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Forex Forum Archive for 09/10/2014

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Mtl JP 22:44 GMT September 10, 2014
Slippery Slope

nh 20:15 maybe the EU is wondering ...
so am I... wondering about the eu clowns
Gods usually take away the mind of those they want to destroy

GVI Forex john 21:51 GMT September 10, 2014
September 2014 Reserve Bank of New Zealand

Red clearly you are correct. I was wrong in terms of market expectations.

GVI Forex 21:50 GMT September 10, 2014
September 2014 Reserve Bank of New Zealand

RBNZ Quick Thoughts.
Imre Speizer

The RBNZ's Monetary Policy Statement this morning announced the OCR will remain unchanged at 3.50%, unanimously expected. However, the guidance was a dovish surprise to the interest rate markets. The NZD exchange rate was surprised lower.

london red 21:48 GMT September 10, 2014
September 2014 Reserve Bank of New Zealand

its about expectations john, market was looking for dec-march rate increase, rbnz targeting april now. but more importantly, still v strong language re currency. nothing has changed in language since highs, so they arr looking for considerably lower still.
overall kiwi not done too bad as dovish slant largely expected.

GVI Forex john 21:40 GMT September 10, 2014
September 2014 Reserve Bank of New Zealand

RBNZ conclusion reads to me as hawkish. Should be NZD Positive?

GVI Forex john 21:15 GMT September 10, 2014
September 2014 Reserve Bank of New Zealand

" In light of these uncertainties, and in order to better assess the moderating effects of the recent policy tightening and export price reductions, it is prudent to undertake a period of monitoring and assessment before considering further policy adjustment. Nevertheless, we expect some further policy tightening will be necessary to keep future average inflation near the 2 percent target mid-point and ensure that the economic expansion can be sustained."

-- RBNZ

GVI Forex john 21:02 GMT September 10, 2014
September 2014 Reserve Bank of New Zealand
Reply   




NEWS ALERT
Keeps rates steady at 3.50%, as expected


RELEASE: Reserve Bank of New Zealand


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex john 20:58 GMT September 10, 2014
Weekly Trading Planner
Reply   

THURSDAY
01:30 AU Payrolls Key growth metric
12:30 US Initial Claims Employment measure
19:00 EZ Draghi Milan  Draghi always closely followed
FRIDAY
05:30 JP Ind Out  Japanese Production
12:30 US Retail Sales Consumer is King
13:55 US U Mich prelim Consumer Sentiment


dc CB 20:21 GMT September 10, 2014
Slippery Slope



The O and the Media have got Da People Afraid.

Sixty-One percent say military action against ISIS is in nation’s interest

And a whopping 94 percent of Americans say they have heard about the news of the beheaded journalists – higher than any other news event the NBC/WSJ poll has measured over the past five years.

ISIS Threat: Fear of Terror Attack

Livingston nh 20:15 GMT September 10, 2014
Slippery Slope
Reply   
Sell on the Rumor of War; Buy on the Cannon Roar

So tonight Pres Obama tries to sell a Bag of Beans to America, not just WMD but the modern equivalent of the Golden Horde -- trouble (again) in River City // fool me once shame on you; fool me twice shame on me - so 2 months before election will "all of the people be fooled all of the time"

My suspicion is that the Ukraine is probably wondering why the Cossacks didn't get the same level of Presidential concern as the modern day mongols -- maybe the EU is wondering the same

GVI Forex john 20:02 GMT September 10, 2014
Weekly Trading Planner
Reply   

  • Yields in prime Eurozone fixed income markets are higher. The 10-yr bund is 1.003% +0.5bp. Peripheral bond yields are up.
  • The U.K.10-yr gilt  yield is 2.500%  +2.0bp. BOE Carney signaled a Spring 2015 rate hike. Scotland vote is September 18.
  • U.S.10-yr yield is 2.525%, +1.90bp. The psychological pivot is now 2.50%.
  • Far East equities closed mostly lower. Bourses in Europe are ending lower. U.S. shares are lower.

    The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields. This aligns all the colors in the chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off(red).


GVI Forex john 19:56 GMT September 10, 2014
Chart Points -- Pivot Point Trading System
Reply   
Latest Selected daily USD and EUR based Pivot Points. See Chart Point tables for complete data. Basis previous session ranges...



Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading: A Simple but Effective Trading System

Livingston nh 19:52 GMT September 10, 2014
EUR/GBP
Reply   
this pair is resuming its collapse as it's back below the 21 dma -- test of .7750 lvl will put further pressure on Carney

GVI Forex john 19:35 GMT September 10, 2014
Chart Points -- Pivot Point Trading System

GBP 1.6210 trades 1.6305 target hit.

GVI Forex john 19:34 GMT September 10, 2014
Chart Points - Free FX Database
Reply   

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

GVI Forex john 19:26 GMT September 10, 2014
Chart Points -- Pivot Point Trading System

Should have highlighted GBPUSD chart points
R3 1.6253
R2 1.6205

time is running out on these ranges

HOD 1.6230 , but I am still watching R2 more as a general price target than a stop loss level.

Livingston nh 19:24 GMT September 10, 2014
Scotland

The Scottish Spring has encouraged a lot of the geopolitical types to give cover to traders who would have traded down the Pound for a lot more rational reasons -- the real surprise is the silly notion even hit the EU at large with fears of contagion to other separatist groups // this is a sign of market nervousness not anything likely to occur - fundamental sands are shifting in light of the reality of the very thing that most folks thought would happen in 2014 but did not adhere to the script until recently (BUT bonds are still bullet proof, right? right?)

GVI Forex john 19:19 GMT September 10, 2014
Current Conditions: MIXED RISK

10-yr 2.534%

GVI Forex john 19:02 GMT September 10, 2014
Chart Points -- Trading Points
Reply   
Pre-Closing...



GVI Forex Blog 18:44 GMT September 10, 2014
MIXED RISK: New Scotland Poll Shows Nay Vote Ahead. Aussie Jobs Due
Reply   
HIGH IMPACT NEWS: AU- Employment, EZ- Draghi Speech US- Weekly Jobless, 30-yr

Very early Thursday sees the latest RBNZ policy decision. No rate change is expected. The Scottish Daily Record Scotland independence poll put the pro-independence vote at 47%, and the no vote at 53% (excluding undecided). There were rumors earlier in the day that the pro-independence vote would be 54%. GBP gained on the news.

MIXED RISK: New Scotland Poll Shows Nay Vote Ahead. Aussie Jobs Due

GVI Forex john 18:21 GMT September 10, 2014
Scotland
Reply   
The Scottish Daily Record/Survation Scotland independence poll puts yes vote at 47%, no vote at 53% (excluding undecided) - The Scottish Daily Record- Source TradeTheNews.com

dc CB 17:52 GMT September 10, 2014
Current Conditions: MIXED RISK

The Bid to Cover of 2.71 was slightly below last month's 2.83, and right on top of the TMM average.

Indirects taking down well over half of the auction, or 53%

Dealers were left with just 33.6% of the auction, and Directs left holding 13.5% of the final allotment.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

tom the 30, then if no 9-11 type attacks, Da Boys can run Stox back up. :)))

10 Year Auction Prices At Second Lowest Yield Of 2014; Highest Indirects Since Dcember 2011

SaaR KaL 17:35 GMT September 10, 2014
Day's Trades

IMO
USDJPY wants 1.20 + Next year

USDCAD 1.2+
They are both in rally now

SaaR KaL 17:29 GMT September 10, 2014
Day's Trades

next year range
eurusd 1.25 to 1.22
TGT 1.45 1.47
i doubt we see 1.20 again
cable
1.55 to 1.52
tgt
1.78 1.80

GVI Forex Blog 17:25 GMT September 10, 2014
Global-View.com Poll Results on the Scottish Independence Referendum
Reply   
An informal poll conducted by Global-View.com on the upcoming Scottish referendum was conducted on September 9-10 with members of its trading community. The goal was to gauge sentiment for how forex traders viewed the likely outcome of the Scottish vote.

Global-View.com Poll Results on the Scottish Independence Referendum

dc CB 17:17 GMT September 10, 2014
AAPL



Trains remaining today

2:15 Express
3:30 Bullet

The Not Rigged North Central RR Line

GVI Forex john 17:09 GMT September 10, 2014
Current Conditions: MIXED RISK

10-yr now 2.541%

GVI Forex john 17:09 GMT September 10, 2014
Current Conditions: MIXED RISK

10-yr 2.535%
bid-to-cover 2.71 vs. 2.57

GVI Forex john 17:00 GMT September 10, 2014
Chart Points -- Pivot Point Trading System

Been away from my screens a lot today . I just wanted point our EURUSD
S1 1.2885 LOD=1.2884
GBPUSD
S1 1.6059 LOD= 1.6052


As I work with this system, I am learning that pivot point levels work better when markets on previous days trade in more "normal" ranges. You have to use your judgement on which Support or Resistance levels to use after (e.g. S2 or S1) following narrow Range sessions. On the day after a break out session (S3 or R3 breached), pivot point support or resistance levels may be hopelessly out of range.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 16:58 GMT September 10, 2014
Pound Sterling

I posted this last night on GVI Forex and someone paid notice:

GBPUSD
GVI Forex 01:24 GMT 09/10/2014 - My Profile
Logic speaking: Given how hard it has sold off logic suggests a rebound sometime before the Sept 18 vote to hedge against a No vote. A lot will depend on upcoming polls and timing

PAR 16:52 GMT September 10, 2014
AAPL
Reply   
Us stocks rallying as Apple moves back above $100.

SaaR KaL 16:23 GMT September 10, 2014
Day's Trades

GBPJPY shrts
tgt 169

SaaR KaL 16:22 GMT September 10, 2014
Day's Trades

Buying EURGBP around .7950 area
tgt 0.8120

PAR 16:21 GMT September 10, 2014
Pierre Moscovici

EU's Moscovici says not in anybody's interest to demand the impossible from France (on deficit reduction)



Germany's Barthle Says Moscovici Nomination Not a Wise Decision

GVI Forex john 16:10 GMT September 10, 2014
Current Conditions: MIXED RISK

10-yr 2.536%.

GVI Forex john 16:08 GMT September 10, 2014
Current Conditions: MIXED RISK

10-yr at the top of the hour...

SaaR KaL 16:08 GMT September 10, 2014
Day's Trades

RED I agree on USDCAD
buying around 1.09 area
===
NZDJPY reveral
started to short it
TGT
85 area

GVI Forex john 15:58 GMT September 10, 2014
Obama Speech
Reply   
Obama to speak to the nation Wednesday evening on his plan to combat ISIS. Time 9PM EDT (01:00 GMT Thursday).

GVI Forex john 15:52 GMT September 10, 2014
Current Conditions: MIXED RISK

Market Conditions:
Key markets remain in a mixed RISK posture heading into afternoon NY trade.. Chatter the Fed may drop the phrase "for a considerable time" from its policy statement is being seen as a possible signal that a rate hike is in the cards in early 2015. This talk has been driving U.S. rates higher. U.K. Scotland worries persist.

  • Yields in prime Eurozone fixed income markets are higher. The 10-yr bund is 1.003% +0.5bp. Peripheral bond yields are up.
  • The U.K.10-yr gilt yield is 2.500% +2.0bp. BOE Carney signaled a Spring 2015 rate hike. Scotland vote is September 18.
  • U.S.10-yr yield is 2.525%, +1.90bp. The psychological pivot is now 2.50%.
  • Far East equities closed mostly lower. Bourses in Europe are ending lower. U.S. shares are lower.

    The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields. This aligns all the colors in the chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off(red).


london red 15:29 GMT September 10, 2014
Day's Trades

Second day in a row loonie traded down from highs. Two long wicks on the daily bars now. Volume already up on last week and its only weds. Taken by itself without the context of other pairs, technicals dont look good for usd vs cad. Needs to move back abv 1.10 to put things right otherwise 1.0930-10840 possible. Goes against strong dollar elsewhere but take a look for yourself.

SaaR KaL 14:50 GMT September 10, 2014
Day's Trades

GBPNZD
I am out with some lose..
Not a good call

cable will wait till above 1.6200
EURUSD will wait till above 1.30

SHorted NZDUSD...tgt .800

GVI Forex john 14:49 GMT September 10, 2014
US EIA Weekly Inventories
Reply   



NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: -0.970 vs. -1.00 exp vs. -0.905 prev.
Gasoline: +2.380 vs. 0.00 exp vs. -2.300 prev.
Distillates: +4.090 vs. +0.500 exp vs. +0.600 prev.
Cap/Util: 93.9% vs. 92.80% exp vs. 93.30% prev.
Weekly Petroleum Status Report




TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 14:45 GMT September 10, 2014
Pound Sterling

it is time
to short gbp

Paris ib 14:22 GMT September 10, 2014
Pierre Moscovici

Have you seen the rest of them? It's a joke on us.

The Chinless Deviants

GVI Forex Blog 14:20 GMT September 10, 2014 Reply   
September 10, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, September 11. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar HIGH IMPACT NEWS: AU- Employment, EZ- Draghi Speech US- Weekly Jobless, 30-yr

GVI Forex Data Outlook for September 11, 2014

GVI Forex john 14:18 GMT September 10, 2014
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data News
Reply   


September 10, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, September 11. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS: AU- Employment, EZ- Draghi Speech US- Weekly Jobless, 30-yr

  • Far East: AU- Employment
  • Europe: EZ- Draghi Speech
  • North America: US- Weekly Jobless, Natural Gas, 30-yr Auction


PAR 14:17 GMT September 10, 2014
Pierre Moscovici
Reply   
Former French finance minister who let spiral French deficits out of control and destroyed the French economy named

EU Economic Affairs Chief.

This must be a joke ?

GVI Forex john 14:09 GMT September 10, 2014
July 2014 U.S. Wholesale Inventories
Reply   



ALERT
+0.10% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. +0.30% (r +0.20%) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

Central Kwun 13:57 GMT September 10, 2014
EURUSD 12905 12958 both confirmed

Sell Gold
Entry: 1253 Target: Stop:

1253 hit, awesome wfakhoury

SaaR KaL 13:50 GMT September 10, 2014
Day's Trades

Correction

SaaR KaL 13:49 GMT 09/10/2014 - My Profile
GBPNZD Mean Value

Should read
GBPAUD

SaaR KaL 13:49 GMT September 10, 2014
Day's Trades

GBPNZD Mean Value
is 1.7206 and sell
can easily go above it 4 Big figures

SaaR KaL 13:43 GMT September 10, 2014
Day's Trades

AUDJPY and AUDNZD Longs are hot now

GVI Forex Blog 13:42 GMT September 10, 2014
How to Select Your Best Forex Trading System
Reply   
What are the different trading systems? In the world of retail forex trading, there are countless models for capitalizing on the potential of the currency market and being profitable. These models can be grouped into three main categories which we call systems: Self Trading, Social Trading, and Managed Trading

How to Select Your Best Forex Trading System

SaaR KaL 13:32 GMT September 10, 2014
Day's Trades

small short EURJPY
just from the looks of the hourly chart
adding later

Mtl JP 13:31 GMT September 10, 2014
Pound Sterling

nh note the "and" in Jekyll and Hyde. It is psychological disorder consisting of at least two distinct personalities.

Mtl JP 13:25 GMT September 10, 2014
Pound Sterling

not so long ago, headlines were dismissive of impact of rate hike on UK households
Carney Can’t Escape Housing as Debt Colors BOE Policy - bbrg
-
Personally, currently I am looking to short gbp

Livingston nh 13:19 GMT September 10, 2014
Pound Sterling

JP - odds on whether "Jekyll" Mark or "Hyde" Carney shows up after yesterday's speech

Mtl JP 13:16 GMT September 10, 2014
Pound Sterling
Reply   
In half an hour from now rockstar of c-banking Carney is scheduled for a yak. Topic: Inflation Report

Central Kwun 13:05 GMT September 10, 2014
EURUSD 12905 12958 both confirmed

1248.75 already, thx!

Amman wfakhoury 13:03 GMT September 10, 2014
EURUSD 12905 12958 both confirmed

Central Kwun 12:14 GMT 09/10/2014
Gold
--------------
back to 1253 . retuern 1248.75

NY JM 12:48 GMT September 10, 2014
EURUSD 12905 12958 both confirmed

Nice call...

GVI Forex 12:43 GMT September 10, 2014
CUrrency Wars: CHF Next?
Reply   
08:37 [EUR/CHF] (CH) SNB official Moser: Reiterates view that could consider negative interest rates should its minimum exchange rate come under threat
**Note: The next SNB rate decision is schedule for Thursday, Seot 18th

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Livingston nh 12:36 GMT September 10, 2014
A Fed phrase change could mean rate hikes sooner

Some language thru 2003 -
"In these circumstances, the Committee believes that policy accommodation can be maintained for a considerable period."
"However, with inflation quite low and resource use slack, the Committee believes that policy accommodation can be maintained for a considerable period."

Then for a couple of meetings they used the term "patient" until the pointy heads raised rates in June 2004 and locked on to "at a pace that is likely to be measured" -- it was measured 1/4 point every meeting thereafter" (auto-pilot)

We all know what happened then -- watch what they do, not what they say

Release the transcripts instead of Minutes

Mtl JP 12:36 GMT September 10, 2014
A Fed phrase change could mean rate hikes sooner

qtr point rate hike by july 2015 currently fully priced, 0.5% by oct 2015

Mysore Forexveda 12:30 GMT September 10, 2014
Gold may fall big time
Reply   
This information is from a reliable source. India, the largest gold importer in the world is likely to montise gold in Jan 2015. That means India doesn't have to import gold for next 15 years. Technically, i always predicted Gold to fall to $990 but I will not be surprised if we see around $775 levels in next 1 year.

GVI Forex john 12:15 GMT September 10, 2014
A Fed phrase change could mean rate hikes sooner
Reply   
This is the article being talked about. I don't find it to be definitive...

"Odds are rising that the Federal Reserve could make an important change to its policy statement at its meeting next week, and markets could see it as a cue that rate hikes are coming sooner than they expect.

The change being debated is whether to drop the phrase that says there will be a "considerable time" from the end of the Fed's bond purchases, or quantitative easing, to the first rate hike. "Considerable time" has generally been interpreted to mean at least six months, or four meetings..."
.

A Fed phrase change could mean rate hikes sooner

Mtl JP 12:15 GMT September 10, 2014
Canada
Reply   
for those with patience and cash bargain opportunities in the making:
Majority of Canadian workers living paycheque to paycheque: survey

..."survey found that more than half of employees -- 51 per cent -- would find it difficult to meet their financial obligations if their paycheque were delayed by a single week. That was up from an average of 49 per cent over the past three years.

For those aged 18 to 29, the number is even higher -- 63 per cent report living paycheque to paycheque.... 42% of Canadians and 46% of Quebecers living paycheque to paycheque. "

Central Kwun 12:14 GMT September 10, 2014
EURUSD 12905 12958 both confirmed

Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

Wfakhoury Sir, any direction on gold pls?

Tallinn viies 12:05 GMT September 10, 2014
eurusd
Reply   
1,2955-65 held at least for now.
move under 1,2920 will bring 1,2870 in focus again.
will try to go long there if possible

Amman wfakhoury 11:54 GMT September 10, 2014
EURUSD 12905 12958 both confirmed
Reply   


12958 confirmed too ..we doubled the the order.

Cape Town LV 11:48 GMT September 10, 2014
Day's Trades

Thank you for the explanation - not that I know what sigma is but at least I know know what you are posting.

GT

SaaR KaL 11:27 GMT September 10, 2014
Day's Trades

EURJPY SHorts
139.2642 133.6265
139.8280 133.0627
140.3918 132.4989
140.9555 131.9351

Close On 9/11/2014
139.1046 133.4669
139.6684 132.9031
140.2322 132.3393
140.7959 131.7756

Close On 9/17/2014
138.3621 131.5968

SaaR KaL 11:23 GMT September 10, 2014
Day's Trades

Cape Town
They are the predicted Ranges from Sigma 5 to 8
For the same day and next
+ T + 7 days (At 6 sigma)

Cape Town LV 11:00 GMT September 10, 2014
Another Poll Confirms Scotland Opinion Swing to Independence

This is some maddness

Cape Town LV 11:00 GMT September 10, 2014
Day's Trades

Dear Kal

Sorry for this stupid question but what are these figures that you post? Is it trades that you have opened or predicted levels?

SaaR KaL 10:42 GMT September 10, 2014
Day's Trades

USDCHF Longs
0.9586 0.9248
0.9619 0.9214
0.9653 0.9180
0.9687 0.9146

Close On 9/11/2014
0.9624 0.9286
0.9658 0.9252
0.9692 0.9218
0.9725 0.9185

Close On 9/17/2014
0.9945 0.9539
==
AUDJPY Longs

99.5374 97.8610
99.7050 97.6933
99.8727 97.5257
100.0403 97.3580

Close On 9/11/2014
99.6637 97.9873
99.8314 97.8196
99.9990 97.6520
100.1666 97.4844

Close On 9/17/2014
100.5621 98.5504
===
Silver SHorts
19.2552 18.3837
19.3423 18.2965
19.4295 18.2094
19.5166 18.1223

Close On 9/11/2014
19.1743 18.3028
19.2614 18.2156
19.3486 18.1285
19.4357 18.0413

Close On 9/17/2014
18.6805 17.6347
==
AUDNZD Longs
1.1338 1.1189
1.1353 1.1174
1.1368 1.1160
1.1383 1.1145

Close On 9/11/2014
1.1348 1.1200
1.1363 1.1185
1.1378 1.1170
1.1393 1.1155

Close On 9/17/2014
1.1431 1.1252

GVI Forex 10:37 GMT September 10, 2014
Another Poll Confirms Scotland Opinion Swing to Independence

It may have been that blog poll that pushed GBPUSD down to 1.6050 and given the source (see our earlier post), it has since bounced back above 1.61+.

GVI Forex Blog 10:34 GMT September 10, 2014
Global Markets News
Reply   
Dealers have been relishing the recent spike in volatility from historically low levels (have to make money to get those bonuses). The question is whether a fundamental change is now upon the currency markets with perhaps a multi-year recovery for the USD. One major analyst noted that the extent of the moves and the lack of correction were consistent with a longer-term change in currency market trends

TradeTheNews.com EU Market Update: Sentiment a bit cautious in session on numerous factors (Ukraine cease fire, Scottish referendum and Fed potential language change)

Hong Kong AceTrader 10:31 GMT September 10, 2014
AceTrader Sept 10: Intra-Day Market Moving News & Views EUR/USD
Reply   

Intra-Day Market Moving New and Views

EUR/USD - .. German Econ ministry said 'German economy on track for expansion despite contraction in Q2; geopolitical conflicts are preventing better performance in economy; growth impulse coming mainly from U.S. and Asian emerging markets; overall foreign demand is weaker than previously expected.'

Ukraine's Poroshenko says 'Ukraine regrouping its forces in east not to stage new offensive but to defend territory.'

French FinMin said 'France does not seek change of EU deficit rules but wants weak economic reliability to be taken into account; sees 2015 public deficit of 4.3%, will reach 3% target in 2017.'

ECB's Coeure said 'ECB measures will be much more effective if we see structural reforms and fiscal position appropriate for euro area; TLTROs and measures announced last wk are not a quantitative increase in liquidity, or QE.'

During the Asian opening, the single currency finally staged a near 1-cent rebound from yesterday's fresh near 14-month trough of 1.2860 to 1.2957 in NY afternoon, traders cited the move was broad-based short-covering in euro.

As the magnitude of said Tue's rebound fm 1.2860 was the largest seen in over a month. looks like euro has finally made a temporary base there, a few days of 'choppy' consolidation is in store. Having said that, intra-day retreat fm 1.2952 in Asia suggests euro bears are not yet beaten and would make further attempts to test the downside side, so trading on both sides of the market is the appropriate strategy today. Offers are tipped at 1.2950-60 with stops abv there, more offers are reported at 1.2980/90. Initial bids are noted at 1.2920-00 area with stops below there, however, there is market chatter of good buying interest at 1.2860-50 area.

Mtl JP 09:46 GMT September 10, 2014
Day's Trades

nyet

GVI Forex 09:45 GMT September 10, 2014
G-V Informal Scottish Poll

LAST CALL

This is an informal poll among G-V members.

Will the Scots vote YES (for independence) or NO (status quo)?

Send your vote to me by EMAIL

SaaR KaL 09:39 GMT September 10, 2014
Day's Trades

Gold
Might see 1166 next week

SaaR KaL 09:37 GMT September 10, 2014
Day's Trades

GBPAUD
we could see 1.61 next week

Tallinn viies 09:36 GMT September 10, 2014
eurusd
Reply   
buy-stops at 1,2970-75.
5 day exponential moving average has been containing all upside moves since 15/08/14 if to follow close of the days.
5 day ema 1,2966 at the moment. will be intresting to see how things play out with such a huge short positions

SaaR KaL 09:29 GMT September 10, 2014
Day's Trades

JP.. YOu Long Cable?

Mtl JP 09:26 GMT September 10, 2014
Day's Trades

gbpusd testing 3x bottom on the hourly
sofar holding

SaaR KaL 09:24 GMT September 10, 2014
Day's Trades

GBPCHF shorts
1.5262 1.4787
1.5310 1.4740
1.5357 1.4692
1.5405 1.4645

Close On 9/11/2014
1.5229 1.4754
1.5277 1.4707
1.5324 1.4659
1.5372 1.4611

Close On 9/17/2014
1.5017 1.4447

GVI Forex 09:19 GMT September 10, 2014
Another Poll Confirms Scotland Opinion Swing to Independence

Note the source of the poll

UK: Earlier unconfirmed market chatter re 'Yes' vote in Scotland 'now circa 54%' appears to come from a blog (http://barker.co.uk/scotlandpoll). The poll showed 'yes' votes at 53.9% and 'no' at 46.1% and was run on a sample of Scottish web users (1000 responded) between Sep 7-/9.

Source: Market News International (MNI) – A Deutsche Börse company

GVI Forex john 09:14 GMT September 10, 2014
Chart Points -- Pivot Point Trading System

Latest Selected daily USD and EUR based Pivot Points. See Chart Point tables for complete data. Basis previous session ranges...


Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System


SaaR KaL 09:14 GMT September 10, 2014
Day's Trades

EURNZD SHorts
1.5921 1.5214
1.5991 1.5143
1.6062 1.5073
1.6132 1.5002

Close On 9/11/2014
1.5896 1.5189
1.5966 1.5119
1.6037 1.5048
1.6108 1.4977

Close On 9/17/2014
1.5786 1.4939

GVI Forex Blog 09:11 GMT September 10, 2014
MIXED RISK Session on Chatter of More Hawkish Fed Next Week. New Scotland Poll Due Later
Reply   
HIGH IMPACT NEWS: 10-yr Auction

There has been widespread talk today that the FOMC will drop its "extended time period" from its policy statement next week. That could move the timing of the first rate hike to early 2015. Fed rate hikes are still likely to be gradual as the"normalize" policy. Late today see the latest RBNZ policy decision. No change is expected. Another Scotland Referendum opinion poll is due later today.

MIXED RISK Session on Chatter of More Hawkish Fed Next Week. New Scotland Poll Due Later

GVI Forex john 08:56 GMT September 10, 2014
Current Conditions: MIXED RISK
Reply   

Current Market Conditions:
Early Wednesday in Europe key markets remain in a mixed RISK posture. Chatter the Fed will drop the phrase "for a considerable time" from its policy statement is being seen as a possible signal that a rate hike is in the cards for early 2015. This talk has been driving U.S. rates higher. U.K. Scotland worries persist.

  • Yields in prime Eurozone fixed income markets are higher. The 10-yr bund is 1.024% +2.6bp. Peripheral bond yields are up.
  • The U.K.10-yr gilt yield is 2.500% +2.0bp. BOE Carney signaled a Spring 2015 rate hike. Scotland vote is September 18..
  • U.S.10-yr yield is 2.510%, +2.000bp. The psychological pivot is now 2.50%.
  • Far East equities closed mostly lower. Bourses in Europe are lower. U.S. share futures are lower.

    The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields. This aligns all the colors in the chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off(red).


Hong Kong AceTrader 08:45 GMT September 10, 2014
AceTrader Sept 10: Intra-Day Market Moving News & Views USD/JPY
Reply   

Intra-Day Market Moving New and Views

USD/JPY - ..... Despite dlr's initial fall to 106.04 shortly after Tokyo open, comments from BoJ Deputy Governor Iwata triggered broad-based selling in yen and price later penetrated yesterday's fresh 6-year peak at 104.47 to a high of 106.56 ahead of European open.

Fresh bids are building up in 106.30-10 region with mixture of bids and stops located around 106.00.
On the upside, offers are noted at 106.60/65 with some stops touted above there.

Earlier, BoJ Deputy Governor Iwata said:
'positive effect of weak yen on exports is smaller now than in late 2000's; Japan firms likely to overcome rising import costs from weak yen;
weak yen may raise prices temporarily, but that alone can't lift inflation in long-term perspective;
Japan on track to meet BoJ's price target;
weak yen may push up import costs but may lead to fall in other prices, so must look at its effect comprehensively in guiding monetary policy;
don't see any problem with BoJ buying govt debt with negative yield, even if that is what happened yesterday;
don't forsee any difficulties in boj's market operations even if BoJ has bought govt debt with negative yields;
can't comment on market speculation BoJ may ease further, we will look at upside and downside risks through various data;
too early to say consumer sentiment has cooled, want to watch trend with a longer-term perspective.'

Amman wfakhoury 08:35 GMT September 10, 2014
EURUSD 12905 confirmed



the first 10 pips

Amman wfakhoury 07:45 GMT September 10, 2014
EURUSD 12905 confirmed
Reply   


12905 confirmed will be reached.
12930 return.


The only one in the world who confirms the next level


SaaR KaL 07:26 GMT September 10, 2014
Day's Trades

EURUSD SHorts
1.3066 1.2566
1.3116 1.2516
1.3166 1.2467
1.3216 1.2417

Close On 9/11/2014
1.3013 1.2514
1.3063 1.2464
1.3113 1.2414
1.3163 1.2364

Close On 9/17/2014
1.2673 1.2074

SaaR KaL 07:22 GMT September 10, 2014
Day's Trades

0.8161 0.7897
0.8188 0.7871
0.8214 0.7845
0.8241 0.7818

Close On 9/11/2014
0.8180 0.7916
0.8206 0.7889
0.8233 0.7863
0.8259 0.7836

Close On 9/17/2014 -----> changed to T +7 days
0.8352 0.8035

Grasse P.A. 06:48 GMT September 10, 2014
Breef
Reply   
Buy Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

Gold trading strategy in the next few days.
Almost $20 lost the Gold price last week. The major reason for Gold losses are the expensive dollar see World-Signals.com. Last week the price of Gold down from $1286 to $1268 and continue this week to a fresh new bottom at $1248. If you see the Gold price in Euro you can see minimal changes. The Gold price in Euro changes with almost EUR 20 last week but the open and the close of the week was at price of EUR 980 - EUR 978.
In spite the dollar rises last week more than 170 pips against the euro the Gold will remain weak against the dollar and euro. World-Signals.com strategy is continue of the bearish trend during the week. In a very short-term World-Signals.com recommend to buy Gold this afternoon in U.S. trading session and sell in late Asian session or latest in European morning session. If you hold short positions we recommend to keep it with higher profit.

SaaR KaL 06:46 GMT September 10, 2014
Day's Trades
Reply   
EURAUD SHorts
1.4110 1.3498
1.4225 1.3384
1.4286 1.3322
1.4378 1.3231

Close On 9/11/2014
1.4070 1.3459
1.4185 1.3344
1.4246 1.3283
1.4338 1.3191

Close On 9/15/2014
1.4045 1.3127


GBPNZD >crash
1.7466 1.6919
1.7521 1.6864
1.7576 1.6809
1.7630 1.6754

Close On 9/11/2014
1.7377 1.6830
1.7432 1.6775
1.7487 1.6720
1.7542 1.6666

Close On 9/15/2014
1.7015 1.6358

sd sf 06:40 GMT September 10, 2014
AUD

NW - imo we will see these tomorrow .. NZD Rates / Aud Employment...

Aud - 9085 Aud/Nzd 1.1030

all the best.

Haifa ac 06:35 GMT September 10, 2014
eurusd

"What you do have is a huge increase in speculative USD longs,"?????


The dollar has started a MULTI YEAR BULL MARKET!
You better change your mindset!

Hong Kong AceTrader 06:15 GMT September 10, 2014
AceTrader Sept 10: Intra-Day Market Moving News & Views GBP/USD
Reply   

Intra-Day Market Moving New and Views GBP/USD

10 Sep 2014
GBP/USD - ...... The pound swung wildly on Tuesday. Although short-covering lifted the cable from yesterday's Asian fresh near 10-month bottom at 1.6065 and price rose to 1.6157 in Europe after hawkish comments fm BOE governor Mark Carney, cable fell to a session low of 1.6060 in NY midday before staging another rebound to 1.6126 near the close and then to 1.6139 at Asian open.

Sterling is expected to gain respite ahead of the U.K. Inflation Report hearing (13:45GMT), buying cable on dips for intra-day trade is recommended. However, position traders can look to sell on further gain as market jitters ahead of the Sept. 18 Scottish referendum should pressure the pair lower later this week.
Bids from various accounts are noted at 1.6110-10 and then 1.6085 with stops below 1.6060 (not large).
Offers are tipped at 1.6135/40 and more at 1.615/60 with mixture of offers and stops near 1.6180/90.

Paris ib 05:45 GMT September 10, 2014
AUD

"for those really banking on China to continue to be a source of growth [in the] COMMODITY sector, it’s not as pretty a picture,”..... “The [Chinese] property sector, which is terribly important for Australia, is in recession on almost every indicator you can look at — construction, demand for materials, iron ore prices, house sales, as well as house prices in many of the cities,” "

N.B. China was never a source of growth for anyone else, just for commodity exporters. For every other type of economy China was merely a competitor which based its competitive edge on slave labour. Though for the U.S. it provided funds to prop up the U.S. Government. Though no new funds have been provided for a while now.

China Bust

Paris ib 05:35 GMT September 10, 2014
AUD

With China's property bubble bursting and demand for iron ore falling the impact on the AUD has been significant, which is no surprise since the narrow base of the Australian economy can be described in two words: iron ore.

"the spot price down 38% ytd to US$84/t.... a weak demand outlook in China....We maintain our US$80/t forecast for 2015"

The commodity bubble has been bursting for a while. Recent Chinese export 'data' has more to do with the requirement that only profits earned from 'exports' can leave the country. Record 'trade' surplus in China or just the easiest way to justify capital flight?

Goldman's Iron Ore Forecast

Paris ib 05:29 GMT September 10, 2014
AUD

Westpac’s Consumer Sentiment Index sank by 4.6% in September from 98.5 in August.

Consumer Confidence

GVI Forex Blog 05:00 GMT September 10, 2014 Reply   
(JP) JAPAN JULY MACHINE ORDERS M/M: 3.5% V 4.0%E; Y/Y: 1.1% V 0.5%E- (JP) JAPAN AUG PPI (CGPI) M/M: -0.2% V 0.0%E; Y/Y: 3.9% (5-month low) V 4.1%E - (AU) AUSTRALIA SEPT WESTPAC CONSUMER SENTIMENT IND

TradeTheNews.com Asian Market Update: Investors await China money supply and lending data - Source TradeTheNews.com

Central Kwun 04:07 GMT September 10, 2014
Current Conditions: Mixed RISK

Sell Gold
Entry: 1256 Target: Stop: 1266

any news from obama? Did he say anything? Seem no?

GVI Forex Blog 03:28 GMT September 10, 2014 Reply   
All the markets are undergoing normal shallow corrections but no trend reversal is seen yet.

Morning Briefing : 10-Sep-2014 -0328 GMT

Hong Kong AceTrader 03:11 GMT September 10, 2014
AceTrader Sept 10: Intra-Day Market Moving News & Views & data to be released today
Reply   

Intra-Day Market Moving New and Views USD/JPY

10 Sep 2014 01:31GMT

USD/JPY - ..... Statement from BoJ Deputy Governor Iwata, quote:
'QQE has been exerting intended effects;
Japan's economy continues to recover moderately as a trend, although effect of sales tax hike remains;
what matters is the mechanism underlying the economic recovery and not temporary factors;
BoJ judges that the virtuous cycle of economic activity remains firmly intact in both the household and corporate sectors;
with the employment and income situation improving steadily, private consumption has remained resilient as a trend;
labour market is likely to continue tightening as the economy continues to recover;
virtuous cycle of economic activity in the household sector is expected to remain in place;
BoJ will carefully examine how decline in real income, due to tax hike, affects households' spending behaviour;
need structural reforms, not just monetary policy, to achieve govt economic growth targets;
2 pct price target can be achieved with monetary policy regardless of potential growth rate;
Japan's potential growth rate estimated around 0.5 percent; now is time for efforts to promote innovation and reverse decline in working age population; export recovery has been delayed, but exports likely to head for a moderate increase;
Japan's economy likely to continue recovering moderately as a trend;
yen depreciation does not necessarily lead to inflation;
exports are potential concern for outlook of Japan's economy;
from somewhat longer-term perspective, correction of past excessive yen appreciation will mitigate downward pressure on exports;
yen depreciation can raise prices for some goods but also weigh on aggregate demand;
need to examine output gap to forecast prices on macro level;
increase in CPI is expected to accelerate moderately, along with increasing wages;
yen falls will encourage firms to be more proactive in capex, boost exports.'

Wednesday will see the release of Japan's corp. goods price and machinery orders, Australia's consumer sentiment, Canada's capacity utilization and U.S. wholesale inventories.

GVI Forex 02:36 GMT September 10, 2014
Chart Points -- Pivot Point Trading System

AUD S1 = .9166

Latest Selected daily USD and AUD Pivot Points. See Chart Point tables for complete data.


Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System

nw kw 02:15 GMT September 10, 2014
AUD

80 gave out do yoy have targets

GVI Forex 00:58 GMT September 10, 2014
G-V Informal Scottish Poll

This is an informal poll among G-V members.

Will the Scots vote YES (for independence) or NO (status quo)?

Send your vote to me by EMAIL

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 00:11 GMT September 10, 2014
Trading Made Simple
Reply   


I am not sure the word simple should be in a forex trading dictionary or any trading dictionary for that matter but there is a way to look at the market that should make it clearer to trade. There are some in the market who like to project themselves as fortune tellers, but in the end all they are doing is pointing out the risks. There is no crystal ball for forecasting the future but there is a way to look at the market that tells you should happen under certain conditions. This is what I mean by trading made simple.

Trading Made Simple

GVI Forex Blog 00:05 GMT September 10, 2014
Forex News
Reply   
* Carry trades hit by increased FX volatility, higher US yields

* Aussie suffers another big fall, EM currencies also hit

* Sterling & euro find a bit of reprieve for now

FOREX-Aussie dollar slumps to 5-month low as USD flexes muscle

Mtl JP 00:01 GMT September 10, 2014
Another Poll Confirms Scotland Opinion Swing to Independence

Scottish independence: Monarch 'above politics', Buckingham Palace says - BBC News

Any suggestion that the Queen would wish to influence the Scottish referendum campaign is "categorically wrong", Buckingham Palace has said.

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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