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Forex Forum Archive for 03/1/2015

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dc CB 23:31 GMT March 1, 2015
Remember Remember the 15th of October


zerohedge @zerohedge · 37m 37 minutes ago

"We are revising our forecast for 10-year Germany Bund yields from 1.25% at the end of this year to 75bp" - Goldman Sachs
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Well since Goldmans Target for the SnP by the end of 2015 has already been exceeded and its end of 2016 Target is less than 100pts away...What are to make of this Bund target....

shud be reached by the end of the quarter?
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

""
On October 15, the deepest and most liquid market in the world demonstrated a six standard deviation move in less than two hours, a move that happens once in 506,797,346 days! It is impossible to suggest that this supersized move in the US Treasury market was due to downward assessment of economic expectations. Economic expectations shift weekly – if not daily. Clearly, a shift in the structure of the US Treasury market and substantial reduction of private sector market makers is at the core of recent complications. Similarly, this issue extends well beyond simply the sovereign debt market for US securities, as a result of the interconnectedness among markets and the unique role for Treasury debt as benchmark securities. To be sure, a sustained “flash crash” in the world’s leading fixed income market could readily unleash a pronounced slowdown of the global economy, or worse. """

from the CFS

"What's in your wallet"


dc CB 23:22 GMT March 1, 2015
Remember Remember the 15th of October
Reply   
Remember the algo-ignited, six sigma anomaly that sent 10-year yields down 30 bps in seemingly no time flat on the morning of October 15? Well despite the CFTC’s contention that it was “just a high volume day” without “any break in liquidity,” the Center for Financial Stability is out with a new report which cites the Treasury flash crash as a glaring example of what happens when an increasingly illiquid market collides head-on with “herding investment behavior.”

More Flash Crashes To Come As Shadow Banking Liquidity Collapses

GVI Forex john 22:42 GMT March 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

AUD PMI. Third straight monthly contraction.

GVI Forex john 22:35 GMT March 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

Australian PMI weaker. AUD negative?

GVI Forex john 22:30 GMT March 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

Australia PMI February 2015





Earlier News ALERT

45.4 vs. n/a exp. vs. 49.0 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 21:02 GMT March 1, 2015
Video: Forex Trading Outlook for the Month Ahead
Reply   


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Video: Forex Trading Outlook for March

GVI Forex john 20:21 GMT March 1, 2015
Global-View Trading Systems

Monthly (20-day) Pivots. A longer time perspective


GVI Forex john 20:16 GMT March 1, 2015
Global-View Trading Systems
Reply   


EUR Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables. Chart icon stores in browser tab.


Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System




GVI Forex john 20:01 GMT March 1, 2015
Commitment of Traders Report

GBPUSD Net GBP shorts have been declining sharply We see GBP shorts declining and longs increasing through last Tuesday. A sharp EURGBP decline suggests there might be a lot of interest in entering EURGBP shorts. We do not get reliable EURGBP COT reports.

The strong divergence in EURUSD and GBPUSD should be closely monitored. It might not last long.



Click on chart for COT Details



GVI Forex john 19:53 GMT March 1, 2015
Commitment of Traders Report

JPY short positions fell in the week ending on Fed 24. Net short JPY positions have continued to decline as as interest in the pair has as declined to due an extended period of range trading. JPY shorts fell slightly and longs rose very modestly.

As long as resistance in USDJPY holds at 120.00 interest in this pair will remain muted. Net position exposure is modest.





Click on chart forJPY COT Details

GVI Forex john 19:41 GMT March 1, 2015
Commitment of Traders Report

Net EURUSD positions fell in the week ending last Tuesday (February 24). Both longs and shorts were reduced, presumably due to frustration with the range trading during most o of the month .Net EURUSD shorts fell because EURUSD shorts fell by more than longs did.

Since then, the price action should have seen EURUSD short increase and longs fall once again. Charts and the COT point to a bearish EURUSD tone. In my opinion, EURUSD shorts are not not seriously over extended.



Click on chart for EUR COT Details





dc CB 19:01 GMT March 1, 2015
OIL What's Going On?



Meanwhile BOHICA

dc CB 18:59 GMT March 1, 2015
OIL What's Going On?



Oh, and about those "falling" gasoline prices that Yellen said would be "like a tax cut".
Well taxes are now Rising. I quess it is all Transient
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

nationwide gas prices are rising at the fastest pace in over a decade; as AP reports, for Californians, it's considerably worse as gas prices have soared 60c to $3.23 per gallon in the last few weeks.

spiking prices 20-30c on Thursday alone as one gas station owner exclaimed, in 48 years "I've never seen anything like this kind of [price spike]."

Meanwhile In California, Unambiguously Ungood...

dc CB 18:26 GMT March 1, 2015
Deep thoughts
Reply   
give this a listen, to idle away a snowy sunday
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
I received a call from Mr. Hashiyama in the office, and he said in order to determine which auction house to handle collection, I would like both of you - Christie's and Sotheby's - to play the game rock, paper, scissors.

ROSENBERG: Yes, you heard her right.

UNIDENTIFIED MEN: Rock, paper, scissors, shoot.

ROSENBERG: Mr. Hashiyama wanted the two biggest auction houses in the world to play a $20 million game of Rochambeau.

Anything for the Client

GVI Forex john 16:28 GMT March 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS



March 1, 2015 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, March 2, 2015. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: JP/AU/CN- PMIs, DE- Retail Sales. CH/EZ/UK, EZ- flash HICP, US- PMIs, Personal Income, PCE Deflator, Construction Spending

  • Far East: JP/AU/CN- PMIs
  • Europe: DE- Retail Sales. CH/EZ/UK, EZ- flash HICP
  • North America: US- PMIs, Personal Income, PCE Deflator, Construction Spending


GVI Forex Blog 16:25 GMT March 1, 2015
Active Week For Data. PMIs Followed BY ECB. U.S. Employment Friday
Reply   
TOP NEWS ITEMS: JP/AU/CN- PMIs, DE- Retail Sales. CH/EZ/UK, EZ- flash HICP, US- PMIs, Personal Income, PCE Deflator, Construction Spending

Active Week For Data. PMIs Followed BY ECB. U.S. Employment Friday

NY JM 13:09 GMT March 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

Greece is a non-factor now until the next deadline comes in focus.

Mtl JP 12:41 GMT March 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

AP Interview: Greece’s repayments to ECB need discussion

...“The IMF repayments of course we are going to prioritize, we are not going to be the first country not to meet our obligations to the IMF,” the 53-year-old said, speaking in his office in the finance ministry overlooking Athens’ central square and the country’s parliament. “We shall squeeze blood out of stone if we need to do this on our own, and we shall do it.”

However, “the ECB repayments are in a different league and we shall have to determine this in association with our partners and the institutions.” .../..
--
Note to Varoufakis: there is no blood in stone.

GVI Forex john 01:15 GMT March 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS


More Charts

China official (NBS) Mfg PMI just below 50 expansion line.

GVI Forex john 01:09 GMT March 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

China NBS PMI February 2015






China PMI's
NBS: 49.9 vs. 49.7 exp vs. 49.8 prev.



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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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