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Forex Forum Archive for 01/20/2016

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Mtl JP 23:33 GMT January 20, 2016
Trades now

aud 6938 would be 3x top
views hence appreciated

hillegom Purk 23:29 GMT January 20, 2016
Trades now

Yes Dil.

Mtl JP 23:17 GMT January 20, 2016
MONEY

dc CB your last sentence reminded me of yellen's October 9, 2013 3) We can and must safeguard the financial system assertion

dc CB 23:11 GMT January 20, 2016
MONEY

QE has no effect on the Velocity because the Money never leaves the Big Banks or the top tier. It's just traded between//among themselves...CASH and Treasuries and stocks back and forth and forth and back. They loan it to Corporations and they just buy back their own stock or take out other corporations.

And the FMOC Member ignores this obvious flaw and they scratch their heads (in public) but in private they no doubt know exactly what's going on but it pays for them act perplexed. Because they work for the Banks and not for the benefit of society.

Livingston nh 23:01 GMT January 20, 2016
MONEY
Reply   
Basic problem the CBs don't understand is that QE MUST stimulate VELOCITY -- buying MONEY does not create NEW MONEY -- stronger economies will get stronger while the weaker die

dc CB 22:58 GMT January 20, 2016
Wednesday's Trading Thread



The War of 1812

Livingston nh 22:43 GMT January 20, 2016
YEN
Reply   
BUY the USD/JPY -- s/t you may see intervention -l/t yen can't fight Asian competition

GVI Forex Blog 22:37 GMT January 20, 2016
Global-View Trading Technologies
Reply   

USD Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables.

Global-View Trading Technologies

Livingston nh 22:18 GMT January 20, 2016
FOMC
Reply   
If you read the transcripts you see they are confused about an exit strategy / but they fall in line with Ben - so now we pay the fkin price

Livingston nh 22:10 GMT January 20, 2016
Wednesday's Trading Thread

A single commodity governing Monetary policy -- if Fed sticks with this as an excuse they should be impeached or maybe we don't need a Fed

GVI Forex john bland 22:03 GMT January 20, 2016
Wednesday's Trading Thread

wti $28.33 -1.24

GVI Forex john bland 22:02 GMT January 20, 2016
Wednesday's Trading Thread

CB- thanks for the API data...

Livingston nh 21:56 GMT January 20, 2016
The Euro, Schengen and the Refugees

ib - History didn't start yesterday - guys like this are mopes

Livingston nh 21:50 GMT January 20, 2016
Wednesday's Trading Thread

I missed the fact that both indictaors were delayed - anyway the demise of oil continues -- keep in mind that before Saddam's demise the trade was 21 -23 // there is no support here

dc CB 21:46 GMT January 20, 2016
Wednesday's Trading Thread

Cushing inventories built 63k, rising for the 12th week in a row. Gasoline stocks rose once again (+4.7mm)
Distillates also (+1.5mm). via ZH

dc CB 21:44 GMT January 20, 2016
Wednesday's Trading Thread

API + 4.6m Build

and Feb went off the boards at 26.76...so March has at least a buck to the downside

Livingston nh 20:59 GMT January 20, 2016
Wednesday's Trading Thread

Harry Reid - market analyst - what do you do in your spare time/// ??????

dc CB 20:57 GMT January 20, 2016
Wednesday's Trading Thread


*REID: LAWMAKERS SHOULD `STAY CALM' DESPITE STOCK MARKET DROP
*REID: TOO EARLY TO TALK ABOUT RESPONSE TO STOCK-MARKET DROP


Harry Reid, Democratic Senate Leader from Nevada - Las Vegas. Now giving SToX advice as fellow - "insider trading is legal for us cuz we wrote the law that sez so" -Law Makers watch their portfolios evaporate.

all it took was 16 trading days to get the piggies to start squealing.

GVI Forex john bland 20:52 GMT January 20, 2016
HIGH IMPACT EVENTS
Reply   
WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

21-Jan Thursday
10:00 EZ- final HICP
12:45 EZ- ECB Decision
16:00 US- Weekly Crude
22-Jan Friday
All Day flash PMIs
09:30 GB- Retail Sales
13:30 CA- Retail Sales
13:30 CA- CPI

Livingston nh 20:51 GMT January 20, 2016
Wednesday's Trading Thread

Not a BEAR Market yet - stox jump first // BBRG jumpimg on oil as a factor for decline (stupid) - regardless Bears start elsewhere and the market always gives you one last chance

london red 20:38 GMT January 20, 2016
Wednesday's Trading Thread

its quite sharp so may be a typical bear mkt rally although its not clear if its a bear mkt yet. the real test comes c. 1910/15, if can get above then technically youd want to buy the next pullback. not sure the fundamentals back this up so you have to be happy with shorter timeframes.

dc CB 20:36 GMT January 20, 2016
Wednesday's Trading Thread

Margin calling for U Mr. Shorty.

zerohedge ‏@zerohedge 14m14 minutes ago

S&P REBOUND ACCELERATES, CUTS LOSS TO 0.7% FROM AS MUCH AS 3.7%. Led by the most shorted stocks as repo desks force shorts to cover

GVI Forex Blog 20:34 GMT January 20, 2016
CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database
Reply   

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for over a dozen currency pairs for well over a decade of data in Excel spreadsheet format

CHART POINTS: Free Forex Database

Mtl JP 20:33 GMT January 20, 2016
Wednesday's Trading Thread

not bad indeed

london red 20:15 GMT January 20, 2016
Wednesday's Trading Thread

s&p. another 2 or 3 pts and prev high. so if taken they will do evens on the day. a pretty good save if so. even if not taken then likely to close 43/44 still not bad considering what came before.

PAR 20:12 GMT January 20, 2016
Banco monte dei pasche
Reply   
It is over and out for this bank . ECB will suffer huge losses.
It is Draghi who is responsible for this mess. Draghi will have to go.
Worst ECB could do is throwing more good money after bad money. Taking more stupid actions after stupid actions
More negative rates?. Supporting more Italian criminals ?

ECB under Draghi is a complete disaster.

GVI Forex john bland 19:41 GMT January 20, 2016
Wednesday's Trading Thread

Street estimates for API crude are on the order of +2.50mln barrels later this afternoon.

GVI Forex Blog 19:38 GMT January 20, 2016
GVI Data Calendar for 21 January 2016
Reply   


January 20, 2016 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for Thursday, January 21, 2016. Trading News Calendar

  • Far East: NZ- CPI
  • Europe: Ez- HICP, ECB
  • North America: US- Philly Fed, Weekly Jobless, Weekly Energy, Natural Gas
WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

21-Jan Thursday
10:00 EZ- final HICP
12:45 EZ- ECB Decision
16:00 US- Weekly Crude
22-Jan Friday
All Day flash PMIs
09:30 GB- Retail Sales
13:30 CA- Retail Sales
13:30 CA- CPI

GVI Data Calendar for 21 January 2016

Mtl JP 19:28 GMT January 20, 2016
Wednesday's Trading Thread

http://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/files/FOMC_ExtCommunicationParticipants.pdf

john the gang will do whatever it wants - with those in the circle

Israel Dil 19:08 GMT January 20, 2016
Trades now

PURK

do you have any active short 16060 and above?

Israel Dil 19:07 GMT January 20, 2016
Trades now

PURK

so you have any active short 16060 and above?

GVI Forex john bland 18:52 GMT January 20, 2016
Wednesday's Trading Thread

fwiw Fed is now in its pre-meeting quiet period before its Meeting in a week. So we should not hear any reassuring words from any top officials before that meeting. I don't if there are any exceptions to the blackout rule.

london red 18:48 GMT January 20, 2016
Trades now

it they can get thru 1843/44 (spoos about minus 8 pts) then there will likely be a short killing rally as a bear trap form thru shs neck. straddles at this stage are about 15 pts so not worth risk even so.

Mtl JP 18:31 GMT January 20, 2016
Trades now

have to go thru 1.0975 first

Saar KaL 18:29 GMT January 20, 2016
Trades now

expecting eurusd near 1.12 this week

Saar KaL 18:26 GMT January 20, 2016
Trades now

Just the bull attitude towards eurcad Purk
Must say i was too early shorting it

Hillegom Purk 18:22 GMT January 20, 2016
Trades now

Why? I do nothing! I define the range and that's it...

Saar KaL 18:21 GMT January 20, 2016
Trades now

Long EURCAD and USDCAD
Hats off to purk

Paris ib 18:20 GMT January 20, 2016
The Euro, Schengen and the Refugees
Reply   
In the game for full spectrum dominance Europe is (apparently) being beseiged by a 'refugee' crisis. This is a nearly thirteen years AFTER the 'Coalition of the Willing' illegally invaded Iraq (total population 33 million) in an attack which killed upwards of 1.500.000 people and, by some estimates created 6 million refugees. 6 million is a big number. And these people have been displaced and living in refugee camps since 2003-2010. And never a whisper about any mass migration into Europe during that time. Let's not go into the attack on Afghanistan or Libya... now we have Syria. Where the Coalition has been arming extremists and mercenaries in an attempt to unseat Assad. Why? No idea. Ask the deviants. But I digress. So now the Syrians (total population 22 million) have 'reportedly' got 6 million refugees and they are all headed to Europe. Quickly and en masse.

Europe suddenly have a migration crisis? Why now? FWIW: I posit that this is an extension of the attack on the Euro which began (post Lehman and TARP and all that) as the nasty Greek bond market crisis which, with the help of complicit ratings agencies and dodgy politicians in Europe, helped shore up support for the ailing USD. Hard not to conclude that the current 'migration crisis' is being stage managed. Trouble is the real 'threat' to the USD is coming from China and Russia. And somehow I don't see these two countries being as easy game.

Those that want to buy USDs on the back of all this can. But - as per usual - buyer beware. Perhaps you are being had.

Heinz-Christian Strache blames the U.S. for current refugee crisis

Saar KaL 18:17 GMT January 20, 2016
Trades now
Reply   
Long EURJPY
Long EURUSD and Gold

Hillegom Purk 18:17 GMT January 20, 2016
oily boily ranges (Brent crude oil)
Reply   
Well still a 1,5 buck range day, still making a new low, so nothing changed really. But this is coming to an end soon...
Tomorrow will be longing at new low, yawn...

Hillegom Purk 18:17 GMT January 20, 2016
oily boily ranges (Brent crude oil)
Reply   
Well still a 1,5 buck range day, still making a new low, so nothing changed really. But this is coming to an end soon...
Tomorrow will be longing at new low, yawn...

dc CB 18:10 GMT January 20, 2016
Wednesday's Trading Thread

Margin calls this afternoon

london red 18:07 GMT January 20, 2016
Wednesday's Trading Thread

1843/44 is want they want to close at or better. that rescues the daily shs. for spoos 8 pts lower or thereabouts. so that would be initial res for this rally and if to go lower in immediate future then most hold below.

Livingston nh 17:59 GMT January 20, 2016
Wednesday's Trading Thread

well my day ended 25 mins ago so I am going to lunch for a few hours so as not to do harm -- I recommend looking at Spanish Italian Portugese bond yields (or EM, OPEC of your choice) in the midst of the yield meltdown elsewhere

dc CB 17:59 GMT January 20, 2016
STOX

WASHINGTON — The U.S. regulator that polices the complex derivatives markets is struggling to keep its own books in order and has made a material error that its auditor found so significant that it withdrew nearly a decade of its financial opinions, according to documents seen by Reuters.

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission understated liabilities by $194 million (136.87 million pound) in fiscal 2014 and $212 million the following year, the agency's auditor KPMG [KPMG.UL] estimated in the documents. The understatements are the equivalent to more than 75 percent of the CFTC's $250 million annual budget.

CFTC's management responded to KPMG’s report by saying that it is investigating whether accounting rules were broken.

Exclusive: KPMG Withdraws Audit Opinions on CFTC Over Accounting Error-Documents

Israel Dil 17:56 GMT January 20, 2016
Oil

Buy Crude
Entry: Target: $38/$40.50/$66.66 Stop:

MM

Israel Dil 17:55 GMT January 20, 2016
eur/cad ranges

Sell EURCAD
Entry: Target: 1.42 Stop:

MM

Livingston nh 17:54 GMT January 20, 2016
STOX

cb - sounds like a PLAN to me // Meanwhile the Good and the Great concern themselves with AI ROBOTS --- ah well

Maribor 17:52 GMT January 20, 2016
Oil
Reply   
There seems to be no uncertainity regarding oil price as it will certainly go down.

Turn shall be round the corner.

dc CB 17:50 GMT January 20, 2016
STOX

Livingston nh 17:31 GMT
JP PPT on the slopes @ Davos
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

like I wrote last nite...they've taken most of your savings, paying you 0.01% fror 10 years. they forced you into stocks. now they're taking that too, in less than a month's time.

And it's Gone.

Davos 2016 - The Great Shafting

have some lead in your water...have some toxins in your air...U are no longer needed.

Livingston nh 17:40 GMT January 20, 2016
STOX

all the gaps are above - utilities look a bargain on dividend and lower energy cost -- the p/e has been repaired // now you either think RECESSION or NOT -- you payz your money and takes your choice

GVI Forex john bland 17:38 GMT January 20, 2016
Wednesday's Trading Thread

red many thanks!

GVI Forex john bland 17:37 GMT January 20, 2016
STOX

wti $27.64 -1.91 LOD $27.57

london red 17:37 GMT January 20, 2016
Wednesday's Trading Thread

1790 is 23.6 fall of devil bottom/all time high. add 8 pts for spoos.

GVI Forex john bland 17:36 GMT January 20, 2016
STOX

10-yr 1.949% -9.8 bp

GVI Forex john bland 17:32 GMT January 20, 2016
Wednesday's Trading Thread

Key S&P support at 1820 cleanly broken. I hear the next target is 1777. What I see next is 1738? Any other key levels that anyone else sees?

Mtl JP 17:32 GMT January 20, 2016
STOX

10-yr gives 1.96%

Livingston nh 17:31 GMT January 20, 2016
STOX

JP PPT on the slopes @ Davos

dc CB 17:29 GMT January 20, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off As Of European Close

in the ES...Bullard's Bottom from 2014 gone.
123% Retrace of the 2008-2009 crash 1804.25 hit.

Next 1776

Mtl JP 17:29 GMT January 20, 2016
STOX

Babson kind numbers
DJIA -539.61 -3.37%
nazdog -323.76 -3.48%
SNP -66.87 -3.55%
-
so far
think ppt can prevent bloodshed today?

GVI Forex Blog 17:25 GMT January 20, 2016
PREVIEW: European Central Bank Decision Thursday @ 12:45 GMT
Reply   

No rate changes are expected Thursday, and nothing is priced in other than flight to safety demand for the 10-yr.

PREVIEW: European Central Bank Decision Thursday @ 12:45 GMT

Mtl JP 17:16 GMT January 20, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off As Of European Close

fear

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financetopics/davos/12108569/World-faces-wave-of-epic-debt-defaults-fears-central-bank-veteran.html

fear to some , opportunity to other
only a matter of direction

Maribor 17:15 GMT January 20, 2016
Hedging
Reply   
I guess big boyz think that as USDRUB is moving opposite to oil, they can hedge falling oil prices with selling RUB. Everything looks fine till the moment when they will try to unwind hedge. My guess there is not enough liquidity for that moment.

Mtl JP 17:07 GMT January 20, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off As Of European Close

john bland 17:03 / any ideas who to blame / give thanks
like a reverse kudos Time front page credit

GVI Forex john bland 17:03 GMT January 20, 2016
CURRENT CONDITIONS: Risk-Off As Of European Close

Lost of red in stocks and bonds...

wallstreet bankster 16:41 GMT January 20, 2016
e/j

yes,yes ab , we are watching it very closely , not be relaxed , ahahahaha .

Belgrade TD 16:26 GMT January 20, 2016
Wednesday's Trading Thread

I doubt we will see oil under 27 or 26.x max ...

hk ab 16:24 GMT January 20, 2016
e/j

Jay, have you studied "GVI effect" decently? Another s/l posted on GVI and got hit in 1hr....

Mtl JP 16:21 GMT January 20, 2016
Wednesday's Trading Thread

view from experts
Floor for oil prices may be closer to $25, Credit Suisse says

Mtl JP 16:04 GMT January 20, 2016
Wednesday's Trading Thread

might u be tinking crude is 20bux too high ?

GVI Forex john bland 16:02 GMT January 20, 2016
Wednesday's Trading Thread

wti $28.17 -1.40 LOD $28.06

GVI Forex john bland 16:01 GMT January 20, 2016
Wednesday's Trading Thread

Equities and WTI at new lows

10-yr 1.954% -9.3bp

Livingston nh 15:26 GMT January 20, 2016
STOX

JP - that was last week down 500+ pts -- stox recover first because money from everywhere else has to go some place -- away from treasurys to much FI risk, commods ?? risk - so stox

Mtl JP 15:24 GMT January 20, 2016
STOX

also stox AND bonds crashing at same time

london red 15:24 GMT January 20, 2016
STOX

nasty looking 3 years shs on s&p with neck around about current 40/43. but i reckon if can collapse today to 1790/1800 they run it back up by end of week. needs a nice clean drop with no front running the days before. a monthly close below the next argues for the 38.2 c. 1575 but wise to take care when shorting us stocks, better to buy after fallouts as janet has your back.

Mtl JP 15:23 GMT January 20, 2016
STOX

nh need to see Babson kind of numbers

Livingston nh 15:19 GMT January 20, 2016
STOX
Reply   
Over 1100 new lows so far -- this is capitulation day

hk ab 15:18 GMT January 20, 2016
dlrcad
Reply   
also buy dlrcad with RF on 1.4520.

london red 15:17 GMT January 20, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

cable prev lt low 14226/30. should offer res. if not will be first time an initial res beaten and may be stops. all the same worth a short as while under 14370/80 still chance to do 14060/80 and id say wait for a bounce.

hk ab 15:15 GMT January 20, 2016
e/j
Reply   
ok, try one more time long 127, s/l 126.7 (ask)

GVI Forex john bland 15:10 GMT January 20, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

For those interested

BOC Webcast @ 16:15 GMT

london red 15:07 GMT January 20, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

no surprises here. mkt talked itself into a cut. still outlook for cad not rosy. if they can run under 144 nice area to pick up longs 14380/50. important to let bears have their day.

GVI Forex john bland 15:06 GMT January 20, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

"The Bank of Canada today announced that it is maintaining its target for the overnight rate at 1/2 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 3/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 1/4 per cent.

Inflation in Canada is evolving broadly as expected. Total CPI inflation remains near the bottom of the Bank’s target range as the disinflationary effects of economic slack and low consumer energy prices are only partially offset by the inflationary impact of the lower Canadian dollar on the prices of imported goods. As all of these factors dissipate, the Bank expects inflation will rise to about 2 per cent by early 2017. Measures of core inflation should remain close to 2 per cent.

......

All things considered, therefore, the risks to the profile for inflation are roughly balanced. Meanwhile, financial vulnerabilities continue to edge higher, as expected. The Bank’s Governing Council judges that the current stance of monetary policy is appropriate, and the target for the overnight rate remains at 1/2 per cent."


Bank of Canada maintains overnight rate target at 1/2 per cent

GVI Forex john bland 15:01 GMT January 20, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Mild Surprise from BOC

GVI Forex john bland 15:01 GMT January 20, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

January 2016 Bank of Canada Policy Decision






ALERT

O/N Target: Holds rates at 0.50%


RELEASE: Bank of Canada




TTN: Live News Special Offer

Paris ib 14:59 GMT January 20, 2016
USD/JPY: the canary in the coal mine

Break below 117.00 opening the way for a test of 115.00 in the near term. This continues to be very negative for stocks... not surprisingly the market is getting clobbered. The run up to the next FED meeting sure is going to be interesting.

The ECB meeting, despite the hoopla and the panic, is probably NOT going to come out with screaming DOVISHNESS tomorrow. First, that would be unprofessional and second, it wouldn't solve anything anyhow and would probably make a bad situation worse. I mean they may as well come into the room screaming and waving their arms around.... so don't expect the ECB to save the buck with some mega dovish statement. Right now we are getting to a situation where its every Central Bank for themselves. Si salva chi puo'.

london red 14:59 GMT January 20, 2016
Wednesday's Trading Thread

lt fib at 14507/12 may offer sup if options squeezed out.

london red 14:52 GMT January 20, 2016
Wednesday's Trading Thread

loonie straddles are about 80 pips so thats initial sup/res on reaction. any more than that and can go further.

Paris ib 14:42 GMT January 20, 2016
USD sell off PART II

FWIW:

"in November... a monthly net TIC outflow of $3.2 billion....

After including adjustments, such as estimates of unrecorded principal payments to foreigners on U.S. asset-backed securities, overall net foreign purchases of long-term securities are estimated to have been $18.2 billion"...

The capital inflows have been absent now for quite some time.

TIC data November 2015

Mtl JP 14:41 GMT January 20, 2016
Wednesday's Trading Thread

u ll never out-click the dealer
if u insist on trading use a parametered OCO and take your chances with spread

GVI Forex 14:33 GMT January 20, 2016
Wednesday's Trading Thread

USDCAD 1.4640

BoC up next. Opinions split so any suggestions if unchanged or if it cuts rates?

GVI Forex 14:27 GMT January 20, 2016
Breaking News

Venezuela reportedly requests extraordinary Opec meeting

GVI Forex Blog 13:45 GMT January 20, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. CPI Mixed
Reply   

U.S. December Headline falls. Core matches forecasts.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. CPI Mixed

GVI Forex Blog 13:42 GMT January 20, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Housing Starts And Permits Fall
Reply   

Housing Starts/Permits. Weaker.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Housing Starts And Permits Fall

HK [email protected] 13:36 GMT January 20, 2016
CPI miss:Too Hi US interest rates knocks down inflation:(
Reply   
.

GVI Forex john bland 13:33 GMT January 20, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

Housing Starts/Permits miss.

GVI Forex john bland 13:33 GMT January 20, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. House Starts & Permits (000) December 2015
U.S. Data Charts



NEWS ALERT
Starts: 1.150 vs. 1.195 exp. vs. 1.173 ( r 1.179)prev.
Permits: 1.232 vs. 1.200 exp. vs. 1.290 prev.


New Residential Construction



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john bland 13:31 GMT January 20, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

CPI miss

GVI Forex john bland 13:31 GMT January 20, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Consumer Price Index December 2015

U.S. Data Charts





ALERT
Headline:
m/m: -0.10% vs. 0.00% exp. v +0.00% pre
y/y: +0.70% vs. +0.80% exp. v +0.50% pre
Core:
y/y: +2.10% vs. +2.10% exp. v +2.00% pre


RELEASE: Consumer Price Index


TTN: Live News Special Offer

london red 13:27 GMT January 20, 2016
BREXIT

different folks have different agendas but finance will be largely unaffected. you will still have to do business through london in the majority.

GVI Forex john bland 13:24 GMT January 20, 2016
HIGH IMPACT EVENTS

API data comes out on the close today EIA Thursday at 16:00 GMT due to Monday holiday.

Livingston nh 13:12 GMT January 20, 2016
BREXIT
Reply   
red - any opinion on UK banks hype vs actual plans for London if Brexit debate tightens up

Livingston nh 13:04 GMT January 20, 2016
HIGH IMPACT EVENTS

JP - re: nuland - I don't know - a lot of irons in the fire tho - horse trading with somebody else's horse (whose?)

london red 13:01 GMT January 20, 2016
HIGH IMPACT EVENTS

I would say that us rate expectations are what is going to drive the pair in the next few months.

Livingston nh 13:00 GMT January 20, 2016
HIGH IMPACT EVENTS

JP - true it is uncomfortably crowded today -- no API yesterday left no guidance/expectation into today's oil stats // above 1.46 USD/CAD tempted to lighten up again

Mtl JP 12:57 GMT January 20, 2016
HIGH IMPACT EVENTS

nh why did Nuland try to see Putin

Livingston nh 12:53 GMT January 20, 2016
HIGH IMPACT EVENTS

ECB has a growing bank problem (not just in Italy) and Germany in its current political state can't tolerate another financial bailout debate ANYWHERE in the EU - so if Draghi needs to buy time w/ some new, improved Action as opposed to a Promise he will probably get approval // as always, the program will not be tailored to FIX the problem BUT that's not the immediate GOAL in buying time

GVI Forex john bland 12:49 GMT January 20, 2016
Wednesday's Trading Thread

DAX -274

futures
DJ -288
SP -32

Mtl JP 12:48 GMT January 20, 2016
HIGH IMPACT EVENTS

a spark - strategically placed - could affect crude price

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:47 GMT January 20, 2016
HIGH IMPACT EVENTS

Red, I have read several updates over the past few days calling for another ECB rate cut in the first half, some say March and some say June. Point is that expectations are for more ECB ease.

london red 12:43 GMT January 20, 2016
HIGH IMPACT EVENTS

Draghi himself is usually v dovish when speaking alone but not sure he has support from his colleagues to do any more at this stage. I think they are going to need a few inflation prints before they are convinced to take more action as other data has been ok going by their standards. so i think april at earliest.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:41 GMT January 20, 2016
Wednesday's Trading Thread

I posted this on GVI Forex earlier (low since then 1.0897)


EURUSD (low 1.0900): 1.09 has traded 5 days in a row and 9 out of the 12 trading days this year, 8 our t of past 9 days, 2 of those exceptions were in the first 3 days

NY JM 12:35 GMT January 20, 2016
HIGH IMPACT EVENTS

and ECB meets tomorrow and what is for sure is that Draghi will be dovish.

london red 12:08 GMT January 20, 2016
HIGH IMPACT EVENTS

the BOJ meets next week which means folk likely to avoid chasing downside too much. i dont think we will be able to hold below 115.50 into next week, though they may run stops if equities allow.

london red 12:04 GMT January 20, 2016
HIGH IMPACT EVENTS

Dont think we see cut from Canada today. Not sure what 25bps cut achieves as rates are already low and cad weak. If oil rebounds so will cad, cut or no cut. But any rebound likely to be technical in nature so unlikely to last. The only way they would cut is if they were to think about qe and i think its too early for that. think the us needs to price out rate hikes first this year before canada will do qe. either way tone for cad is still to weaken so i expect they will buy 2-3 figs dips if presented.

Hillegom Purk 12:03 GMT January 20, 2016
eur/cad ranges
Reply   
Nice very nice. We keep on seeing new highs, and every pullback bought, so longs are still preferred, and that all the way down to 152-153...

For now 15960-161! Yawn day will be 15960-159-16250...
Yearly Low 14950, yearly high 161 ALREADY.
Normal range yearly 2000-2500.
So we are looking at 14950 + 2000....
Lets see,...

GVI Forex john bland 12:00 GMT January 20, 2016
HIGH IMPACT EVENTS

nh- I've been thinking about that. Tokyo cannot be happy at all with USDJPY here. These days Japan has a number of low-profile ways to intervene. They must be beyond their point of pain. These levels on the exchange rate are highly deflationary. Action of some type is inevitable.

LA PTS 11:59 GMT January 20, 2016
Early Alert

GBPUSD profit booked in the target zone (above 1.4125) as indicated

Livingston nh 11:54 GMT January 20, 2016
HIGH IMPACT EVENTS

John - nice call on th 10 yr treasury // China shifting pressure to HKD /// Do you think Japan's FinMin still has the intervention playbook?

GVI Forex john bland 11:21 GMT January 20, 2016
HIGH IMPACT EVENTS

WEEKLY HIGH IMPACT NEWS:

20-Jan Wednesday
13:30 US- CPI
13:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
15:00 US- BOC Decision
21-Jan Thursday
10:00 EZ- final HICP
12:45 EZ- ECB Decision
16:00 US- Weekly Crude
22-Jan Friday
All Day flash PMIs
09:30 GB- Retail Sales
13:30 CA- Retail Sales
13:30 CA- CPI

GVI Forex john bland 11:20 GMT January 20, 2016
HIGH IMPACT EVENTS
Reply   
Today sees a number of high profile releases with the Bank of Canada policy decision at the top of the list. Opinions are reportedly split evenly on whether they cut or not. Put me in the rate cut camp.

GVI Forex john bland 11:10 GMT January 20, 2016
Wednesday's Trading Thread

DAX -290

futures
DJ -317
SP -36

10-yr
US 1.981% -6.5bp
DE 0.422% -5.4bp
GB 1.621% -6.8bp

wti (March) $28.77 -0.80

EUR mostly higher on its crosses, except vs. JPY as carry trades are unwound.

nw kw 10:37 GMT January 20, 2016
AceTraderFx Jan 20: Daily Recommendations on Major -USD/JPY

Hang Seng not overvalued so can start climbing in week?

nw kw 10:34 GMT January 20, 2016
AceTraderFx Jan 20: Daily Recommendations on Major -USD/JPY

China man will Hang Seng pull jpy strength and aud down. tks for im not much informed how china's moving the markets' so can you add some insight for us in frozen land.

Hong Kong 10:07 GMT January 20, 2016
AceTraderFx Jan 20: Daily Recommendations on Major -USD/JPY
Reply   
Update Time: 20 Jan 2016 09:10 GMT

USD/JPY - 116.78
Dollar's yesterday's rally above Tuesday's high at 117.44 to 118.11 in European morning, intra-day selloff and subsequent breach of last Friday's fresh 4-1/2 month trough at 116.51 signals recent erratic downtrend has resumed and consolidation with downside bias would be seen for weakness towards 116.15/20.
However, loss of momentum should keep price above support at 115.85 and yield rebound.

On the upside, only above 117.69 would indicate a temporary low has been made instead and turn outlook bullish for a stronger retracement towards 118.11.

GVI Forex john bland 10:01 GMT January 20, 2016
Global-View Trading Technologies

EURUSD has been stuck in a range for many months. Note the 100-day moving average is now just below 1.10 and the 200-day is creeping lower as well. No momentum at all.

GVI Forex john bland 09:57 GMT January 20, 2016
Global-View Trading Technologies


GVI Forex Blog 09:52 GMT January 20, 2016
Global-View Trading Technologies
Reply   

USD Pivot Points, Support and Resistance Levels. Chart Point tables.

Using Pivot Points in Forex Trading

Global-View Trading Technologies

hk ab 09:52 GMT January 20, 2016
dlr/jpy
Reply   
such an early intervention?

Where's Obama? Why no one criticize Japan intervening at this level? LOL

GVI Forex john bland 09:45 GMT January 20, 2016
Wednesday's Trading Thread
Reply   
OIl and S&P suddenly have turned higher and undermined the EURUSD. We remain in an equities/oil driven market.

GVI Forex Blog 09:42 GMT January 20, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Unemployment Data Mixed To Better
Reply   

U.K. Claimant Count falls. (lower=better). Unemployment falls. Earnings mixed.

BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Unemployment Data Mixed To Better

london red 09:37 GMT January 20, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

eurgbp. big prev low at 7764, a break there took us all the way dwn to 69 cents. so a big level to clear topside. also 7740 is 50% of 57/97 cents. both of these levels vital on a monthly closing basis as is 144 month ema at 7767.
market is in midst of an inverse shs but id expect circa 75 cents test before monthly closes abv those mentioned levels.
cable. final tgt 14060/80 while below 14370/80

GVI Forex john bland 09:33 GMT January 20, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

UK data generally better than expected

GVI Forex john bland 09:32 GMT January 20, 2016
BREAKING NEWS

U.K. Employment November/December 2015




-- NEWS ALERT --

Claimant Count: -4.300 vs. +3.000 exp. vs. +3.900 (-2.200)prev.
ILO Rate: 5.10% vs. 5.20% exp. vs. 5.20% prev.
earnings x-bonus: +1.9% vs. +1.80% exp. vs. 2.00% prev.
earnings: +2.00% vs. +2.10% exp. vs. +2.40% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex john bland 09:12 GMT January 20, 2016
Wednesday's Trading Thread
Reply   
Oil falling (march)
wti $28.58 -0.99 LOD $28.45
Brent $27.95 -0.82

HK [email protected] 08:49 GMT January 20, 2016
Mass mania
Reply   


Y.day there was here a small mass mania to bull the AUD, which has been proven wrong.

Same USD/CAD may bottom at about 1.64xx, so take your tme folks.

London 08:39 GMT January 20, 2016
New signal by our verify account
Reply   
Sell
Entry: 0.63600 Target: +55 Stop: -55

New Signal: Sell NZD/USD

Visit us to see our verify account


Posted with permission of global-view.com

Forex signals

GVI Forex Blog 07:22 GMT January 20, 2016
Forex Trading Ideas January 20th
Reply   

 

Technical review of the FX markets for the coming day. Enjoy

Forex Trading Ideas January 20th

dc CB 03:12 GMT January 20, 2016
Oil heads to 19$/pbl

The Need to Cull the Herd.

wiping out all your savings, which you were "forced" to put into SToX, 'cause there woz ZERO Yield everywhere else.

Sorry boy, good luck surviving on the street.

Yrs
Manny I Pulation
posted from DAVOS...where else!

LA PTS 02:41 GMT January 20, 2016
Early Alert
Reply   
Sell GBPUSD
Entry: 1.5171 Target: Stop:

Time: 00:35 GMT trade was put on. Target is open but support is at 1.5125 so anywhere above that unless you wan to wait for UK jobs.

Hong Kong 02:00 GMT January 20, 2016
AceTraderFx Jan 20: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views (USD/JPY)
Reply   
20 Jan 2016 01:32GMT

USD/JPY - ....... The greenback found support at 117.23 yesterday in Asian morning and rose to intra-day high at 118.11, however, renewed selling there pressured the pair lower and price dropped to 117.31 in New York afternoon. Despite a brief recovery to 117.69 in Australia, renewed weakness in Nikkei-225 index sent dlr lower and price fell to 117.26 in Tokyo morning.

Pay attention to the release of U.S. CPI mm and yy at 13:30 GMT. Street forecasts are 0.0% and 0.8% vs previous readings of 0.0% and 0.5% respectively.

Offers are now lowered to 117.50/60 and more above at 117.70/80 with stops building up above there whilst initial bids are noted at 117.00/10, suggesting selling on pullback is favored.

dc CB 01:54 GMT January 20, 2016
Oil heads to 19$/pbl

so the logical conclusion: The Need to Cull the Herd.

India/China: Air you can't breathe without risking an early death.

USA The in the Former Industrial Heartland, Chevy's Fords, Chryslers Built here: Lead in the Water...not just the recent Press about Flint Michigan. But a variation of that happened in Wash DC, when they changed the formula at the water treatment plant.

NY JM 01:46 GMT January 20, 2016
Wednesday's Tradng Thread
Reply   
Stocks start out weaker in Asia and S&P down as well

dc CB 01:44 GMT January 20, 2016
Oil heads to 19$/pbl

This dosen't happen without a plan.

62 individuals now hold the same amount of wealth as 3.6 billion people.

OXFAM BRIEFING PAPER 18 JANUARY 2016

dc CB 01:28 GMT January 20, 2016
Oil heads to 19$/pbl

when true price discovery dosen't exist then wild irrational swings occur. This of course is the the reason that TPD(true Price...) has been banished from the market. A he]] of a lot more money can be extracted when there are wild swings unfounded in basic fundamental ANALysis.

Why woz Oil at $100+++, Why was Gasoline well over $4, why did NE retirees have to chose between eating or heating their homes?

we are now in the downswing... yeh it cud go to $10...

Islael Dil 01:20 GMT January 20, 2016
Oil heads to 19$/pbl

YES!

Plesident Tlump sounds OK, especially with Lassie (outsoulcing) comes back home theme he stalted balking

Israel Dil 01:10 GMT January 20, 2016
Oil heads to 19$/pbl

Buy Crude
Entry: Target: Stop:

Botex is China version of Botox, same same only little diffelent

Israel Dil 01:07 GMT January 20, 2016
Oil heads to 19$/pbl

Buy Crude
Entry: Target: Stop:

"Petroleum products include transportation fuels, fuel oils for heating and electricity generation, asphalt and road oil, and the feedstocks used to make chemicals, plastics, and synthetic materials found in nearly everything we use today."

---

what's the average daiy closing price of the last 20 years (DMA 7300 / 5000)?
USA held USD 300m of Iranian funds, with interest the Iranian side got back 1.7b... looks like some believes that with Chinese made Botex the price of oil also be untouched :-)



Mtl JP 00:16 GMT January 20, 2016
Oil heads to 19$/pbl

any next time the Brits get in a dust up w/ the Germans would likely be cyber type making MR President useless

Sydney ACC 00:09 GMT January 20, 2016
Oil heads to 19$/pbl

As you correctly pointed out oil is probably in its sunset years as an energy source. As a component in the manufacture of synthetics that will go on forever, that, however, provides a fraction of its current usage.
If at current levels US producers can't turn a dollar its inevitable some will shut down with a rally occurring in the normal course of events. Where that leads us its anyone's guess.




Livingston nh 00:04 GMT January 20, 2016
Oil heads to 19$/pbl

JP - next time the Brits get in a dust up w/ the Germans they better hope Trump isn't referred to as MR. President

Mtl JP 00:00 GMT January 20, 2016
Oil heads to 19$/pbl

Donald does
at least so far in his bombasts

 




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Mon 27 May 2019
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