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Forex Forum Archive for 01/14/2016

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


GVI Forex Blog 21:34 GMT January 14, 2016
Global-View Trading Technologies
Reply   

USD Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables.

Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading

Global-View Trading Technologies

GVI Forex john bland 20:59 GMT January 14, 2016
Global-View Trading Technologies

I would not trust anything in USA Today.

I believe about 1-1/2 25bp rate hikes are now priced in for 2016. I will check out Fed Funds futures when I get a chance. The two-yr note yield has fallen to 0.901%. I believe it peak at around 1.09% on Dec 28.

nw kw 20:41 GMT January 14, 2016
Global-View Trading Technologies

I did see usa yield curve tuning flat indicating fed hikes are priced in. if you have a take on this , tks.

GVI Forex john bland 20:36 GMT January 14, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 15 January 2016

January 14, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, January 15, 2016. Trading News Calendar

  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: No Major Data
  • North America: US- Retail Sales, PPI, Empire PMI, Indudstrial Production, Business Inventories, Preliminary University of Michigan Survey, B-H Rig count, COT Report

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

15-Jan Friday
13:30 US- Retail Sales
15:00 US- prelim University of Michigan Survey

18-Jan Monday
00:00 US- Holiday
19-Jan Tuesday
02:00 CN- GDP
09:30 GB- CPI
10:00 DE- ZEW Survey
21:45 NZ- CPI
20-Jan Wednesday
09:30 GB- Employment
13:30 US- CPI
13:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
15:00 US- BOC Decision
21-Jan Thursday
10:00 EZ- final HICP
12:45 EZ- ECB Decision
16:00 US- Weekly Crude
22-Jan Friday
All Day flash PMIs
09:30 GB- Retail Sales
13:30 CA- Retail Sales
13:30 CA- CPI

GVI Data Calendar for 15 January 2016

GVI Forex Blog 20:35 GMT January 14, 2016
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   

 

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database

GVI Forex john bland 20:12 GMT January 14, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

CNBC: GS to lay-off 10% of fixed income traders

Mtl JP 20:09 GMT January 14, 2016
Global-View Trading Technologies

2014 Toronto S&P/TSX Composite index high 15619.10
currently 12291.70 --- a 21% decline
IE a bear market

GVI Forex Blog 19:58 GMT January 14, 2016
Global-View Trading Technologies
Reply   

How USDSCAD is driven by two-year spread.

Global-View Trading Technologies

london red 19:57 GMT January 14, 2016
Thursday's Trading Thread

stock rally may run out of steam near 1939 (or about 1931/32 on the spoos), while anything abv 1942 is probably going to see a test of 1954 (47 spoos).

nw kw 19:55 GMT January 14, 2016
PREVIEW: Bank of Canada Next Wednesday

cad oil pit uses the math of cad moves .51 to oil, if oil down 10% cad down 5%. gl.

GVI Forex Blog 19:48 GMT January 14, 2016
PREVIEW: Bank of Canada Next Wednesday
Reply   

Note in two year note how market has been pricing in a 25bp rate cut next Wednesday. This has been a chronic source of CAD weakness.

PREVIEW: Bank of Canada Next Wednesday

GVI Forex Blog 18:53 GMT January 14, 2016
Perfect EURUSD technicals
Reply   

EURUSD played out exactly how the technicals determined it to today! The Link below is a full explanation of my analysis.

Perfect EURUSD technicals

nw kw 18:39 GMT January 14, 2016
Oil to 27.5$ seems obvious.

cad tse to out perform s&p this year. still big usd shorting tse so add dividends like last time kill the shorts.

Mtl JP 18:38 GMT January 14, 2016
EXCLUSIVE: GVI PMI Analysis

john - The median forecast of four hikes still seems “about right,” - Bullard
-
u can try trading with or against it

GVI Forex Blog 18:36 GMT January 14, 2016
EXCLUSIVE: GVI PMI Analysis of Commodity Currencies
Reply   

For the Commodity currencies (+ China). Three month moving averages of Mfg PMI data. On balance, over the past two years trends are clearly tilted down, especially for the U.S. (blue). Only Australia may have bottomed out from extreme weakness.

EXCLUSIVE: GVI PMI Analysis of Commodity Currencies

HK [email protected] 18:33 GMT January 14, 2016
EXCLUSIVE: GVI PMI Analysis



Yes she really looks like Tinker Bell.

HK [email protected] 18:28 GMT January 14, 2016
Oil to 27.5$ seems obvious.
Reply   
.

dc CB 18:20 GMT January 14, 2016
EXCLUSIVE: GVI PMI Analysis



Does a Goldfish know that it's living in a bowl?

Mtl JP 18:15 GMT January 14, 2016
EXCLUSIVE: GVI PMI Analysis

would ever hear

Mtl JP 18:15 GMT January 14, 2016
EXCLUSIVE: GVI PMI Analysis

john do you believe would hear Yellen say I see bubble(s)

GVI Forex john bland 17:18 GMT January 14, 2016
EXCLUSIVE: GVI PMI Analysis

If the PMI data have any credibility at all, how can the Fed even be considering additional rate hikes?

GVI Forex Blog 17:15 GMT January 14, 2016
EXCLUSIVE: GVI PMI Analysis
Reply   

Here is a comparative PMI Manufacturing chart I keep. I use three month moving averages to smooth the lines. I use Mfg data because it tends to lead the economy. On balance, over the past two years trends are mostly tilted down, especially in the U.S. (blue). U.K. has turned mixed. The EZ is about dead flat and Japan might be improving. 

EXCLUSIVE: GVI PMI Analysis

dc CB 16:48 GMT January 14, 2016
Thursday's Trading Thread

Bullard's Bottom II
staring Bruce Willis as Bullard.

Film review: 'brilliant'
Telegraph.co.uk‎ - 3 hours ago
Bruce Willis had swagger and charisma

If This Was 2016's "Bullard Sticksave" Moment, Here Is What Happens Next

GVI Forex john bland 16:37 GMT January 14, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

not much of a response in crude.

GVI Forex john bland 16:35 GMT January 14, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Major Libyan pipeline hit by explosion --TTN

Mtl JP 16:28 GMT January 14, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Panic has returned to the markets, says Credit Suisse
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/panic-has-returned-to-the-markets-says-credit-suisse-2016-01-14?siteid=bigcharts&dist=bigcharts

london red 16:19 GMT January 14, 2016
Thursday's Trading Thread

about 70/75% priced in. i dont think it should be anyway as much as that personally though i would buy the dip that would follow. if they do cut mkt will look for more so i doubt there will be too much downside as folk will look for boc to stay dovish.

Amman wfakhoury 16:06 GMT January 14, 2016
EURUSD
Reply   
This signal issued in the morning
EURUSD 10830 confirmed 10868 return.

GVI Forex john bland 16:06 GMT January 14, 2016
Thursday's Trading Thread

It seems that almost everyone is calling for a rate cut by the Bank of Canada next Wednesday (Jan 20). Must be priced into CAD by now?

Amman wfakhoury 16:03 GMT January 14, 2016
EUR/USD

Amman wfakhoury 21:47 GMT 01/13/2016
Amman wfakhoury 21:02 GMT 01/13/2016
________________________
zic zac pattern till 10885.
and we have previous confirmed level 10990
______________________
10886 reached the first target.
Possibly decline to 10830 b4 going up.
___________________________________
Declined to 10830 b4 it goes up to 10990

GVI Forex john bland 16:03 GMT January 14, 2016
Thursday's Trading Thread

EUR trading weaker at the moment on all its key crosses.

dc CB 15:42 GMT January 14, 2016
Thursday's Trading Thread

Bullard (now that he can vote) wants to maintain his franchise.

COMING SOON to a Theater Near You!!!!
BULLARD'S BOTTOM II.


*BULLARD: HAVE TO HIT A BOTTOM ON OIL PRICES 'SOMETIME'

NY JM 15:36 GMT January 14, 2016
Thursday's Trading Thread

Stocks up and leading the way... look no further

GVI Forex john bland 15:30 GMT January 14, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

US EIA Weekly Natural Gas Inventories (bcf)

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
-168 vs. -178 exp vs. -113 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john bland 15:12 GMT January 14, 2016
Thursday's Trading Thread

10-yr
US 2.062% -3.2bp
GB 1.689% -7.5bp
DE 0.494% -1.0bp

GVI Forex 14:58 GMT January 14, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

09:56 (US) Fed's Bullard (hawk; FOMC voter in 2016): does not see much more appreciation in dollar going forward - Q&A
- expects divergence in monetary policy between US and Europe has been priced in- should help curb further increases in value of the dollar
- does expect some problems in parts of oil market related to decline in oil prices

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex john bland 14:57 GMT January 14, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Bullard:
-- does not see much more appreciation of the dollar in 2016

HK Kwun 14:46 GMT January 14, 2016
Still prefer sell
Reply   
Sell Gold
Entry: 1086 Target: Stop: 1096

sell again

dc CB 14:43 GMT January 14, 2016
Thursday's Trading Thread

Interesting tweet from NANEX. Re: Citadel (yes Ben Bernanke's shop)

(fyi: IEX is a fair, simple and transparent market center dedicated to investor protection. IEX is the first buyside owned venue, and IEX was the first Alternative Trading System ("ATS") to publicly publish its Form ATS, demonstrating its commitment to transparency. IEX is currently seeking SEC approval to become a registered national securities exchange.
IEX is a dark pool, more formally known as an alternative trading system, based in the United States. Started by Brad Katsuyama, it opened for its first day of trading on October 25, 2013)

Citadel had 3 meetings with SEC (one with the chair) about IEX in just the last week!

london red 14:33 GMT January 14, 2016
Thursday's Trading Thread

that 195 level would be back up to the neck or thereabouts of the mini shs. squinting at your chart they many want to squeeze sellers of ma cross too.
maybe an indicator for others to go by put stocks usually dont go down as far as i expect them to so i average long s&p calls only a handful of times a year and its always on a strong sell off intraday. in any case thats my play i expect i will miss out or make the long call. i doubt janet wont have my back.

GVI Forex Blog 14:31 GMT January 14, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 15 January 2016
Reply   

January 14, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Friday, January 15, 2016. Trading News Calendar

  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: No Major Data
  • North America: US- Retail Sales, PPI, Empire PMI, Indudstrial Production, Business Inventories, Preliminary University of Michigan Survey, B-H Rig count, COT Report

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

15-Jan Friday
13:30 US- Retail Sales
15:00 US- prelim University of Michigan Survey

18-Jan Monday
00:00 US- Holiday
19-Jan Tuesday
02:00 CN- GDP
09:30 GB- CPI
10:00 DE- ZEW Survey
21:45 NZ- CPI
20-Jan Wednesday
09:30 GB- Employment
13:30 US- CPI
13:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
15:00 US- BOC Decision
21-Jan Thursday
10:00 EZ- final HICP
12:45 EZ- ECB Decision
16:00 US- Weekly Crude
22-Jan Friday
All Day flash PMIs
09:30 GB- Retail Sales
13:30 CA- Retail Sales 13:30 CA- CPI

GVI Data Calendar for 15 January 2016

dc CB 14:24 GMT January 14, 2016
Thursday's Trading Thread



red...30Y at 1PM. Last in Dec went for 2.978%. currently 2.867.
OPEX: SPY has PUTS 181,000 at 190 and 189K at 195. Nearest over 100K OI in the CALLS is at 195 with 110,000. all the other near strikes are below 40K.

So 195 is the magnet for Stabilization into Fri afternoon. whether that works is another story. See how it goes after they sell that $13bln in 30s.

Next week then down ??? But Monday Stocks are Closed

MLK Sched

GVI Forex john bland 14:20 GMT January 14, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

St. Louis Fed President Bullard
-- Inflation expectations becoming worrisome
-- low oil prices bullish for economy

GVI Forex Blog 14:15 GMT January 14, 2016
Three Most Crowded Trades to Start 2016 Come Under Fire
Reply   

This post on the Global-View.com Forex Forum caught my attention and as the table below shows, the year has started out with a squeeze on the crowded trades. 

GVI Forex  11:09 GMT January 6, 2016
Wien: Three Crowded Trades For 2016:  
Yesterday on CNBC Byron Wien's list of 10 surprises for the new year.

1) Higher USD
2) Higher Oil Prices
3) Higher U.S. interest rates

A look at the following table shows how his crowded trades for 2016 have so far played out.

Three Most Crowded Trades to Start 2016 Come Under Fire

GVI Forex Blog 14:00 GMT January 14, 2016
Forex Trading Updates
Reply   

Morning overview from the majors published every morning before 7 a.m from Professional Forex Fund in Moorgate, London. 

Any comments are warmly recieved

 

Henry

 

Forex Trading Updates

london red 13:51 GMT January 14, 2016
Thursday's Trading Thread

CB, waiting for 1843 intraday spike today/tomorrow. looking at 1850 1 wk calls there, unless they front run from high 50's/low 60's first to 1900 first.

GVI Forex john bland 13:40 GMT January 14, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Higher

This is the first time I can recall making a comment on the trend in weekly jobless claims rising. My focus is always on the four-week moving average (red line) an early harbinger of an economic slowdown?

GVI Forex Blog 13:37 GMT January 14, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Higher
Reply   

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims starting to work higher?

<Click on chart for over twelve-year history

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Higher

Mtl JP 13:37 GMT January 14, 2016
Thursday's Trading Thread

Bullard yaks in 40 mins

GVI Forex john bland 13:31 GMT January 14, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Import Prices December 2015

U.S. Data Charts




NEWS ALERT
-1.20% vs. -1.50% exp. vs. -0.40% (r ) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john bland 13:30 GMT January 14, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims

U.S. Data Charts





NEWS ALERT

Initial Claims (000)
284K vs. 275K exp. vs. 277K prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

dc CB 13:26 GMT January 14, 2016
Thursday's Trading Thread



SToX oversold

NYMO chart

NAMO

Hillegom Purk 13:25 GMT January 14, 2016
Soldiers are meant to die too!

LOL St!

GVI Forex Blog 13:20 GMT January 14, 2016
Global-View Trading Technologies
Reply   

Global-View Trading Technologies

dc CB 13:16 GMT January 14, 2016
Thursday's Trading Thread

JPM reported. Stock up over $1 in preMarket.
JPM's balance sheet $2.352 trillion, down $221 billion from a year ago.
JPM increased in loan reserve by $89 million to $13.555 billion.
"Credit costs of $81mm primarily reflecting higher reserves driven by Oil & Gas" within the IB group and a "reserve build of ~$100mm driven by $60mm in Oil & Gas and $26mm in Metals & Mining"
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Goldman SEZ: Abby Joseph Cohen, president of Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s Global Markets Institute.

The fair value for Standard & Poor’s 500 Index is 2,10011% Upside in S&P 500 After an `Emotional' Selloff. “We need to put things into perspective. Stocks are probably the best place to be.”

11% Upside in S&P 500 After an `Emotional' Selloff

GVI Forex 13:08 GMT January 14, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

07:30 *(EU) ECB DEC MINUTES: 10bps cut in Deposit Rate seen as leaving room for more policy action; action seen to ensure price stability
- Reiterates view that monetary policy to remain accommodative for as long as necessary
- Risk on inaction clearly outweighed risk of no action
- Reiterates prepared to act using all instruments within mandate
- Possible downward drift in EU Harmonized CPI (HICP) expectations hard to reverse
- Council not unduly influenced by market expectations
- Some members sought a more aggressive cut of 20bps
- Others members concerned about side effects of a cut over 10bps
- Some members did not support policy change or would only support limited adjustments
- Option of expanding monthly purchases by more than 6 months and frontloading raised
- To review technical parameters in spring 2016

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Belgrade TD 13:08 GMT January 14, 2016
Soldiers are meant to die too!

there is a procedure for such a situation ... and this procedure has been respected ... start a war because of the errors is insane ... situation is resolved diplomatically without unnecessary casualties as it should be ...

London SFH 13:07 GMT January 14, 2016
Soldiers are meant to die too!

Incident ended peacefully-thats the main thing..

HK [email protected] 13:02 GMT January 14, 2016
Soldiers are meant to die too!



American forces have enough hardware to take action in such a cases and rescue their soldiers, and fight it out successfully with the Iranians.

A mistake is not an excuse to let soldiers captured, and the whole US forces humiliated.

And with those gay policy makers, some more of this kind to come as such behavior invites more.

As said:"A hero dies once, but a coward, dies many times"


Belgrade TD 12:41 GMT January 14, 2016
Soldiers are meant to die too!

Iran's Revolutionary Guards announced that American sailors freed after it was determined that they were not deliberately entered into Iranian waters ... If Turkey can bring down a Russian plane, why Iran can't stop the American ship ... and what humiliation ? ... soldiers are not meant to die for stupid mistake!

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:35 GMT January 14, 2016
eurusd

As posted on GVIForex

EURUSD
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:10 GMT 01/14/2016 - My Profile
Would need an hourly close above 1.0942 to suggest a risk for the 1.0970 high. HOD 1.0943

Otherwise EURUSD remains more cross than USD driven and why convictions are fragile.

GBP getting some relief from the MPC but nothing new there that I can see except some disappointment that the vote was still 8-1

london red 12:33 GMT January 14, 2016
eurusd

adding to what viies said, re options, from what i see there is a lot of downside cover which is making progress to the downside difficult for euro. topside is less covered particularly next week. this week there a bit 110-111 so its unlikely we move abv there this week but next week almost nothing abv 110 relatively speaking.

GVI Forex john bland 12:33 GMT January 14, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

European Central Bank (ECB) Minutes for December 2015




NEWS ALERT

Some members wanted a more aggressive rate cut. Others worried about rate cut side-effects
ECB



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john bland 12:18 GMT January 14, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

"The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) sets monetary policy in order to meet the 2% inflation target and in a way that helps to sustain growth and employment. At its meeting ending on 13 January 2016, the MPC voted by a majority of 8-1 to maintain Bank Rate at 0.5%. The Committee voted unanimously to maintain the stock of purchased assets financed by the issuance of central bank reserves at £375 billion, and so to re-invest the £8.4 billion of cash flows associated with the redemption of the January 2016 gilt held in the Asset Purchase Facility."

Bank of England maintains Bank Rate at 0.5% and the size of the Asset Purchase Programme at £375 billion

HK [email protected] 12:14 GMT January 14, 2016
Soldiers are meant to die too!
Reply   


After the humiliating surrender of the American soldiers to Iranian navy forces, the image of the US as a super power is badly dented.

US regressive gay defense policy, preferring to get an Iranian dick in their behind, rather than fighting it out, is part of the cause of the coming demise of the USD!!!

HK [email protected] 12:04 GMT January 14, 2016
Euro for a break-neck of an inverted H&S.
Reply   
.

GVI Forex john bland 12:02 GMT January 14, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Only mild surprise vote for no policy change was sill not unanimous

GVI Forex john bland 12:00 GMT January 14, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

January 2016 Bank of England Policy Decision







-- NEWS ALERT --

Policy Unchanged (repo rate 0.50%)
Asset Purchases unch @ GBP 375 bln v. GBP 375 bn

Rates:Tighten = 1 Unchanged =8 Ease =0

Bank of England




TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:42 GMT January 14, 2016
Max McKegg's FX Forecasts for Thursday



Max has kindly provided us with his FX Forecasts for Thursday, both short and medium term. Click below

Max McKegg's FX Forecasts for Thursday

GVI Forex john bland 11:26 GMT January 14, 2016
HIGH IMPACT EVENTS
Reply   
WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

14-Jan Thursday
00:30 AU- Employment
12:00 GB- Bank of England Decision
15-Jan Friday
13:30 US- Retail Sales
15:00 US- prelim University of Michigan Survey

Tallinn viies 11:26 GMT January 14, 2016
eurusd
Reply   
I think january lows has been made on brent crude.
possibilities to see bounce up to 34,00 which is more than 10% up from here.
brent will bring along eurusd.
I have been many months bearish on euro but now I see possibility that sharks may start stop hunt soon. because important levels very close.
backround of the moves comes mostly from expectations regarding ECB and FED moves...
Current scenario which is prevailing that ECB has still need to cut rates further as lower oil doesnt help to fullfill 2% inflation target.
other prevailing view is that FED mentioned they gonna hike rate 4 times this year.
Last weeks people starting to question those prevailing expectations. More likely that ECB will not lower rates anytime soon and FED will hike but maybe only 2 times per year. So eurusd rate needs to reprice based on changed outlook.
Euro short positions on IMM still very big 156K contracts. there is room for stup hunt. last year in january IMM short were approx 220k contracts. eurusd were at that 1,05. then in august when euro traded for a day at 1,17 the IMM chorts were appr 60k contracts. basically 1200 points move on eurusd ment approx 160k contracts. if to look current IMM short positions then those shorts (156k contracts) has been built with eurusd move from 1,1450 to 1,0550. let say average rate is 1,1000.

those short position built up from august 2015 till now. currently euro is trading near 1,09 and for unknown reasons for me can not go lower altough brent is down 30% from the highs of the january.

So for me things starting to look bit shaky if euro will be able to move above december top which is 1,1060. if stop hunt starts then 1,17 may come very quickly. just because there are too many short positions with average price too close to current market prices. last year when 160k short contracts were covered euro moved 1200 points. why not this time?
so as long as 1,1060 holds Im following my base scenario that euro may move down to parity but if 1,1060 key resistance taken I will treat january lows as yearly lows for 2016.
better to use opitions to covered upside risks but of course it can be done with spot and decent money management also.
cheers

london red 10:46 GMT January 14, 2016
mpc

daily cable straddle about 65 pips so initial sup/res.

london red 10:27 GMT January 14, 2016
mpc

eurgbp. 7606 is 100dma 7637 is 38.2 of 69/88. monthly close abv here points to 7740 the 50% and 7764, the prev low. youd expect some strong selling interest up there and at least a return to 7469/7500.

london red 10:23 GMT January 14, 2016
mpc
Reply   
just a word to flash headlines from boe. gbp selling into meet as expected given talk of the mac running off with tail between his legs and giving up his 25bps increase bias. if he doesnt rates may stay at 8-1 and gbp likely gets a brief relief rally (the old chestnut that is travel/arrive). but take care to look past just the vote and check that some space cadet hasnt gone for a cut at the same time. this would still leave an 8-1 ratio but obviously would be highly bearish and see gbp dumped like never before. i doubt the mkt will get confused by such an outcome but its possible that it flashes higher on 8-1 print but then crashes if someone did indeed vote for cut as well as mac going back to 0 from +25.

Hillegom Purk 09:59 GMT January 14, 2016
eur/cad SHORTS

Hmm 15569-15744, it did happen... range 170. 80-120 to go or boring day and Friday all the fun.
Keep on gtrading the 60-100 rallies, UP and DOWN!!!!

london red 09:59 GMT January 14, 2016
Money not too tight to mention

I dont know Martin each to his own. every $ i make is a $ out an IB's pocket. I use a trading exchange so trade when i want at the price i want (thats important), but apart from that no paid reserach or flows. so thats the satisfaction. these days im cutting back as real investment and family take up more and more time.
As for that other thing, it was a bet i made a couple of years ago to prove a point. if i did it i had to write a book. but i really dont have the patience or time to do it tbh. this was all done at a bucket as well, no fancy flows or ebs.

NY DSP 09:54 GMT January 14, 2016
USD-CAD
Reply   
Sell USDCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

Dont go for canadian dollar after the recent fall. The analyst are predicting a multiple dollar forecast including USD.

Dave

GVI Forex john bland 09:45 GMT January 14, 2016
Thursday's Trading Thread

DAX -171

DJ +58
SP +5

European equities catching up with afternoon declines in U.S. markets on Wednesday.

EUR broadly up on its crosses at this hour.

london red 09:45 GMT January 14, 2016
euro

107/10990

london red 09:44 GMT January 14, 2016
euro

yes euro got a boost from ecb news. failed at 61.8 of 105/117 at 10939. needs hourly close abv there to renew upside. almost certainly folk sold into this rally as spoos not too bad yet. some covering trades likely at 109 108. below there todays low is 50% of 107/10970 so added significance. light data so likely to take risk from stocks.

GVI Forex Blog 09:37 GMT January 14, 2016
Global-View Trading Technologies
Reply   

Global-View Trading Technologies

Belgrade TD 09:33 GMT January 14, 2016
Daily TA trade

I hope this does not violate forum rules ... for years I use these two services, tips and recommendations ... I'm not in any way associated with them, so this is absolutely just a share of my experience ... so, Jim Robinson with personal newsletters and Bottarelli Research with tips ... no links, google it ... its stock/futures/options/fx service ...
if this is against rules, Jim/John, please delete ...

GVI Forex john bland 09:31 GMT January 14, 2016
euro

Report: ECB's Weidmann said five members voted against the Dec 3 10bp cut in the deposit rate to -0.30%.
-- TTN

GVI Forex Blog 09:27 GMT January 14, 2016
Global-View Trading Technologies
Reply   

USD Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables.

Global-View Trading Technologies

Amman wfakhoury 09:19 GMT January 14, 2016
AUDUSD 0.6932 confirmed

Amman wfakhoury 06:40 GMT 01/14/2016
My last Gold signal 1088 confirmed.
_________________
1088 reached

Belgrade TD 09:15 GMT January 14, 2016
Daily TA trade

Belgrade TD 19:10 GMT January 13, 2016
~0.696 ... out 1/3 short AUD/USD from ~0.701 ... stop at BE
###
another 1/3 out 0.6916 ... stop ~0.698 (PP) for rest

GVI Forex 09:12 GMT January 14, 2016
euro

Not sure when this came out but may have caused the spike up?

Exclusive - many on ECB governing Council sceptical about need for further policy action in near term
Source: FxWire Pro - Central Bank

Gold Coast Martin 09:09 GMT January 14, 2016
Money not too tight to mention
Reply   
london red 07:52 GMT 01/14/2016
Red.
The worlds most successful traders do not think about how much money they make on trade/s. They think and live for the moment when they place the trade. The money just follows naturally and is a by-product of that moment.

kl shawn 09:04 GMT January 14, 2016
euro
Reply   
euro is heading to 1.0977?

GVI Forex john bland 09:01 GMT January 14, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

German GDP 4Q15




Earlier NEWS Release

yy: +1.70% vs. +1.70% exp vs. +1.70% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

jkt abel 09:01 GMT January 14, 2016
He made profit 98%

the master is on different level, very professional, should treat mini or standard account the same, a real trader ;)

GVI Forex Blog 08:59 GMT January 14, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: Australia Jobs In Line
Reply   

EARLIER: December Employment data in line with forecasts.

BREAKING NEWS: Australia Jobs In Line

Belgrade TD 08:56 GMT January 14, 2016
He made profit 98%

jkt abel 08:40 GMT 01/14/2016
Why would I do that? ... I also have a mini account and I know that psychology of trading is not the same for mini and standard ... for example, if it goes wrong, I can tolerate minus 200pips on mini acc without problems and add more for avg price, its just a few bucks ... to repeat that on standard account - no way :)

GVI Forex john bland 08:54 GMT January 14, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Australia Employment December 2015




-- EARLIER NEWS --
Employment: -1.0 vs. -10.0K exp. vs. +74.1K (r +75.0 K) prev.
Rate: 5.80% vs. 5.90% exp. vs. 5.80% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

abs,gov.au


jkt abel 08:40 GMT January 14, 2016
He made profit 98%

TD, you dare belittling the master?

Belgrade TD 08:30 GMT January 14, 2016
He made profit 98%

on "small" accounts, up to a few thousand dollars, is much, much easier to make a xx% ... but its not so easy in standard acc ... there are many reasons for this ... anyway 98% is respectable ...

jkt abel 08:17 GMT January 14, 2016
He made profit 98%

no risk? wow!

Hillegom Purk 08:15 GMT January 14, 2016
He made profit 98%

10-20% ego?

Amman wfakhoury 08:02 GMT January 14, 2016
He made profit 98%

london red 07:52 GMT 01/14/2016
____________________________-
Actually I am working on 10-20% monthly with no risk .

Hillegom Purk 08:02 GMT January 14, 2016
eur/cad SHORTS

Right, still a slot machine trading it both ways accordong to the rules of Chip...
Yesterday 15330-15670 = 340....
So today normal day would be 155-15750...
Of course this will not happen. If you THINK you have a gold mine, than you must go back to the basics. Will see what happens, and act accordingly...
Anything under 155 is a gift!

london red 07:52 GMT January 14, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

euro. will need a fall from stocks today or downside is a given. abv 10905/07 and the squeeze is on to tgt 10950/70. on downside sups at 10840/44 then 10820. stops likely likely below fig and also belo 50% of 105xx/110xx and also cloud base 83-88 key zone. below there no coming back today.

not bad return wakfhoury. but try turning 1000 into 100,000 in less than 3 years. as a side bet. i agreed to write a book if i did it. now thats the real challenge.

Amman wfakhoury 07:32 GMT January 14, 2016
He made profit 98%
Reply   
This guy made profit 2574 $ for his 2623$ acc from 12/14/2015-01/14/2016

Amman wfakhoury 07:15 GMT January 14, 2016
He traded accordingly
Reply   


Last night I gave him
EURUSD return level 10868
US oil return 30.53

He traded accordingly

hillegom Purk 06:59 GMT January 14, 2016
eur/cad SHORTS

15599 also out. Overnight new high. Ain't seen nothing yet.

Amman wfakhoury 06:42 GMT January 14, 2016
AUDUSD 0.6932 confirmed

.6932 reached


The only one in the world who confirms the next level


HK Kwun 06:42 GMT January 14, 2016
AUDUSD 0.6932 confirmed

thx wfakhoury master, downside is only 4 dollars

Amman wfakhoury 06:40 GMT January 14, 2016
AUDUSD 0.6932 confirmed

My last Gold signal 1088 confirmed.

jkt abel 05:12 GMT January 14, 2016
terrorist attack in Jakarta
Reply   
bomb and shooting at central Jakarta CBD and police station

HK Kwun 04:24 GMT January 14, 2016
3rd day to sell gold

Sell Gold
Entry: 1084.5 Target: Stop: 1095

this one is SL, stock market tumble caused me loss

HK Kwun 04:23 GMT January 14, 2016
AUDUSD 0.6932 confirmed

wfakhoury master, any view on gold? many thx

Hong Kong 02:00 GMT January 14, 2016
AceTrader Jan 14: Intra-day Market Moving News and Views (USD/JPY)
Reply   
14 Jan 2016 01:47GMT

USD/JPY - ..... A sea of red is seen among Asia equity markets as o/n selloff in U.S. stocks triggered fresh wave of selling with the Nikkie leading the way and tumbled 4% shortly after the open on Thursday, so the Japanese yen and also the euro were bought as risk aversion trade whilst investors shunned risky currencies like aud, nzd and cad with the loonie falling again vs the usd in Asia to another fresh 12-year low of 1.4383.

Offers are tipped at 117.70/80 and more at 118.00/10, some bids are noted at 117.30-10 are with stops touted below 117.00, however, there is market chatter of fairly large stops below Monday's 4-1/2 month bottom at 116.69, suggesting selling dlr on intra-day recovery is the way to go.

Despite PBOC setting yuan's mid-point rate at 6.5616 (previous close at 6.5743), current offshore USD/CNH has currently jumped to 6.5000, suggesting dlr would remain under pressure vs the yen in Asian session.

GVI Forex 01:10 GMT January 14, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

19:30 *(AU) AUSTRALIA DEC EMPLOYMENT CHANGE: -1.0K (first decline in 3 months and largest decline in 8 months) V -10.0KE;
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE: 5.8% V 5.9%E
- Participation Rate Rate: 65.1% v 65.2%e
- Full-Time Employment Change: 17.6K v +41.6K prior
- Part-Time Employment Change: -18.5K v +29.7K prior
- Hours Worked: +0.3M v -13.0M prior
- Prior employment change revised higher from +71.4K to +74.9K

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Livingston nh 01:07 GMT January 14, 2016
Brent

Agree on everything but democratic governance -- socialism, do gooder, and fairness (whatever that is perceived to be) is the inevitable outcome of democracy -- capitalism is doomed in a modern democracy

Mtl JP 00:40 GMT January 14, 2016
Brent

nh - to save time typing I borrow fro Stockman

the only real value of Fischer’s pretentious bloviation was that it was a reminder that the financial system of the world is in thrall to a tiny, insuperably arrogant posse of Keynesian academics who have invented from whole cloth a monetary theory of plenary control. They have effectively ended free market capitalism in the financial system and beyond and made democratic fiscal governance essentially irrelevant.

http://davidstockmanscontracorner.com/stanley-fischer-speaks-airballs-from-a-dangerous-academic-fool/
--
aud on the move south- China crapping already?

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 00:17 GMT January 14, 2016
Max McKegg's FX Forecasts for Thursday
Reply   



Max has kindly provided us with his FX Forecasts for Thursday, both short and medium term. Click below

Max McKegg's FX Forecasts for Thursday

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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