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Forex Forum Archive for 08/29/2014

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USA ZEUS 21:36 GMT August 29, 2014
EUR/USD This is the top



The only chart you need for 2014- updated
Cheers!

GVI Forex john 20:11 GMT August 29, 2014
Chart Points - Free FX Database
Reply   

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

GVI Forex john 19:46 GMT August 29, 2014
Commitment of Traders Report
Reply   

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: EUR, JPY, CHF, GBP

Net EUR JPY COT Positions


Click on chart for COT Details



Click on chart for COT Details

GVI Forex john 18:56 GMT August 29, 2014
Current Conditions: Risk On/Off

For reasons I find hard to fathom, the yield on the US 10-yr is closing out the week lower. It's currently running at 2.327% -1bp

GVI Forex john 18:52 GMT August 29, 2014
Chart Points -- Pivot Point Trading System

O ye of little faith!

I have to admit that I was skeptical that pivot support level #2 at 1.3127 wold come into play today but we have made it down to 1.3134 according to my price feed. To my mind that is just about close enough to count if you were using it as a target for a EURUSD short. I'm not sure how much more we will see today.

dc CB 18:39 GMT August 29, 2014
What we've become...The Modern American
Reply   
A loose cat closed an Anne Arundel County elementary school Friday morning.

Bob Mosier, a county schools spokesman, said a teacher at Richard Henry Lee Elementary School in Glen Burnie spotted a cat inside her classroom around 7:30 a.m. Mosier said she notified school officials and there were no students inside the school at the time of the discovery.

The cat ran off, and Mosier said animal control officials searched for it..........officials called the search off and dismissed the school’s more than 480 students at 9:45 a.m.

Officers set four traps inside the school to catch the cat, said Robin Catlett, administrator of Anne Arundel County Animal Control. Catlett said doors to the school were open when officers arrived at 8:15 a.m., so authorities are unsure if the cat is still inside the elementary school.

Officials called the cat feral or wild, but Catlett said she does not know if the cat is indeed feral because the officers did not see the animal.

Mosier said officials hope the extra-long weekend Labor Day weekend will aid them in their search for the cat.

Loose cat causes Anne Arundel elementary school to close early

GVI Forex john 18:35 GMT August 29, 2014
EUR

I put this GS forecast in the same category as Robert Shiller's forecast of the housing crash. Its nice to see they have firm grip on the obvious just as Shiller did.

Somehow Shiller got the Nobel prize for his forecast. Maybe GS will get the Nobel prize for this one?

dc CB 18:23 GMT August 29, 2014
EUR

Via Goldman Sachs,

1. We are revising down our EUR/$ forecast to 1.29, 1.25 and 1.20 in 3, 6 and 12 months (from 1.35, 1.34 and 1.30 previously).

Goldman Slashes EURUSD Forecast To 1.20

GVI Forex Blog 17:51 GMT August 29, 2014 Reply   
August 29, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Mpnday, September 1. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar HIGH IMPACT NEWS: AU, CN, JA- PMIs, CH, EZ, GB- PMIs, US/CA- Holiday

GVI Forex Data Outlook for September 1, 2014

GVI Forex john 17:49 GMT August 29, 2014
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data News
Reply   


August 29, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Mpnday, September 1. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS: AU, CN, JA- PMIs, CH, EZ, GB- PMIs, US/CA- Holiday

  • Far East: AU, CN, JA- PMIs
  • Europe: CH, EZ, GB- PMIs
  • North America: US/CA- Holiday


GVI Forex john 17:40 GMT August 29, 2014
Weekly Trading Planner
Reply   
MONDAY
00:00  US/CA HOLIDAY
00:13  JP Final PMI  PMI closely-watched indicator
01:00  CN NBS PMI PMI  closely-watched indicator
01:30  AU Mfg PMI PMI closely-watched indicator
01:45  CN HSBC final PMI PMI closely-watched indicator
07:30  CH PMI PMI closely-watched indicator
07:55  DE MFG PMI final PMI closely-watched indicator
07:58  EZ MFG PMI final PMI closely-watched indicator
08:28 GB MFG PMI  PMI closely-watched indicator
TUESDAY
03:30  AU Australia Reserve Bank No rate change seen
13:30  CA RBC-Markit PMI PMI closely-watched indicator
13:45  US MKT MFG PMI final PMI closely-watched indicator
14:00  US ISM MFG PMI PMI closely-watched indicator
WEDNESDAY
01:30  AU GDP Broadest growth measure
07:55  DE SVC PMI final PMI closely-watched indicator
07:58  EZ SVC PMI final PMI closely-watched indicator
08:28  GB SVC PMI PMI closely-watched indicator
14:00 CA BOC Rates No rate change seen
14:00  FRB Beige Book Same data Fed gets
14:00  US Factory Orders Measure of manufacturing
THURSDAY
01:30  AU Retail Sales Key economic metric
01:30  AU Trade A$bln  Important for growth
04:30  JP Bank of Japan No rate change seen
11:00  GB Bank of England No rate change seen
11:45  EZ Europe Cntl Bank No rate chg, other ease possible
12:15  US ADP Jobs Predictor of NFP
12:30  CA Trade Important for growth
12:30  US Initial Claims Key jobs metric
12:30  US Trade  Broadest growth measure
12:30  US Productivity 2Q14p Important for growth
13:45  US Markit SVC PMI final PMI closely-watched indicator
14:00  US ISM SVC PMI PMI closely-watched indicator
FRIDAY
09:00  EZ GDP Broadest growth measure
12:30  CA Payrolls Key economic metric
12:30  US Payrolls Broadest growth measure

NY JM 17:02 GMT August 29, 2014
EUR

It is as simple today as I suggested - once fixing time passed USD selling for month end dried up and dollar went higher.

Mtl JP 17:01 GMT August 29, 2014
EUR

players pre-pricing the Washington orders following fools of Europe discussing further sanctions against Russia at the extraordinary Saturday 30 August summit

Haifa ac 16:54 GMT August 29, 2014
EUR

Perhaps, just perhaps....the trend is down?!

Central Kwun 16:36 GMT August 29, 2014
EUR
Reply   
any news on EUR? keep falling

Mtl JP 16:09 GMT August 29, 2014
Yellen's beliefs
Reply   
The Federal Reserve can help, if it does its job effectively. We can help ensure that everyone has the opportunity to work hard and build a better life. - Yellen October 9, 2013
-
Woman who worked in four jobs, overcome by fumes, dies as she naps in car - nj.com

"This sounds like someone who tried desperately to work and make ends meet, and met with a tragic accident," Elizabeth police Lt. Daniel Saulnier said. New Jersey has tens of thousands of people working multiple jobs, said Carl Van Horn, director of the John J. Heldrich Center for Workforce Development at Rutgers University in New Brunswick.

"These are are folks who would like to work full-time but they can't find the jobs," Van Horn said. "They wind up in these circumstances in which they are exhausted. More commonly it creates just an enormous amount of stress,"
-
ya IF... if it (the FED) does its job effectively...

GVI Forex john 16:04 GMT August 29, 2014
Chart Points -- Pivot Point Trading System

After holding into NY, Support level #1 (1.3156) was been taken out a while ago. The next level of support is 1.3127. The current LOD is 1.3142.

GVI Forex Blog 16:03 GMT August 29, 2014
Week Ahead
Reply   
•ECB unlikely to start QE but could see some tweaking of policy
•US payrolls report to show labour market continues to improve
•Other central banks, including BoE, expected to leave policy unchanged

ECONOMIC DATA ANALYSIS - MARKETS LOOK TO ECB MEETING

Mtl JP 15:46 GMT August 29, 2014
Month End flows

had a chuckle imagining what Draghi or Kuroda must be thinking watching the Ruble hitting a record low against the US dollar on Friday dropping to 37.10

GVI Forex john 15:44 GMT August 29, 2014
Current Conditions: Risk On/Off


Current Market Conditions:
European markets saw no impact from the as expected  are August EZ HICP report. I am not expecting much from the ECB meeting next Thursday after the HICP data The EURUSD is ending soft in Europe..

  • Yields in prime Eurozone fixed income markets are mixed. The 10-yr bund is 0.886%  +0.60bp. Peripheral bond yields are mixed.
  • The U.K. 10-yr gilt  yield is 2.360%  -1.0bp. I see a +25bp BOE rate hike in February 2015, subject to future data.
  • U.S.10-yr yield is 2.336%, +0.2bp.. The psychological pivot is 2.40%.
  • Far East equities closed mostly higher. Bourses in Europe are ending mosstly  up. U.S. shares are higher.

    The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields. This aligns all the colors in the chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off(red).


Mtl JP 15:32 GMT August 29, 2014
Month End flows

I d like to see the volatility come thru eur vs yen
that draghi vs kuroda fight has been a sleeper for a long time now
just wishful thinking

dc CB 15:31 GMT August 29, 2014
Global Markets News



"US traders are largely looking past another round of solid economic data and appear to be willing to lighten up positions ahead of the long Labor day weekend."
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

The 10:30 AM Index Rally Train left the station right on time.

london red 15:31 GMT August 29, 2014
Month End flows

if they get thru 30/35 then its possible 13110 is seen but lower than that should be a bridge too far today.

Mtl JP 15:27 GMT August 29, 2014
Month End flows

red 15:15 - tky !

Mtl JP 15:22 GMT August 29, 2014
Global Markets News

IF it were so that Geopolitical developments continue to weigh on peoples' minds Gold and Brent would not be where they are

NY JM 15:17 GMT August 29, 2014
Month End flows

Post fixing price action working like a month end blueprint.

london red 15:15 GMT August 29, 2014
Month End flows

euro barrier at 13150. well defended all week. will trigger another bout of volatility if hit.

london red 15:12 GMT August 29, 2014
Month End flows

imp volume low set in loonie during last hour, just a fraction off 1.0809 fib. this is now marker into next week. 36/39 acts as support then 10823 before the fib.
upside res at 53/60 then 200 day ma and 1.0908.

GVI Forex Blog 14:53 GMT August 29, 2014
Global Markets News
Reply   
US traders are largely looking past another round of solid economic data and appear to be willing to lighten up positions ahead of the long Labor day weekend. Geopolitical developments continue to weigh on peoples' minds. Ukraine remains a sore spot as it appears we are headed toward another round of sanctions

TradeTheNews.com US Market Update: US traders largely unwilling to commit ahead of holiday break

SaaR KaL 14:45 GMT August 29, 2014
Day's Trades

Listen to this!!

Spain...this is music!!

SaaR KaL 14:33 GMT August 29, 2014
Day's Trades

USDJPY CLose
104.13 103.77

NY JM 14:32 GMT August 29, 2014
Month End flows
Reply   
Month end flows are probably driving price action ahead of the 4 PM London fixing.

See what happens after that time,

early exits in the US ahead of the long weekend.

SaaR KaL 14:30 GMT August 29, 2014
Day's Trades

cable close
1.6607 1.6550

eurusd
1.3188 1.3123

just boring friday

Mtl JP 14:24 GMT August 29, 2014
U.K.

gbpusd chartpoints
10 day 1.6609 (still resistance)
5 day 1.6573

London Misha 14:21 GMT August 29, 2014
Somewhat unwelcome news on a Friday!
Reply   
http://www.fxweek.com/fx-week/news/2362517/marex-spectron-closes-fx-business

Mtl JP 14:21 GMT August 29, 2014
U.K.



john 14:13 was that you taking a long on Cameron ?

SaaR KaL 14:17 GMT August 29, 2014
U.K.

LOL

Mtl JP 14:15 GMT August 29, 2014
U.K.

terror alert via BBC:
He urged communities and families to report anyone who is "vulnerable, a danger or escalating towards terrorism" by calling the Anti-Terrorist Hotline on 0800 789 321

probably not a good time to be in nasty fight with neighbor or ex-spouse

GVI Forex john 14:13 GMT August 29, 2014
U.K.

Watching PM Cameron. Sounds like there is no specific threat, which leaves me wondering?

london red 14:11 GMT August 29, 2014
gbp
Reply   
eurgbp 61.8 of 78x-80x at 7936. cable 10 day ma and top hourly bolli 16598. if they can crack that then the 6605 fib which market so far unable to do hourly close abv. dips have been lower off this fib but ultimately needs to break otherwise triple top threatens with neck at 6570. thru 6562 see 6537 fib in play.
this late in the day you fancy some follow thru buying if 10 day and fib taken. selleres expected c. 30-33.

GVI Forex john 14:00 GMT August 29, 2014
Final August 2014 University of Michigan Sentiment Index

University of Michigan-Conference Board Sentiment Final U of M data outperforms expectations. Data revised up more in line with the Conference Board survey.





GVI Forex john 13:55 GMT August 29, 2014
Final August 2014 University of Michigan Sentiment Index
Reply   



ALERT
82.5 vs. 80.2 exp. vs. 79.2 preliminary


RELEASE: Index of Consumer Sentiment


TTN: Live News Special Offer

london red 13:55 GMT August 29, 2014
August 2014 U.S. Chicago PMI

pmi corrected last time freak print. youd fancy confidence to beat as well, given other confidence related numbers stronger. maybe we can break tight ranges after the options cut.

SaaR KaL 13:49 GMT August 29, 2014
Day's Trades

USDJPY
SHort at 104.08

SaaR KaL 13:48 GMT August 29, 2014
Day's Trades

What is shutting down the government mean?

Perry is probabaly making money from the drug Cartels + Weapons Contract

He wants to do both here in one speech (This is really ridiculous!!)

http://thinkprogress.org/election/2014/08/21/3474264/rick-perry-immigration-2/

Gov SHut Down?

GVI Forex john 13:45 GMT August 29, 2014
August 2014 U.S. Chicago PMI
Reply   



ALERT
64.3 vs. 56.2 exp. vs. 52.6 prev.

RELEASE: Chicago PMI



TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex 13:43 GMT August 29, 2014
Chi PMI
Reply   
Said to be stronger than consensus ... note subscribers get it early

GVI Forex john 13:03 GMT August 29, 2014
U.K.
Reply   
Press report the terror alert level for UK has been raised. Keep in mind we are nearing the 9/11 anniversary. Apparently due to intelligence from Syria and Iraq. Level raised from "Substantial" to "Severe". No specific threat cited.

GVI Forex john 12:37 GMT August 29, 2014
July 2014 U.S. Personal Income/PCE Deflator

U.S. CPI and Core PCE Deflator. Fed Targets PCE Deflator. Still below target,

GVI Forex john 12:37 GMT August 29, 2014
July 2014 Canada: GDP
Reply   




ALERT
m/m +0.20% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. +0.40% prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex john 12:31 GMT August 29, 2014
July 2014 U.S. Personal Income/PCE Deflator
Reply   



ALERT
Personal Income +0.20% v +0.30% exp v +0.40% (r +0.50%) pre
PCE Defl +1.50% vs. +1.50% exp. vs. +1.50% prev.


RELEASE: Personal Income



TTN: Live News Special Offer

dc CB 12:17 GMT August 29, 2014
Obama to Speak



on the course, with a plan. a Labor Day golf outing
WmBanzai7

london red 12:15 GMT August 29, 2014
loonie
Reply   
cad gdp f/c 2.7 but talk of c. 3% some estimates much higher. a strong number should help pair towards 1.0809 fib with further support at 1.0764. ultimately the trendline comes in at 1.07 and dips should be used to load up longs ahead of BoC meeting next week and the next leg of the dollar rally, particularly if todays US data doesnt disappoint.
a weak number fancies a move to and thru the 200 day to 1.0908 fib which was a level of good support.

Livingston nh 11:53 GMT August 29, 2014
August 2014 EZ flash HICP

The risk for the ECB is that any program that passes for QE (as promulgated by the pointy heads) risks further deflation - EU trade zone lacks a common Sovereign bond sufficient to support ECB buying - in a way that is a blessing because as seen in the US buying sovereign bonds is form of hoarding - negative interest rates in a saver based economy (similar but not as extreme as Japan's) is another // the MONEY in whatever form must move - the conduit in EU is banks not bonds - don't reward stagnant money

Raise the price of the commodity you can control and credibly promise higher costs to adjust expectations -- this is what the ECB should consider

GVI Forex john 11:49 GMT August 29, 2014
Agree or Disagree? EURUSD
Reply   
Lots of data set for release today but I don't think much is likely to be market moving. EZ HICP is unlikely to force the hand of the ECB on Thursday. If you scroll down at look at the HICP chart you will see that core HICP has not fallen by as much as the Headline reading. The chart in part reflects the impact of falling energy prices.

The chart also illustrates the utility of core inflation measurements because they take out the impact of volatile prices from broader inflation measures.

Absent surprise political headlines, I expect most to take a low profile today.

Sydney ACC 11:25 GMT August 29, 2014
Day's Trades

Not much call for that in Sydney.

PAR 10:49 GMT August 29, 2014
Risk Off
Reply   
US stock and bond markets moving higher ahead of long labor day weekend . S&P to open at new record high.

EURJPY moving higher and USDJPY targetting 105 .

Lets party .

I am of to the beach .

GVI Forex john 10:35 GMT August 29, 2014
Chart Points -- Pivot Point Trading System

Pivots
Support #1 1.3156
Resistance #1.3217

parameters working so far.
Support #1 tested (1.3160 LOD)

New York Pivot Points 10:30 GMT August 29, 2014
Chart Points -- Pivot Point Trading System

Latest Selected daily USD and EUR based Pivot Points. See Chart Point tables for complete data.. Basis previous session ranges...





Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System

GVI Forex Blog 10:20 GMT August 29, 2014
Global Markets News
Reply   
The Euro Zone Flash CPI estimate was the highlight of the session and was potential the final piece of the puzzle to the ECB policy outlook. There were no surprises and still left the debate open for the ECB whether it would take on fresh measures or continue to pause and watch the effects from its historic June move.

TradeTheNews.com EU Market Update: Euro Zone CPI Flash Estimate reading of 0.3% lowest since 2009 but unclear if it is enough for ECB to act again

GVI Forex Blog 09:39 GMT August 29, 2014
EZ flash HICP in Line with Expectations. German Retail Sales Weak
Reply   
HIGH IMPACT NEWS: US- Personal Income & PCE Deflator, Chicago PMI, University of Michigan Survey

Today, the U.S. releases Personal Income, the Chicago PMI and final University of Michigan Sentiment. A key focus is still the upcoming ECB decision next Thursday.There was a report that that no new ECB action is likely. Some U.S. markets close early today

EZ flash HICP in Line with Expectations. German Retail Sales Weak

SaaR KaL 09:36 GMT August 29, 2014
Day's Trades

the tricky FX Mkt..
USDCAD from 1.0845 to 1.090 then drops into 1.073...then rallies into 1.115
How tricky can it anything get?
Climate Vs. Weather...one of the same...but slightly different
wow

Mtl JP 09:33 GMT August 29, 2014
August 2014 EZ flash HICP

ACC 09:25 not sure what or why u be pressing anything ...

I bot irons at local church basement for buck a piece, I use em to spread wax on my x-country skis or melt ice n snow off windshield in winter.

Sydney ACC 09:25 GMT August 29, 2014
August 2014 EZ flash HICP

Check your gas and electricity bills.

Our gas bill has risen 86% since August 2011, electricity is up 63% over the same period, yet the CPI has hovered between 2% and 3% per annum over that period. Why? Because the price of electronics and motor vehicles has declined. But how often does one buy a TV set, kettle, motor car etc. Anmd then the qual;ity of products is nowhere near as good before they were made in China. I've replaced five irons under warranty in the last three years.

GVI Forex john 09:23 GMT August 29, 2014
Japan Retail Sales
Reply   






EARLIER Data News

0.50% vs. -0.10% exp. vs. -0.60% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

PAR 09:16 GMT August 29, 2014
August 2014 EZ flash HICP

The same Economists who are telling you about the effects of deflation are the same ones who never saw the financial crisis coming

PAR 09:15 GMT August 29, 2014
August 2014 EZ flash HICP

I suppose the new IPhone will be cheaper than the previous one ?

GVI Forex john 09:13 GMT August 29, 2014
August 2014 EZ flash HICP

Par that is true everywhere. We just have to play the hand we are dealt.

PAR 09:06 GMT August 29, 2014
August 2014 EZ flash HICP

Maybe there is something wrong with the way they calculate those figures . What I personnaly buy is definitely more expensive than last year . A bottle of Rosé is more expensive , newspapers are more expensive , restaurants are more expensive etc.

For every person inflation is different on what you buy and where you buy it .

Imho inflation figures are widely manipulated to make financing government deficits easier .

GVI Forex john 09:05 GMT August 29, 2014
August 2014 EZ flash HICP

EZ headline flash HICP (CPI) working lower. Well below ECB"just below 2.0%" target. Data may not be a game changer for Thursday


london red 09:03 GMT August 29, 2014
August 2014 EZ flash HICP

as f/c which will disappoint those looking for qe next week. qe is firmly off the table, but they can introduce it formally next week. but between now and then euro should catch a bid. it will however be offered due to ukraine. so blips higher should be sold. 40/50 and 90 is maximum it should go, with a move abv 1.3333 required for a change in short term trend.

GVI Forex john 09:01 GMT August 29, 2014
August 2014 EZ flash HICP

No smoking gun. EURUSD higher.

GVI Forex john 09:00 GMT August 29, 2014
August 2014 EZ flash HICP
Reply   




ALERT
Headline
yy: +0.30% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +0.40% prev.
CORE
yy +0.90%: vs. vs. +0.80% exp. vs. +0.80% prev.




TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex john 08:59 GMT August 29, 2014
Japan July/August Data

JA CPI... Japanese CPI. The impact of the Sales tax increase still in these data.




GVI Forex john 08:54 GMT August 29, 2014
Japan July/August Data
Reply   




EARLIER NEWS ALERT
Unemployment:
3.80% vs. 3.70% exp. vs. 3.70% prev.

CPI:
Core yy
yy: 3.30% vs. +3.30% exp. vs. +3.30%% prev.

National yy:
3.40% vs. +3.40% exp. vs. +3.60% prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john 08:50 GMT August 29, 2014
Current Conditions: Risk On/Off
Reply   

Current Market Conditions:
European markets are on hold waiting for the flash August EZ HICP report shortly as it awaits the key ECB meting on Thursday. The instability in Ukraine remains an issue into the weekend.  The EURUSD  is holding below the 1.3200 line.

  • Yields in prime Eurozone fixed income markets are marginally higher. The 10-yr bund is 0.900%  +2.0bp. Peripheral bond yields are lower.
  • The U.K. 10-yr gilt  yield is 2.390%  +2.0bp. I expect a +25bp BOE rate hike in February 2015, subject to future data.
  • U.S.10-yr yield is 2.343%, +0.9bp.. The psychological pivot is 2.40%.
  • Far East equities closed mostly higher. Bourses in Europe are up. U.S. share futures are higher.

    The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields. This aligns all the colors in the chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off(red).


GVI Forex john 08:33 GMT August 29, 2014
July 2014 German Retail Sales

EARLIER: German Monthly Retail Sales data much weaker than expected, but y/y data gains..



GVI Forex john 08:21 GMT August 29, 2014
July 2014 German Retail Sales
Reply   




Earlier News ALERT
mm: -1.40% vs. +0.10% exp. vs. +1.30% (+1.00%) prev.
yy: +0.70% vs. +1.50% exp. vs. +0.40% (r +0.10%) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

SaaR KaL 08:21 GMT August 29, 2014
Day's Trades

although excited to long USDCAD for 1.1150 tgt
will stay disaplined .... Not today
Maybe next week
1.0750 area probably

.. Might even touch 1.09 today...but still
1.0750 to 1.0720 are is my entry
...Might even short it at 1.09 if seen

SaaR KaL 08:09 GMT August 29, 2014
Day's Trades

Gold US Session Close
1302.204504 1286.180765

Want to long 1283 to 1280
tgt max 1303
Might be a boring friday folks

Ternopil SMV 08:06 GMT August 29, 2014
GBPUSD and GOLD Heros of today

Mr. wfakhoury. according to your previous confirmed levels for this pairs, big move gonna be up, right?

SaaR KaL 07:57 GMT August 29, 2014
Day's Trades
Reply   
GBPCHF...been long since the day before
from 1.5160
now reversing into shorts from 1.5220 area
tgt min 1.5120

waiting for eurusd around 1.3250 and cable 1.6650 to short

Hong Kong AceTrader 07:30 GMT August 29, 2014
AceTrader Aug 29: Intra-Day Market Moving News & Views GBP/USD
Reply   

Intra-Day Market Moving New and Views

29 Aug 2014

GBP/USD - .... 2 pieces of news to suggest selling eur/gbp cross is the way to go after yesterday's downbeat EZ economic sentiment. Earlier on Fri, data from research firm GfK showed consumer confidence edged up in the U.K. in Aug, driven by the fast improvement of the economy during the last year.

GfK's consumer confidence index increased to +1 in August from -2 in previous month. GfK said the improvement in consumer confidence largely reflects a reassessment of the recent past by households, although people are also increasingly optimistic about the future. However, Nick Moon, MD of social research at GfK said 'There is no guarantee how long this stable position will last - a rush of good or bad economic news could set off a marked rise or fall - but things could stay like this for a while,.'

The survey also registered an increase in the consumers' will to both save and make major purchases, such as furniture or electrical goods. These results are consistent with the recent CBI Distributive Trades Survey, which showed a great majority of businesses reporting higher sales volumes, with furniture retailers ranking on top.

Reuters reported, 'Of the 142 firms surveyed in the CBI's distributive trades survey, a balance of +25% of retailers expected their overall business situation to improve over the next three months, which was the highest since May 2002.' 'The CBI added that 51% said sales in August were up on a year ago, while 14% said they were down. That gave a balance of +37%, up on July's +21% n matching Feb's 21-month high.'

Cable swung wildly in volatile session on Thursday. Although the pound rose in tandem with euro n briefly climbed above Wednesday's high at 1.6606 to 1.6615 in Europe, renewed tensions in Ukraine triggered broad-based buying in dlr and cable briefly fell to 1.6567. Later, price rebounded to 1.6599 on cross-buying of sterling vs eur & yen and then chopped inside 1.6567-1.6599 in NY session.

The failure to close above 1.6600 level after a second day testing Thursday suggests consolidation with downside bias remains and selling cable on recovery for marginal weakness below Mon's 4-1/2 is is recommended. Offers from various accounts are noted up from 1.6590 to 1.6610 and more at 1.6630-40 with stops emerging above 1.6650. On the downside, bids are placed at 1.6550-40 and then 1.6525/20 with demand from real money accounts located around 1.6500.

On the data front, U.K. will release the nationwide house prices in August at 06:00GMT. Market forecasts the reading to be unchanged at 0.1% in monthly basis but slightly lower to 10.1% from a year earlier.

PAR 07:28 GMT August 29, 2014
eurusd

According to the Ukrainian press (rbc.ua), Crimea is running out of drinking water as supplies form mainland Ukraine have been cut off." That is a rather provocative move on Ukraine's part. Russia's reaction may not be politically correct but certainly understandable and quasi legitimate.

Tallinn viies 07:22 GMT August 29, 2014
eurusd
Reply   
PAR 06:24 GMT - contrary to Putin Obama has not been active KGB agent in Germany. thats why he doesnt speak fluent german

Amman wfakhoury 07:15 GMT August 29, 2014
GBPUSD and GOLD Heros of today
Reply   
both will be move big comparing to others.

PAR 07:15 GMT August 29, 2014
Bond & Stocks
Reply   
Looks like stock and bond markets will end the week at a high note . What a superb month for stocks and bonds august has been..

PAR 06:24 GMT August 29, 2014
Russia
Reply   
Contrary to Obama , Putin speaks excellent German .

European leaders seem to forget that Russia is situated in Europe and that the European economy is very integrated with the Russian . Sanctions and bellicose talks will not solve the situation . Diplomacy and cooperation are the only solution .

Europe should take the lead as Obama has no strategy on Isis and seems to have no strategy on Ukraine either .

Hong Kong AceTrader 03:24 GMT August 29, 2014
AceTrader Aug 29: Intra-Day Market Moving News & Views & data to be released today
Reply   

Intra-Day Market Moving New and Views USD/JPY
29 Aug 2014 02:22GMT

USD/JPY - .... Dlr went through a mini 'roller-coaster' session on Thur. Although broad-based buying in yen due to renewed geopolitical tensions in Ukraine pressured price to 103.56 in Thursday's Europe, release of upbeat 2nd reading of U.S. GDP lifted price to 103.90 in NY morning but only to retreat to 103.65 in NY afternoon.

Today, traders have showed muted reaction to the early release of a slew of mixed economic reports from Japan (including unemployment rate, all household spending, CPI, industrial production and retail sales), suggesting consolidation above said yesterday's 103.56 low would continue, therefore, buying dlr on dips is still the favoured strategy.

Bids are noted at 103.60-50 with stops below 103.50, whilst offers are placed at 103.85/90 and above with stops emerging above 104.20.

Friday will see the release of Japan's unemployment rate, CPI, industrial output and retail sales, New Zealand's business outlook, Australia's housing credit and private sector credit, Japan's housing starts and construction orders, Swiss KOF indicator, Italy's unemployment rate, eurozone inflation and unemployment rate, U.S. PCE, personal consumption and income, Canada's GDP, producer prices and raw material prices, U.S. Chicago PMI, University of Michigan condition and expectations.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 00:36 GMT August 29, 2014
Mind the Gap
Reply   


As the chart below shows, there was a weekend gap in the EURUSD that has led to a debate as to which one to use. Is it the gap to last Friday’s low or to last Friday’s closing price? I have seen traders argue for each. Read on to see which gap I use.

Which Gap Should I Use

GVI Forex Blog 00:33 GMT August 29, 2014
Forex News
Reply   
* Safe-haven yen outperforms dollar and euro

* Euro wilts as tensions between Ukraine & Russia flare up

* Euro zone inflation a further risk after German CPI stays low

FOREX-Yen firms on Ukraine tensions, euro braces for inflation test

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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