nw kw 23:03 GMT January 22, 2016
Oh Canada
so china will be importer like usa for consumer calls it own goods junk.
nw kw 22:52 GMT January 22, 2016
Oh Canada
cad lumber large over seas frenzy so help gdp for cad 1.35.
Mtl JP 21:09 GMT January 22, 2016
Oh Canada
Reply
BoC - We are Canada's central bank. We work to preserve the value of money by keeping inflation low and stable.
$10 cauliflower is just the beginning: Canadian grocers, retailers warn more price increases on the way
http://business.financialpost.com/news/economy/10-cauliflower-is-just-the-beginning-canadian-grocers-retailers-warn-more-price-increases-on-the-way
london red 21:01 GMT January 22, 2016
Friday's Trading Thread
I'll be the first. nfp 144k in 2 weeks, but next month 101k max. Q1 gdp negative weather related.
nxt wk early look, buy cable stop under 14124 entry/tgt tba, yen c. 118 stop/tgt tba
Paris ib 19:52 GMT January 22, 2016
Collapse in Shipping
Bit more of a nuanced view on why the Baltic Dry Index has fallen so far:
"The reason for the slump in the price goes beyond the slowing of the Chinese economy, because while the pace of growth is slowing down, growth is not.....
The world fleet doubled in size from 2010 to 2013. At the same time, China doubled its shipyard capacity and took huge orders for new ships as it sought to control the commodities trade."
The Shipping Bubble
USA ZEUS 18:58 GMT January 22, 2016
Interesting EUR/USD Levels
USA ZEUS 09:18 GMT January 12, 2016
EUR/USD super magnets too strong to overcome-
1.0777
1.0277
0.9777
__________________________________________
The force is strong.
Cheers!
USA ZEUS 18:57 GMT January 22, 2016
USD/CAD
UAS ZEUS 18:40 GMT January 13, 2016
USD/CAD: Reply
All in short USD/CAD at 1.4346
______________________________________
Some profits taken at 1.4133 for 200+ pips.
Cheers!
nw kw 17:07 GMT January 22, 2016
Friday's Trading Thread
nzd econ stats indicating nzd cuts. markets looking for one additional cut./
Mtl JP 16:59 GMT January 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
S&P upgrades Greece's sovereign credit rating to 'B-' from 'CCC+' MarketWatch
london red 16:52 GMT January 22, 2016
Friday's Trading Thread
s&p. 1883 should see us bounce and take us thru 1900. if not they are likely to buy 1860 ish
nw kw 16:35 GMT January 22, 2016
Friday's Trading Thread
nzd getting left behind so cad and aud power/ aka reversal in swing if no nzd cut at 50%
nw kw 16:31 GMT January 22, 2016
Friday's Trading Thread
swiss might revers after huddle as usual libelling swiss jpy week
Livingston nh 16:26 GMT January 22, 2016
Friday's Trading Thread
STOX started this morning with the participation of many who did not want to miss the BIG rally like the last time -- generals that fight the last war -- so this upmove should be a bit more labored unless it really is that simple // note the idiot spike in oil and FX seen at the end of August did not repeat
We may have a couple of months of range trading while things get sorted out
GVI Forex Blog 16:13 GMT January 22, 2016
WEEK AHEAD: Economic Data Analysis
Reply
Friday 22 January 2016
FOMC TO SIGNAL CAUTION AS IT AWAITS FURTHER DATA
- FOMC to stand pat and is unlikely to send a strong signal of a March rate hike�
- US and UK GDP releases likely to show �relatively modest growth in 2015 Q4
- Modest near-term inflation pick up unlikely to stand in the way of further ECB stimulus
WEEK AHEAD: Economic Data Analysis
dc CB 16:06 GMT January 22, 2016
RevRepos - TOMO
Reply
The New York Fed raised the rate it pays on overnight borrowings through RRPs with foreign central banks to 0.09 percent on average over the first nine months of 2015 from 0.03 percent during the same period of 2014, according to the U.S. central bank�s latest quarterly financial statements.
During the same period the Federal Open Market Committee held the RRP rate paid to domestic money-market funds at 0.05 percent.
Expansion of the foreign RRP pool could also be a sign that big domestic banks are telling foreign central banks to take their excess dollars elsewhere, because U.S. banks are trying to shrink their balance sheets, said Joseph Abate, a money-market strategist at Barclays Plc in New York, one of the 22 primary dealers that trades directly with the Fed.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
re: an earlier discussion this week about the Velocity of Money and the failure of QE to achieve it.
Fed's Unexpected Partner to Manage Rates: Foreign Central Banks
nw kw 15:57 GMT January 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
cad has big longs to or fish did.
nw kw 15:55 GMT January 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
oil cot has power in well added longs big shorts on run good for 34.
london red 15:32 GMT January 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
brent and wti both have channel lines at or just below 33 bucks. i doubt they close abv them today. due to the large % gain and volatility that goes with it, they may run the stops sitting abv the channels. but a close abv should be a bridge too far for both. maybe loonie sees a quick spike to do stops a few pips under 140 then back up to close 14140/50ish.
dc CB 15:02 GMT January 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Markit flash Mfg PMI Better
the SToX MarkIT needed a "good" number and da boys at Markit supplied it:
*rally Stocks in the face of the abyss
*Save Yellen's FACE.
Just think what she'd be facing if the Data proved "a mistake was made at the Dec Meeting" (aka the DOW fell another 500- 1000pts by next Wed morning)
GVI Forex john bland 15:01 GMT January 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Existing Homes sales much better than expected. Apparently due to mortgage rule change that depressed November. This was a catch up
GVI Forex john bland 14:45 GMT January 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Markit mfg PMI beats. I don't trust this.
Israel Dil 14:25 GMT January 22, 2016
Friday's Trading Thread
such statements from the moneypins reaffirm that there is no chaos and the panic is well directed. until the bigger money (and more than money worth) KINGPINS enter the scene. when?!
dc CB 14:18 GMT January 22, 2016
Friday's Trading Thread
ES back above 1900 to close today will be nice tally man tally...100 Spoo points in 2 and a half days.
GVI Forex john bland 14:14 GMT January 22, 2016
Friday's Trading Thread
USDJPY higher on dovish comments by Kuroda in Davos
dc CB 14:14 GMT January 22, 2016
Friday's Trading Thread
Mtl JP 13:39 GMT
so stox are uP on hopes of CBs printing more
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
or StoX are Up on DeMark calling a bottom...Citi calling oil "the trade of the year"...all make as much sense in a BannaBoat World.
Come, Mister tally man, tally me banana
Daylight come and me wan' go home
Come, Mister tally man, tally me banana
Daylight come and me wan' go home
GVI Forex john bland 14:10 GMT January 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Kuroda
-- will continue QE until 2% inflation target met
-- Japan growing at 1.0%-1.5%
GVI Forex john bland 14:05 GMT January 22, 2016
Friday's Trading Thread
10-yr yields higher
US 2.054% +2.6bp
DE 0.407% +2.5bp
UK 1.684% +3.4bp
DJ +190
SP +26
risk on in shares
Israel Dil 14:00 GMT January 22, 2016
eur/usd
Sell EURUSD
Entry: Target: 1.0720 Stop: 1.0850
no brainer or a loser ;♧
GVI Forex john bland 13:55 GMT January 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
BOJ Kuroda
-- deflationary pressures a real risk
-- global economy not on brink of sharp deflation
-- forecast 2% inflation in 2H FY2016
Hillegom Purk 13:54 GMT January 22, 2016
eur/usd
Reply
System says it is a long now.
Hillegom Purk 13:49 GMT January 22, 2016
eur/cad ranges and shorts
Reply
Right, the 15296 almost taken out. Taken out will be 100 pips and close below for at least 3 trading days. Than it is 14967 next.
Dils Short 159+ worth 600 pips now, as normal....
Oily boily correction lasts for now...
london red 13:35 GMT January 22, 2016
Friday's Trading Thread
thats the first trouble spot after the 200hma. if prev high taken then fibs at 14353, 14370/80 (lt 23.6) and 14410. eurgbp has fib at 7535, just been frontrun. better sup at 75 and 7460. if below c. 7400 200 month ma by end of month big bull trap for test of 69 cents again.
GVI Forex john bland 13:33 GMT January 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Canada CPI soft, but Retail Sales (November) beat
GVI Forex Jay Meisler MBA CTA 13:32 GMT January 22, 2016
Friday's Trading Thread
GBPUSD: 1.4329
Hard to suggest fading the move up as it is a squeeze on shorts but it has tested a key res at 1.4339 (1 hr chart)
GVI Forex john bland 13:31 GMT January 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
Canada: Bank of Canada Core and Consumer Prices December 2015
Canada Data Charts
NEWS ALERT
Bank of Canada Core
yy: +1.90% vs. +2.10% exp. vs. +2.00% prev.
Headline
mm: -0.50% vs. -0.40% exp. vs. +0.10% prev.
yy: +1.60% vs. +1.70% exp. vs. +1.40% prev.
TTN: Live News Special Offer
GVI Forex john bland 13:23 GMT January 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
BOE's Carney
-- Economy tracking quite well
-- Timing of rate rise depends on economic conditions
-- Heightened awareness of EU Referendum, but no sign confidence hit
GVI Forex john bland 13:16 GMT January 22, 2016
Friday's Trading Thread
wti $31.02 +1.48 LOD 1.49
close to its HOD ($31.32), Could set the tone for trading
DAX +204
futures
DJ +189
S&P +25
EURUSD broadly weaker on its crosses
Livingston nh 13:09 GMT January 22, 2016
USD/CAD
Reply
Like past episodes of extensions beyond its moving avgs USD/CAD is touching the rising 21 dma again (this has been pretty good support) but MACD is rolling over -- a break while not fatal might require some repair time / Still favorable
Trudeau, BoC and OIL
Livingston nh 12:45 GMT January 22, 2016
USD/JPY
Reply
MACD on daily USD/JPY is rising off the floor - declining 21 dma @118.56 so a break above today is important - declining 55 ema @ ~120 probably contains choppy market for a few days // 123.80 is still the breakout level that failed on last rally
london red 12:15 GMT January 22, 2016
Friday's Trading Thread
cable. has moved thru 200hma if can sustain an hourly close will have sights on 14340 prev high and the old fib at 14370/80. id fancy a sale at the latter. 3 and a half points in 2 days off the lows makes it st overbought.
eurgbp. certainly worth taking some profit between 7686/35 as been a quick move. then maybe look to take a long c 75 cents with a 50/60 pt stop under the 38.2 fib.
Israel Dil 12:15 GMT January 22, 2016
main dollar block currencies
Reply
USD
CAD
AUD
NZD
in my opinion are a BUY vs. EUR CHF & GBP for the coming days and weeks
FWIW
UK JY 12:14 GMT January 22, 2016
Friday's Trading Thread
Big anti risk unwind boosting gbp and commodity pairs
Turns out to be a house of cards market.
Israel Dil 12:10 GMT January 22, 2016
USDCAD
seems to be a wise observation Red, as a whole I bet that Dollar-Block currencies to gain from here and it will be wise not to trade between them but well versus THE EURO and GBP
FWIW
london red 12:06 GMT January 22, 2016
USDCAD
oil still has a couple of bucks before reaches its broken channel lines so cad could strengthen further. it shouldnt retrace the full move below 138 so should stop c. 140. if we get a monthly close beloe 1380x then this move is over. thats not likely given oil would need to move higher and stay higher, so most will try a fib near 140 with a couple of fig stop under last low.
Israel Dil 12:05 GMT January 22, 2016
sell the Euro
Reply
that's the no-brainer money gainer for the coming days and weeks
MM
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:02 GMT January 22, 2016
USDCAD
USDCAD: 1.4172. LOD 1.4160 vs. 1.4151 (61.8%)
Posted here yesterday
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 17:48:07 GMT - 01/21/2016
Retracements are often more vicious than trend movess, especially mature trends.
USDCAD: Current bid 1.4278, Low 1.4228
2016 range: 1.3818 (Jan 4 low)-1.4690 (Jan 20 high)
1.4254 = 50%
1.4151 = 61.8%
GVI Forex john bland 11:18 GMT January 22, 2016
Friday's Trading Thread
Reply
DAX +191
futures:
DJ +205
SP +26
Risk-On.
Note surge in Nikkei today after leak BOJ considering ease.
GVI Forex john bland 11:05 GMT January 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
ECB's Nowotny
-- Council unanimous decision to discuss QE in March
-- Haven't decided which stimulus tools to use
-- Will look at inflationary situation in March
Hong Kong 09:58 GMT January 22, 2016
AceTrader Jan 22: Daily Recommendations on Major -USD/JPY
Reply
Update Time: 22 Jan 2016 08:48 GMT
USD/JPY - 118.15
Although price has risen again in Asia on the back of strong gains in crude oil price as well as broad-based relief rally in Asian stocks, suggesting near term erratic upmove from Wed's 1-year bottom at 115.97 would head to 118.28/38 after consolidation, only a daily close above this previous res area would retain bullish prospect of stronger correction twd 118.85.
On the downside, below 117.54 (Asian low) would be the 1st signal top is in place and yield stronger retracement of aforesaid rise to 117.00/10 later.
Belgrade TD 09:56 GMT January 22, 2016
Daily TA trade
preparing to sell AUD/USD below 0.7 ... if seen
london red 09:44 GMT January 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
eurgbp. sold off well from key res 7750/70 now a whisker away from 19th jan low of 7583. a break there makes a lower low and should see 7500 neck of inverse shs tested. can be bought there but keep in mind while test of shs neck is often a good signal, the monthly chart will be showing a very long wick on candle, so it depends when the test takes place.
london red 09:38 GMT January 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
sales miss well flaged after poor stores and footfall figures. but more important cable bottomed and shorts burning. might seen test of broken lt fib 14370/80 where can try short. currently testing 200hma.
GVI Forex john bland 09:33 GMT January 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
U.K. December Retail Sales data miss.
GVI Forex john bland 09:01 GMT January 22, 2016
BREAKING NEWS
EZ PMI data miss.
Hillegom Purk 08:57 GMT January 22, 2016
oily boily ranges (Brent crude oil)
Reply
Yesterday: 27,50-30,09 = 2,50
Today : 29,91-31,40 = 1,50
So range is expanding. So err, well take your pick. 27,50 to beat. And 31,40-32,50.
nw kw 08:49 GMT January 22, 2016
AceTrader Jan 22: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views (USD/JPY)
I did see jpy wages inproving and importing furan workers, ecn's stats 2yeers ago jpy needed stronger up trend in wages cheek chart, tks- that gives qw 1% move in econ stats to support new QE. tks . gl.
ps -jpy might bust out qe if eur gets frisky in eur/jpy trade war.
Amman wfakhoury 08:09 GMT January 22, 2016
US oil return level 30.70
Anyhow ..rule 3 solves the problem if the price moved against signal after 24 hours.
Have in mind my signals are not free .
GVI Forex 07:56 GMT January 22, 2016
Draghi
Board member:Mario Draghi
Event:Participation by the President in a discussion with Lionel Barber at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland.
Time:08:45 CET
Venue:Davos-Klosters, Switzerland
Contact:ECB Global Media Relations, Tel. +49 69 1344 7455
E-mail:[email protected]
Text:No text will be made available.
Notes:This session will be webcast live on: http://www.weforum.org/events/world-economic-forum-annual-meeting-2016/sessions/the-year-ahead-the-economic-outlook-for-the-eurozone
Last modified: 21 January 2016, 13:30 CET
GVI Forex 07:45 GMT January 22, 2016
Draghi
Reply
ECB President Mario Draghi is due speak at 0745GMT. at the World Economic Forum, in Davos.
hk ab 07:33 GMT January 22, 2016
US oil return level 30.70
Amman wfakhoury 07:20 GMT 01/22/2016
hk ab 07:02 GMT 01/22/2016
Some good thing with idiot became a disaster .
--------------------------------------------------------------------
You have made it the other way round:
Your idiotic $3 dlrs risk for $0.5 gain is of course, a disaster, not to mention the risk is 10% of the value.
Comparing with my previous trading plan on crude, yours is nothing.
What's more, let's take a look of history
____________________________________________________
hk ab 15:48 GMT March 19, 2014
gold: Reply
just one more thing to add after analysis:
-----------------------------------------------------
Amman wfakhoury 16:45 GMT March 18, 2014
EURUSD 13900 confirmed: Reply
Central Kwun 16:23 GMT 03/18/2014
Buy Gold
Entry: 1357.5 Target: Stop:
awesome, what is next
----------------------------
if 1 hr bar closed above 1360.60 then 1368.56 will be reached.
if 1 hr bar closed below 1360.60 then 1353.72 will be reached.
------------------------------------------------------------
If you followed this "great trader" call yesterday, Gold closed 1361.5 for that EXACT 1 h bar, shall small fish like you buy? then, 1337 was reached minutes ago.
Anyway, I don't even bother to compare yours positions with mine, we have opposite views and directions on r/r ratio ;).
Amman wfakhoury 07:30 GMT January 22, 2016
US oil return level 30.70
HK Kwun 07:19 GMT 01/22/2016
let say you bought at 1095
then price decline 1088 ..add buy and exit when profit and keep 1095..and so on
Amman wfakhoury 07:20 GMT January 22, 2016
US oil return level 30.70
hk ab 07:02 GMT 01/22/2016
Some good thing with idiot became a disaster .
Amman wfakhoury 07:15 GMT January 22, 2016
US oil return level 30.70
Gold we have previous confirmed level 1113.60 and we work on it.
any decline we add and exit.
hk ab 07:02 GMT January 22, 2016
US oil return level 30.70
Your face is really thick......
$3 risk for $0.5 profit?
The only person who helps you to lose a factory and win the candy.....
hk ooozmeeh 06:44 GMT January 22, 2016
OCT 31 2014 BOJ STIMULUS
https://www.mql5.com/en/charts/4512733/usdjpy-w1-mpf-global-markets
hk ooozmeeh 06:42 GMT January 22, 2016
OCT 31 2014 BOJ STIMULUS
Reply
OCT 31 2014 BANK OF JAPAN ANNOUNCES MASSIVE STIMULUS PACKAGE
i hope its massive again
Amman wfakhoury 06:34 GMT January 22, 2016
US oil return level 30.70
Reply
Amman wfakhoury 07:09 GMT January 15, 2016
US oil return level 30.70: Reply
US oil now 30.25 ..return 30.70
Buy add buy if decline.
______________________________
US oil above 30.70
The only one in the world who confirms the next level
Chennai VM 06:16 GMT January 22, 2016
Thursday"s Trading Thread
Buy EURUSD
Entry: Target: Stop:
ECB's President, put a stop to the risk-aversion trading yesterday, by giving quite a dovish speech and leaving the EU economic policy unchanged.
The European Central Bank opened doors for further easing, announcing a probable revision of the ongoing measures next March. This provided a boost to local share markets that led to US indexes and even commodities peaking.
Nonetheless, the oil price slide and the problems in China cast a shadowy doubt.
Meanwhile, Draghi opined that the rates will stay at current levels or dip for a longer period of time. He further mentioned that the downside risk has increased again.
Hong Kong 03:58 GMT January 22, 2016
AceTrader Jan 22: Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views (USD/JPY)
Reply
22 Jan 2016 02:36GMT
USD/JPY - ...... Dlr pares intra-day gain after climbing to 117.95 at Asian open on early news report of possible easing measures by the BoJ at next Friday's policy meeting (see 01:28GMT update for details).
Looks like consolidation is in store until European open, however, intra-day strong rebound in Asian stocks suggests European Bourses will open high and this will continue to boost risk sentiment, leading to renewed yen-selling, therefore, trading dlr from long side for short-term trade is still favoured, reported offers at 117.28/38 area are expected to cap intra-day gain.
Initial bids are noted at 117.55-45 with stops below 117.25.
Later today, U.S. will release January mfg PMI, existing home sales n leading indicator, if these numbers miss market estimates, then expect dlr to come under selling pressure as the greenback has been based vs other G6 currencies in overnight New York session.
NW KW 03:32 GMT January 22, 2016
Paris IB special: USD collapse already got a date
nw kw 05:54 GMT September 10, 2015
Sell DOW Relentless: Reply
time line fed can hike but gets puled down
nw kw 05:38 GMT September 10, 2015
Sell DOW Relentless: Reply
etf specialist I keep I on poisoning for usa qe 4 and 5/ usd might be tradable again
NW KW 03:25 GMT January 22, 2016
Thursday"s Trading Thread
50bp of easing to come from the Reserve Bank of Australia this year says MS
�While the currency's decline may slow, still expect further AUD weakness as external developments have knock-on effects in the domestic economy
�Macro-prudential already weighs on the housing market
�Sees RBA easing 50 bps this year, which is far from priced in
LOOK FOR SHORT NZD STRENTH IN THIS ENVIERMANT POS- GBP/NZD IN A BIT. GL
NW KW 03:14 GMT January 22, 2016
Thursday"s Trading Thread
Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras to Push Creditors for Less Austerity in Davos
Hong Kong 01:59 GMT January 22, 2016
AceTrader Jan 22:Intra-Day Market Moving News and Views (USD/JPY)
Reply
22 Jan 2016 01:28GMT
US/JPY - ...... Dollar continued its o/n gain New York session and climbed to an intra-day high of 117.95 at Asian open following dovish Reuters news report which came out ahead of Thursday's New York close.
Reuters reported the Bank of Japan is "taking a serious look" at expanding its monetary easing measures as sliding oil prices make it ever harder to reach its 2 percent inflation target, and a higher yen and falling stock prices would also loom large at the central bank's next two-day policy meeting on Jan. 28 and 29.
The Nikkei quoted one senior BOJ official as saying that sliding oil prices could depress inflation expectations among consumers. "Then we should consider additional easing," the official was quoted as saying.
While earlier Japan Financial Minister Aso said that they are closely watching the FX movements but won't comment on its levels, and stress that Japan economy's fundamentals are very strong.
With the declines in oil prices, Aso believed it is positive for Japan economy.
Canada Charts >> http://goo.gl/tS30Gi
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