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Forex Forum Archive for 01/04/2015

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nw kw 23:39 GMT January 4, 2015
NZD/USD Crunching to 0.7500 target.

starting the day china can have hard landing ,as for milk looks china found another market poss eur for they increased trade deal 3munts ago

HK [email protected] 23:35 GMT January 4, 2015
NZD/USD Crunching to 0.7500 target.

Will you play a rebound there(0.75)?

If 0.75 will be sliced like butter, will be very interesting for next target

Probably 0.73-0.74 range.

Milk prices didn't rebound from a lengthy decline, so NZD too may suffer somehow.

HK [email protected] 23:28 GMT January 4, 2015
T'was all in the charts:) But too fast?

More or less.....

HK [email protected] 14:52 GMT January 2, 2015
Euro eventually, is aiming at 1.1860: Reply

nw kw 23:26 GMT January 4, 2015
Brace for troubles in the Far East

nw kw 02:42 GMT December 19, 2014
gold: Reply
Rockys M has cold air in 2weeks need n gas potions

they ran stops look far back monthly's for resistance for short

Mtl JP 23:14 GMT January 4, 2015
Brace for troubles in the Far East

NatGas picture better than 1000 words

thx vortex

USA ZEUS 23:14 GMT January 4, 2015
EUR/USD This is the top

Second target achieved.
Take gains at your leisure.

GVI Forex john 23:09 GMT January 4, 2015

It looks like they ran those stops I thought they would be gunning for on Friday. Im not positive but it looked to me that the sub-1.2000 trades on Friday were technically executed after the NY close, although I am not aware of any official closing time.

KL KL 23:02 GMT January 4, 2015

looks like stalling here ...soooo time to get off train while ascending to a stall mode.....from a deep descend....

Out 3/5 here trailing stop 1.193 and the rest for memories 1.19 and start again 2nd cherry bite under problem...wait till you see the USA Jobs data.......a shocker.....and I don't have idea what it is......LOL.......just mere words can frighten people......

gc sf 22:55 GMT January 4, 2015
Thanks to everyone who posted updates over the weekend in preparation for the open this morning.

More Information is always better whether it agrees with your view or not the market is always right .. since that is where p/l is measured.

If you are just watching and not posting -- please join in and share - it only makes everyone that much better.

Good Luck to Us All in 2015.

GVI Forex john 22:46 GMT January 4, 2015

Australian PMI much weaker than expected.

GVI Forex john 22:37 GMT January 4, 2015

BREAKING NEWS: Australia PMI December 2014

46.9 vs. 50.0 exp. vs. 50.0 prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

KL KL 22:24 GMT January 4, 2015

No need to think and wait...Just Buy and Long Relentless EURUSD 1.1877.......whay ask...the collapse is upon us......who knows what is the reason....time to support Euro zone....DYOR..DFM,DLTM..imvho and all a matter of taking profit

Mtl JP 22:20 GMT January 4, 2015

maybe Mario is going to come out soon with a new bazzooka in defense of the euro seeing as the euro being tossed out the window by FX reserve managers

GVI Forex john 22:16 GMT January 4, 2015

(LOD 1.1868)

Miami JN 22:09 GMT January 4, 2015

I mean 1.1866

Miami JN 22:09 GMT January 4, 2015

Holy crap! Is the EURUSD ow 1.1856?????

Miami JN 22:07 GMT January 4, 2015
Is there any news other than what was posted here?

We didn't even get a chance when my platform opened.

Mtl JP 21:47 GMT January 4, 2015
Merkel prepared to let Greece exit eurozone: report

GVI Forex 20:32 the issue is contagion -> Spain, Portugal, Ireland ... trrrt-t. Italy, France basket cases; ECB geniuses still think that somehow printing money is going revive their economy, similar logique to that of the numbnuts in Japan.

Have a look at 3 charts: eurdlr, dlryen and then euryen.

Mtl JP 21:38 GMT January 4, 2015
Merkel prepared to let Greece exit eurozone: report

viktor 17:50 / the "best way" is not going to happen because it is not "best way" interest of the european princes ; so what if european plebs suffer ?

nw kw 20:45 GMT January 4, 2015

Home prices fall in the second half of 2015.

"I told my mother-in-law that my house was her house and she said, 'Get the hell off my property.'" -- Joan Rivers

GVI Forex john 20:15 GMT January 4, 2015

January 4, 2015 ( UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, January 5, 2015. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar


  • Far East: AU/JP- PMI
  • Europe: CH- PMI, GB- Construction PMI
  • North America: US- COT Report

nw kw 20:08 GMT January 4, 2015

if ngas gets a herd run up short it for im at -30c in 1 week -2 and 2 weeks -2 and last year restocking was faster than the market foresaw partly, usd strength or soft usd?

Mtl JP 18:45 GMT January 4, 2015
Merkel prepared to let Greece exit eurozone: report

according to Ambrose Evans-Pritchard:
Greek expulsion from the euro would demolish EMU’s contagion firewall
Should EMU leaders choose to cut off liquidity support for the Greek banking system they might find that their contagion defences are a fiction


Prague viktor 17:50 GMT January 4, 2015
Merkel prepared to let Greece exit eurozone: report

John i think the best way for all of the EU is to go back there old paper nots DM and the french frank and the ITL and only by this way the EU can survive

Mtl JP 16:59 GMT January 4, 2015
Brace for troubles in the Far East

Entry: 2.96-ish Target: uP Stop: what u can tolerate

Polar vortex, redux: Much of the US approaches the deep freeze next week
WASHINGTON - Much of America is about to get the Arctic shivers.
Meteorologists are forecasting frigid polar air will plunge much of the central and eastern U.S. into sub-freezing temperatures next week. ../..

with usual risk caveat

GVI Forex john 16:27 GMT January 4, 2015

Global-View Economic Chart Directory

Fundamentals for Trading. EXCLUSIVE CHART: After final Manufacturing PMI last week. Relative economic strengths are clear. There are two groups: U.S. then the U.K, Eurozone and Japan. Uncertainty about ECB and BOJ policies is clouding the picture about the EUR and JPY.

GVI Forex john 16:25 GMT January 4, 2015

Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):  

calendarBe sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar For key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.

Mtl JP 16:05 GMT January 4, 2015

john some say there is consolation in group-think:

U.S. Bond Sentiment Is Worst Since Disastrous ’09 - bbrg Dec 29, 2014

Get ready for a disastrous year for U.S. government bonds. That’s the message forecasters on Wall Street are sending. .../..
Lets kill it and make a filthy fortune in the process !

PAR 15:56 GMT January 4, 2015
If you dont like the club and the rules of the club then just leave . Nobody forced them to become a member anyhow.

Provo John 15:55 GMT January 4, 2015
Merkel prepared to let Greece exit eurozone: report

Minneapolis DRS2 10:18 GMT 01/04/201

That we are in a $ bull market and the US is in a position to normalize rates whereas the EZ is not and the perception is that the US economy is doing better the EZ.

GVI Forex john 15:18 GMT January 4, 2015

1) yes. I feel the Fed is committed to the start of policy normalization.

2) no. need QE does nothing anyway. Its a waste of time.

Mtl JP 15:08 GMT January 4, 2015

john 19:14 GMT December 31, 2014 re your A year ago, I predicted ...

as long as you did not hold a position trade on that prediction ...
I personally invite you to consider and ponder
JP 19:40 GMT January 2, 2015
Week Ahead: Reply
Two 64 Thousand Dollar yes/no Questions :

1) will the FED hike rates this 2015 year
2) will the FED restart printing i.e. QE in 2015

to help you, suggest reading the Q1 vs Q3 reports for comparison and changes
Quarterly Report on Bank Derivatives Activities , courtesy of OCC

GVI Forex john 14:23 GMT January 4, 2015
GBP This Week
The GBPUSD took a sudden tumble on Friday after the weaker than expected manufacturing PMI was released early in the day. The U.K. manufacturing PMI can be seen as an external measure of the economy heavily influenced by demand (weak) from the EU.

This week sees the U.K. Construction PMI on Monday and the Service PMI on Tuesday. Both of these PMIs are more domestically oriented and therefore should perform better in relative terms than the manufacturing PMI. If they do not, this could be more bad news for the GBPUSD.

Thursday should see no change in BOE policy. This year and next will see BOE policy procedures start to mirror the Fed's more closely.

Note in the chart below how the GBPUSD continues the follow the lead of the U.K. 2-yr Gilt yield.

GBP: Correlation Trades - December 21, 2014

NY JM 13:14 GMT January 4, 2015
Merkel prepared to let Greece exit eurozone: report

Would the Greek election, which comes 3 days after the ECB meeting influence the QE decision --

Would QE deter contagion and a run out if peripheral bonds?

Will the ECB hold off on QE to see what fallout there is from the Greek vote?

GVI Forex john 13:13 GMT January 4, 2015
Merkel prepared to let Greece exit eurozone: report

It would be logical to let Greece out or to set up two EUR currencies, one "hard" and one "soft". The current system has been idiotic from the start..

Minneapolis DRS2 10:18 GMT January 4, 2015
Merkel prepared to let Greece exit eurozone: report

Provo John 07:11

What reality is that?

gc sf 07:42 GMT January 4, 2015
Merkel prepared to let Greece exit eurozone: report

sell Rumor ---> buy Fact

Provo John 07:11 GMT January 4, 2015
Merkel prepared to let Greece exit eurozone: report

Only 1 minor problem with that....

There is not ANY legal framework for exiting the EZ.

And for us the real question would this be positive or negative for the euro. Perhaps a knee jerk positive reaction for a somewhat short period of time, but then reality sets in.

gc sf 06:26 GMT January 4, 2015
Merkel prepared to let Greece exit eurozone: report
"German Chancellor Angela Merkel is prepared to let Greece leave the eurozone if Greeks elect a government that jettisons the country's current austerity course, Germany's Der Spiegel news weekly reported Saturday.
The report, which cited sources close to the German government, comes as polls show a radical leftist party leading the field three weeks ahead of a snap election in Greece.
The Syriza party of Alexis Tsipras has pledged to reverse reforms imposed by Greece's international creditors and renegotiate its bailout deal.
"The German government considers a eurozone exit (by Greece) to be almost inevitable if opposition leader Alexis Tsipras leads the government after the election and abandons budgetary discipline and does not repay the country's debts," Der Spiegel reported on its website."

jkt abel 06:05 GMT January 4, 2015
AirAsia Didn’t Have Permission to Fly Route on Day of Crash

Syd, with corrupt officials, everything is possible in Indonesia until one day censored hit the fan...

Syd 02:37 GMT January 4, 2015
British Nurse With Ebola Is in Critical Condition

LONDON--The health of a Scottish nurse fighting Ebola has worsened and her condition is now critical, the hospital treating her said on Saturday.

"The condition of Pauline Cafferkey has gradually deteriorated over the past two days," London's Royal Free Hospital said in a brief statement.

Ms. Cafferkey, the first person to be diagnosed with the disease in Britain, was admitted to hospital on Monday, hours after returning to her Glasgow home from Sierra Leone, where she had worked as a volunteer helping fight the deadly virus that has already killed thousands in West Africa.

No Ebola drugs or vaccines have been approved by regulators such as the U.S. Food & Drug Administration or the European Medicines Agency for general use or sale. But doctors have given some patients experimental drugs that regulators haven't yet approved for sale.

Some patients have been treated successfully with an experimental drug called ZMapp, but supplies of that medication, which is grown in genetically modified leaves of tobacco, have been exhausted.

Doctors treating Ms. Cafferkey said on Wednesday that she had begun receiving plasma harvested from the blood of other patients who had managed to fight off the virus.

Dr. Michael Jacobs, an infectious diseases specialist at the Royal Free Hospital, said she had also chosen to be treated with an experimental antiviral drug.

Three days ago, Ms. Cafferkey had been sitting up and talking, though Dr. Jacobs warned at the time that her disease was in its early phases and that its direction of travel would only become apparent in a week.

Dr. Jacobs said he and his team stood ready to try new treatments in response to any changes in her condition.

The case is the first serious test of Britain's measures to protect the public from the virus. Since the summer, more than a thousand British doctors and nurses have answered a call to volunteer in Sierra Leone, which has a threadbare health system that has struggled to cope with the disease.

dc CB 01:16 GMT January 4, 2015
Brace for troubles in the Far East


cold it be comin'

GVI Forex john 01:05 GMT January 4, 2015
Greek euro exit would be ‘Lehman Brothers squared’: economist

Greek election is on Sunday January 25, 2015.


Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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