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Forex Forum Archive for 11/1/2015

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Mtl JP 23:44 GMT November 1, 2015
Bears reading

New wave of oil bets wipes out billions in investor savings - msn
Raises the Q: How Is It Ever Possible ?!

dc CB 22:45 GMT November 1, 2015
Bears reading

When it comes to predicting the market's turbulent swings over the late summer, JPM's quant team has been absolutely phenomenal, with virtually every single call being absolutely spot on. We previously documented the best exampled as follows:

August 21, just before the Black Monday flash crash: "Why The Market Is Crashing Into The Close: JPM Explains"
August 27: "JPM Head Quant Warns Second Market Crash May Be Imminent: Violent Selling Could Return On Thursday"
September 3, before the next leg lower in stocks: "Home JPM Head Quant Is Back With New Warning: "Only Half The Selling Is Done; Expect More Downside""

But it was his final call, that from the end of September, that may have been the most monumental. We flagged it on September 24 as follows: "Bears Beware, JPM's Head Quant Just Flipped To Bullish: "The Technical Buying Begins" and we noted that, according to JPM's calculations, quants are about to unleash a major buying spree.

This is what happened after:

JPM Quants: The Catalyst For The October Rally Is Over; "All 4 Sectors Are Currently Long Equities"

GVI Forex Blog 22:36 GMT November 1, 2015

Australian PMI back nearly to break-even.

BREAKING NEWS: Australia PMI Back to Break-Even

GVI Forex john bland 22:30 GMT November 1, 2015

Australia PMI October 2015

Earlier News ALERT
50.2 vs. n/a exp. vs. 52.1 prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

Miami JN 22:07 GMT November 1, 2015
Let's fill the gap openings.

GVI Forex Blog 18:52 GMT November 1, 2015
Global-View Trading Technologies

USD Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables.

Global-View Trading Technologies

london red 18:43 GMT November 1, 2015
Commitment of Traders Report

nh just short term mind, the good news for the pound is super thursday and inflation report rates and minutes. fickle traders saw fed and now extrapolate that once fed goes uk free to go as well. so they will be expecting hawkishness from boe. maybe better to travel than arrive. maybe, maybe not. but certainly mkt will go in expecting hawkishness.

GVI Forex john bland 18:00 GMT November 1, 2015
GVI Data Calendar for 2 November 2015

October 30, 2015 ( UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, November 2, 2015. Trading News Calendar

  • Far East: AU/CN/JP- PMIs
  • Europe: EZ/CH/GB- PMIs
  • North America: US/CA- PMIs, US- Construction Spending


8:58 EZ- PMI
9:28 GB- PMI
No Major Data
8:58 EZ- SVC PMI
13:15 US- ADP Private Jobs
13:30 US- Trade
15:30 US- EIA Crude
12:00 GB- BOE Decision
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
13:30 US/CA- Employment

Livingston nh 17:21 GMT November 1, 2015
Commitment of Traders Report

JP - Britain's biggest trading partner (EU) is on the verge of a major breakdown in socio-political conflict with the invasion from Asia and Africa, the financial cost of misguided "do-good" policies will impact the EU (EUR/GBP back in the no hike region) - the in/out debate in Britain will restrict investment until resolved and the fiscal policies will squeeze the economy further at a time when oil revenue is declining

But the GOOD news for the Pound is .......?

dc CB 17:19 GMT November 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS: China National PMI Steady

big sale for China

NYC 2015 Marathon

GVI Forex Blog 14:42 GMT November 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS: China National PMI Steady

China NBS PMI misses slightly but close to "50" boom or Bust line.

BREAKING NEWS: China National PMI Steady

GVI Forex john bland 14:36 GMT November 1, 2015
China NBS PMI October 2015

NBS: 49.8 vs. 50.0 exp vs. 49.80 prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 14:30 GMT November 1, 2015
Commitment of Traders Report

My Q is would GBP be able to resist a swoon call of a diving euro (assuming euro continues to dive)

GVI Forex john bland 11:19 GMT November 1, 2015
Deep Thoughts

Really no different. All markets are the same. As I was taught many years ago by an old pro, "its all just numbers". You just have to lower your risk profile considerably for oil. Its extremely volatile!

nw kw 04:20 GMT November 1, 2015
Deep Thoughts

how do you play stops in oil cot compered to cad cot, suggestions?

nw kw 04:10 GMT November 1, 2015
Deep Thoughts

fed hikes after all hedge funds stop hedging or DIY.

dc CB 02:59 GMT November 1, 2015
Deep Thoughts

dc CB 20:03 GMT October 30, 2015
Got that NASA SEZ: Clear Skys until 2027...with total confidence...Just like the FED SEZ.... with total CONfidence.

Yellen's Home Town FRB...casts the first stone AKA Doubt about that Dec Rate (yeh it's locked no doubt it will happpen).

Suddenly, just weeks away from what The Fed would like the market to believe is the first rate hike in almost a decade, Williams decides now it is the time to admit the central planners might be missing a factor (and carefully demands better fiscal policy)... (as Reuters reports)

"I see this as more of a warning, a red flag that there's something going on here that isn't in the models, that we maybe don't understand as well as we think, and we should dig down deep deeper and try to figure this out better," said San Francisco Federal Reserve President John Williams on Friday pointing out that low neutral interest rates are a warning sign of possible changes in the U.S. economy that the central bank does not fully understand.

It is clear to us that the FOMC in its quest to maintain stability is breeding instability and that previous attempts at the same failed miserably with dire consequences for society. We are sure it is only a matter for time before it happens again."

Fed Admits "Something's Going On Here That We Maybe Don't Understand"

nw kw 02:54 GMT November 1, 2015
Deep Thoughts

long 30 short 2s and 5, in cad 10 to, why

dc CB 01:26 GMT November 1, 2015
Deep Thoughts

The typical worker between the ages of 55 and 64 had $111,000 in retirement savings in 2013

Combined, the 100 largest chief executive retirement funds are worth $4.9 billion, which is about equal to the entire retirement account savings of 41 percent of American families. On average, these CEOs have enough assets salted away to each generate a monthly retirement check of over $277,000, according to the report.

“These massive nest eggs are not the results of CEOs working harder or investing more wisely,” the report said. “They are the result of rules intentionally tipped to reward those already on the highest rungs of the ladder.”

The inequality in retirement savings between top 100 CEOs and U.S. workers


Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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