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Forex Forum Archive for 01/08/2015

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


Tallinn viies 23:30 GMT January 8, 2015
eurusd
Reply   
it is is very strange to say before NFP numbers and only 50 pips away from yearly low but ..
I think we have seen the low for this week.
range for today 1,1750-1850

USA ZEUS 23:13 GMT January 8, 2015
GBP/USD
Reply   
GBP/USD Long at 1.5078. The structure has changed and is now a buy on dip market. Cheers!

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 22:15 GMT January 8, 2015
Do Forex Brokers Need More Regulation or Do You Need to Adapt?
Reply   

There is an article in the FT entitled, More scrutiny needed of retail forex trading platforms, which makes the case for reduced leverage and more transparency to alert would be traders to the realities of leveraged forex trading. As the article states, “It is not the function of the regulator to keep a fool and his money from being parted, but a few steps could offer a more realistic prospectus to the would-be client." However, what caught my attention is a paragraph on how stops favor the broker and can work against the trader. This is where I can make a difference.

Do Forex Brokers Need More Regulation or Do You Need to Adapt?

GVI Forex john 21:58 GMT January 8, 2015
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On

NY JM 21:57 GMT January 8, 2015
Major USD selloff about to commence

Treasury determines FX policy and not the Fed.

dc CB 21:06 GMT January 8, 2015
US Economy



Nine iron to the 18th Green.

gc sf 21:00 GMT January 8, 2015
Major USD selloff about to commence

Honestly that might be the right trade over 6 months but for now with Greece Election + ECB upcoming .. it is pretty hard to be the farm on being long EUR.

One Day the Germans say one thing - then they think about it and back the other way they go ... so I guess they are counting the cost of the whole thing.

Also we may keep this pattern where EUR doesn't move much and opens Mondays 100 points lower - stopping out anyone who is long from the week before.

GVI Forex john 20:50 GMT January 8, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):  
    FRIDAY
    0:30 AU Retail Sales Aussie Consumer
    1:30 CN CPI CPI
    5:15 CH SNB CPI
    9:30 GB Ind &Mfg Output Production  
    9:30 GB Visible Trade
    13:30 CA Payrolls Employment
    13:30 US Payrolls Employment

Paris ib 20:46 GMT January 8, 2015
Major USD selloff about to commence

"the strong dollar is pushing a lot of that debt closer to default, which is creating systemic risk"

Dollar Bear

GVI Forex john 20:45 GMT January 8, 2015
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

PAR 20:39 GMT January 8, 2015
Central Banks
Reply   
Maybe we should break up central banks .

gc sf 20:39 GMT January 8, 2015
Australian Retail Sales Today
Reply   
"Retail trade figures out on Friday are expected to show a slowdown in spending growth the month before Christmas following two months of solid gains.

Retail sales are forecast to have edged 0.2 per cent higher in November, weaker than October's gain of 0.4 per cent, which was driven by a two per cent rise in department store spending.

Westpac economists expect that the surge in electrical and electronic goods should have reversed in November after a big rise in September, when retail sales posted their strongest rise in a decade thanks to the launch of the iPhone 6.

Westpac said a weaker retail spending figures would also be in line with weaker consumer confidence." from AFP

dc CB 20:28 GMT January 8, 2015
US Rates / Fed Balance Sheet


Patience Likely to Extend Beyond First Rate Hike-Fed's Rosengren

The Federal Reserve can likely be patient not only on the timing of the first interest rate hike but on the series of subsequent hikes, a top Fed official said on Thursday, adding he doesn't expect the coming policy tightening to appreciably slow the U.S. economy.

Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren, speaking in Wisconsin, did not estimate when the U.S. central bank would raise rates for the first time in nearly a decade.

dc CB 20:16 GMT January 8, 2015
Major USD selloff about to commence

NYTimes
By THE EDITORIAL BOARDJAN. 8, 2015

Given this grim backdrop, the euro’s tumble is to be expected. The Japanese yen and the British pound have also slid against the dollar in recent months as their economic performance has lagged the recovery in the United States, which, while modest, has been better than in the rest of the world. For Americans, a weaker euro will lower the cost of European vacations, wine and cheese.

The Stumbling, Tumbling Euro

dc CB 20:02 GMT January 8, 2015
US Rates / Fed Balance Sheet

2 recent tweets on ZH.
Clues to why rates will stay at Zero thru 2018.

*Goldman expects record $450 billion in stock buybacks in 2015.
*GM FINANCIAL MAY SELL $1.1B SUBPRIME AUTO ABS

Mtl JP 19:56 GMT January 8, 2015
Crude

and micro-micro oil trader Mtl JP on global-view says that Vladimir and Knomeni are eyeballing what-ever it takes to throw western financials based on $90+ into a tizzy.

It is a mexican standoff waiting to see who will blink first or who will cause some curse to cause crude price to rocket back up.

GVI Forex john 19:47 GMT January 8, 2015
Crude
Reply   
Report on CNBC that major oil trader, Andy Hall, says $40 should be a natural floor for crude. His focus is the cost of production.

GVI Forex Blog 19:10 GMT January 8, 2015
RISK ON Active Data Session Fri. Equities Gain On Expected Central Bank Monetary Support
Reply   
TOP NEWS ITEMS: AU- Retail Sales, CN- CPI, DE- Industrial Output, Trade, CH- CPI, GB- Ind & Mfg Output, CA- Employment, US- Employment, Wholesale Inventories, COT Report

RISK ON Active Data Session Fri. Equities Gain On Expected Central Bank Monetary Support

dc CB 18:19 GMT January 8, 2015
President Obama Explains
Reply   
On the Jan Tour of America

Stox will not fall.

How FHA's 3%-Down Mortgages Are Great For America - Live Feed

dc CB 17:59 GMT January 8, 2015
Major USD selloff about to commence

"He warned that the Fed's inflation target might not be reached until 2018"."

by the Fed's metrics. 2018 that would make 11 years of ZIRP.
Mr and Mrs Mom and Pop will be spent all their "saving" on non-inflated food and medical care. They's be ready to take the gas pipe...

*IPO's of several Kevorkian Style Clinics triple on debut.
*Sales of Extra Strength Afgan White skyrocket.
*Special Death Head packets can't be found.
*Grey Hairs spotted crusing Chicago Southside in cherry Chrysler LeBarons
*Prez Hillary sez, troop withdrawl is "in the cards" as Taliban..."the fields are safe"

PAR 17:52 GMT January 8, 2015
Terrorists
Reply   
French police closing in on the two terrorists .

PAR 17:46 GMT January 8, 2015
Major USD selloff about to commence

Evans is often placed on the dovish side of the Fed. While recognizing signs of strong growth in the US, he urged patience on raising rates. He warned that the Fed's inflation target might not be reached until 2018".

"Evans indicated he was one of the two Fed officials who does not expect the Fed to raise rates this year, according to the last month's dot-plot. He went further, claiming that it would be a "catastrophe" to raise rates".

"This is not the signal for investors".

SaaR KaL 17:27 GMT January 8, 2015
Major USD selloff about to commence

NGAS
will place shorts again
3.0069
2.7343
to
3.1092
2.6320

USA YV 17:25 GMT January 8, 2015
Major USD selloff about to commence

with a 50 basis point increase by the US FED within 6 months, what are the compelling metrics for your call? Thanks a bundle.

SaaR KaL 17:18 GMT January 8, 2015
Major USD selloff about to commence

USDJPY...Start diving...next 4 years we will see 66
Planing on a long term pos

PAR 17:15 GMT January 8, 2015
US Rates / Fed Balance Sheet
Reply   
FXStreet (Guatemala) - Analysts at Brown Brothers Harriman explained that no one at the Federal Reserve, including two hawkish dissents from the December meeting, favors an immediate hike.

"The Fed is showing patience. It is also showing patience in the sense that it will its balance sheet remains at historic levels".

"The Fed argues that the accommodation of its asset purchases, which it never called QE, lies with the stock of holdings, not the incremental flow (purchases)".

"That it will likely raise rates before it reduces the size of its balance sheet is also a sign of the Fed's patience".

GVI Forex Blog 17:01 GMT January 8, 2015
Global Markets News
Reply   
The euro weakened further in the US morning after the surprisingly weak November Eurozone PPI data and the huge miss in the German December factory orders. EUR/USD bottomed out at 1.1760 before retaking the 1.1800 handle later in the morning. In a letter to EU lawmakers published today, ECB President Draghi reiterated that new measures under consideration may include sovereign bond purchases.

TradeTheNews.com US Mid-Session Update: Global Equities Rally on US Jobs Data, FOMC Minutes, Potential ECB Action

SaaR KaL 17:01 GMT January 8, 2015
Major USD selloff about to commence

I am not sure yet about the USDJPY
But if this 120.5 not gone over for a week or 2
It could be the crash level

GVI Forex john 16:58 GMT January 8, 2015
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On


8 January-- 17:00 GMT- Current Market Conditions
The USD is  trading broadly higher late in Europe. The EUR is mostly  weaker on its major crosses. The USDJPY is about steady. A stronger USDJPY is an indication of a general  RISK ON  posture as that pair is positively correlated to shares (and vice-versa). In Far East trade, equities ended mostly higher. JGB yields are steady. In Europe, bourses closed higher. Bond yields are also broadly higher. Peripheral bond yields are up  U.S. equities are up and and bond yields are back above 2.00%. Gold and oil are mixed.

The Bank of England kept policy steady. No policy changes were expected  EZ and German data today have been mixed.






The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.

PAR 16:57 GMT January 8, 2015
DOX
Reply   
The U.S. stock market continued its sharp rebound Thursday following a second day of gains in Europe.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average was recently up more than 300 points, or 2%, turning positive for the year. All 30 companies on the index were up in early trading, putting the Dow Jones on pace for its second straight day of gains after rising 213 points on Wednesday. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq composite also continued their own surges one day after they each halted five-day losing streaks. The S&P 500 was recently up 30 points, or 1.5% and the Nasdaq gained 75 points, or 1.6%.

SaaR KaL 16:56 GMT January 8, 2015
Major USD selloff about to commence

agree
The lowest for EURUSD I got
it is 1.16 around 15th of jan
it will eventually sell off for USD

Getting close for USDCAD as well
maybe 1.20 area

SaaR KaL 16:51 GMT January 8, 2015
into week one

EURUSD shorts
1.1842
1.1756
to
1.1874
1.1724

AUDUSD
Seems Turning Into Buy
0.8143
0.8050
to
0.8178
0.8016

USA ZEUS 16:50 GMT January 8, 2015
Major USD selloff about to commence

USA ZEUS 18:59 GMT January 7, 2015
Are you ready for a major USD selloff? GBP/USD EUR/USD are about to squeeze higher as shorts are unwound with vigor.
_________________________________________________________

It's go time!

SaaR KaL 16:44 GMT January 8, 2015
into week one

Cable shorts at the moment
1.5112 to 1.5159
1.4968 to 1.4910

PAR 16:38 GMT January 8, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

Evans and Draghi comments good for 5% rise in world stock markets. Is everybody Happy ?

dc CB 15:35 GMT January 8, 2015
US Economy

JP

dc CB 23:11 GMT January 5, 2015
ruh roh!
Shorts...start wearing chain mail undies... The O and his boys be aimin' at your OH. You be messin' wid Da Dream.

dc CB 23:23 GMT
Shorts Killer Raid in in the cards, timing ?
Remember Remember the 15th of October


GVI Forex john 15:31 GMT January 8, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

Larger Nat Gas draw than expected. Nat Gas higher.

GVI Forex john 15:30 GMT January 8, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

US EIA Weekly Natural Gas Inventories (bcf)

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
-131 vs. -120 exp vs. -26 prev.



/
TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 15:21 GMT January 8, 2015
US Economy

dc CB // The last six years for the U.S. stock market have been an indomitable buying orgy fueled by the Federal Reserve’s zero interest rate policy, causing the S&P 500 to triple in value. One metric says it may have gone too far.
Borrowing to buy stocks, as measured by the NYSE monthly margin debt figures, ended 2014 at its highest level relative to the size of the U.S. economy since 1929. In absolute terms, it’s the highest ever.
“If this doesn’t count, then we might as well throw away everything we’ve ever learned about risk because there is none,” said Alan Newman, who sent this data to customers of his Crosscurrents newsletter last week. “The manias of 2000 and 2007 now both look like small potatoes by comparison. This is total insanity.” - cnbc jan 5 2105
-
trade accordingly

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 15:20 GMT January 8, 2015
Global-View Webinar: A Fresh Approach to Forex Trading
Reply   

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dc CB 15:19 GMT January 8, 2015
US Economy



this looks more like a pork belly futures chart than a Dow tracking chart.

Mtl JP 15:12 GMT January 8, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

Is that something new from Mario - how many time is he going to flap his gums without delivering any beef ?

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 15:08 GMT January 8, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

EURUSD dips on this but nothing new

10:06 (EU) ECB's Draghi: ECB is reassessing its monetary policy stance in early 2015, new measures under consideration include sovereign bond purchases - letter

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Blog 15:06 GMT January 8, 2015 Reply   
HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: AU- Retail Sales, CN- CPI, DE- Industrial Output, Trade, CH- CPI, GB- Industrial & Manufacturing Output, CA- Employment, US- Employment, Wholesale Inventories, COT Report

GVI Forex Data Outlook for January 9, 2015

dc CB 14:59 GMT January 8, 2015
US Economy

as noted yesterday by ZeroHedge:

Fed Finally Admits Frontrunning Of Central Banks Is What Moves Markets

so Evans's may have made the "Market" too enthusiastic.
Enter Stage Left - Mr Mouthpiece HisSelf
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
HILSENRATH’s TAKE
The Fed’s next policy meeting is three weeks away. It is clear officials will spend a considerable time debating the correct response to a perplexing lurch down in long-term rates.

Grand Central: Could Lower 10-Year Yields Spark A More Aggressive Fed?

GVI Forex john 14:59 GMT January 8, 2015
BREAKING NEWS



January 8, 2015 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, January 9, 2015. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: AU- Retail Sales, CN- CPI, DE- Industrial Output, Trade, CH- CPI, GB- Industrial & Manufacturing Output, CA- Employment, US- Employment, Wholesale Inventories, COT Report

  • Far East: AU- Retail Sales, CN- CPI
  • Europe: DE- Industrial Output, Trade, CH- CPI, GB- Industrial & Manufacturing Output, Trade
  • North America: CA- Employment, US- Employment, Wholesale Inventories, COT Report


GVI Forex john 14:53 GMT January 8, 2015
Natural Gas

KaL so true, but prices typically respond to very cold weather in the U.S. Suggest they don't expect it to stay so cold (I hope), or supply is not an issue.

SaaR KaL 14:49 GMT January 8, 2015
Natural Gas

John that takes out Political and weather...
+ Basic used methods as fundamentals
Fundamentals= Mediocre TA
and they always tell you an excuse after the pair does it's thing
Still a sell above 2.83 (Pivot)
3.0110
2.7370



GVI Forex john 14:48 GMT January 8, 2015
Global-View Trading Systems

Curiously USDJPY not following equities higher. S&P futures up a robust +24pts 119.84 20-day average.

GVI Forex john 14:44 GMT January 8, 2015
Natural Gas
Reply   
Nat Gas prices have been slumping.$2.845

Strange.Most of the U.S. has been in a period of extreme COLD (global warming?). Typically prices rise during periods of this kind of weather.

Watch weelky inventories in about an hour. A big draw is assured

HK Kevin 14:35 GMT January 8, 2015
eur, gold, and oil

hk ab 11:25 GMT
Same side with you. But long GBP and EUR/AUD near today' low.
Now looking to short AUD/JPY for intraday trade.

SaaR KaL 14:33 GMT January 8, 2015
into week one

Still Bullish Gold
1,233.9721
1,205.0077

Might see 1240 by friday

SaaR KaL 14:12 GMT January 8, 2015
into week one

AUDNZD a sell today
1.0412
1.0311

SaaR KaL 14:07 GMT January 8, 2015
into week one

GBPNZD should do south drop 5 big figures within 2 days

1.9388
1.9127

NZDUSD a Buy till 79
0.7861
0.7753

SaaR KaL 13:42 GMT January 8, 2015
into week one

cable range
1.5109
1.4968

SaaR KaL 13:40 GMT January 8, 2015
into week one

GBPCHF a good sell here IMO
1.5366
1.5224

IMO
EURUSD today...still a sell till 1.16..for another week
1.1849
1.1764

GVI Forex john 13:35 GMT January 8, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

Weekly Jobless claims steady...





Click on chart for ten-year history

GVI Forex john 13:31 GMT January 8, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims

U.S. Data Charts





NEWS ALERT

Initial Claims (000)
294 vs. 290K exp. vs. 298K prev.
Continued Claims (mln)
2.452 vs. 2.368 exp. vs. 2.353 (r 2.351) prev.
Press Release




TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex 13:06 GMT January 8, 2015
Global-View Trading Systems

I'm keeping a close eye on USDJPY 120.00 on top and the 119.07 pivot point on the bottom for a broad market bias.

Another key indicator is the S&P emini futures which last is up a strong 17 points.

We are not expecting any impact from Weekly Jobless Claims.

GVI Forex john 13:01 GMT January 8, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

Not surprisingly there has been little reaction th the BOE decision today.It looks to me like their policies will be steady for a good while.

GVI Forex john 12:00 GMT January 8, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

September 2014 Bank of England Policy Decision

U.K. Charts





-- NEWS ALERT --

Policy Unchanged (repo rate 0.50%)
Asset Purchases unch @ GBP 375 bln v. GBP 375 bn

Bank of England




TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john 11:56 GMT January 8, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

Note: U.K. 2-yr gilt yield is below the BOE repo rate (policy target). In most cases the 2-yr yield on government paper is a proxy forecast for future policy.

GVI Forex john 11:52 GMT January 8, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

No BOE policy Change expected shortly...


GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:46 GMT January 8, 2015
Global-View Trading Systems



John, amazing how often your pivots work (see chart)

1.1792 (S1) was the initial low on the 1.1800 break.

S2 = 1.1749 vs a 1.163 low

GVI Forex Blog 11:40 GMT January 8, 2015
Global Markets News
Reply   
Market Focal Points/Key Themes: Equity markets open sharply higher amid gains in the US and Tokyo as dealers assess FOMC minutes and comments from Fed's Evans; Additionally, Greek markets open higher amid lower bond yields and speculated debt renegotiation talks

TradeTheNews.com EU Mid-Market Update: Risk appetite finds its groove again

PAR 11:39 GMT January 8, 2015
S&P
Reply   
A smart guy yesterday bought a gigantic amount of S&P calls and Vix 15 puts. Must deel really gold today.

GVI Forex john 11:35 GMT January 8, 2015
Global-View Trading Systems

USDJPY
Market bias generally RISK ON while above 119.07 pivot
119.96 HOD. 120.00 is the obvious target.
R2 120.32

note 20-day average is 119.44 (another important influence on USDJPY bias)

GVI Forex john 11:30 GMT January 8, 2015
Global-View Trading Systems

EURUSD
bias lower today while below 1.1844 pivot
next Support (S2) 1.1749

GVI Forex john 11:25 GMT January 8, 2015
Global-View Trading Systems
Reply   


EUR Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables. Chart icon stores in browser tab.


Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System





hk ab 11:25 GMT January 8, 2015
eur, gold, and oil
Reply   
Zeus, I support your same idea with my boat of crude at 47 from yesterday, should be some money by CNY and more by Easter.

let's see what I can do with eur......

expect GBP to dip under 1.5000 soon though.

Also gold bought from 1181.

hk ab 11:20 GMT January 8, 2015
eur

It just happened that I was in front of the monitor when that happened after UK opened........

Maybe tmr........

Paris ib 11:18 GMT January 8, 2015
AUD and debt
Reply   
"Australia’s private sector is grossly over-indebted, especially the household sector. The hysteria surrounding Australia’s... public budget ‘emergency’ is a smokescreen cloaking the critical household budget crisis. The fictional narrative... arises from an unshakeable adherence to pseudo-scientific economic theory and class war, such as ‘justified’ public austerity policies which target the poor and marginalised."

Private Sector Debt - International Comparisons

jkt abel 10:29 GMT January 8, 2015
eur

ab, live at present moment

GVI Forex john 10:29 GMT January 8, 2015
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On
Reply   

8 January-- 10:30 GMT- Current Market Conditions
The USD is  trading broadly higher early in Europe. The EUR is mostly  weaker on its major crosses. A stronger USDJPY is an indication of a general  RISK ON  posture as that pair is positively correlated to shares. In Far East trade, equities ended mostly higher. JGB yields rose slightly. In Europe, bourses are up. Bond yields are broadly higher. Peripheral bond yields are up  Greek 10-yr yields are above 10.50%. U.S. equity futures are up and and bond yields are back to 2.00%. Gold is down and oil is mixed.

A Bank of England policy decision is due shortly. No policy changes are likely  EZ and German data today have been mixed.






The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.

hk ab 10:12 GMT January 8, 2015
eur
Reply   
The last time eur strongly rebounded from 1.17 was almost 10 yrs ago........

London London 10:05 GMT January 8, 2015
New signal - Try our free trial
Reply   
Sell
Entry: Target: Stop:

New Signal: Sell AUD/USD @ 0.81108 at 08.01.2015
S.L - 55
T.P + 45



Posted with permission of global-view.com

forex signals

GVI Forex john 10:02 GMT January 8, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

Eurozone Retail Sales November 2014





ALERT
mm: +0.60% vs +0.20% exp. vs. +0.40% (r +0.80%) prev.
yy: +1.50% vs. +1.40% exp. vs. +1.40% (r +1.60%) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex john 10:01 GMT January 8, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

Eurozone PPI December 2014





ALERT
mm:-0.30 vs. -0.20% exp. vs. -0.40% (r ) prev.
yy: -1.60% vs. -1.50% exp. vs. -1.30% (r ) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex john 10:01 GMT January 8, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

Eurozone PPI December 2014





ALERT
mm:-0.30 vs. -0.20% exp. vs. -0.40% (r ) prev.
yy: -1.60% vs. -1.50% exp. vs. -1.30% (r ) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

GVI Forex john 10:00 GMT January 8, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

Consumer Confidence preliminary December 2014





ALERT
-10.9 vs. -10.9 vs. -10.9 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Direct links to primary data sources

SaaR KaL 08:52 GMT January 8, 2015
Week 2 /2015

AUDNZD Bearish
Date ----- Exp --- High----- Low ----
1/8/2015 1.0389 1.0421 1.0358
1/9/2015 1.0318 1.0349 1.0286
1/11/2015 1.0277 1.0308 1.0246


GBPAUD Slightly Bullish for the day...Generally Bearish into next week
Longing Some

Date ----- Exp --- High----- Low ----
1/8/2015 1.8645 1.8707 1.8583
1/9/2015 1.8653 1.8715 1.8591
1/11/2015 1.8419 1.8481 1.8358

PAR 08:47 GMT January 8, 2015
Merkel - Grexit
Reply   
In latest twist Merkel opposes Greece exit . Promises to be flexible after the Greek elections . Leaves open the option of debt restructering and write offs .

Consistency in Europe ?

GVI Forex Blog 07:15 GMT January 8, 2015 Reply   
(AU) AUSTRALIA NOV BUILDING APPROVALS M/M: +7.5% (2nd month of increase) V -3.0%E; Y/Y: 10.1% (3-month high) V 1.2%E - (JP) Japan Dec Tokyo Average Office Vacancies: 5.5% v 5.6% prior***Index Snapshot

TradeTheNews.com Asian Mid-session Update: Markets recover as oil advances; Samsung Electronics rallies after prelim Q4 - Source TradeTheNews.com

SaaR KaL 05:48 GMT January 8, 2015
Week 2 /2015

EURJPY
Date ----- Exp --- High----- Low ----
1/8/2015 141.3222 141.6905 140.9547
1/8/2015 140.4716 140.8377 140.1063
1/11/2015 137.9348 138.2944 137.5762

GBPJPY
Date ----- Exp --- High----- Low ----
1/8/2015 180.4749 180.9765 179.9747
1/8/2015 179.2112 179.7093 178.7145
1/11/2015 175.2161 175.7031 174.7304

SaaR KaL 05:43 GMT January 8, 2015
Week 2 /2015

AUDUSD bearish now
maybe boring

Date ----- Exp --- High----- Low ----
1/8/2015 0.8068 0.8098 0.8039
1/8/2015 0.8027 0.8056 0.7998
1/12/2015 0.8033 0.8062 0.8004


NZDUSD still Bulish
Date ----- Exp --- High----- Low ----
1/8/2015 0.7765 0.7798 0.7731
1/8/2015 0.7783 0.7817 0.7749
1/12/2015 0.7806 0.7840 0.7772

USDCAD
Date ----- Exp --- High----- Low ----
1/8/2015 1.1834 1.1861 1.1808
1/8/2015 1.1899 1.1926 1.1873
1/12/2015 1.1952 1.1978 1.1925

SaaR KaL 05:29 GMT January 8, 2015
Week 2 /2015
Reply   
Bearish EURUSD cable and USDJPY

EURUSD
Date ----- Exp --- High----- Low ----
1/8/2015 1.1809 1.1861 1.1758
1/8/2015 1.1752 1.1803 1.1701
1/11/2015 1.1669 1.1720 1.1618

CABLE
Date ----- Exp --- High----- Low ----
1/8/2015 1.5082 1.5130 1.5034
1/8/2015 1.4996 1.5043 1.4948
1/12/2015 1.4815 1.4862 1.4768

USDJPY
Date ----- Exp --- High----- Low ----
1/8/2015 119.6530 120.2047 119.1039
1/8/2015 119.4971 120.0480 118.9487
1/11/2015 118.1747 118.7196 117.6324

USDCHF
Date ----- Exp --- High----- Low ----
1/8/2015 1.0168 1.0211 1.0124
1/8/2015 1.0214 1.0258 1.0170
1/11/2015 1.0281 1.0326 1.0237


Hong Kong AceTrader 02:24 GMT January 8, 2015
AceTrader Jan 8: Intra-Day News and Views (USD/JPY) & data to be released today
Reply   
Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
08 Jan 2015 02:09GMT

USD/JPY - 119.63 ..... The greenback rebounded against the Japanese yen on short-covering due to the rally in Nikkei-225 index which rose by 1.52% or 257 points to 17142. The pair penetrated yesterday's NY rise at 119.65 and rose briefly to 119.71 in Tokyo morning.
Bids are now located 119.40 and 119.20 whilst offers are tipped at 119.80-85 and more at 120.00 level.

The ADP Research Institute reported yesterday that companies in the U.S. added 241,000 workers in December, more than the 225,000 expected by economists.

Yesterday despite the greenback's early pullback to 118.70 in European morning, renewed buying emerged there and lifted the price higher ahead of NY open. Intra-day ascent accelerated after the release of upbeat ADP employment report n the pair rose to 119.65 in NY morning before stabilizing.

Thursday will see the release of Australia building approvals, Germany industrial orders, EU producer prices, retail sales, UK BoE rate decision, U.S. jobless claims and Canada new housing price.

gc sf 01:54 GMT January 8, 2015
Fed's Evans

still moving higher

Nikkie up about 200 now.

China is behind the scenes with some of those countries .. Russia/Venezuela/Ecuador and probably others as well

but obviously the price itself is just too low long term for many to accept.

dc CB 01:36 GMT January 8, 2015
Fed's Evans

Like clockwork

Emini

Mtl JP 01:36 GMT January 8, 2015
The Real Cause Of Low Oil Prices

dc CB from your link: ..."or hurting Iran and Russia, that’s great, but it’s really just about the money.

Saudi Arabia met with Russia before the November OPEC meeting and proposed that if Russia cut production, Saudi Arabia would also cut and get Kuwait and the Emirates at least to cut with it. Russia said, “No,” so Saudi Arabia said, “Fine, maybe you will change your mind in six months.” I think that Russia and maybe Iran, Venezuela, Nigeria and Angola will change their minds by the next OPEC meeting in June...."
-
Berman is putting a lot of faith in the Saudi's resilience in a price war... it is a bet like any other: good until proven otherwise.

dc CB 01:29 GMT January 8, 2015
The Real Cause Of Low Oil Prices
Reply   
We’ve read a lot of silly articles since oil prices started falling about how U.S. shale plays can break-even at whatever the latest, lowest price of oil happens to be. Doesn’t anyone realize that the investment banks that do the research behind these articles have a vested interest in making people believe that the companies they’ve put billions of dollars into won’t go broke because prices have fallen? This is total propaganda.

Interview With Arthur Berman

gc sf 01:04 GMT January 8, 2015
Fed's Evans

Stocks moving through / on the highs .. $yen just moving through top of the range as well.

Mtl JP 01:00 GMT January 8, 2015
Fed's Evans

Evans... remember the name , one amongst the peddlers who want to rip you off by diluting the purchasing power of your earned n saved up monies that , at 2% inflation, will erode 50% over 25 years.

"Money is stored labor. Labor is part of human life. To devalue money is to debase life itself" - found on zh

GVI Forex 00:48 GMT January 8, 2015
Fed's Evans
Reply   
(US) Fed's Evans (dove, 2015 FOMC voter): Does not believe Fed should be in a hurry to increase interest rates

- If inflation were to pick up, we'd need tighter policy; We know how to tighten
- Does not see inflation pressures
- Costs are worse on low inflation side than high side
- Optimistic on US economy growth, worst time may be over
- Sees 2015 GDP growth at 2.6%, higher than long-term sustainable growth of 2-2.25%
- Sees more months of 200K or more on payrolls
- Inflation outlook is more worrisome
- Fed should be patient about maintaining stance of current policies
- Fed does not see inflation to go above 2% target during next 3-4 years
- Raising rates would be a catastrophe
- Fed needs to provide appropriate amount of accommodation to hit inflation goal

- Source TradeTheNews.com

 




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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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