Mtl JP 22:29 GMT September 11, 2014
ECB's Draghi
EU to Put New Sanctions on Russia Into Effect, U.S. to Join - wsj
Raises Pressure on Moscow Despite Signs Cease-fire is Taking Hold in Ukraine
..."The EU and the U.S. also indicated the sanctions could be rolled back later if Russian President Vladimir Putin abides by commitments to seek a negotiated settlement to the conflict between the Ukrainian government and pro-Russia separatists. ...
"These measures will increase Russia's political isolation as well as the economic costs to Russia, especially in areas of importance to President Putin and those close to him," Mr. Obama said
--
Oh The Pompous Ones... rofl.. someone plz pass me a Depends
quick
GVI Forex john 21:05 GMT September 11, 2014
Scotland
Friday
R1 pivot point 1.6265 Friday high now 1.6270. We start new ranges shortly.
GVI Forex john 21:00 GMT September 11, 2014
Scotland
Poll data confirmed
GVI Forex john 20:59 GMT September 11, 2014
Scotland
Reportedly YouGov poll
52% AGAINST Independence
48% FAVOR Independence
GBP spikes higher. Waiting for confirmation. Vote still very close.
GVI Forex john 20:46 GMT September 11, 2014
ECB's Draghi
I don't think so, but what do i know? My current medium-term target is EURUSD 1.2500.
Memphis Charles 20:42 GMT September 11, 2014
ECB's Draghi
Seems like it:
http://www.efxnews.com/story/26030/ecb-noyer-need-lower-euro-more-reach-inflation-target
Probably time to go long.....
GVI Forex 20:32 GMT September 11, 2014
Markets Outlook
Reply
Market Outlooks:
Event risk today: Local data is minor, NZ food prices, manufacturing PMI, and possibly REINZ house prices, plus Australian credit card spending. Tonight there�s Eurozone employment, and then a large batch of US data including retail sales. Tomorrow we have China data including industrial production and retail sales.
AUD/USD 1 day: Remains in a negative mood, despite decent economic data. The strong US dollar is dominating and puts 0.9080 below at risk.
AUD/USD 1-3 month: The RBA is expected to remain on hold until August 2015, but markets should start pricing in the tightening cycle by end-2014 which should eventually boost AUD above 0.9500. Before then, though, US dollar sentiment and commodity prices will dominate and could drag the AUD to 0.9050.
NZD/USD 1 day: Remains in a negative mindset and targets 0.8120 next. The RBNZ�s dovish surprise yesterday reduces yield support for the NZD.
NZD/USD 1-3 month: The RBNZ shifted to a less hawkish stance yesterday and now appears on hold until mid-2014. Moreover, the resurgent US dollar is set to become the dominant theme for the year ahead. Our year-end target is 0.8000.
AUD/NZD 1 day: The 1.1100 channel top needs to hold for the multi-month uptrend to remain intact.
AUD/NZD 1-3 month: A multi-year reversal in the cross has probably begun. The RBNZ is on hold until mid-2014, while the market has yet to start pricing in an RBA tightening cycle which should launch in August 2015. The next major target is 1.1660.
Westpac NZ
Amman wfakhoury 20:15 GMT September 11, 2014
EURUSD 12905 confirmed
Reply
12905 confirmed will be reached , return 12936.
see my orders and sell limit.
The only one in the world who confirms the next level
GVI Forex john 19:59 GMT September 11, 2014
Scotland
Reply
New polling data due in next hour or so.
Mtl JP 19:42 GMT September 11, 2014
ECB's Draghi
what (and not just) the EU needs is
- less govt,
- less rules and regulations
- less bureaucrats
- lower price inflation to morph to price deflation
- higher interest rates
---------------------
It is so elementary it probably boggles the central banker brain
GVI Forex john 19:39 GMT September 11, 2014
Current Conditions: RISK-OFF
Interesting that bond yields appear to have disconnected from stock prices?
GVI Forex john 19:36 GMT September 11, 2014
ECB's Draghi
No headlines yet on the value of the Euro. We know the ECB would like to see it weaken.
GVI Forex 19:33 GMT September 11, 2014
ECB's Draghi
Reply
ECB Ready To Enact More Stimulus Measures If Needed and say Recent ECB Stimulus Steps Should Have 'Sizeable' Effect On Balance Sheet. Draghi Urges Eurozone Governments To Beef Up Investment Efforts.
Mtl JP 18:52 GMT September 11, 2014
Currency Wars
seeif mario can send euro down to 1.2860 at least
Mtl JP 18:38 GMT September 11, 2014
Slippery Slope
a slope alright ... $500 new million worth
drones, hellfires and other
not a war, just a significant action (according to ketchupman)
-
basically a promise of more of the same but with supposedly a different result
Mtl JP 18:13 GMT September 11, 2014
Currency Wars
at top of hour
Thursday, 11 September 2014
Board member: Mario Draghi
Event: Keynote speech by the President at gala dinner at Eurofi Financial Forum 2014 in Milan, Italy.
Time: 9 p.m. CET
Venue: Milan, Italy
Contact number: [email protected] and Andrea Zizola, ECB Global Media Relations, Tel: +49 69 1344 6551, e-mail: [email protected]
Text: The text will be made available on the ECB's website after delivery.
Notes: By invitation only!
dc CB 17:16 GMT September 11, 2014
Auctions well played
Reply
priced at 3.24%, pricing 2.3 bps through the 3.263% When Issued
Bid to Cover if 2.67 was above the August 2.60, well above the TTM average of 2.40, and the second highest of 2014
internals were very solid as well, with Directs taking down 21.8%, above the 16.8% average, Indirects holding 45.5%, in line with last month and above the TTM average of 43.4%, and Dealers left with 32.8% of the paper which they can quickly flip back to the Fed for the next 6 or so weeks until QE ends
Strong 30 Year Auction Ends This Week's Treasury Issuance
Livingston nh 17:14 GMT September 11, 2014
Slippery Slope
WP -
Obama's speech has also opened a debate about whether Germany should join the U.S. in its airstrikes against the Islamic State, forcing German Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier to deny any German involvement along those lines: "Neither were we asked to do this, nor will we do it," he said Thursday.
dc CB 17:01 GMT September 11, 2014
Slippery Slope
I'm confused too
when I posted the link it said Ruled Out...now the Link say's not ruled out Yet....but the time on the WSJ link is later....first was at released about 10:30AM this one has a time of 12:46PM
maybe the pressure is still on an the paper changed the story.
Central Kwun 16:54 GMT September 11, 2014
Slippery Slope
dc CB, they rule out or not rule out? from your wording, means they don't want to join US party
PAR 16:28 GMT September 11, 2014
US stocks
Reply
Why do I think US stocks will move higher today ?
SaaR KaL 16:17 GMT September 11, 2014
Day's Trades
I doubt EURUSD Lowers then 1.2920 this session
Might go as high as 1.2983 in Asia
GVI Forex john 16:17 GMT September 11, 2014
WSJ Survey
Reply
Fewer Economists See Fed Raising Rates Before June 2015 and
Half of Economists See 10-Year Treasury Ending Year at 2.76%
Mtl JP 16:03 GMT September 11, 2014
Currency Wars
forgot the illustration
SaaR KaL 16:01 GMT September 11, 2014
Day's Trades
NZDUSD seem fine short from here to .8200
I am ok w/ shorting eurusd around 1.3000
SaaR KaL 15:57 GMT September 11, 2014
Day's Trades
Reply
Would not be surprised to see cable from here into 1.64 then the drop
+ USDJPY 106.5 does another show north into 109
I hate this job
london red 15:49 GMT September 11, 2014
Current Conditions: RISK-OFF
loonie. close abv 1.1029 is bullish. next res at 1.1053/57 a break there targets 1.1121 and 1.1200/15
Livingston nh 15:42 GMT September 11, 2014
Current Conditions: RISK-OFF
EU to impose additional sanctions tomorrow - this should put Russia back into the picture over the w/e // some gas withheld from Poland but just "routine maintenance" -- global warming better show up this winter
dc CB 15:35 GMT September 11, 2014
Current Conditions: RISK-OFF
smacking the crap out of gold and silver.
confusing on the silver, but I guess they need cheap silver for all those missles...what is it about 2KG per.
GVI Forex john 15:17 GMT September 11, 2014
Current Conditions: RISK-MIXED
Market Conditions:
Key markets are in a mixed RISK posture heading into the close of
European trade
Thursday. Concerns persist that the Fed will be taking a less dovish
posture at its meeting next Thursday and that is weighing on stocks.
The Scotland referendum vote is also next week.
- Yields
in prime Eurozone fixed income
markets are mixed. The
10-yr
bund is 0997% -0.30bp. Peripheral bond yields are higher.
- The U.K.10-yr gilt yield
is
2.500% 0.0.0bp. BOE Governor Carney has signaled a Spring 2015
rate hike.
The Scotland vote is September 18.
- U.S.10-yr yield is 2.522%, -1.20bp. The
psychological pivot is now 2.50%.
- Far East equities closed mostly lower. Bourses in
Europe are closing weaker. U.S. shares are lower.
The heat map color scheme
of interest rates reflects yields. This aligns all the colors in the
chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off(red).
GVI Forex john 14:56 GMT September 11, 2014
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data News
Thursday, 11 September 2014
Board member: Mario Draghi
Event: Keynote speech by the President at gala dinner at Eurofi Financial Forum 2014 in Milan, Italy.
Time: 9 p.m. CET (19:00 GMT)
Venue: Milan, Italy
Belgrade Knez 14:51 GMT September 11, 2014
Kuroda
Reply
Was Kuroda speech at 11:30pm Japan time scheduled before or he suddenly woke up and make some comments?
london red 14:43 GMT September 11, 2014
Current Conditions: RISK-OFF
appear to be battles going on at current levels for a lot of major pairs. big two way action little direction. probably will give direction after fix
Dillon AL 14:22 GMT September 11, 2014
Current Conditions: RISK-OFF
JP. value has a different concept to different people depending on needs, wants, timeframes. Additionally to the same people depending on their hopes, fears and aspirations this will also change their concept of value.
There is the relative kind of value comparing one type of apple to another and then there is another type of value that compares an apple to an orange and extrapolates some consideration that in their eyes appears to offer value or at least allows them to quantity and justify their concept of value. In reality there is only one form of measure and that represents standard deviation calculation but even then there is a level of subjective input over objective output
GVI Forex john 14:18 GMT September 11, 2014
Current Conditions: RISK-OFF
Im not sure there is a lot of difference between fairly and fully valued. I think he is saying there the 10-yr at 2.50% is where he thinks it SHOULD be priced.
I probably agree with him for now.
Mtl JP 14:12 GMT September 11, 2014
Current Conditions: RISK-OFF
is the financial term "fully valued" properly applicable to bonds?
how would it be different to say at 2.5% fairly valued ?
london red 14:04 GMT September 11, 2014
Current Conditions: RISK-OFF
yen. trendline on hourly at 106.66 held and did a good quick rebound. if can beat 107 then 107.35 on cards, otherwise they might go for 4h trendline at 106.45 where they prob will buy sharply again. below this trendline and market likely will rethink buying dips as aggressively.
GVI Forex Blog 14:03 GMT September 11, 2014
Reply
September 11, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, September 12. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar
HIGH IMPACT NEWS: EZ- Industrial Production, US- Retail Sales, University of Michigan Survey
GVI Forex Data Outlook for September 12, 2014
GVI Forex john 14:00 GMT September 11, 2014
Calendar -- Daily Forex Data News
Reply
September 11, 2014 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, September 12.
Updated: Trading News Events Calendar
HIGH IMPACT NEWS: EZ- Industrial Production, US- Retail Sales, University of Michigan
Survey
- Far East: Np Major Data
- Europe: EZ- Industrial Production
- North America: US- Retail Sales, Import Prices, University of Michigan Survey, Business Inventories, COT Report
GVI Forex john 13:59 GMT September 11, 2014
Current Conditions: RISK-OFF
Pimco's Gross says: 10-yr note fully valued at 2.50%. He tends to talk his book.
Mtl JP 13:34 GMT September 11, 2014
The Good Life of French Politicians
PAR 13:07 maybe it is a glimmer sign of a new beginning:
reduce the size of govt
hopefully increase interest rate
PAR 13:07 GMT September 11, 2014
The Good Life of French Politicians
Reply
No austerity in France
French glossy: Sacked ministers 'shacked up' on California holiday
United by a dislike for the French government's rightward turn - and now possibly by love - the recently ousted ministers of economy and culture are reportedly an item, according to Thursday's edition of French weekly Paris-Match.
But, according to Paris-Match, the two ex-ministers nursed their wounds together with a holiday on the West Coast of the United States.
"Love story in San Francisco" reads the front page of the weekly magazine alongside a photograph of the two ministers apparently posing for a selfie.
"After the reshuffle, the two former ministers chose California for a romantic getaway," it said on its website.
GVI Forex john 12:38 GMT September 11, 2014
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims
U.S. Weekly Jobless starting to turn higher?
Click on chart for over ten-year history
london red 12:19 GMT September 11, 2014
Day's Trades
yen. couple of big trendlines coming up on daily/weekly/monthly. 107.35/36 for daily/weekly, while another on monthly at 107.62. youd expect the market to reach the first and possibly pause, with a false break up to the monthly allowed. but a break of this monthly is likely to see a lot of stop buying. usdjpy is strong, dxy is strong but both are getting overstretched. by no means suggest top picking (i am long) but caution in chasing at overbought levels. you always get to buy at more sustainable levels. sometimes its higher than current but even so after a pullback which tested support.
Mtl JP 12:13 GMT September 11, 2014
Weekly Trading Planner
nice chart
initial claimants (i.e. first-time unemployment benefits claimants) expected to tank to 300,000 from 302,000 previous
london red 12:10 GMT September 11, 2014
Day's Trades
61.8 of 106/112 at 11027. poked head abv earlier this week but couldnt stick. given the big retracement on first failure, bulls likely to have been shaken out and a second break should see another run of buying. if can stick target initially is 11057, a break of which can be used to scale in/add to position. i dont see that level breaking today but you never know. hourly trendline supports at 10985 otherwise 10950 beckons.
New York GVI Forex 11:52 GMT September 11, 2014
EUR Heat Map
Reply
EUR-based Heat Map: Forex from a EUR point of view. Positive picture for EUR TODAY. EUR lower vs. GBP after new Scotland poll yesterday. EURUSD steady.
GVI Forex Blog 11:13 GMT September 11, 2014
Reply
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How to Select Your Best Forex Trading System
london red 10:11 GMT September 11, 2014
Day's Trades
loonie hourly trendline at 10987. if holds should see 10950 test again. higher suggest rest of 11029 with 1.10 on way. last couple of days heavy. i favour light shorts on this until 11030 busted.
london red 10:06 GMT September 11, 2014
Day's Trades
re polls. the sunday times poll by yougov is due for release friday after market close. however it has been reported that it could be released today, there is no time given.
try tr 09:41 GMT September 11, 2014
Day's Trades
yep going to filling gap resell at 16280
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 09:34 GMT September 11, 2014
Day's Trades
Mind the gap (1.6283)
GVI Forex john 09:28 GMT September 11, 2014
August 2014 Australia Emloyment
EARLIER: AU Employment gain much larger than expected (part-time jobs +106K). Unemployment rate falls.
london red 09:27 GMT September 11, 2014
Day's Trades
prev low of 16241. a break would open up test of HOD and 52. downside supp at 31/33 and 18/20, below there risk to 16185/95. but as said earlier scot ref now supports and gap test likely on break of 52.
GVI Forex john 09:08 GMT September 11, 2014
Current Conditions: RISK-OFF
Reply
Market Conditions:
Key markets are in a mixed RISK-OFF posture early in European trade
Thursday. There are concerns that the Fed will be taking a less dovish
posture at its meeting next Thursday and that is weighing on stocks.
The Scotland referendum vote is also next week.
- Yields
in prime Eurozone fixed income
markets are lower. The
10-yr
bund is 0975% -1.0bp. Peripheral bond yields are down.
- The U.K.10-yr gilt yield is 2.490% -1.0.0bp. BOE Governor Carney has signaled a Spring 2015
rate hike.
The Scotland vote is September 18.
- U.S.10-yr yield is 2.533%, -0.10bp. The
psychological pivot is now 2.50%.
- Far East equities closed mostly lower. Bourses in
Europe are mixed to down. U.S. share futures are lower.
The heat map color scheme
of interest rates reflects yields. This aligns all the colors in the
chart to reflect risk-on (green) and risk-off(red).
Amman wfakhoury 08:52 GMT September 11, 2014
Copy my orders
better to take shower to clean your dirty
tokyo ginko 08:36 GMT September 11, 2014
Copy my orders
please note I took a dunk 3 times in 3 days
Central Kwun 08:25 GMT September 11, 2014
GBPUSD 16270 confirmed
Sell Gold
Entry: 1249 Target: Stop:
that little, then don't worry, GL
Central Kwun 08:16 GMT September 11, 2014
GBPUSD 16270 confirmed
Sell Gold
Entry: 1249 Target: Stop: 1259
wfakhoury Sir, how about gold today? many thanks
london red 08:14 GMT September 11, 2014
Day's Trades
a quick short ahead of res and equally fast cover as i feel we take 52 and try the gap. next short will have similar target but from higher levels. 16282-16321 should be topping zone with a good channel line at 1.63 seen best on 4h chart.
Amman wfakhoury 08:07 GMT September 11, 2014
GBPUSD 16270 confirmed
Reply
1.6270 confirmed will be reached .return level 16234.
The only one in the world who confirms the next level
Amman wfakhoury 07:59 GMT September 11, 2014
Copy my orders
GBPUSD order closed tp at 16233.
london red 07:47 GMT September 11, 2014
Day's Trades
after fluctuating around 124.52, looks like the dec 10yr is making a move for prev supp and now res at 124.87. short there a good set for tomorrows retail sales. tight stop marginally abv tuesday high. resell at 125.19/22 if fails with stop abv monday high. but unlikely to go below 124.08 pre fomc. i would be a buyer there on friday/monday if seen.
Amman wfakhoury 07:32 GMT September 11, 2014
Copy my orders
pls note that I made 25% profit in 3 days
Amman wfakhoury 07:31 GMT September 11, 2014
Copy my orders
Reply
pls note that I made 25% profit in 3 days.
london red 07:29 GMT September 11, 2014
Day's Trades
scottish referendum. bookies now moved no vote back up to last weeks levels. we are now back up to 80/100 having been as low as 68/100 earlier this week. with no polls due til friday at the earliest, youd fancy that gap toget filled on cable, certainly a 16250 test at least.
sd sf 06:42 GMT September 11, 2014
End of Asia
Reply
the Chinese numbers were slightly disappointing showing that things remain really day to day over there
so Aust Share Market and China were off late in the day - and I guess that is feeding over into this late day AUD weakness.
SaaR KaL 06:15 GMT September 11, 2014
Day's Trades
4 year tgt for usdcad from near here to 1.12...Maybe 1.18
to 0.6
SaaR KaL 06:08 GMT September 11, 2014
Day's Trades
Next 4-5 year
Still not over for the USD
this last drop from 1.38 for the eurusd is just a small thing compared to longer term levels
I do not believe we will see 1.2 again...even though this last drop looks as if it is crashing...its just a small correction
1.22 to 1.65 is my 4-5 years range
Hong Kong AceTrader 06:08 GMT September 11, 2014
AceTrader Sept 11: Intra-Day Market Moving News & Views USD/JPY
Reply
Intra-Day Market Moving New and Views
11 Sep 2014
USD/JPY - ..... The greenback continued its recent winning streak on Wednesday on speculation that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates sooner in 2015 than earlier anticipated.
Active cross-selling in Japanese yen n rise in Treasury yields fueled demand for greenback and price rose to a fresh 6-year high of 106.89 in NY afternoon before easing to 106.64 in Tokyo morning as the Nikkei pares initial gain (however, currently still up by 75 points).
As market expects today's U.S. weekly initial jobless claims to show claims in the first week of Sept will be 300K from 302K in previous week, while U.S. retail sales and consumer-sentiment reports will also come in solid this Friday, buying dlr on dips is recommended.
Bids are noted at 106.60-50,106.35/30 and then 106.20 with stops emerging below 106.00.
On the upside, offers are placed at 106.90-00 and around 107.20 with stops emerging further out above 107.50.
Fuji News Network reported, citing unidentified sources, 'Japan PM Abe, BoJ gov Kuroda to hold meeting on Thursday to exchange views on the state of the economy.'
SaaR KaL 05:50 GMT September 11, 2014
Day's Trades
AUDNZD is probabaly on way to 1.4
Much long term
SaaR KaL 05:37 GMT September 11, 2014
Day's Trades
GBPJPY going on special today
its a major sell here IMO for 169
SaaR KaL 05:26 GMT September 11, 2014
Day's Trades
NZDJPY shorts
87.6525 85.2913
87.8206 85.1232
88.0789 84.8650
88.2756 84.6682
SaaR KaL 05:20 GMT September 11, 2014
Day's Trades
USDCAD Longs
1.1139 1.0913
1.1156 1.0896
1.1180 1.0872
1.1199 1.0853
USDJPY Longs
106.3657 105.3375
106.4389 105.2644
106.5514 105.1519
106.6371 105.0662
Syd 05:19 GMT September 11, 2014
Obama
Reply
Slippery Slope
kwun
Obama said nothing as usual
SaaR KaL 05:13 GMT September 11, 2014
Day's Trades
Cable shorts
1.6247 1.6054
1.6260 1.6040
1.6282 1.6019
1.6298 1.6003
EURUSD shorts
1.3013 1.2879
1.3023 1.2870
1.3037 1.2855
1.3049 1.2844
eurgbp longs
0.8063 0.7963
0.8070 0.7956
0.8081 0.7945
0.8089 0.7937
Porto Cubriclas 03:28 GMT September 11, 2014
AudUsd
Reply
Forgot to talk about australian great employment numbers?
Hong Kong AceTrader 01:45 GMT September 11, 2014
AceTrader Sept 11: Intra-Day Market Moving News & Views & data to be released today
Reply
Intra-Day Market Moving New and Views NZD/USD
11 Sep 2014
NZD/USD - ...... News from New Zealand on interest rate decision: RBNZ holds offical cash rate unchanged at 3.5% in Sept.
Statement from RBNZ on interest rate, quote-
'prudent to have a period of assessment on rates;
90 day bank bill avg 3.8 pct dec (pvs 4.0 pct);
3.9 pct March '15 (pvs 4.3 pct);
some further tightening will be necessary;
90 day bill 4.0 pct Jun '15 (pvs 4.5 pct);
4.3 pct Dec '15 (pvs 4.7 pct);
4.5 pct Jun'16 (pvs 5 pct);
sees annual cpi 1.3 pct end 2014 (pvs 1.5 pct);
1.6 pct at end 2015 (pvs 1.9 pct);
economy adjusting to policy measures;
sees GDP yr to March '15 3.2pct (pvs 2.7 pct);
2.6 pct yr to March'16 (pvs 2.4 pct);
house price inflation easing;
strong NZ dollar will remain significant headwind;
CPI inflation remains moderate;
paying close attention to how NZ dollar responds to lower export prices;
NZ$ remains unjustifiable and unsustainable;
pick up in inflation to be gradual, capacity pressures subdued;
expects further significant fall in NZ$;
economic growth seen moderating to more sustainable pace in coming years; export commodity prices to recover, terms of trade to stay historically high; inflation, housing risks around strong immigration;
net immigration to peak at end 2014 impact on housing seen subdued; tradeables inflation to pick up in mid term, reflecting weaker NZ dollar; expects economic growth to moderate in response to falling commodity prices and higher rates.'
Thursday will see the release of Reserve Bank of New Zealand interest rate decision, Australia's employment, full time employment and unemployment rate, China's CPI and PPI, Germany's CPI and HICP, Canada's new housing price index and U.S. Federal budget.
central kwun 01:34 GMT September 11, 2014
Slippery Slope
Obama speech starts? What did he say?
Livingston nh 01:17 GMT September 11, 2014
Slippery Slope
The strength of the US has been partially the avoidance of two consecutive delusionists in the WH - 25 yrs of war has resulted in a break of tradition
Pres Obama offers Hope over Experience
here we go again
Forex Trade of the Day
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