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Forex Forum Archive for 06/29/2014
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Mtl JP 21:48 GMT June 29, 2014
Livingston nh 16:04 // the BIS (see link below) claims that "“Many central banks faced unexpected disinflationary pressures in the past year, which represent a negative surprise for those in debt and raise the specter of deflation,” the BIS said. “However, risks of widespread deflation appear very low: central banks see inflation returning to target over time and longer-term inflation expectations remaining well anchored.”
(Credit + Leverage + Debt Instruments) / Time = Instability
According to the BIS that will "require deft timing and skillful navigation of economic, financial and political factors,” according to the BIS. But... there is always that but (i.e on the other hand)
“the transition is likely to be complex and bumpy, regardless of communication efforts.”
In other words the BIS is displaying low confidence in the overlords' spreading of bullsh!t effectiveness of spreading bullsh!t.
I have a Qtn for you NH: How long, do u think, before Janet "noise" Yellen will renege on her "not even 25bps hike before a year"
syd sf 21:33 GMT June 29, 2014
Do You Have What It Takes to Be a Successful Trader
I actually find this pretty offensive.
First the data is from 2009/2010 - market has changed alot since then.
But what is really bad is they know that people who deposit less than $5000 basically are extremely inclined to lose their money at a rate well above experienced traders - yet they open these accounts at will .. and not only that but they allow people to trade on credit cards - which feeds this level of losing trading which increases their revenue - because they offer that level such low quality spreads.
If someone were looking to sue that Broker I would imagine it would be extremely hard to defend no matter what disclaimers they place on their application forms.
Livingston nh 16:04 GMT June 29, 2014
fwiw -- short term consideration inflation, GDP, Stox/bonds
The Fed has been de-hoarding via the TAPER -- balance sheet in Q1 grew by ~204 bio, Q2 grew by ~141 -- BUT reserve balances increased by 362 bio in Q1 and by only 17 bio in Q2 /// excess reserves FELL in Q1 by 158 bio and ROSE 124 bio in Q2 -- in fact, most of the decline was in Jan and Feb
Mar, Apr and May inflation figs have been running higher, financial instruments have been stronger despite this, Q1 GDP was abysmal (but March was strongest)
Money didn't move in real economy in Q1 - drawdown of excess reserves into reserve balances (stox meltdown) -- Q2 has been the opposite as nearly all of Fed balance sheet has moved into excess reserves which explains the stox/bonds rally and if GDP is to grow then money in reserve balance must move Faster which leads to inflation
As Fed balance sheet growth slows the available funds to the economy needs to work harder -- in Q3 we shall see whose OX gets gored as the funds are reapportioned - the economy or stox/bonds ??
GVI Forex john 16:03 GMT June 29, 2014
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data
June 29, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, June 30.
Updated: Trading News Events Calendar
HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: JP- Industrial Output, DE- Retail Sales. EZ- Flash HICP, CA- GDP,
US- Chicago PMI, Pending Homes
- Far East: JP- Industrial Output.
- Europe: DE- Retail Sales. EZ- Flash HICP.
- North America: CA- GDP, US- Chicago PMI, Pending Homes.
nw kw 14:22 GMT June 29, 2014
Mtl JP 22:16 GMT 06/28/2014 - My Profile
does this make trade-able sense
is there a time bo-om
nw kw 13:59 GMT June 29, 2014
In Canada, the most important categories in the CPI basket are Shelter, so usa consumer feel's seized, pullback severe as 2007 reported /
PAR 07:29 GMT June 29, 2014
« I do not think it is an exaggeration to
say history is largely a history of inflation,
usually inflations engineered by
governments for the gain of governments.
Friedrich August von Hayek
Some less avoidable expenses, like water and sewer bills, have doubled since 2000. Gasoline is up 183 percent. So while the CPI is up 47 percent since 2000, the institute’s Everyday Price Index (EPI) is up 69 percent. Unlike the CPI, which tracks more than 200 categories from breakfast cereal to funeral expenses, the Everyday index includes only the prices of frequently purchased goods and services.
« By a continuing process of inflation,
government can confiscate, secretly
and unobserved, an important part of
the wealth of their citizens. »
John Maynard Keynes
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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
Mon 27 May 2019
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan
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