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Forex Forum Archive for 04/1/2015

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


Syd 23:35 GMT April 1, 2015
DJ Aussie Bond Investors Can Breathe Easy; AAA-Rating Seen Safe -- Market Talk
Reply   
There is little risk to Australia's AAA sovereign rating near term, says Sally Auld, debt strategist at J.P. Morgan. Government debt is very low by global standards. She adds that many of Australia's other imbalances look less threatening. For example, the banking system has significantly reduced its reliance on foreign capital by way of the increase in household deposits. Nonetheless, there isn't much room for complacency. The budget remains in structural deficit and still-falling commodity prices continue to force downgrades on the revenue side. Given little risk of a near-term ratings downgrade, the market implications of the budget situation will manifest themselves more through growth, and monetary policy, than through ratings actions and related capital flows. "We would view this as consistent with a lower currency and lower rates in the months ahead," Ms. Auld said.

NY JM 22:25 GMT April 1, 2015
Global-View Trading Systems

EURUSD S1 and R1 are the same as Wed's range (1.0718=1.0800)

Sydney ACC 21:24 GMT April 1, 2015
NZD

Analysis published this morning of some older Fronterra data.
Sales to China slumped to NZD 1.2 billion from NZD 3.1 billion one year earlier. That's a decline of 61%. Then inaddition revenue from Europe declined 29%. Doesn't explain why it hasn't shown up in the NZ's trade balance.

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=11426646

GVI Forex john 21:23 GMT April 1, 2015
Global-View Trading Systems
Reply   


USD Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables.


Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System





gc sf 21:20 GMT April 1, 2015
Update
Reply   
MS

Open
+ $CAD 1.2620 sl 1.2521 tp 1.3000
+ $YEN 119.70 sl 118.70 tp 123
- EUR 1.0920 sl 1.0850 tp 1.0500

Limits

- AUD 7700 sl 7800 tp 7300
+ $CHF 9600 sl 9490 tp 1.01
- GBP 1.4900 tp 1.4500 sl 1.5000

3 month total = +5145 pips

((DD Required))

gc sf 21:13 GMT April 1, 2015
NZD
Reply   
you might want to take a quick look at this - results of Auction - personally had never seen this page before this morning.

Dairy Auction

Livingston nh 21:07 GMT April 1, 2015
ADP / plug factor
Reply   
Consider that ADP (big employer) figs (prior to infamous revision tendency) that miss NFP figs often occur in months when the BLS plug factor (small employer) plays a significant role - example January Plug factor is VERY negative But the following months are extremely positive - so ADP is negative today but March Plug Factor always has a Positive bias // so 96 plug factor for March could add at least 40 to ADP 189

Just a non scientific, non statistical observation

GVI Forex john 20:44 GMT April 1, 2015
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Mixed Risk
Reply   



GVI Forex john 20:04 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

Weekly Trading Planner Top Items (GMT)r
    THURSDAY
    0:30 AU Trade A$bln external economy
    7:00 DE Retail Sales mm consumer demand measure
    9:28 GB Construct PMI Latest view on economy
    12:30 CA Trade C$bn external economy
    12:30 US Weekly Jobless late view on jobs
    12:30 US Trade external Accounts
    13:00 USFRB Yellen speech
    13:30 EZ ECB Minutes
    14:00 US Factory Orders future production
    FRIDAY
    0:00 AU Holiday
    0:00 CA Holiday
    0:00 CH Holiday
    0:00 EZ Holiday
    0:00 GB Holiday
    0:00 NZ Holiday
    0:00 US Early Close
    12:30 US Unemployment unemployment rate
    12:30 US Payrolls Key Jobs data

calendarBe sure to refer daily to the Global-View Economic Calendar for key items, such as consensus estimates, previous data and links to charts of recent data).


dc CB 20:02 GMT April 1, 2015
Ben's Dream

Mtl JP 18:44

JP
you've got to click on the link.

it's my April Fools Joke

GVI Forex john 19:40 GMT April 1, 2015
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   

UPDATED. Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format.

GVI Forex john 19:33 GMT April 1, 2015
Global-View Trading Systems

Global-View Week ahead Planning Guide for Trading

Conclusions:
ECB Policy is locked in for at least a year. EUR negative
Fed policy signals have turned mixed. In sum, the Fed is preparing the markets for an slight increase in the Fed Funds target, but is assuring markets that an policy tightening will be extremely gradual. USD positive


ALL WEEK
ECB Quantitative Ease (QE) is the dominant driver of fund flows.
Falling 2-yr German schatz driving EURUSD lower.



Fed policy is now data-dependent (inflation). Currently expansive.





Friday 2 April

Friday is a holiday in most of Europe, Canada and elsewhere. It is a shortened session in the U.S. due to the release of U.S. Februsry employment data.




Livingston nh 19:27 GMT April 1, 2015
USD/JPY
Reply   
Big wkly for JPY - the 21 ma on wkly is ~119.10 - a clean break below would be the first since the second leg of the yen move - fundamentals suggest to me a move above 122 next few days but chart looks shaky, also see GV John's 120 "official preference" level

GVI Forex Blog 18:52 GMT April 1, 2015
U.S. ADP Jobs Miss. PMI's Mixed. European PMIs Better. Far East Soft
Reply   
TOP NEWS ITEMS: AU- Trade, GB- Construction PMI, ECB Minutes, CA- Trade, US- Weekly Jobless, Trade, Factory Orders, Yellen appearance

U.S. ADP Jobs Miss. PMI's Mixed. European PMIs Better. Far East Soft

Mtl JP 18:44 GMT April 1, 2015
Ben's Dream

dc CB 16:08 / re "older illegitimate half-brother"
I will NOT click the link. I don't want to find out who thought it important to mention the "illegitimate" part.
Be it a fact or not, tacking that label onto someone says more about the crassness of person doing the tacking than the person being suchly labelled. It is beyond uncooth.
You draw your own conclusion why typed what I did.

Livingston nh 18:32 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

Trading in markets tomorrow will be more exciting than a usual Thursday - first, there is the Kick the Can negotiation with Iran which has been a small factor in oil trade - second, there is the fact that Friday has NFP and stox closed with some trading in bonds (FX would usually be quiet with markets closed in Europe and elsewhere), this NFP/Good Friday phenomenon has occurred a few times the past twenty years (back when money supply mattered NFP took a back seat) - third, where will nerves be most challenged (i.e., who leads?) commodities (oil), FI (NFP fears), stox (positioning vs Qtr buying bias), FX (geopolitical w/e, CB blather, big move based on other markets)

dc CB 17:28 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

The GDPNow model forecast for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2015 was 0.0 percent on April 1, down from 0.2 percent on March 30

Atlanta Fed

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 16:11 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

I guess it is how you look at the glass, half empty or half filled. There are reasons why the EURUSD should continue to struggle as I wrote in my newsletter. Maybe it is more like the market does not want to buy it than being long.

For me = 1.0750 = the midpoint of 1.05-1.10 so neutral and 1.0755 = 50% of 1.0457-1.1052 so close enough to use the 1.0750 level (sets the bias).

dc CB 16:08 GMT April 1, 2015
Ben's Dream

Ben Bernanke's older illegitimate half-brother has died.

"he was a great inspiration to me, and influenced my thinking more than all those years studing the Great Depresssion while at Princeton.
It was his insight into how the world really worked that gave me the confidence to do what needed to be done, when I was faced with the catastrophe of 2008"

Ben's Older "brother" dies at 78

london red 16:04 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

you just need to look at that price action if nothing else. Euro should be firmer but it often cant be until the zero sum game gets played out. they either get done or time runs out ppl panic a little and run the price. not long to nfp so london am at latest before they have to show their hand if status quo. current data to hand risk model will get most set up for weak nfp.

GVI Forex Blog 15:53 GMT April 1, 2015
Global Markets News
Reply   
Some weak US data out this morning undercut equities and sent the 10-year yield down six basis points to 1.862%.

TradeTheNews.com US Mid-Session Update: April Begins With Equity Declines

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 15:48 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

red, are you saying specs are still long from the move to 1.10+?

GVI Forex Blog 15:48 GMT April 1, 2015 Reply   
HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: AU- Trade, GB- Construction PMI, ECB Minutes, CA- Trade, Us- Weekly Jobless, Trade, Factory Orders, Yellen appearance

GVI Forex Calendar for April 2, 2015

london red 15:47 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

Imm is only part of the story. spec fx is now long after upside fed induced blow out. But it appears (data) nxt st move is higher and that can only take place when specs stops have been run and big players have moved in. These guys dont chase moves thats left the the specs.

GVI Forex john 15:46 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS



April 1, 2015 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, April 2, 2015. Updated: Trading News Events Calendar

HIGH IMPACT NEWS RELEASES: AU- Trade, GB- Construction PMI, ECB Minutes, CA- Trade, Us- Weekly Jobless, Trade, Factory Orders, Yellen appearance

  • Far East: AU- Trade
  • Europe: GB- Construction PMI, ECB Minutes
  • North America: CA- Trade, Us- Weekly Jobless, Trade, Factory Orders, Natural Gas, Yellen appearance


GVI Forex john 15:43 GMT April 1, 2015
Schedule
Reply   
April 2 Speech - Chair Janet L. Yellen
Brief Welcoming Remarks
At the Ninth Biennial Federal Reserve System Community Development Research Conference, Washington, D.C.
8:40 a.m. ET (12:40 GMT)

Doesn't sound like she will say much

Mtl JP 15:39 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

last week COT showed a huge short euro
we are wednesday one week later.
looking back over this past week at price action does that suggest a material tapering of that positioning ?

Mtl JP 15:38 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

last week COT showed a huge short euro
we are wednesday one week later.
looking back over this past week at price action does that suggest a material tapering of that positioning ?

Livingston nh 15:35 GMT April 1, 2015
EUR
Reply   
The decline of the EUR has seen a couple of periods of flat trading around 21dma - as the 21 dma flattens the trading becomes more volatile until the snap fall of the EUR resumes the trend // altho UKR and Greece linger ECB QE is still the dominant downward pressure -- as Draghi searches for sellers the big CB holders of EUR are likely prospects

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 15:27 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

red, do you really think there are spec longs? The dollar is likely more short than long.

The market has had two days to take out 1.07 and each time seemed to run into bids, presumably from those who were short. On the other side it hit a brick wall at 1.08 today.

How it trades vs. 1.08 going into and after NFP will give a clue whether there are legs to the upside as the dollar in general feels a bit heavy in a market where many are either on holiday or looking forward to the holiday break.

london red 15:11 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

I feel there is a need to clear spec longs before euro can rally a little into nfp. Zerosum. There is fib at 10725 and then 10693 stops below which may need to be run to say 10670 before a reversal back to 10750/10775 and tread water into nfp.

Paris ib 15:09 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

How you to take over a country using debt.

The playbook.

Paris ib 15:02 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

The Greeks want to continue paying there debts WITHOUT having to implement the austerity policy dreamed up by the (sadistic) Troika. They want to have some say so on how to run their domestic economy and they want to bring in policies aimed at attempting to get it growing again. They do not want this endless, destructive policy of austerity which has been imposed on them in exchange for access to the ECB banking system. They do not want to have the Troika (read stand over thugs) insist on Greece selling off all its most valuable national assets (for peanuts) to foreign investors (who the Troika represent). What they are pushing for is continued access to the whole EuroZone system without having to accept all the heavy handed neo-liberal (read fascist) economic policies that these guys are attempting to force on them.

The Troika et al, of course, are going around saying that the Greeks are just a lazy bunch of dead beats who don't want to pay their bills. That's not true. They do not deny their debts but they want to have some control over the economic policies implemented in their own country. Reasonable you might say? Well depends. If you are attempting to make Greece an 'example' to the rest of Europe (stand over men need victims in order to scare everyone else) then you wouldn't accept that point of view and you would insist on running the Greek economy from the outside, without a mandate from the Greek people and without taking into account the fact that a whole lot of the Greek debts came into being as a result of bribery and corrupt practices which implicate some of France and Germany's biggest multinationals. :-)

Control the narrative. So far the Greeks haven't really done that.

Livingston nh 15:00 GMT April 1, 2015
Ben's Dream

We are being guided by the importance of "How Many Angels Can Dance on the Head of a Pin?" (aka as the Pinhead Argument)

dc CB 14:53 GMT April 1, 2015
Ben's Dream



The Rise of Wally: Episode 7

On secular stagnation: Larry Summers responds to Ben Bernanke

Mtl JP 14:49 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

everyone including the greek has said grexit is not on the table
what other greek issue than exit d'u think ?

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:44 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

JP, Greek news whipsaw.

GVI Forex john 14:39 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts





NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: +4.800 vs. +5.500 exp vs. +9.600 prev.
Gasoline: -4.260 vs. -2.000 exp vs. -0.380 prev.
Distillates: +1.330 vs. -0.500 exp vs. -4.470 prev.
Cap/Util: 89.4% vs. n/a exp vs. 88.10% prev.




Weekly Petroleum Status Report



TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 14:34 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

gbpusd abouve the PP now 1.4850 looms

Mtl JP 14:27 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

1.864% -6.4bp after data today. EURUSD negative ?

players seem tone deaf atm, or at least something else is motivating them

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:24 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

10:21 (GR) Greece Govt official reportedly denies the reports that the country intended to delay its IMF payment assuming it did not receive funds from lenders - press

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex john 14:19 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

10-yr 1.864% -6.4bp after data today.

EURUSD negative

dc CB 14:18 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

you mean break below 1.8% ?
it's now at 1.86

Mtl JP 14:17 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

if y should help paper Gold fly

Mtl JP 14:15 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

think the 10-yr will break down 1.9% ?

dc CB 14:13 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS



Oh yeh.
Auctions next week 3s,10s, 30s...Tue thru Thur.
Just in time for the "bad numbers'

HK [email protected] 14:08 GMT April 1, 2015
Gold and Silver: Reply South Bound baby



Not on April 1. hehehe

GVI Forex john 14:08 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

ISM Mfg weaker than expected. Final Markit PMI beats. MOst weigh ISM data more heavily.

GVI Forex john 14:08 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

ISM Mfg weaker than expected. Final Markit PMI beats. MOst weigh ISM data more heavily.

HK [email protected] 14:08 GMT April 1, 2015
Gold and Silver: Reply South Bound baby



Not on April 1. hehehe

HK [email protected] 14:08 GMT April 1, 2015
Gold and Silver: Reply South Bound baby



Not on April 1. hehehe

dc CB 14:05 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

Goldman's Hatzius now sees Fed hiking at end of 2015 or start of 2016.

hahahahahahahaha
Delay that hike for another year, just like they did in 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014.

Face it They will NEVER EVER raise rates.

GVI Forex john 14:03 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

soft construction and PMI data.

GVI Forex john 14:03 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

ISM Mfg employment 50.0 vs. 51.4

GVI Forex john 14:02 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

Construction Spending February 2015

U.S. Data Charts





ALERT
-0.10% vs. -0.10% exp. vs. -1.10% (r -1.70%) prev. rev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer

Paris ib 14:00 GMT April 1, 2015
Greek alternative

We have April Fool's day. NFP tomorrow and the Easter Holiday this weekend. So anything goes I suppose. :-)

GVI Forex john 14:00 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI March 2015

U.S. Data Charts




News ALERT

51.5 vs. 52.5 exp. vs. 52.9 prev.
RELEASE: ISM Manufacturing PMI


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Bandung edco 13:58 GMT April 1, 2015
Greek alternative

hahaha...april Mob...just my humble opinion..may be now times for $ correction after stronger....

Paris ib 13:46 GMT April 1, 2015
Greek alternative

April Fool.

Twitter Account

GVI Forex john 13:45 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Markit FINAL Manufacting PMI March 2015

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
55.7 vs. 55.1 exp. vs. 55.3 prelim

Markit PMI Press Release


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Markit PMI Press Release

GVI Forex 13:39 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

09:38 (GR) Greece govt is threatening to defer payment of €450M IMF loan that is due on April 9th - Germany press
"The Greek government must repay a €450 million IMF loan on April 9th. Reportedly the Greek Minister of the Interior said that if international creditors do not release aid funds to allow Greece to repay the loan, Greece will not meet the deadline. This would be a clear violation of the IMF's Articles of Association, according to which an installment payment can not be deferred. A breach of this rule has not yet occurred in the history of the IMF."
- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex john 13:34 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

Canadian PMIs (Ivey and RBC-Markit). Market PMI remains weak.



GVI Forex john 13:31 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

Markit PMI (sa) March 2015





ALERT
48.9 vs. n/a exp. vs. 48.7 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:23 GMT April 1, 2015
Why the EURUSD Will Continue to Struggle

In the April issue:

- Why the EURUSD Will Continue to Struggle

- Video: Forex Trading Outlook for April, 2015


April Newsletter- Thoughts from the Trading Trenches

GVI Forex john 13:05 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

At the moment It looks like the positive USDJPY to S&P correlation is starting to kick in.

Perhaps also there is a positive EURUSD to S&P relation ship developing as well.

Spotforex NY 12:58 GMT April 1, 2015
Greek alternative
Reply   
Yanis Varoufakis: “Greece Will Adopt the Bitcoin If Eurogroup Doesn’t Give Us a Deal”

Mtl JP 12:52 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

track suggests that for miss over 50K, players react by 1 pip/1000 jobs-worth of total miss vs estimate.
ex.: miss by 60K = 60 pip reaction
note: usual caveats apply

Paris ib 12:50 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

That's all very well but is bad news good news, and for what? Good for equities, bad for the USD? Or is there another version of the theme in the market at the moment? FWIW IMVHO if they hike rates (once or even twice) that will be extremely negative for financial markets and ultimately for the USD and, in any case, they will probably have to reverse course or end it there. There is not enough momentum in the U.S. economy for sustained rate hikes. Hard to make the case for a trend based on monetary policy. All we have really is what the ECB and the BoJ is doing and the Greek crisis. Which are both USD positive. Direction is not being set by the FED. They have no leg room.

Mtl JP 12:48 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

d u think the lower revision of expectation to 200K might be a trap ?

GVI Forex john 12:26 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

I'm hearing initially that Friday payroll estimates are being revised lower to +200K from around +250K.

Mtl JP 12:25 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

sofar +40 pip reaction to ADP sub 50K miss
approx historical average

GVI Forex john 12:22 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

ADP Private Payrolls data weaker than forecast.

U.S. Data Charts





Click on chart for nearly 15-yr history





GVI Forex john 12:15 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. ADP Private Employment March 2015

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
189K vs. 230K exp. vs. +212K (r 214K) prev.


U.S. Data Charts

RELEASE: ADP National Employment Report®



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john 12:06 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

ADP at !2:15 GMT

expect 230K vs 215K

GVI Forex john 10:54 GMT April 1, 2015
Global-View Trading Systems

USDJPY
Bias: none 20 day avg 120.41

R2 120.60
R1 120.26 (HOD 120.33)
Pivot 120.02
S1 119.68
S2 119.44 (LOD 119.42)
S3 119.09

GVI Forex john 10:36 GMT April 1, 2015
Global-View Trading Systems

EURUSD
Bias: Slightly bearish 20-day average 1.0792

R1 1.0824 (HOD 1.0793)
Pivot 1.0769 (Neutrality?)
S1 1.0692 (LOD 1.0719)

EURUSD mid-range

GVI Forex john 10:28 GMT April 1, 2015
Global-View Trading Systems
Reply   


USD Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables.


Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading:
A Simple but Effective Trading System




HK [email protected] 10:06 GMT April 1, 2015
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On



Our friends in Dax-index, are kindly asked to manipulate German markets upward, to avoid US contagious effects to other markets.

After what happened last trading day in the US, we urgently need your help. Thanks!!!


GVI Forex john 09:48 GMT April 1, 2015
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On

Focus mainly on European shares at this hour as they rally into the start of the new quarter.

DAX now up +133 could set the tone for the day?

GVI Forex john 09:44 GMT April 1, 2015
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-On
Reply   



GVI Forex Blog 09:41 GMT April 1, 2015
European PMIs Better. Far East Soft. Key U.S. Data Awaited
Reply   
TOP NEWS ITEMS: CA- PMI, US- ADP Jobs, PMIs, Construction Spending

European PMIs Better. Far East Soft. Key U.S. Data Awaited

Paris ib 09:27 GMT April 1, 2015
AUD Staring Down a Black Hole

FWIW Outside MONTH DOWN in AUD in March 2015.

GVI Forex john 09:16 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

In general PMI data from the far east were flat to weaker. In Europe they generally improved. The Japanese Tankan Survey was soft.

GVI Forex john 09:12 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

Japan Charts

EARLIER; BOJ Tankan Survey. Expect to see weakening in three months.

GVI Forex john 08:59 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

Japan Quarterly Tankan Survey 1Q15


Japan Charts





EARLIER: News ALERT
Big Mfg +12 vs. +10 exp. vs. +12 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Hong Kong AceTrader 08:47 GMT April 1, 2015
AceTrader Apr 1: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views (EUR/USD)
Reply   
Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
01 Apr 2015 08:24GMT

EUR/USD - ...... Despite release of a slew of better-than-expected mfg PMIs from euro zone n its member countries, active cross-selling in euro kept price under pressure in European morning n price extended fall from Asian high of 1.0792 to 1.0742 b4 moving sideways.

Offers are noted at 1.0760-70 n around 1.0780 with mixture of offers n stops emerging above 1.0800. On the downside, bids are placed at 1.0730/20 n around 1.0715 with stops located just below 1.0700.

Research group Markit said on Wed that French manufacturing PMI rose to a seasonally adjusted 48.8 in Mar, from 48.2 in the preceding month, German manufacturing PMI rose to a seasonally adjusted 52.8, from 52.4 in the preceding month, and euro zone's manufacturing PMI rose to 52.2, from 51.9 in the preceding month.

GVI Forex john 08:34 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

U.K. Charts

U.K. Manufacturing PMI improves.

GVI Forex john 08:30 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

Manufacturing PMI March 2015

U.K. Charts





-- NEWS ALERT --


54.4 vs. 54.4 exp. vs. 54.4 (r. 54.0) prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john 08:29 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

Japan final PMI March 2015




EARLIER NEWS ALERT
50.3 vs. 50.4 (flash) exp. vs. 50.4 prev.

Markit PMI Press Release



TTN: Live News Special Offer



EARLIER: Final Japanese PMI. flash PMI revised down slightly...

GVI Forex john 08:25 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

Swiss PMI March 2015





Earlier Data News

47.9 vs. n/a vs. 47.6 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


EARLIER: Swiss PMI better.

GVI Forex john 08:22 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

Australian PMI better.

GVI Forex john 08:17 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

Australia PMI March 2015





Earlier News ALERT

46.3 vs. n/a exp. vs. 45.4 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john 08:15 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

China official PMIs mixed om either side of 50 expansion line.

GVI Forex john 08:12 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

China PMIs March 2015






EARLIER: China PMI's
NBS: 50.1 vs. 49.7 exp vs. 49.9 prev.
HSBC: 49.6 vs. 49.3 exp. vs. 49.2 flash


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john 08:04 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

EZ, GE and FR final Mfg PMIs. Upward revisions to data.



Charts: http://goo.gl/cMwmm1

gc sf 08:00 GMT April 1, 2015
$Yen

Kuroda says wont ease aimlessly - but will ease till targets are met and take hold.

GVI Forex john 08:00 GMT April 1, 2015
BREAKING NEWS

Final MFG PMI March 2015




ALERT

EZ- Final MFG PMI
52.2 vs. 51.9 exp. vs. 51.9 (flash)
France
48.8 vs. 48.2 exp. vs. 48.2 (flash)
Germany
52.8 vs. 52.4 exp. vs. 52.4 (flash)


Markit PMI Press Release



TTN: Live News Special Offer

gc sf 07:56 GMT April 1, 2015
AUD
Reply   
AUD market really mixed with some saying rate cut + others saying no rate cut ...

anyway Barclays released recommendation to sell AUD at current level (7615)

can't say whether it is right or wrong till next week most likely.

SaaR KaL 07:29 GMT April 1, 2015
April 2015 ranges
Reply   
on average
April ranges
Silver Gold are good shorts

EUR/USD 1.1004 1.0342
XAU/USD 1,160.9484 1,045.9645 Sell
GBP/USD 1.5131 1.4376
XAG/USD 16.5965 14.0454 Sell
EUR/JPY 134.8136 126.5004
USD/JPY 124.2708 120.2795 Buy
GBP/JPY 186.4588 174.5513
AUD/USD 0.7918 0.7516
EUR/AUD 1.4286 1.3346
AUD/CAD 0.9781 0.9405
NZD/USD 0.7863 0.7388
USD/CAD 1.2702 1.2188
CAD/JPY 100.9793 95.8744 Buy
GBP/AUD 1.9797 1.8434
NGAS 3.0735 2.5937 Buy
GBP/NZD 2.0036 1.8652
NAS100 4,653 4,331 Buy
USOil 55.15 43.35
XPD/USD 807.06 728.77 Buy
XPT/USD 1,108.07 1,010.80 Sell

Sydney ACC 06:41 GMT April 1, 2015
RBA Commodity Index
Reply   
Preliminary estimates for March indicate that the index declined by 1.7 per cent (on a monthly average basis) in SDR terms, after declining by 3.7 per cent in February (revised).

In Australian dollar terms, the index declined by 2.8 per cent in March.

Over the past year, the index has fallen by 19.7 per cent in SDR terms, largely driven by falls in the prices of bulk commodities. The index has fallen by 15.6 per cent in Australian dollar terms over the past year.

Depreciation of AUD has made only marginal difference.

GVI Forex Blog 05:13 GMT April 1, 2015 Reply   
% V 0.3% PRIOR - (AU) AUSTRALIA FEB AIG PERFORMANCE OF MANUFACTURING INDEX: 46.3 V 45.4 PRIOR (4th consecutive contraction) - (NZ) NEW ZEALAND MAR QV HOUSE PRICES: 7.7% V 6.4% PRIOR - (KR) SOUTH KOREA

TradeTheNews.com Asian Mid-session Update: China Manufacturing PMIs edge higher; Japan Tankan anemic as CapEx falls - Source TradeTheNews.com

gc sf 04:40 GMT April 1, 2015
NZD
Reply   
Dairy Auction results will be out later around 9 -10 hours from now

last results were 8-10% decline depending on product.

will obviously impact NZD.

gc sf 04:36 GMT April 1, 2015
$Yen

From Bloomberg Interview after his update was released:

Yasutoshi Nagai, Tokyo-based chief market economist at Daiwa Securities:

* Tankan was weak overall
* Could prompt expectations for BOJ to take additional easing measures
* Says confidence among Japan's large-sized manufacturers failed to improve in spite of yen weakness
* Says can't confirm any broadening in economic recovery, given worsening in sentiment among small- to medium-sized companies
* The Tankan reaffirms the view that it would be difficult for BOJ to achieve its 2% inflation target

gc sf 04:34 GMT April 1, 2015
$Yen
Reply   
From Kozo Yamamoto, a leading expert on monetary policy in Abe's ruling Liberal Democratic Party, speaking in an interview with Reuters:

* The Bank of Japan must ease monetary policy further at its rate review on April 30
* Signs of slowdown in the economy and prices
"The economy is at a standstill and prices are seen falling ahead. To do nothing isn't an option for the BOJ,"
"Further monetary easing is absolutely essential to ensure that the Japanese don't slip back to a deflationary mindset"
* BOJ ought to wait until its rate review on April 30, instead of the upcoming one on April 7-8, in acting because that is when the bank reviews its long-term economic and price forecasts.


Daiwa - says high likelihood of a BOJ Easing in its latest forecast released today.

HK [email protected] 04:32 GMT April 1, 2015
Stocks: Be ready for a Black-Sabbath.



Chief CHIEF ZULU Investment fund makes apology: may=May

HK [email protected] 04:31 GMT April 1, 2015
Stocks: Be ready for a Black-Sabbath.



You me say to sell by may. Hahahaha!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

But I today will go away.

ᅝᅝᅝᅝᅝᅝᅝᅝᅝCHIEF ZULU Investment fund.

HK [email protected] 04:25 GMT April 1, 2015
eurusd




Or.... a fun run to 1.1100 vicinity.

bali sja 04:17 GMT April 1, 2015
eurusd

agree viies, sell euro 1.07884, adding one more near 1.0820 if seen, target 1.05 again and parity

Hong Kong AceTrader 03:53 GMT April 1, 2015
AceTrader Apr 1: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views (GBP/USD)
Reply   
Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
01 Apr 2015 02:39GMT

GBP/USD - ..... Cable rebounded in tandem with the euro in Asia on Wednesday and rose from 1.4816/17 (Aust.) to 1.4867 before easing.

At the moment, stops located just above yesterday's 1.4872 high are now in focus.
However, more selling interest from various accounts is placed at 1.4890-00 with mixture of offers and stops located at 1.4920-30 and around 1.4940.

On the downside, bids are placed at 1.4840-30 and then 1.4815/10 with stops emerging below 1.4800.

Pay attention to U.K. manufacturing PMI at 08:30GMT.
Street forecast is for a slight gain to 54.4 in Mar compare to previous reading at 54.1.
If actual reading comes in better than forecast, cable may ratchet higher, just like yesterday's upward revision to 2014 Q4 U.K. GDP.



Tallinn viies 03:52 GMT April 1, 2015
eurusd
Reply   
euro is sell on bounce for me.
would be perfext to sell near 1.0820 with stops above 1,0870

dc CB 02:17 GMT April 1, 2015
Ben's Dream
Reply   
the continuing saga

The Rise of Wally. Episode 6

Syd 01:41 GMT April 1, 2015
Asian Currencies Rally After Upbeat China PMI Data DJ
Reply   
Asian currencies are stronger across the board in the wake of the better-than-expected China March manufacturing PMI data. The official gauge of the manufacturing sector performance rose to 50.1 versus expectations for a reading of 49.8, and was also higher than February's print of 49.9. A reading above 50.0 signifies expansion of the manufacturing sector. Risk-sensitive currencies such as the Malaysia ringgit, the Philippine peso, and even the typically stable Singapore dollar rallied against the greenback by varying extents. The upbeat China data could stymie hopes for further monetary-policy easing by the People's Bank of China. Some analysts are still expecting further cuts in the reserve-requirement ratio this year to bolster economic growth.

Hong Kong AceTrader 01:35 GMT April 1, 2015
AceTrader Apr 1: Intra-Day News and Views () & data to be released today
Reply   
Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views
01 Apr 2015 00:28GMT

USD/JPY - ..... Breaking news on Reuters quoting comments from BoJ official who says :
Tankan show big manufacturers, non-manufacturers see labour market conditions at tightest levels since 2008;
tankan indexes show small manufacturers, non-manufacturers see labour conditions at tightest levels since 1992.

It reported earlier confidence among big Japanese manufacturers held steady in the 3 months to March and is expected to worsen slightly ahead, a closely watched central bank survey showed, in a worrying sign for the government's efforts to boost the economy.

The headline index for big manufacturers' sentiment was unchanged from 3 months earlier at plus 12 in March, the Bank of Japan's quarterly "tankan" survey showed on Wednesday.

That compared with the median estimate of plus 14 in a Reuters poll of economists.

Big firms plan to cut capital expenditures by 1.2% in the fiscal year that starts April 1, the survey showed. Companies tend to be cautious about capital spending plans at the beginning of a new fiscal year and often revise them up as the year progresses.

The tankan's sentiment indexes are derived by subtracting the number of respondents who say conditions are poor from those who say they are good. A positive reading means optimists outnumber pessimists.

Wednesday will see the release of Japan's tankan index, Australia's building approvals, China NBS manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMI, German and eurozone manufacturing PMI, U.K. manufacturing PMI, U.S. ADP employment, ISM manufacturing and construction spending.

Phoenix IM 01:19 GMT April 1, 2015
Stocks: Be ready for a Black-Sabbath.

S&P futures down about 1% is why USDJPY fell into a hole.

dc CB 01:13 GMT April 1, 2015
Stocks: Be ready for a Black-Sabbath.

Stocks ... eh, she no looka so good

The Week That Was Oct 19-23 1987

Sat Night Live Does Wall $treet Week

GVI Forex 01:08 GMT April 1, 2015
China
Reply   
MNI: CHINA MAR CFLP MFG PMI 50.1 VS MNI MEDIAN 49.7; FEB 49.9

 




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