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Forex Forum Archive for 08/19/2014

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GVI Forex john 21:55 GMT August 19, 2014
Iraq

Ironically, Iraq has larger oil reserves than Saudi Arabia. It would be a wealthy country if it ever got its act together.

NY JM 21:47 GMT August 19, 2014
Iraq

The Iraqi currency is not freely traded and its risk is only one way and that is down (devalue, not revalue). That assumes Iraq survives as a country.

Louisville cc 21:44 GMT August 19, 2014
Iraq
Reply   
Sell OTHER
Entry: Target: Stop:

What does anyone know about Iraq and the future of the IQD? Will it revalue and where would you have to go to exchange for USD?

GVI Forex john 21:33 GMT August 19, 2014
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data News



August 19, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, August 20. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: GB- BOE Minutes, US- Weekly Mortgages, Weekly Crude, Fed Minutes

  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: GB- BOE Minutes
  • North America: US- Weekly Mortgages, Weekly Crude, Fed Minutes


GVI Forex john 20:37 GMT August 19, 2014
Weekly US API Data
Reply   



NEWS ALERT
(Estimates and Previous data for EIA Survey)
Crude Oil: -1.400 vs. -1.000 exp vs. -1.400 prev.
Gasoline: -2.100 vs. -1.500 exp vs. -1.200 prev.
Distillates: -0.561 vs. -1.000 exp vs. -2.400 prev.
Cap/Util: 92.90% vs. n/a exp vs. 91.60% prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john 20:19 GMT August 19, 2014
Weekly Trading Planner
Reply   

WEDNESDAY
8:30 GB BOE Minutes
18:00 FRB Fed Minutes
THURSDAY
1:45 CN HSBC flash PMI
7:28 DE MFG PMI flash
7:58 EZ  MFG PMI flash
8:30 GB Retail Sales
12:30 US Initial Claims
13:45 US MKt MFG PMI flash
14:00 US Philly Fed
14:00 US Existing Homes Sales
FRIDAY
12:30 CA CPI
12:30 CA Retail Sales
14:00 FRB Yellen Jackson Hole
18:30 EZ Draghi Jackson Hole

GVI Forex john 19:50 GMT August 19, 2014
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data News
Reply   

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

GVI Forex john 19:30 GMT August 19, 2014
Current Conditions: Risk On/Off

10-yr late 2.401% +1bp

GVI Forex john 19:24 GMT August 19, 2014
Chart Points -- Trading Points
Reply   
Pre-Closing...




GVI Forex Blog 18:53 GMT August 19, 2014
U.S Data Mixed. U.K. Inflation Data Softer. BOE and Fed Policy Minutes on Wednesday
Reply   
HIGH IMPACT NEWS: GB- BOE Minutes, US- Weekly Mortgages, Weekly Crude, Fed Minutes

Wednesday sees the latest Bank of England and Fed policy minutes. July U.S. Housing Starts rebounded by a lot more than expected when they were released on Tuesday. Analysts credited multi-family dwellings for the surge. The impact of the data was muted by softer than expected July CPI data. The data suggest that the Fed is not behind the curve in managing inflation.

U.S Data Mixed. U.K. Inflation Data Softer. BOE and Fed Policy Minutes on Wednesday

Mtl JP 18:02 GMT August 19, 2014
UPDATE: United Kingdom 2y vs BOE repo rate and GBPUSD



see how gbp is married to the euro

GVI Forex john 17:47 GMT August 19, 2014
UPDATE: United Kingdom 2y vs BOE repo rate and GBPUSD

Remarkable turn lower in GBP. I guess the markets do not believe Mr.Carney? The 2-yr to spot relationship is not just a correlation. It is CAUSATION. Note how the 2-yr tracks economic data.

GVI Forex john 17:37 GMT August 19, 2014
UPDATE: United Kingdom 2y vs BOE repo rate and GBPUSD
Reply   
UPDATED AS OF- Tuesday Afternoon in NYC: Fundamentals for Trading. EXCLUSIVE CHART: 2y vs BOE repo rate and GBPUSD.

The BOE message to the markets was changed over the week-end making the timing of a rate hike more fuzzy. Soft inflation data pushed the market view back to 2015.

This is how the markets continuously digest new data. The data has had a clear negative impact on GBPUSD. The yield on the 2yr note has fallen only slightly.




Mtl JP 17:23 GMT August 19, 2014
GBP



Bermuda SB 16:41 // 1.6460

GVI Forex 17:00 GMT August 19, 2014
GBP

Earlier excellent post...

UK Data Due Next
london red 08:17 GMT 08/19/2014
cable support at 80, 43 (200 month ma), 30 and 16605/10 (past fib/low, a level which exhibited v strong support in past). they will buy into mpc minutes tomorrow so dont expect 6605/10 to break, as long as US cpi within reasonable expectations.
res at 6739 (144 ema), 6753/60, worth selling if seen. unlikely but you never know. topline at 6800/10 unlikely to be taken out pre yellen.

Bermuda SB 16:41 GMT August 19, 2014
GBP
Reply   
Is there a target level on downside and a level to consider a buy???

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 16:19 GMT August 19, 2014
Trader Alert: No Time to be Complacent

I posted this yesterday and it turned out to be perfect timing. For those who are not GTA members, I suggest clicking below and see an example why our insights can be invaluable.

The last two weeks of August is the 2nd thinnest period of the year but it is not a time to be complacent. See why in my latest article

Trader Alert: No Time to be Complacent

Mtl JP 15:54 GMT August 19, 2014
Israel

that sounds like bad (i.e slow) day for rocket exports and gdp
Each interception costs about $60,000 - The Economist

GVI Forex john 15:44 GMT August 19, 2014
Israel
Reply   
Air Raid sirens in South. Two rockets intercepted..

GVI Forex john 15:30 GMT August 19, 2014
Current Conditions: Risk On/Off


Current Market Conditions:
European markets remain in a RISK-ON posture late Tuesday. The impetus for trade today has been softer than expected U.K. inflation  and mixed U.S. data. Equities are up broadly and bond yields are lower. The EURUSD is testing below 1.3350.

  • Yields in prime Eurozone fixed income markets have eased. The 10-yr bund is 1.00% -2 bp. The 10-yr 1.00% line remains an obvious market benchmark. Peripheral bond yields are lower.
  • The U.K.10-yr gilt  yield is 2.40%  -3bp. A +25bp BOE rate hike is mow expected for November 2014 or February 2015, depending on data.
  • U.S.10-yr yield is 2.40%, +1bp. The major focus is the Yellen speech Friday in Jackson Hole. The psychological pivot has become  2.40%.
  • Far East equities closed higher. Bourses in Europe are endind up. U.S. share futures are higher.

    The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields. This aligns all the colors in the chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off(red).


Livingston nh 15:30 GMT August 19, 2014
Current Conditions: Risk On/Off

On UKR news some EUR buying vs Eastern European currencies and RUB -- currency risk and yield argue against EUR right now

GVI Forex Blog 15:23 GMT August 19, 2014
Global Markets News
Reply   
EUR/USD moved out to fresh 2014 lows below 1.3330 this morning as sell stops were elected. There were reports of option barriers layered all over the 1.3300 handle. Dealers are eyeing a break of 1.3294, which was the November 2013 low.

TradeTheNews.com US Market Update: Good CPI and Housing Data Fires Risk Appetite

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:44 GMT August 19, 2014
Agree or Disagree? EURUSD



1.3333 now become a pivotal resistance - note this 5 minute chart (Text is on the 1.3333 line)

NY JM 14:24 GMT August 19, 2014
Current Conditions: Risk On/Off

I do not agree EUR is a safe haven currency. When there is risk off, positions get covered and market is short. So it is more short covering than safe haven buying. IMHO

GVI Forex Blog 14:21 GMT August 19, 2014 Reply   
August 19, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, August 20. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: GB- BOE Minutes, US- Weekly Mortgages, Weekly Crude, Fed Minutes

GVI Forex Data Outlook for August 20, 2014

Mtl JP 14:20 GMT August 19, 2014
Current Conditions: Risk On/Off

john 14:11 there is no yellen put

GVI Forex 14:19 GMT August 19, 2014
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data News
Reply   


August 19, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Wednesday, August 20. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: GB- BOE Minutes, US- Weekly Mortgages, Weekly Crude, Fed Minutes

  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: GB- BOE Minutes
  • North America: US- Weekly Mortgages, Weekly Crude, Fed Minutes


GVI Forex john 14:11 GMT August 19, 2014
Current Conditions: Risk On/Off

Equities up. 10-yr steady at 2.382%.

I've noticed the RISK-ON environment is EURUSD negative and vice-versa. The USD seems no longer to be the safe-haven currency. I'm not sure why, but the EUR is becoming the safe-haven currency. Perhaps this means the USD is losing its reserve status?

SaaR KaL 14:07 GMT August 19, 2014
U.K. Inflation Data Softer. Housing Data From U.S. All Week

still short EURUSD
and adding more

Mtl JP 14:05 GMT August 19, 2014
Agree or Disagree? EURUSD

john savvy homebuilders use all sorts of gimmicks to run ahead of their construction loan to unload houses off plans or while under construction. They know how to make unqualified would be buyers qualified. They have polished selling skills.

Not every house builder is savvy in those things however.

GVI Forex john 14:02 GMT August 19, 2014
July 2014 U.S. House Starts & Permits (000)

Reading that the Housing surprise was concentrated in the volatile multi-family sector. That has often been the case recently. The implication is that this does not imply that there has been a return of the individual buyer as usually would have been in the past.

GVI Forex john 13:45 GMT August 19, 2014
Agree or Disagree? EURUSD

JP- I agree 100%. Real Estate is a very tough business. Recall how many times Donald Trump has declared bankruptcy. As you indicate, homebuilders traditionally are the ones who often get the most overextended.

Mtl JP 13:21 GMT August 19, 2014
Agree or Disagree? EURUSD

john releastate developers work off construction loans.
it is anxieaty-filled business. they often try to dump a house off plans just to get some cash. and then they race trying to dump more as they building the rest of the development.
-
Percentage of all-cash home sales falls

“This data, combined with the drop in institutional investor activity to a three-year low, signifies that the housing market recovery is transitioning from one that is driven largely by investors and other cash buyers to one that is going to be more reliant on first-time home buyers and other non-cash buyers,”

which, if true, will hinge a lot on Janet's "slack" in jobs and salary income raises

GVI Forex john 13:10 GMT August 19, 2014
Agree or Disagree? EURUSD

So they finally got through the EURUSD stops @1.3333. Key to me now is if we close decisively below there.

As for the housing data, they were surprisingly strong. I do not dismiss them, but suggest we wait for confirmation in future and other data. Note we saw a strong NAHB index yesterday. Thursday sees the more important Existing Homes Sales data. They are roughly five times the scale of Housing Starts.

Continued tame CPI data keep the pressure off the Fed to tighten policy in the short term. Watch to see how equities in the U.S. perform today, they will set the tone.

GVI Forex john 12:47 GMT August 19, 2014
July 2014 U.S. Consumer Price Index

U.S. July CPI contained...

GVI Forex john 12:39 GMT August 19, 2014
July 2014 U.S. House Starts & Permits (000)

New Homes Starts and Permits. A sharp recovery from the June weakness.

GVI Forex john 12:34 GMT August 19, 2014
July 2014 U.S. Consumer Price Index
Reply   



ALERT
Headline:
m/m: +0.10% vs. +0.30% exp. v +0.30% pre
y/y: +2.00% vs. +2.10% exp. v +1.90% pre
Core:
m/m: +0.10% vs. +0.20% exp. v +0.10% pre
y/y: +1.90% vs. +1.90% exp. v +1.90% pre


RELEASE: Consumer Price Index


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john 12:31 GMT August 19, 2014
July 2014 U.S. House Starts & Permits (000)
Reply   



NEWS ALERT
Starts: 1093 vs. 970 exp. vs. 893 (945)prev.
Permits: 1052 vs. 1000 exp. vs. 893 prev.


New Residential Construction



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john 12:12 GMT August 19, 2014
Agree or Disagree? USDJPY
Reply   
S&P and USDJPY so far uncorrelated today. They do look like they MIGHT be coming in line with one another as S&P futures try to rally.

Mtl JP 12:02 GMT August 19, 2014
Risk On/Off Heat Map

nh 14:46 mark Aug 22 and 24 on your calendar
“Poroshenko gave orders to win at any cost before August 22 and to hold a parade in Kiev on August 24

-
victory already in the bag
Germany confirms Merkel visit to Kiev on August 23 - itar-tass

or counting chickens before they r hatched ?

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:39 GMT August 19, 2014
Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading: A Simple but Effective Trading System

EURUSD Pivot 1.3371
Sup 1 1.3343
Sup 2 1.3324
Sup 3 1.3296

FX Chart Points

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:32 GMT August 19, 2014
Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading: A Simple but Effective Trading System

One of our GTA members has offered to share his simple but effective system with us.




Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading: A Simple but Effective Trading System

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:19 GMT August 19, 2014
Agree or Disagree? EURUSD

As posted on GVIForex. Send me an EMAIL if you would like to get access to my daily videos on a regular basis.



Daily Forex Trading Outlook Video Update

EURUSD again threatening its 13333 low, 1.33350 likely to set its tone today.

GVI Forex john 11:15 GMT August 19, 2014
Chart Points -- Trading Points
Reply   
From G-V Chart points. Daily USD based Pivot Points. Basis previous session ranges...




GVI Forex Blog 10:44 GMT August 19, 2014
Global Markets News
Reply   
GBP/USD currency slumped to its lowest level since April following softer-than-expected inflation data. Price wars among clothing and footwear retailers helped the YoY CPI reading to come in at 1.6% (two-tenths below expectations). The significant decline in input PPI suggested that the weakness could persist next month. GBP/USD tested 1.6630 before stabilizing.

TradeTheNews.com EU Market Update: UK CPI comes in below expectations given BOE more room/reasons to continue pause

GVI Forex john 10:23 GMT August 19, 2014
EUR Heat Map
Reply   
EUR-based Heat Map: Forex from a EUR point of view. EUR mixed. Steady vs. JPY and better vs. GBP. EURUSD 1.3333 lows now the target. EURNZD down.




GVI Forex john 10:18 GMT August 19, 2014
Official rates vs. 2yr yields
Reply   
Two-year yields have mixed lower in sympathy with UK inflation data. Individual currencies tend to be strongly influenced by their 2-yr rate. This is CAUSATION , not correlation.





London London 10:16 GMT August 19, 2014
Buy signals
Reply   
Buy GBPUSD
Entry: 1.66492 Target: 1.67335 Stop: 1.66300

Visit us for more information.


Posted with permission of global-view.com

forex trading

SaaR KaL 10:04 GMT August 19, 2014
U.K. Inflation Data Softer. Housing Data From U.S. All Week

Funny twisted way of all these people talking housing...off course its a buy long term

^HGX is heading to 300 + Mid 2016
You see politicians in NASA?...Hello?

SaaR KaL 09:55 GMT August 19, 2014
Day's Trades

NZDUSD wants .8200 area IMO
But wait for politicians to make an announcement ...they are realllly important

GVI Forex Blog 09:22 GMT August 19, 2014
U.K. Inflation Data Softer. Housing Data From U.S. All Week
Reply   
HIGH IMPACT NEWS: US- CPI, Housing Starts & Permits

U.K. July inflation data were softer than expected and if sustained would raise doubts about a November policy tightening by the Bank of England. Gilt yields and the GBP have have fallen on the news. Today sees U.S. CPI. plus Housing Starts and building Permits..This is an active week for U.S. Housing data.

U.K. Inflation Data Softer. Housing Data From U.S. All Week

SaaR KaL 09:10 GMT August 19, 2014
Day's Trades

EURNZD
going for 14 big fig
IMO it is a buy this week below 1.588
but placing shorts from 1.6164 to 1.6389 GTC
tgt
near 1.5887 in 2 weeks
or
1.47 near end of sept

GVI Forex john 09:09 GMT August 19, 2014
Current Conditions: Risk On/Off
Reply   

Current Market Conditions:
European markets remain in a clear RISK-ON posture early on Tuesday. The impetus for trade today has been the release of softer than expected U.K. inflation data. Equities are up broadly.and bond yields are lower. The EURUSD is pivoting 1.3350.

  • Yields in prime Eurozone fixed income markets have eased  again. The 10-yr bund is 1.00% =2 bp. The 10-yr 1.00% line remains an obvious market benchmark. Peripheral bond yields are lower.
  • The U.K.10-yr gilt  yield is 2.39%  -4bp. A +25bp BOE rate hike is mow expected for November 2014 or February 2015, depending on data.
  • U.S.10-yr yield is 2.38%, -1bp. The major focus is the Yellen speech Friday in Jackson Hole. The psychological pivot has become  2.40%.
  • Far East equities closed higher. Bourses in Europe are up. U.S. share futures are higher.

    The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields. This aligns all the colors in the chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off(red).


SaaR KaL 09:03 GMT August 19, 2014
Day's Trades

eurjpy shorts
137.7076 138.5830

135.4026 tgt
or 132.2180
in 4 weeks

SaaR KaL 08:59 GMT August 19, 2014
Day's Trades

GBPCHF
Longs this week
1.5025 1.4902
for 1.5391 the week after
august close mean range
1.5790 1.5453
Lowest for aug close 1.5200

Hong Kong AceTrader 08:49 GMT August 19, 2014
AceTrader Aug 19: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views EUR/USD
Reply   

Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views EUR/USD

19 Aug 2014 07:23GMT

EUR/USD - .... News from Reuters, citing source fm the Kremlin, who says 'Russia is working on additional retaliatory measures in case western nations impose new sanctions.'

While the single currency weakened shortly after European open due to renewed broad-based buying in greenback n active cross-selling in euro vs jpy n stg. Price penetrated y'day's NY low at 1.3353 to 1.3343/44.

At present, offers are lowered to 1.3355/60 n then 1.3370-80 with stops emerging abv 1.3400. On the downside, bids are noted at 1.3335/30 n around 1.3320 with stops located just below 1.3300.

Earlier on the Asian opening, the single currency remained under pressure in Asia following yesterday's weakness due to broad-based strength in dlr in NY session after upbeat U.S. homebuilder's confidence. Price dropped fm Aust.'s high of 1.3363 to 1.3354 shortly after Asian open n then hovered near y'day's NY low at 1.3553.

Despite the near 2-week broad sideways move inside 1.3333-1.3433 range, traders are still favouring to sell the euro on intra-day rally due to ongoing expectations that monetary stimulus programs in the U.S. will wind down n the ECB will take steps to loosen policy. Offers are noted at 1.3370-80 n then 1.3400 with mixture of offers n stops located abv 1.3430. Bids fm st specs are reported at 1.3350/45 n below with stop below 1.3330, however, there has been market chatter of option barrier at 1.3300. No major data are due out except the EZ current account data at 08:00GMT.

SaaR KaL 08:46 GMT August 19, 2014
Day's Trades

eurgbp
gained some pips on shorts
but i think i was too early
will still short this week

0.8081 to 0.8129
tgt 0.7790 to 0.7643 in sept
any thoughts?

GVI Forex john 08:43 GMT August 19, 2014
July 2014 UK CPI/RPIX

U.K. CPI & RPIX data fall by more than expected. GBPUSD lower on reduced pressure on the BOE to tighten policy.

SaaR KaL 08:41 GMT August 19, 2014
UK Data Due Next

yes
6712 is cools
profit taking at around 1.6656
is very wise
Thank you

SaaR KaL 08:38 GMT August 19, 2014
Day's Trades

would be nice to pt cable shorts at 1.6583 today
but again...closing some is cool
and long usdcad with that

london red 08:38 GMT August 19, 2014
UK Data Due Next

Kaal there are no certainties in fx, unless its when i call uk data!
they held past fib of 6688 pre data, so any future retracements are going to struggle there. that makes 200 day ma to that fib a sell point with stop over 6710 if cpi from US disappoints.

GVI Forex john 08:37 GMT August 19, 2014
July 2014 UK CPI/RPIX

U.K. inflation generally softer than expected. Takes some pressure off BOE to tighten. GBPUSD weaker.

GVI Forex john 08:34 GMT August 19, 2014
July 2014 UK CPI/RPIX
Reply   




-- NEWS ALERT --


CPI mm: -0.30% vs. -0.20% exp. vs. +0.20% prev.
CPI yy:+1.60% vs. +1.80% exp. vs. +1.90% prev.

RPIX yy: +2.60% % vs. +2.60% exp. vs. +2.70% prev.

UK Core Output PPI
yy: +0.90% vs. +0.90% exp. vs. +1.00% prev.


RELEASE: Consumer Price Indices


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 08:33 GMT August 19, 2014
UK Data Due Next



Carney's gab gap lesson now over

london red 08:31 GMT August 19, 2014
UK Data Due Next

covered short. 200 day ma at 72 now should cap rebounds. good area to sell again.

SaaR KaL 08:30 GMT August 19, 2014
UK Data Due Next

Red..Hi
I got a P.I for friday close

1.6661 1.6376 @ around 97.5% certainty

off course anything could happen...they might call it a stop hunt

I want to buy cable long terms into next week though tgt 1.8 in oct/2014

london red 08:17 GMT August 19, 2014
UK Data Due Next

cable support at 80, 43 (200 month ma), 30 and 16605/10 (past fib/low, a level which exhibited v strong support in past). they will buy into mpc minutes tomorrow so dont expect 6605/10 to break, as long as US cpi within reasonable expectations.
res at 6739 (144 ema), 6753/60, worth selling if seen. unlikely but you never know. topline at 6800/10 unlikely to be taken out pre yellen.

Mtl JP 08:16 GMT August 19, 2014
UK Data Due Next



gbp's gap

london red 08:10 GMT August 19, 2014
UK Data Due Next

a lot of folk sold 144 ema overnight as cpi y/y likely to be 1.6%

UK GBP 08:06 GMT August 19, 2014
UK Data Due Next

cable filling the weekend gap

Amman wfakhoury 07:45 GMT August 19, 2014
EURJPY and GOLD Heros of today

we have 1306 previously confirmed and 1301.40 return level

UK GBP 07:44 GMT August 19, 2014
UK Data Due Next

cable down ahead of inflation data

Central Kwun 07:35 GMT August 19, 2014
EURJPY and GOLD Heros of today

Sell Gold
Entry: 1299 Target: Stop:

wfakhoury sir, for gold, up or down this time?

SaaR KaL 07:24 GMT August 19, 2014
Day's Trades

Cable staying short
adding more 1.6734 to 1.6756

Amman wfakhoury 07:21 GMT August 19, 2014
EURJPY and GOLD Heros of today
Reply   
Both are ready to move big

GVI Forex 07:17 GMT August 19, 2014
Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading: A Simple but Effective Trading System

Check this out (current bid 1.3355)

Low so far 1.3343 = S1

FX Chart Points

GVI Forex 06:55 GMT August 19, 2014
UK Data Due Next
Reply   
Today focus will primarily be on inflation in the UK and US. The UK experienced its largest CPI jump since October 2012 in June to 1.9% from 1.5% in May. This was primarily explained by clothing and footwear, where the usual seasonal discounting didn’t materialize. Reports of supermarket price wars have weighed on clothing and footwear prices this month, while air-fares appear to have risen by less than normal. As a result we expect last month’s rise was temporary and forecast July CPI inflation to fall to 1.7%. RPI inflation is expected to fall more modestly to 2.5% from 2.6% in June.

The UK’s PPI data for July will also be released today, with our forecasts for input and output prices falling on the year to -6.2% and 0.0%, respectively. This drop represents a combination of a weakening in global commodity prices along with the strength of sterling.

Lloyds Bank

SaaR KaL 05:33 GMT August 19, 2014
Day's Trades

USDCAD Long are on

GVI Forex Blog 05:13 GMT August 19, 2014 Reply   
(NZ) NEW ZEALAND Q2 PPI OUTPUT Q/Q: -0.5% V +0.9% PRIOR; PPI INPUT Q/Q: -1.0% V +1.0% PRIOR; Largest decline in 7 quarters for both measures - (NZ) NEW ZEALAND Q3 TWO-YEAR INFLATION EXPECTATION: 2.23

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: NZD weighed down by downgrade of GDP by New Zealand Treasury, decline in quarterly PPI ***Economic Data*** - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Blog 03:40 GMT August 19, 2014 Reply   
The markets got a boost from the rising confidence in the US housing industry, hitting a 7

Morning Briefing : 19-Aug-2014 -0340 GMT

Hong Kong AceTrader 01:49 GMT August 19, 2014
AceTrader Aug 20: Intra-Day Market Moving News & Views & data to be released today
Reply   

Intra-Day Market Moving New and Views NZD/USD

19 Aug 2014 00:03GMT
NZD/USD - .... Statement from NZ FinMin Bill English said:
'NZ economy still growing robustly, outlook not changed significantly from budget;
New Zealand govt surplus seen at NZ$297 mln in 2014/15 vs NZ$372 mln in budget;
NZ has limited fiscal headroom for higher spending, tax cuts, spending restraint will remain;
NZ national govt to hold to economic/fiscal policies, tax cuts possible when room to do so;
NZ does not need tax hikes nor sharply higher govt spending in parties' election promises.'

New Zealand Treasury publishes pre-election fiscal update -
'budget surplus forecasts over next four years trimmed because of slower economic growth;
net debt peaking 26.8 pct of gdp in 14/15 (budget 26.4 pct);
slower reduction seen;
NZ net debt seen below 20 pct of gdp by 2021 (budget 2020), superannuation payments to resume then;
NZ debt management office reaffirms budget forecast of NZ$8 bln bond issuance in 2014/15;
NZ economic momentum is slowing, as terms of trade ease, growth forecasts trimmed;
NZ govt tax take expected to be slightly less than budget forecasts as growth slows;
2015 march yr GDP +3.8 pct (budget 4 pct);
reaffirms later year forecasts; inflation 2015 March yr 1.7 pct (budget 1.8 pct); 2016 at 2.4 pct (budget 2.5 pct).'


Tuesday will see the release of New Zealand's producer prices, RBA meeting minutes, eurozone current account, U.K. CPI, PPI and RPI, U.S. building permits, core CPI, housing starts, Redbook and Cleveland Fed CPI.

GVI Forex Blog 01:48 GMT August 19, 2014
Forex News
Reply   
* Upbeat U.S. housing data supports dollar

* Dollar index near 11-month high but seen capped

* Aussie eyes RBA minutes

* Kiwi slides on smaller-than-expected budget surplus

FOREX-Dollar firm after U.S. housing data, Fed comments in focus

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 00:19 GMT August 19, 2014
Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading: A Simple but Effective Trading System
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One of our GTA members has offered to share his simple but effective system with us.




Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading: A Simple but Effective Trading System

 




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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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