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Forex Forum Archive for 01/28/2015

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Hong Kong Qindex 23:59 GMT January 28, 2015
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.1086

Buy EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:




EUR/USD : Expanding the range 1.1086 - 1.1823 into the following manner :


... 1.1086 - 1.1148* - 1.1209 - 1.1240 // 1.1270* - 1.1301 - 1.1332 - 1.1363 - 1.1393* - 1.1424 - [1.1455] - 1.1485 - 1.1516* - 1.1547 - 1.1577 - 1.1608 - 1.1639* // 1.1670 - 1.1700 - 1.1762* - 1.1823


Qindex.com


EUR/USD : Monthly Cycle Charts

Hong Kong Qindex 23:44 GMT January 28, 2015
EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.1086

Buy EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:





The followings are still valid :


EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.1086
Hong Kong Qindex 18:49 GMT 01/27/2015 - My Profile
Buy EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : Trading Reference

... 1.0718 - 1.0841* - 1.0964 - 1.1025 // 1.1086* - 1.1148 - 1.1209 - 1.1270 - 1.1332* - 1.1393 - [1.1455] - 1.1516 - 1.1577* -1.1639 - 1.1700 - 1.1761 - 1.1823* // 1.1884 - 1.1946 - 1.2068* - 1.12191 ...


EUR/USD : Critical Point 1.1086
Hong Kong Qindex 17:04 GMT 01/27/2015 - My Profile
EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:

EUR/USD : Weekly cycle pivot centres are located at 1.1098 - 1.1203 - 1.1514. Speculative buying interest will increase when the market momentum is strong enough to trade above the weekly cycle pivot centre at 1.1514. On the other hand EUR/USD will resume its downward trending momentum if the Critical Point at 1.1086 fails to hold. I am bias on the upside and the odds are good that we have seen the monthly low on Monday, Jan 26 at 1.1098.


Qindex.com

Quantum Index Analysis

KL KL 22:53 GMT January 28, 2015
Long EURUSD NOW!!
Reply   
Long Relentless EURUSD 1.12741.......lets see how the platform sustain my Ninja attack....LOL


DYOR..>DFM..>DLTM..imvho and gl gt....

dc CB 22:27 GMT January 28, 2015
Fed rate hike to be delayed until Sept: Sanchez

Gammy!!!!
Not so much like yer ole mentor Ben

He'd a never let January Close on da Bear Side....

Youse got 2 days for to pull out some Tricks.

Oh well you be jus' a Woman, who woz given an MAN"S JOB...whot could you expect. Jus' like 'dat GM Biatch...Born to Lose and Take 'da Blame. Feel Set-Up?

Emini

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 22:09 GMT January 28, 2015
Observation....

KL email me [email protected]

KL KL 21:43 GMT January 28, 2015
Observation....
Reply   
Need to tell MY Story after all this SHAM on Brokers Platform observation....

I am beginning to sense my CMSHAM broker is PURPOSELY delaying my account IF I wanted to add another entry to a trade on these SHAM spike lower..........like a relentless add... I can say I have nothing else running except their platform to trade and I can confirm we are Battling Sharks and SHAM and SCAM in this world.... Normally after each click of the confirm..it refreshes immediately ...and a new order screen comes out and you click that new order to add to your trade in whatever qty you want next....just this steps sometimes takes 60-300 seconds....(on the SNB SHAM day, was like 4-6 minutes) cannot even edit other limit order or cancel limit order on other parts of the menu for about 40-400 seconds....... Just my observation on these NEW Industry Leading edge WEB Platform across all OS SHAM..........and fwiw... I have tried on Android, Windows and IOS....all the same SHAM........anyone have a UNIX/DOS OS bias brokers......LOL...those were the days...

Just my personal observation.....and do I complain to the Broker??.....No way.....otherwise they put more HOOKS to your accounts and if you are BEATING them...put a SPECIAL RED FLASHING LIGHT ATTENTION to your Account IF it is making money.......and frustrate you....Ninja can always trade another account with another broker....then these Scam Brokers do their little routine and clean up to remove the hook to make you Bankrupt because they see no activities from your account for a few days/weeks!!...time to learn to beat the stupid computer....the Ninja Way.... & my 3 cents.......LOL

GVI Forex john 21:41 GMT January 28, 2015
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

GVI Forex john 21:37 GMT January 28, 2015
Global-View Trading Systems
Reply   


USD Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables. Chart icon stores in browser tab.


Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System




Livingston nh 21:19 GMT January 28, 2015
Greece Jitters

JP -- probably not a coincidence that ECB put off the initiation of bond buying until March because the Greek negotiations extend thru February - the members of the troika have different interests and different risk exposures

ECB - 6% debt (see M. Coure misapplication of the word "MUST") // IMF - 10% debt (our friendly IMF folks breached their rules to pony up their portion) // the European Commission - 60% debt (the EU member states have the largest exposure) - unlike the ECB this group has political as well as financial considerations

Mr. Carney should understand that debt does not always endure

dc CB 21:15 GMT January 28, 2015
Fed rate hike to be delayed until Sept: Sanchez

ps
By the Hair on my Cinny Chin Chin

We ARE RIGHT

dc CB 21:11 GMT January 28, 2015
Fed rate hike to be delayed until Sept: Sanchez

dc CB 12:52 GMT January 28, 2015
Fed rate hike to be delayed until Sept: Sanchez: Reply
So will Yellen save the day again?
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

I'm am keeping a PoSiTiVe ViEw of 'DE O'ConOMy.

Yes We Are RIGTH...er RGHTI...er...THGTR....RIGHT! AHHH

london red 20:54 GMT January 28, 2015
kiwi

7370 should offer a profitable re-entry as long as dollar side of trade holds up.
usdjpy stops said to be under 11720 we shall see.

GVI Forex john 20:48 GMT January 28, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT):  
    THURSDAY
    4:30 JP Ind Out yy Ind Production
    7:00 DE fl HICP ECB Target
    8:55 DE unem Kchg Employment
    13:30 US Initial Claims Weekly Jobs
    15:00 US Pending Homes Predictor of Existing Homes
    18:00 UST TRY 7-yr Auction
    23:30 JP CPI yy BOJ Target
    23:30 JP Unemploy Jobs
    FRIDAY
    7:00 DE Ret Sales Consumer Demand
    9:00 CH KOF Ind Sentiment Survey
    10:00 EZ FL HICP yy ECB Target
    13:30 CA GDP mm Widest Econ Measure
    13:30 US GDP 4Q14 Widest Econ Measure
    14:45 US Chicago PMI Regional Sentiment
    14:55 US U Mich final Sentiment Survey
    15:00 US PCE defl y Fed Target
    15:00 US Per Inc Income

calendarBe sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar For key items (actual data, selected charts, etc.) as they are released.

london red 20:44 GMT January 28, 2015
kiwi

yes they did everything but add an easing bias. for a moment i thought i was reading comments from draghi! anyway, 38.2 is tested. a close below is v bearish and opens up c 6700 lt. maybe they bounce first as its a biggie, so st shorts are done.

GVI Forex john 20:40 GMT January 28, 2015
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

HK [email protected] 20:36 GMT January 28, 2015
kiwi



Nice move!!!

GVI Forex 20:35 GMT January 28, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

The RBNZ's OCR Review this morning kept the OCR unchanged at 3.50% as expected, but shifted from an explicit tightening bias to an explicit neutral bias with an allowance for rate cuts - a dovish market surprise.

Westpac NZ

KL KL 20:33 GMT January 28, 2015
AUD

...What a pleasant surprise......covering 5/5 short AUDUSD here....chased it to .8020......out .79129.....and SAR LONG Here......take it up NOW....LOLwhat can I say...sometimes no need to take profit too soon...sometimes yes...sometimes wait.......depending on FIRE power and Stamina to PAIN......lol DYOR..DFM...imvho...


Also covering rest of EURUsd shorts....2/5 here 1.1285...and SAR Long here.....take it UP!!! I am on the UP train.....LOL...& GL GT!!

If DOW comes under 17200...I will cover more of my DOW shorts and wait to LONG ..NFP....End of MONTH SHAM and whatever SHAM the markets bring.....its a GUESS and Gamble anyway....just that fire power is needed!~!

GVI Forex john 20:31 GMT January 28, 2015
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

10-yr 1.719% -5.1bp

dc CB 20:24 GMT January 28, 2015
READ: CIRCUS



1.9% not to shabby a call

say whot

dc CB 20:19 GMT January 28, 2015
READ: CIRCUS

You can't be serious

GVI Forex john 20:19 GMT January 28, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

In other words, the RBNZ has moved to a neutral policy posture, as many had expected.

GVI Forex 20:13 GMT January 28, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

RBNZ

"...The high exchange rate, low global inflation, and falling oil prices are causing traded goods inflation to be very weak. Non-tradables inflation remains moderate, despite buoyant domestic demand and an improving labour market. Headline annual inflation is expected to be below the target band through 2015, and could become negative for a period before moving back towards 2 percent, albeit more gradually than previously anticipated.

In the current circumstances, we expect to keep the OCR on hold for some time. Future interest rate adjustments, either up or down, will depend on the emerging flow of economic data."


london red 20:03 GMT January 28, 2015
kiwi

neutral bias from rbnz. 38.2 of 050/088 beckons at 7327.

HK [email protected] 20:00 GMT January 28, 2015
READ: CIRCUS


dc CB 19:42

Nice piece. Those were the days where only an imitation-Negro(painted-White) could appear on stage before the wealthy whites ...The real Negro would have been booted out. hahaha

GVI Forex john 20:00 GMT January 28, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

Reserve Bank of New Zealand January 2015





NEWS ALERT
Keeps rates steady at 3.50%, as expected

RELEASE: Reserve Bank of New Zealand


TTN: Live News Special Offer

dc CB 19:57 GMT January 28, 2015
FX



Why the Fed is hawkish: "recent declines in energy prices have boosted household purchasing power"

HK [email protected] 19:53 GMT January 28, 2015
FX
Reply   


Probably the whole FX market is not too liquid after the SNB blunder.

Some were killed, some decided that there is no such things like Tech. analysis or fundamental analysis....

But nothing to worry; With the time, more stuff will be recruited to the battalion of idiots who join this game:)

london red 19:52 GMT January 28, 2015
kiwi
Reply   
nz rates shortly. mkt seems to have partly priced in an easing bias. not sure there enough of that kind of data to see.

GVI Forex john 19:50 GMT January 28, 2015
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

10-yr 1.731% -3.9bp

dc CB 19:42 GMT January 28, 2015
READ: CIRCUS

APPL has reported

Whot's left to boost this Pig

Gammy OH Gammy

I Know where the Sunshines Best

hk ooozmeeh 19:41 GMT January 28, 2015
READ: CIRCUS

the market showed no disappointment at this point, fwiw

dc CB 19:39 GMT January 28, 2015
READ: CIRCUS

Go Flat and Be Fat.

Stock Market Liquidity Is The Lowest Ever For An FOMC Day

dc CB 19:29 GMT January 28, 2015
Gold down why?

'cauze that's what "happens" during an FMOC anncmnt.
See: Script 101A. All TBTF Banks know Who butters thier Bread.

If it DOSEN'T stay down. That is a signal of Fed(aka CB) Control Failure

HK [email protected] 19:29 GMT January 28, 2015
READ: CIRCUS
Reply   
/

hk ooozmeeh 19:29 GMT January 28, 2015
All around looks more like a cicus rather than FX.

2015.01.28 21:05:21 *Canadian Dollar Retreats After U.S. Fed Statement DJ Newswires

GVI Forex Blog 19:27 GMT January 28, 2015
Fed Policy Held Steady. Direction Unchanged. Greek Jitters Persist
Reply   
TOP NEWS ITEMS: NZ- RBNZ, JP- Retail Sales, Ind Output, DE- fl HICP, EZ- Consumer Confidence, DE- employment, GB- CBI Distributive Trades, US- Weekly Jobs. Pending Homes, 7-yr

Fed Policy Held Steady. Direction Unchanged. Greek Jitters Persist

london red 19:26 GMT January 28, 2015
Gold down why?

dollar wasnt mentioned so hawkish aspect. inflation and external factors mentioned so dovish aspect. soft in word.
euro. supp 16 res 67/70. maybe a break if either side. but fed not one sided enough to go either way really.

hk ooozmeeh 19:25 GMT January 28, 2015
Anything new in the following? Market mover?

14:04 EST - Fed officials have reaffirmed their assurance they are likely to remain patient in considering the timing of the first interest rate increase since 2006. That, according to Yellen, means no lifting rates from zero for at least another two policy meetings.

hk ooozmeeh 19:24 GMT January 28, 2015
Anything new in the following? Market mover?

2015.01.28 21:00:02 *Fed to Test Term Reverse Repurchase Agreements as Additional Policy Tool DJ Newswires

HK [email protected] 19:23 GMT January 28, 2015
Gold down why?
Reply   

It is not stated that interest will go up.
Anything hawkish?

HK [email protected] 19:20 GMT January 28, 2015
Anything new in the following? Market mover?



Such a statement fits a contestant in a beauty pageant, not for CB executives.

GVI Forex john 19:16 GMT January 28, 2015
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

10-yr 1.754% -1.6 bp
S&P -2.11
DJ +26.39

Livingston nh 19:13 GMT January 28, 2015
Anything new in the following? Market mover?

In polite circles it's called "mush" -- watch what they do, not what they say

dc CB 19:13 GMT January 28, 2015
Anything new in the following? Market mover?

I believe...enough to put my money on it?

I see the future

HK [email protected] 19:11 GMT January 28, 2015
Anything new in the following? Market mover?
Reply   


Based on its current assessment, the Committee judges that it can be patient in beginning to normalize the stance of monetary policy. However, if incoming information indicates faster progress toward the Committee’s employment and inflation objectives than the Committee now expects, then increases in the target range for the federal funds rate are likely to occur sooner than currently anticipated. Conversely, if progress proves slower than expected, then increases in the target range are likely to occur later than currently anticipated.

Tallinn viies 19:02 GMT January 28, 2015
eurusd
Reply   
eurusd next target on upside is 200 h sma

GVI Forex john 19:00 GMT January 28, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Fed Policy Decision January 2015

U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
Rates: Unchanged
RELEASE: Policy Statement


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex 18:58 GMT January 28, 2015
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

10-yr 1.782% +1.2
S&P +2.68
DJ +62.5

GVI Forex Blog 18:51 GMT January 28, 2015 Reply   
HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: NZ- RBNZ, JP- Retail Sales, Industrial Output,DE- flash HICP, EZ- Consumer Confidence, DE- unemployment, GB- CBI Distibutive Trades, US- Weekly Jobless. Pending Homes Sales, 7-yr Auction

GVI Forex Data Outlook for January 29, 2015

uk rg 18:47 GMT January 28, 2015
margins

margins have begun a gamechange
minicount holders are almost operating against standard
account conditions (with a relatively small pot)
Many will simply get crushed

GVI Forex john 18:46 GMT January 28, 2015
BREAKING NEWS



January 28, 2015 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, January 29, 2015. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: NZ- RBNZ, JP- Retail Sales, Industrial Output,DE- flash HICP, EZ- Consumer Confidence, DE- unemployment, GB- CBI Distibutive Trades, US- Weekly Jobless. Pending Homes Sales, 7-yr Auction

  • Far East: NZ- RBNZ, JP- Retail Sales, Industrial Output
  • Europe: DE- flash HICP, Ez- Consumer Confidence, DE- unemployment, GB- CBI Distibutive Trades
  • North America: US- Weekly Jobless. Pending Homes Sales, Natural Gas, 7-yr Auction


london red 18:39 GMT January 28, 2015
Interview with 2 FX traders about CHFe(video)

end of week have got about 120pips for both euro and yen. funnily enough thats 11460/11220 and both of these at or within a pip or two of key res. so plenty of premium in the price.

london red 18:37 GMT January 28, 2015
Interview with 2 FX traders about CHFe(video)

daily options

dc CB 18:32 GMT January 28, 2015
margins

Whip Saw
(yr post)
cheers

The Whipsaw Song

USA ZEUS 18:24 GMT January 28, 2015
margins

dc CB 16:15 GMT January 27, 2015

Thank you friend for such kind words. Perhaps I came across a bit different than intended. Have some time constraints with so much going on. Will be around from time to time. Always enjoy your input- lively, informative and entertaining.
Best trades to you-
Cheers!

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 18:22 GMT January 28, 2015
Interview with 2 FX traders about CHFe(video)

red, what options are you using to come up with those ranges?

london red 18:14 GMT January 28, 2015
Interview with 2 FX traders about CHFe(video)

options currently pricing in about 65 pips euro 60 pips yen. was about a figure early london am. any kind digression (either side) from last statement and well get more than that.

dc CB 18:08 GMT January 28, 2015
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

.54%

2Year

dc CB 18:02 GMT January 28, 2015
Interview with 2 FX traders about CHFe(video)

One thing is almost a Sure Thing:

at 2PM...a few microseconds before no doubt.... all stops above R2 and below S2...if not R3 and S3, will be run in all tradeable "financial" vehicles on Retail Platforms during the frenzy that may last 15 mins.

Go Flat and Be Fat.

Livingston nh 17:53 GMT January 28, 2015
SNB

Another view on SNB move LINK

HK [email protected] 17:34 GMT January 28, 2015
SNB



I know many amateurs who are not insane.

dc CB 17:28 GMT January 28, 2015
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

Stocks Mysteriously rally off lows.

Waiter at the Fed Reserve building, cleaning off the morning coffee and left danish in prep for lunch finds pocket Roget's with dog-eared highlighted pages.

The Leak is in.

NY JM 17:24 GMT January 28, 2015
SNB

RF, a better word is amateurs.

HK [email protected] 17:21 GMT January 28, 2015
SNB
Reply   


The more I look at that blunder of the SNB, and their comments in the aftermath...

I come to the conclusion that the SNB officials are insane.

dc CB 17:16 GMT January 28, 2015
Interview with 2 FX traders about CHFe(video)

oops

FXCM Auto

dc CB 17:16 GMT January 28, 2015
Interview with 2 FX traders about CHFe(video)

Step into the system son. It'll fill your a$$ with money.
I feel something in my a$$ but it's not money ...
Another one who works for fun.

FXCM Auto Trading

dc CB 17:09 GMT January 28, 2015
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

Treas Autions were put off by one day 'cause O da Blizzard.

2Y today, 5 tom, 7 thurs

Today there are 2-2Year auctions.. 1 FRN Floating Rate Note done at 11:30 went at 0.84%

The 2nd at the regular done time 1PM

2Y FRN

Mtl JP 16:57 GMT January 28, 2015
Greece Jitters

Livingston nh 16:22 - odds are there is nothing to think about

All the new Greek clown needs to remember is that "debt endures" - Carney Sep. 30 2010

Mtl JP 16:42 GMT January 28, 2015
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off

one percent point uP... allegedly on worries about the new government inflexibility.. haha, lets get some govvy inflexibility contagion and more one percent interest rate pops, particularly in Canada / US

GVI Forex john 16:30 GMT January 28, 2015
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off
Reply   

28 January-- 16:40 GMT- Current Market Conditions
. Greek bond yields continue to shoot higher on worries about the new government  inflexibility. The 10-yr is 10.70% +103bp. Otherwise Markets are mostly  in RISK OFF posture on disappointing U.S. earnings and/or guidance data from several major firms. In forex,  the USD is broadly mixed. The EUR is mostly lower on its crosses. In Europe, 10-yr bond yields are mixed to lower. U.S., equities and bond yields are mixed.

In Far East trade, equities closed mostly up  and JGB yields are higher.




The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.

Livingston nh 16:22 GMT January 28, 2015
Greece Jitters

Any thots on the big dog in the troika?? different interests at play -- so who takes the lead?

HK [email protected] 16:00 GMT January 28, 2015
USD/CAD
Reply   


With Weekly and Monthly RSI highest since last 15years, we can only say that the pair is a bit O.B.

But this is not a clear indication we topped, but with other indicators over different time frames, chances for retracement are existing this time.

GVI Forex john 15:32 GMT January 28, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts





NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: +8.900 vs. 4.000 exp vs. +10.100 prev.
Gasoline: -2.590 vs. 0.500 exp vs. +0.600 prev.
Distillates: -3.900 vs. 0.500 exp vs. -3.300 prev.
Cap/Util: 88.0% vs. 85.6% exp vs. 85.50% prev.




Weekly Petroleum Status Report



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex 15:19 GMT January 28, 2015
RBNZ Decision Late Today
Reply   
"...we expect the RBNZ to shift from an explicit tightening bias to a neutral one. The press release will say it is appropriate to leave the OCR on hold. We assign an 75% probability to this scenario, to which markets are unlikely to react. That is because markets have consistently been more dovish than the RBNZ during this tightening cycle and are now pricing in half a 25bp rate cut. A neutral bias won’t be enough of a signal for markets to price in more easing, nor is it hawkish enough to disappoint..."

Westpac NZ

Livingston nh 15:13 GMT January 28, 2015
EURUSD

There are two interesting divergences in EUR -- peripheral yields (Spain and Italy) are following Greece higher while bund yields decline - the bund rally and jgb decline puts 10 yr yields only 4bps between the two (I never saw it this close to inversion)

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 15:08 GMT January 28, 2015
EURUSD



I posted the one hour EURUSD chart where potential support is 1.1295-05, 1.1295 (former high) was yesterday's mini breakout level and 1.1305 is the current 100 hour mva.

Price action, meanwhile, is typical after a correction falls shy of a key level (i.e. 1.1460).

What complicates today is the wait for the FOMC decision,

nw kw 14:34 GMT January 28, 2015
USD/CAD

SPI. 500 chart pending top side breakout
xauaud pivot support going give out
long aud/usa, stop small

Miami JN 14:34 GMT January 28, 2015
EURUSD

has anyone turned to bearish for eurusd or do we sit on our hand until fomc?

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:14 GMT January 28, 2015
FXCM

Here is the FXCM press release

FXCM to Forgive Majority of Clients Who Incurred Negative Balances

mia gw 14:07 GMT January 28, 2015
FXCM

re: FXCM forgiving -debt... no stop. you're fooq'd

GVI Forex 14:05 GMT January 28, 2015
FXCM

From what I read, FXCM will forgive 90% of its negative balances and go after the 10% from institutional and higher new worth individuals. The latter makes up about 60% of negative balances.

GVI Forex 13:59 GMT January 28, 2015
FXCM
Reply   
TTN reporting FXCM said it is going to forgive most of the negative balances of its customers. Not sure what is meant by "most."

Cape Town LV 13:54 GMT January 28, 2015
USD/CAD

I am in , lets see what happens

Cape Town LV 13:50 GMT January 28, 2015
USD/CAD

thanks

HK [email protected] 13:50 GMT January 28, 2015
USD/CAD



Sometimes it seems immediate Interference with trade suggestion on this site or just a coincidence:)

Any smallest volume probably attracts attention.

HK [email protected] 13:46 GMT January 28, 2015
USD/CAD



Expect a Ret. to 1.22-1.23 range

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:44 GMT January 28, 2015
EURUSD

As posted on GVI Forex

Wednesday's Trading Outlook
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:05 GMT 01/28/2015 - My Profile
If the EURUSD trades lower (would be typical after a correction that paused below a key level -- 1.1460), it would be easy to explain given Greece post election jitters.

If it goes higher it would have to be USD weakness (FOMC)

Cape Town LV 13:35 GMT January 28, 2015
USD/CAD

Sell now?

HK [email protected] 13:25 GMT January 28, 2015
OR TRY THIS: Buy CAD/CHF
Reply   
Buy
Entry: Target: Stop:

/

HK [email protected] 13:16 GMT January 28, 2015
USD/CAD
Reply   


Classical sell:)

GVI Forex john 13:15 GMT January 28, 2015
Fed rate hike to be delayed until Sept: Sanchez

My view on the FED..

!00% odds for no rate changes. My major focus right now is the Fed policy statement today. Odds are the central bank will stick with "patience", but I will be looking for any softening of its view on the U.S. economy. With the USD tied to the performance of stocks (Risk On), further gains are tied to an improving outlook for the economy.

dc CB 12:52 GMT January 28, 2015
Fed rate hike to be delayed until Sept: Sanchez

So will Yellen save the day again?

if she continues ignoring the global deflationary pressures and not relent to delaying the rate hike, then the USD will surge even more ......Or will she admit that the myth of a US recovery was just that, for the 5th year in a row, and hint that all else equal, the Fed may not only keep ZIRP for longer, but even go NIRP or return to a QE regime?

We don't expect answers to all these questions, but today is certainly shaping up to be a dramatic session, one which will be that much more dramatic courtesy of the now pervasive lack of market liquidity.

p: All Eyes On Yellen Who Better Not Disappoint

London Chris 12:34 GMT January 28, 2015
EURUSD
Reply   
What about a eurusd range?

1.05-1.20, 1.00-1.20, 1.08-1.2023?

hk nt 12:16 GMT January 28, 2015
USD/JPY

USD/JPY may see 115-125 range this year.

GVI Forex john 11:46 GMT January 28, 2015
Global-View Trading Systems

What jumps out at me today is the EURUSD range which is MOSTLY above the 1.1338 pivot.Where we are trading relative to the pivot could set the tone.

GVI Forex john 11:42 GMT January 28, 2015
Global-View Trading Systems
Reply   


USD Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables. Chart icon stores in browser tab.


Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System



GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:28 GMT January 28, 2015
Is Negative Balance Protection Fool's Gold?

Several forex brokers are now publicizing negative balance protection for their clients. This is good marketing after several brokers reported negative balances seen after the SNB fiasco but is it really significant? As we all know, forex brokers are not charities but for profit businesses and are not in the habit of giving away money to their clients. So, is negative balance protection a reason to open an account or is there a hidden factor that makes this look more than it is?

Is Negative Balance Protection Fool's Gold?

GVI Forex Blog 11:08 GMT January 28, 2015
Global Markets News
Reply   
The USD retraced some of its losses from Tuesday as the focus returned to the Greek situation. Greece PM Tsipras reiterated his view to negotiate debt relief. Greek yields continued to rise sharply amid the uncertainty about the future of Greece in the Euro Zone.

TradeTheNews.com EU Mid-Market Update: Greece new govt reiterates view to negotiate debt relief

london red 11:03 GMT January 28, 2015
USD/JPY

117.20/118.90 has been the range for a while, maybe a slight descending triangle with flat base. dollar will take its cue from fed but not necessarily follow stocks today after fed eg. if fed dovish stocks go up but dollar falls.

kl shawn 10:57 GMT January 28, 2015
USD/JPY

i think usdjpy still got that 115 level lurking

HK [email protected] 10:54 GMT January 28, 2015
USD/JPY
Reply   


The same traders, pushing for stronger yen that had already a setback Y.day, continue their promo and action today.

Just remember, that a longer JPY-bearish waves can always come in and get the USD/JPY short easily.

Too much risk for few pips profit.

GVI Forex Blog 10:40 GMT January 28, 2015
Focus On Fed. No Rate Changes Seen; key Policy Guidance. Greek Jitters
Reply   
TOP NEWS ITEMS: US-Weekly Crude, 5-yr Auction, FOMC

Focus On Fed. No Rate Changes Seen; key Policy Guidance. Greek Jitters

GVI Forex john 10:34 GMT January 28, 2015
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk
Reply   

28 January-- 10:40 GMT- Current Market Conditions
. Greek bond yields are up sharply today on worries about the new government  inflexibility. The 10-yr is 10.18% +51bp. Otherwise Markets are in a MIXED RISK posture after disappointing earnings and/or guidance data  Tuesday from several major firms. In forex,  the USD is broadly weaker. The EUR is mostly lower on its crosses. In Europe, 10-yr bond yields are mixed to higher. U.S., equities and bond yields are down.

In Far East trade, equities closed mostly up  and JGB yields are higher.




The heat map color scheme of interest rates reflects yields.

GVI Forex john 09:55 GMT January 28, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

EARLIER: 4Q14 CPI easier.

GVI Forex john 09:49 GMT January 28, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

4Q14 Australia CPI





EARLIER

QQ: +0.20% vs. +0.40% exp. vs. +0.50% prev.
YY: +1.70% vs. +2.30% exp. vs. +2.30% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex 09:24 GMT January 28, 2015
Greece Jitters

* Athens' atg equity index touches record lows

* Greek 3-year government bond yield rises 183 bps to 16.03 pct, highest in three weeks - Tradeweb

FXWire Pro

GVI Forex 09:17 GMT January 28, 2015
Greece Jitters
Reply   
Bond yields up, stocks down

London 08:43 GMT January 28, 2015
New signal - Try our free trial
Reply   
Sell EURJPY
Entry: 133.800 Target: 133.100 Stop: 133.900

Try our free signals service.

Posted with permission of global-view.com

forex signals

london red 08:42 GMT January 28, 2015
Euro

overnight options are looking at something in the region of 80 pips. but of course they include the fed. for me fed not open and shut as part of mkt seems to look for some caution, while other side expects no change in normalisation.
big question is is yellen willing to look thru this latest headwind. if so, then the statement will be taken as hawkish by fx mkt. if theres any reference to external factors and a hint of hesitation, then dollar takes a hit. might boil down to whether considerable time stays in or not as to calling it either hawkish or dovish.

gc sf 08:28 GMT January 28, 2015
Euro

the question is do we see EUR + GBP test

1.1285 + 1.5120 before moving to 1.1460 + 1.5300

or do they just go sideways.

HK [email protected] 08:21 GMT January 28, 2015
USD/CHF
Reply   


FXStreet (Barcelona) - The Research Team at Nomura feels that CHF is extremely overvalued at the moment and with deflation worsening in Switzerland the SNB might be compelled to accommodate monetary policy further.

READ MORE

Syd 08:11 GMT January 28, 2015
Fed rate hike to be delayed until Sept: Sanchez
Reply   
Gina Sanchez, Chairwoman & Founder of Chantico Global, expects any action from the central bank to be delayed since markets are experiencing an illusion of strong demand...

Fed

london red 08:09 GMT January 28, 2015
Euro

since the break higher, euro has been supported by 89 hour ema, there has been no close below this so far despite a few attempts below. currently 11337. if below there then support at 11314 prev low and 100 hour ma 11309. any further than that and selling could cascade but you wonder how much conviction any move will have with the fed approaching.

kl shawn 08:03 GMT January 28, 2015
SELL GBP/USD

good calls so far
go usd! looking to take some off the table here and leave the rest run

london red 07:52 GMT January 28, 2015
SELL GBP/USD

its that and the 200 hour that engulf it for me. direction either side of there. but probably not before fed.

Syd 07:40 GMT January 28, 2015
Euro
Reply   
Gartman's dollar & gold trade How to play the dollar using ETFs, with Dennis Gartman of The Gartman Letter.

euro/dlr

kl shawn 07:37 GMT January 28, 2015
SELL GBP/USD

ok, sold also cable 1.5177, looks like bounce is over, going down again soon hopefully

jkt abel 07:20 GMT January 28, 2015
SELL GBP/USD

red, has been very safe using the upper line to cap the upmove so far

london red 07:11 GMT January 28, 2015
SELL GBP/USD

cable. upper channel line today falls to 15195

jkt abel 06:39 GMT January 28, 2015
SELL GBP/USD

sold gbpusd 1.5185, adding later if better level seen, stop above yesterday's high

bali sja 06:37 GMT January 28, 2015
SELL GBP/USD
Reply   
sold 1.5183, adding if 1.52 handle seen before setting stop (1.5285 tentative), target open

GVI Forex Blog 06:31 GMT January 28, 2015 Reply   
- (AU) AUSTRALIA Q4 CONSUMER PRICES (CPI) Q/Q: 0.2% (2-year low) V 0.3%E; Y/Y: 1.7% (2 1/2-year low) V 1.8%E; TRIMMED MEAN Q/Q: 0.7% V 0.5%E ; Y/Y: 2.2% (2 1/2 year low) V 2.2%E - (AU) AUSTRALIA NOV S

TradeTheNews.com Asian Mid-session Update: Australia trimmed CPI in range, diminishing outlook for rate cut; MAS lowers inflation target in intermeeting move - Source TradeTheNews.com

Paris ib 06:24 GMT January 28, 2015
Another economic bear
Reply   
"After the 1987 crash, a friend of mine, then a young Director of Sotheby’s, was sent to consult an old Partner who had been at Sotheby’s during the 1930s and was still alive, albeit in a nursing home. My friend asked the question “What was it like in the 30s?” and the man replied “It was like being bitten by a tarantula.” My friend didn’t really understand that, but later on in the conversation the old Partner said“A spasm of activity followed by a death.”"

The era we are entering: beggar thy neighbour currency devaluations.

An interesting read

HK [email protected] 05:55 GMT January 28, 2015
USD/CHF Probably targeting 0.95xx


bali sja 04:39

Sorry I don't follow this pair.

dc CB 05:54 GMT January 28, 2015
"bankruptcy cannot be dealt with by borrowing more,"

Mr. Tsipras, 40, assembled a new, streamlined cabinet dominated by members of his radical-left Syriza party, among them academics, labor activists and human rights advocates.

His most closely watched selection was his new finance minister, Yanis Varoufakis, an economist and avid blogger who has described Europe’s austerity policies as “fiscal waterboarding.”

Greece’s New Left-Wing Cabinet Signals Willingness to Confront E.U. Over Policies

Syd 05:40 GMT January 28, 2015
China Job Growth Accelerates in 4Q - Survey WSJ
Reply   
BEIJING--China's job market remained robust in the fourth quarter of last year despite slower economic growth, with the number of job postings rising faster than the previous quarter, according to a survey from Zhaopin.com, one of China's largest online recruitment companies.

The number of online job postings climbed 37% in the final quarter of 2014 from a year earlier, up from an on-year increase of 23% in the third quarter, the recruiter said in a statement released on Wednesday.

The survey results show that "the downward pressure on economic growth has not notably dragged on the entire employment market yet," Zhaopin said.

They also show that the government doesn't need to roll out aggressive easing measures to stimulate economic growth in the near future, the statement said.

The financial sector had the biggest appetite for talented workers, with the number of vacancies rising 48% on year in the fourth quarter. The number of job postings from trust companies, guarantee firms, auction firms and pawn shops surged 327%, while those from the banking sector rose 216%.

The financial sector will likely remain the most avid employer this year as the internet finance industry competes for job seekers who have skill sets in finance and telecommunications.

A prolonged property market downturn has directly hit the sector's job creation, with postings rising a mere 6% in the fourth quarter, the weakest among all sectors, the survey showed.

Job growth in regions surrounding Beijing and Shanghai are still vibrant. For the full year of 2014, smaller cities such as Hangzhou, Tianjin, Chengdu, Chongqing and Suzhou saw rapid job creation.

Private firms are more active than state-owned enterprises and foreign companies in hiring. The job postings from private companies rose 40% in the fourth quarter, much higher than that of both state and foreign companies.

Middle-sized employers, with between 1,000 and 10,000 employees, saw the number of jobs growing 33% in the last quarter, while those with more than 10,000 employees reported a job growth of 3% in the fourth quarter, following a contraction in jobs over the first three quarters.

China's economy expanded 7.3% in the fourth quarter of year, bringing the full-year economic growth rate to 7.4%, the slowest in decades for the world's second-largest economy.

WSJ

Syd 05:18 GMT January 28, 2015
AU) CommSec chief economist: Australia inflation remains healthy without being excessive - Source Tr
Reply   
(AU) CommSec chief economist: Australia inflation remains healthy without being excessive "Economic environment in Australia is far different from some other parts of the globe. The euro zone continues to worry about the deflationary threat from sluggish growth and sliding oil prices, while inflation remains below the Feds target rate in the US. But here in Australia inflation is holding at the low end of the Reserve Banks target 2-3%.... It is pretty clear that inflation is not a threat to the domestic economy, meaning that the Reserve Bank can comfortably keep interest rates at exceptionally low levels over the medium term. Domestic inflationary pressures remain well contained and given the slow growth in wages it is unlikely to result in a change to the domestic inflation landscape.... Interestingly despite the sharp slide in the Aussie dollar over the September and December quarters, it did not have a significant impact on lifting imported inflation at least, not yet. The tradeable component of the CPI result fell by 0.6% in the December quarter. The substantial slide in the oil price continues to offset the depreciation in the currency. In fact the fall in the petrol price was one of the main contributors to the subdued inflation result.... Whichever way you cut it, inflation is not a threat to the economy and the Reserve Bank will not be feeling any additional pressure to move rates in any direction any time soon." - Source TradeTheNews.com

bali sja 04:39 GMT January 28, 2015
USD/CHF Probably targeting 0.95xx

[email protected], any take on gbpusd? short on another failure of 1.52?

Hong Kong AceTrader 04:26 GMT January 28, 2015
AceTrader Jan 28: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views (USD/SGD)
Reply   
Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
28 Jan 2015 03:37GMT

USD/SGD - ....... Singapore MAS spokesperson says central bank's main policy cycle remains as scheduled in April and October each year; central bank has always maintained flexibility to conduct off-cycle policy reviews, will do so when needed; their next monetary policy review will be as scheduled in April; "barring significant shocks", 2015 inflation, growth forecasts would likely be reaffirmed at April review.


Earlier the sing dlr fell the most since 2010 in early Asian trading after the MAS surprised the market by easing its monetary policy, dlr sing jumped from 1.3392 to as high as 1.3570 (a fresh 4-year peak).

Bloomberg reported the Monetary Authority of Singapore, which uses the currency as its main policy tool, said it will reduce the slope of the policy band for the island's dollar in an unscheduled policy statement Wed. It also cut the inflation forecast for 2015, predicting prices may fall as much as 0.5%.

Singapore becomes at least the 9th economy to ease policy this month as global price pressures evaporate with an oil slump, after the ECB announced QE plans while Canada, Denmark n India cut interest rates. More may come -- the BoJ chief said the country may need to get creative in any further monetary stimulus and Thai policy makers face growing pressure to lower borrowing costs.

HK [email protected] 04:09 GMT January 28, 2015
USD/CHF Probably targeting 0.95xx
Reply   


Takes time.

hk nt 04:02 GMT January 28, 2015
USD/JPY

Agree, a weaker yen mayhelp to support export and to stimulate inflation.

gc sf 03:21 GMT January 28, 2015
Australian dollar jumps as rate cut bets cut on stronger-than-expected core inflation
Reply   
"Official figures show that falling petrol prices have reduced headline inflation, but other prices have continued rising, keeping the Reserve Bank's preferred measures within its target range.
The Bureau of Statistics Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.2 per cent in the December quarter, down from a 0.5 per cent rise in the previous three-month period.
That took the annual rate of inflation down to 1.7 per cent, from its previous level at 2.3 per cent in the September quarter.
While that is below the Reserve Bank's 2-3 per cent target range, the vast bulk of the decline came from falling fuel prices, which slumped 6.8 per cent on the back of a global oil price slide.
The Reserve Bank's preferred measures of underlying inflation, which exclude the most volatile price movements, rose 0.7 per cent in the quarter and 2.2 and 2.3 per cent over the past year, still within its target range."

Minneapolis DRS2 03:16 GMT January 28, 2015
eurusd

KL KL 02:33 GMT

Don't be afraid to take profit off of other people's trades too. When the big fish make a move and price really moves a lot, it's always fun to take profit off of their trades...

KL KL 02:33 GMT January 28, 2015
eurusd

covering 3/5 of short eurusd at 1.13805 here ...1.13309...for nice 50 pips and leave the rest at TP 1.1365......or ride it back down to 1.11 in 24 hours...........after Yellen....after falsh crash....after Draghi....after BOJ....after RBA......like I know what will affect the EURO Drastic Drop.....like I say...DYOR.>DFM..DLTM and LOL....imvho and its all about taking profit...never mind what everyone says......just take the profit....!!!

Hong Kong AceTrader 02:29 GMT January 28, 2015
AceTrader Jan 28: Intra-Day News and Views (EUR/USD) & data to be released today
Reply   

Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
28 Jan 2015 02:13GMT

EUR/USD - ...... Despite yesterday's rally to 1.1424 due to active short-covering, renewed selling there knocked price lower to 1.1333 in NY and then 1.1331 today.
Offers are tipped at 1.1390-00 and more at 1.1420-25.
On the downside, some bids are located at 1.1310-00 with stops seen below 1.1290.

According to Lars Loekke Rasmussen, the 50-year-old leader of Denmark opposition and the man who polls consistently show will become prime minister after elections due to take place by September. He said there's no point setting a date for a referendum on swapping Denmark's currency peg for full euro membership.

Yesterday despite the release of upbeat U.S. consumer confi., broad-based strength in European currencies pushed euro higher and price extended intra-day rally from 1.1224 (Asia) to 1.1422 in NY morning before easing due to some profit-taking.

Wednesday will see the release of Australia's Westpac leading index, CPI, RBA Trimmed Mean CPI, Switzerland UBS Consumption indicator, Germany's Gfk Consumer Sentiment, Import Price index, France's Consumer Confidence, FOMC rate decision and monetary policy statement.

bali sja 02:29 GMT January 28, 2015
USD/JPY

usd will make new high still this quarter IMO

Syd 02:12 GMT January 28, 2015
DJ Australia's Central Bank to Press for Rate Stability -- Market Talk
Reply   
With core inflation in the fourth quarter of 2014 higher than expected, Australia's central bank will comfortably continue with its rhetoric of "interest rate stability," says Craig James, chief economist at Commsec. The higher than expected readings on underlying measures (+0.7% versus expected +0.5%) suggest that the Reserve Bank will need to see a pullback in activity before deciding that a further cut in rates is necessary, he added. CommSec expects rates to remain on hold over 2015, Mr. James said Dowjones

FW CS 02:05 GMT January 28, 2015
USD/JPY

HK RF
agrred on $jpy ... weekly chart is corrective. Next Major move is probably up

HK [email protected] 01:53 GMT January 28, 2015
USD/JPY
Reply   


Per my warning not to short USD/JPY, as the chart shows several long term bullish pattern. And so it came out.

And those recently enamoured blindly with the Euro, are bound for the same fate.

hk nt 01:31 GMT January 28, 2015
Dollar index
Reply   
See if dollar index may rangebound 90-95 for some months.

Sydney ACC 01:30 GMT January 28, 2015
AUD

March, June and September Bank Bill Futures Prices down 13 points - 15 points since the release of the CPI figures.

30 day Interbank Cash Rate Futures Contracts - February price down 6.5 points, March minus 10.5 points.

KL KL 00:40 GMT January 28, 2015
AUD

..on that note Short AUDUSD .7999 relentless then cover for 10 pips hopefully before RBA No move on Rates.....

Syd 00:34 GMT January 28, 2015
AUD
Reply   
Dow Jones
Australia 4Q RBA Weighted Median CPI +0.7% On Qtrt
Australia 4Q RBA Trimmed Mean CPI +0.7% On Qtr
Australia 4Q CPI +1.7% On Yr; Consensus +1.8%
Australia 4Q CPI +0.2% On Qtr; Consensus +0.3%

 




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