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Forex Forum Archive for 06/17/2014

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GVI Forex 23:53 GMT June 17, 2014
Japan
Reply   
Both imports and exports fell

NEWS: JAPAN MAY TRADE DEFICIT Y909.0 BLN; MNI MEDIAN Y1.176 TRLN

syd sf 23:36 GMT June 17, 2014
Morning

after 10 am the market can move some more .. when the short term range trade stuff will release.

overall the range size doesn't matter - that adjusts with leverage.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 23:14 GMT June 17, 2014
Morning

EURUSD has traded within a 15 pip range since 15 minutes after US CPI came out. That is 10.5 hours

syd sf 22:32 GMT June 17, 2014
Morning
Reply   
Bots continue to buy and sell within the ranges with all major pairs .. gbp especially... probably because 40-80 has been so reliable.

the only exceptional ones are aud and audnzd .. those have moved outside the projected ranges - so those are the 2 with breakout selling at the moment .. looking for .9288 and 10745

not much more to say until we see FOMC .. and the minor aud and nzd data during the day.

GVI Forex john 21:09 GMT June 17, 2014
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data



June 17, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, June 18. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: JP- BOJ Minutes, GB- BOE Minutes, US- Current Account, Fed Decision + Press conference.

  • Far East: JP- BOJ Minutes.
  • Europe: GB- BOE Minutes.
  • North America: US- Current Account, Weekly Crude, Fed Decision + Press conference.


GVI Forex Blog 20:34 GMT June 17, 2014
AUD and NZD
Reply   
US interest rates, the dollar and equities all rose. US CPI was a positive surprise and caused the most market impact among events overnight. Disappointing US housing starts and a bombing of Russia's gas pipeline in Ukraine had no observable market impact

Australia & NZ Morning Thoughts

GVI Forex john 20:18 GMT June 17, 2014
Eurozone Comparative bond charts
Reply   
This is what we all are trading. If you are a EUR bear you want Euro-area bond yields to drift lower an to converge with Germany along the way. Mario Draghi wants this as well.

Mtl JP 19:56 GMT June 17, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map

so ... allegedly it is the Saudis who finance and morally support the ISIL

Think I read that the saudis are 4th largest buyer of American military toys ...

June 17, 2014, 3:25 p.m. EDT
If Iraqi oil goes off line, $200 oil is next
Opinion: Saudi Arabia unlikely to be able to fill gap left by wider war


makes me think... maybe they need more moRE $$$$ .... to buy more moRE ?

GVI Forex john 19:37 GMT June 17, 2014
Chart Points - Free FX Database
Reply   

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

prague mark 19:35 GMT June 17, 2014
shorted
Reply   
Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.3544 Target: 1.3450 Stop: 1.3554

done

GVI Forex Blog 19:12 GMT June 17, 2014
U.S. CPI Hotter than Expected. Housing Data Soft. Focus on Fed Wednesday
Reply   
HIGH IMPACT NEWS ITEMS: JP- BOJ Minutes, GB- BOE Minutes, US- Current Account, Fed Decision + Press conference

The main focus Wednesday will be on the Fed decision and, perhaps more importantly, the press conference afterwards by Janet Yellen. While we do not expect any poicy changes, "forward guidance" is now a part of the policy decision for many central banks.

U.S. CPI Hotter than Expected. Housing Data Soft. Focus on Fed Wednesday

GVI Forex john 19:09 GMT June 17, 2014
Chart Points -- Trading Points
Reply   
Pre-Closing...




nw kw 18:57 GMT June 17, 2014
cat oil strenth

Enbridge's Northern Gateway pipeline to proceed by the bell

nw kw 18:46 GMT June 17, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map

still reports wti afraid of us gov//gold 1257 will start down trend

nw kw 18:41 GMT June 17, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map

short aud/cad weekly can givee 500pips

Mtl JP 18:25 GMT June 17, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map

Brent is creeping UP... 113.59... oh so painfully slowly

GVI Forex john 18:00 GMT June 17, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map

10-yr steady @ 2.65% +4bp.

GVI Forex john 17:19 GMT June 17, 2014
Fed Rate Decision

FWIW July 2015 Fed Funds futures show 100% odds on a +25bp rate hike by then and 18% odds on second 25bp. Highest odds on a rate hike that Ive seen for years. SHOULD be USD bullish.

GVI Forex john 17:14 GMT June 17, 2014
Fed Rate Decision
Reply   
United States interest rates into the FOMC decision on Wednesday. A mild upward BIAS in rates is evident, but no early rate changes appear to be in the cards.





GVI Forex john 16:10 GMT June 17, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map

JP- should be "winding up the day in Europe"

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 16:01 GMT June 17, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map

No stops to run = quiet US afternoon

Mtl JP 15:40 GMT June 17, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map

what do u mean "Markets are winding up the day" ? it is only 11:30 am in NY , markets doent close at noon or do they ?

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 15:39 GMT June 17, 2014
Agree or Disagree? EURUSD

One quick move on the CPI and then sideways. The sideways is what tests one nerves but life in a low vol market.

GVI Forex john 15:38 GMT June 17, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map

refresh Page manually to update table.

GVI Forex Blog 15:32 GMT June 17, 2014
Global Markets News
Reply   
Today's May CPI report showed continued gains in inflation, and the core CPI figure is now at the Fed's 2.0% target figure. On a sequential basis, core CPI increased at its fastest pace since August 2011 while the core y/y figure is back at the 2.0% level for the first time since February 2013

TradeTheNews.com US Market Update: Waiting for the FOMC

GVI Forex john 15:29 GMT June 17, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map


  • Markets are winding up the day in Europe with a mixed risk-on posture. The political  worries persist.
  • Yields in prime Eurozone fixed income markets are higher.  Yields on the periphery are up as wel. This follows a hotter than expected U.S. CPI report
  • U.K. yields are higher. Many see a +25bp BOE rate hike by yearend.  U.S. yields are easier. The U.S. 10-yr is 2.64%, +3 bp.
  • Equities closed mostly lower in the Far East earlier. Bourses in Europe are higher. U.S. shares are mixed.

    The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields. This aligns all the colors in the chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off(red).


Mtl JP 15:28 GMT June 17, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map

NY JM note how that yen is US 10-yr paper 123.79 dependent ?
at least during the US session ?

yield is back under 2.65% , higher yield train not leaving the station just yet

GVI Forex Blog 15:02 GMT June 17, 2014 Reply   
June 17, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, June 18. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: JP- BOJ Minutes, GB- BOE Minutes, US- Current Account, Fed Decision + Press conference.

GVI Forex Data Outlook for May 18, 2014

GVI Forex john 15:01 GMT June 17, 2014
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data
Reply   


June 17, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, June 18. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: JP- BOJ Minutes, GB- BOE Minutes, US- Current Account, Fed Decision + Press conference.

  • Far East: JP- BOJ Minutes.
  • Europe: GB- BOE Minutes.
  • North America: US- Current Account, Weekly Crude, Fed Decision + Press conference.


Mtl JP 14:51 GMT June 17, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map

how quickly have you forgotten that "Fed looks at exit fees on bond funds" - FT ?

at least you can throw Toilet Paper away when you chose ... at NO extra cost beyond what you paid for it (and not counting its value of its intended purpose)

NY JM 14:46 GMT June 17, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map

There is no concern currently about any paper, look at Spain, Italy, etc. Do you feel safer holding Spanish paper nor US?

Mtl JP 14:45 GMT June 17, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map

I just got an e-mail promo from a broker:
"Leverage the assets in --- to boost the buying power in your margin account. Use that buying power to buy additional securities with your margin account".

Mtl JP 14:42 GMT June 17, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map

JM it is all in perceptions .. yours, mine & markets'..
so lets keep an ear tuned to sentiment about that

NY JM 14:38 GMT June 17, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map

Equities now heading towards the flat line - as I said day is young

JP, you sound like the paper is toilet paper

Mtl JP 14:30 GMT June 17, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map

or alternately players will probably want to see sustained 2.65% to pile up on the wagon . BUT who s got the cojones to challenge the player with unlimited printer capacity and willingness to buy anything and everything ? sofar the fed's games only work because folks are willing to trade with it

Mtl JP 14:26 GMT June 17, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map

JM you want to see Lew's paper price sub 123.79
maybe then usdyen will run UP

GVI Forex 14:23 GMT June 17, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map

Equities so far shrugging it off but day is young

NY JM 14:17 GMT June 17, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map

JPY is sensitive to moves in US yields.

GVI Forex john 14:13 GMT June 17, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map

10-yr headed up sharply 2.650% +5bp

Mtl JP 14:10 GMT June 17, 2014
Turkey/Iraq/Nato???

isn't war & violence just a harsh(er) form of dialogue / diplomacy ?

GVI Forex 14:00 GMT June 17, 2014
Turkey/Iraq/Nato???

6/17/2014 9:57:36 AM
(IQ) UN Sec Gen Ban: There is a real risk that violence will spread beyond Iraq, reaching out to leaders of Iran and Turkey to discuss the situation
- Source TradeTheNews.com

HK [email protected] 13:42 GMT June 17, 2014
Turkey/Iraq/Nato???
Reply   



(Reuters) - Turkey has imposed a ban on media reporting about the seizure by Islamic militants of Turkish diplomats and soldiers from the country's consulate in the northern Iraqi city of Mosul, Ankara's broadcasting authority said on Tuesday.

Insurgents from the Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) seized 49 Turks, including special forces soldiers, diplomats and children last Wednesday, prompting criticism of Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan's government for failing to foresee the danger and evacuate the consulate sooner.

.....NATO Secretary-General Anders Fogh Rasmussen called on Monday for the immediate release of the Turks held in Mosul.

dc CB 13:30 GMT June 17, 2014
May 2014 U.S. Consumer Price Index



the yield on the 5ver is also Negative

msa nsm 13:29 GMT June 17, 2014
Cable

*abel*.....tp *.6831*

dc CB 13:28 GMT June 17, 2014
May 2014 U.S. Consumer Price Index

so anyone with a Bank acct rate of 1% on a Year + CD is really getting -1.5%. or less.

Negative rates

msa nsm 13:28 GMT June 17, 2014
Cable

abe......most likely double top at res. .6991, to .6831, i think

Livingston nh 13:25 GMT June 17, 2014
May 2014 U.S. Consumer Price Index

FI side is starting to take notice - 2 yr is w/i 4bps of Sept high

Mtl JP 13:17 GMT June 17, 2014
May 2014 U.S. Consumer Price Index

all those un-adjusted 2% + prices rising abouve the adjested are music to Janet and her gang. Horrible news for the salt-of-the-earth honest American salaried worker - worse for the non-worker.

Those govt coupon support programs better not be cut back else one might see violence on streets of America

Jkt Abel 13:14 GMT June 17, 2014
Cable
Reply   
Bought 1.6953...1.6980 again

Livingston nh 13:11 GMT June 17, 2014
May 2014 U.S. Consumer Price Index

For expectation purposes and appropriate interest rate level y/y inflation is irrelevant (except for cost of living adj and divorces) -- use a 3 month avg ( e.g. Core is 2.8%) so food is 5.2% and energy is 4.4% -- this is what feeds expectations // GDP deflator in Q2 should be a rip

Mtl JP 13:05 GMT June 17, 2014
Data on Deck

data-wise nothing of potential consequence left on deck in the NY session

GVI Forex john 12:53 GMT June 17, 2014
May 2014 U.S. House Starts & Permits (000)



New Homes Starts and Permits. Topping out?.

dc CB 12:50 GMT June 17, 2014
May 2014 U.S. Consumer Price Index



take a look at the last column....Unadjusted y-y

GVI Forex john 12:44 GMT June 17, 2014
May 2014 U.S. Consumer Price Index



U.S. May CPI rising...

Mtl JP 12:35 GMT June 17, 2014
Agree or Disagree? USDJPY

john 12:26 I suspect the yield has changed 10 minutes later (UP)

GVI Forex john 12:33 GMT June 17, 2014
May 2014 U.S. Consumer Price Index
Reply   



ALERT
Headline:
m/m: +0.40% vs. +0.20% exp. v +0.30% pre
y/y: +2.10% vs. +2.00% exp. v +2.00% pre
Core:
m/m: +0.30% vs. +0.20% exp. v +0.20% pre
y/y: +2.00% vs. +1.80% exp. v +1.80% pre


RELEASE: Consumer Price Index


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

Mtl JP 12:32 GMT June 17, 2014
Data on Deck

core 0.3% vs 0.2% expected vs 0.2% last

GVI Forex john 12:30 GMT June 17, 2014
May 2014 U.S. House Starts & Permits (000)
Reply   



NEWS ALERT
Starts: 1.001 vs. 1.040 exp. vs. 1.072 (r 1.071) prev.
Permits:0.991 vs. 1.060 exp. vs. 1.059 prev.


New Residential Construction



TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources


GVI Forex john 12:26 GMT June 17, 2014
Agree or Disagree? USDJPY
Reply   
Equities are of their earlier highs, but are still up on the day in Europe and the U.S. (risk-on?). USDJPY remains stalled. This remains a range trade, but as we all know, trading it is easier said than done.

10-yr 2.592% -1bp.

Mtl JP 12:25 GMT June 17, 2014
Data on Deck

which, do you expect, will drive player reaction:

US House Starts 1040 1072
US House Permits 1060 1059
US CPI m Apr 0.20% 0.30%
US CPI yy 2.00% 2.00%
US core CPI m 0.20% 0.20%
US core CPI yy 1.80% 1.80%

me thinks CPI is the bigger focus

Mtl JP 11:46 GMT June 17, 2014
Making New Low

Paris ib 09:48 not ugly. Just "or what": too many boats (not enough demand for their service)

Mtl JP 11:44 GMT June 17, 2014
Data on Deck
Reply   
"Commerce Department data at 8:30 a.m. in Washington may show the pace of U.S. home construction probably cooled last month. Housing starts fell 3.9 percent to a 1.03 million annualized rate following April’s 1.07 million pace, according to the median estimate in a Bloomberg survey. Building permits probably slipped 0.9 percent to a 1.05 million annualized pace." - claims bloomberg

GVI Forex john 11:23 GMT June 17, 2014
June 2014 German ZEW Survey

JP gave me an idea.
If you believe the ZEW data and if expectations are a valid forecast of "current Conditions" in six months time, respondents are increasingly bearish about the German economy.

I just added a line, expectations minus current conditions. If you believe the data, is this a forecast?


syd sf 11:20 GMT June 17, 2014
Agree or Disagree? EURUSD

all I see is - in and out I don't see real trend positions on the books here .. and that is probably a good thing given how defensive the market is.

the levels with the most pain attached seem to be pretty clear:

1.3500 eur 1.7050 gbp 100.75 $yen

then you have eurgbp 8000... above or below.

Mtl JP 11:14 GMT June 17, 2014
cat oil strenth

if you want to slam, and have higher risk appetite, suggest Lew's US 10-yr paper on pops up

Mtl JP 10:59 GMT June 17, 2014
cat oil strenth

try selling the cad$ (buy usd/cad)

nw kw 10:28 GMT June 17, 2014
cat oil strenth

jp-whut do we slam

london red 10:28 GMT June 17, 2014
Agree or Disagree? EURUSD

not once has market been squeezed ahead of fomc, we could see 90/99/10 but not likely higher before settling aroun 13560-80 tomorrow evening pre fomc. any such stop run can take cable with it now that 16960 has been retaken and a move thru 170 would be possibly with a euro around 13600. however ahead of mpc minutes tomorrow 17040 should cap. not entirely sure as yet how to play minutes tomorrow morning. market is certainly looking for some dissent from one or two members and since carney blow off speech nobody from the mpc has come out to contradict, so the better option may be to fade strength on a break of 17040 tomorrow morning setting up for profit taking ahead of the fed. on release a hawkish mpc minutes will allow for a chse thru 17040 another trade to consider, but setting up long prior is risky given heightened expectations and thus risk of severe drop on disappointment.

nw kw 10:26 GMT June 17, 2014
cat oil strenth
Reply   
The federal government must announce a decision on whether to allow Enbridge's Northern Gateway pipeline to proceed by the end of day Tuesday, and all three possible options have big political price tags attached to them.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/northern-gateway-decision-holds-no-easy-political-options-for-harper-1.2676917

GVI Forex Blog 10:12 GMT June 17, 2014
Global Markets News
Reply   
The EUR/USD remained well contained within recent ranges but did hit a 1-week high at 1.3580. The pair bounced off Monday's lows after reports circulated that ECB would refrain from undertaking additional easing policies over the next several months after the combination of measures announced back on Jun 5th

TradeTheNews.com EU Market Update: UK inflation at 4 ½ year low; German ZEW mixed but cautious on Q2 outlook

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 10:08 GMT June 17, 2014
Agree or Disagree? EURUSD

As posted last night on GVI Forex. High has been 1.3587

Tuesday's Trading Outlook
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 00:44 GMT 06/17/2014 - My Profile
Early break of 1.3580 has not gone far and suggests this level needs to become support for a greater retracement risk.

There was quiet demand all day and seems more like some book squaring (note EUR crosses) than anything else.

10 day = 1.3586, 20 day mva = 1.3608, suggests res 1.3586-08


Reply

Mtl JP 09:59 GMT June 17, 2014
Making New Low

nw kw 09:57 plz re-post that in English

nw kw 09:57 GMT June 17, 2014
Making New Low

JP- you traking trans can pip can be runner rpported get the time deadline?

nw kw 09:55 GMT June 17, 2014
Making New Low

poss aud/cad-cat for the pip line can be in news this day or two

nw kw 09:50 GMT June 17, 2014
Making New Low

china buying for cars for internal growth now, axg ,platinum palladium some say shod be at 1000 its at 808/

Paris ib 09:48 GMT June 17, 2014
Making New Low

Is that ugly or what!!

Mtl JP 09:41 GMT June 17, 2014
Making New Low
Reply   


Baltic Dry Index

GVI Forex john 09:34 GMT June 17, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map

1-yr Gilt 2.76% 0bp

Brock Thor 09:31 GMT June 17, 2014
GBP/JPY

Closed open position.
Went flat.
Very small gain.
I'll take another look next Asian session and over next few days.

Looking for more confident sentiment.

GVI Forex Blog 09:22 GMT June 17, 2014
Markets in Risk-On Posture. U.K. CPI Data Eases. German ZEW Mixed
Reply   
HIGH IMPACT NEWS ITEMS: US- CPI. House Starts & Permits

U.K. inflation data were softer than expected and are unlikely to influence BOE plans to tighten monetary policy near yearend, unless the economy unexpectedly starts to weaken.

Markets in Risk-On Posture. U.K. CPI Data Eases. German ZEW Mixed

london red 09:08 GMT June 17, 2014
uk data

kw, eurgbp 200 hour if breached will likely take us to 8035 on stop run. my stop will be above 8064 (an old fib), with sales at 8035 and 8050/55 unless i can time the latter closer to 64.

GVI Forex john 09:06 GMT June 17, 2014
June 2014 German ZEW Survey

German ZEW Survey. Data mixed. The more closely watched Economic Expectations reading falls. EURUSD unfazed.


GVI Forex john 09:00 GMT June 17, 2014
June 2014 German ZEW Survey
Reply   



NEWS ALERT
Economic Expectations: 29.8 vs. +35.0 exp. vs. +33.1 prev.
Current Conditions: 67.7 vs. +62.1 exp. vs. +62.1 prev.


RELEASE: German ZEW Survey


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

nw kw 09:00 GMT June 17, 2014
uk data

smart gbp killer tks

GVI Forex john 08:59 GMT June 17, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map
Reply   


  • Markets are starting the day in a  risk-on posture, as political  worries have eased a bit.
  • Yields in prime Eurozone fixed income markets are a touch higher.  Yields on the periphery are up as well.
  • U.K. yields are higher. Many see a +25bp BOE rate hike by yearend  U.S. yields are easier. The U.S. 10-yr is 2.60%, -1 bp.
  • Equities closed mostly lower in the Far East earlier. Bourses in Europe are mostly higher. U.S. shares are up.

    The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields. This aligns all the colors in the chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off(red).


london red 08:55 GMT June 17, 2014
uk data

kw, have to admit i was short quarter of an hour before data and covered on release as i feared dip buyers ahead of minutes tomorrow. this inflation report likely to be lowest this year. we got one one off factors in the report which are not going to be repeated next time plus fuel prices are now going to drag up the following report(s). however that does not mean stops cant be run today if levels res levels are held (cable 60, 38 low print). eurgbp shorts are pretty crowded now and we could run to 8064 without doing any damage technically at all, but that move in itself would burn up plenty of short stops (no market moves in a straight line for long). move to 7905(25) and 7750 still intact while below 8100/30.

nw kw 08:50 GMT June 17, 2014
uk data

are stops in e/g -red tks

nw kw 08:48 GMT June 17, 2014
uk data

xaugbp pulling up/long e/g

nw kw 08:45 GMT June 17, 2014
uk data

red--A marked slowdown in the U.K.’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) may generate a larger pullback in the GBP/USD as it limits Bank of England (BoE) scope to normalize monetary policy sooner rather than later.

whut do see gbp can be soft or are keeping your plan trade man

London 08:44 GMT June 17, 2014
EUR/USD finds resistance at 1.3587
Reply   
Buy EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD moved higher on Monday, but the advance was halted by the 1.3587 (R1) barrier. The rate oscillates between the support of 1.3500 (S1) and the aforementioned resistance since the 10th of June, thus I would keep a neutral stance for now. Relying on our short-term momentum studies, does not seem a solid strategy since the RSI is now pointing down, while the MACD, already above its signal line, seems ready to obtain a positive sign. The next support level is marked by the lows of February at 1.3475 (S2). Only a clear dip below that hurdle could signal the continuation of the prevailing short-term downtrend and may trigger extensions towards the 1.3400 (S3) zone. In the bigger picture, the rate remains below the 200-day moving average, keeping the outlook negative.
Support: 1.3500 (S1), 1.3475 (S2), 1.3400 (S3).
Resistance: 1.3587 (R1), 1.3685 (R2), 1.3745 (R3).


Posted with permission of global-view.com

Automated trading signals

london red 08:42 GMT June 17, 2014
uk data

cable res now 60, while caps chance still of lower otherwise we are done and look for next catalyst.

GVI Forex john 08:41 GMT June 17, 2014
May 2014 UK CPI/RPIX

U.K. CPI & RPIX data eases by more than expected. BOE focus these days has been "slack" in the economy. GBPUSD falls, but should not stay down. No likely impact on policy..

london red 08:37 GMT June 17, 2014
uk data

cable at 44 and eurgbp at 06 both levels of support for gbp. market is long gbp but both need to be taken with vigour otherwise market will look towards mpc minutes tomorrow and will go in long as market expects some sort of dissent from at least one member so logical market will build long positions again if stops not run

GVI Forex john 08:33 GMT June 17, 2014
May 2014 UK CPI/RPIX
Reply   




-- NEWS ALERT --


CPI mm: -0.10% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. +0.40% prev.
CPI yy:+1.50% vs. +1.70% exp. vs. +1.80% prev.

RPIX yy:+2.50 % vs. +2.60% exp. vs. +2.60% prev.

UK Core Output PPI
yy: +1.00% vs. 1.10% exp. vs. +1.00% prev.


RELEASE: Consumer Price Indices


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

london red 08:18 GMT June 17, 2014
uk data
Reply   
good chance uk inflation may miss today, may provide opportunity for short eurgbp north of 80 pence as market is long cable and poor setup for a disappointing number. res at 8006 35 and 64. cable support at 60 42 20 and the fig/05. res 17040.

GVI Forex Blog 06:59 GMT June 17, 2014 Reply   
(CN) CHINA MAY ACTUAL FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT (FDI) YTD: 2.8% (1-year low) v 5.0% PRIOR; Y/Y: -6.7% v +3.4% PRIOR - (AU) AUSTRALIA MAY NEW MOTOR VEHICLE SALES M/M: 0.3% V 0.1% PRIOR; Y/Y: -2.0% V -

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: RBA meeting minutes solidify policy on hold; Shell sheds Woodside stake for $5B - Source TradeTheNews.com

Amman wfakhoury 06:54 GMT June 17, 2014
GBP/JPY summary

No confirmed level yet at this pairs

Johannesburg HvW 05:49 GMT June 17, 2014
GBP/JPY summary
Reply   
Good morning Mr.Wfakhoury,

Please let me know what your views are regarding the GBP/JPY cross.

Thanking you in advance.

Continued success to you.

Amman wfakhoury 04:58 GMT June 17, 2014
EURUSD in buy mood 13584 reached

So sorry..usdjpy is not in my system

sz www 04:40 GMT June 17, 2014
EURUSD in buy mood 13584 reached

Sir,
Could you give your view on USD/JPY?
Appreciated!

Amman wfakhoury 04:27 GMT June 17, 2014
EURUSD in buy mood 13584 reached
Reply   
Amman wfakhoury 12:53 GMT 06/16/2014
Amman wfakhoury 11:12 GMT June 13, 2014
EURUSD in buy mood: Reply
kl shawn 10:57 GMT 06/13/2014
_____________________________
still in buy mood 13563 and 13584 will be reached.
Buy and add buy if decline.

The only one in the world who confirms the next level


Hong Kong Qindex 03:27 GMT June 17, 2014
EUR/GBP : Critical Point 0.7920
Reply   
Buy EURGBP
Entry: Target: Stop:




EUR/GBP : Critical Point 0.7920


EUR/GBP : The bias is on the upside when the market is able to trade above the critical supporting levels of 0.7920 // 0.7932. As shown in the monthly cycle congested area the market has a tendency to trade within 0.7930 - 8.8175.


Qindex.com

EUR/GBP : Monthyl Cycle Charts

Hong Kong AceTrader 02:11 GMT June 17, 2014
AceTrader Jun 17: Intra-Day Market Moving News & Views
Reply   

Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views

17 Jun 2014 01:31GMT

AUD/USD - 0.9385
RBA releases minutes of its June's policy meeting (the minutes said to keep rates low amid uncertain outlook) :

1. significant recovery underway in home building, non-mining investment still subdued.
2. liaison with retailers suggested sales growth slowed further in may.
3. noted sharp fall in surveys of consumer confidence, doubted their predictive power.
4. spare labour capacity to keep wage growth restrained over the year ahead.
5. lower iron ore price still profitable for Australian miners, not so for some others.
6. demand for labour had improved, but employment growth likely to be only moderate.
7. economic growth to be below trend for next year or so, inflation within target band.
8. repeats a$ high by historical standards, especially given fall in commodity prices.
9. these "uncertainties" would likely take some time to resolve.
10. difficult to judge if low rates enough to offset mining investment, fiscal tightening.
11. policy likely to stay accommodative for some time yet.

The aussie falls after the minutes as the tone is interpreted on the dovish side.

dc CB 02:10 GMT June 17, 2014
Observations



GM TO RECALL

it jsut stopped right in front of me. I woz doin' the speed limit 70MPH...and NO I wazn't dozn' off.

looked like the engine just died!!!!

syd sf 01:51 GMT June 17, 2014
Morning

my trading bots

are buying eur gbp and aud .. selling nzd

and selling gold.

tightish range on the day but so far they have picked the eyes out of it.

off till london myself.

dc CB 01:43 GMT June 17, 2014
Observations

We’re in an event driven market the outcome and their effect on markets are unknown.

Clearly the Fed Meeting Wednesday is a more tempered event compared to Ukraine and naturally Iraq. But any of these can upset the bulls apple cart especially given current lofty equity market levels.

One perhaps not too surprising, at least to cynics, is the release by the Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum (OMFIF) and as reported by the FT various central banks and sovereign funds have invested nearly $26 trillion in equity markets. This has been done due to low yields and includes China, Swiss and Danish central banks. Thomas Jordan, SNB’s chairman, as saying: “We are now invested in large, mid- and small-cap stocks in developed markets worldwide.”

I guess a bear market would be fought by fierce money printing don’t you think?

Dave's

dc CB 01:34 GMT June 17, 2014
Gold outer bearish day/ Euro 2 outer bullish days.

if you've been paying attention, Gold is Always Sold into an FMOC meeting.

but your trade. I don't mess with gold

HK [email protected] 01:14 GMT June 17, 2014
Gold outer bearish day/ Euro 2 outer bullish days.
Reply   


Should one sell gold/Euro ? Heeelp!!!

Mtl JP 01:03 GMT June 17, 2014
Global Markets News

Japan’s Abe unveils corporate-tax cut, other reforms

In a series of widely expected policy announcements yesterday, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has pulled back his bow of state and let fly the “third arrow” of his trio of economic offensives, with a planned cut to the corporate tax serving as the pointy tip. .../..

Brock Thor 00:54 GMT June 17, 2014
GBP/JPY

Bottom fishing that 1hr triangle.
21 ema under price but loosing ground.
We'll see.
Will close on any strong dip below 25 sma.

GVI Forex Blog 00:40 GMT June 17, 2014
Global Markets News
Reply   
* Caution ahead of Fed meeting, concerns about impact of Iraqi insurgency

* Brighter U.S. data contrasts with IMF's downbeat assessment

* Sterling steadies close to 5-year highs; BOE minutes awaited

FOREX-Dollar steady as market awaits Fed meeting, Iraq news

Brock Thor 00:37 GMT June 17, 2014
GBP/JPY
Reply   
...
Entry: Target: Stop:

Cautious long Gbp/Jpy. TP 179.
I'm long now....but watching close.
Each dip gets shallower-so a breakout is coming???

 




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