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Forex Forum Archive for 01/03/2016

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Sydney ACC 22:54 GMT January 3, 2016
Oil, S. Arabia, Iran, religious fanatics, etc. etc. etc.

Saudi Arabia cut diplomatic ties with Iran on Sunday and gave all Iranian diplomats 48 hours to leave the kingdom, as escalating tensions over the execution of an outspoken Shiite cleric in Saudi Arabia marked a new low in relations between the two Middle Eastern powers.

Read more:
Follow us: @smh on Twitter - sydneymorningherald on Facebook

GVI Forex Blog 22:35 GMT January 3, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: Australia PMI Weakens

Australian PMI weakens in December.

BREAKING NEWS: Australia PMI Weakens

GVI Forex john bland 22:30 GMT January 3, 2016
Australia PMI December 2015

51.9 vs. n/a exp. vs. 52.5 prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 22:22 GMT January 3, 2016
Oil, S. Arabia, Iran, religious fanatics, etc. etc. etc.

think saudi want higher oil

Israel Dil 22:16 GMT January 3, 2016
Oil, S. Arabia, Iran, religious fanatics, etc. etc. etc.
interesting start to the trading year

Mtl JP 21:59 GMT January 3, 2016
economists back Britain to stay in EU
EU membership seen as vital to UK economy - FT
FT survey shows economists backing Britain to stay in EU

Amsterdam JN 19:47 GMT January 3, 2016
Weekly Forex Forecast from R.Butko,
Forex Forecast for 4-8 January 2016

First, a review of last week�s forecast:
- despite the differences between the indicators and graphical analysis, it was suggested that EUR/USD would hold out in the range between 1.1000 and 1.0800 until the very end of 2015. The forecast panned out as the pair rose to 1.0990 on Monday and dropped to 1.0850 on 31 December 2015;
- there were differing opinions about GBP/USD as well. With that, 50% of the indicators on H4 and 83% of the indicators and graphical analysis on D1 claimed that 1.4930 would be too strong of resistance and the pair would go down to support at 1.4740. This forecast also proved 100% correct � GBP/USD went down at once and saw in the new year at 1.4733;
- the forecast for USD/JPY was multiple fluctuations in the range of 120.25-121.45. It did transpire, although the oscillations were not as large as expected � the pair bounced off the said support range a few times but never managed to get over 120.65;
- graphical analysis indicated that 0.9850 would become support for USD/CHF and the pair would move up from there to the landmark of 1.0000, which worked out 100%.

For a second week in a row, only technical and graphical analysis has been used for the forecasts as all leading analysts are still on holidays. However, the review above shows that one may do without their advice just as well � the precision of the forecasts only improves :)

Forecast for the upcoming week:
- as for EUR/USD, 90% of the indicators on H4 and D1 and graphical analysis on the daily interval confidently show that the pair will continue to fall to support at 1.0515 or somewhat further to the March low of 1.0450. At the same time, graphical analysis on H1 warns that before starting the fall, the pair can briefly rise to resistance at 1.0900;
- graphical analysis on all time frames indicates that early in the week GBP/USD should rise to 1.4800 and then by another 100-150 points. After this, the pair will move downward to last April�s low of 1.4555. However, this fall is not expected until mid-January;
- for USD/JPY, both indicators and graphical analysis on H4 imply some advantage for the bears. According to their readings, the pair will continue to move down but insignificantly � to support at 119.70. The main resistance will be 120.40;
- all indicators point upwards for USD/CHF. Graphical analysis predicts the pair will rise to 1.0070 at the start of the week and then return to the 0.9850 support level.

Roman Butko

GVI Forex john bland 00:41 GMT January 3, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 4 January 2016

December 31, 2015 ( UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Monday, January 4, 2015. Trading News Calendar

  • Far East: AU/CN/JP- PMIs
  • Europe: CH/EZ/GB- Mfg PMIs, DE- Flash HICP
  • North America: CA/US- PMIs, US- Construction Spending, COT Report

4-Jan Monday
All day-- Global Mfg PMIs
5-Jan Tuesday
08:55 DE- Employment
09:30 GB- Construction PMI
10:00 EZ- flash HICP
6-Jan Wednesday
All day-- Global Service PMIs
13:30 US- Trade
16:00 US- EIA Crude
19:00 US- Fed Minutes
7-Jan Thursday
09:00 EZ- Retail PMI
13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
8-Jan Friday
09:30 GB- Trade
13:30 US/CA- Employment
9-Jan Saturday
01:30 CN- CPI

GVI Data Calendar for 1-4 January 2016


Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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