Amman wfakhoury 21:33 GMT January 12, 2016
EUR/USD
Ternopil SMV 20:35 GMT 01/12/2016
________________________
zic zac pattern till 10885.
and we have previous confirmed level 10990
GVI Forex john bland 20:56 GMT January 12, 2016
HIGH IMPACT EVENTS
Reply
WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:
00:00 13-Jan Wednesday
02:00 CN- Trade
15:30 US- Crude
19:00 US Beige Book
14-Jan Thursday
00:30 AU- Employment
12:00 GB- Bank of England Decision
15-Jan Friday
13:30 US- Retail Sales
15:00 US- prelim University of Michigan Survey
Mtl JP 20:50 GMT January 12, 2016
Tuesday's Trading Thread
he is just aping Fischer - says four rate hikes in 2016 'in the ballpark'
dc CB 20:50 GMT January 12, 2016
DARN DARN DARN
You actually think that if it got to his desk that the O wud sign it.
Did You ever seen Django -- that Quenton Tarrantino film.
Samuel L. Jackson
Mtl JP 20:47 GMT January 12, 2016
DARN DARN DARN
Reply
�Audit the Fed� bill fails despite support from Paul, Sanders
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/audit-the-fed-bill-fails-despite-support-from-paul-sanders-2016-01-12?siteid=bigcharts&dist=bigcharts
-
so the FED gang escapes again
dc CB 20:46 GMT January 12, 2016
Tuesday's Trading Thread
.But wait but wait...how many Hikes this year? Where's the next Fed Mouth?
LACKER SAYS FED LIKELY TO NEED AT LEAST FOUR RATE RISES IN 2016
Ternopil SMV 20:35 GMT January 12, 2016
EUR/USD
Reply
Mr. wfakhoury, what is your view for eur/usd for nearest time?
Amman wfakhoury 19:58 GMT January 12, 2016
GBPUSD 14427
Amman wfakhoury 14:24 GMT 01/12/2016
14427 is return level buy below it.
______________________
Price returned to 14427
The only one in the world who confirms the next level
GVI Forex john bland 19:56 GMT January 12, 2016
Tuesday's Trading Thread
fwiw- for those keeping track we are hearing $29.93 was LOD in WTI.
Hillegom Purk 19:55 GMT January 12, 2016
eur/cad SHORTS
Last part out at 15487. another day tom...
USA ZEUS 19:42 GMT January 12, 2016
GBP/USD
USA ZEUS 18:37 GMT 01/12/2016
USA ZEUS 17:11 GMT 01/12/2016
USA ZEUS 15:51 GMT 01/12/2016
All in GBP/USD long at 1.4353 for a bounce.
Closed 1/4 for a rapid gain of + 60 pips
____________________________________________
Closed another 1/4 for a rapid + 80 pips
Lifted stops and remaining 1/2 at B/E for now.
Cheers!
_____________________________________________
Closed another 1/4 GBP/USD longs at 1.4443 for a rapid + 90 pips gain.
Cheers!
Hillegom Purk 19:26 GMT January 12, 2016
eur/cad SHORTS
1/4 out at 15508. Rest still at 15530.
Hillegom Purk 19:24 GMT January 12, 2016
eur/cad SHORTS
15535-15515 = half out. Rest at 15530
dc CB 19:20 GMT January 12, 2016
Tuesday's Trading Thread
Treas Shorts are getting slaughtered across the board. The 10Y auction!!!! 2.0X tom. 30 under 2.9 now....But wait but wait...how many Hikes this year? Where's the next Fed Mouth?
Hillegom Purk 19:18 GMT January 12, 2016
eur/cad SHORTS
I trust to add. I do this because it was the second attempt on the high. Waited long enough.
Hillegom Purk 19:17 GMT January 12, 2016
eur/cad SHORTS
Reply
first 15535 in. 157 stop for today
GVI Forex john bland 19:11 GMT January 12, 2016
Tuesday's Trading Thread
S&P follows crude lower EURUSD rises to highs of NY session
GVI Forex john bland 19:08 GMT January 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
wti touches below $30.00 ($ 29.96)
GVI Forex john bland 19:02 GMT January 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
10 of 12 regional Reserve Banks requested a Discount Rate hike in December 2015
USA ZEUS 18:37 GMT January 12, 2016
GBP/USD
USA ZEUS 17:11 GMT 01/12/2016
USA ZEUS 15:51 GMT 01/12/2016
All in GBP/USD long at 1.4353 for a bounce.
Closed 1/4 for a rapid gain of + 60 pips
____________________________________________
Closed another 1/4 for a rapid + 80 pips
Lifted stops and remaining 1/2 at B/E for now.
Cheers!
Mtl JP 18:32 GMT January 12, 2016
Tuesday's Trading Thread
just in tie
BMO stress testing oil and gas loan portfolio at $25 a barrel
Royal Bank CEO says he expects oil to start moving back towards the $50 a barrel range
Meanwhile, Royal Bank CEO Dave McKay said he expects oil to start moving back towards the $50 a barrel range � and maybe slightly above � over the next 18 months.
"It's a little softer than anybody predicted right now," McKay said.
http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/bmo-stress-testing-oil-1.3400258
-
really than anybody predicted ?
McKay obliviously not reading g-v or zh
Saar KaL 18:31 GMT January 12, 2016
12 hrs
Reply
Da next 12 hrs will be chaos
GVI Forex john bland 18:25 GMT January 12, 2016
Tuesday's Trading Thread
failure to break wti $30.00 seems to have put trading on hold. Some might feel they have an interest in holding prices here?
Mtl JP 18:21 GMT January 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Doctors go on strike in England for the first time in 40 years
Thousands of doctors have gone on strike in England as a bitter, long-running dispute with the government over pay and working hours finally came to a head.
Livingston nh 18:05 GMT January 12, 2016
STOX
That didn't take long -- Chart switched neg w/ weaker internals-- Treasurys acting like a big downmove already
Saar KaL 17:52 GMT January 12, 2016
Reversals for a long while
IMO gold will be an options Killer for 2-3 months
Just boring
a buy below 1036..but not much trend
Saar KaL 17:48 GMT January 12, 2016
Reversals for a long while
SP500 Reversal Into Feb
1900 to 1983
a Major uptrend expected
probably from Asia session today
Saar KaL 17:44 GMT January 12, 2016
GBP/USD
Fork it
I just longed...will add more lower
Saar KaL 17:43 GMT January 12, 2016
Reversals for a long while
hahah
I knew you there... LOL
I am short now BTW
for the day though
london red 17:40 GMT January 12, 2016
GBP/USD
bear trap at 76.4 fib has seen some head for exit. some more light stops on shorts if through prev intraday high at 14439. abv there is yest low at 14493 which might induce some sellers again. failing that res at 14536 will shelter stops. some bigger ones abv 146 if done will point to st bottom with spec buyers likely looking at 145 for longs with stops under todays low. that may come in tandem with dovish mpc meet - better to travel than arrive likely to appeal to them at that point if off lows.
Hillegom Purk 17:39 GMT January 12, 2016
Reversals for a long while
Messing Messing!
eur/cad, still an hour left for the new high....
short every 50 blips and one will be fine.
Saar KaL 17:36 GMT January 12, 2016
Reversals for a long while
EURCAD IMO will reverse Into March
above 1.56 is dangerous this coming 2 weeks
Feb Tgt 1.40
this year tgt 1.34
Don mess with it Purk
Saar KaL 17:31 GMT January 12, 2016
Reversals for a long while
Buying SP500 DJI and NDX after close today
IMO there is a Major north coming up the next 2 weeks
Saar KaL 17:27 GMT January 12, 2016
Reversals for a long while
will short eurgbp next day for 0.68 tgt
and only above 0.7550
Puts on the range should be cool for March/10th IMO
Livingston nh 17:12 GMT January 12, 2016
STOX
Reply
15 min SPX chart has just swung positive but internals still weak - new lo 400+ on its way to another big day
USA ZEUS 17:11 GMT January 12, 2016
GBP/USD
USA ZEUS 15:51 GMT 01/12/2016
All in GBP/USD long at 1.4353 for a bounce.
Closed 1/4 for a rapid gain of + 60 pips
Saar KaL 17:07 GMT January 12, 2016
Tuesday's Trading Thread
agree John
Below 30 is good for 40 tgt early Feb
dives into 20 after that IMO
a Major Buy at 20...tgt 100+ In 2017
GVI Forex john bland 16:59 GMT January 12, 2016
Tuesday's Trading Thread
Looking for a build in crude tomorrow of 2.50 mln. You can use the same rough estimate for API later today.
Mtl JP 16:57 GMT January 12, 2016
Tuesday's Trading Thread
After failing to stop first hike, IMF wants Fed to be cautious with second
Future Fed moves need to be based on �clear evidence� of inflation, Lagarde says
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/after-failing-to-stop-first-hike-imf-wants-fed-to-be-cautious-with-second-2016-01-12?siteid=bigcharts&dist=bigcharts
Saar KaL 16:49 GMT January 12, 2016
Reversals for a long while
Cable Longs after an hour and below 1.4350
TGT 1.45+ after close...
Fast Gain
GVI Forex john bland 16:45 GMT January 12, 2016
Tuesday's Trading Thread
wti setting up for a test of $30
$30.29 -1.12 LOD $30.11
USA ZEUS 16:11 GMT January 12, 2016
GBP/USD
Stops in to take some gains at 1.4434
Cheers!
Saar KaL 16:02 GMT January 12, 2016
Reversals for a long while
Reply
USDCAD is done for the month / Year
I think around these levels are short levels for Parity in 2017
Off Course Cable Long for 1.55+
EURGBP is done as well...for 0.68ish area
USA ZEUS 16:01 GMT January 12, 2016
GBP/USD
Take gains at your leisure.
Cheers!
USA ZEUS 15:51 GMT January 12, 2016
GBP/USD
All in GBP/USD long at 1.4353 for a bounce.
USA ZEUS 15:50 GMT January 12, 2016
GBP/USD
Reply
Long GBP/USD at 1.4357
Hillegom Purk 15:38 GMT January 12, 2016
eur/cad ranges
No mans land till 15555 now or new low. Pattern is new high. Yesterday reached fairly late so still 3 hours for that....
Livingston nh 15:35 GMT January 12, 2016
GBPUSD
Maribor thanx
HK Kwun 15:24 GMT January 12, 2016
Commodities are all weak
Sell Gold
Entry: 1104 Target: Stop: 1114
1104, 1094 sell closed all at 1084, nice
dc CB 15:20 GMT January 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. JOLTS Survey Misses Estimates
Fri's NFP: So Obama could lead off his State of the Union tonite touting Job Growth.
Hi will also be able to tout his administrations Dramatic Progress in narrowing the Wealth Gap
(rough draft, obtained from and unauthorized source)
"If you've got $2 in your pocket, today in America, you can go down to your local convienence store and BUY A CHANCE to turn that Two Dollars into $1.4 Billion. Folks in the rest of the world can't do that. Only Folks, like you, average citizens of this great nation have that opportunity."
GVI Forex john bland 15:20 GMT January 12, 2016
Tuesday's Trading Thread
wti bounce running out of steam? I see $31.15 as key support. Below could put a weight on S&P, etc.
london red 15:19 GMT January 12, 2016
GBPUSD
cable. a reversal will only be seen once it has happened. you can try to guess the low buts that will be down to luck. however there is no harm in covering on tech support the same as its makes little sense to sell at current from an r/r perspective. we have just tested the 76.4 that i discussed briefly earlier. we are oversold so if no hourly close below there and may see some folk cover. but if closes below it will draw sellers waiting to sell bounce. then while no bear trap (doesnt move back over 1470/80), can test prev low 14280. all said and done i would be surprised to not see a bounce this year towards 151-154 before below 140. most of the nearterm hedging will be done by now and when they set back the referendum then further hedging will be required given nearterm expiries wont cover the event. and of course the most important aspect is zerosum, they will want to squeeze poorly positioned shorts. all that in mind the trade has been short cable and if not already started, i would begin scaling out as we may have no more than 2 or 3 figs before bounce. then use the rally to set up fresh shorts to hold into year end.
London Chip 15:18 GMT January 12, 2016
eur/cad ranges
good call purk ...was secretly hoping it would break that raising line ...haha!
Amman wfakhoury 14:56 GMT January 12, 2016
GBPUSD 14427
I issued signal Gold will return 1080 3-4 days ago
HK RF@ 14:54 GMT January 12, 2016
GBPUSD 14427
Amman wfakhoury 14:24
How about your buy and buy and buy and buy gold recently. Total crash:(
HK RF@ 14:51 GMT January 12, 2016
GBPUSD
I suspect 1.4150 next support. Bottomless currency.
Maribor 14:35 GMT January 12, 2016
GBPUSD
nh, it is based on daily charts.
Livingston nh 14:28 GMT January 12, 2016
GBPUSD
if using charts on cable, what time frame shows reversal? -- if on fundies what changes - it seems that MPC lift-off is at least a year off, trrade is still weak (EUR/GBP level getting more positive tho)
Amman wfakhoury 14:24 GMT January 12, 2016
GBPUSD 14427
Reply
14427 is return level buy below it.
The only one in the world who confirms the next level
Saar KaL 14:20 GMT January 12, 2016
GBPUSD
agree
Cable is a buy < 1.4400 for 1.46+ in a week
Into 1.53 early Feb/1016
IMO 1.4320 is the lowest
Maribor 14:11 GMT January 12, 2016
GBPUSD
When we get above 1,4444, things will start to look more and more attractive for opening long positions. Risk/reward could be something like 1:10 (~100 pips risk: ~1000 pips reward)
London Chip 13:47 GMT January 12, 2016
eur/cad ranges
think nice possibility of lower for the day ...
london red 13:40 GMT January 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
levels to watch. yen 11805. some solid resistance there if broken will lead to a further recovery in the pair. stocks have move back off 1900 but yen likes to overshoot so could be a quick half fig if thru there. pivotal on a closing basis. cable. LT fib at 14370/82. should see an intraday bounce there. mkt is v bearish rightly so and mpc risks a 9-0 result but is st oversold and may see a bounce down there esp if doesnt bounce beforehand. worth covering shorts secured this week or a long with stop under 14350. loonie. mkt has bounced off 50hma and created a decent tail on hourly candle. if this sticks into top of hour this may be all the pullback of 14261 fib that we see. an hourly close abv 14261 will see the prev low 14310 tgted but will need oil lower to confirm. if does not then will see a bigger sell off from that 14310 than we saw off 14261.
GVI Forex john bland 13:38 GMT January 12, 2016
Tuesday's Trading Thread
DAX +238
futures
DJ +149
SP +9
10-yr
DE 0.567% +2.3bp
US 2.189% +1.5bp
GB 1.778% +3.2bp
wti $31.52 +0.11 LOD $30.41
EUR mostly lower on its crosses (up vs GBP and NZD). U.K. had lousy output data earlier today. No policy changes were (or are) expected on Thursday. No major U.S, data today.
Watch equities and crude oil.
Livingston nh 13:37 GMT January 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
jp - the practitioners of QE have failed to grasp two salient points -- What is new money? and How does it move? -- Gov't debt is pre-existing money and if it doesn't move then it can't produce anything
Mtl JP 13:31 GMT January 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
out earlier
�There is no plan B, there is only one plan,�
�If you print enough money, you will always get inflation. Always,�
Praet ECB�s top economist
-
Bottom Line
Gold is BoD with euros
HK RF@ 13:20 GMT January 12, 2016
NEGATIVE OIL PRICES.
Reply
Mr. Oil: Hi Joe! I have several millions of oil barrels stored in tanks and ships. I have to pay lots for rentals and storage fees, that on top of the banks demanding interest on loans I have with them.
Do you like to get some of my stocks?
Joe: How much will you pay me to remove your oil from your storage and ships.
Mr, Oil: I can give you 5$ per barrel to remove that trash and save me more expenses.
Joe: Sounds too expensive for me:(
Mr. Oil: Let's close the deal, where I pay you 10$ per barrel to remove that sh!t from my storage!
Joe: O.k 10$ sounds good.
And so the price of oil fell to -10$ per barrel on that day.
Or negative 10$.
Mtl JP 13:13 GMT January 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Villeroy Says ECB Can Act If Needed With Inflation Too Low
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-01-12/villeroy-says-ecb-can-act-if-needed-as-inflation-remains-too-low
HK RF@ 12:34 GMT January 12, 2016
Interesting EUR/USD Levels
Maribor 11:39 GMT
You should understand the laws of magnetic fields.
3 strong magnets are adding up to a stronger magnet than just one alone.
Or the law of "Superposition of Magnetic Fields".
So the more of magnets, the more the power of the magnetic field.
Hillegom Purk 11:53 GMT January 12, 2016
eur/cad ranges
Reply
Ok. 15400-15555 now, that is 150. Normal range 200-250.
So, yesterday we jumped up from 15299 to 155, that is the normal pattern...
What would it be nice to see 157+.
Outside day will be 153---
I will be there at the end...
Maribor 11:46 GMT January 12, 2016
GBPUSD
Reply
According to my analysis of extreme levels, GBPUSD reached high level minimum at ~1,445 (same level max is now at ~1,54) and probability to continue falling is very low.
It is time to accumulate cable...
Maribor 11:39 GMT January 12, 2016
Interesting EUR/USD Levels
USA ZEUS 09:18 GMT 01/12/2016
EUR/USD super magnets too strong to overcome-
1.0777
1.0277
0.9777
-------------------------------------
Zeus, have you overlooked illogicality in your post? :)
If rate is above first super magnet and it is too strong to overcome, than we do not need the other two... ;)
NY JM 11:23 GMT January 12, 2016
cable...
Looking at a monthly chart you have to go back to 2010 (1.42xx) and 2008 (around 1.35) to find next key levels. In any case, watch 1.45 and EURGBP .75 as clues to how weak GBP is trading.
HK RF@ 11:15 GMT January 12, 2016
E/$
Reply
UK JY 10:5
I gave my excuses in the post previous to the last.
A descending channel not necessarily bearish on monthly time frame.
UK JY 10:54 GMT January 12, 2016
E/$
RF that chart looks bearish but you have a bullish outlook?
HK RF@ 10:50 GMT January 12, 2016
E/$
Singapore SGFXTrader 06:22
Level of Res. at increasing order of time frames.
From calcu: 1.1000; 1.1100; 1.1275
Getting some ideas from the attached chart.
jkt Adhi 09:39 GMT January 12, 2016
cable...
Reply
strong supp 1.40xx next target 1.42
;))
GVI Forex john bland 09:37 GMT January 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
UK output data weaker than expected. GBP weaker vs. EUR and USD.
GVI Forex john bland 09:34 GMT January 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
UK Industrial/Manufacturing Output November 2015
U.K. Charts
-- NEWS ALERT --
Ind mm: -0.7% vs. 0.10% exp. vs. +0.10% (r 0.0%)prev.
Mfg mm: -0.40% vs. 0.00% exp. vs. -0.40% prev.
TTN: Live News Special Offer
GVI Forex john bland 09:30 GMT January 12, 2016
Tuesday's Trading Thread
Reply
DAX +116
futures
DJ -7
S&P -0.5
EUR mostly higher on its crosses (down vs. CHF)
wti $30.88, --0.54 LOD $30.41
USA ZEUS 09:18 GMT January 12, 2016
Interesting EUR/USD Levels
EUR/USD super magnets too strong to overcome-
1.0777
1.0277
0.9777
Cheers!
Paris ib 08:50 GMT January 12, 2016
Sell Everything? Buy nothing?
"Royal Bank of Scotland's disastrous.. takeover of Dutch bank ABN Amro set off a chain of events which led to its eventual collapse"
Great timing
Singapore SGFXTrader 06:37 GMT January 12, 2016
US/$
Reply
USDJPY continues the down wave movement from 123.x level since December 2015.
The pair is revisiting the 116.x level lowest touch level in 2016. 116 is a level that is rejected in August 2015. A break below 116 will put pressure on 114.3x level.
In 2016, 110 might be tested for this pair.
Singapore SGFXTrader 06:22 GMT January 12, 2016
E/$
RF,
This is a fair statement. May I know how do you determine 1.13?
I see 1.11 as the major resistance level.
1.10 is a tough nut to crack too.
HK RF@ 02:22 GMT 01/12/2016
jkt abel 03:58 GMT January 12, 2016
E/$
RF@, how about 1.21-1.27?
Hong Kong 02:37 GMT January 12, 2016
AceTrader Jan 12: Intra-day Market Moving News and Views (USD/JPY)
Reply
12 Jan 2016 02:24GMT
USD/JPY - ...... Dlr rebounded after retreating from 118.03 to 117.19 in New York session on Monday and then climbed back to 118.03 again in Asia today due partly to comments from Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan (see our prev. MMN) before retreating.
Focus of market participants for the greenback is on the speeches from Fed's Stanley Fischer, BoJ's Governor Kuroda and Fed's Lacker at 10:00GMT, 10:30GMT and 20:15GMT respectively, therefore, dlr/jpy pair is expected to continue to move sideways in Asia.
At present, bids are reported at 117.60-50 and then 117.40-30 with stops just below 117.20.
On the upside, offers are noted at 118.10-20 and around 118.30 with stops above 118.50.
HK RF@ 02:22 GMT January 12, 2016
E/$
Reply
Within two months to about 1.1300.
Bullish structure based on:
1)FOUR-Bottoming ON MONTHLY CHART at 1.0630 major long term support.
2) December was an ouTside bullish month relative to November.
3) S. Mkts may continue their decline, thus EURO shorts will be well squeezed.
Those who expect parity to the USD, may be disappointed.
HK RF@ 02:08 GMT January 12, 2016
OIL
Reply
Now targeting 28$. In not so far a future, prices of oil may be turn NEGATIVE for a time.
Meaning to say those who are ready to empty over spilling depots will be paid, to remove the excess of oil.
Let's see, hahahaha
Mtl JP 01:31 GMT January 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
almost just in time - Korea�s FinMin nominee ready to prop up the sluggish economy
Mtl JP 01:16 GMT January 12, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
China defends yuan, says betting against it is �ridiculous�
Wagers that the yuan will slump 10% or more against the dollar are �ridiculous and impossible,� a senior Chinese economic official said Monday, warning that China had a sufficient tool kit to defeat attacks on its currency.
�Attempts to sell short the renminbi will not succeed,� said Han Jun, deputy director of the office of the Central Leading Group on Financial and Economic Affairs, at a briefing at the Chinese Consulate in New York. �The expectations of markets can be changed.�
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/china-defends-yuan-says-betting-against-it-is-ridiculous-2016-01-11?siteid=bigcharts&dist=bigcharts
We are starting an affiliate program to market some of our products.