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Forex Forum Archive for 06/23/2014

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


Brock Thor 23:37 GMT June 23, 2014
Eur/Jpy
Reply   
Reuters says short at 138.30 target 137.10.Eur/Jpy.
I'm not short this pair.

Gbp/jpy ...Reuters says they are 'still' long.
--yesterday dip important.
--further gains in days ahead.
--175 is next resistance.
--Magnetic fib50% in months to come.

Months is a change as they stated 'weeks' weeks ago.
There confidence may be slipping as mine is.
But I'm still long.

GVI Forex Blog 23:32 GMT June 23, 2014
Forex News
Reply   
* CAD, AUD, NZD outperform G3 peers after upbeat China PMI

* USD, EUR and JPY still searching for inspiration

* Japan to announce more 'Third Arrow' policies

FOREX-Dollar bloc currencies in favour, G3 sidelined

Brock Thor 23:07 GMT June 23, 2014
Eur/Usd
Reply   
I'm long Eur/ Usd
Can't believe it didn't make 1.3642 over night.
I'm up 8 pips all I need is another 38 pips.
Anybody long to this recent high?

Still long Gbp/Jpy was up 40 yesturday then down 17 this morning.
Now up 14.7nowhere close to the 180.00-84.
Calls on the Street still say long for weeks to come.
I'm losing patients might continue plays on Supp/rest stance.
I'm up 60 ish over last week.

syd sf 22:57 GMT June 23, 2014
Morning
Reply   
gbp short term selling @30-31
eur short term selling @06

(till 10 am sydney)

eurcad sideways - had selling at 98-00 but they were closed with minimal gains

the one trade bots favor today is +aud/nzd

can't add anything else at this point because ntg appears particularly directional.

GVI Forex Blog 20:52 GMT June 23, 2014
Eurozone June Flash PMIs Soft, But U.S. PMI Improves. Japan and China Flash PMIs Recover
Reply   
HIGH IMPACT NEWS ITEMS: DE- IFO Survey, US- Conference Board Survey, New Homes Sales

U.S. PMI data were stronger than expected as were exiting Homes Sales, which improved from depressed levels.

Eurozone June Flash PMIs Soft, But U.S. PMI Improves. Japan and China Flash PMIs Recover

GVI Forex john 19:44 GMT June 23, 2014
Chart Points - Free FX Database
Reply   

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

GVI Forex john 19:09 GMT June 23, 2014
Chart Points -- Trading Points
Reply   
Pre-Closing...




GVI Forex john 18:54 GMT June 23, 2014
Chart Points -- Trading Points

10-yr 2.620%

not much happening here either. I assume > 2.60% is USD positive and < 2.60% is negative? but I'm not sure. 2.600% is neutral.

GVI Forex 16:59 GMT June 23, 2014
Agree or Disagree? EURUSD

Monday, June 23, 2014 11:57:51 AM
(EU) ECB's Nowotny: ECB is interested in limiting EUR strength, but has no FX target

- EMU recovery has been somewhat weak, face danger that the cost of crisis could be that potential growth may be limited
- Germany is increasingly becoming Europe's growth engine
- ECB is significantly undershooting goal of price stability, but eurozone is not seeing deflation.
- Expecting inflation to be below the ECB targets until 2016
- Main issues in bank lending is weak demand
- Funding for lending scheme by the BOE has not been seen as a large success
- Narrowing spreads on peripheral debt is not simply because of ECB action, but also due to growing investor interest in the Eurozone
- Hope banks will regain full trust of the market after the asset quality review is completed.

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 16:22 GMT June 23, 2014
Agree or Disagree? EURUSD

This is one of those low volatility days and a key is to recognize it beforehand so you can adjust accordingly if you choose to trade.

Paris ib 15:32 GMT June 23, 2014
Agree or Disagree? EURUSD

John I think investors are nervous generally. And that's everywhere. It's the speculators who may have pulled their heads in. Something is brewing and I think what we are seeing is positions being closed more than anything.

GVI Forex john 15:27 GMT June 23, 2014
Agree or Disagree? EURUSD

ib- you may be right. I can see some investors nervous about investing in the states.

GVI Forex john 15:26 GMT June 23, 2014
Chart Points -- Trading Points


  • Markets remain in a mild risk-off posture late in  Europe Monday. Political uncertainties high. EZ Flash PMI data were a disappointment. U.S. data outperformed.
  • Yields in prime Eurozone fixed income markets are lower. Yields on the European periphery have turned down.
  • U.K. yields are lower. Most see a +25bp BOE rate hike by yearend.
  • U.S. yields are lower. The U.S. 10-yr is pivoting the 2.60% line.The U.S. 10-yr is 2.60%, -3 bp.
  • Equities closed mixed in the Far East. Bourses in Europe are closing lower. U.S. shares are down.

    The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields. This aligns all the colors in the chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off(red).


Paris ib 15:20 GMT June 23, 2014
Agree or Disagree? EURUSD

The market smells a rat.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 15:10 GMT June 23, 2014
There is a Method to my Madness
Reply   


Special Trading Outlook Video Update

Send me an EMAIL to see and learn more

GVI Forex Blog 14:59 GMT June 23, 2014 Reply   
June 23, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, June 24. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: DE- IFO Survey, US- Conference Board Confidence Survey,New Homes Sales

GVI Forex Trading News Calendar for June 24, 2014

GVI Forex john 14:51 GMT June 23, 2014
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data News
Reply   


June 23, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Tuesday, June 24. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: DE- IFO Survey, US- Conference Board Confidence Survey,New Homes Sales

  • Far East: No Major data.
  • Europe: DE- IFO Survey
  • North America: US- Case-Shiller, Conference Board Confidence Survey,New Homes Sales, Richmond Fed, 2-y Auction, API Energy.


GVI Forex john 14:38 GMT June 23, 2014
May 2014 U.S. Existing Homes Sales (mln)

"...Regionally, existing-home sales in the Northeast rose 3.3 percent to an annual rate of 620,000 in May, but are 3.1 percent below a year ago. The median price in the Northeast was $256,700, down 0.9 percent from May 2013.

In the Midwest, existing-home sales jumped 8.7 percent to an annual rate of 1.13 million in May, but are still 7.4 percent below May 2013. The median price in the Midwest was $165,900, up 4.0 percent from a year ago.

Existing-home sales in the South increased 5.7 percent to an annual level of 2.05 million in May, but are down 0.5 percent from May 2013. The median price in the South was $184,800, up 4.4 percent from a year ago.

Existing-home sales in the West rose 0.9 percent to an annual rate of 1.09 million in May, and are 11.4 percent below a year ago. The median price in the West was $297,500, which is 8.4 percent above May 2013..."

-- NAR

NY JM 14:35 GMT June 23, 2014
Agree or Disagree? EURUSD

John, good use of the word "SHOULD"

nw kw 14:16 GMT June 23, 2014
May 2014 U.S. Existing Homes Sales (mln)

rebound in Middle-West--rain in news

GVI Forex john 14:13 GMT June 23, 2014
Agree or Disagree? EURUSD

Strong U.S. data today, although some wonder if the housing improvement is sustainable.

SHOULD be a weight on EURUSD? if not, we are trading on something else.

GVI Forex john 14:08 GMT June 23, 2014
May 2014 U.S. Existing Homes Sales (mln)



Existing Homes Sales is by far the most significant housing statistic. In line with Pending Homes Sales. Post-Winter rebound in Middle-West?.

GVI Forex john 14:02 GMT June 23, 2014
May 2014 U.S. Existing Homes Sales (mln)
Reply   



ALERT
4.890 vs. 4.740 exp. vs. 4.650 (r 4.660) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources


GVI Forex john 13:57 GMT June 23, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map

10-yr 2.602% steady from earlier.

Singapore SC 13:54 GMT June 23, 2014
Agree or Disagree? USDCAD

You can keep selling above 1.36 unless you see it break 1.3645-50. Iimvho

GVI Forex john 13:52 GMT June 23, 2014
U.S. June 2014 Markit flash Mfg PMI



U.S. flash Markit Manufacturing PMI stronger than forecast. If you believe the Markit data, the U.S. economy and USD are going to take off.

GVI Forex john 13:46 GMT June 23, 2014
U.S. June 2014 Markit flash Mfg PMI
Reply   



ALERT
57.5 vs. 56.0 exp. vs. 56.4 prelim


Markit PMI Press Release


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

London Charles 13:40 GMT June 23, 2014
GBPUSD 1.70
Reply   
The prince says gbousd looks out of steam but it all depends whether there is a bid at 1.70.

HK [email protected] 13:35 GMT June 23, 2014
Kerry Baghdadai
Reply   


His safe visit to Baghdad, exposed something: Baghdad is as safe as your home!!!... now oil price falls.


Cad$ affected too.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:22 GMT June 23, 2014
Agree or Disagree? USDCAD



Here is the chart from Friday

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:21 GMT June 23, 2014
Agree or Disagree? USDCAD

I posted this on Friday and charts so far playing out although a ways to go before reaching next key levels.

From what I have been reading price action in USDCAD has been driven by liquidation of stale longs.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:15 GMT June 20, 2014
Agree or Disagree? USDCAD: Reply

This 1.0800-20 area is a key one for USDCAD as there is a void below it until around 1.0585, where there is also the key daily trendline. See chart

nw kw 13:11 GMT June 23, 2014
Agree or Disagree? EURUSD

CHICAGO -- U.S. lumber futures Thursday bounded higher as traders see stronger demand for construction materials in the cash markets. More optimistic market sentiment has also been ushered in following a stronger-than-expected gauge of home-builder confidence this week.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:01 GMT June 23, 2014
Agree or Disagree? EURUSD

I prefer to focus my patterns on the short term but this was posted just now on GVI Forex by one of our senior members

I took a closer look and out of the past 22 days, the high has been 1.36xx on 17 days and 1.35xx on 5 days

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:46 GMT June 23, 2014
Agree or Disagree? EURUSD

As I posted on GVIForex

Market assumes EURUSD range is 1.35-1.37 so it should not be a surprise to see 1.36 become the focal point.

1.36 has traded 3 days in a row and if you include last Wednesday when the high was 1.3599, you can make a case that it is 4 days.

The longer this pattern goes on the better the chance of a directional move once broken. In the meantime, have been trading under the assumption of a 1.3550-1.3650 range as long as this pattern is valid.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:50 GMT June 23, 2014
Agree or Disagree? EURUSD

Daily Forex Trading Outlook Video

I included game changer levels in today's video and what it would taker to break a range currently focused on 1.36.

If you would like to see the video update, send me an EMAIL

Oanda Reviews 11:37 GMT June 23, 2014 Reply   

A Broker Review for Oanda has just been added.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:29 GMT June 23, 2014
Beware of the Hidden Spread Your Forex Broker is Charging You
Reply   
I was once told by a broker to look at the executed spread (i.e.at what price your trade is actually executed at) and not what a broker claims to be its bid-offered spread. I didn't think much of it at the time but have come to realize that what he said was true. I can speak about this from experience... Read More (click below)

Beware of the Hidden Spread Your Forex Broker is Charging You

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:25 GMT June 23, 2014
Why is Forex Trading Like World Cup Soccer (Part Two)
Reply   
There are lessons to be learned from Portugal's last gasp goal to tie USA. See what they are...

Why is Forex Trading Like World Cup Soccer (Part Two)

GVI Forex john 11:20 GMT June 23, 2014
Agree or Disagree? USDJPY
Reply   
It looks to me like the market is in search of direction. USDJPY is following the lead of the S&P. U.S. Markit PMI data is due mid-morning in NY.

HK [email protected] 11:17 GMT June 23, 2014
AUD remains overvalued Westpac
Reply   

msa nsm 11:04 GMT June 23, 2014
Swing trades

London Chris 09:45 GMT 06/23/2014
msa. What are you basing your trade on? Either you use low leverage or have deep pockets.
____________

But i'm open to any insights and criticism. Its all about learning and sharing.

So far, I trade only from daily supp and rest. with potential swings/range. Sell at high range and buy at lower range, sizing in at key support and rest. If those a broken then I exit and look for entry at better levels. My charts are simple and straight forward.

My win/loss ratio is 6 out of 10 trades with profit pips of average 150 per trade. Losses cover upto maximum 80pips with sizing in so basically per 10 trades i make on average 550pips.

Thats my strategy nywy.

Mtl JP 10:55 GMT June 23, 2014
Global Markets News

Canadian Finance Minister Joe Oliver said today that the U.S. is heading toward a “reasonably solid” economic expansion while he sees some concern about China. - Bloomberg

GVI Forex john 10:53 GMT June 23, 2014
Chart Points -- Trading Points

fwiw- flash EZ PMI data today were broadly weaker than expected.

msa nsm 10:50 GMT June 23, 2014
Swing trades

low leverage and if you're refering to usd/cad its basically two entries hence the SL.

GVI Forex john 10:43 GMT June 23, 2014
Chart Points -- Trading Points

Forex market from EUR Perspective. EUR weaker= all red (moving averages and changes on the day).



GVI Forex 10:37 GMT June 23, 2014
Chart Points -- Trading Points

Daily USD based Pivot Points. Basis previous session ranges...





GVI Forex Blog 10:08 GMT June 23, 2014
Global Markets News
Reply   
FX markets remain locked in tight ranges with dealers hoping for signs that volatility would pick up. The EUR/USD was still contained within recent weekly ranges but softer in today's session following the weaker PMI surveys out of Europe.

TradeTheNews.com EU Market Update: Major European PMI Survey again disapponts

London Chris 09:45 GMT June 23, 2014
Swing trades

msa. What are you basing your trade on? Either you use low leverage or have deep pockets.

msa nsm 09:08 GMT June 23, 2014
Swing trades

msa nsm 12:57 GMT June 20, 2014
Swing trades : Reply

Entry: Target: Stop: 1.0670

msa nsm 08:32 GMT 06/20/2014
Buy USDCAD
Entry: 1.0820 Target: 1.0955 Stop: Daily close

GL

If supp. breaks, look for 1.0740.

No 100% trade, either way after data. Lets see n GL.
__________________

Tiny order add at 1.0740.
_________

Stop 1.0670
________________

If stopped looking to re-entry at 1.0580/60 for much higher targets. GL

msa nsm 09:05 GMT June 23, 2014
Short

msa nsm 08:29 GMT June 20, 2014
Short : Reply
Sell CHFJPY
Entry: 114/114.93 Target: 113/112 Stop: Daily close

No longer trading GOLD, really did hit me hard last year. RF was spot on on the analysis.

Back to currency swing trades off daily. gl
_______________
114 stop b/e.

orders still in place

GVI Forex Blog 08:52 GMT June 23, 2014 Reply   
HIGH IMPACT NEWS ITEMS: US- Mfg PMI, Existing Homes Sales

Flash Eurozone PMI data were generally weaker than forecast and down from previous monthly data. German flash manufacturing PMI data up ticked slightly but the the Service PMI fell. The New Japanese flash manufacturing PMI recovered to above the 50.0 line but remained soft, The Chinese HSBC PMI bounced back above the 50 expansion line as well.

Eurozone June Flash PMIs Soft. Japan and China Flash PMIs recover to Expansion Levels

GVI Forex john 08:39 GMT June 23, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map
Reply   


  • Markets are in a mixed risk-off posture early in  Europe Monday. Political uncertainties high. Flash PMI data have been mixed.
  • Yields in prime Eurozone fixed income markets are lower. Yields on the European periphery are barely changed..
  • U.K. yields are lower. Most see a +25bp BOE rate hike by yearend.
  • U.S. yields are lower. The U.S. 10-yr is back pivoting the 2.60% line.The U.S. 10-yr is 2.60%, -3 bp.
  • Equities closed mixed in the Far East. Bourses in Europe are trading lower. U.S. shares are down.

    The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields. This aligns all the colors in the chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off(red).


GVI Forex john 08:21 GMT June 23, 2014
June 2014 China flash HSBC PMI



EARLIER: HSBC flash PMI rebounds back above "50" line..

GVI Forex john 08:18 GMT June 23, 2014
June 2014 Japan flash PMI



EARLIER: Japanese PMI. Second-tier release but it has recovered to above 50...

GVI Forex john 08:10 GMT June 23, 2014
June 2014 EZ Flash PMI Estimates

EZ, GE flash Mfg PMIs weaker. Germmany up.



EZ, German and French flash Services PMIs all down.

Hong Kong AceTrader 08:08 GMT June 23, 2014
AceTrader Jun 23: Market Outlook on Asian Exotics USD/IDR
Reply   

USD/IDR DAILY OUTLOOK - 11965

23 Jun 2014 07:12GMT

Dlr's rebound to 11975 Fri signals re-test of
last Wednesday's 4-mth peak at 12000 wud be seen
after consolidation, above would extend to 12030/40 later.

Raise long entry for this move and only a daily
close below 11895 'prolongs' choppy trading, 11860.


STRATEGY : Buy at 11950

OBJECTIVE : 12000

STOP-LOSS : 11925

RES : 11975/12000/12040

SUP : 11940/11895/11835

nw kw 08:02 GMT June 23, 2014
Canadian dollar holds gains after inflation shock

Last week's CFTC positioning data showed that, while CAD shorts are shrinking, they are still the dominant play/
CAD short-covering, but SocGen's Kit Juckes thinks there's still a good way to go and for those looking for volatility, he says try selling AUD/CAD. USD/CAD now at 1.0728, down 1% from Friday's pre-data levels, AUD/CAD touched a fresh 3-week low of 1.0082 earlier Monday

GVI Forex john 08:00 GMT June 23, 2014
June 2014 EZ Flash PMI Estimates
Reply   




ALERT
EZ
mfg:51.9 vs. 52.2 exp. vs. 52.2 prev.
svc: 52.8 vs. 53.2 exp. vs. 53.2 prev.

France
mfg: 47.8 vs. 49.5 exp. vs. 49.6
svc: 48.2 vs. 49.4 exp. vs. 49.1

German
mfg: 52.4 vs. 52.5 exp. vs. 52.3
svc: 54.8 vs. 55.8 exp. vs. 56.0


Markit PMI Press Release



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john 07:58 GMT June 23, 2014
June 2014 China flash HSBC PMI
Reply   




Earlier
HSBC: 50.8 vs. 49.7 exp. vs. 49.4 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john 07:56 GMT June 23, 2014
June 2014 Japan flash PMI
Reply   
June 2014 Japan flash PMI





EARLIER NEWS ALERT
51.1 vs. n/a exp. vs. 49.9 prev.

Markit PMI Press Release





TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

london red 06:45 GMT June 23, 2014
Canadian dollar holds gains after inflation shock

*50 week just over 1.07

london red 06:38 GMT June 23, 2014
Canadian dollar holds gains after inflation shock

loonie. opened week lower but highly likely will fill in prev weeks range to some degree unless we are going to sub 105 (breakdown) this week. 55 day just under 107 unlikely to be seen ahead of a retracement to poss 10780.

london red 06:26 GMT June 23, 2014
usd
Reply   
dxy tests below 200 day ma for third session in a row. prior two sessions tested below but failed to close below.

nw kw 05:45 GMT June 23, 2014
Canadian dollar holds gains after inflation shock

auto sales sent cat up so can hit usa

GVI Forex Blog 03:45 GMT June 23, 2014 Reply   
The marginal new highs without any kind of momentum in the US and European markets

Morning Briefing : 23-Jun-2014 -0344 GMT

Hong Kong AceTrader 02:36 GMT June 23, 2014
AceTrader Jun 23: Intra-Day Market Moving News & Views
Reply   

Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views


23 Jun 2014 02:13GMT

USD/JPY - ... Despite last Fri's cross-inspired rebound to 102.20 in part due to the gain in Nikkei-225 index futures following the rise in U.S. stock markets, the greenback retreated briefly as offers are reported at 102.20 n more at 102.30-35. On the downside, bids are located at 101.85-80 with stops building up below 101.70 n 101.60.

The Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum, a London-based research group, issued a report last week that concluded central banks were buying equities to compensate for lost revenues on their reserves amid zero interest rates. The report also showed global public investors, including sovereign wealth and pension funds as well as central banks, have bought at least $1 trillion of publicly quoted equities in recent years.

BoJ's governor Kuroda will speak in Tokyo at 06:00GMT.


23 Jun 2014 01:48GMT
AUD/USD - ... The Australian dollar jumped to 0.9430 after the release of much stronger-than-expected China's HSBC manufacturing PMI data which came in at 50.8 versus the economists' forecast of 49.7 n previous reading of 49.4.

Montreal 02:36 GMT June 23, 2014
Canadian dollar holds gains after inflation shock

Sell USDCAD
Entry: 1.074 Target: 1.065 Stop: 1.78

Sell limit

dc CB 02:02 GMT June 23, 2014
Whot the Advisors did this Weekend
Reply   


along with a keg'er

HK [email protected] 00:57 GMT June 23, 2014
Canadian dollar holds gains after inflation shock
Reply   


A story that everyone knows is not a story anymore.

Let alone in an oversold situation.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 00:54 GMT June 23, 2014
Why Forex a Trading is Like World Cup Soccer
Reply   
Stunning ending r

US 2 - Portugal 2 on a last second goal

See why

Why Forex a Trading is Like World Cup Soccer

GVI Forex Blog 00:14 GMT June 23, 2014
Forex News
Reply   
Euro a shade lower after dovish comments from ECB

* Markets show little conviction ahead of China PMI data

* Canadian dollar holds gains after inflation shock

FOREX-Euro edges lower, eyes on China data

Brock Thor 00:13 GMT June 23, 2014
AUD /Jpy order
Reply   
Aud/Jpy order placed.
Long at 95.15.
Target 95.90.

Still long Gbp/Jpy. +40.1.

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
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AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
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A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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Forex chart points are in a currency trading table that includes; latest fx tradinghigh-low-close range, Bollinger Bands, Fibonacci retracement levels, daily forex pivot points support and resistance levels, average daily forex range, MACD for the different currency trading pairs. You can look on the forex forum for updates when one of the fx trading tools is updated.

FX Trading

Global-View also offers a full fx trading chart gallery that includes fx pairs, such as the EURUSD, commodities, stocks and bonds. In a fx trading world where markets are integrated, the chart gallery is a valuable trading tool. Look for updates on the Forex Forum when the chart gallery is updated.

Forex Blog

Global-View.com also offers a forex blog, where articles of interest for currency trading are posted throughout the day. The forex blog articles come from outside sources, including forex brokers research as well as from the professionals at Global-View.com. This forex blog includes the Daily Forex View, Market Chatter and technical forex blog updates. In additional to its real time forex forum, there are also Member Forums available for more in depth forex trading discussions.

 

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