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Forex Forum Archive for 07/13/2014

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GVI Forex Blog 23:43 GMT July 13, 2014
Forex news
* G3 currencies little changed in quiet start to the week

* Yellen's testimony, BOJ, Chinese data, earnings feature this week

* Aussie dollar wary after Stevens again talks down currency

FOREX-Dollar steady in subdued market as key events loom

syd sf 23:13 GMT July 13, 2014
just from my book

gbp - bots all selling 23-24 this morning still looking for 88-92

I think this is still trading from Fridays Pattern - and later when it is corrected/washes through - GBP probably rises to 50-60

euraud and eurcad - see alot of stops 1.4530 and 1.4630-35

I expect they want to be long through those levels.

audnzd - target now 1.0585 but just hasn't given the sell signal yet

GVI Forex Blog 19:33 GMT July 13, 2014
Draghi and Yellen Appearances Awaited on Monday and Tuesday
HIGH IMPACT NEWS ITEMS: JP- Industrial Output, EZ- Industrial Production, Draghi

Trading Monday should get off to a cautious start. Key foci early in the week will be a appearance Monday by ECB President Draghi in Strasbourg and then testimony Tuesday by Fed Chair Yellen before the House Banking Committee.

Draghi and Yellen Appearances Awaited on Monday and Tuesday

GVI Forex john 14:50 GMT July 13, 2014
United Kingdom 2y vs BOE Repo Rate and USD Rates

One cause for concern in the UK and U.s could be the recent sharp decline in 2y US and UK interest rates.

GVI Forex john 13:12 GMT July 13, 2014
United Kingdom 2y vs BOE Repo Rate and USD Rates
United Kingdom 2y vs BOE repo rate and U.S. 2y vs. Fed Funds
Fundamentals for Trading. EXCLUSIVE CHART: 2y vs BOE refi rate and 2y vs. Fed Funds: 2yr is where the market is betting the Official target rate will AVERAGE over the next two years.

The divergence between the 2y and official reference rates indicates the major institutional players have decided currently that both the U.K. and U.S. will start to normalize interest rates in the near future. The U.K. cycle is ahead of the U.S. The GBPUSD is reacting as it SHOULD. The current configuration is both GBP and USD positiive.

GVI Forex john 12:25 GMT July 13, 2014
Eurozone 2y vs ECB refi rate
Fundamentals for Trading. EXCLUSIVE CHART: 2y vs ECB refi rate: The 2yr is betting what the Official ECB target rate will AVERAGE over the next two years.

The divergence between the 2y and refi indicates that the major institutional players have decided currently that more Eurozone economic weakness is probable and additional ECB monetary ease will follow. If they did not feel that way the 2y yield would be HIGHER. The EURUSD roughly follows the 2y. Under more "normal" circumstances the exchange rate would be following the 2y more closely. The current configuration id EURUSD negative.

GVI Forex john 11:24 GMT July 13, 2014
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data News

July 13, 2014 ( UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, July 14. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: JP- Industrial Output, EZ- Industrial Production, Draghi

  • Far East: JP- Industrial Output.
  • Europe: EZ- Industrial Production, Draghi.
  • North America: No Major Data.

dc CB 00:49 GMT July 13, 2014

Barrons cover
Retail Stocks are on now
they won' stay cheap for long

BUT buy buy buy


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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
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C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
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A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
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AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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