February (range roughly 100.75 to 102.80). For those who look at our COT charts late Friday, we are mystified by why the markets are still heavily short the JPY?

GVI Forex Blog 10:02 GMT June 16, 2014
Global Markets News
Reply   
Market Focal Points/Key Themes: European markets opened lower after violence in Ukraine and Iraq over the weekend spooked investors. Losses were kept in check after Gazprom promised to continue to keep supplying gas to Western Europe via Ukraine and the ISIS failed to mount an attack on Bagdad.

TradeTheNews.com EU Market Update: Geo-political risks continue to simmer on front burner

HK [email protected] 09:56 GMT June 16, 2014
1.3555 caps for the time.Euro looks ill.
Reply   


A decisive move (for whatever reason) above 1.3555, and one may keep position for 1.3715.


So again it is 1.3555 to be watched.

GVI Forex john 09:18 GMT June 16, 2014
May 2014 Final EZ HICP (CPI)

No revisions to EZ flash May CPI were in line with market expectations. ECB to continue efforts to spur inflation through policy ease. EUR negative.

GVI Forex Blog 09:12 GMT June 16, 2014
Markets in a Risk Off Posture to Start the New Week. Active U.S. Calendar.
Reply   
HIGH IMPACT NEWS ITEMS: US- Industrial Production

Trade Monday will get off to an active start with an active calendar in store, with final May EZ inflation figures due (HICP) among with a number of closely followed U.S. releases. See the FOREX FORUM. for actual data, selected charts, etc.) and comments from experienced traders to events as they happen

Markets in a Risk Off Posture to Start the New Week. Active U.S. Calendar.

GVI Forex john 09:08 GMT June 16, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map
Reply   


  • Markets are in a risk-off posture to start the new week, as traders continue to worry about the implications  of a possible disintegration of Iraq on global energy prices.. Oil prices are higher again today.
  • Yields in prime Eurozone fixed income markets are mostly lower, while yields on the periphery are mixed.
  • U.K. yields are modestly lower.BOE Governor Carney has sent a clear message that interest rates could rise earlier than generally expected. Some see a +25bp rate hike by yearend  U.S. yields are easier early The U.S. 10-yr is 2.58%, -3. bp.
  • Equities closed mixed in the Far East earlier. Bourses in Europe are lower. U.S. shares are down.

    The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields. This aligns all the colors in the chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off(red).


GVI Forex john 09:02 GMT June 16, 2014
May 2014 Final EZ HICP (CPI)



EZ Final HICP. Headline HICP unchanged. Core CPI unrevised. ECB focuses mainly on headline CPI.

GVI Forex john 09:00 GMT June 16, 2014
May 2014 Final EZ HICP (CPI)
Reply   




ALERT
mm:-0.10% vs. -0.10% exp. vs. +0.20% prev.
yy:+0.50% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. +0.50% prev.

HICP core
yy: +0.70% vs. +0.70% exp. vs. +0.70% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

Paris ib 08:45 GMT June 16, 2014
eurusd

viies... is a hawkish FED in the market already? I don't have a feel at this stage about expectations.

What is the FED expected to do? Continue with the taper and hint that rates will rise early next year?

Tallinn viies 08:36 GMT June 16, 2014
eurusd
Reply   
this week is the week when euro finally is ready to test 1,3475/80. if FED delivers what market expects (bringing rate hike closer than indicated before) then most likely euro will finally drop like stone. if Yellen dosnt hint change of rate path then euro may rebound up to 1,3700.
safest bet until wednesday evening would be euro selling and covering it at 1,3485.

Hong Kong Qindex 08:26 GMT June 16, 2014
EUR/AUD : Critical Point 1.4386
Reply   
Buy EURAUD
Entry: Target: Stop:




EUR/AUD : As shown in the monthly congested area the market has a tendency to trade within 1.4384 - 1.5015. It is likely that we have seen the recent low. The short term upside target is 1.4553. On the other hand the market is under pressure when it is below 1.4357 (see the monthly cycle directional indicator)


Qindex.com

EUR/AUD : Monthly Cycle Charts

london red 08:02 GMT June 16, 2014
Bot Report

eurgbp may 2012 low was 7951 but no real support until just ahead of 7900 then 7750 but near term cross susceptible to a snapback to 8006/8035 given pair opened at last weeks low and headed lower without trading in the prev weeks range to any degree. such an event is rare and only occurs during major breakout weeks, so those looking for a blip to sell are likely to get it with some patience (i note some hampered trading for sellers around 7960.)
cable similarly opened at last weeks highs and ran higher thru stops but met selling pressure, here again last weeks range will need filling in and fomc this week might be a good excuse once uk data is out of way. res 17040/50 sup 16950/44 20, 06 and the 169 figure

Mtl JP 07:54 GMT June 16, 2014
Forex News

someone plz confirm Brent's recent high.
tia

Paris ib 07:47 GMT June 16, 2014
Fog of War - No Troops from Iran
Reply   
The media has been talking up the Iraqi war with lots of photos and lots of headlines. Recently 'A SOURCE' suggested that Iran has sent troops to help quell the violence.

According to Iranian officials this is not true:

"Rouhani said Iran would only provide consultation and would not engage in military operations: “If Iraq wants any help from us, we will study it. There has been no request from us so far. We are prepared to provide any assistance but within the framework of international law and based on the Iraqi people’s demands.”

President Hassan Rouhani has denied reports that Iranian troops are inside Iraq.

Similarly Russia has denied any Russian tanks have crossed into the Ukraine, despite recent 'sources' suggesting they have.

Wonder why the Anglo-American media is pushing all the red hot buttons on this one ??

Iran Has Not Sent Troops to IRAQ

syd sf 07:33 GMT June 16, 2014
Bot Report

eur .. seeing bots covering @15ish
gbp - they took a loss

eurcad - covering @80

overall looks to me eurgbp travels lower still .. just slowly due to residual bids ard this 1.3500/10

Amman Amman 06:43 GMT June 16, 2014
NZ Expected to Record Current Account Surplus in 1Q - Poll -- Market Talk

ASB expects lots of thing but the predication may be wrong

GVI Forex Blog 03:59 GMT June 16, 2014 Reply   
(NZ) NEW ZEALAND Q2 WESTPAC CONSUMER CONFIDENCE: 121.2 V 121.7 PRIOR - (NZ) NEW ZEALAND REINZ MAY HOUSE PRICE INDEX: 3,925 V 3,971 PRIOR; M/M: -1.2% V +0.1% PRIOR; HOUSE SALES Y/Y: -14.8% V -20.2% PR

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: Equities turn lower as geopolitical jitters in Iraq and Ukraine justify caution - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Blog 03:46 GMT June 16, 2014 Reply   
Asia-pac is in a negative mood this morning as the violence in Iraq increases.

Morning Briefing : 16-Jun-2014 -0344 GMT

Syd 03:11 GMT June 16, 2014
NZ Expected to Record Current Account Surplus in 1Q - Poll -- Market Talk
Reply   
New Zealand is expected to record a quarterly current account surplus in 1Q of NZ$1.39 billion, according to a Wall Street Poll of 12 economists, while the annual deficit to March 31 is forecast to narrow to NZ$6.3 billion from NZ$7.5 billion in the year to Dec. 31. "The (1Q) surplus largely reflects continued strong export volume growth, as well as a small increase in export prices," says ASB Bank in a note. It adds that while dairy exports dipped, this was offset by increases in other exports. ASB expects a recovery in exports of services as the global recovery encourages more overseas visitors to come to NZ for holiday; "Beyond 2015, we expect an easing in the Terms of Trade will widen the current account deficit to around 5% of GDP." The data are due 2245 GMT Tuesday.

Syd 02:59 GMT June 16, 2014
Australia's S&P/ASX 200 on Track for Further Dip - Bell Potter -- Market Talk
Reply   
Australia's S&P/ASX 200 remains headed for the 5100-5200 area according to Bell Potter. "With value hard to find, low volatility and low volumes Australian equities are highly vulnerable to the slightest change in sentiment," Bell Potter's managing director, Charlie Aitken, says. "I suspect at the top down level the biggest risk to Australian equities, remembering the majority are being priced like fixed interest instruments, is from central banks." He notes the RBNZ raised interest rates last week and BOE Governor Mark Carney said rate hikes could start sooner than markets currently expect. Aitken says the FOMC could make similar hints this week. "All I know is any bringing forward of central bank cash rate rises in the eyes of investors will be bad for equities, but particularly any stock priced purely off its dividend yield." The index is down 0.4% at 5385.4.

Hong Kong AceTrader 02:33 GMT June 16, 2014
AceTrader Jun 16: Intra-Day Market Moving News & Views & data to be released today
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Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views

16 Jun 2014 01:45GMT

USD/JPY ... Despite dlr's rebound from last Thursday's low at 101.61 to 102.14 on Fri, the greenback ratcheted lower to 101.85 in Asian morning as Nikkei-225 index dropped by 99 points to 14998 due to geopolitical worries as violence escalated in Iraq, and together with Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's pledge to cut corporate taxes last week failed to lift investor sentiment.

Offers are tipped at 101.95-00 and 102.10. On the downside, bids are located at 101.70-65 with stops building up below 101.60 and 101.40.

Investors are now focusing on this week's important event that whether the Federal Reserve will provide new hints or not on the timing of interest rate hikes when it concludes its two-day policy meeting on Wednesday.
U.S. dollar may rally if there is any hawkish comments by Fed Chair Janet Yellen.


Data to be released next week:

U.K. Rightmove house prices, euro zone inflation reports, U.S. New York Fed manufacturing, industrial output, New long-term TIC flow, capacity utilization, NAHB housing market index on Monday.

Japan BoJ meeting minutes, RBA meeting minutes, Switzerland producer/import price, Italy trade
balance, U.K. CPI, PPI, RPI, Germany ZEW current conditions, ZEW economic sentiment, U.S. CPI, housing starts, building permits on Tuesday.

New Zealand current account, Japan exports, imports, trade balance, China house prices, U.K. BoE MPC vote outcome, Switzerland ZEW investor sentiment, Canada wholesale trade, U.S. Current account, FOMC rate decision on Wednesday.

New Zealand GDP, Japan Tankan, U.K. Retail sales, CBI trends, U.S. Consumer confidence on Thursday.

Germany producer prices, euro zone current accounts, Italy industrial orders, U.K. PSNCR, Canada CPI, retail sales on Friday.

dc CB 01:38 GMT June 16, 2014
Another conspiracy "theory" becomes conspiracy "fact" as The FT reports
Reply   
The report, to be published this week by the Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum (OMFIF), confirms $29.1tn in market investments

So there it is... conspiracy fact - Central Banks around the world are buying stocks in increasing size.

To summarize, the global equity market is now one massive Ponzi scheme in which the dumb money are central banks themselves, the same banks who inject the liquidity to begin with.

"Cluster Of Central Banks" Have Secretly Invested $29 Trillion In The Market

GVI Forex Blog 00:53 GMT June 16, 2014
Forex News
Reply   
* Dollar edges up but capped ahead of Fed meeting

* Euro struggles versus dollar near 4-month low

* Sterling hits 1-1/2 year high against euro

FOREX-Dollar edges up, euro remains under pressure

dc CB 00:13 GMT June 16, 2014
Chart Of The Day
Reply   
JD Bowen @jd_bowen

@markknoller @hale_razor Any idea the total rounds he has played in office? I noticed Dems counted Bush's play, but not Obama

Mark Knoller ✔ @markknoller
Follow

@jd_bowen @hale_razor By my count, this is Pres Obama's 175th round of golf since taking office. GWBush only played 24 rounds in office.

All The President's Golf Games

 




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