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Forex Forum Archive for 07/12/2014

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GVI Forex john 22:35 GMT July 12, 2014
Chart Points -- Trading Points
Reply   





Mtl JP 17:26 GMT July 12, 2014
Bubblicious

ok, so Zerohedge alerted re CYMK 5 days before anyone else got a wiff .. kudos for that.
-
This week-end's ZH front page reads like the Contents page to some book on imminent battle between the forces of good and evil prophesying a catastrophic but not necessarily decisive conflict:

When Perfect "There Can't Be A Recession" Indicators Fail

CEO Of Europe's Largest Insurer Pops The Utopia Bubble: "Nothing Is Solved And Everybody Knows It"

Goldman Warns, Congress Is Preparing To Tame The Fed

"Waiting For Armageddon" - Say It Isn't So?

"Planned Chaos" - Why Fiat Money Is "A Large-Scale Fraud System"

5 Things To Ponder: The Everything Boom
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nw kw 16:43 GMT July 12, 2014
Commitment of Traders Report

Canadian Jobs flipped to big fulltime hiring offset from bigger part-time layoff's some are saying its a good report

GVI Forex john 14:17 GMT July 12, 2014
Commitment of Traders Report

ou can see from the COT report why the markets reacted so strongly to the weak Canadian Jobs report on Friday. As for market reactions to data, it often has to do with how traders are positioned. You can see in the chart that they had just flipped long CAD (short USDCAD).







Click on chart for COT Details



GVI Forex john 13:59 GMT July 12, 2014
Commitment of Traders Report

Net EUR JPY COT Positions







Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details




Net GBP and CHF COT Positions







Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details




Net AUD and CAD COT Positions






Click on chart for COT Details



GVI Forex john 13:36 GMT July 12, 2014
Weekly Trading Planner
Reply   

JP Ind Out yy
MONDAY July 14, 2014
EZ Draghi
TUESDAY July 15, 2014
JP Bank of Japan
GB CPI /RPIX
US Retail Sales
FRB Yellen
NZ 2Q CPI
WEDNESDAY July 16, 2014
GB Employment 
CA BOC Rates+MPR
THURSDAY July 17, 2014
EZ Final HICP
US Initial Claims
US House Starts /Permits
US TIC Net Flows
US Ind Prod
FRB Beige Book  
FRIDAY July 18, 2014
CA BOC CPI
US U Mich prelim

GVI Forex john 12:47 GMT July 12, 2014
Second Thoughts on June Jobs Data: Outlook- July 13, 2014
Reply   

June Employment Data Revisited

The big story just before the July 4 break was the unexpected +288K gain in June non-farm payrolls. Subsequent analysis revealed that a gain of roughly 800K in part-time jobs had been offset by a half-million DECLINE in full-time jobs. It is difficult to get excited about an economic rebound when full-time jobs decline by 500K in a month.

Second Thoughts on June Jobs Data: Outlook- July 13, 2014

Stockholm SJ 09:47 GMT July 12, 2014
EU

The news around is favouring a bearish eur/usd. However, I still foresee a swing high and some hesitations before the final crash. that crash may head far as 1.33xx. But, sometimes it is tricky, just watch till one is sure. The good thing is to have a system that shows all signals.

 




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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
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