User Name: Password:      Register - Lost password?

2003  2004  2005  2006  2007  2008  2009  2010  2011  2012  2013  2014  2015  2016  2017  2018  2019  2020  2021  2022  
January  February  March  April  May  June  July  August  September  October  November  December  
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31

Forex Forum Archive for 07/27/2014

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


Mtl JP 23:54 GMT July 27, 2014
Commitment of Traders Report

I am pretty sure the net short euro (not just long reduction but also short buildup) is at , if not, near 52 week high. which may or not mean anything, but odds are growing of some unwind: always on the look out for lopsided positionning

dc CB 22:52 GMT July 27, 2014
Russia Steps Up Help for Rebels in Ukraine War

they were taken by Mr. Magoo

Mtl JP 22:39 GMT July 27, 2014
Russia Steps Up Help for Rebels in Ukraine War

dc CB / even the Washingtonpost poohpohs them as "grainy photographs" ...

dc CB 21:49 GMT July 27, 2014
The Times, they are a changin'

Yes, we can — bring back talk of hope and change.

Obama’s new approach: Keep ‘hope and change’ alive

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 16:48 GMT July 27, 2014
U.S. 2Y vs. Fed Funds

This is our

July Newsletter

dc CB 16:31 GMT July 27, 2014
Commitment of Traders Report

Mtl JP 22:21 GMT July 25, 2014 -
Commitment of Traders Report
john 19:44 that short euro build looks massive
=============================================

makes you wonder, since this is the last week in July and August is Vacation time for Europe and the US, whether Gammy Yellen's crew will put something in the statement that triggers a "Take Profits and head to the yacht and the beach" move.

COT with "sides" on the trade

COT EC futures

dc CB 16:22 GMT July 27, 2014
The Times, they are a chnagin'

Mark Knoller ✔ @markknoller

Pres Obama played about 5 hrs of golf at Congressional and then returned to the WH.
7:35 PM - 26 Jul 2014

(CBS News White House Correspondent. Washington, D.C..)

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 16:20 GMT July 27, 2014
U.S. 2Y vs. Fed Funds

You can't use past history as central banks have rewritten the book.

Read my last newsletter for what to watch out for.

dc CB 16:19 GMT July 27, 2014
The Times, they are a changin'
Reply   
Repeal Prohibition, Again

The federal government should repeal the ban on marijuana.

We reached that conclusion after a great deal of discussion among the members of The Times’s Editorial Board, inspired by a rapidly growing movement among the states to reform marijuana laws.

By THE EDITORIAL BOARD New York Times

sofia kaprikorn 14:57 GMT July 27, 2014
U.S. 2Y vs. Fed Funds

GVI Forex john
---

If I may ask when it becomes obvious for the market that the Fed is behind the curve and needs to tighten?

Asking you to share your view based on the experience you have from the previous tightening cycles. TIA.

GVI Forex john 14:32 GMT July 27, 2014
U.S. 2Y vs. Fed Funds

JP- You can never know if the markets have it "right". That is why we focus on "High Impact" data releases. They are high impact releases because they can CHANGE the outlook for monetary policy. By correctly anticipating how the OUTLOOK for policy is going to be impacted by a data event, you can get a jump on the markets. this is what trading on the "fundamentals" is all about. Personally, I think you cannot trade on the fundamentals alone. The technicals are indispensable for proper trade execution once you figure out how you want to position yourself.

sofia kaprikorn 14:18 GMT July 27, 2014
Eurozone 2y vs ECB refi rate

GVI john
---

Great chart reg. EUR/USD vs. 2Y EZ rate - a picture is worth a thousand words.

GVI Forex Blog 14:15 GMT July 27, 2014
Markets setting up for Fed Decision and U.S. Employment data.
Reply   
HIGH IMPACT NEWS: JP- Retail Sales, US- flash Mkt SVC PMI, Pending Home Sales

Monday sees the U.S. flash Markit Service PMI estimate and Pending Homes Sales. These data will set the stage for an exceptionally full week of high impact news releases..

Markets setting up for Fed Decision and U.S. Employment data.

Mtl JP 14:07 GMT July 27, 2014
U.S. 2Y vs. Fed Funds

john how do we know when the players have it all fully priced in, or more importantly not, and therefor spot a potential trade opportunity as a "catch up" trade ?

nw kw 13:57 GMT July 27, 2014
Commitment of Traders Report

bond cot has open interest spike see if it reverses looks crowded

GVI Forex john 13:41 GMT July 27, 2014
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data News
Reply   


July 27, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, July 28. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: JP- Retail Sales, US- flash Mkt SVC PMI, Pending Home Sales

  • Far East: JP- Unemployment, Retail Sales.
  • Europe: No Major Data.
  • North America: US- flash Markit Service PMI, Pending Homes Sales, 2-yr Auction.


GVI Forex john 13:09 GMT July 27, 2014
Chart Points -- Trading Points
Reply   




GVI Forex john 11:13 GMT July 27, 2014
U.S. 2Y vs. Fed Funds
Reply   
Fundamentals for Trading. EXCLUSIVE CHART:

Here is a further explanation of the chart below for the current state of the U.S, money markets ahead of the FOMC decision on Wednesday. I have not included a currency pair.

The cost of money is interest rates. higher interest rates increase demand for a given currency and lower interest rates mean reduced demand.

There are two interest rate lines. The RED dashed line is the official Fed administered cost of overnight funds (Fed Funds). It does not change frequently. The other RED line is the free market cost of funds for two years. The market two year rate amounts to a forecast for the official administered rate for the next two years.

When it is below the official rate, depositors and lenders are saying that they expect the official rate is going to fall. If the market rate is above the official rate, it means they agree that oficial rates are going to rise.

This chart says that professional traders agree that the FED is going to increase rates sometime in the near future. Rising interest rates should be EURUSD positive.

So you can see that rational traders have ALREADY tightened monetary policy FOR the Fed. The cost of money in the two year time frame is already higher. A Fed rate hike now would only confirm what the markets already have discounted. This is how the wholesale markets for money have always operated. They MUST operate this way if the institutions are going to survive.



 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


Global-View Affiliate Program

We are starting an affiliate program to market some of our products.

Send me an email if you would be interested or if you know someone who would like to be an affiliate. Generous commissions payout for those accepted.

Put the word "affiliate" in the email subject line.

Contact us

Start trading with forex broker Markets Cube




pic

Retail Forex Brokerage Changing!

Are you looking for your first broker or do you need of a new one? There are more critical things to consider than you might have thought.

We were trading long before there were online brokers. Global-View has been directly involved with the industry since its infancy. We've seen everything and are up-to-data with recent regulatory changes.

Our Best Brokers listing section includes:Forex Broker Reviews, Forex Broker Directory, Forex Broker Comparisons and advice on How to Choose a Forex Broker

If would like guidance, advice, or have any concerns at all ASK US. We are here to help you.

SEE Our Best Brokers List

Currency Trading Tools

  • Live rates, currency news, fx charts. 

  • Research reports and currency forecasts.

  • Foreign Exchange database and history.

  • Weekly economic calendar.

Directory of  Forex trading tools

 
Terms of Use    Disclaimer    Privacy Policy    Contact    Site Map


Forex Forum
Forex Trading Forum
Forex Forum + forex rates
Forex Forum Archives
Forex Forum RSS
Free Registration

Trading Forums
Currency Forum Guide
Forum Directory
Political Forum
Forex Brokers
Compare Forex Brokers
Forex Broker News
Forex Broker Hotline

Forex Trading Tools
Currency Trading Tools
Forex Database
FX Chart Points
Risk/Carry Trade Chart Points
Economic Calendar
Quicklinks to Economic Data
Currency Futures Swaps
Fibonacci Calculator
Currency Futures Calculator

Forex Education
Forex Learning Center
FX Trading Basics Course
Forex Trading Course
Forex Trading Handbook

Forex Analysis
Forex Forecasts
Interest Rate Forecasts
Central Bank Forecasts

FX Charts and Quotes
Live FX Rates
Live Global Market Quotes
Live Forex Charts
US Dollar Index Chart
Global Chart Gallery
Daily Market Tracker
Forex News
Forex Blog
Forex News
Forex Blog Archives
Forex News RSS
Forex Services
The Amazing Trader
Forex Opportunities
Forex Affiliates
Forex CopyTrading
GVI Forex