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Forex Forum Archive for 08/03/2014

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sd sf 23:31 GMT August 3, 2014
morning
Reply   
gbp

stops 1.6781-2

gbpcad - offers lower this morning 78 81 83 and 88
target back down to 29-32 area.

eurcad is more neutral on my book.

overall from my perspective seems like one more hit down in gbpusd to trigger some final stops from last week and perhaps trigger some short covering buying.

dc CB 23:26 GMT August 3, 2014
Euro
Reply   
you choose

Sides COT

dc CB 23:07 GMT August 3, 2014
Did MarketWatch go LOCO ?

Who to believe - who to follow. Depends on what day of the week you read Their ADVICE.

ie: The Famed Mark Hulbert. The founder of the Hulbert Financial Digest in Chapel Hill, N.C. He has been tracking the advice of more than 160 financial newsletters since 1980.

AKA Mr Mutual Fund

July 30, 2014, 10:13 a.m. EDT
Even pros don’t know this about the market in August
Opinion: August doesn’t deserve its bad reputation
CHAPEL HILL, N.C. (MarketWatch) — Get ready for one of the best months of the calendar for average stock market performance — August.


Aug. 3, 2014, 8:12 a.m. EDT
3 market warning signs predict 20% stock tumble
Insight: When these indicators flash together, it’s time to sell
Over the past 45 years, the stock market has lost more than 20% each time three warning signs flashed simultaneously.


Sorry for all you Buy and Hold workers who went on vacation and Only saw the first post. ::))))

Market watch link...side bar links to The Other warning

dc CB 22:56 GMT August 3, 2014
Whot's next for W$treet
Reply   
Hey Boomers
tired of that 0.05% on yer savin's

we are here to help

NPR's Marketplace segment 4:45...aired Friday evening

"Financial Gerontology"

Mtl JP 22:42 GMT August 3, 2014
Did MarketWatch go LOCO ?
Reply   
first an innocent observation about what Steve Goldstein calls "restrained consumer":
Paltry credit-card debt growth signals restrained consumer

and then Ben Eisen comes out with outright un-American folks-scary negative claim and a Warning: That plunge in stocks is just the beginning

dc CB 22:36 GMT August 3, 2014
not a naively heated forum

so I assume you didn't read the linked piece.

NYTime Sunday Opinion page.
not exactly your radical feverish tome.
Infact they could be said to have a touch of the Obama Love.

As the WaPost Front Page above the fold Headline reads:

Obama readies executive action on immigaration.
Ideas weighed could legalize Millions.

Think that dosen't have implications for the USD?

Obama readies executive action on immigration

Cbj Jake 20:42 GMT August 3, 2014
not a naively heated forum
Reply   
dcCB.

When on Forum topics I appreciate both your timely info and views. This just posted "righteous" and feverish off-Forum view should be better received on zero hedge together with its chronic capital letters.

GVI Forex Blog 20:27 GMT August 3, 2014
Mixed U.S. Jobs Report Reduces The Risk for an Immediate Fed Policy Tightening
Reply   
HIGH IMPACT NEWS: CH- PMI, CA- Holiday

The July U.S. employment report fell short of expectations, but some saw it as positive because it diminished expectations for a near term tightening of Fed policy This week is active on the data front. Monday is a holiday in Canada and Swiss PMI data are due.

Mixed U.S. Jobs Report Reduces The Risk for an Immediate Fed Policy Tightening

PAR 18:35 GMT August 3, 2014
Banco Espiroto

Socialize losses , privatise profits. Here we go again .


http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/09445e42-1b25-11e4-b649-00144feabdc0.html#ixzz39M5m8pQG

EU state aid rules – which require equity holders and junior bondholders to be penalised before taxpayers – apply to any bank rescue that involves the use of state funds or the creation of a bad bank. The use of a resolution fund is considered more of a gray area and would depend on how the fund was structured.

PAR 18:27 GMT August 3, 2014
Banco Espiroto
Reply   
Three weeks ago there was no problem according to the Portugese finance minister and its central bankers.
And today they will use € billions of European taxpayers money to save the bank . Cheating and lying and nobody is ever responsible.

Portugal Mulls Rescue for Banco Espírito Santo

Lender's Toxic Asset Would Become Part of Bad Bank, Say People Familiar With the Matter

http://online.wsj.com/articles/portugal-mulls-banco-espirito-santo-recapitalization-1407078624


dc CB 16:52 GMT August 3, 2014
Obama to Speak

SOMETHING rather dangerous is happening in American politics right now, all the more so for being taken for granted by many of the people watching it unfold.

Over the last month, the Obama political apparatus — a close aide to the president, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee and the “independent” voices at MSNBC — has been talking nonstop about an alleged Republican plan to impeach the president.

Anyone paying attention knows that no such impeachment plan is currently afoot. So taken on its own, the impeachment chatter would simply be an unseemly, un-presidential attempt to raise money and get out the 2014 vote.

But it isn’t happening in a vacuum, because even as his team plays the impeachment card with gusto, the president is contemplating — indeed, all but promising — an extraordinary abuse of office: the granting of temporary legal status, by executive fiat, to up to half the country’s population of illegal immigrants.

But in political terms, there is a sordid sort of genius to the Obama strategy. The threat of a unilateral amnesty contributes to internal G.O.P. chaos on immigration strategy, chaos which can then be invoked (as the president did in a Friday news conference) to justify unilateral action.

The impeachment predictions, meanwhile, help box Republicans in: If they howl — justifiably! — at executive overreach, the White House gets to say “look at the crazies — we told you they were out for blood.”

Obama’s Impeachment Game

GVI Forex john 12:59 GMT August 3, 2014
Weekly Trading Planner
Reply   

MONDAY AUGUST 4, 2014
AU Retail Sales
CH PMI
CA Holiday
TUESDAY AUGUST 5, 2014
AU Trade
AU
Australia Reserve Bank
DE SVC PMI final
EZ SVC PMI final
GB SVC PMI
US Markit SVC PMI final
WEDNESDAY AUGUST 6, 2014
US Factory Orders
US ISM SVC PMI
CH CPI
CA Trade 
US Trade
THURSDAY AUGUST 7, 2014
AU Employment
GB Bank of England
EZ Europe Cntl Bank
US Initial Claims
CA Ivey PMI
FRIDAY AUGUST 8, 2014
CN Trade  
JP Bank of Japan
GB Trade  
CA Employment
US Productivity 2Q14p

GVI Forex john 12:27 GMT August 3, 2014
Chart Points -- Trading Points
Reply   


GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:58 GMT August 3, 2014
June 2014 U.S. Pending Homes Sales

This is a good alert for more than bonds if there is no real market maker left to take the other side when everyone heads for the exits.

It is the law of unintended consequences.

GVI Forex john 11:44 GMT August 3, 2014
June 2014 U.S. Pending Homes Sales

It probably means the era of the 30-yr fixed rate mortgage is drawing to a close? Who can take that one-sided risk. Its premature to suggest the U.S. will become a renter nation. Private home ownership us woven into the fabric of our society.

Mtl JP 00:56 GMT August 3, 2014
June 2014 U.S. Pending Homes Sales

gv john... I know you cling to housing (building, repairs, etc.) as a major employer in the U.S. and a major wealth builder. (unfortunately omitting comissions on front-loaded mortgages, be they properly due-dilligenced or falsified)
so for refresher consideration here is a perhaps provokingly refreshing post on zerohedge.com: Suddenly, Wall Street Is Bailing On Housing
-
Bottom Line
what do you think... worth YOUR time paying attention to Sara Stevens, 27, who is on record warning / informing that “The world has changed,” at risk of falling behind the curve ?

 




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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
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A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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